Friday Trends and Indexes 7/10 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

[pm530]

MLB
Write-up


Friday, July 10

The MLB “Write-up” is late today, we will post when available.

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[pm530]

WNBA
Dunkel


San Antonio at Minnesota
The Silvers Stars look to take advantage of a Minnesota team that is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games against the Western Conference. San Antonio is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by just 2. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 10

Game 601-602: San Antonio at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 107.901; Minnesota 109.815
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2; 154 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 156
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+3 1/2); Under

Game 603-604: Indiana at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 115.434; Chicago 108.368
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 7; 137 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 4; 140
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-4); Under

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WNBA
Long Sheet

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Friday, July 10
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SAN ANTONIO (4 - 5) at MINNESOTA (8 - 4) - 7/10/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after scoring 55 points or less since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in July games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (8 - 2) at CHICAGO (6 - 6) - 7/10/2009, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 66-94 ATS (-37.4 Units) in road games since 1997.
INDIANA is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games in July games since 1997.
INDIANA is 35-60 ATS (-31.0 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
INDIANA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Friday, July 10

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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bet
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San Antonio Silver Stars at Minnesota Lynx (-2.5, 155)

Minnesota, the second-place team in the Western Conference, has bad news for opponents: It has found yet another weapon on its roster.

The team that touts three double-digit scorers will be even tougher to beat if rookie Renee Montgomery continues to perform the way she did in a 96-94 overtime win over the Mystics in their most recent game. The guard, who entered the night averaging just 8.1 points per game, dropped a career-high 21 points on 6-of-12 shooting, including three, three-point plays.

"They were trying to make sure I wasn't making the layups," Montgomery told the Minneapolis Star Tribune. "But they were grabbing my left arm and I was shooting with the right. I am going to call Tina the masseuse and get in the cold tub. But I will feel good tomorrow knowing that we won."

The Silver Stars (4-5), meantime, are 0-4 on the road this year and coming off a 66-53 loss to the Storm.

Pick: Lynx


Indiana Fever at Chicago Sky (+3, 140)

Chicago had its head in the clouds with its loft play last month. But June has brought the Sky crashing back down to Earth.

The Sky (6-6) has lost all three games this month, including road defeats on Tuesday and Wednesday to the Mercury and Monarchs by a combined 30 points. Chicago will be excited for its return home, as the team is 5-0 in the confines of its own gym this season, but the team has been no juggernaut in front of the home faithful. Chicago’s five home wins have come by an average of just over six points.

The Fever (8-2) enter the matchup flaunting an eight-game unbeaten streak and have the league’s best overall record.

"When you look at the big picture, you've got to set short-term goals," Fever guard Katie Douglas told the Indianapolis Star. "So I think we've done a good job of re-focusing and not putting so much emphasis on the championship, but putting emphasis on the opponent."

Pick: Fever

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[pm530]

CFL
Dunkel Index

Update (Dunkel write-up for today)

FRIDAY, JULY 10

Calgary at Winnipeg
The Stampeders look to bounce back from their Week One defeat and build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 games following a SU loss. Calgary is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-5 1/2).

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[pm530]

MLB
Write-up


Friday, July 10

Hot Pitchers
-- Carpenter is 3-2, 2.26 in his eight road starts.
-- Blanton has a 2.33 RA in his last three starts.
-- Brewers won last three Looper starts (2-0, 3.93) scoring 25 runs.
-- Oswalt is 2-0, 1.17 in his last three starts.
-- Haren is 5-1, 2.02 in his last eight starts. Nolasco is 4-0, 1.61 in his last four start

-- Detroit won Jackson's last four home starts (3-0, 2.03).
-- Lester is 4-1, 2.31 in his last seven starts.
-- Rays won last five Niemann starts, scoring 44 runs (1-0, 2.38 last 2).
-- Danks is 3-1, 1.27 in his last four starts. Blackburn is 5-2, 2.42 in his last nine starts.
-- Bronx won nine of last eleven Chamberlain starts, scoring 26 in his last three outings (1-0, 8.22); he is 4-0, 3.59 in seven road starts.
-- Rangers won last three Feldman starts (2-0, 4.00) scoring 23 runs.

Cold Pitchers
-- Harden is 0-3, 9.47 in his last four home starts.
-- Duke is 1-3, 3.96 in his last four starts.
-- Arroyo is 1-5, 8.76 in his last seven starts. Nieve is 0-2, 7.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Billingsley is 0-1, 4.88 in his last four starts.
-- Olsen is 1-4, 6.97 in his six road starts this season.
-- Rockies lost Jimenez' last three starts (0-2, 4.43). Lowe is 0-4, 9.39 in his last five starts.
-- Banks has a 7.15 RA in two starts this season. Sanchez is 0-4, 7.61 in his last five starts.

-- Indians lost Lee's last four starts (0-2, 5.87).
-- Berken is 0-5, 7.13 in his last seven starts. Toronto lost Cecil's last four starts (0-1, 11.29).
-- Bannister is 1-3, 4.00 in his last four starts.
-- Mazzaro is 0-4, 5.28 in his last five starts.
-- Saunders is 1-1, 8.02 in his last four starts.
-- Mariners lost four of five Morrow starts (0-0, 4.76).

Hot Teams
-- Cardinals won six of their last eight games.
-- Phillies won six of their last seven games.
-- Dodgers are 15-8 in their last 23 road games.
-- Astros are 17-9 in their last 26 home games.
-- Rockies won 15 of their last 19 home games.
-- Giants are 17-6 in their last 23 home games.

-- Tigers won eight of their last nine home games.
-- Rays won 19 of their last 22 home games.
-- Bronx Bombers won 13 of their last 15 games.
-- White Sox won seven of their last nine road games.
-- Rangers won seven of their last nine games. Mariners are 14-8 in their last twenty-two games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost their last two games, scoring one run in each.
-- Pirates lost six of their last eight games.
-- Reds lost eleven of their last fifteen road games. Mets lost 10 of their last 15 home games.
-- Brewers lost six of their last eight games.
-- Nationals lost 22 of their last 26 road games.
-- Braves are 5-10 in their last 15 road games.
-- Arizona lost eight of its last twelve home games. Marlins lost seven of their last ten road games.
-- Padres lost eight of their last nine games.

-- Blue Jays lost eight of their last ten road games. Orioles lost seven of their last eleven games.
-- Oakland lost five of its last seven road games.
-- Red Sox are just 5-6 in their last eleven home games.
-- Royals are 8-19 in their last 27 road games.
-- Indians lost 16 of their last 21 games.
-- Minnesota lost its last three games, allowing 20 runs.
-- Angels are just 4-5 in their last nine games.

Totals
-- Under is 8-3 in Cubs' last eleven games.
-- Seven of Phillies' last nine home games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-3-2 in Reds' last twelve road games.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in Dodgers' last eight road games.
-- Under is 9-2-2 in last thirteen games at Minute Maid Park.
-- Nine of last twelve Atlanta road games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 12-5 in Arizona's last seventeen home games.
-- Six of San Diego's last eight games went over the total.

-- Under is 14-7 in Detroit's last 21 home games.
-- Six of last nine Toronto road games went over the total.
-- Under is 15-6-1 in last twenty-two games at Fenway Park.
-- Last five Oakland road games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last twelve Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Angel home games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-3 in Seattle's last fourteen home games.

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