Tuesday Trends and Indexes 4/14 (MLB, NBA, Misc.)

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, April 14

Good Luck on day #104 of 2009!

At this time the sports menu in this thread consists of the NBA, MLB, and the NHL until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted here.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.
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[pm530]

Daily Sports Roundup

Tuesday, April 14

Today in the Daily Sports Roundup: The Heat, Hawks, Celtics, Sixers, Jazz, and Lakers hit the hardwood, while the Rays play host to their AL East rival Yankees.

Tipping off on the hardwood . . .

Six playoff-bound teams populate the NBA's tripleheader on Tuesday night, with the Heat and Hawks tipping things off in Atlanta. The Hawks played host to the Heat back on February 27, with Atlanta picking up a 91-83 home win as a 5.5-point favorite. Al Horford scored 21 points and grabbed 22 rebounds for the Hawks in that win, and Dwyane Wade was good for 21 points in the losing cause.

The Sixers host the Celtics in the second game of the Tuesday-night docket, with Boston having edged Philadelphia 100-99 on the road as a 3-point favorite in their last meeting on February 3. Paul Pierce (29), Ray Allen (23), and Rajon Rondo (20) all had 20 or more points for the Celtics in that victory. Andre Iguodala had a team-high 22 points for the Sixers, and Andre Miller had 21 points.

Tuesday's nightcap then has Utah at the Lakers, with Los Angeles looking to avenge a 113-109 road loss vs. the Jazz on February 11 as a 1-point underdog. Deron Williams tossed in 31 points and added 11 assists for Utah in that contest, while Mehmet Okur was good for 22 points and eight rebounds. Kobe Bryant had a game-high 37 points for the Lakers, while Lamar Odom contributed 19 points.

Meeting up on the diamond . . .

A.J. Burnett will make his second start as a member of the Yankees on Tuesday night when his team plays on the road in Tampa Bay to continue the series between the AL East rivals. Righthander Burnett earned a win against the Orioles last week, allowing two earned runs on seven hits over 5 1-3 innings. The Rays will go with Matt Garza on Tuesday night; the righthander impressed in a win over the Red Sox in his first start of the year, allowing one run over seven innings.

A full American League slate on Tuesday contains six other games, including the White Sox at Detroit, the Angels at Seattle, Baltimore at Texas, Toronto at Minnesota, Cleveland at Kansas City, and Boston at Oakland. Over in the National League there are just three games on Tuesday, with Florida at Atlanta, Cincinnati at Milwaukee, and St. Louis at Arizona. The Cards go with Chris Carpenter in that one; he dominated the Pirates to win his first start of the season.

Taking a trip around the rink . . .

The top-seeded Bruins will get the rival Canadiens in their first-round playoff matchup this week as teams begin their quest for the Stanley Cup. The other Eastern Conference matchups: No. 2 Washington vs. No. 7 New York Rangers, No. 3 New Jersey vs. No. 6 Carolina, and No. 4 Pittsburgh vs. No. 5 Philadelphia. Over in the Western Conference No. 1 San Jose will get a west-coast rival in the first round of the postseason when they take on No. 8 Anaheim. As well, it'll be No. 2 (and defending-champion) Detroit vs. No. 7 Columbus, No. 3 Vancouver vs. No. 6 St. Louis, and then finally No. 4 Chicago vs. No. 5 Calgary.

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[Pitt37]

Thanks for all the hard work.

I check the trends everyday.

[pm530]

Six-pack for Tuesday

Top six 3-point shooting teams in college hoop this past season--

1) California, 42.7%

2) Portland 41.8%

3) IUP-Ft Wayne, 40.8%

4) Cal-Irvine, 40.7%

5) Wisconsin-Green Bay, 40.7%

6) Eastern Kentucky, 40.6%

Does anyone on the east coast practice shooting?

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Late Night Update

-- Orlando Hudson is the first LA Dodger to hit for the cycle at Dodger Stadium, the first Dodger since Wes Parker in 1970 to hit a cycle anywhere, just second Dodger cycle since Gil Hodges in '49.

-- Jermaine Dye, Paul Konerko hit back/back HRs; oddity is that it was the 300th career home run for both players.

-- Chien Ming Wang has faced 33 batters in two starts; 15 of them have scored-- is it time to liberate Phil Hughes from AAA????

-- Nick Swisher pitched bottom of 8th for Bronx, and was the best Bomber pitcher, not allowing a run.

-- Royals' Zack Greinke has a 25-inning scoreless streak.

-- Brian Barden hit an opposite field HR in top of the 8th inning, his first big league tater, as Cardinals beat Arizona 2-1.

-- Dallas Braden tossed six strong innings, Nomar Garciaparra hit a homer against his old club, as Oakland spanked the Red Sox, 8-2.

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Tuesday's List of 13: Random thoughts on a sad day.............

13) Sad day in sports Monday, with passing of both Harry Kalas and Mark Fidrych. We're constantly reminded that we're not guaranteed anything in this world, so we have the make the most while we can.

12) I met Harry Kalas at the Vet in 1990, after a Phils-Reds game; a very nice man with an amazing voice. We talked for few minutes; it turned out his brother was a professor at UAlbany. He had no reason to be nice to me, other than that's just the way he was. NFL Films is going to miss him, and Philadelphia will miss him a ton.

11) Mark Fidrych owned baseball in 1976; he was 19-9, 2.34 in his 29 starts, finishing 24 of them; the Tigers sold out most of his home starts the second half of the season. The Bird was quirky (he talked to the baseball before he threw it), he was 21, and boy was he good. Sadly, he hurt his arm, and was 10-10 the next four seasons- he never cashed in on his amazing success of '76. Monday he died at age 54, in an industrial accident at his business. Just very sad.

On to happier subjects, though just about anything would qualify....

10) NFL Draft is April 25-26, with a 4:05 start on Saturday the 25th for what reason nobody knows. Guess they want the draft on TV at night. Decisions like this are part of why I wound up divorced.......

9) 49ers interviewed Matthew Stafford, and their psychologist was asking the QB about his parents' divorce when he was in high school. Stafford bristled at some of the questions, so as a result, the 49ers are not going to draft Stafford, if he is available. Given that the Niners are not exactly solid under center, and this is a source of controversy in the Bay Area. Would love to be a fly on the wall to hear some of the conversations regarding critical decisions that teams have in the draft.

8) If you're a trivia buff, Jody Gerut hit the first homer at Citi Field; he was the first batter, and homered down the rightfield line.

7) San Diego used 46 different pitchers in spring training, and they came up with obscure names on the Opening Day roster, but skipper Bud Black is a pitching guru, and Padres look improved in the early days of this season. Weird thing is they won the first game played at Citi Field, with former Mets Sanchez, Bell getting the last six outs.

6) Was watching replay of a UCLA-Stanford baseball game Sunday night, and Bruins' SS is the son of A's 3B coach Mike Gallego-- kid pitching for Stanford was son of Bill Mooneyham, who pitched for the A's in 1986, where he was briefly a teammate of Mike Gallego. Sometimes its a small world we live in.

5) Cool name for Stanford's baseball stadium-- Sunken Diamond.

4) Our next item is too strange to be true, but I checked it out and it is true-- Florida International is in discussions to hire Isiah Thomas as its new basketball coach. FIU is in the Sun Belt Conference- their big rival is Florida Atlantic, coached by the even more-inept Mike Jarvis. Imagine those two matching wits twice a season? Priceless.

3) #125 on the PGA Tour money list is Alex Cejka, with $194,266; so far, 20 golfers have already earned $1M+ this season.

2) 7pm Tuesday, NFL Network for the chosen few, nfl.com for the rest of us-- the 2009 NFL schedule is unveiled.

1) Don't look now, but the Padres have won five games in a row, are 6-2 and are the surprising leaders in the National League West.

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[pm530]

MLB
Dunkel Index

Cincinnati at Milwaukee
The Brewers are 0-5 in Manny Parra's last 5 starts and run into a Cincinnati team that is 5-1 in Bronson Arroyo's last 6 starts as an underdog between +110 and +150. The Reds are the underdog pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has Cincinnati favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+120). Here are all of today's games

TUESDAY, APRIL 14

Game 901-902: Florida at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Volstad) 15.205; Atlanta (Vazquez) 16.373
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-135); Under

Game 903-904: Cincinnati at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.292; Milwaukee (Parra) 14.114
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+120); Under

Game 905-906: St. Louis at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 14.307; Arizona (Scherzer) 14.568
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+150); Under

Game 907-908: Chicago White Sox at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 15.542; Detroit (Porcello) 16.222
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+120); Under

Game 909-910: LA Angels at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Loux) 14.928; Seattle (Silva) 16.086
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-115); Over

Game 911-912: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Burnett) 15.903; Tampa Bay (Garza) 16.823
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-125); Over

Game 913-914: Baltimore at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Simon) 16.246; Texas (McCarthy) 15.086
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 13
Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+110); Over

Game 915-916: Toronto at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 15.470; Minnesota (Perkins) 14.664
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+135); Under

Game 917-918: Cleveland at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Pavano) 14.898; Kansas City (Davies) 16.009
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-155); Over

Game 919-920: Boston at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Matsuzaka) 14.231; Oakland (Eveland) 15.256
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+140); Under

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[pm530]

MLB
Long Sheet


Tuesday, April 14

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FLORIDA (5 - 1) at ATLANTA (5 - 1) - 7:10 PM
CHRIS VOLSTAD (R) vs. JAVIER VAZQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 30-13 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 89-78 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 59-37 (+30.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 24-13 (+19.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 20-12 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 81-75 (+28.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
FLORIDA is 14-6 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 45-32 (+20.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 88-76 (+24.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 63-57 (+12.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 40-36 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 77-91 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 76-89 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
VAZQUEZ is 3-12 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHRIS VOLSTAD vs. ATLANTA since 1997
VOLSTAD is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

JAVIER VAZQUEZ vs. FLORIDA since 1997
VAZQUEZ is 6-4 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 4.28 and a WHIP of 1.363.
His team's record is 7-8 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-8. (-2.7 units)

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CINCINNATI (3 - 3) at MILWAUKEE (2 - 5) - 8:05 PM
BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. MANNY PARRA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 29-42 (-19.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ARROYO is 16-30 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 149-143 (+27.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 296-338 (+31.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 221-234 (+42.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 450-523 (+44.3 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 (+1.4 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ARROYO is 7-4 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.279.
His team's record is 8-5 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.8 units)

MANNY PARRA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
PARRA is 0-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 6.57 and a WHIP of 1.217.
His team's record is 0-2 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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ST LOUIS (6 - 2) at ARIZONA (2 - 5) - 9:40 PM
CHRIS CARPENTER (R) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 92-78 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 92-78 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 32-24 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 62-47 (+15.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CARPENTER is 70-52 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 85-85 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 127-148 (-44.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
ARIZONA is 85-82 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 57-63 (-21.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 23-38 (-19.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SCHERZER is 0-7 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SCHERZER is 0-7 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CHRIS CARPENTER vs. ARIZONA since 1997
CARPENTER is 3-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.54 and a WHIP of 1.059.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.6 units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
SCHERZER is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (4 - 3) at DETROIT (4 - 4) - 1:05 PM
JOHN DANKS (L) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 87-65 (+24.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 90-61 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 27-46 (-30.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 72-78 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 39-51 (-20.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-40 (-17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 78-92 (-30.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 36-47 (-19.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JOHN DANKS vs. DETROIT since 1997
DANKS is 2-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.222.
His team's record is 5-1 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.2 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

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LA ANGELS (3 - 3) at SEATTLE (5 - 2) - 6:40 PM
SHANE LOUX (R) vs. CARLOS SILVA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 51-32 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 19-8 (+11.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 32-12 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 98-61 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 35-23 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 33-17 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 45-29 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 104-68 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 46-20 (+22.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 66-103 (-33.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 59-94 (-33.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 41-72 (-30.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SHANE LOUX vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

CARLOS SILVA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
SILVA is 6-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.315.
His team's record is 6-4 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-3. (+3.9 units)

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NY YANKEES (3 - 4) at TAMPA BAY (4 - 3) - 7:08 PM
A.J. BURNETT (R) vs. MATT GARZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 26-33 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 109-76 (+29.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 63-27 (+29.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 51-35 (+19.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 63-28 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 67-33 (+27.6 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 80-47 (+30.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 41-20 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
GARZA is 2-9 (-9.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BURNETT is 7-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.054.
His team's record is 8-8 (-4.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-4. (+5.5 units)

MATT GARZA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GARZA is 1-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.98 and a WHIP of 1.477.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

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BALTIMORE (5 - 2) at TEXAS (3 - 4) - 8:05 PM
ALFREDO SIMON (R) vs. BRANDON MCCARTHY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 32-19 (+19.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 60-56 (+13.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 20-13 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 59-59 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 324-379 (+29.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against TEXAS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

ALFREDO SIMON vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MCCARTHY is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 0.90 and a WHIP of 1.300.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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TORONTO (6 - 2) at MINNESOTA (3 - 5) - 8:10 PM
RICKY ROMERO (L) vs. GLEN PERKINS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 57-33 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 64-51 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 55-31 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-5 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-9 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-6 (+10.2 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 55-31 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

RICKY ROMERO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

GLEN PERKINS vs. TORONTO since 1997
PERKINS is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.636.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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CLEVELAND (1 - 6) at KANSAS CITY (4 - 3) - 8:10 PM
CARL PAVANO (R) vs. KYLE DAVIES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 22-33 (-15.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-21 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 38-46 (-15.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 42-35 (+13.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PAVANO is 47-30 (+17.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 49-36 (+20.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 26-52 (-26.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 50-93 (-32.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CARL PAVANO vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
PAVANO is 0-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 8.44 and a WHIP of 1.689.
His team's record is 0-1 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

KYLE DAVIES vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
DAVIES is 1-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.188.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

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BOSTON (2 - 5) at OAKLAND (3 - 4) - 10:05 PM
DAISUKE MATSUZAKA (R) vs. DANA EVELAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 291-267 (-50.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
BOSTON is 46-18 (+23.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MATSUZAKA is 26-7 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MATSUZAKA is 12-2 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MATSUZAKA is 17-4 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 (+1.5 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

DAISUKE MATSUZAKA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
MATSUZAKA is 2-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 0.973.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

DANA EVELAND vs. BOSTON since 1997
EVELAND is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 40.50 and a WHIP of 5.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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[pm530]

MLB
Short Sheet


Tuesday, April 14

National League

FLORIDA at ATLANTA, 7:10 PM ET
VOLSTAD: Florida 14-6 playing with day off
VAZQUEZ: 9-1 Over in April

CINCINNATI at MILWAUKEE, 8:05 PM ET
ARROYO: Cincinnati 10-6 at Milwaukee
PARRA: Milwaukee 14-4 Over at home revenging one run loss

ST LOUIS at ARIZONA, 9:40 PM ET
CARPENTER: 70-52 TSR in road games
SCHERZER: 0-7 TSR last two seasons


American League

CHICAGO WHITE SOX at DETROIT, 1:05 PM ET
DANKS: 12-3 Under in day games
PORCELLO: Detroit 20-40 as an underdog

LA ANGELS at SEATTLE, 6:40 PM ET
LOUX: Angels 33-17 Away off win
SILVA: 6-19 TSR if allowed 2+ HR last outing

NY YANKEES at TAMPA BAY, 7:05 PM ET
BURNETT: 20-8 Under off loss
GARZA: 12-19 TSR as a favorite

BALTIMORE at TEXAS, 8:05 PM ET
SIMON: Baltimore 0-9 after scoring and allowing 8+ runs
MCCARTHY: Texas 9-2 Under at home vs. Texas

TORONTO at MINNESOTA, 8:10 PM ET
ROMERO: Toronto 13-4 vs. Minnesota
PERKINS: Minnesota 19-5 at home vs. lefties

CLEVELAND at KANSAS CITY, 8:10 PM ET
PAVANO: Cleveland 12-24 after a loss by 2 runs or less
DAVIES: KC 51-24 Under at home when the total is 9 to 9.5

BOSTON at OAKLAND, 10:05 PM ET
MATSUZAKA: 26-7 TSR in all games
EVELAND: 14-4 Under in night games

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[pm530]

MLB
Write-up


Tuesday, April 14

Hot Pitchers
-- Florida was 5-1 on the road LY when Volstad started.
-- Carpenter has a 2.49 RA in his last four starts.

-- Danks is 2-0, 1.31 in his last three starts.
-- Garza is 3-0, 2.42 in his last four starts.
-- Rangers won three of last four McCarthy starts.
-- Perkins has a 1.38 RA in his last two starts. Romero won his first start 6-2 vs Detroit, allowing two runs in six IP.
-- Davies is 3-0, 0.96 in his last four starts.
-- Red Sox were 13-2 on road with Matsuzaka LY. A's won six of last seven Eveland home starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Vazquez is 0-4, 15.43 in his last five starts.
-- Parra is 0-3, 9.14 in his last five starts. Arroyo was 1-2, 5.18 in four starts against Milwaukee LY.
-- Arizona was 0-7 last season when Scherzer started (0-4, 4.62).

-- Porcello lost his first big league start, allowing four runs in five IP.
-- Loux is 1-4, 6.41 in major leagues; he started seven games for Detroit in 2002-3. CSilva is 0-6, 8.28 in his last eleven starts.
-- Pavano faced 12 batters in his Indian debut; nine of them scored.
-- Simon is 0-1, 4.97 in two big league starts.

Hot Teams
-- Braves, Marlins both won five of their first six games.
-- Reds won three of their last four games.
-- Cardinals won six of their last seven games.

-- Tigers won four of their last six games. White Sox won last three in a row by combined score of 24-7.
-- Seattle won four in row, five of first seven games.
-- Tampa Bay won its last two games, scoring 26 runs.
-- Orioles won five of their first seven games.
-- Royals won four of their last six games.
-- Blue Jays won six of their first eight games; they've won ten games in a row against Minnesota. .

Cold Teams
-- Brewers lost four of their last five games.
-- Diamondbacks lost five of last six games.

-- Bronx lost its last two games, allowing 21 runs.
-- Rangers lost their last four games, allowing 35 runs.
-- Indians lost six of first seven games, allowing 55 runs.
-- Twins lost four of their last five games.
-- Red Sox lost five of their last six games. Oakland lost three of their last four contests.

Totals
-- Three of last four Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Cardinal games stayed under the total.

-- Five of first seven White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 3-0-2 in Angels' last five games.
-- Five of seven Bronx games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Texas games this season.
-- Six of seven Kansas City games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Toronto games went over the total.
-- Five of last isx Oakland games went over the total.

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[pm530]

MLB


Tuesday, April 14

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Trend Sheet
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1:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 10 games
Chi White Sox are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 7-14 SU in their last 21 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Detroit is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox

6:40 PM
LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
LA Angels are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Angels's last 12 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels

7:08 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TAMPA BAY
NY Yankees are 15-7 SU in their last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Tampa Bay is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing NY Yankees

7:10 PM
FLORIDA vs. ATLANTA
Florida is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TEXAS
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Baltimore is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas's last 11 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. MILWAUKEE
Cincinnati is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati

8:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. KANSAS CITY
Cleveland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Kansas City is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Cleveland

8:10 PM
TORONTO vs. MINNESOTA
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto

9:40 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. ARIZONA
St. Louis is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis

10:05 PM
BOSTON vs. OAKLAND
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Oakland is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games

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[pm530]

MLB


Tuesday, April 14

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Hot lines: Today’s best MLB bets
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Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners (+100, 9)

The Los Angeles Angels hope a road trip will help give them a small sense of normalcy. Another moment of silence for Nick Adenhart and Ken Griffey Jr.'s return to Seattle, though, promise to bring plenty of emotion.

After a draining homestand, the Angels will pay tribute to Adenhart again Tuesday night as Griffey takes the field in a Mariners uniform at Seattle for the first time since 1999.

Los Angeles (3-3) takes to the road for the first time this season following an eventful weekend series against playoff rival Boston. The Angels won the opener 6-3 on Friday night after a **** homage to Adenhart, and they were involved in a bench-clearing incident in the finale Sunday before winning 5-4.

The Mariners' home opener will include a moment of silence for Adenhart, whose next start would have been in this contest.

There will also be a buzz due to Griffey's much-anticipated return as a Mariner. He was 19 years old when he began his career with Seattle in 1989, establishing himself as one of the league's most exciting players in 11 years there before signing with Cincinnati as a free agent.

Griffey, 39, is batting .133 (2-for-15) with one home run, but Seattle (5-2) has had a strong start to its season. The Mariners have won four straight, including three against Oakland over the weekend.

The Mariners will now hand the ball to Carlos Silva (0-1, 10.80 ERA), who looks to improve upon an awful season debut. He allowed six runs and eight hits in five innings as Seattle lost 6-5 to Minnesota on Wednesday night.

The veteran right-hander is 0-7 with an 8.13 ERA in his last 12 starts and has lost 16 of his last 17 decisions. He was 0-7 with a 7.90 ERA in his final eight outings at Safeco Field last season and hasn't won there since April 12, 2008.

Los Angeles will counter with Shane Loux (0-0, 2.81 ERA in 2008), who is getting a chance in a thin Angels rotation. This will be his first major league start since 2003 with Detroit.

The 29-year-old right-hander, a non-roster invitee, went 1-1 with a 4.58 ERA in four starts and two relief appearances in spring training. He was out of baseball in 2007 before signing a minor league deal with the Angels, pitching well enough to earn relief duty with Los Angeles down the stretch last season.

Pick: Over



New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays (-121, 9)

Matt Garza has pitched very well against AL East rivals, except the New York Yankees.

Garza will try to record his second career victory over New York as the Tampa Bay Rays continue a three-game home series Tuesday night.

Garza (1-0, 1.29 ERA) went 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two starts against Boston in to earn MVP honors in last October's AL championship series. In the regular season, he is 13-6 with a 3.04 ERA in his career against the AL East - his ERAs against the other two divisions in the league are well above four.

That success continued last Thursday at Boston, when Garza yielded one run and four hits over seven sharp innings to earn a 4-3 victory in his season debut.

The right-hander hasn't usually shown that stuff against the Yankees. He is 1-2 with a 4.56 ERA in five appearances, including four starts, in his career versus New York - the only AL East team with a winning record against him.

If Tampa Bay (4-3) provides Garza with the kind of support it gave Scott Kazmir on Monday, his job will be easy. The Rays had three homers among 17 hits in a 15-5 win to open this series on the night they raised their league and division championship banners.

The game was so bad for New York (3-4) that manager Joe Girardi moved first baseman Nick Swisher to the mound to pitch. Swisher, who homered earlier in the contest, worked a scoreless eighth inning.

The Yankees expect to get first baseman Mark Teixeira back in the lineup Tuesday. Teixeira has missed three straight games with tendinitis in his left wrist.

A.J. Burnett (1-0, 3.38) will get the ball Tuesday for the Yankees.

Burnett allowed two runs over 5 1-3 innings Thursday in an 11-2 victory at Baltimore to win his Yankees debut. He threw 98 pitches before departing, but the outing was enough to impress his manager.

The veteran right-hander has extensive experience against Tampa Bay from his days with Toronto, going 7-4 with a 2.98 ERA in 16 starts versus the Rays. He went 1-2 with a 3.15 ERA against them in three starts in 2008.

Pick: Under

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[pm530]

MLB
Tips and Trends


Tuesday, April 14

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays [7:05 PM ET]

Yankees: A. J. Burnett allowed two runs over 5 1-3 innings Thursday in an 11-2 victory at Baltimore to win his Yankees debut. He threw 98 pitches before departing. “He was great today. He had a great fastball, a great curveball,” manager Joe Girardi said. “It was a big performance by him.” Burnett has much experience against Tampa Bay from his days with Toronto, going 7-4 with a 2.98 ERA in 16 starts versus the Rays. He went 1-2 with a 3.15 ERA against them in three starts in 2008. Carlos Pena is 2-for-19 with 9 strikeouts against Burnett, while Evan Longoria is 1-for-10 with 5 strikeouts.

The Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
The Yankees are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.

Key Injuries - 1B Mark Teixeira (wrist) is day-to-day.
3B Alex Rodriguez (hip) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (Side Play of the Day)

Rays (-125, O/U 8.5 ): In the regular season, Matt Garza is 13-6 with a 3.04 ERA in his career against the AL East. That success continued last Thursday at Boston, when Garza yielded one run and four hits over seven sharp innings to earn a 4-3 victory in his season debut. “He’s got dominant stuff when he settles in. You saw it last year,” reigning AL MVP Dustin Pedroia said. “He’s got some of the best stuff in the major leagues.” However, Garza is 1-2 with a 4.56 ERA in five appearances, including four starts, in his career versus New York.

The Rays are 2-10 in Garza's last 12 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
The Rays are 44-13 in their last 57 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 3



Boston Red Sox at Oakland A's [10:05 PM ET]

Red Sox (-155, O/U 8.5): Coming off a season in which he lost 3 times in 29 starts, Daisuke Matsuzaka suffered his first defeat of 2009 in his season debut, allowing 4 runs on 3 home runs in a 4-3 loss to Tampa Bay on Thursday. The Japanese right-hander struggled with efficiency, throwing 100 pitches in 5 1-3 innings and walking 3. “Right now, not being able to go deep in games is stressful, both for myself and the bullpen,” said Matsuzaka. He went 2-0 with a 2.55 ERA in three outings against Oakland last year, but averaged fewer than 6 innings in those starts despite giving up just 8 total hits.

The Red Sox have lost four straight and 11 of 14 at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum.
The Red Sox are 14-2 in Matsuzaka's last 16 road starts.

Key Injuries - SS Jed Lowrie (wrist) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

A's: Dana Eveland gave up three runs in six innings against the LA Angels on Wednesday, in a game the A’s won 6-4 by scoring all their runs in the final 2 innings. “I kept the team in the game, which is obviously the goal,” Eveland said. “With the team we have this year, you just get back on the mound, throw strikes, get as deep into the game as I possibly can, and let our big bats go to work.” Eveland was unable to do that in his lone previous start against the Red Sox. He gave up 9 runs in two-plus innings at Fenway Park last Aug. 2, allowing home runs to Jason Bay and Kevin Youkilis in Boston’s 12-2 win.

The A's are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Key Injuries - 3B Eric Chavez (shoulder) is DOUBTFUL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

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[pm530]

NBA
Dunkel Index

Utah at LA Lakers
The Lakers look to take advantage of a Utah team that is just 3-13 ATS in its last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record. Los Angeles is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-8). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, APRIL 14

Game 701-702: Miami at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 116.969; Atlanta 124.346
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 7 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 9; 193
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+9); Over

Game 703-704: Boston at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 119.354; Philadelphia 119.772
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 183 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+2 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Utah at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 115.949; LA Lakers 126.450
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 10 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 8; 210
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-8); Under

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[pm530]

NBA
Long Sheet


Tuesday, April 14

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MIAMI (42 - 38) at ATLANTA (46 - 34) - 4/14/2009, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (60 - 20) at PHILADELPHIA (40 - 40) - 4/14/2009, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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UTAH (48 - 33) at LA LAKERS (64 - 17) - 4/14/2009, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 9-5 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 10-5 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

NBA
Short Sheet


Tuesday, April 14

MIAMI at ATLANTA, 7:05 PM ET
MIAMI: 23-9 OVER after failing to cover 2 of their last 3
ATLANTA: 12-26 ATS after 3+ consecutive overs

BOSTON at PHILADELPHIA, 8:05 PM ET
BOSTON: 31-15 ATS vs. division opponents
PHILADELPHIA: 1-5 ATS revenging a loss by 3 or less

UTAH at LA LAKERS, 10:35 PM ET
UTAH: 5-15 ATS in BB games
LA LAKERS: 39-21 OVER revenging a road loss

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[pm530]

NBA
Write-up


Tuesday, April 14

Hot Teams
-- Hawks won their last three games by 8-8-4 points.
-- Celtics won six of their last seven games.
-- Lakers won six of their last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Miami lost six of its last nine games.
-- 76ers lost their last five games (1-4 vs spread).
-- Jazz lost six of their last eight games.

Totals
-- Last five Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Boston games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Laker games went over the total.

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