BOWL SYSTEMS / RUNNING DOGS + ML & RANKING SYSTEMS ( 33-14 and 23-9 LAST YEAR ) !!

[shoeman530]

Thanks for the the legwork greek

[GOLDENGREEK]

BOWL SYSTEM

BUCKING THE HEISMAN WINNER IN THE BOWLS
One of the simplest & most successful bowl systems around, is to go against the
team on which the current Heisman Trophy winner plays. Let's see how this
simple & uncomplicated trend has fared over the last 34 bowl campaigns.

RESULT: 24-8-1: 75% VS SPREAD

YEAR BOWL FOE OF HEISMAN WINNER LINE RESULT
1974 SO CALIF 18 - Ohio State (Archie Griffin) 17 + 6½ WINNER
1975 UCLA 23 - Ohio State (Archie Griffin) 10 + 14 WINNER
1976 GEORGIA 3 - Pittsburgh (Tony Dorsett) 27 + 3½ Loser
1977 NOTRE DAME 38 - Texas (Earl Campbell) 10 + 6½ WINNER
1978 NEBRASKA 24 - Oklahoma (Billy Sims) 31 + 11 WINNER
1979 OHIO STATE 16 - So Calif (Charles White) 17 + 7½ WINNER
1980 PITTSBURGH 37 - So Caro (George Rogers) 9 - 10 WINNER
1981 PENN STATE 26 - So Calif (Marcus Allen) 10 + 2 WINNER
1982 PENN STATE 27 - Georgia (Herschel Walker) 23 - 4 Tie
1983 MIAMI (FLA) 31 - Nebraska (Mike Rozier) 30 + 11½ WINNER
1984 HOUSTON 28 - Boston College (Doug Flutie) 45 + 6 Loser
1985 TEXAS A&M 36 - Auburn (Bo Jackson) 16 + 2½ WINNER
1986 PENN STATE 14 - Miami (Vinnie Testaverde) 10 + 7 WINNER
1987 TEXAS A&M 35 - Notre Dame (Tim Brown ) 10 + 4½ WINNER
1988 WYOMING 14 - Okla St (Barry Sanders) 62 + 2½ Loser
1989 Houston (Andre Ware) did not go to a bowl.
1990 TEXAS A&M 65 - Byu (Ty Detmer) 14 + 3 WINNER
1991 WASHINGTON 34 - Mich (Desmond Howard) 14 - 6½ WINNER
1992 ALABAMA 34 - Miami (Gino Torretta) 13 + 8 WINNER
1993 NEBRASKA 16 - Florida St (Charlie Ward) 18 + 15½ WINNER
1994 NOTRE DAME 24 - Colorado (R. Salaam) 41 + 7½ Loser
1995 TENNESSEE 20 - Ohio State (Eddie George) 14 - 4 WINNER
1996 FLORIDA ST 20 - Florida (Danny Wuerffel) 52 + 3½ Loser
1997 WASH ST 16 - Michigan (Charles Woodson) 21 + 6 WINNER
1998 MISSISSIPPI ST 11 - Texas (Ricky Williams) 38 + 6½ Loser
1999 STANFORD 9 - Wisconsin (Ron Dayne) 17 + 13½ WINNER
2000 OKLAHOMA 13 - Florida State (Chris Weinke) 2 + 10 WINNER
2001 MIAMI-FLORIDA 37 - Nebraska (Eric Crouch) 14 - 8½ WINNER
2002 IOWA 17 - Southern California (Carson Palmer) 38 + 5 Loser
2003 LOUISIANA ST 21 - Oklahoma (Jason White) 14 + 5½ WINNER
2004 OKLAHOMA 19 - So California (Matt Leinart) 55 + 2 Loser
2005 TEXAS 41 - So California (Reggie Bush) 38 + 7 WINNER
2006 FLORIDA 41 - Ohio State (Troy Smith) 14 + 4 WINNER
2007 MICHIGAN 41 - Florida (Tim Tebow) 35 + 10½ WINNER


RESULT: 24-8-1: 75% VS SPREAD

[GOLDENGREEK]

here is something else that i just read....

dogs in bowl games that won the previous year are 23-12 ats, including 15-3 ats vs. an opponent that won 8 or less games last year....




Here would be the list of Dogs this year that won their bowl game last year:

Utah *
Fla Atl
BYU *
ECU *
Penn St
Oregon *
WVU *
LSU *
Tulsa *

* = opp won 8 or less games last year

[FRITO]

BOWL SYSTEM

BUCKING THE HEISMAN WINNER IN THE BOWLS
One of the simplest & most successful bowl systems around, is to go against the
team on which the current Heisman Trophy winner plays. Let's see how this
simple & uncomplicated trend has fared over the last 34 bowl campaigns.

RESULT: 24-8-1: 75% VS SPREAD

I mentioned something similar 10 days ago in this thread - http://www.bettorschat.com/forums/al...aaf-champ.html

Another positive factor is - the better defensive team wins more often.

I'll be on Florida - i'm hoping the line will come down to (-2.5)

The high powered offense & heisman team will usually pull in a lot of bettors.

good luck !

[GOLDENGREEK]

BASED ON POINT SPREAD


2003-04 Season
Dogs of 7 or better(meaning +8......) went 7-3 ATS 70%
Favs of 6.5 or better(meaning -6,-5.5.....) went 9-6 ATS 60%
For a total of 16-9 ATS 64% winners

2004-05 Season
Dogs of 7 or better went 7-2 ATS 78%
Favs of 6.5 or beter went 10-7 59%
For a total of 17-9 ATS 64% winners

2005-06 Season
Dogs of 7 or better went 13-1 ATS 93%
Favs of 6.5 or better went 7-5 ATS 58%
For a total of 20-6 ATS 77% winners

2006-07 Season
Dogs of 7 or better went 9-5 ATS 64%
Favs of 6.5 or better went 8-11 ATS 42%
For a total of 17-16 ATS 52% winners

2007-08 Season
Dogs of 7 or better went 7-3 ATS 70%
Favs of 6.5 or better went 15-8 ATS 65%
For a total of 23-11 ATS 68% winners

*Includes buying .5 hook either way so -7 can be +7.5 or -6.5

[harold_bush]

BASED ON POINT SPREAD


2003-04 Season
Dogs of 7 or better(meaning +8......) went 7-3 ATS 70%
Favs of 6.5 or better(meaning -6,-5.5.....) went 9-6 ATS 60%
For a total of 16-9 ATS 64% winners

2004-05 Season
Dogs of 7 or better went 7-2 ATS 78%
Favs of 6.5 or beter went 10-7 59%
For a total of 17-9 ATS 64% winners

2005-06 Season
Dogs of 7 or better went 13-1 ATS 93%
Favs of 6.5 or better went 7-5 ATS 58%
For a total of 20-6 ATS 77% winners

2006-07 Season
Dogs of 7 or better went 9-5 ATS 64%
Favs of 6.5 or better went 8-11 ATS 42%
For a total of 17-16 ATS 52% winners

2007-08 Season
Dogs of 7 or better went 7-3 ATS 70%
Favs of 6.5 or better went 15-8 ATS 65%
For a total of 23-11 ATS 68% winners

*Includes buying .5 hook either way so -7 can be +7.5 or -6.5

Wow, I'm no mathematician, but those numbers add up to a 43-14 ATS record for underdogs of more than 7 over the last 5 seasons......

[Pitt37]

Great Work Greek!

Thanks!

[GOLDENGREEK]

BASED ON POINT SPREAD


2003-04 Season
Dogs of 7 or better(meaning +8......) went 7-3 ATS 70%
Favs of 6.5 or better(meaning -6,-5.5.....) went 9-6 ATS 60%
For a total of 16-9 ATS 64% winners

2004-05 Season
Dogs of 7 or better went 7-2 ATS 78%
Favs of 6.5 or beter went 10-7 59%
For a total of 17-9 ATS 64% winners

2005-06 Season
Dogs of 7 or better went 13-1 ATS 93%
Favs of 6.5 or better went 7-5 ATS 58%
For a total of 20-6 ATS 77% winners

2006-07 Season
Dogs of 7 or better went 9-5 ATS 64%
Favs of 6.5 or better went 8-11 ATS 42%
For a total of 17-16 ATS 52% winners

2007-08 Season
Dogs of 7 or better went 7-3 ATS 70%
Favs of 6.5 or better went 15-8 ATS 65%
For a total of 23-11 ATS 68% winners

*Includes buying .5 hook either way so -7 can be +7.5 or -6.5

I believe these are the plays that fit the criteria above

Wake Forest -3
Fresno St -3'
Memphis +13'
Arizona -3'
Troy -4
TCU -2
Hawaii -2
CMU -6'
WVU/UNC (pk)
Florida St -5
Cal -6
Northern Illinois -1'
NC St/Rutgers (7)
NW +13'
Nevada -1
Rice -3
Oklahoma St -3'
Houston -3
Oregon St -3
BC -4
Minnesota +10
GTech -4
Iowa -3
Clemson -3
Penn St +10
Cincy -1'
Texas Tech -6
Georgia -3
ECU -2'
Utah +10'
UConn -4'
Ohio St +10
Ball St -2'
Florida -3

[flarendep1]

Thanks GG! Lets go Bowling buddy!!

[baseballdave]

Damn Greek, that took alot of work.
I for one am very thankful for what you did.
Thanks again !!!

[rocko]

TY GRREEEK FOR ALL THE HARD WORK IS ANYON PLAYING THESE???JuST BASE ON THIS SYSTEM TY oNCE AGAIN\
GLLLLLLL
GETER DONE PEACEE

[jcheckers]

5 UNIT PLAYS: If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units


5 Unit Money Line Plays:

Wake Forest Winner!
Arizona
TCU
No Ill
Houston
Oregon St
Clemson
UCONN

2 MORE ARE QUESTIONABLE:

** Alabama ---Huge moneyline to lay 5 Units - Be Careful

** Missouri ---------- MISSOURI PLAYED AN EXTRA GAME - THEY ARE 9-4 AND NORTHWESTERN IS 9-3 - NOT SURE IF THIS SHOULD BE COUNTED

[jcheckers]

Moneyline / Rankings etc.. System

This System went 33-14 last year !!!


** Some games overlapp and show up twice (Teams that hit in more than one system hit a high percentage last year) , other conflict and cancell each other out




2 Units-Bet the dog if the teams have exactly the same won lost record

Maryland
W Michigan
Oregon
Minnesota
Mich St
Penn St
Oklahoma




3 Units and 5 Units
Bet the team with the worst season record for 3 Units if a dog.
If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units:


3 UNIT PLAYS:

Bet the team with the worst season record for 3 Units if a dog.

Colo St Winner
Memphis Loser
So Miss
Notre Dame ----- ** WATCH THIS AS ITS CLOSE TO A PK NOW
Fla Atl
Wisky
Miami
NC St
Vandy
LSU
So Carolina
Va Tech
Mississippi
Kentucky
Ohio St
Tulsa







5 UNIT PLAYS: If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units


5 Unit Money Line Plays:

Wake Forest Winner

Arizona Winner
TCU
No Ill
Houston
Oregon St
Clemson
UCONN

2 MORE ARE QUESTIONABLE:

** Alabama ---Huge moneyline to lay 5 Units - Be Careful

** Missouri ---------- MISSOURI PLAYED AN EXTRA GAME - THEY ARE 9-4 AND NORTHWESTERN IS 9-3 - NOT SURE IF THIS SHOULD BE COUNTED



12/20/08: 3-1 +9.7 Units!

[WayneChung]

bump

[garth]

Moneyline / Rankings etc.. System

This System went 33-14 last year !!!

Were there really 47 bowl games last year? Or, is this record bowls and regular season combined?

Thanks, Greek, for providing info on all these systems. Awesome.