Thursday Trends and Indexes 10/30 (World Series, NBA, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

[pm530]

National Basketball Association - Dunkel Index

NBA
Dunkel Index

Houston at Dallas

Houston looks to spoil the Mavericks' opener and take advantage of Dallas' 6-8 ATS record over the last three years as a home favorite between 3 1/2 and 6 points. The Rockets are the underdog pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Houston (+4). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 30

Game 501-502: Charlotte at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 114.265; Cleveland 126.629
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 12 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 9 1/2; 184
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland(-9 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Houston at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 123.583; Dallas 123.792
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 4; 191
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+4); Under

Game 505-506: New Orleans at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 124.026; Phoenix 128.122
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-2); Under

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[pm530]

National Basketball Association - Short Sheet

NBA
Short Sheet


Thursday, October 30th

Charlotte at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Charlotte: 50-29 Over if the total is between 180 and 189.5
Cleveland: 34-18 ATS at home off ATS win/SU loss

Houston at Dallas, 8:05 ET TNT
Houston: 21-12 Under vs. division
Dallas: 6-2 ATS vs. Houston

New Orleans at Phoenix, 10:35 ET TNT
New Orleans: 27-12 ATS playing on BB days
Phoenix: 0-6 ATS vs. New Orleans

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[pm530]

National Basketball Association - Tips & Trends

NBA


Thursday, October 30

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Tips and Trends
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Charlotte Bobcats at Cleveland Cavaliers [7 PM ET]

Bobcats: The Larry Brown era begins in Charlotte, and the Bobcats also hope they will get big contributions at some point from Sean May and Adam Morrison, who are both coming off knee injuries. Brown saw his new team go 0-8 in the preseason, and his experience as the only coach to win both college and pro championships may or may not rub off on the players. Charlotte did play Cleveland very tough last season with all four meetings decided by seven points or less.

Bobcats are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
The UNDER is 9-3 in Charlotte's last 12 road games.

Key Injuries - F Sean May (knee) is doubtful.

PROJECTED SCORE: 84 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Cavs (-9.5, O/U 183.5): Cleveland is coming off a somewhat disappointing 90-85 loss at Boston in the season opener on Tuesday. Despite covering the spread for the eighth time in nine meetings with the Celtics, the Cavs blew a 50-43 halftime lead and committed 21 turnovers. New addition Mo Williams had four of the turnovers and will take some time to blend into the offense. Williams totaled 12 points in his Cleveland debut while LeBron James led the team in scoring with 22.

Cavs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
The UNDER is 20-7 in Cleveland's last 27 home games.

Key Injuries - F Darnell Jackson (wrist) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 94



Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks [TNT | 8 PM ET]

Rockets: Houston is coming off an 82-71 home win over Memphis on Wednesday night, as Ron Artest and Tracy McGrady each scored 16 points while Yao Ming led the team with 21 points and 10 rebounds. The Rockets won despite shooting less than 37 percent from the field, making the Grizzlies miss all 13 of their 3-point attempts. Houston started the game strong - racing out to an 11-2 lead - and then outscored Memphis 24-14 in the fourth quarter.

Rockets are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
The UNDER is 9-3 in Houston's last 12 games overall.

Key Injuries - F Shane Battier (foot) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 95 (Side Play of the Day)

Mavs (-5, O/U 191): Dallas will have a different look this season with point guard Jason Kidd back for a full season while new head coach Rick Carlisle hopes to lead the rest of the roster back to its former status as one of the best teams in the Western Conference. That could prove to be a difficult task since Kidd is clearly on the downside of his career, but he may have just enough in the tank to get the Mavs into the playoffs yet again. Time will tell.

Mavs are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games overall.
Mavs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Key Injuries - F Devean George (hand) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 97



New Orleans Hornets at Phoenix Suns [TNT | 10:30 PM ET]

Hornets: New Orleans picked up where the team left off in the preseason, earning a 108-103 victory at Golden State in the regular-season opener. The Hornets went a perfect 7-0 in the preseason, the first time in six years that an NBA team had accomplished that feat. Chris Paul led the way against the Warriors with 21 points and 11 assists, including the go-ahead basket with 19.4 seconds remaining.

Hornets are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games.
The OVER is 6-2 in New Orleans' last 8 Thursday games.

Key Injuries - F Julian Wright (ankle) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 98

Suns (-1.5, O/U 197): Phoenix started the Terry Porter era with an impressive road victory at San Antonio on Wednesday night behind 22 points from Amare Stoudemire, who scored half of them in the fourth quarter alone on perfect 5-of-5 shooting. Steve Nash added 13 points and dished out 13 assists. “Amare was huge for us down the stretch,” Porter said. “(Nash) also made a couple of big plays. It was a solid win for us and just a great way to start the season.”

Suns are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games.
The UNDER is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.

Key Injuries - F Alando Tucker (hamstring) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 99

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[pm530]

National Basketball Association – Power Index

NBA


Thursday, October 30

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NBA Power Index
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YESTERDAY 7-5
Season to Date: 10-5 (.667)

Cleveland* 11 over Charlotte
Dallas* ½ over Houston
Phoenix* 2 over New Orleans

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[pm530]

National Hockey League - Dunkel Index

NHL
Dunkel Index

Ottawa at Florida

The Panthers return home after a 4-0 loss in St. Louis and will look to build on their 3-0 record this season after a loss by two goals or more in the previous game. Florida is the underdog pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has Florida favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Florida (+100). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 30

Game 1-2: Atlanta at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.169; NY Rangers 10.601
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+190); Under

Game 3-4: NY Islanders at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 10.032; Philadelphia 13.188
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 5-6: Tampa Bay at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.971; Buffalo 11.977
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-175); Under

Game 7-8: Ottawa at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.627; Florida 11.799
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+100); Over

Game 9-10: Montreal at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.800; Minnesota 11.524
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-125); Under

Game 11-12: Edmonton at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.241; Nashville 12.050
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-135); Under

Game 13-14: Carolina at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.276; St. Louis 10.498
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+105); Under

Game 15-16: Boston at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.256; Calgary 13.470
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-140); Over

Game 17-18: Columbus at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 10.856; Colorado 12.680
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-175); Over

Game 19-20: Pittsburgh at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.681; Phoenix 10.563
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-105); Over

Game 21-22: Detroit at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 13.140; San Jose 11.792
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+125); Under

Game 23-24: Vancouver at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 10.908; Los Angeles 12.870
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-110); Under

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[pm530]

National Hockey League - Short Sheet

NHL
Short Sheet


Thursday, October 30th

Atlanta at NY Rangers, 7:05 ET
Atlanta: 24-46 SU after allowing 4+ goals
NY Rangers: 27-9 SU at home when the total is 5.5

NY Islanders at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
NY Islanders: N/A
Philadelphia: N/A

Tampa Bay at Buffalo, 7:05 ET
Tampa Bay: 33-57 SU in all games
Buffalo: 72-48 SU after a blowout loss by 3+ goals

Ottawa at Florida, 7:35 ET
Ottawa: 7-2 SU against Florida
Florida: 7-16 SU at home when the money line is -100 to -150

Montreal at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
Montreal: 6-15 SU coming off an overtime win
Minnesota: 59-48 SU in non-conference games

Edmonton at Nashville, 8:05 ET
Edmonton: 2-10 SU after playing a game with 3 or fewer total goals
Nashville: 24-15 SU after playing a game with 7+ total goals

Carolina at St Louis, 8:35 ET
Carolina: 11-4 SU after a close loss by 1 goal
St Louis: 6-1-1 SU at home vs Carolina

Boston at Calgary, 9:05 ET
Boston: 17-10 SU after playing 2 consecutive road games
Calgary: 4-10 SU after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7

Columbus at Colorado, 7:05 ET
Columbus: 12-9 SU AWAY after 2+ consecutive losses
Colorado: 13-23 SU when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days

Pittsburgh at Phoenix, 10:05 ET
Pittsburgh: 11-2 SU after 2+ consecutive losses
Phoenix: 31-52 SU in BB home games

Detroit at San Jose, 10:35 ET
Detroit: 8-11 SU after scoring 4+ goals in 4 straight
San Jose: 7-0 SU after 3 consecutive non-conference games

Vancouver at Los Angeles, 10:35 ET
Vancouver: 6-18 SU after having lost 3 of their last 4
Los Angeles: 14-9 SU off a close home loss by 1 goal

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[pm530]

National Hockey League – Hot lines

NHL


Thursday, October 30

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Ice Picks: NHL Bets
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Tampa Bay at Buffalo (-175, 5.5)

After a terrible start to the year, it looks as though the re-tooled Lightning are getting used to each other. Captain Vincent LeCavalier broke out with a pair of goals Tuesday, one of which was as pretty as you’re going to see on a breakaway, and Steven Stamkos notched his first point in the show to help push Tampa by a scrappy Leafs club.

There are other signs that the team is coming together, too. Stamkos took the ice first before that game started only to end up skating around by himself as the rest of the team watched from the bench – classic rookie prank. That’s the kind of thing that can get you out of a slump during the day-to-day grind of the NHL season.

Their record still isn’t anything to write home about at 2-3-3 but they might surprise Buffalo in this spot.

Pick: Tampa Bay



Boston at Calgary (-125, 5.5)

The Bruins have gotten off to a nice start behind a good mix of production from their kids and established veterans. Phil Kessel had a great showing at the last IIHF World Championships for the US and looks like he could score on any shift with the Bruins this year. He’s a strong playmaker and sees the ice very well.

Sophomore forward Milan Lucic is a beast on skates, too. He put Mike Van Ryn through the glass with a hit last week and then picked a hat trick against Atlanta. Not bad for a 20-year-old.

Meanwhile, veteran goalie Tim Thomas may be the biggest surprise between the pipes, posting a 1.88 GAA and a pair of shutouts through six starts.

Pick: Boston

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[pm530]

National Hockey League – Power Index

NHL


Thursday, October 30

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NHL Power Index
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YESTERDAY 1-2
Season to Date: 82-53 (.607)

Buffalo* (-139) ½ over Tampa Bay (+139)
N.Y. Rangers* (-205) 1½ over Atlanta (+205)
Philadelphia* (-202) 1½ over N.Y. Islanders (+202)
Ottawa (-113) even with Florida* (+113)
Nashville* (-104) even with Edmonton (+104)
Montreal (-112) even with Minnesota* (+112)
St. Louis* (-100) even with Carolina (+100)
Colorado* (-158) ½ over Columbus (+158)
Calgary* (-141) ½ over Boston (+141)
Pittsburgh (-147) ½ over Phoenix* (+147)
Vancouver (-106) even with Los Angeles* (+106)
San Jose* (-116) even with Detroit (+116)

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Long Sheet

CFL
Long Sheet

Updated for Thursday & Friday games

Note: We should receive updates for Saturday’s games. If so, we will re-post.

Week 19

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Thursday, October 30
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SASKATCHEWAN (11 - 6) at TORONTO (4 - 13) - 10/30/2008, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 126-96 ATS (+20.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 126-96 ATS (+20.4 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 115-86 ATS (+20.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1996.
TORONTO is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
TORONTO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Friday, October 31
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MONTREAL (11 - 6) at EDMONTON (9 - 8) - 10/31/2008, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.
EDMONTON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
EDMONTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-2 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Saturday, November 1
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HAMILTON (3 - 14) at WINNIPEG (7 - 10) - 11/1/2008, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 7-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


BRITISH COLUMBIA (11 - 6) at CALGARY (12 - 5) - 11/1/2008, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-4 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-3 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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