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Thursday Trends and Indexes 8/28

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  • #16
    MLB


    Thursday, August 28


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Streaking Pitchers
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Thursday's streaking and slumping starters:

    Streaking

    Edwin Jackson, Tampa Bay Rays (10-8, 3.93)

    Jackson's recent success has puzzled his opponents. He is 2-1 and has a 1.89 ERA in his last three starts.

    Jackson, who had just five wins in 2007, is 5-1 in his last six starts. In his last outing, a road triumph over the Chicago White Sox, he relinquished two earned runs on seven hits in six innings. He is also 2-1 in his last three starts at Tropicana Field.

    The Rays are 4-1 in Jackson's last five starts with five days of rest and are 10-4 in their last 14 against the Blue Jays.

    Cole Hamels, Philadelphia Phillies (11-8, 3.20)

    Don't judge Hamels by his record; he has been on fire recently. He is 2-0 in his last three starts and has a 2.05 ERA and 0.86 WHIP.

    Hamels has surrendered just seven earned runs in his last 28.1 IP and is fresh off a win over the Los Angeles Dodgers in which he had five strikeouts and no walks. The lefty is 3-1 with a solid 1.23 ERA in his last three starts against the Chicago Cubs.

    The Phillies are 17-5 in Hamels' last 22 starts against the NL Central and are 13-6 in their last 19 meetings at Wrigley Field.



    Slumping

    Charlie Morton, Atlanta Braves (3-8, 6.39)

    Morton has just two wins in his last 10 and has a 10.24 ERA in his last three overall. He has also allowed 11 earned runs and one homer in his last 9.2 IP.

    Morton is 0-5 in his last six home starts and 0-1 with a 6.35 ERA in one start this season against the Florida Marlins. He's given up a lofty eight homers in his last 10 starts.

    The Braves are 1-6 in Morton's last seven and are 0-4 in his last four home starts.

    Comment


    • #17
      MLB
      Long Sheet



      Thursday, August 28


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CINCINNATI (58 - 75) at HOUSTON (67 - 66) - 2:05 PM
      AARON HARANG (R) vs. BRANDON BACKE (R)
      Top Trends for this game.
      CINCINNATI is 58-75 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
      CINCINNATI is 21-35 (-16.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
      CINCINNATI is 64-91 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
      CINCINNATI is 57-73 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
      CINCINNATI is 35-52 (-20.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
      CINCINNATI is 32-42 (-12.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
      HOUSTON is 65-65 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
      HOUSTON is 35-31 (+8.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
      HOUSTON is 67-66 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
      HOUSTON is 17-9 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
      BACKE is 28-10 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
      BACKE is 13-2 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
      BACKE is 28-10 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
      BACKE is 16-4 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
      CINCINNATI is 444-515 (+44.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
      HARANG is 50-39 (+23.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
      HARANG is 16-8 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
      HARANG is 48-38 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
      HARANG is 13-6 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

      Head-to-Head Series History
      HOUSTON is 9-2 (+7.9 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
      5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

      AARON HARANG vs. HOUSTON since 1997
      HARANG is 8-6 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.49 and a WHIP of 1.282.
      His team's record is 11-7 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-7. (+1.6 units)

      BRANDON BACKE vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
      BACKE is 3-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.54 and a WHIP of 1.482.
      His team's record is 4-0 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.5 units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      FLORIDA (68 - 65) at ATLANTA (58 - 75) - 7:10 PM
      ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
      Top Trends for this game.
      FLORIDA is 47-47 (+6.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
      FLORIDA is 68-65 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
      FLORIDA is 48-28 (+27.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
      FLORIDA is 33-34 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
      FLORIDA is 20-10 (+17.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
      FLORIDA is 28-22 (+12.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
      FLORIDA is 67-63 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
      FLORIDA is 49-51 (+4.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
      ATLANTA is 119-110 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
      ATLANTA is 21-32 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
      ATLANTA is 21-28 (-13.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
      ATLANTA is 57-73 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
      ATLANTA is 38-51 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
      ATLANTA is 41-50 (-10.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
      ATLANTA is 33-41 (-13.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
      ATLANTA is 28-40 (-13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      ATLANTA is 3-12 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
      ATLANTA is 58-75 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
      ATLANTA is 104-115 (-29.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ATLANTA is 8-6 (+0.3 Units) against FLORIDA this season
      7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

      ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
      SANCHEZ is 1-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.067.
      His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

      CHARLIE MORTON vs. FLORIDA since 1997
      MORTON is 0-1 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.058.
      His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      LA DODGERS (65 - 68) at WASHINGTON (48 - 85) - 7:10 PM
      CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. JOHN LANNAN (L)
      Top Trends for this game.
      LA DODGERS are 65-68 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
      LA DODGERS are 26-38 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
      LA DODGERS are 2-10 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in road games in August games this season.
      LA DODGERS are 65-68 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
      LA DODGERS are 45-47 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
      WASHINGTON is 63-64 (+18.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 19-9 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 48-85 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
      WASHINGTON is 25-70 (-33.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 25-39 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
      WASHINGTON is 14-38 (-21.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 48-82 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
      WASHINGTON is 32-61 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
      WASHINGTON is 7-18 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season.
      LANNAN is 1-10 (-8.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)

      Head-to-Head Series History
      WASHINGTON is 2-3 (+0.3 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
      4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

      CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
      KERSHAW is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.833.
      His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

      JOHN LANNAN vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
      LANNAN is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.143.
      His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PHILADELPHIA (73 - 60) at CHICAGO CUBS (83 - 50) - 8:05 PM
      COLE HAMELS (L) vs. RYAN DEMPSTER (R)
      Top Trends for this game.
      CHICAGO CUBS are 49-19 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
      CHICAGO CUBS are 81-46 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
      CHICAGO CUBS are 83-50 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
      DEMPSTER is 99-90 (+24.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
      DEMPSTER is 57-33 (+27.5 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
      DEMPSTER is 86-78 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
      DEMPSTER is 26-13 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
      PHILADELPHIA is 119-90 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
      CHICAGO CUBS are 148-189 (-57.3 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
      CHICAGO CUBS are 35-55 (-33.2 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
      CHICAGO CUBS are 455-486 (-117.2 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
      2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

      COLE HAMELS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
      HAMELS is 3-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.083.
      His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.0 units)

      RYAN DEMPSTER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
      DEMPSTER is 3-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.98 and a WHIP of 1.603.
      His team's record is 5-7 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-1. (+10.0 units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      BOSTON (77 - 55) at NY YANKEES (70 - 62) - 1:05 PM
      JON LESTER (L) vs. MIKE MUSSINA (R)
      Top Trends for this game.
      BOSTON is 25-31 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
      BOSTON is 31-35 (-12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      BOSTON is 23-6 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
      BOSTON is 74-42 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
      BOSTON is 184-124 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      LESTER is 28-11 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
      LESTER is 14-3 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
      LESTER is 18-7 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
      LESTER is 26-10 (+15.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
      NY YANKEES are 70-62 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
      NY YANKEES are 24-30 (-22.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
      NY YANKEES are 66-59 (-21.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      NY YANKEES are 145-113 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
      NY YANKEES are 38-39 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
      NY YANKEES are 29-31 (-14.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      BOSTON is 8-6 (+2.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
      9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.8 Units)

      JON LESTER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
      LESTER is 2-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.12 and a WHIP of 1.423.
      His team's record is 2-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

      MIKE MUSSINA vs. BOSTON since 1997
      MUSSINA is 15-16 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.73 and a WHIP of 1.157.
      His team's record is 22-23 (-10.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 25-18. (+5.3 units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      TORONTO (68 - 64) at TAMPA BAY (80 - 51) - 7:10 PM
      JESSE LITSCH (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)
      Top Trends for this game.
      TAMPA BAY is 80-51 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 31-21 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 48-19 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 17-7 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 29-20 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 48-20 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 51-35 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 52-22 (+25.4 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 58-32 (+22.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 47-32 (+9.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
      TAMPA BAY is 42-24 (+18.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      TORONTO is 67-51 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
      TORONTO is 54-44 (+6.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
      TORONTO is 125-91 (+30.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
      TORONTO is 40-33 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      TAMPA BAY is 10-4 (+6.3 Units) against TORONTO this season
      8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

      JESSE LITSCH vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
      LITSCH is 1-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.357.
      His team's record is 2-3 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)

      EDWIN JACKSON vs. TORONTO since 1997
      JACKSON is 1-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.333.
      His team's record is 3-5 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-2. (+4.0 units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MINNESOTA (75 - 58) at OAKLAND (61 - 72) - 10:05 PM
      NICK BLACKBURN (R) vs. DANA EVELAND (L)
      Top Trends for this game.
      OAKLAND is 205-132 (+64.8 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
      MINNESOTA is 52-38 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
      MINNESOTA is 25-16 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
      MINNESOTA is 44-30 (+15.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
      MINNESOTA is 75-58 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
      MINNESOTA is 27-18 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
      OAKLAND is 137-158 (-26.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      OAKLAND is 73-73 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
      OAKLAND is 126-142 (-23.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
      OAKLAND is 43-46 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
      OAKLAND is 91-112 (-26.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MINNESOTA is 3-3 (+0.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
      3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

      NICK BLACKBURN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
      BLACKBURN is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.000.
      His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

      DANA EVELAND vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
      No recent starts.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      TEXAS (66 - 68) at LA ANGELS (80 - 52) - 10:05 PM
      BRANDON MCCARTHY (R) vs. JON GARLAND (R)
      Top Trends for this game.
      LA ANGELS are 74-45 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
      LA ANGELS are 56-39 (+9.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
      LA ANGELS are 33-18 (+12.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
      LA ANGELS are 80-52 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
      LA ANGELS are 36-15 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
      TEXAS is 20-15 (+9.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
      TEXAS is 60-62 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
      TEXAS is 50-50 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
      TEXAS is 51-42 (+17.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
      TEXAS is 34-35 (+6.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      TEXAS is 35-34 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      TEXAS is 66-68 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
      TEXAS is 33-35 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
      LA ANGELS are 13-17 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
      GARLAND is 7-15 (-13.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

      Head-to-Head Series History
      TEXAS is 4-5 (+0.3 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
      5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

      BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
      MCCARTHY is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.583.
      His team's record is 1-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

      JON GARLAND vs. TEXAS since 1997
      GARLAND is 4-8 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.70 and a WHIP of 1.495.
      His team's record is 5-12 (-9.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-5. (+5.5 units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #18
        MLB


        Thursday, August 28


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Hot Lines: Thursday's best MLB bets
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Florida Marlins at Atlanta Braves (-130, 10)

        Since Hot-lanta hurler Charlie Morton (6.39, 3-8) has a minor league history filled with control problems, it is no surprise the rookie has walked more batters than innings pitched over his last three starts. While Morton has shown glimpses of his ability on the road, at home he has been unable to handle the pressure and has not won a contest in seven starts (0-6, 8.18 with opponents hitting .326). Overall, the Braves have lost 13 of their last 16 and seem uninspired with the playoffs on hold until 2009. As for the Marlins, they continue to stay close enough in the NL East race (5 ½ games back) to keep the Mets and Phillies looking over their shoulder. For the Marlins, 2006 phenom Anibal Sanchez (2-2, 3.99) continues in his return from Tommy John surgery and will be making his sixth start of the season. While Sanchez has been far from perfect, he has pitched at least five innings in each of his starts and has struck out 21 over his last 18.2 innings. After losing the opener of the series, the Marlins won 4-1 yesterday and can pull within five games of New York with a win today. Considering they have a weekend series with Metropolitans on the horizon, tonight's contest means a little more to the Fish than to Grandpa Cox & Co.

        Pick: Marlins


        Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (-120, 9 1/2)

        Yesterday was absolutely demoralizing for the Yankees and basically sealed their playoff fate. The Red Sox seem to play off the emotion of a series more so than any other team and should be psyched for a sweep. Considering they have laid the lumber to Mike Mussina in his three starts this season (5.52 ERA while hitting .333), look for the confident Bo Sox to jump out early with two of Mussina's nemeses at the top of the order in Ellsbury and Pedroia (.500 for their career against Moose). As for Beantown's favorite, Jon Lester (12-5, 3.49), his club always seems to put up a nice tally when he toes the rubber, not to mention he's been lights-out this season facing the Bronx Bombers. In two starts against the division rival, Lester is 2-0 with 1.13 ERA. While some will say Joe Girardi's boys will play with desperation tonight, look for the veteran sluggers to grip their bats a little tighter with the boo-birds awaiting every single out. As for a prediction, Steinbrenner blows-up to the New York media as the confident Red Sox play like the home team in Yankee Stadium tonight.

        Pick: Red Sox

        Comment


        • #19
          MLB
          Short Sheet



          Thursday, August 27th

          National League

          Cincinnati at Houston, 2:05 ET
          Aaron Harang (R) vs. Brandon Backe (R)
          Harang: Cin 2-9 vs. Houston
          Backe: 16-4 TSR at home off a win

          Florida at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
          Anibal Sanchez (R) vs. Charlie Morton (R)
          Sanchez: Fla 52-35 Over righties
          Morton: 0-3 TSR, 10.25 L3 starts

          LA Dodgers at Washington, 7:10 ET
          Clayton Kershaw (L) vs. John Lannan (L)
          Kershaw: LAD 2-10 Away in August
          Lannan: Wash 7-18 at home vs. lefties

          Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 ET WGN
          Cole Hamels (L) vs. Ryan Dempster (R)
          Hamels: Phi 19-14 as underdog of +150 or less
          Dempster: Cubs 2-9 off shutout division win

          American League

          Boston at NY Yankees, 1:05 ET
          Jon Lester (L) vs. Mike Mussina (R)
          Lester: 9-2 TSR as road underdog
          Mussina: 9-1 Over in August

          Toronto at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
          Jesse Litsch (R) vs. Edwin Jackson (R)
          Litsch: 10-1 Under away when the total is 9 to 9.5
          Jackson: TB 10-4 against Toronto

          Minnesota at Oakland, 10:05 ET
          Nick Blackburn (R) vs. Dana Eveland (L)
          Blackburn: MIN 34-16 as a favorite
          Eveland: OAK 16-35 in second half

          Texas at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
          Brandon McCarthy (R) vs. Jon Garland (R)
          McCarthy: 11-1 Under as a road underdog of +125 to +175
          Garland: 15-5 Under as a home favorite

          ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

          Comment


          • #20
            MLB


            Thursday, August 28


            Updated

            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Tips and Trends
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs [WGN | 8:05 PM ET]

            Phillies: Cole Hamels has emerged victorious in his last two starts, allowing just three runs over 15 innings. Hamels has been tough on the road this season, going 5-2 with a 3.40 ERA. Hamels has been extremely consistent over his last 10 starts, allowing three runs or less eight times. However, because of little run support from the Phillies offense, Hamels has only recorded three wins over that span. The UNDER is 4-1 in Hamels last five road starts.

            Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall.
            The UNDER is 9-1 in Philadelphia's last 10 Thursday games.

            Key Injuries - OF Geoff Jenkins (.246; hip) is on the 15-day DL.

            PROJECTED SCORE: 4

            Cubs (-145): Ryan Dempster has won three consecutive starts, and he?s been a machine in his last 10 outings, giving up more than two runs just once. Overall, the Cubs are 7-3 the last 10 times Dempster has taken the mound. He?s also almost unbeatable at home, going 12-2 with an impressive 2.66 ERA. Despite his strong efforts, the OVER has cashed in each of Dempster?s last two starts.

            Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games overall.
            The UNDER is 8-3-2 in the last 13 meetings at Chicago.

            Key Injuries - NONE

            PROJECTED SCORE: 5

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            • #21
              CFL


              Week 10


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              ATS Previews and Picks
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              One of the best kept secrets in football is the CFL Labor Day Classic games, as these are the Canadian Football League's most popular double-header matches of the year and they carry many memories to long living CFL fans. Week 10 will kick off in Montreal with the Lions travelling to face the surging Alouettes. On Sunday, the Winnipeg Blue Bombers travel to Mosaaic Stadium for a showdown with the first place Roughriders. Then on Labor Day Monday, the Edmonton Eskimos and Calgary Stampeders will headline the Game of the Week; as both teams are 5-3 SU and depending on the Roughriders outcome on Sunday, could be sharing the top spot in the west with Saskatchewan. Finally, the other game on Monday is the showdown in Steel town, the 3-5 SU Argonauts travel down the QEW to face the 2-6 SU Tiger Cats. Both games on Monday will have plenty of energy in the stands and should deliver great memories. Enjoy the Classic CFL fans!

              BC Lions (58.5) vs. Montreal (-4)

              Lions vs. Alouettes History: The Lions are 10-3-0 (ATS), 3-10 (SU) and the O/U is 7-6-0 since 1996 in Montreal.

              The BC Lions have been in some ways the Argos of the West at 4-4 SU on the season. In fact, when you look at it from an "us and them" situation, they have a QB controversy with Jarious Jackson and Buck Pierce. The Lions don't have an established running game and this Logan or Joe Smith situation smells like "what the hell is this all about?" Seriously, Joe Smith was a dominating factor for the Lions last season, why has he fallen in Wally's dog house? The defense is probably a touch better then the older looking Argos and the kicking game is a coin flip. However, the Lions are in a tougher division and the teams ahead of them are playing consistent football. In fact, the Lions can easily be a 6-2 SU football team, but they need more consistency at the QB position. The Lions are coming off a tough 32-29 lost toe the Stampeders and have allowed 35 points against in their last 3 games. All of the Lions last 4 games have gone OVER the total and they average 28 points for on the road this season. Montreal on the other hand, must be considered the current favorites to represent in the East for the Grey Cup. The Alouettes are doing everything right these days and head coach Marc Trestman must be given a ton of credit for getting this team back on track. The Alouettes were always a power house offense with Calvillo at the helm, but it's their defense which deserves the credit for helping this team gets to the top in the East. They?ve only allowed 19 points against in their last 3 games and have been solid on the road in their last 2 wins. Montreal is on a 3 game winning streak, but will have a tough task vs. a Lions team who will be looking to stay out of the losing column. From a point spread point of view, the Lions are 11-0-1 ATS on the road in August vs. a non-division opponent and that's going back to 1996. Another tough stat going against BC, Montreal is 14-2 SU at home in August during Week 8 to 12 of a CFL season. When it's all said and done, I believe this game will be decided by a big play on special teams and look for a long punt return or a missed field goal return for a TD to be the main reason for the win!

              forecast: Montreal 29 BC Lions 18

              Stat of the Game: When MONTREAL team played as Home team as a Favorite -During the month of August -Before a division game; The Alouettes are 11-0 SU in this role since '96.



              Winnipeg (51) vs. Saskatchewan (-3)

              Blue Bombers at Roughriders History: The Bombers are 7-9-0 (ATS), 6-10 (SU) and the O/U is 10-5-1 since 1996 in Saskatchewan.

              What looked like a team that was flirting with perfection through six week is now a team who will face their biggest game of the year and here's the reason why I'm stating this fact. When the Riders lost their first game of the year 30-25 to Calgary a few weeks back, it was a close game that could have went either way. However, they got man handled last week in Edmonton 27-10 and lost by 17 points. Now, this third game will be major challenge for the boys from Regina on how this story plays out the rest of the year. If the Riders win in a convincible fashion, they are for real and just went through a hiccup stage the last few weeks. However, if they lose and lose bad, then it's the law of averages taking care of business on the back side. The Bombers remind me of a dysfunctional family who have all the right pieces to the puzzle, but can't find the corner pieces to lay the foundation. Winnipeg is only as good as when Charles Robert is playing dominating football, and he's yet to find his form this season. In the meantime, it's the QB position who is accepting all the mud being slung their way. Until Roberts gets his act together, the QB position will be the person getting all the blamed or all the glory for wins and loses. The Bombers have a chance to start a good streak in the second half of the season and be the Argos of the 2007 season. Winnipeg won 37-29 last week to Hamilton and is coming off a 2 game home stand. If you?re thinking this game might be decided by defenses, there's a good chance you are right! The UNDER is 8-2-0 for Winnipeg when they are a road team after a division game and the total is between 49.5 and 51.0. However, if you're backing up the Riders this Sunday, they are 7-3 SU and 6-4-0 ATS as a Home Favorite during Week 8 to 12 vs. these same Bombers. Defense will be the story of this game in my view.

              forecast: Saskatchewan 19 Winnipeg 17

              Stat of the Game: When ANY CFL Team played as a Road team -Before a non division game - Coming off a 2 game Home stand - Allowed scored 24 points or less against - Coming off a game scored 35 points or more; The UNDER is 12-6-0 for the Road Team in this position.



              Edmonton (57) vs. Calgary (-5.5)

              Eskimos at Stampeders History: The Eskimos are 9-14-0 (ATS), 10-13 (SU) and the O/U is 8-15-0 since 1996 in Calgary.

              What a great way to start the Labor Day classics with a good old fashion shootout at the Calgary "ok coral"! The Eskimos and Stampeders could switch players and you wouldn't know the difference, that's how identical these two Alberta teams have been this season. Both teams are 5-3 SU on the season and both are averaging 32 Points For on offense this year. However, the Stampeders have been the better defensive team and the kicking game is pretty much a coin toss too with DeAngelis and Prefontaine having great seasons! Edmonton is coming off a nice butt kicking last week, as they smoked the Roughriders 27-10 at home, but when an away underdog has allowed 10 points or less in their last game, they are only 19-35 SU in their next game. Therefore, this will be a big statement game for Ricky Ray and the Eskimos to prove they are true contenders of the Western Division and look for Henry Burris to outshine Ricky Ray on Monday. Calgary is coming of an emotional road win in BC, where they scored in the last minute of the game to steal a win. The last two games for the Stamps have gone OVER the total and expect another sell out at McMahon Stadium in this "Battle of Alberta" on Monday. Another betting angle that supports the Stampeders; the Eskimos are only 4-11 SU as a +3.5 to +6.5 point underdog vs. a division foe and they are coming off a division opponent. Plus, here's a CFL trend that goes back to 1996 that supports the Stamps this week; when any CFL team is a Home Favorite during a Monday game in September, they are 12-3 SU in this betting spot. I see this being a classic shootout game, but Calgary and the home crowd goes home happy! But not ATS Happy?

              forecast: Calgary 31 Edmonton 30

              Stat of the Game: When ANY CFL Team played as Home team as a Favorite -During the month of September -Before a conference game -During Week 8 to 12 - Allowed scored 30 points or less against; The Home Fave is 10-2 SU in this position since '96.



              Toronto (54.5) vs. Hamilton (-3)

              Argonauts vs. Tiger Cats History: The Argos are 11-11-1 (ATS), 12-10-1 (SU) and the O/U is 10-13-0 since 1996 in Hamilton.

              Well, this is too easy to start ripping the Argos and where they went wrong from training camp to where they are at today. If anything, I'm very disappointed in Michael "Pinball" Clemons for letting Rich Stubbler take most of the heat for the Argos struggle this season. Let's focus on the main reason why the Argos are in this 3-5 SU situation and it starts with leadership. Who is the leader on this team? The defense is getting old, some veteran players don't have the football speed to attack the holes, and they can't establish a running game on offense and nobody knows for sure who?s calling the offense. I'm a handicapper and I can see this from my living room, which makes me wonder what the hell they do all week in practice? The Bishop thing was a given and should have been rectified weeks ago, but you can't be averaging 18 Points For on offense and expect to win football games in a pass happy league like the CFL. The Argos are coming off a 32-14 lost to Montreal and they'll be facing a Hamilton team who are loose, but will be keeping a close eye on Casey Printers who's coming back from a thumb injury. I think this is a marketing move by the Tiger Cats, because Richie Williams is the real deal and I haven't seen a Tiger Cats offense score so many points in 3 consecutive games since the Danny Mac days. Hamilton has been averaging 34 points per game in their last 3 outings, but they still need to find a way to tighten it up on defense, because 32.67 Points Against in their last 3 games is the main reason why they are not 3-0 in their last 3 games. Well, when it rain it pours as they say and here's more ammunition for the media to beat up Toronto; the Argos are in a horrible position on Monday, they are 1-11 SU as a Road Underdog vs. division foes during Week 8-12 of a CFL season. Hamilton on the other hand are perfect in September as a home favorite during week 8 to 10; like 9-0-1 SU perfect since '96. The bookmakers have this number right, I like the Tabbies to win by a field goal!

              forecast: Hamilton 27 Toronto 24

              Stat of the Game: When ANY CFL team played as Road team as a Underdog -During the month of September - Allowed score 31 points or more against; The Road Dog is 8-25 SU in this role since 1996.

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