Monday Trends and Indexes 8/25

[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet


Monday, August 25th

National League

Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
Ted Lilly (L) vs. Jeff Karstens (R)
Lilly: CHC 66-31 as a favorite of -110 or higher
Karstens: PIT 8-25 as a home underdog of +125 or more

LA Dodgers at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET ESPN
Chad Billingsley (R) vs. Brett Myers (R)
Billingsley: Dodgers 77-55 when the total is 8 to 8.5
Myers: PHI 1-10 when the money line is -100 to -150

Houston at NY Mets, 7:05 ET
Brian Moehler (R) vs. Mike Pelfrey (R)
Moehler: 8-1 TSR after a team win
Pelfrey: NYM 3-10 when playing on Monday

Arizona at San Diego, 10:05 ET
Dan Haren (R) vs. Jake Peavy (R)
Haren: ARI 10-0 when the total is 7 or less
Peavy: SD 23-51 as an underdog of +100 or higher

Colorado at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Jeff Francis (L) vs. Matt Cain (R)
Francis: 14-9 TSR as an underdog of +100 or higher
Cain: 7-15 TSR after a team win

American League

Chicago White Sox at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Clayton Richard (L) vs. Chris Waters (L)
Richard: CHW 46-22 as a favorite of -110 or higher
Waters: Bal 6-19 at home in August

Cleveland at Detroit, 7:05 ET
Zach Jackson (L) vs. Armando Galarraga (R)
Jackson: Cle 11-3 AWAY on Monday
Galarraga: DET 20-31 in August

Texas at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Scott Feldman (R) vs. Gil Meche (R)
Feldman: TEX 18-32 AWAY when the money line is +125 to -125
Meche: 8-2 TSR in the second half

Oakland at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Dallas Braden (L) vs. Jered Weaver (R)
Braden: OAK 14-34 in second half
Weaver: Angels 30-16 in second half

Minnesota at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Francisco Liriano (L) vs. Miguel Batista (R)
Liriano: MIN 2-13 AWAY on Monday
Batista: 31-26 TSR as an underdog of +100 or higher

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

MLB


Monday, August 25


Updated
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Tips and Trends
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Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies [ESPN2 | 7:05 PM ET]

Dodgers: Chad Billingsley has been very consistent over his last 10 starts, only losing twice and allowing more than three runs once over that span. Billingsley is only 4-5 on the road this season, yet his ERA is a sparkling 2.91 in 12 starts away from home. Billingsley has faced the Phillies twice in his career, going 1-0 with a 3.75 ERA. The UNDER is 5-2 in Billingsley's last seven starts.

Dodgers are 2-9 in their last 11 road games.
The UNDER is 10-5-2 in the last 17 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4 (Side Play of the Day)

Phillies (-115, O/U 8.5): Brett Myers has been phenomenal over his last six starts, allowing just nine runs in his 42 innings of work. Myers was dominant his last time out against the Nationals, pitching a complete game shutout. In 10 career starts versus the Dodgers, Myers is 3-2 with a strong 2.86 ERA. Dodger hitters are only batting .217 against Myers in those 10 games. The UNDER is 4-0-1 in Myers? last five starts.

Phillies are 3-6 in the last 9 meetings.
The UNDER is 9-1-1 in Philadelphia's last 11 home games.

Key Injuries - OF Pat Burrell (.268; rest) is expected to return.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3



Houston Astros at New York Mets [7:10 PM ET]

Astros: Brian Moehler is 4-0 with one no-decision in his last five starts. During that stretch, Moehler has only allowed eight runs over 31.1 innings pitched. Moehler has been tough on the road this season, going 5-2 with a 3.44 ERA. He?s only 2-4 in his career versus the Mets but his ERA is a strong 3.03. In Moehler?s last five starts, the UNDER is 4-1.

Astros are 19-8 in their last 27 games overall.
The UNDER is 8-0-1 in Moehler's last 9 road starts..

Key Injuries - 2B Kaz Matsui (.285; back) is on the 15-day DL.
OF Carlos Lee (.314; finger) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 2 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Mets (-240, O/U 8.5): After a couple of poor showings, Mike Pelfrey has gotten back on track in his last two starts, going 2-0 and allowing just three runs over 16 innings. Pelfrey has pitched really well at Shea Stadium this year, compiling a 7-5 record to go along with an ERA of 2.83. However, he?s had a tough time against Houston. In three starts versus the Astros, Pelfrey is 1-2 with a lofty 6.32 ERA. The OVER is 3-1-1 in his last five starts.

Mets are 2-10 in their last 12 Monday games.
The OVER is 7-1-2 in New York's last 10 Monday games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4



Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels [10:05 PM ET]

A's: Dallas Braden is making his seventh start of the season for Oakland after putting up a solid performance in each of his last three outings. Braden has allowed nine runs in his last 20 innings of work. In four starts on the road this year, Braden is 2-2 with an ERA of 4.66. In his two career relief appearances against the Mariners, Braden gave up two runs in two innings pitched. The UNDER is 4-2 in Braden?s six starts.

A's are 6-21 in their last 27 games overall.
A's are 7-22 in their last 29 road games.

Key Injuries - OF Ryan Sweeney (.283; thumb) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Angels (-230, O/U 8): Jered Weaver has received a no-decision in his last two starts after allowing five runs over 11.1 innings. The Angels split those two games and are 6-4 overall in Weaver's last 10 starts. Weaver has experienced a lot of success against Oakland. In five career starts versus the A?s, he?s 2-1 with a stellar 2.76 ERA. The OVER is 3-1-1 in Weaver's last five starts.

Angels are 16-6 in their last 22 home games.
The OVER is 7-2-1 in LA's last 10 home games.

Key Injuries - 3B Maicer Izturis (.269; thumb) is OUT for the season.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

[Udog]

The view from PM's seat at Wrigley on Sunday.