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  • #16
    Major League Baseball - Tips & Trends

    MLB


    Friday, June 27

    Updated

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    Tips and Trends
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    Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox [WGN | 4:05 PM ET]

    Cubs: With Carlos Zambrano on the mend, Ryan Dempster takes over as the Cubs ace for the time being and the honor is well deserved. Dempster is 9-2 on the season and hasn't lost a decision since May 20. Dempster has been phenomenal in his last six outings, allowing just 11 runs in his last 39.1 innings of work. Dempster's two losses have come on the road this season, although he does possesses an ERA of 2.48 in six starts.

    Cubs are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.
    The UNDER is 14-4-2 in Chicago's last 20 Friday games.

    Key Injuries - OF Kosuke Fukudome (.299; calf) is questionable.
    OF Reed Johnson (.271; back) is on the 15-day DL.
    OF Alfonso Soriano (.283; broken hand) is out at least 6 weeks.

    PROJECTED SCORE: 3

    White Sox (-110, O/U 8.5): Jose Contreras has been hammered over his last three starts. In just 16 innings on the mound, Contreras gave up an unacceptable 30 hits and 19 runs. He's been good at home on the year, sporting a 3.04 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in seven starts. He's allowed just eight runs in his last four starts at home. Surprisingly, the UNDER is the way to go when Contreras pitches. The UNDER is 8-2 in his last 10 starts.

    White Sox are 12-2 in their last 14 home games.
    The UNDER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings at U.S. Cellular Field.

    Key Injuries - 1B Paul Konerko (.215; oblique) is on the 15-day DL.

    PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)



    Philadelphia Phillies at Texas Rangers [8:05 PM ET]

    Phillies (-115, O/U 10.5): Phillies fans must cringe every time Brett Myers takes the mound. They are just 1-9 overall in his last 10 starts and that includes four straight losses. Myers has been absolutely blistered in his last three starts, giving up 15 runs in just 19 innings pitched. Philadelphia has had no chance in Myers' road starts this year. He's 0-6 with a 7.54 ERA in eight starts away from home. Even worse, teams are hitting a robust .345 against him over that stretch.

    Phillies are 1-7 in their last 8 games overall.
    The UNDER is 6-0 in Philadelphia's last 6 games overall.

    Key Injuries - NONE

    PROJECTED SCORE: 7 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

    Rangers: Kason Gabbard hasn't pitched great in his two starts since coming off the DL but he's managed to come up with a split in games against the Mets and Nationals. This will be Gabbard's first start at home since May 18, where he has an ERA of 5.63 in three appearances this season. The OVER is 7-4 in Gabbard's 11 starts this season and has cashed in two of his three outings at home.

    Rangers are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague home games.
    The OVER is 7-2 in Texas' last 9 games as a home underdog.

    Key Injuries - OF Josh Hamilton (.312; knee) is expected to play.
    OF Milton Bradley (.330; quad) is expected to play.
    C Gerald Laird (.306; hamstring) is on the 15-day DL.

    PROJECTED SCORE: 6



    Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros [NESN | 8:05 PM ET]

    Red Sox (-160, O/U 9.5): Daisuke Matsuzaka was a perfect 8-0 before going on the DL but he was anything but perfect in his first start back against the Cardinals. He lasted just one inning versus St. Louis, allowing an alarming seven runs. The Red Sox will be looking for a much better effort out of Dice-K this time around. Matsuzaka is still unbeaten on the road with a record of 3-0 to go along with a 2.60 ERA. Two of Dice-K's last three starts have easily gone OVER the total.

    Red Sox are 51-14 in their last 65 interleague games.
    The OVER is 17-8-3 in Boston's last 28 Friday games.

    Key Injuries - DH David Ortiz (.252; hand) is on the 15-day DL.
    RP Mike Timlin (3-3; knee) is on the 15-day DL).

    PROJECTED SCORE: 6

    Astros: Now that Shawn Chacon is on a permanent vacation for beating up Houston's GM, Runelvys Hernandez gets his turn in the Astros rotation. Hernandez was called up from Class AAA Round Rock to face the Red Sox tonight but his spot in the rotation is far from secure. Hernandez gets his chance to prove he belongs for a Houston pitching staff in disarray right now. Hernandez was 6-3 with 3.72 ERA in 15 starts at Round Rock. This will be Hernandez's first appearance in the major leagues since 2006.

    Astros are 1-7 in their last 8 games following a win.
    Astros are 3-14 in their last 17 games as an underdog.

    Key Injuries - NONE

    PROJECTED SCORE: 4



    Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers [10:40 PM ET]

    Angels (-130, O/U 8): After a rough start against Tampa, Joe Saunders has put forth two strong efforts in a row, allowing just two runs in wins over Atlanta and Philadelphia. Saunders has been money on the road this season where he's 6-1 with a spectacular 1.89 ERA. In his one career start versus the Dodgers, Saunders got the win after giving up two runs over 7.1 innings of work. The UNDER is 7-3 in the last 10 games Saunders has started.

    Angels are 10-2 in their last 12 road games.
    The UNDER is 8-1 in LA's last 9 Friday games.

    Key Injuries - 3B Maicer Izturis (.266; hamstring) is day-to-day.
    OF Vladimir Guerrero (.290; flu) is day-to-day.

    PROJECTED SCORE: 5

    Dodgers: Chan Ho Park gets his second straight start after replacing Hiroki Kuroda in the Dodgers rotation. Park was sharp in his outing against the Indians but took a no-decision after allowing just one run in five innings. This will be Park's third start of the year in spot duty, although seeing that he's allowed just three runs in his other two appearances, he could be positioning himself for an extended stay in LA's rotation.

    Dodgers are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings.
    Dodgers are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague home games.

    Key Injuries - NONE

    PROJECTED SCORE: 3

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    Comment


    • #17
      MLB


      Friday, June 27


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      MLB Database Trends
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      Today's Baseball Pick
      Minnesota PK -125 over Milwaukee
      Keys to selection: When MINNESOTA played as a home team - During Last 5 Years - With SU Record of 7 Win 0 Lost in L7G; The Twins are 9-1 SU in this role L5Y.
      Baseball Streakers

      Who?s Hot: Minnesota 9 SU Wins, Kansas City 5 SU Wins, Tampa Bay 3 SU Wins.
      Who?s Not: San Diego 5 SU Losses, Florida 4 SU Losses, Colorado 4 SU Losses.
      O/U Streaks: Baltimore 4 Over, Pittsburgh 4 Over, Washington 3 Over, Chicago Cubs 3 Over, Philadelphia 6 Under, Chicago White Sox 4 Under, Cleveland 4 Under, Los Angeles Dodgers 4 Under, Oakland 3 Under, Atlanta 3 Under , Milwaukee 3 Under , San Francisco 3 Under.
      Today?s Stats and Trends

      Arizona vs. Florida: When FLORIDA team played as a -100 to -120 home Favorite - During the month of June - 1st game of a series; The Marlins are 8-2 SU in this spot.

      Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: When CHICAGO CUBS team played as a Road team - After a non division game - Playing on Friday - Coming off a series loss - Coming off a 1 game loss; The Cubs are 1-9 SU in this role.

      Cincinnati vs. Cleveland: When CINCINNATI team played as a road team - Vs. Left handed pitchers - During the 2008 season; The OVER is 12-5-0 for the Reds in this spot.

      Colorado vs. Detroit: When COLORADO team Played as road team as a Underdog - During the month of June - Playing on Friday; The Rockies are 5-15 SU in this situation.

      Atlanta vs. Toronto: When ATLANTA team played as a Road team - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a 1 game win - Coming off a series win; The OVER is 11-3-0 for the Braves in this spot since ?97.

      Tampa Bay vs. Pittsburgh: When PITTSBURGH team Played as home team as a Underdog - Vs. Left handed pitchers - During the month of June; The Pirates are 3-13 SU in this situation since ?01.

      New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: When NY YANKEES team played as a 100 to 120 road Underdog - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Total is 9.5; The Yankees are 3-7 SU in this situation.

      Baltimore vs. Washington: When WASHINGTON team played as a Home team - Before a non division game - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off a night game - Coming off a 3 game over; The OVER is 12-4-1 for the Nats in this spot.

      Boston vs. Houston: When BOSTON team Played as road team as a Favorite - Total is 9.5 - Playing on Friday; The Red Sox are 12-5 SU in this situation.

      Philadelphia vs. Texas: When PHILADELPHIA team played as a Road team - After a non division game - Coming off vs. American League opponent - Coming off a day game - Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series; The Phillies are 2-11 SU in this position.

      St.Louis vs. Kansas City: When ST LOUIS team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs. Right handed pitchers - During a night game - Coming off a 1 run lost - Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series; The OVER is 9-2-0 for the Cardinals in this role.

      Milwaukee vs. Minnesota: When MINNESOTA team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 5 years - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off 1 under - Coming off a 1 run win; The Twins are 9-2 SU in this position the L5Y.

      San Francisco vs. Oakland: When OAKLAND team played as a Home team - Vs Non Conference Opponent - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Coming off a day game; The A?s are 10-0 SU in this situation since ?97.

      Seattle vs. San Diego: When SAN DIEGO team Played as home team as a Favorite - During a night game - Vs AL WEST opponent; The Padres are 4-12 SU in this role as a home favorite.

      Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team Played as road team as a Favorite - Playing on Friday - With 1 day off; The Angels are 8-2 SU in this situation.

      Comment


      • #18
        MLB
        Short Sheet



        Friday, June 27th

        Arizona at Florida, 7:10 ET
        Micah Owings (R) vs. Ricky Nolasco (L)
        Owings: ARI 3-16 revenging 2 straight losses where team scored 2 or less runs
        Nolasco: FLA 31-20 when the total is 9 to 9.5

        Interleague Play

        Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox, 4:05 ET WGN
        Ryan Dempster (R) vs. Jose Contreras (R)
        Dempster: 36-16 TSR when the money line is -100 to -150
        Contreras: CHW 12-25 at Home revenging a 3 game sweep

        Cincinnati at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
        Daryl Thompson (R) vs. C.C. Sabathia (L)
        Thompson: CIN 39-24 when playing on Friday
        Sabathia: CLE 11-17 at home when the total is 8.5 to 10

        Colorado at Detroit, 7:05 ET
        Ubaldo Jimenez (R) vs. Eddie Bonine (R)
        Jimenez: 4-12 TSR in all games
        Bonine: DET 24-9 in interleague play

        Atlanta at Toronto, 7:05 ET
        Jair Jurrjens (R) vs. Dustin McGowan (R)
        Jurrjens: ATL 13-4 AWAY when playing on Friday
        McGowan: 8-20 TSR in night games

        Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
        Scott Kazmir (L) vs. Jimmy Barthmaier (R)
        Kazmir: TB 13-1 as a favorite of -150 or more
        Barthmaier: PIT 13-1 OVER as an underdog of +150 or more

        NY Yankees at NY Mets, 8:10 ET Game Two
        Sidney Ponson (R) vs. Pedro Martinez (R)
        Ponson: NYY 31-15 when the total is 9 to 9.5
        Martinez: 6-12 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest

        Baltimore at Washington, 7:35 ET
        Daniel Cabrera (R) vs. Odalis Perez (L)
        Cabrera: 1-12 TSR AWAY after a team win
        Perez: WAS 41-24 against AL East

        Boston at Houston, 8:05 ET
        Daisuke Matsuzaka (R) vs. Runelvys Hernandez (R)
        Matsuzaka: BOS 26-6 as a favorite of -125 to -175
        Hernandez: HOU 12-3 UNDER as an underdog of +150 or more

        Philadelphia at Texas, 8:05 ET
        Brett Myers (R) vs. Kason Gabbard (L)
        Myers: 2-11 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher
        Gabbard: 7-0 TSR in night games

        St. Louis at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
        Joel Pineiro (R) vs. Gil Meche (R)
        Pineiro: STL 6-0 AWAY after scoring 2 runs or less
        Meche: KC 20-9 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10

        Milwaukee at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
        Seth McClung (R) vs. Nick Blackburn (R)
        McClung: MIL 16-31 as a road underdog of +100 to +125
        Blackburn: MIN 10-0 after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent

        San Francisco at Oakland, 10:05 ET
        Kevin Correia (R) vs. Dana Eveland (L)
        Correia: SF 20-8 UNDER revenging 2 straight home losses
        Eveland: OAK 10-2 after shutting out their opponent

        Seattle at San Diego, 10:05 ET
        Jarrod Washburn (R) vs. Randy Wolf (R)
        Washburn: SEA 20-7 against NL West opponents
        Wolf: SD 3-11 after a one run loss

        LA Angels at LA Dodgers, 10:40 ET
        Joe Saunders (L) vs. Chan Ho Park (R)
        Saunders: LAA 9-0 after a one run loss
        Park: LAD 8-15 after scoring 1 run or less

        Write In Game

        NY Mets at NY Yankees, 2:05 ET Game One
        Mike Pelfrey (R) vs. Dan Giese (R)
        Pelfrey: 2-11 TSR after a team win
        Giese: NYY 25-5 after scoring DD runs

        ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

        Comment


        • #19
          Orioles recall Fahey, option Salazar
          Washington, DC (Sports Network) - The Baltimore Orioles recalled infielder Brandon Fahey from Triple-A Norfolk and optioned fellow infielder Oscar Salazar to Norfolk.

          The 27-year-old Fahey hit .200 (5-25) in 15 games with the O's in April.

          Salazar was hitting .235 (4-17) with two home runs and four RBI for Baltimore after his contract was purchased from Norfolk on June 10.


          06/27 16:59:09 ET


          Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

          Comment


          • #20
            AFL
            Write-Up



            Arena Football Playoff Analysis; Opening Week

            New York (8-8) @ Dallas (12-4)--Dragons lost here 51-49 just a couple weeks ago (+6); New York is 2-2 as road dog this year, 3-5 SU away from home, with losses by 12-21-29-2-2 pts. Under is 10-5 in last 15 Dragon games. Dallas was 7-0 at its bye, then stumbled to 5-4 finish- they're 1-4-1 in last six as home favorite.

            Colorado (6-10) @ Utah (6-10)-- Utah started season 0-9, winds up with home game in playoffs; go figure. they lost 70-49 (-1.5) at home to Colorado in Week 5, then crushed the Crush 71-36 in Denver in Week 11 (-1.5). Blaze won six of last seven games, with last four staying under total. Colorado won last two tilts.

            Orlando (9-7) @ Cleveland (9-7)-- Big advantage for Orlando, as they had the Week 17 bye and had last week off. Predators lost 62-43 in Week 11 at Cleveland (-3); they're 4-4 on road, and 1-5 vs spread in last six games overall. Four of last five Orlando games went over total. Cleveland won four of last five at home.

            Grand Rapids (6-10) @ Arizona (8-8)-- Rampage lost 52-48 (+1) in Phoenix in Week 13, but they won last three games to get to this spot, scoring 84-63-86 points- they're 0-10 if they score 56 or less points, 6-0 if they score 63+. Rattlers lost last two tilts, both at home- they're just 3-5 at home this year. Seven of last nine Arizona games went over the total.

            Comment

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