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Friday Trends and Indexes 06/20

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  • #16
    MLB

    Friday, June 20


    Update

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Tips and Trends
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs [WGN | 2:20 PM ET]

    White Sox: John Danks takes to the road where he is 2-1 on the year with a fantastic 1.72 ERA in six starts. Danks has one win and three no-decisions in his last four outings, although the White Sox have emerged victorious in three of those games. In his last 10 starts overall, Danks has allowed two runs or less an impressive eight times. The UNDER is 5-1 in Danks' six road starts this season.

    White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague games.
    The OVER is 7-1 in Chicago's last 8 games following a win.

    Key Injuries - NONE

    PROJECTED SCORE: 4

    Cubs (-130, O/U 9.5): Ted Lilly has pitched well for the Cubs in his last 10 starts, going 6-2 with four no-decisions. Lilly is currently riding a two-game winning streak, allowing just five hits and three runs over his last 12.2 innings of work. Lilly is 4-2 at Wrigley Field but strong run support has helped offset his 5.03 home ERA. You can expect to see a lot of runs scored when Lilly is on the mound. The OVER is 7-3 in his last 10 starts.

    Cubs are 11-0 in their last 11 home games.
    The UNDER is 4-1 in Chicago's last 5 home games.

    Key Injuries - OF Alfonso Soriano (.283; broken hand) is out at least 6 weeks.

    PROJECTED SCORE: 5



    Los Angeles Angels at Philadelphia Phillies [7:05 PM ET]

    Angels: Ervin Santana has cooled off some after a red-hot start to the season. The Angels are just 2-5 in Santana's last seven starts. In three of those games he pitched well, allowing just two runs each time out. However, he's been battered in the other four, giving up 19 runs in 23.1 innings pitched. Santana has been surprisingly strong on the road this year, going 5-1 with a 3.50 ERA. The UNDER has a slight 6-4 advantage in Santana's last 10 starts.

    The UNDER is 7-1 in LA's last 8 Friday games.
    The UNDER is 14-5-2 in LA's last 21 road games.

    Key Injuries - RP Chris Bootcheck (0-1; shoulder) is on the 15-day DL.

    PROJECTED SCORE: 3 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

    Phillies (-120, O/U 9.5): Adam Eaton is only 2-4 on the season but he's been solid in each of his last four outings. Over his last 25.1 innings of work, Eaton has allowed just eight runs, leading the Phillies to a 3-1 record over that span. Eaton has been much more effective at home where he's 2-1 with an ERA of 3.89. While his overall ERA is on the high side (4.57), the UNDER is 7-3 the last 10 times Eaton has taken the mound.

    Phillies are 18-5 in their last 23 Friday games.
    The OVER is 8-2 in Philadelphia's last 10 interleague games.

    Key Injuries - NONE

    PROJECTED SCORE: 5



    Detroit Tigers at San Diego Padres [10:05 PM ET]

    Tigers: Eddie Bonine gets his second start of the season and the Detroit faithful are hoping it goes much better than his debate against the Dodgers did. Bonine got the win thanks to the Tigers scoring 12 runs but he was far from impressive, allowing six runs in 5.1 innings. Before being called up from the minors, Bonine was 24-7 with the Erie Sea Wolves and Toledo Mud Hens. He was 9-2 with Toledo this season but his ERA was an unimpressive 4.48.

    Tigers are 8-1 in their last 9 games overall.
    The UNDER is 8-1 in Detroit's last 9 interleague road games.

    Key Injuries - NONE

    PROJECTED SCORE: 2

    Padres (-125, O/U 8.5): No one has benefited more from pitcher friendly Petco Park than wily veteran Greg Maddux. While Maddux is just 1-0 in seven appearances at Petco this year, he has a spectacular 1.70 ERA. However, the Padres have managed to go just 4-3 in those games, despite Maddux putting up strong performances. The OVER is 4-1 the last four times Maddux has taken the hill.

    Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.
    Padres are 2-8 in their last 10 interleague home games.

    Key Injuries - 2B Tadahito Iguchi (.259; shoulder) is on the 15-day DL.

    PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (Side Play of the Day)



    Cleveland Indians at Los Angeles Dodgers [10:40 PM ET]

    Indians: Cliff Lee brings his 10-1 record West to take on the Dodgers. Lee had a four-game winning streak snapped his last time out against the Padres, taking a no-decision in an 8-3 Cleveland loss. In his last 10 starts, Lee has allowed two runs or less six times. The key to Lee's success has been control. He has given out just 14 walks compared to 76 strikeouts this season. Surprisingly, the OVER has cashed easily in each of Lee's last three starts.

    Indians are 2-8 in their last 10 interleague games.
    Indians are 5-16 in their last 21 road games.

    Key Injuries - C Victor Martinez (.278; elbow surgery) is out 6-8 weeks.

    PROJECTED SCORE: 3

    Dodgers (-115, O/U 8): Clayton Kershaw is 0-1 with a 3.75 ERA in his five starts this season. Kershaw hasn't gone deep into games but he's given the Dodgers a shot to win each time out, allowing two runs or less in four of his starts. Walks have been a bit of a problem for the rookie. He's given out 15 free passes in just 24 innings of work. The UNDER is 2-0 in Kershaw's two starts at Dodger Stadium this season.

    The UNDER is 11-2 in LA's last 13 games as a favorite.
    The UNDER is 9-3 in LA's last 12 home games.

    Key Injuries - NONE

    PROJECTED SCORE: 4

    Comment


    • #17
      MLB
      Short Sheet



      Friday, June 20th

      National League

      NY Mets at Colorado, 9:05 ET
      John Maine (R) vs. Aaron Cook (R)
      Maine: 7-0 TSR AWAY on Fridays
      Cook: 8-20 at Home following a team win

      Interleague Play

      Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 ET WGN
      John Danks (L) vs. Ted Lilly (L)
      Danks: CHW 60-72 against left-handed starters
      Lilly: CHC 9-1 after BB losses

      Toronto at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
      Roy Halladay (R) vs. Zach Duke (L)
      Halladay: TOR 25-10 after 2 straight one run losses
      Duke: 2-14 TSR when playing on Friday

      St. Louis at Boston, 7:05 ET
      Kyle Lohse (R) vs. Tim Wakefield (R)
      Lohse: STL 15-33 after 2+ consecutive losses
      Wakefield: BOS 19-1 as a home favorite of -125 to -175

      LA Angels at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
      Ervin Santana (R) vs. Adam Eaton (R)
      Santana: LAA 8-0 after a one run loss
      Eaton: 12-1 UNDER 1st half of season

      Cincinnati at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
      Edinson Volquez (R) vs. Mike Mussina (R)
      Volquez: 11-3 TSR in all games
      Mussina: NYY 16-22 when playing on Friday

      Houston at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
      Wandy Rodriguez (L) vs. Matt Garza (R)
      Rodriguez: HOU 1-8 in interleague play
      Garza: TB 9-2 when playing on Friday

      Texas at Washington, 7:35 ET
      Kevin Millwood (R) vs. Tim Redding (R)
      Millwood: TEX 7-20 after a game where their bullpen blew a save
      Redding: 8-0 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150

      Seattle at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
      Erik Bedard (L) vs. Jorge Campillo (R)
      Bedard: SEA 1-13 after BB overs
      Campillo: ATL 23-10 at home when the total is 8.5 to 10

      Baltimore at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
      Radhames Liz (R) vs. Jeff Suppan (R)
      Liz: BAL 96-170 as an underdog of +100 or higher
      Suppan: MIL 11-2 after 3 consecutive interleague games

      Arizona at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
      Randy Johnson (L) vs. Scott Baker (R)
      Johnson: 84-61 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10
      Baker: MIN 33-12 in interleague play

      San Francisco at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
      Matt Cain (R) vs. Luke Hochevar (R)
      Cain: 3-13 TSR AWAY when the total is 7 to 8.5
      Hochevar: KC 7-2 in interleague play

      Detroit at San Diego, 10:05 ET
      Eddie Bonine (R) vs. Greg Maddux (R)
      Bonine: SD 2-11 after a one run loss
      Maddux: DET 12-1 after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games

      Florida at Oakland, 10:05 ET
      Mark Hendrickson (L) vs. Rich Harden (R)
      Hendrickson: 9-19 TSR in AWAY games
      Harden: 16-4 TSR as a favorite

      Cleveland at LA Dodgers, 10:40 ET
      Cliff Lee (L) vs. Clayton Kershaw (L)
      Lee: 19-7 TSR when the total is 8 to 8.5
      Kershaw: LAD 0-6 against AL Central opponents

      ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

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