Thursday Trends and Indexes 05/08

[pm530]

MLB


Thursday, May 8

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Trend Sheet
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12:35 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. PITTSBURGH
San Francisco is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco


1:05 PM CLEVELAND vs. NY YANKEES
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees are 19-6 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against Cleveland
NY Yankees are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Cleveland


1:10 PM SAN DIEGO vs. ATLANTA
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


2:05 PM MINNESOTA vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Minnesota is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home
Chi White Sox are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games


3:05 PM ST. LOUIS vs. COLORADO
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
St. Louis is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Colorado is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
Colorado is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home


3:40 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. ARIZONA
Philadelphia is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home


7:05 PM BOSTON vs. DETROIT
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston


7:07 PM TAMPA BAY vs. TORONTO
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games


7:10 PM MILWAUKEE vs. FLORIDA
Milwaukee is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Florida
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


8:05 PM WASHINGTON vs. HOUSTON
Washington is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Houston
Washington is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


8:10 PM BALTIMORE vs. KANSAS CITY
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Kansas City's last 23 games when playing at home against Baltimore


10:10 PM TEXAS vs. SEATTLE
Texas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
Texas is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
Seattle is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games

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[Udog]

NBA


Thursday, May 8


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Pick 'n' Roll: Thursday's best NBA bets
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Cleveland at Boston (-9, 177)

So Game 1 didn't exactly turn into the superstar showcase that everybody expected. LeBron James was held to just 12 points on 2-for-18 shooting, while Boston's Paul Pierce had only four points and Ray Allen was held off the score sheet completely.

It was a weird one, but James still had a chance to tie the game in the final minute and the Cavs easily covered the number. LeBron will bounce back strong in Game 2 and this one should be close down the wire again.

Pick: Cleveland



New Orleans at San Antonio (-6 1/2, 183)

This series is quickly turning into the Chris Paul Show. The New Orleans point guard followed up a solid Game 1 with a spectacular Game 2, dropping 30 points to go along with 12 helpers.

Numbers like that make Hornets coach Byron Scott’s life a lot easier.

"He runs an 'organized playground'," Spurs coach Gregg Popovich told reporters of Scott. "Byron is going to call plays for certain guys to get certain looks, and they do a great job with it, but a good portion of the time, Chris [Paul] takes control with the basketball, and he makes a decision."

Pick: New Orleans

[Udog]

NBA


Thursday, May 8


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THE POWER INDEX
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Boston* 11 over Cleveland
San Antonio* 2.5 over New Orleans

2-0 YESTERDAY

[Udog]

NHL


Thursday, May 8


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Ice picks: Thursday's best NHL bets
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Dallas at Detroit (-200, 5)

The Red Wings seem to have everything going for them as this series for the Western Conference championship gets underway. They are the higher seed, they're more rested, and they dominated the Stars in the season series, winning three of four games.

Game 1 will be played in Joe Louis Arena where the Wings are almost unbeatable and where the Stars have only won once in the last two years.

Starting to get the idea? Essentially Dallas is heading to Detroit like lambs to the slaughter.

Basically, the only chance the Stars have of winning Game 1, as they come off a hard-fought and emotional quadruple-overtime win against San Jose Monday night, is if Marty Turco shuts down the Detroit snipers. If he continues playing the way he has been throughout the playoffs, it's perfectly reasonable to believe he will keep the Wings off the scoreboard. He's got a 1.73 goals-against average and he's coming off an amazing performance on Monday in which he faced 62 shots and allowed only one goal.

However, the Wings have a goalie who's been just as good. As impressive as Turco has been, Detroit's Chris Osgood has a better save percentage, a better goals-against average and more shutouts.

It wouldn't be surprising to see a low-scoring game as the Red Wings attempt to regain their rhythm after a full week off and Dallas tries to shake off the bumps and bruises acquired in the previous series.

Pick: Red Wings + Under

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel


Tampa Bay at Toronto
The Blue Jays have won five of six on the current homestand and look to build on that today against a Tampa Bay team that has lost four of its last five on the road. Toronto is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jays favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-115). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, MAY 8

Game 901-902: San Francisco at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 14.432; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 15.798
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-125); Over

Game 903-904: San Diego at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Ledezma) 14.674; Atlanta (Reyes) 15.865
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-160); Over

Game 905-906: St. Louis at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 15.387; Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.779
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-110); 11
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+100); Under

Game 907-908: Philadelphia at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Myers) 14.997; Arizona (Webb) 16.885
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-155); Over

Game 909-910: Milwaukee at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Villanueva) 14.298; Florida (Hendrickson) 16.036
Dunkel Line: Florida by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-105); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-105); Under

Game 911-912: Washington at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Lannan) 14.986; Houston (Backe) 16.201
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Houston (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-120); Under

Game 913-914: Cleveland at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Byrd) 15.123; NY Yankees (Mussina) 16.656
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-135); Under

Game 915-916: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Slowey) 15.536; White Sox (Danks) 15.401
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+140); Over

Game 917-918: Boston at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 17.173; Detroit (Verlander) 16.043
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-125); Over

Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Jackson) 14.977; Toronto (Litsch) 16.294
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-115); Under

Game 921-922: Baltimore at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Cabrera) 15.011; Kansas City (Hochevar) 15.140
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+100); Under

Game 923-924: Texas at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Gabbard) 14.867; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.742
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+150); Under

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


New Orleans at San Antonio
The Spurs need a win tonight to get back into the series and look to take advantage of a New Orleans team that is just 2-6 ATS when listed as a road underdog between 6 1/2 and 9 points. San Antonio is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, MAY 8

Game 501-502: Cleveland at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 117.949; Boston 128.142
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 10; 175
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 8 1/2; 177
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-8 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: New Orleans at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 122.824; San Antonio 131.121
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 8; 187
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6 1/2; 183
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6 1/2); Over

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


Dallas at Detroit
The Red Wings blitzed through the Avalanche in four straight and look to take advantage of the resulting time off as they come into tonight's opener with a 7-2 mark when playing with 3 or more days rest. Detroit is the pick (-205) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-205). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, MAY 8

Game 53-54: Dallas at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.857; Detroit 13.650
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-205); 5
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-205); Over

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet


Updated


Thursday, May 8


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CLEVELAND (49 - 40) at BOSTON (71 - 19) - 5/8/2008, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 100-136 ATS (-49.6 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
BOSTON is 57-32 ATS (+21.8 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
BOSTON is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 8-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 8-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (62 - 27) at SAN ANTONIO (60 - 29) - 5/8/2008, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 54-40 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 97-68 ATS (+22.2 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 51-29 ATS (+19.1 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in home games after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 48-33 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after a division game this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after allowing 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-7 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-5 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet


Thursday, May 8


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SAN FRANCISCO (14 - 20) at PITTSBURGH (14 - 19) - 12:35 PM
MATT CAIN (R) vs. PAUL MAHOLM (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-41 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 85-111 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 63-78 (-26.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 85-111 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CAIN is 12-27 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 12-27 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 8-18 (-11.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-12 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

MATT CAIN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
CAIN is 0-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.727.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
MAHOLM is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 2-0 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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SAN DIEGO (12 - 22) at ATLANTA (17 - 15) - 1:10 PM
WILFREDO LEDEZMA (L) vs. JO-JO REYES (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 12-21 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 12-21 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 42-51 (-18.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 35-22 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

WILFREDO LEDEZMA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

JO-JO REYES vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
REYES is 0-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 15.00 and a WHIP of 2.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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ST LOUIS (22 - 13) at COLORADO (13 - 21) - 3:05 PM
KYLE LOHSE (R) vs. JORGE DE LA ROSA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 59-49 (+14.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 68-48 (+31.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 10-2 (+7.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
COLORADO is 12-21 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 12-21 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 9-18 (-10.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-2 (+2.1 Units) against COLORADO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. COLORADO since 1997
LOHSE is 1-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.74 and a WHIP of 1.261.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

JORGE DE LA ROSA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.62 and a WHIP of 2.154.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (20 - 15) at ARIZONA (22 - 12) - 3:40 PM
BRETT MYERS (R) vs. BRANDON WEBB (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 115-88 (+25.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 39-26 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 65-40 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 115-88 (+25.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 79-66 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-24 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 (+1.7 Units) against ARIZONA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

BRETT MYERS vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MYERS is 2-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.24 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

BRANDON WEBB vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
WEBB is 2-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.99 and a WHIP of 1.369.
His team's record is 3-5 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)

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MILWAUKEE (16 - 17) at FLORIDA (19 - 14) - 7:10 PM
CARLOS VILLANUEVA (R) vs. MARK HENDRICKSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 14-29 (-13.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 41-60 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 4-15 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in road games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 39-59 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 19-14 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 16-10 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
FLORIDA is 15-9 (+9.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
FLORIDA is 19-14 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 14-6 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
HENDRICKSON is 13-5 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 4-1 (+3.9 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.0 Units)

CARLOS VILLANUEVA vs. FLORIDA since 1997
VILLANUEVA is 0-0 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MARK HENDRICKSON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
HENDRICKSON is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

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WASHINGTON (14 - 20) at HOUSTON (18 - 16) - 8:05 PM
JOHN LANNAN (L) vs. BRANDON BACKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BACKE is 34-24 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BACKE is 24-5 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BACKE is 34-24 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
BACKE is 26-14 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BACKE is 21-11 (+12.9 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 84-106 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 87-109 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 66-50 (+36.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-2 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 298-301 (-65.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
HOUSTON is 150-168 (-49.4 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

JOHN LANNAN vs. HOUSTON since 1997
LANNAN is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

BRANDON BACKE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
BACKE is 1-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

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CLEVELAND (16 - 17) at NY YANKEES (17 - 18) - 1:05 PM
PAUL BYRD (R) vs. MIKE MUSSINA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 112-89 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 76-71 (-50.6 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.
NY YANKEES are 18-25 (-21.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 34-31 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 98-80 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MUSSINA is 1-8 (-11.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-2 (+2.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.0 Units)

PAUL BYRD vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BYRD is 3-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.86 and a WHIP of 1.555.
His team's record is 4-7 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-3. (+3.7 units)

MIKE MUSSINA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
MUSSINA is 10-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.87 and a WHIP of 1.146.
His team's record is 11-8 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-7. (+2.6 units)

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MINNESOTA (17 - 15) at CHI WHITE SOX (15 - 17) - 2:05 PM
KEVIN SLOWEY (R) vs. JOHN DANKS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 41-51 (-17.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 418-422 (+38.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 47-40 (+12.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-2 (+2.5 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

KEVIN SLOWEY vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
SLOWEY is 1-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.571.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

JOHN DANKS vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
DANKS is 1-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 8.35 and a WHIP of 1.909.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

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BOSTON (22 - 14) at DETROIT (15 - 20) - 7:05 PM
JOSH BECKETT (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 129-83 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 9-1 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-8 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 13-4 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BECKETT is 20-6 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 67-114 (-47.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
DETROIT is 11-19 (-12.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-2 (+2.1 Units) against DETROIT this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

JOSH BECKETT vs. DETROIT since 1997
BECKETT is 0-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 7.50 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. BOSTON since 1997
VERLANDER is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.390.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

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TAMPA BAY (17 - 16) at TORONTO (17 - 18) - 7:07 PM
EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. JESSE LITSCH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 56-123 (-39.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 34-86 (-37.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-90 (-35.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 25-44 (-19.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 57-42 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 34-14 (+16.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-8 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 9-17 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 85-101 (-32.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-1 (+3.3 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. TORONTO since 1997
JACKSON is 0-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.239.
His team's record is 1-4 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-0. (+5.1 units)

JESSE LITSCH vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
LITSCH is 1-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.571.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

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BALTIMORE (16 - 18) at KANSAS CITY (15 - 18) - 8:10 PM
DANIEL CABRERA (R) vs. LUKE HOCHEVAR (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 113-208 (-92.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 109-144 (+21.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 26-19 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DANIEL CABRERA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
CABRERA is 3-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.429.
His team's record is 6-0 (+6.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

LUKE HOCHEVAR vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

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TEXAS (15 - 20) at SEATTLE (14 - 21) - 10:10 PM
KASON GABBARD (L) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 11-30 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 102-95 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 76-65 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 30-19 (+12.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-20 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-3 (+1.6 Units) against SEATTLE this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

KASON GABBARD vs. SEATTLE since 1997
GABBARD is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 6.24 and a WHIP of 2.540.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 4-4 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.10 and a WHIP of 1.206.
His team's record is 4-7 (-6.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-4. (+2.8 units)

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[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet


Thursday, May 8th

National League

San Francisco at Pittsburgh, 12:35 ET
Matt Cain (R) vs. Paul Maholm (L)
Cain: 12-27 ATS in all starts
Maholm: 16-4 Over when the total is 7 to 8.5

San Diego at Atlanta, 1:10 ET
Wilfredo Ledezma (L) vs. Jo Jo Reyes (L)
Ledezma: SD 4-14 vs. Atlanta
Reyes: Atl 13-3 at home

St. Louis at Colorado, 3:05 ET
Kyle Lohse (R) vs. Jorge De La Rosa (L)
Lohse: 9-1 TSR if total is 10 or higher
De La Rosa: Col 9-18 vs. righties

Philadelphia at Arizona, 3:40 ET
Brett Myers (R) vs. Brandon Webb (R)
Myers: Phi 40-25 Over in day games
Webb: 7-0 TSR, 2.49 ERA this season

Milwaukee at Florida, 7:10 ET
Carlos Villanueva (R) vs. Mark Hendrickson (L)
Villanueva: Mil 4-15 Away in May
Hendrickson: Fla 15-9 vs. right-handers

Washington at Houston, 8:05 ET
John Lannan (L) vs. Brandon Backe (R)
Lannan: Wash 1-6 off one run loss
Backe: 24-5 TSR in home starts

American League

Cleveland at NY Yankees, 1:05 ET
Paul Byrd (R) vs. Mike Mussina (R)
Byrd: Cle 40-14 Under in day games
Mussina: 1-8 TSR off a team loss

Minnesota at Chicago White Sox, 2:05 ET
Kevin Slowey (R) vs. John Danks (L)
Slowey: Min 12-2 Under off division win as dog
Danks: 1-3 TSR, 8.35 ERA vs. Minnesota

Boston at Detroit, 7:05 ET
Josh Beckett (R) vs. Justin Verlander (R)
Beckett: 12-1 TSR as road favorite
Verlander: 14-5 Over in home games

Tampa Bay at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Edwin Jackson (R) vs. Jesse Litsch (R)
Jackson: 12-3 Under when the money line is +125 to -125
Litsch: Tor 9-17 in night games

Baltimore at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Daniel Cabrera (R) vs. Luke Hochevar (R)
Cabrera: 11-0 Over off 4+ losses
Hochevar: KC 1-12 vs. Baltimore

Texas at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Kason Gabbard (L) vs. Felix Hernandez (R)
Gabbard: Tex 13-7 after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less
Hernandez: Sea 5-18 after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[kbsooner21]

Thanks guys! Have a great day!

[Udog]

MLB


Thursday, May 8


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Hot Lines: Thursday's best MLB bets
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Tampa Bay at Toronto (-120, 9)

We took a look at the tough times Toronto bettors were going through in an article earlier this week, but things may finally be looking up after Wednesday's 6-2 win over the Rays, which was their six win in seven games. Those six runs were the most Toronto has produced since posting an 11-run effort against the Orioles about three weeks ago.

With a lineup like Toronto's, it was only a matter of time before the Jays starting putting some runs on the board. Now Toronto bettors just have to hope the pitching holds strong as the bats heat up.

Pick: Jays



San Francisco at Pittsburgh (-115, 7 1/2)

It's safe to say Pirates lefty Paul Maholm feels at home in Pittsburgh's PNC Park. The 25-year-old is 2-0 with a stingy 0.89 ERA when throwing from his home mound, but is 0-3 with a 9.60 ERA on the road.

He was tagged for seven earned runs over five innings of work in a 9-8 loss at Washington in his last outing. And Maholm may have to be in top form against Matt Cain, who has won his last three starts, boasting a 1.40 ERA over that span.

Pick: Pirates

[Udog]

MLB


Thursday, May 8


Update

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Tips and Trends
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Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees [1:05 PM ET]

Indians: After getting shelled in his first 2 outings of the year, Paul Byrd has rebounded with 4 solid performances. In his last four starts, Byrd has only allowed 4 runs in 25 2/3 innings pitched. One of those games came against the Yankees, and even though he allowed 3 home runs, Byrd and the Indians got the win. In his career, Byrd is 2-4 with 4.64 ERA against New York.

Indians are 6-2 in their last 8 games following a win.
The UNDER is 9-2 in Cleveland's last 11 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Yankees (-150, O/U 10): Mike Mussina has really turned it on of late, going a perfect 3-0 in his last 3 starts. Moose has only given up 5 runs and 2 walks in his last 18 innings pitched. Mussina pitched against Cleveland on April 28th, getting the victory after allowing just 2 runs over 5 innings of work. For his career, Mussina is 12-9 versus the Tribe with a 4.75 ERA.

Yankees are 21-7 in the last 28 meetings at New York.
The UNDER is 8-1-1 in New York's last 10 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 6



St. Louis Cardinals at Colorado Rockies [3:05 PM ET]

Cardinals(-115, O/U 10.5): Kyle Lohse has been a valuable addition to the Cardinals rotation this season. After coming over from Philadelphia, Lohse is 3-1 with 3.79 ERA for the Redbirds in 2008. Lohse faced Colorado in the season opener, giving up 3 hits and no runs in a no-decision. One thing to be concerned about is that Lohse was tagged by the Cubs in his most recent outing, allowing 8 runs in 6 innings of work.

Cardinals are 6-2 in their last 8 games on grass.
The UNDER is 9-3-1 in St. Louis' last 13 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 8 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Rockies : Jorge De La Rosa has only 1 start on the season and it wasn't pretty. In just 4 innings against the Dodgers, De La Rosa gave up 9 runs on 9 hits. Obviously, the Rockies are hoping for a much better performance out him today but that may not happen. In 3 career starts versus the Cardinals, De La Rosa is 1-2 with a 7.11 ERA and 2.05 WHIP, while St. Louis hitters are batting a whopping .329 against him.

Rockies are 4-13 in their last 17 games overall.
The UNDER is 17-8-1 in the last 26 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 6



Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers [7:05 PM ET]

Red Sox (-125, O/U 8.5): As usual, Josh Beckett has been a horse on the mound for Boston, going at least 6 innings in 4 of his 5 starts. After walking 4 batters in his first outing of the season, Beckett has only walked 1 in each of his last 4 appearances. Beckett has started 1 game in his career against the Tigers, and he was lit up for 6 hits and 5 runs over 6 innings of work.

Red Sox are 21-6 in their last 27 Thursday games.
Red Sox are 31-15 in the last 46 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)

Tigers: It hasn't just been a disappointing start for the Tigers in general this season, but also for their ace Justin Verlander. Verlander is 1-5 with a lofty 6.28 ERA in 2008. In his last 2 outings against the Twins and Angels, Verlander gave up 10 runs and 6 walks in 12 2/3 innings pitched. He's started 2 games in his career against the Red Sox, going 1-1 with an ERA of 4.61.

Tigers are 1-7 in Verlander's last 8 starts.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

[Udog]

NBA


Thursday, May 8


Update


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Tips and Trends
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Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics [ESPN | 7 PM ET]

Cavs: The bad news from Game 1 is that Cleveland shot less than 31 percent from the field, including a horrid 2-for-18 performance from star LeBron James. The good news is that the Cavs still almost won the game despite the worst shooting game of James' career, as his driving layup with 8.9 seconds left would have tied it. James must find a way to limit his turnovers after he committed 10 in the series opener against the Celtics. "I have to give a lot of credit to their defense," James said. "They are a very good shrink-the-floor team. I missed a lot of shots that I can usually make."

Cavs are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
The UNDER is 10-3 in Cleveland's last 13 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 85

Celtics (-8.5, O/U 177.5): Boston's strategy of putting the ball in James' hands when heading up the court worked to perfection in Game 1, as he often found himself trying to give up the ball to his teammates. "That's Rajon (Rondo)'s job every game," Celtics forward Paul Pierce said. "So I expect us to definitely go ahead and do that against their ballhandlers, because I feel like we have an advantage there." Boston is confident that the Cavs will miss their perimeter shots more often than make them, and that's exactly what happened in Game 1.

Celtics are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
The UNDER is 7-2 in Boston's last 9 Thursday games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 93



New Orleans Hornets at San Antonio Spurs [ESPN | 9:30 PM ET]

Hornets: New Orleans has been able to win each of the first 2 games of this series by getting off to great starts after halftime. That could prove to be a challenge on the road without the home crowd support. The Hornets have outscored the Spurs by 30 points so far in the third quarter through the first 2 games. "I told the guys that all we've done is we've won the 2 games at home like we're supposed to," New Orleans head coach Byron Scott said. "The series gets tougher going into San Antonio. We've got to be ready to play."

Hornets are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.
The OVER is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings at San Antonio.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 88

Spurs (-7, O/U 182): It's true that San Antonio has never won a playoff series when down 0-2, so the next 2 games present a big challenge for the defending NBA champs. The Spurs have not lost at home in the postseason since Game 4 of last year's Western Conference semifinals, winning 9 straight there since then. One of the keys will be holding the Hornets under 100 points, as San Antonio is 0-4 against them when they reach the century mark.

Favorite is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
Spurs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Thursday games.
The OVER is 7-2-1 in San Antonio's last 10 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 95

[Dennis14072]

Thanks Guys, good luck today!