Wednesday Trends and Indexes 04/23

[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet


Wednesday, April 23rd

National League

St. Louis at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
Todd Wellemeyer (R) vs. Ian Snell (R)
Wellemeyer: 7-1 TSR after a loss
Snell: PIT 14-6 OVER in all games

Florida at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
Andrew Miller (L) vs. Jeff Bennett (R)
Miller: FLA 40-56 when the money line is +125 to -125
Bennett: ATL 45-15 off a loss by 6+ runs to a division foe

NY Mets at Washington, 7:10 ET
Johan Santana (L) vs. Tim Redding (R)
Santana: 82-33 TSR in night games
Redding: WAS 6-22 at Home in April

Houston at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
Chris Sampson (R) vs. Bronson Arroyo (R)
Sampson: HOU 24-33 after a win by 4+ runs
Arroyo: 6-15 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5

Philadelphia at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
Cole Hamels (L) vs. Dave Bush (R)
Hamels: 11-1 TSR against NL Central
Bush: MIL 35-54 when the money line is +125 to -125

Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies, 8:35 ET
Rich Hill (L) vs. Franklin Morales (L)
Hill: CHI 125-155 after allowing 1 run or less
Morales: COL 20-10 when playing on Wednesday

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres, 10:05 ET
Matt Cain (R) vs. Greg Maddux (R)
Cain: 0-10 TSR as a road underdog of +100 or higher
Maddux: 24-13 TSR against division opponents

Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Dan Haren (R) vs. Derek Lowe (R)
Haren: ARI 22-11 after a one run win
Lowe: LAD 112-131 revenging a one run loss


American League

LA Angels at Boston, 7:05 ET
Jon Garland (R) vs. Daisuke Matsuzaka (R)
Garland: LAA 76-62 on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10
Matsuzaka: BOS 23-31 playing on Wednesday

Texas at Detroit, 7:05 ET
Luis Mendoza (R) vs. Kenny Rogers (L)
Mendoza: TEX 39-26 after 5+ consecutive losses
Rogers: DET 4-12 when the total is 8.5 to 10

Toronto at Tampa Bay(at Orlando), 7:10 ET
Roy Halladay (R) vs. Jason Hammel (R)
Halladay: 32-7 TSR on artificial turf
Hammel: TB 49-81 in night games

NY Yankees at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Mike Mussina (R) vs. Javier Vazquez (R) ESPN
Mussina: 1-8 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5
Vazquez: CHI 34-18 UNDER on Wednesday

Cleveland at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Fausto Carmona (R) vs. Brett Tomko (R)
Carmona: CLE 27-9 after 6 consecutive games versus division
Tomko: KC 91-147 in home games after allowing 8+ runs

Minnesota at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Boof Bonser (R) vs. Chad Gaudin (R)
Bonser: MIN 15-26 after having won 3 of their last 4
Gaudin: 10-2 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5

Baltimore at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Daniel Cabrera (R) vs. Carlos Silva (R)
Cabrera: BAL 6-1 UNDER in road games
Silva: SEA 21-4 as a home favorite of -125 to -150

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NBA


Wednesday, April 23

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THE POWER INDEX
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3-0 yesterday

Detroit* 7 over Philadelphia
Boston* 14.5 over Atlanta
L.A. Lakers* 6.5 over Denver

[pm530]

Major League Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB


Wednesday, April 23

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Tips and Trends
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Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox [7:05 PM ET]

Angels: LA's Jon Garland will try to turn things around against the Red Sox, who have hit him hard during his career. Garland is just 3-5 lifetime vs. Boston with a 5.53 ERA, and the Sox are hitting .291 against him. He lost his last road start at Seattle back on April 12th, giving up 6 runs and 12 hits in 5 innings with 1 walk and no strikeouts.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Red Sox (-175, O/U 10): Boston's Daisuke Matsuzaka has gotten a lot of run support at Fenway Park in his last 3 starts, as the Red Sox have outscored the opposition 24-8. That's been plenty to get him wins each time even though he has not pitched a full 6 innings in either of his last 2 outings. Dice-K is 3-0 at home this season with a 3.71 ERA.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 6



Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers [8:05 PM ET]

Phillies (-140, O/U 8.5): Philadelphia starter Cole Hamels has been a workhorse this season, pitching 7+ innings in all 4 of his starts on the season. The southpaw is supporting a stellar 1.86 ERA over 29 innings pitched. However, Hamels did allow 5 runs in his last start against the Mets on April 18th and called it his “worst performance” of the year. The San Diego native hasn’t received a decision in 2 career starts at Milwaukee, but he has allowed 8 runs in just 13+ innings of work of those 2 games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Brewers: Milwaukee starter Dave Bush has been abysmal so far this season, posting an 0-3 mark with a 7.02 ERA in just 3 starts. Bush said he “felt good” in his last start, but with his 7+ ERA he is in danger of losing his spot in the rotation according to team insiders. The right-hander allowed 5 earned runs in just 5 innings of work in his last home start against these Phils last season.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (Side Play of the Day)



New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox [ESPN | 8:11 PM ET]

Yankees: Mike Mussina is now just a shadow of the pitcher he once was. The Moose is 1-3 on the season with an unimpressive 5.75 ERA. Mussina has allowed 9 runs in his last 8 innings pitched. The one thing Mussina still does well is he has good control. Moose has only walked 3 batters in 20 1/3 innings pitched this season.

Key Injuries - 3B Alex Rodriguez (.308; birth of daughter) is NOT expected to rejoin the team until Thursday.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

White Sox (-140, O/U 9.5): Javier Vazquez is off to a fast start for a White Sox pitching staff that’s been a pleasant surprise early in the year. Vazquez has only allowed 5 runs in his last 20 innings of work. However, the one-time Yankee has struggled against his former team, going 1-3 with a 5.25 ERA versus the Bombers.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 6



Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers [10:10 PM ET]

Diamondbacks: Arizona starter Dan Haren has made a splash in his first 4 starts of the season with his new team. Haren is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA on this young season and has shown great command, striking out 19 while walking just 4. This will be his first start at Dodger Stadium since his rookie season in 2003, where he got a 3-1 victory for the Cardinals, allowing just 1 run over 6 innings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 2 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Dodgers (-120, O/U 8): LA starter Derek Lowe will look to bounce back from his worst outing of the season. The right-hander allowed 5 runs in just 4+ innings, getting rocked once again by his nemesis in Braves 3B Chipper Jones. The right-hander is one of the better Dodger starters at home and holds a 1.93 ERA in 2 starts there already this season. Lowe received a win in his last home start against these D-Backs, allowing just 1 earned run over 7 innings last season.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

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[pm530]

National Basketball Association - Tips & Trends

NBA


Wednesday, April 23

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Tips and Trends
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Philadelphia 76ers at Detroit Pistons [NBA | 7:30 PM ET]

76ers: Philly now has home-court advantage in this series after a 90-86 win in Game 1 thanks to the outstanding play of the team's starting backcourt. Andre Miller and Willie Green outscored Detroit's Chauncey Billups and Rip Hamilton 37-27, making 16-of-29 shots from the field (55 percent). “It’s a great confidence booster for us,” Green. “But we’ve got to stay focused. We can’t get complacent.” Billups and Hamilton connected on just 8-of-26 of their shots (31 percent) and now have to contend with a 76ers team that has won 10 straight first-round playoff series when capturing Game 1.

76ers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games.
76ers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. Central Division.
76ers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Wednesday games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 84

Pistons (-10.5, O/U 178.5): Detroit remains confident despite blowing a 13-point halftime lead in Game 1, but it's how the Pistons lost that has insiders concerned. They missed 14 lay-ups and saw 13 of their turnovers converted into 18 points. “We’ve been in this position many times before and we’ve capitalized every time back-and-forth in the last six years,” Detroit forward Tayshaun Prince said. “Then, all of a sudden, when you don’t do it, it seems like a problem. It’s not a problem. We’re not going to pull out every close game just because we’re the more experienced ball club or we’ve been there before.”

Pistons are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games.
Pistons are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Wednesday games.
Pistons are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. Atlantic Division.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 94



Atlanta Hawks at Boston Celtics [TNT | 8 PM ET]

Hawks: Atlanta rookie Al Horford was the lone bright spot in an otherwise dismal return to the playoffs for the first time since 1999. Horford made 7-of-10 shots from the field en route to 20 points while his fellow starters made just 14-of-49 (29 percent). “Obviously, the similarity (in college and pro postseasons) is a different atmosphere from the regular season; you can feel it in the air,” Horford said. “But as far as other differences, you have to come back and play. It’s the best-of-seven here. In school, our mentality was win or go home. Here, we have a chance to redeem ourselves and play another game.”

Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
The UNDER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings at Boston.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 87

Celtics (-15, O/U 189): Much was made of Boston point guard Rajon Rondo's inexperience heading into the playoffs, but the second-year player delivered 15 points, 9 assists and 6 rebounds against Atlanta's Mike Bibby, who had played in 51 more playoff games during his career. Sam Cassell was even brought in to help spell Rondo, but he played just 16 minutes and scored 10 points. “I was pretty comfortable,” Rondo said. “I didn’t really get nervous; I tried to approach it like a regular season (game), but I knew the intensity would be a lot higher and the crowd would be a lot better.”

Celtics are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games overall, covering 5 straight.
The UNDER is 11-5 in Boston's last 16 games as a favorite.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 102



Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers [TNT | 10:30 PM ET]

Nuggets: The Staples Center crowd tried to get under the skin of Denver star Carmelo Anthony following his arrest last week for driving under the influence by chanting "DU, DUI, DUI" but he just took it in stride. "It was funny to me," Anthony said. "I was able to block it out and just focus on what I need to focus on. I wasn’t expecting anything different. I’m on the road." He hit 8-of-10 from the charity stripe and will need to continue to keep his cool throughout the series if the Nuggets hope to win a game.

The UNDER is 5-1 in Denver's last 6 games overall.

Key Injuries - Nene Hilario (5 ppg; groin) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 111

Lakers (-8, O/U 229): LA was able to win Game 1 despite some poor early shooting from star Kobe Bryant, who made just 5 of his first 20 shots. Bryant ended up 9-of-26 from the field and finished with 32 points, including 18 in the final 8 minutes. The more disappointing part of his game was the 1 assist he posted after averaging 7.7 against the Nuggets during the regular season. None of that seemed to matter though as Pau Gasol totaled 36 points, 16 rebounds and 8 assists for the Lakers against 2007 Defensive Player of the Year Marcus Camby.

Lakers are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Lakers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 119

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[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet


Thursday, April 24th

National League

Houston at Cincinnati, 12:35 ET
Jack Cassel (R) vs. Johnny Cueto (R)
Cassel: Hou 8-24 Away in day games
Cueto: Cin 19-8 Over vs. Houston

Philadelphia at Milwaukee, 1:05 ET
Jamie Moyer (L) vs. Jeff Suppan (R)
Moyer: 30-14 Over as a road underdog of +100 to +125
Suppan: Mil 19-7 off one-run win

Chicago Cubs at Colorado, 3:05 ET WGN
Jason Marquis (R) vs. Aaron Cook (R)
Marquis: 15-4 TSR in day games
Cook: Col 11-3 Over vs. Cubs

St. Louis at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
Joel Pineiro (R) vs. Tom Gorzelanny (L)
Pineiro: 2-0 TSR, 1.98 ERA vs. Pittsburgh
Gorzelanny: Pit 15-6 Over this season

NY Mets at Washington, 7:10 ET
Oliver Perez (L) vs. Shawn Hill (R)
Perez: 15-1 TSR Away with a money line of -100 to -150
Hill: Wash 4-15 at home vs. Mets

Florida at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
Burke Badenhop (R) vs. Chuck James (L)
Badenhop: Fla 12-5 in night games
James: Atl 5-1 Over after 3+ division losses by 5+ runs

San Francisco at San Diego, 10:05 ET
Tim Lincecum (R) vs. Chris Young (R)
Lincecum: SF 3-1 vs. San Diego
Young: 12-3 Under at home

Arizona at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Edgar Gonzalez (R) vs. Chad Billingsley (R)
Gonzalez: Ari 9-1 Over in night games
Billingsley: LAD 3-9 when the total is 8.5 to 10


American League

Texas at Detroit, 1:05 ET
Scott Feldman (R) vs. Jeremy Bonderman (R)
Feldman: Tex 13-4 off BB losses by 6+ runs
Bonderman: 0-5 as a home favorite of -175 to -200

LA Angels at Boston, 1:35 ET
Joe Saunders (L) vs. Justin Masterson (R)
Saunders: 10-2 TSR working on 5 or 6 days rest
Masterson: n/a

Minnesota at Oakland, 3:35 ET
Francisco Liriano (L) vs. Greg Smith (L)
Liriano: Min 11-21 revenging shutout loss
Smith: Oak 29-14 Under off win

Toronto vs. Tampa Bay (at Orlando), 7:10 ET
Dustin McGowan (R) vs. Andy Sonnanstine (R)
McGowan: 12-3 Under when the total is 9 to 9.5
Sonnanstine: TB 13-36 off BB wins

(TC) Cleveland at Kansas City, 9:30 ET Game 2
Cliff Lee (L) vs. Brian Bannister (R)
Lee: 8-0 Over on Thursday
Bannister: 11-4 TSR vs. division

NY Yankees at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET WGN
Phil Hughes (R) vs. Gavin Floyd (R)
Hughes: Yankees 13-3 Under as favorite
Floyd: White Sox 61-33 at home revenging BB Home losses

Baltimore at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Adam Loewen (L) vs. Jarrod Washburn (L)
Loewen: Bal 37-62 vs. lefties
Washburn: Sea 21-4 as a home favorite of -125 to -150

Write-In Game

Cleveland at Kansas City, 6:10 ET
Fausto Carmona (R) vs. Brett Tomko (R)
Carmona: 4-1 TSR, 2.38 ERA vs. Kansas City
Tomko: 3-0 Under this season

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

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