My Unbiased "Take" on the NY/TB Game

[LVJimmy]

Although my avatar suggests otherwise, I'm a big TB fan. If anyone cares to read along, here's my take on today's game.

As a TB fan, 3 things scare me in this game:

1) NY's ability to run the ball especially considering they have a "bruiser" type back in Jacobs. I know TB's defensive numbers are good statistically, but they rank 17th against the run giving up 107.9 yds/game rushing. At the same time, the Giants are ranked 4th in the league running the ball gaining 134.2 yds/game. If TB can keep the Giants in between those numbers on the ground, I think they win this game. That being said, I don't see them doing it. Even though TB defenses have been great for the past 10 years or so, they've always been susceptible to the run due to the fact that their defense is built on speed and quickness which lends itself to smaller guys that wear down in the 4th qtr. Given any sort of lead in the 2nd half, NY will pound, pound, pound.

2) The Giants led the league in sacks with 53 + the fact that TB's o-line is young and nothing to write home about = Jeff Garcia running for his life all day.

3) This one involves my knock on Gruden for the past few years, and until it gets better, I can't back this guy. TB is 26th in the league at converting red zone drives into TDs. They were in the RZ 46 times this season, AND ONLY SCORED 20 TDs for a terrible 44%. I kept saying all year long that if this team makes the playoffs, this would ineptness in the RZ would haunt them. I don't see how a season-long trend gets corrected in 1 week so I look for this to continue.

As a TB fan, 1 thing makes me feel good about today's game:

1) ELI MANNING IS THE GIANTS QB. UNTIL HE PROVES TO ME THAT HE CAN PERFORM WELL IN THE PLAYOFFS, I STILL PUT HIM IN THE SAME CATEGORY AS REX GROSSMAN.

All in all, I refuse to bet against my favorite team in the playoffs, BUT IF I WAS TO WAGER ON THIS GAME, I WOULD HAVE TO GO WITH NY +3. A few weeks ago I was hoping for this match-up because I thought the Bucs D would eat up Eli, but the more I looked at this game, the 1st 3 pts above stuck out like a sore thumb. Take this for what it's worth cuz I'm not "touching" this game. I will be there in person to cheer on TB, and I hope they can overcome the weaknesses I stated above.

GL everyone and GO BUCS!

[Chado1]

Have fun at the game bro....lets hope that Eli plays like Eli and throws up ducks and picks in bunches...

[LVJimmy]

thanks Chad...I'm resting my hope in exactly what you're saying...have a good and profitable Sunday

[Chado1]

thanks Chad...I'm resting my hope in exactly what you're saying...have a good and profitable Sunday

I would feel very confident if I were you because we both know how shitty Eli is....makes the dumbest decisions ever and am sure you can relate to losing money with it in his hands and screaming "ELI YOU FUCKIN SUCK"....and shit like that.....LMAO....lets hope it continues....especially in a hostile environment on the road and in the playoffs...gotta love betting against Eli in this spot and not with him.... Found out the hard way on many other ocassions and you and I both know...LMAO>..

[tech fan]

I AM CONFUSED WHO U PULLING FOR

[Chado1]

I AM CONFUSED WHO U PULLING FOR

LMAO...

I always wonder why Eli's bro doesnt tell him WTF he is doing wrong eveytime he does everything wrong....like youd thknk Peyton would be like hey bro dont do this....this this this....LMAO...

[LVJimmy]

I AM CONFUSED WHO U PULLING FOR

TB is my fave team...I know, it's confusing considering I have a Giants avatar right now...I lost a bet with 3J.

[tech fan]

TB is my fave team...I know, it's confusing considering I have a Giants avatar right now...I lost a bet with 3J.

OK UNDERSTAND A LITTLE NOW

[goldencontender]

this is a nice article with alot of good info- i think this game more than others gives an excellent oppurtunity for a halftime wager, if its an even type game less than a touchdown id like to see where the t.o. differential is- i look to go ag teams that losing the to battle in a close game especially -2 or more as they rarely win,if you can catch a good halftime line you can do well- ex game tied 10-10 and one team is -2 in to diff- ill go ag the team losing that battle- lets see how it plays out- bol gc-

[tech fan]

this is a nice article with alot of good info- i think this game more than others gives an excellent oppurtunity for a halftime wager, if its an even type game less than a touchdown id like to see where the t.o. differential is- i look to go ag teams that losing the to battle in a close game especially -2 or more as they rarely win,if you can catch a good halftime line you can do well- ex game tied 10-10 and one team is -2 in to diff- ill go ag the team losing that battle- lets see how it plays out- bol gc-

MAKES ALOT OF SENSE I WISH YOU COULD HELP OUT HERE ALOT MORE WITH YOUR INSIGHT.THIS IS A GREAT PLACE AND WE CAN ALL MAKE $$$$$$$ IF WE STICK TOGETHER

[Kaptain]

gl to ya---thanks

[flarendep1]

This game to me is a toss up, if this were a regular season game we might take a pass on it. My opinoin is both defenses will dominate and it will come down to which team turns it over more. I think Eli is more inclined to turnover than Garcia so I would slight lean to the Bucs and Heavier play on the under. JMO

[aces r wild]

Tampa Bay +16 turnovers for the year vs. NY Giants -7 turnovers for the year

[***THA FIX***]

Good Luck!!!

[Three Jack]

GL LV...contrary to about 98.7% of the posters here, I think the GMen show up today and I think Eli has a good game. If they lose, it will be because TB is the better team and not because their tank is empty from last week. I think the game will hinge on the Giants O-Line. Eli played great last week until Belichick decided to blitz on every play, then the INT came, the big sack when they were driving at the end of the 3rd...I am sure Gruden will take a page from that book. No secret- get pressure on Eli up the middle and he makes mistakes.

Care to wager?