Wednesday Trends and Indexes 12/26

[pm530]

College Basketball - Dunkel Index

NCAAB
Dunkel Index

Cincinnati at NC State
Rick Pitino was able to get his 500th career win, but that was about the only highlight for the Cardinals lately. Louisville has struggled to overcome injuries, losing two straight in early December to Dayton and Purdue, and winning its last two by relatively close margins against Marshall (85-75) and New Mexico State (70-65). That's not even close to the expectations that were set for Louisville at the beginning of the season. But the Cardinals have a good shot at getting back on track tonight against at Morehead State team that lost by 32 to Oklahoma (74-42) in its only contest against a major conference team this year. Louisville is the pick to cover (-23) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 27. Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-23). Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 26

Game 523-524: Morehead State at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 43.340; Louisville 70.250
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 27
Vegas Line: Louisville by 23
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-23)

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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet


Wednesday, December 26


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MIAMI (8 - 20) at PHILADELPHIA (11 - 16) - 12/26/2007, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 91-61 ATS (+23.9 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (15 - 13) at ATLANTA (14 - 12) - 12/26/2007, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 147-113 ATS (+22.7 Units) after allowing 85 points or less since 1996.
ATLANTA is 60-86 ATS (-34.6 Units) in December games since 1996.
ATLANTA is 26-48 ATS (-26.8 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (13 - 13) at CHARLOTTE (10 - 15) - 12/26/2007, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 103-135 ATS (-45.5 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (8 - 19) at ORLANDO (18 - 11) - 12/26/2007, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (20 - 7) at NEW JERSEY (12 - 15) - 12/26/2007, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in December games this season.
DETROIT is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) first half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 7-2 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (17 - 10) at MEMPHIS (8 - 19) - 12/26/2007, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 26-48 ATS (-26.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 62-44 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 8-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (9 - 16) at SAN ANTONIO (19 - 7) - 12/26/2007, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) first half of the season this season.
CHICAGO is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 72-55 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 64-50 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 93-65 ATS (+21.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (11 - 15) at DENVER (16 - 11) - 12/26/2007, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 124-166 ATS (-58.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
DENVER is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (19 - 9) at UTAH (15 - 14) - 12/26/2007, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 196-148 ATS (+33.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (22 - 3) at SACRAMENTO (11 - 15) - 12/26/2007, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 99-67 ATS (+25.3 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
BOSTON is 35-14 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) first half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
BOSTON is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (4 - 22) at GOLDEN STATE (16 - 12) - 12/26/2007, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 44-62 ATS (-24.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

National Hockey League - Dunkel Index

NHL
Dunkel Index

Atlanta at Columbus
Atlanta has won three straight with NHL scoring leader Ilya Kovalchuk picking up his 29th goal along the way. Tonight the Thrashers face a Columbus team that has lost four of its last six at home, including two of three on its current homestand. Atlanta looks like a good underdog pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Thrashers favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+105). Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 26

Game 51-52: Ottawa at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.346; Buffalo 11.845
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-115); 6
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-105); Under

Game 53-54: Atlanta at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.616; Columbus 10.576
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+105); Under

Game 55-56: Carolina at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.345; NY Rangers 10.997
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+130); Under

Game 57-58: Tampa Bay at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 9.990; Washington 11.654
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-125); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-125); Over

Game 59-60: Toronto at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.391; NY Islanders 10.827
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-105); Under

Game 61-62: Nashville at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 10.735; Chicago 12.226
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-150); Over

Game 63-64: Detroit at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.426; St. Louis 11.049
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 65-66: Minnesota at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.367; Dallas 12.770
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-150); Under

Game 67-68: San Jose at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 10.851; Los Angeles 10.048
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-150); Under

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[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Wednesday, December 26th

Miami at Philadelphia, 6:05 EST NBATV
Miami: 19-9 ATS away off a loss
Philadelphia: 4-15 ATS at home in December

Indiana at Atlanta, 7:05 EST
Indiana: 18-7 Under away off a home win
Atlanta: 0-8 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games

Washington at Charlotte, 7:05 EST
Washington: 11-2 ATS away off 3+ losses
Charlotte: 15-28 ATS off BB ATS wins

New York at Orlando, 7:05 EST
New York: 2-8 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games
Orlando: 12-4 ATS off a road game

Detroit at New Jersey, 7:35 EST
Detroit: 12-1 ATS in December
New Jersey: 3-11 ATS off a home game

New Orleans at Memphis, 8:05 EST
New Orleans: 5-17 ATS away off a win by 15+ points
Memphis: 16-5 Under off a loss as a home favorite

Chicago at San Antonio, 8:35 EST
Chicago: 2-11 ATS after playing BB games as an underdog
San Antonio: 8-1 ATS at home off a straight up win

Milwaukee at Denver, 9:05 EST
Milwaukee: 16-31 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Denver: 12-2 ATS vs. Central Division opponents

Dallas at Utah, 9:05 EST
Dallas: 1-8 ATS with a total of 200+ points
Utah: 30-18 Over off a combined score of 205+ points

Boston at Sacramento, 10:05 EST
Boston: 10-2 ATS off a home win by 10+ points
Sacramento: 16-6 Over off a loss by 6 or less points

Minnesota at Golden State, 10:35 EST NBATV
Minnesota: 12-29 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Golden State: 35-17 Over at home after winning 2 of their last 3 games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Wednesday, December 26th

Added Game:

Morehead State at Louisville, 7:00 EST
Morehead State: 0-7 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Louisville: 13-5 ATS playing their second game in seven days

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Wednesday, December 26th

Ottawa at Buffalo, 7:05 EST
Ottawa: 13-2 SU revenging a loss by 2+ goals
Buffalo: 1-5 SU at home after scoring and allowing 4+ goals

Atlanta at Columbus, 7:05 EST
Atlanta: 9-1 SU playing with two days rest
Columbus: 14-20 SU as a favorite

Carolina at NY Rangers, 7:05 EST
Carolina: 7-15 SU off a win by 3+ goals
NY Rangers: 14-7 SU at home vs. Carolina

Tampa Bay at Washington, 7:05 EST
Tampa Bay: 0-7 SU off a home loss
Washington: 21-10 Over off an Over

Toronto at NY Islanders, 7:35 EST TSN
Toronto: 8-2 Under in December
NY Islanders: 21-3 Under off BB wins

Nashville at Chicago, 8:35 EST
Nashville: 22-6 SU off a division win by 2+ goals
Chicago: 7-1 Over playing with two days rest

Detroit at St. Louis, 8:35 EST
Detroit: 13-2 SU off BB Overs
St. Louis: 1-7 SU off BB non-conference games

Minnesota at Dallas, 8:35 EST
Minnesota: 0-4 SU at Dallas
Dallas: 13-3 SU playing their second game in five days

San Jose at Los Angeles, 10:35 EST
San Jose: 16-3 SU away off a division game
Los Angeles: 1-12 SU off a combined score of 7+ goals

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[pm530]

National Basketball Association - Tips & Trends

NBA


Wednesday, December 26

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Tips and Trends
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Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers (NBATV | 6 PM ET)

Miami has not beaten an Eastern Conference opponent this month, going 0-6 following a 96-82 loss at Cleveland on Tuesday. "As soon as things go badly, instead of just buckling down, and everybody stepping up, there is a frustration switch that goes on," Heat head coach Pat Riley said. EDGE: 76ERS
Philadelphia has lost 2 straight at home and is just 6-9 at the Wachovia Center this season. However, the 76ers won 3 of 4 against the Heat last season, including both meetings at home. SLIGHT EDGE: 76ERS
Heat are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.
76ers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
The OVER is 6-0 in Philadelphia's last 6 home games.


Detroit Pistons at New Jersey Nets (7:30 PM ET)

Detroit has won 12 of 14 and will be going for a season-high 6th straight win. The Pistons have held their last 12 opponents below 50 percent shooting, limiting their last 6 to 87 points or less. BIG EDGE: PISTONS
The Pistons went 4-0 vs. New Jersey last season thanks to the play of point guard Chauncey Billups, who averaged 20.8 points and 9 assists against Jason Kidd. EDGE: PISTONS
Pistons are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall. (Bet Detroit -5.5 at BetUS - the best line available at last check!)
Nets are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.
The UNDER is 6-0 in Detroit's last 6 games.
The UNDER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in New Jersey.


Chicago Bulls at San Antonio Spurs (WGN | 8:30 PM ET)

Chicago assistant coach Pete Myers will lead the team against the Spurs after Scott Skiles was fired as head coach on Monday. The Bulls are shooting an NBA-low 41.3 percent from the field and averaging just 92 points per game. "I felt like something was going to happen," Chicago forward Luol Deng said. "I didn't know whether it was players or coaches. But you could definitely feel there was something. It just didn't seem like we were on the same page." EDGE: SPURS
It's unknown whether or not super sub Manu Ginobili (19.2 points per game) will play for the Spurs after spraining his left index finger on Saturday. "His hand's been bothering him for a long time," San Antonio head coach Gregg Popovich said. "The X-rays are all negative, but the ligaments are in bad shape. It's like a sprained thumb, sort of. You keep hitting it and hitting it and it never gets healed - he's back to square one." Tony Parker and Tim Duncan are also recovering from ankle injuries. EDGE: BULLS
Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing 100+ points.
Spurs are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games playing 3+ days rest.
The OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
The road team is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings.


Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz (9 PM ET)

Utah will be playing only its 3rd home game this month after playing most of December on the road. The Jazz have dropped 9 of 11 following a strong start of the season, and they are 9-2 at home this season. EDGE: JAZZ
Dallas is 13-4 against Western Conference opponents this season, the best mark of any team in the West. However, the Mavs are just 3-3 against Western Conference teams on the road, going 5-8 ATS overall away from home. SLIGHT EDGE: JAZZ
Mavericks are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a SU win.
Mavericks are 1-7-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Utah.
Jazz are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing 100+ points.
The home team is 14-3-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings.


Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors (NBATV | 10:30 PM ET)

Golden State has won 4 straight meetings with Minnesota by an average of more than 18 points. The Warriors will be going for their 5th straight win at home and are 7-1 at Oracle Arena since opening the season with 4 straight losses there. BIG EDGE: WARRIORS
Baron Davis (thigh) and Stephen Jackson (knee) both played extended minutes despite nursing injuries in a 105-96 win at Cleveland on Sunday. The Warriors led the Cavs by as many as 28 points, but Davis logged a full 48 minutes while Jackson played nearly 45. SLIGHT EDGE: TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves are 12-30-1 ATS in their last 43 games after allowing 100+ points.
Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meeting in Golden State.
Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win.
The favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

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