CAME ACROSS THIS AND I SORT OF LIKE IT.......SD is on a roll and everyone expects a blowout here, especially now that they need this win to avoid Pats until the conference finals. Well, call me crazy, but I have hard time believing that Norv Turner can outcoach Mike Shanahan twice in one season. SD has the better player on the field, and that's why they are favored, but in games like this one, a veteran coach will find a way to motivate his players. Especially after a 41-3 home loss to these same Chargers earlier this season. SD scored 50+ on Detroit last week, taking advantage of 6 Detroit turnovers. Well, if there is a positive for Denver going into this game, it is the fact that they won the turnover battle in 5 of their last 6 games. Can they do it again ? I think they can. Take a look at last 4 Nationally televised games for SD (SNF, MNF, Playoffs). Rivers is 54 for 109 (49.5%) for 620 yards (155 passing yards per game), 2 TD and 7 int. That my friends is horrible. Add to that 12 turnovers combined by this SD offense (3 per game) and we have a reason to believe that Denver could win the turnover battle tonight. L.Tomlinson has been great for SD again this season, but he too was not very good in two Nationally televised games this season, rushing for 76 yds on 21 carries against Indy and 43 yards on 18 carries at New England. I know he can dominate tonight against a bad Denver defense, but is it enough ? Rivers had a QB rating under 70 in 7 of his last 11 starts. Cutler has 14 TD and 6 Int. since week 7. The running edge definately goes to SD, the passing edge goes to Denver. The turnover battle should be won by Denver and SD has the edge in special teams. Denver will be ready to play a role of spoiler, looking to avoid their first 4 game losing streak to SD in almost 40 years and their first losing season in a while. SD needs it to win to avoid New England before the CC game (it's not like they have a chance against the Pats whenever they play them). 6-8 teams not on a short rest and not favs of >3 pts are 24-11 su and 28-7 ats, winning last 9 SU as road dogs and winning and covering last 8 if revenging 14+ pts loss. 9-5 teams following 1+ wins, after scoring 19+ and allowing 10+ pts are 3-22 ATS if their line is in the +3.5/-9.5 range. Teams not on a 2+ losing streak, revenging a same season loss in which they scored 0 or 3 pts, against a team not on a 5+ winning streak are 31-6 ats.
THE PLAY HERE IS OBVIOUSLY DENVER +9
WITH SO MANY PEOPLE ON SD I AM GOING AGAINST PUBLIC ON THIS 1 AND ITS HARD FOR ME TO DO BUT I AM GOING TO TAKE DENVER AND BITE THE SHIT OUT OF MY FUCKING FINGERS............ DENVER +9 FOR 330-300
GOOD LUCK 2 ALL....ALSO LEANING OVER 47
THE PLAY HERE IS OBVIOUSLY DENVER +9
WITH SO MANY PEOPLE ON SD I AM GOING AGAINST PUBLIC ON THIS 1 AND ITS HARD FOR ME TO DO BUT I AM GOING TO TAKE DENVER AND BITE THE SHIT OUT OF MY FUCKING FINGERS............ DENVER +9 FOR 330-300
GOOD LUCK 2 ALL....ALSO LEANING OVER 47
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