Announcement

**pm530** · 12-13-2007, 05:23 AM

Six-pack for Thursday

NFL trends for Week 15's games........

-- Ravens failed to cover last seven tries as road favorite.

-- Carolina is 3-12-1 vs spread in last sixteen home games.

-- Arizona is 10-2-1 vs spread in last 13 tries as underdog.

-- Bengals covered eight of last eleven as road favorite.

-- Browns covered 12 of last 15 as a favorite.

-- Colts covered eight of last 12 as double digit favorite.

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**pm530** · 12-13-2007, 05:24 AM

Thursday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but..........

13) With Mitchell Report dominating news late Thursday/ Friday, anyone who has some less popular news they want to release might want to do so tomorrow, to avoid the spotlight.

12) George Mitchell is on Red Sox’ Board of Directors; how in the name of Bernie Carbo was he chosen to investigate? Paul Byrd being named as an HGH user during Sox-Indian series was coincidence? I think not.

11) Mitchell loses even more credibility for not talking to Jose Canseco, who seems to know thing or two about performing-enhancing drugs, and likes to talk about it; how could he possibly ignore Canseco?

10) Elsewhere in the world, the Rams sensibly will not fire Scott Linehan after this season’s trainwreck, caused mainly by injuries that decimated a thin team. If they don’t spend a ton of cash on offensive linemen in the offseason, Linehan will get fired at this time next year.

9) The Big 11 finally gave in and will stretch college football season out one more week, putting Ohio State-Michigan on Thanksgiving Saturday. It also shortens the gap between regular season and the bowls, which will help Big 11 teams.

8) Wouldn’t you have liked to have heard the conversation with Bobby Petrino telling Arthur Blank that he was quitting the Falcons, the day after Blank was praising him on national TV? Blank must have been bleeped more than once during that little talk. Athletes aren’t the only people with big egos.

7) History repeats itself: in 1976, with the Jets 3-10, Lou Holtz quit as head coach to take over at Arkansas.

6) Since 1970, in-season replacement coaches are 119-261-1, a .314 winning percentage. Good luck to Emmitt Thomas, the former Chiefs’ DB who has been put in charge of Falcons for the next three weeks.

5) Green Bay is 11-2, but has been favored in only seven of its 13 games.

4) In their last five home games, 49ers had ball 62 times, and scored three TDs. Not good.

3) Browns are 8-5, but are last in NFL, allowing 5.7 yards/play, have committed third-most penalties in NFL, and have an even turnover ratio, which is odd.

2) Miguel Tejada got traded to Houston for gaggle of Astros' prospects/suspects, best known of which is Luke Scott, the outfielder. Interesting to see if Miggy plays short or third for Astros.

1) Thursday would be a good day for the Knicks to fire Isiah Thomas; actually, any day would be a good one, but in terms of publicity, this would lessen crush of media on Madison Square Garden. Losing at home to Seattle has to be the final straw doesn't it? Put the man out of his misery.........

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**pm530** · 12-13-2007, 05:25 AM

National Football League - Dunkel Index

NFL
Dunkel Index

Denver at Houston
Both teams come in with 6-7 records and needing a win to stay in playoff contention. The Broncos put it all together last weekend in a 41-7 blowout over Kansas City. But inconsistency has plagued Denver, especially on the road where the Broncos are just 2-4, including a 14-point loss at Oakland only two weeks ago. Houston has done a decent job of protecting the home field (4-2) and is coming off its best performance in a 28-14 win over New Orleans despite having a league-leading 17 players on injured reserve. Leading the backup attack is QB Sage Rosenfels, who threw for 209 yards and three TDs in place of Matt Schaub last week. The Texans look like a dangerous home underdog (+1) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Houston favored straight up by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Houston (+1). Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 13

Game 251-252: Denver at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 130.667; Houston 132.984
Dunkel Line: Houston by 2 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Denver by 1; 47
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+1); Over

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 15

Game 253-254: Cincinnati at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 128.090; San Francisco 122.920
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 5; 40
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 9 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+9 1/2); Under

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 16

Game 255-256: Arizona at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 125.489; New Orleans 135.115
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 10; 55
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3 1/2); Over

Game 257-258: Atlanta at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 118.824; Tampa Bay 134.702
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 16; 42
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 13; 39
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-13); Over

Game 259-260: Baltimore at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 123.551; Miami 125.356
Dunkel Line: Miami by 2; 43
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3 1/2); Over

Game 261-262: Buffalo at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 124.138; Cleveland 132.616
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 8 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 5 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-5 1/2); Over

Game 263-264: Green Bay at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 140.076; St. Louis 122.589
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 17 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 8; 44
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-8); Over

Game 265-266: Jacksonville at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 141.257; Pittsburgh 136.902
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 4 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 4; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+4); Over

Game 267-268: NY Jets at New England
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 127.045; New England 151.822
Dunkel Line: New England by 25; 52
Vegas Line: New England by 23 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: New England (-23 1/2); Over

Game 269-270: Seattle at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 134.527; Carolina 124.387
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 10; 45
Vegas Line: Seattle by 7; 38
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-7); Over

Game 271-272: Tennessee at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 131.295; Kansas City 125.357
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 6; 37
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 4; 34
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-4); Over

Game 273-274: Indianapolis at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 143.308; Oakland 128.029
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 15 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 10 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-10 1/2); Under

Game 275-276: Detroit at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 127.719; San Diego 139.120
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 11 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: San Diego by 10; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-10); Under

Game 277-278: Philadelphia at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 129.139; Dallas 142.493
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 13 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Dallas by 10; 49
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-10); Over

Game 279-280: Washington at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 125.709; NY Giants 134.387
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 8 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 4 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-4 1/2); Over

MONDAY, DECEMBER 17

Game 281-282: Chicago at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 126.534; Minnesota 139.375
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 13; 46
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 10; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-10); Over

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**pm530** · 12-13-2007, 05:26 AM

National Football League – Long Sheet

NFL
Long Sheet

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Thursday, December 13
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DENVER (6 - 7) at HOUSTON (6 - 7) - 12/13/2007, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, December 15
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CINCINNATI (5 - 8) at SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 10) - 12/15/2007, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Sunday, December 16
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ARIZONA (6 - 7) at NEW ORLEANS (5 - 7) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ATLANTA (3 - 9) at TAMPA BAY (8 - 5) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (4 - 9) at MIAMI (0 - 13) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (7 - 6) at CLEVELAND (8 - 5) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
BUFFALO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GREEN BAY (11 - 2) at ST LOUIS (3 - 10) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (9 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (9 - 4) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 2-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (3 - 10) at NEW ENGLAND (13 - 0) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 41-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 5-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 5-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (9 - 4) at CAROLINA (5 - 8) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 45-69 ATS (-30.9 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 16-35 ATS (-22.5 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
CAROLINA is 70-45 ATS (+20.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
SEATTLE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SEATTLE is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (7 - 6) at KANSAS CITY (4 - 9) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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INDIANAPOLIS (11 - 2) at OAKLAND (4 - 9) - 12/16/2007, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (6 - 7) at SAN DIEGO (8 - 5) - 12/16/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PHILADELPHIA (5 - 8) at DALLAS (12 - 1) - 12/16/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 116-84 ATS (+23.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (6 - 7) at NY GIANTS (9 - 4) - 12/16/2007, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, December 17
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CHICAGO (5 - 8) at MINNESOTA (7 - 6) - 12/17/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 6-24 ATS (-20.4 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
CHICAGO is 6-24 ATS (-20.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**pm530** · 12-13-2007, 05:31 AM

National Football League - Short Sheet

NFL
Short Sheet

Thursday, December 13th

Denver at Houston, 8:15 EST NFL
Denver: 8-1 ATS away off a home win
Houston: 3-13 ATS off a home win

Saturday, December 15th

Cincinnati at San Francisco, 8:15 EST NFL
Cincinnati: 0-6 ATS off an Under
San Francisco: 10-3 ATS after scoring 9 or less points

Sunday, December 16th

Arizona at New Orleans, 1:00 EST
Arizona: 5-1 ATS off a straight up loss
New Orleans: 2-10 ATS as a home favorite

Atlanta at Tampa Bay, 1:00 EST
Atlanta: 13-1 ATS away after allowing 450+ total yards
Tampa Bay: 2-9 ATS after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

Baltimore at Miami, 1:00 EST
Baltimore: 0-6 ATS off a home game
Miami: 6-1 ATS off BB Overs

Buffalo at Cleveland, 1:00 EST
Buffalo: 8-19 ATS off a division win by 10+ points
Cleveland: 6-0 ATS as a favorite

Green Bay at St. Louis, 1:00 EST
Green Bay: 8-2 ATS off a straight up win
St. Louis: 2-8 ATS after scoring 14 or less points

Jacksonville at Pittsburgh, 1:00 EST
Jacksonville: 6-0 Over after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Pittsburgh: 8-1 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points

NY Jets at New England, 1:00 EST
NY Jets: 0-6 ATS away off a loss by 6 or less points
New England: 8-2 ATS vs. conference opponents

Seattle at Carolina, 1:00 EST
Seattle: 8-2 ATS vs. conference opponents
Carolina: 0-7 ATS off a road loss

Tennessee at Kansas City, 1:00 EST
Tennessee: 1-5 ATS off BB home games
Kansas City: 6-0 ATS after scoring 9 or less points

Indianapolis at Oakland, 4:05 EST
Indianapolis: 9-0 ATS off a road win by 21+ points
Oakland: 1-11 ATS in December

Detroit at San Diego, 4:15 EST
Detroit: 3-11 ATS off a home game
San Diego: 28-14 ATS off 3+ ATS wins

Philadelphia at Dallas, 4:15 EST
Philadelphia: 10-2 ATS off a division game
Dallas: 9-2 Over off a straight up win

Washington at NY Giants, 8:15 EST NBC
Washington: 10-23 ATS revenging a home loss
NY Giants: 23-12 ATS vs. conference opponents

Monday, December 17th

Chicago at Minnesota, 8:30 EST ESPN
Chicago: 6-24 ATS away in December
Minnesota: 10-1 Under off a win by 10+ points

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**pm530** · 12-13-2007, 05:33 AM

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up

Week 15 NFL schedule

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Thursday, December 13
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Broncos (6-7) @ Texans (6-7) — Denver lost four of last five road games, allowing 34+ points in all four losses; Broncos quietly became one of more explosive teams, scoring average of 31.2 pg in last five games (14 TDs on last 47 drives). Houston is 4-2 at home, losing to Colts (30-24), Titans (38-36); they’re 6-0 if they allow 21 or less points, 0-7 when they don’t. Over their last four games, Texan opponents started 10 drives in Houston territory- not good. Backup QB Rosenfels has been adequate, but there is dropoff from starter Schaub. Head coaches are close; Shanahan’s son is assistant for Texans. Last six Bronco games, and 11 of their 12 went over the total.

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Saturday, December 15
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Bengals (5-8) @ 49ers (3-10) — Hard to believe Niners started this season 2-0; 3rd-string QB Hill played OK in relief of injured Dilfer last week, but they’re now 1-10 in last 11 games. 49ers lost last five home games, scoring average of 7.2 pg (three TDs on last 62 drives at home). They’ve turned ball over 11 times in last two games (-8). Erratic Bengals are 0-4 vs spread in game following win; they’ve not won consecutive games all year- they won last week. Cincy is 1-5 on road; they’re 1-8 when allowing 24+ points, 4-0 when they don’t- those four wins are by 7-14-29-9 points. 49ers would have trouble scoring 24 on empty field. Five of six Niner home games stayed under total.

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Sunday, December 16
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Cardinals (6-7) @ Saints (6-7) — Winner stays on Vikings’ heels in Wild Card race. Short week for Saints, after Monday night win; they’re 2-4 at home, allowing 37-27 points to Rams, Bucs in last two. Arizona turns ball over too much (2+ TOs in eight of last ten games- they’re 3-1 when they turn it over 0 or 1 time). In last four games, Cardinal TO ratio has been +5/-4/+3/-4; is up to Saints to pressure two-time MVP Warner and force miscues. NO allowed 6.7+ yards/pass in five of last six games, so if Arizona WRs are healthy, this could be high scoring contest. Four of last five Arizona games, five of last seven Saint tilts went over total. Warner lost playoff games by FG each here in both ’00,’01.

Falcons (3-10) @ Tampa Bay (8-5) — Not only is Atlanta travelling on short week, their coach quit on Tuesday, after less than year on job; Bucs won’t have any sympathy, since Gruden and Falcon GM McKay (former Buc GM) aren’t best of buddies. Falcons lost last four games, all by 12+ points; they’re 4-2 as a road dog this year, but this is tough spot, using 4th-string QB on road with interim coaching staff who now have to all be scrambling to find jobs for next year. Bucs won first meeting 31-7 four wks ago (-3), with four takeaways (+2) and 149-49 edge running ball. Tampa won four of last five games, but only one of the four was by more than seven points; they’re 3-1-1 vs. spread as a home favorite.

Ravens (4-9) @ Dolphins (0-13) — Baltimore is off pair of national televised home games vs Pats, Colts, now go on road, trying to avoid being Miami’s first victim of ’07; Ravens lost last seven games, allowing 27+ in last four; they’re 1-6 vs spread as favorite in ’07. Miami home losses are by 17-18-21-3-27 points; they had to go back to Lemon at QB last week, because rookie Beck was so awful. In last eight games, Fish lost field position battle by 7-13-20-17-12-22-10-7 yards; its bad enough if you are a bad team, but then to have to play on longer field makes it worse. Baltimore has two wins this season by more than three points, vs. Bengals (Week 1), Rams (Week 6). Last four Raven games all went over the total.

Bills (7-6) @ Browns (8-5) — Both sides won six of their last eight games; this is key game in AFC Wild Card race. Bills won three of last four road games- they’re 7-1 if they allow 21 or less points,
0-5 if they don’t. Buffalo covered six of its last eight as underdog. Browns scored 24+ in 10 of last 12 games; they’re 1-4 when they score 24 or less, and 3-0 as home favorite, winning its last five at home by 6-14-10-3-10 pts. Favorite is 7-1 vs spread in their last eight games. Improved field position has held Browns; their opponents started 13 drives in Cleveland territory over first six games (scoring 57 points) but in last seven games, they started only seven drives in Brown territory, scoring 24 pts, so Cleveland making foes earn their points.

Packers (11-2) @ Rams (3-10) — Packers are 5-1-1 vs spread as a favorite (not often an 11-2 team has been favored in only seven of 13 games), 5-1 SU on road, with wins by 22-7-6-11-11 points, losing only at Dallas. One of worst games of Favre’s career was six-INT loss in ’01 playoffs in this dome, but those Rams aren’t these Rams, although St Louis is 4-1 vs spread since 0-8 start (1-7 vs spread). Berlin played OK in rainy NFL debut (17-28/153, no sacks, one INT), but only TD was scored by defense that is showing spunk down stretch for Haslett. Over is 9-3 in last dozen Packer games. Would guess Cheeseheads will buy up lot of seats from apathetic Ram fans; not wise to buck Favre this season.

Jaguars (9-4) @ Steelers (9-4) — Spunky Jax is 4-2 vs spread as dog this season, 4-2 SU on road, losing in Superdome (41-24, with Gray at QB), 28-25 at Indy- they’re 9-1 in last ten outdoor games, so elements of Heinz Field shouldn’t bother them- only two of their four losses are by more than FG. Steelers are 7-0 at home, with two easy road games (Rams, Ravens) to follow- their home wins are by 23-21-21-31-3-3-14 points. In last five weeks, Jags ran ball 44-37-26-31-38 times (avg of 35.2), while Steeler opponents ran ball 18-34-23-23-9 times (avg of 21.8), interesting to see if Jax can establish run game on sloppy track. Jaguars have 3+ TDs in each of last five games; their last seven games went over total.

Jets (3-10) @ Patriots (13-0) —It was reported this week that Patriots had Jet cameraman removed from walkway in game at Foxboro LY, which may have been genesis of Spygate Game in Week 1 this year, which NE won 38-14 (-6), when Pats outrushed Jets 134-60 (TY 431-227), had five sacks, averaged 10.6 yards/ pass attempt. Pats averaged 61.6 yds/drive in low-possession game; they’re 5-1 as home favorite, with wins by 24-31-17-45-3-21. Only two of ten Jet losses are by more than 11 pts (34-3 at Dallas was the other); they’re 4-6 vs spread as dog. Over is 11-2 in Patriot games this year; when I saw spread was around 24, my first thought was, "That’s pretty low", since Belichick might want to hang big number on Jets.

Seahawks (9-4) @ Panthers (5-8) — Really impossible to endorse Carolina squad playing Testaverde’s ghost at QB; they’re 1-6 in last seven games, with five losses by 13+ points, and have been outscored 85-31 in second half of last five games, indicating lack of spunk/grit/heart. Panthers have seven TDs on last 93 drives. Seattle clinched fourth NFC West title in row last week, are making third east coast trip in last four weeks, but have won, covered last five games, though only one of last four wins was by more than seven pts. Hawks have three special teams TDs and another on defense in last seven games; they’ve picked off 11 passes in last three games, and held last six foes to 6.0 or less yards per pass.

Titans (7-6) @ Chiefs (4-9) — Damaging loss for Titans last week, blowing 17-3 lead at home in final 10:00, for fourth loss in last five games- they allowed 105 points in last three road games, after giving up only 37 in first three- they’re 3-4 vs spread as favorite. Chiefs are another team without decent QB; they’re 0-6 since bye (1-5 vs spread), with losses by 11-16-3-3-14-34 points; they’re 2-5 at home, with last home win Oct. 14- they went 3/out ten times in 12 drives at Denver last week, getting outgained 453-129. Over last five games, KC turned ball over 14 times (-10). Chiefs have been outscored 76-14 in second half of last five games- they averaged 19.1/10.8 yards/drive in last two games, not good at all.

Colts (11-2) @ Raiders (4-9) — In last three games, Indy had 21-21-37 points at half, so with Clark back in lineup and Ohio State rookie Gonzalez filling in ably for Harrison, Manning’s passing game is back in gear. Not sure if Oakland will use Russell for part of game (he played second quarter in last home game); Raiders got smoked at Lambeau last week, giving up 445 yards, plus two special teams scores, but they won last two at home, upsetting Chiefs, Denver. Colts are 6-1 on road, with last four wins by 22-24-18-24 points. This is their last road game until likely visit to Foxboro for AFC title game Jan. 20. Last three Indy games, last four Oakland games all went over the total.

Lions (6-7) @ Chargers (8-5) — Free-falling Detroit (lost last five games, giving up 37-42-28 points) visits Charger team playing without Merriman, Neal, two of its key players. Bolts won last three games, rallying from 17-3 deficit to win in OT last week in Nashville- they’re 5-1 at home, with wins by 11-14-25-2-18 pts. Lions are 2-4 on road, with losses by 35-31-10-31 points; they forced only five turnovers in last four games (-1), after forcing 28 in first nine (+7). Interesting to see if LT can run on Detroit defense that allowed just one of last seven foes to rush for more than 100 yards (Vikings had 216 two weeks ago). Five of last six Detroit games went over the total.

Eagles (5-8) @ Cowboys (12-1) — Snakebit Philly lost last three games by total of 10 points; they covered last four road games, are 3-3 SU on foreign soil, with losses at Green Bay (16-13), Giants (16-3), Foxboro (31-28). Dallas (-3) won first meeting 38-17 in Week 9, as Romo was 20-25/324 passing (13 yards/pass attempt). Cowboys scored two of their five TDs on drives that started in Eagle territory, as they had 12-yard edge in field position. Dallas is 6-1 at home, 5-1 as home favorite, with wins by 10-28-10-5-31-10 pts. Eagles have only two INTs in their last seven games. Five of last seven Philly games, five of last six Dallas games went over total.

Redskins (6-7) @ Giants (9-4) — Giants play better on road; visiting team won their last five games. Washington had 10 days to breathe after whirlwind week, with loss to Bills, funeral next day, then win Thursday over Bears, snapping four-game skid, but QB Campbell is out now, leaving reins to 36-year old sub Collins, who makes first start in Swamp, where Giants are just 3-3, losing last two, to Vikings, Dallas. Giants (+3.5) won first meeting 24-17 in Week 3, rallying from 17-3 deficit to take lead, then using late goal line stand to preserve it. Skins were +2 in turnovers, had 15-yard edge in field position in first meeting, still lost. Game has more urgency for Redskins, who play Vikings next week.

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Monday, December 17
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Bears (5-8) @ Vikings (7-6) — Red-hot Minnesota won, covered four in row since 34-0 beating at Lambeau; their defense scored four TDs, allowed four in last three games. Vikes are 4-2 as home favorite, winning last three in Metrodome by 35-17/29-22/42-10 scores (13 TDs on 33 drives), running ball for 378-228-216 yards in those three games. Vikings ran ball for 311 yards first meeting, a dramatic 34-31 win when Grossman rallied Bears from two-TD deficit to tie game late (Chicago averaged 8.0 ypp, highest this year). Tough spot for Orton to make first start in couple years (Grossman is out (knee)); Bears lost three of last four games, are 3-4 on road, 2-3 as road dog, with losses by 11-10-7-8 points.

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**pm530** · 12-13-2007, 05:34 AM

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL

Thursday, December 13

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Tips and Trends
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Denver Broncos at Houston Texans (NFL | 8:15 PM ET)

Houston is expected to give undrafted rookie Darius Walker a bulk of the work at RB yet again with Ron Dayne still suffering from an ankle injury. Walker rushed for 46 yards on 16 carries last week and impressed head coach Gary Kubiak with his performance. "He went in there and it was nothing spectacular, but he was very solid," Kubiak said. "I'm proud of the kid. It's a step forward." The Broncos have the fourth-worst run defense in the NFL, which can only help Walker in his second career game. SLIGHT EDGE: TEXANS
Denver also has an undrafted rookie starring in the backfield, as Selvin Young is coming off a career-high 156 yards on 17 carries in a rout of Kansas City last week. Young has totaled 569 yards on the ground this season and is just the sixth undrafted rookie in league history to top the 500-yard mark. EDGE: BRONCOS
Kubiak served as offensive coordinator for the Broncos under Denver head coach Mike Shanahan from 1995-2005. Both teams still run similar offenses, which may explain the success of Sage Rosenfels filling in for Matt Schaub at QB. Kubiak has been a master of fitting different QBs into his system, and Rosenfels has responded by winning the 2 games he's started in place of Schaub. EDGE: TEXANS
Broncos are 1-4 SU & ATS on the road this season.
Texans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
The OVER is 10-2 in Denver's last 12 games as a favorite.
The OVER is 14-3 in Denver's last 17 vs. AFC.
The OVER is 8-1 in Houston's last 9 games in December.
The OVER is 8-2-1 in HOU last 11 games as an underdog.

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**pm530** · 12-13-2007, 05:35 AM

National Football League – Mismatches

NFL

Thursday, December 13

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NFL mismatches: Where to find the edge in Thursday's game
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Three key mismatches in Broncos-Texans game

Denver Broncos at Houston Texans (- 1 1/2, 47)

Broncos wide receiver Brandon Marshall vs. Texans' secondary

Brandon Marshall is developing into one of the best receivers in the NFL. The second-year Broncos star has looked unstoppable recently and should punish the Texans' secondary this week.

Marshall has 279 receiving yards and three touchdowns in his last three games and has become quarterback Jay Cutler's favorite target. At 6-foot-5 and 230 pounds, Marshall is dominant in the air, but also has the power and speed to rip through defenses on the run.

The 22-year-old ranks eighth in the league among receivers with 1,029 yards and six TDs.

The Texans have given up 767 yards in the air and four receiving TDs in their last three contests, two of which were losses.

Texans defensive end Mario Williams vs. Broncos quarterback Jay Cutler

Mario Williams is playing so well that his teammates believe he is a lock to make the Pro Bowl. The defensive end, who has 9.5 sacks this season, can further strengthen his case for the honor with a big performance against Denver and Jay Cutler.

The second-year pro has recorded at least one sack in four straight games and ranks ninth overall in the league. Of all the players with four or more sacks, Williams is the only one who also has at least 40 tackles.

He'll be licking his chops at Thursday's opposition. The Broncos have allowed their quarterback to be sacked at least once each game this season, for a total of 23 times in 13 contests.

Broncos' turnovers gained vs. Texans' turnovers lost

If the Texans learned to take care of the football they would have a much better record than their current 6-7. They are the NFL's worst offenders for turning over the ball, a weakness the Broncos will be eager to expose.

Houston has given away 31 turnovers this season - 16 intercepted passes and 15 fumbles.

Denver, meanwhile, has forced opponents to cough up the ball on 22 occasions, 11 of those interceptions. Cornerback Dre Bly leads the way with 4 INTs this season. He could make life difficult for Houston's backup quarterback Sage Rosenfels, who is expected to start in place of the injured Matt Schaub.

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**pm530** · 12-13-2007, 05:36 AM

National Football League - Gameday

NFL
Gameday

Thursday, December 13

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NFL Gameday
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Thursday NFL Gameday

Week 15 in the NFL kicks off early on Thursday when the Denver Broncos head to Houston to face the Texans. Both the Broncos and the Texans sport a 6-7 record, so the loser of this game will have their slim playoff chances squashed.

The Broncos are coming off a 41-7 drubbing of Kansas City as a 7.5-point favorite. Jay Cutler had his best game of the season in the win, as he completed 20-of-27 passes for 244 yards with four touchdowns. Brandon Marshall led all receivers with 10 receptions for 115 yards with a pair of touchdowns, while Brandon Stokley and Daniel Graham each caught a TD pass.

The Denver passing attack could become even more dangerous this week with speedy receiver Javon Walker possibly returning from a knee injury. The Broncos also had success on the ground last week with Selvin Young rushing for a career-high 156 yards on 17 carries and Travis Henry rushing for 24 yards and a touchdown on 10 carries. On defense the Broncos limited the Chiefs to only 129 yards while forcing three turnovers. Defensive end Elvis Dumervil also had three sacks and now leads Denver with 11 on the season.

Houston pulled of an upset last week when they knocked off Tampa Bay 28-14 as a 3-point underdog. Backup quarterback Sage Rosenfels filled in for injured starter Matt Schaub and impressed while completing 27-of-36 passes for 209 yards with three touchdowns. Rosenfels will get the start again this week with Schaub still sidelined with a shoulder injury. Andre Johnson caught nine passes for 82 yards with a touchdown and Kevin Walter hauled in five passes for 47 yards and a touchdown. Former No. 1 pick Mario Williams recorded his team-leading 9.5th sack of the season in the win.

The Broncos and Texans have only met up once before back in 2004. Denver was a 7-point home favorite in that game and easily covered the spread in a 31-13 win. In the Thursday night game, Denver is listed as a slim 1-point road favorite.

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**pm530** · 12-13-2007, 05:39 AM

College Football - Dunkel Index

NCAAF
Dunkel Index

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 20

Game 303-304: Navy vs. Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 82.940; Utah 92.340
Dunkel Line: Utah by 9 1/2; 56 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah by 8; 66
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-8); Under

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 21

Game 305-306: Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 74.549; Memphis 75.987
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 1 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 3; 67
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+3); Over

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 22

Game 309-310: Southern Mississippi at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 82.077; Cincinnati 97.871
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 16; 53 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 11; 56
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-11); Under

Game 311-312: Nevada vs. New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 86.090; New Mexico 86.684
Dunkel Line: Even; 58
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 3 1/2; 63
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+3 1/2); Under

Game 313-314: UCLA vs. BYU
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 95.600; BYU 98.610
Dunkel Line: BYU by 3; 50
Vegas Line: BYU by 7; 47
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+7); Over

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 23

Game 341-342: East Carolina vs. Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 84.667; Boise State 99.423
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 15; 64
Vegas Line: Boise State by 10 1/2; 72
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-10 1/2); Under

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 26

Game 401-402: Central Michigan vs. Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 81.392; Purdue 85.522
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 4; 75
Vegas Line: Purdue by 9; 72
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+9); Over

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 27

Game 403-404: Texas vs. Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 96.683; Arizona State 99.483
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 3; 68
Vegas Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+2 1/2); Over

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 28

Game 405-406: Michigan State vs. Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 99.341; Boston College 97.258
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 2; 60
Vegas Line: Boston College by 3 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+3 1/2); Over

Game 407-408: TCU vs. Houston
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 95.433; Houston 83.788
Dunkel Line: TCU by 11 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: TCU by 3 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-3 1/2); Over

Game 409-410: Maryland vs. Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 97.194; Oregon State 98.854
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 1 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 4 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+4 1/2); Under

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 29

Game 413-414: Connecticut vs. Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 95.073; Wake Forest 93.060
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 2; 51
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 3 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+3 1/2); Over

Game 415-416: Central Florida vs. Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 87.201; Mississippi State 90.690
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 3 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 3; 60
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+3); Under

Game 417-418: Penn State vs. Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 97.908; Texas A&M 96.335
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 1 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Penn State by 6; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+6); Under

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 30

Game 449-450: Colorado vs. Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 93.541; Alabama 93.507
Dunkel Line: Even; 56
Vegas Line: Alabama by 4; 51
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+4); Over

MONDAY, DECEMBER 31

Game 451-452: Air Force vs. California
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 95.982; California 95.318
Dunkel Line: Even; 52
Vegas Line: California by 4; 54
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+4); Under

Game 453-454: Oregon vs. South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 95.990; South Florida 97.318
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 1 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: South Florida by 7; 52
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+7); Over

Game 455-456: Fresno State vs. Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 88.248; Georgia Tech 90.721
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 2 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 4 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+4 1/2); Under

Game 457-458: Florida State vs. Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 94.005; Kentucky 96.901
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 3; 52
Vegas Line: Pick; 56
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky; Under

Game 459-460: Indiana vs. Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 85.280; Oklahoma State 97.061
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 12; 60
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 4; 69
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-4); Under

Game 461-462: Auburn vs. Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 95.786; Clemson 99.817
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 4; 52 1/2
Vegas Line: Clemson by 1 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-1 1/2); Over

TUESDAY, JANUARY 1

Game 463-464: Wisconsin vs. Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 98.299; Tennessee 97.478
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 1; 62
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 4; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+4); Over

Game 465-466: Arkansas vs. Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 101.992; Missouri 104.454
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 2 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Missouri by 3 1/2; 69 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+3 1/2); Over

Game 467-468: Michigan vs. Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 95.120; Florida 107.493
Dunkel Line: Florida by 12 1/2; 67
Vegas Line: Florida by 9 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-9 1/2); Over

Game 469-470: Texas Tech vs. Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 97.229; Virginia 94.831
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 2 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 5 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+5 1/2); Under

Game 471-472: Illinois vs. USC
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 95.302; USC 105.428
Dunkel Line: USC by 10; 46
Vegas Line: USC by 13 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+13 1/2); Under

Game 473-474: Hawaii vs. Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 99.289; Georgia 103.503
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 4; 64
Vegas Line: Georgia by 9; 69
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+9); Under

WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 2

Game 475-476: West Virginia at Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 107.094; Oklahoma 109.453
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 2 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 7; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+7); Under

THURSDAY, JANUARY 3

Game 477-478: Kansas vs. Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 108.046; Virginia Tech 108.374
Dunkel Line: Even; 57
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 3 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+3 1/2); Over

SATURDAY, JANUARY 5

Game 483-484: Ball State vs. Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 83.401; Rutgers 91.494
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 8; 55
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 10; 60
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+10); Under

SUNDAY, JANUARY 6

Game 489-490: Bowling Green vs. Tulsa
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 83.544; Tulsa 84.741
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 1; 69
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 5; 76
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+5); Under

MONDAY, JANUARY 7

Game 491-492: Ohio State vs. LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 109.014; LSU 112.040
Dunkel Line: LSU by 3; 54
Vegas Line: LSU by 6; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (+6); Over

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**pm530** · 12-13-2007, 05:40 AM

College Football – Long Sheet

NCAAF
Long Sheet

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Thursday, December 20
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NAVY (8 - 4) vs. UTAH (8 - 4) - 12/20/2007, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
UTAH is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
UTAH is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NAVY is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
NAVY is 48-19 ATS (+27.1 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
NAVY is 51-21 ATS (+27.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
NAVY is 97-67 ATS (+23.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 97-67 ATS (+23.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 63-38 ATS (+21.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, December 21
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FLA ATLANTIC (7 - 5) vs. MEMPHIS (7 - 5) - 12/21/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, December 22
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SOUTHERN MISS (7 - 5) vs. CINCINNATI (9 - 3) - 12/22/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEVADA (6 - 6) at NEW MEXICO (8 - 4) - 12/22/2007, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UCLA (6 - 6) vs. BYU (10 - 2) - 12/22/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
UCLA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 1-0 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, December 23
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E CAROLINA (7 - 5) vs. BOISE ST (10 - 2) - 12/23/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 49-19 ATS (+28.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 71-42 ATS (+24.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 71-42 ATS (+24.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 55-32 ATS (+19.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
E CAROLINA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Wednesday, December 26
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C MICHIGAN (8 - 5) vs. PURDUE (7 - 5) - 12/26/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 1-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Thursday, December 27
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TEXAS (9 - 3) vs. ARIZONA ST (10 - 2) - 12/27/2007, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, December 28
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MICHIGAN ST (7 - 5) vs. BOSTON COLLEGE (10 - 3) - 12/28/2007, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TCU (7 - 5) vs. HOUSTON (8 - 4) - 12/28/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MARYLAND (6 - 6) vs. OREGON ST (8 - 4) - 12/28/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON ST is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, December 29
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CONNECTICUT (9 - 3) vs. WAKE FOREST (8 - 4) - 12/29/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CONNECTICUT is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 1-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 1-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCF (10 - 3) vs. MISSISSIPPI ST (7 - 5) - 12/29/2007, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PENN ST (8 - 4) vs. TEXAS A&M (7 - 5) - 12/29/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Sunday, December 30
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COLORADO (6 - 6) vs. ALABAMA (6 - 6) - 12/30/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
ALABAMA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
ALABAMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, December 31, 2007
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AIR FORCE (9 - 3) vs. CALIFORNIA (6 - 6) - 12/31/2007, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
AIR FORCE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
AIR FORCE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
AIR FORCE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
CALIFORNIA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
CALIFORNIA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CALIFORNIA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 32-55 ATS (-28.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OREGON (8 - 4) vs. S FLORIDA (9 - 3) - 12/31/2007, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FRESNO ST (8 - 4) vs. GEORGIA TECH (7 - 5) - 12/31/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLORIDA ST (7 - 5) vs. KENTUCKY (7 - 5) - 12/31/2007, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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INDIANA (7 - 5) vs. OKLAHOMA ST (6 - 6) - 12/31/2007, 5:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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AUBURN (8 - 4) vs. CLEMSON (9 - 3) - 12/31/2007, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Tuesday, January 1, 2008
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WISCONSIN (9 - 3) vs. TENNESSEE (9 - 4) - 1/1/2008, 11:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS (8 - 4) vs. MISSOURI (11 - 2) - 1/1/2008, 11:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MICHIGAN (8 - 4) vs. FLORIDA (9 - 3) - 1/1/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TEXAS TECH (8 - 4) vs. VIRGINIA (9 - 3) - 1/1/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ILLINOIS (9 - 3) vs. USC (10 - 2) - 1/1/2008, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAWAII (12 - 0) vs. GEORGIA (10 - 2) - 1/1/2008, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wednesday, January 2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W VIRGINIA (10 - 2) vs. OKLAHOMA (11 - 2) - 1/2/2008, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday, January 3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS (11 - 1) vs. VIRGINIA TECH (11 - 2) - 1/3/2008, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 46-75 ATS (-36.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 25-48 ATS (-27.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 39-59 ATS (-25.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 32-9 ATS (+22.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
KANSAS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
KANSAS is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday, January 5
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BALL ST (7 - 5) vs. RUTGERS (7 - 5) - 1/5/2008, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, January 6
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BOWLING GREEN (8 - 4) vs. TULSA (9 - 4) - 1/6/2008, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday, January 7
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OHIO ST (11 - 1) vs. LSU (11 - 2) - 1/7/2008, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**pm530** · 12-13-2007, 05:41 AM

College Football – Short Sheet

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Thursday, December 20th

SDC Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
San Diego, California
TV: ESPN
Navy vs. Utah, 9:00 ET

Navy:
6-1 Over off a conference game
9-2 Over after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games

Utah:
10-2 ATS off 3+ conference games
23-9 ATS playing with rest

Friday, December 21st

R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
New Orleans, Louisiana
TV: ESPN2
Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis, 8:00 ET

Florida Atlantic:
6-1 Over off an Over
6-0 Over in the second half of the season

Memphis:
3-12 ATS off BB conference wins
2-14 ATS after scoring 42+ points

Saturday, December 22nd

PapaJohns.com Bowl
Birmingham, Alabama
TV: ESPN2
Southern Miss vs. Cincinnati, 1:00 ET

Southern Miss:
0-6 ATS as an underdog
6-16 ATS off a SU win / ATS loss

Cincinnati:
12-2 ATS off an ATS win
5-1 ATS off a win by 21+ points

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New Mexico Bowl
Albuquerque, New Mexico
TV: ESPN
Nevada vs. New Mexico, 4:30 ET

Nevada:
7-0 Under away after scoring 42+ points
9-1 Under away off 3+ conference games

New Mexico:
0-9 ATS after allowing 6 or less points
1-8 ATS after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

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Pioneer Las Vegas Bowl
Las Vegas, Nevada
TV: ESPN
UCLA vs. BYU, 8:00 ET

UCLA:
9-1 ATS as an underdog
8-1 ATS off a conference loss

BYU:
10-2 Under playing on a neutral field
29-14 Under as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

Sunday, December 23rd

Sheriton Hawaii Bowl
Honolulu, Hawaii
TV: ESPN
East Carolina vs. Boise State, 8:00 ET

East Carolina:
14-4 Under after winning 3 of their last 4 games
12-5 Under off BB conference games

Boise State:
41-12 ATS off BB conference games
18-3 ATS with a total of 63+ points

Wednesday, December 26th

Motor City Bowl
Detroit, Michigan
TV: ESPN
Central Michigan vs. Purdue, 7:30 ET

Central Michigan:
14-5 ATS playing on artificial turf
10-2 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games

Purdue:
9-0 Under off BB losses
16-6 Under off a conference game

Thursday, December 27th

Pacific Life Holiday Bowl
San Diego, California
TV: ESPN
Texas vs. Arizona State, 8:00 ET

Texas:
13-3 ATS off 3+ Overs
10-2 ATS after allowing 525+ total yards

Arizona State:
11-2 Under away off a home game
12-4 Under away off a conference game

Friday, December 28th

Champs Sports Bowl
Orlando, Florida
TV: ESPN
Michigan State vs. Boston College, 5:00 ET

Michigan State:
6-16 ATS off a conference game
6-16 ATS off BB games with combined scores of 60+ points

Boston College:
12-4 Under playing on grass fields
21-9 Under away off an ATS loss

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Texas Bowl
Houston, Texas
TV: NFL
TCU vs. Houston, 8:00 ET

TCU:
10-1 ATS off BB conference wins
16-5 ATS after having 275+ rushing yards

Houston:
6-0 Under off an ATS loss
6-0 Under away off a combined score of 60+ points

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Emerald Bowl
San Francisco, California
TV: ESPN
Maryland vs. Oregon State, 8:30 ET

Maryland:
17-3 Under after scoring 37+ points
14-4 Under after committing 0 turnovers

Oregon State:
10-2 ATS off a conference win by 7 or less points
12-3 ATS off BB conference games

Saturday, December 29th

Meineke Car Care Bowl
Charlotte, North Carolina
TV: ESPN
Connecticut vs. Wake Forest, 1:00 ET

Connecticut:
8-1 ATS off a road loss
21-8 ATS away vs. non-conference opponents

Wake Forest:
16-6 Under vs. non-conference opponents
8-2 Under off BB games forcing 3+ turnovers

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AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Memphis, Tennessee
TV: ESPN
Central Florida vs. Mississippi State, 4:30 ET

Central Florida:
6-1 Under off a conference win
7-0 Under after allowing 325+ passing yards

Mississippi State:
16-30 ATS off an Under
1-5 ATS off a home win

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Valero Alamo Bowl
San Antonio, Texas
TV: ESPN
Penn State vs. Texas A&M, 8:00 ET

Penn State:
16-5 Under away vs. non-conference opponents
22-9 Under off a combined score of 60+ points

Texas A&M:
1-12 ATS after gaining 525+ total yards
4-14 ATS away playing with rest

Sunday, December 30th

PetroSun Indepedence Bowl
Shreveport, Louisiana
TV: ESPN
Colorado vs. Alabama, 8:00 ET

Colorado:
10-1 Over after scoring 50+ points
6-0 Over after allowing 325+ passing yards

Alabama:
3-11 ATS as a favorite
0-6 ATS off BB losses

Monday, December 31st

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl
Fort Worth, Texas
TV: ESPN
Air Force at California, 12:30 ET

Air Force:
7-1 ATS off a straight up win
13-3 ATS away playing with 2+ weeks rest

California:
0-7 ATS off BB conference games
2-10 ATS off a straight up loss

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Brut Sun Bowl
El Paso, Texas
TV: CBS
Oregon vs. South Florida, 2:00 ET

Oregon:
16-6 ATS off a home loss
9-2 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers

South Florida:
9-2 Under after winning 2 of their last 3 games
5-1 Under off BB conference wins

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Roady's Humanitarian Bowl
El Paso, Texas
TV: ESPN2
Fresno State vs. Georgia Tech, 2:00 ET

Fresno State:
20-8 Over playing on artificial turf
22-10 Over off an Under

Georgia Tech:
1-9 ATS off BB Overs
1-5 ATS off a home game

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Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl
Nashville, Tennessee
TV: ESPN
Florida State vs. Kentucky, 4:00 ET

Florida State:
6-1 ATS after allowing 37+ points
5-1 ATS off 3+ games forcing 1 or 0 turnovers

Kentucky:
11-3 Under playing with 2+ weeks rest
12-2 Under off BB conference losses

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Insight Bowl
Tempe, Arizona
TV: NFL
Indiana vs. Oklahoma State, 5:30 ET

Indiana:
4-15 ATS off 5+ games committing 2+ turnovers
1-5 ATS off a home win by 3 or less points

Oklahoma State:
13-3 Over off an ATS loss
5-1 Over off BB road games

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Chick-fil-A Bowl
Atlanta, Georgia
TV: ESPN
(TC) Auburn vs. Clemson, 7:30 ET

Auburn:
6-1 ATS as an underdog
5-1 ATS with a line of +3 to -3

Clemson:
9-2 Under in bowl games
16-6 Under after winning 4 of their last 5 games

Tuesday, January 1st

Outback Bowl
Tampa, Florida
TV: ESPN
Wisconsin vs. Tennessee, 11:00am ET

Wisconsin:
10-2 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
39-22 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers

Tennessee:
5-1 Under off BB games with 40+ pass attempts
8-3 Under off 3+ conference games

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AT&T Cotton Bowl
Dallas, Texas
TV: FOX
Arkansas vs. Missouri, 11:30am ET

Arkansas:
7-1 ATS off BB games allowing 31+ points
15-4 ATS off a combined score of 70+ points

Missouri:
24-7 Over after committing 1 or 0 turnovers
7-3 Over off a loss by 21+ points

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Capital One Bowl
Orlando, Florida
TV: ABC
Michigan vs. Florida, 1:00 ET

Michigan:
0-5 ATS after having 100 or less rushing yards
3-7 ATS off a straight up loss

Florida:
9-2 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
6-1 ATS off an ATS win as a favorite of 10+ points

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Gator Bowl
Jacksonville, Florida
TV: CBS
Texas Tech vs. Virginia, 1:00 ET

Texas Tech:
0-8 ATS away off a conference win
0-7 ATS away off an ATS win

Virginia:
10-2 Under off a straight up loss
8-1 Under after having 100 or less rushing yards

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Rose Bowl presented by Citi
Pasadena, California
TV: ABC
Illinois vs. USC, 4:30 ET

Illinois:
7-1 ATS off a straight up win
10-2 ATS away after scoring 37+ points

USC:
9-2 Under as a favorite
7-1 Under off a conference game

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Sugar Bowl
New Orleans, Louisiana
TV: FOX
Hawaii vs. Georgia, 8:30 ET

Hawaii:
7-1 Under off 7+ wins
6-1 Under playing on artificial turf

Georgia:
17-5 ATS away vs. non-conference opponents
21-9 ATS away off an Under

Wednesday, January 2nd

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl
Glendale, Arizona
TV: FOX
West Virginia vs. Oklahoma, 8:00 ET

West Virginia:
8-1 ATS away off an ATS loss
6-0 ATS off BB games having 125 or less passing yards

Oklahoma:
8-1 Under away off 3+ conference games
14-4 Under as a neutral field favorite

Thursday, January 3rd

FedEx Orand Bowl
Miami, Florida
TV: FOX
Kansas vs. Virginia Tech, 8:00 ET

Kansas:
3-12 ATS after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
25-48 ATS off a conference loss

Virginia Tech:
7-1 ATS off a conference game
15-5 ATS in the second half of the season

Saturday, January 5th

International Bowl
Toronto, Canada
TV: ESPN2
Ball State vs. Rutgers, 12:00 ET

Ball State:
9-1 ATS off an ATS loss
6-1 ATS off a win by 6 or less points

Rutgers:
10-4 Over off BB conference games
4-1 Over playing with 2+ days rest

Sunday, January 6th

GMAC Bowl
Mobile, Alabama
TV: ESPN
Bowling Green vs. Tulsa, 8:00 ET

Bowling Green:
19-8 ATS off a home win by 17+ points
16-6 ATS after allowing 3 or less first-half points

Tulsa:
0-6 ATS after allowing 37+ points
0-8 ATS after having 475+ total yards

Monday, January 7th

BCS Championship Game
New Orleans, Louisiana
TV: FOX
Ohio State vs. LSU, 8:00 ET

Ohio State:
12-1 ATS off an Under
10-2 ATS off a road game

LSU:
1-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
1-5 ATS off an ATS loss

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**pm530** · 12-13-2007, 05:44 AM

College Football – Tips & Trends

NCAAF
Tips and Trends

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

(Note: Additional info should be available on subsequent updates)

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 20TH

San Diego Co. Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl - San Diego, CA
Utah vs. Navy (ESPN | 9 PM ET)

Utah has won 6 straight bowl games, the second-longest postseason winning streak in the nation.
Navy’s owns the top-ranked rushing offense in the country and faces the top scoring defense in the Mountain West. However, Air Force rolled 334 yards on the ground against the Utes in a 20-12 win back on September 8 th.
Navy is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games vs. Mountain West opponents.
The OVER is 8-2 in Navy’s last 10 neutral site games.
The OVER is 9-3 in Navy’s last 12 non-conference games.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 21ST

R&L Carriers Bowl - New Orleans, LA
Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis (ESPN2 | 8 PM ET)

Memphis won 5 of 6 to end the season following the tragic shooting death of DL Taylor Bradford.
The OVER is 8-2 in Florida Atlantic’s last 10 non-conference games.

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 22ND

PapJohns.com Bowl - Birmingham, AL
Cincinnati vs. Southern Miss (ESPN2 | 1 PM ET)

Tale of two coaches here as Cincinnati’s Brian Kelly is on the hot list for every major job in the country after turning the Bearcats into a Top 25 team while Southern Miss’ Jeff Bower resigned and will be coaching his last game for the Golden Eagles.
Cincinnati is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games.

New Mexico Bowl - Albuquerque, NM
New Mexico vs. Nevada (ESPN | 4:30 PM ET)

This is essentially a home game for the Lobos, who were 5-1 SU in Albuquerque this year but only 2-3 ATS. In fact, New Mexico is just 6-13 ATS in its last 19 home games.
Nevada freshman QB Colin Kaepernick was 4-3 as a starter this season, but 3 of those losses were decided by a combined 7 points. The Wolfpack covered 2 of those 3 losses but dropped 5 of 6 ATS overall to end the season.
Nevada is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games on grass.

Pioneer PureVision Las Vegas Bowl - Las Vegas, NV
BYU vs. UCLA (ESPN | 8 PM ET)

Second meeting between the teams after UCLA won 27-17 in Week 2. BYU has won 9 straight since then while the Bruins finished the season at 6-6 and fired head coach Karl Dorrell.
UCLA is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games vs. Mountain West opponents.
The UNDER is 9-2 in UCLA’s last 11 games vs. Mountain West opponents.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 23RD

Sheraton Hawaii Bowl - Honolulu, HI
East Carolina vs. Boise State (ESPN | 8 PM ET)

East Carolina played only 2 ranked teams all season, losing to Virginia Tech and West Virginia by a combined score of 65-14.
The Broncos return to Hawaii for the second time in a month after losing to the Warriors 39-27 back on November 23 rd.
The UNDER is 8-2 in Boise State’s last 10 non-conference games.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 26TH

Motor City Bowl - Detroit, MI
Purdue vs. Central Michigan (ESPN | 8 PM ET)

Insiders believe this is a classic power conference vs. mid-major “mismatch” where the public will likely assume the bigger, more physical Boilermakers will push the Chippewas around. However, Purdue dropped 3 straight to close out the regular season following a 5-0 start and finished a disappointing 3-5 in Big Ten play. Central Michigan won 4 of 5 before winning the MAC title game.
Central Michigan is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games vs. Big Ten opponents.
Purdue is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games vs. MAC opponents.
The OVER is 7-1-1 in Central Michigan’s last 9 non-conference games.
The OVER is 7-1 in Central Michigan’s last 8 games overall.
The OVER is 7-3-1 in Purdue’s last 11 non-conference games.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 27TH

Pacific Life Holiday Bowl - San Diego, CA
Texas vs. Arizona State (ESPN | 8 PM ET)

The OVER is 8-2 in Texas’ last 10 games as a favorite.
The OVER is 10-3 in Texas’ last 13 non-conference games.
The UNDER is 12-2 in Arizona State’s last 15 games overall.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 28TH

Champs Sports Bowl - Orlando, FL
Boston College vs. Michigan State (ESPN | 5 PM ET)

Michigan State is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games on grass.
Boston College is 15-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The OVER is 7-2 in Boston College’s last 9 games as a favorite.

Texas Bowl - Houston, TX
TCU vs. Houston (NFL | 8 PM ET)

TCU is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 vs. Conference USA.
The UNDER is 8-2 in TCU’s last 10 games as a favorite.

Emerald Bowl - San Francisco, CA
Maryland vs. Oregon State (ESPN | 8:30 PM ET)

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 29TH

Meineke Car Care Bowl - Charlotte, NC
Wake Forest vs. Connecticut (ESPN | 1 PM ET)

UConn is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games on grass.
UConn is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 overall.
The UNDER is 11-4 in UConn’s last 15 non-conference games.
The OVER is 7-2 in Wake Forest’s last 9 games.

AutoZona Liberty Bowl - Memphis, TN
Central Florida vs. Mississippi State (ESPN | 4:30 PM ET)

The UNDER is 8-3 in Mississippi State’s last 11 vs. Conference USA.

Alamo Bowl - San Antonio, TX
Penn State vs. Texas A&M (ESPN | 8 PM ET)

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 30TH

Petro Sun Independence Bowl - Shreveport, LA
Colorado vs. Alabama (ESPN | 8 PM ET)

MONDAY, DECEMBER 31ST

Bell Helicoptor Armed Forces Bowl - Fort Worth, TX
Air Force vs. California (ESPN | 12:30 PM ET)

While Air Force has won six of its last seven games, the game they lost, 34-31 to New Mexico, was the only team of the bunch to finish the season with a winning record. Going back even farther, the last win Air Force had over a winning team was on September 13th, when they beat Texas Christian, 20-17.
Although the Bears have lost five of their last six games, it gives the team a chance to finish on an up note, and begin laying the foundation for next season. The game also marks a homecoming for the two Golden Bears from the Dallas area, Justin Forsett and Brock Mansion.
Motivation could again be a huge factor, as Cal lost $10 in slipping from Rose Bowl to Holiday Bowl and got blown out 45-31 by Texas Tech as an 11-point favorite back in 2004.
Cal is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games on grass.
The OVER is 13-6 in Air Force’s last 19 games as an underdog.

Sun Bowl - El Paso, TX
South Florida vs. Oregon (CBS | 2 PM ET)

Oregon is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on turf.
South Florida is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games overall.
The OVER is 7-3 in Oregon’s last 10 non-conference games.

Humanitarian Bowl - Boise, ID
Georgia Tech vs. Fresno State (ESPN2 | 2 PM ET)

Fresno State is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games overall.
The OVER is 10-4 in Fresno’s last 14 games as an underdog.
The OVER is 6-2 in Fresno’s last 8 games on turf.

Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl - Nashville, TN
Kentucky vs. Florida State (ESPN | 4 PM ET)

Chick-fil-A Bowl - Atlanta, GA
Auburn vs. Clemson (ESPN | 7:30 PM ET)

Auburn is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games overall.
Clemson is 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The UNDER is 15-5 in Auburn’s last 20 games as an underdog.
The UNDER is 11-5 in Clemson’s last 16 non-conference games.

Insight Bowl - Tempe, AZ
Indiana vs. Oklahoma State (NFL | TBA)

Indiana is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on grass.
The OVER is 16-7 in Indiana’s last 23 games as an underdog.
The OVER is 7-2 in Oklahoma State’s last 9 games as a favorite.

TUESDAY, JANUARY 1ST

Outback Bowl - Tampa Bay, FL
Wisconsin vs. Tennessee (ESPN | 11 AM ET)

Wisconsin is 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Wisconsin is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games overall.

AT&T Cotton Bowl - Dallas, TX
Missouri vs. Arkansas (FOX | 11:30 AM ET)

Missouri is 8-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Missouri is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games overall.
The OVER is 8-2 in Arkansas’ last 10 non-conference games.
The OVER is 10-4 in Missouri’s last 14 games overall.

Gator Bowl - Jacksonville, FL
Virginia vs. Texas Tech (CBS | 1 PM ET)

The UNDER is 11-5-1 in Virginia’s last 17 games overall.

Capital One Bowl - Orlando, FL
Michigan vs. Florida (ABC | 1 PM ET)

The OVER is 8-1 in Michigan’s last 9 Bowl games.
The UNDER is 9-4 in Florida’s last 13 non-conference games.

Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA
USC vs. Illinois (ABC | 4:30 PM ET)

Insiders believe no team will benefit more from the extra time off than the Trojans, who were also beat up at the end of last season before beating Michigan 32-18 in the Rose Bowl. Injuries ultimately hurt USC’s shot at the national championship, as both of the team’s losses happened with backup QB Mark Sanchez under center. Many considered the Trojans the most dangerous team in the country at the end of the season with the early losses costing them a BCS spot.
Illinois is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games on grass.
Illinois is 10-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The UNDER is 10-1 in Illinois’ last 11 games on grass.
The UNDER is 16-5 in USC’s last 21 games overall.

Allstate Sugar Bowl - New Orleans, LA
Hawaii vs. Georgia (FOX | 8:30 PM ET)

Oddsmakers opened Hawaii at +8 in this game after Boise State’s stunning win over Oklahoma last year in the Fiesta Bowl, but the public quickly bet this number up to 11 points in favor of Georgia. Many still believe Hawaii’s schedule that produced an unbeaten season was too soft and lacked a legitimate power conference opponent like the Bulldogs.
Georgia likely won’t be overconfident in this game after underestimating West Virginia in the 2006 Sugar Bowl. The Bulldogs were blown out by the Mountaineers in the first half before a furious rally came up short. They realize this is a statement game for them, which could lead to a preseason #1 ranking next year with an impressive victory.
Two very different offenses will take the field in New Orleans, as Georgia would love to control the clock with a power running game while Hawaii looks to light up the scoreboard with a pass-happy attack led by Heisman Trophy contender Colt Brennan. Some insiders think the Bulldogs will get a major test defensively since the closest thing to Hawaii’s offense in the SEC is Kentucky.
Hawaii is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 games on turf.
Hawaii is 7-18 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The OVER is 23-9-1 in Hawaii’s last 33 games on turf.

WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 2ND

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl - Glendale, AZ
Oklahoma vs. West Virginia (FOX | 8 PM ET)

Oklahoma played in this game a year ago and saw an underrated Boise State team pull off a shocking upset. The Sooners have had to listen to how they “let themselves get beat” by the Broncos every day since then and just got done beating a Missouri team that said “they beat themselves” in the first meeting. Oklahoma head coach Bob Stoops takes revenge very seriously, so you can bet he will have his team fired up for an explosive West Virginia team with a similar run-oriented attack as Boise.
West Virginia is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on grass.
West Virginia is 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The OVER is 7-1 in Oklahoma’s last 8 non-conference games.
The UNDER is 6-1 in Oklahoma’s last 8 Bowl games.
The UNDER is 7-3 in West Virginia’s last 10 games overall.

THURSDAY, JANUARY 3RD

FedEx Orange Bowl - Miami, FL
Virginia Tech vs. Kansas (FOX | 8 PM ET)

Kansas is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 games overall.
The OVER is 6-2 in Kansas’ last 8 games as an underdog.
The OVER is 14-6 in Kansas’ last 20 non-conference games.

SATURDAY, JANUARY 5TH

International Bowl - Toronto, ON
Rutgers vs. Ball State (ESPN2 | 12 PM ET)

Ball State is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games overall.
Rutgers is 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

SUNDAY, JANUARY 6TH

GMAC Bowl - Mobile, AL
Tulsa vs. Bowling Green (ESPN | 8 PM ET)

Tulsa is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games overall.
The UNDER is 9-4 in Bowling Green’s last 13 games on grass.
The OVER is 9-4 in Bowling Green’s last 13 non-conference games.

MONDAY, JANUARY 7TH

BCS National Championship - New Orleans, LA
Ohio State vs. Louisiana State (FOX | 8 PM ET)

Last year, the extended time off (51 days) between games really cooled off the previously unbeaten Buckeyes, and insiders feel that same problem will recur against the SEC’s best team. The Tigers have the most NFL talent on their roster and will be able to make good use of the break to heal their wounds, just like USC did in last year’s Rose Bowl. That’s bad news for the Buckeyes and could very well lead to another ugly title game.
Ohio State is 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Ohio State is 23-8 ATS in its last 31 games overall.
LSU is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games on turf.
LSU is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games overall.
Underdog is 6-3 SU in BCS title games, winning 4 of last 5.

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**pm530** · 12-13-2007, 05:45 AM

National Basketball Association – Write up

NBA
Write-up

Thursday, December 13

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Today's NBA analysis

Hot Teams
-- Miami won last two games, scoring 108.5 ppg; they covered four of last five games. Wizards won four of last five games, covered 12 of last 16.
-- Lakers won last three games, scoring 116.7 ppg. Spurs won ten of last 12 games, covered nine of last eleven.

Cold Teams
-- None.

Series Records
-- Miami won three of four against Wizards LY, winning both games here, 106-104/85-82.
-- Lakers, Spurs split their last four games; Spurs won in first meeting this season 107-92 back on Nov 13.

Totals
-- Last five Miami games went over the total.
-- Three of last four San Antonio games stayed under total.

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Announcement

Thursday Trends and Indexes 12/13

Thursday Trends and Indexes 12/13

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