Announcement

**pm530** · 12-02-2007, 05:19 AM

Six-pack for Sunday

NFL trends to consider for Week 13 games.

-- Titans covered one of last eight as a division favorite.

-- Broncos covered zero of last five as a division favorite.

-- Seahawks are 3-12 vs spread as non-divisional road dog.

-- Chiefs are 19-7-2 vs spread in last 28 tries as a home dog.

-- Buccaneers covered six of last eight division road games.

-- Carolina is 2-11-1 vs spread in last fourteen home games.

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**pm530** · 12-02-2007, 05:20 AM

Sunday's List of 13: Summing up first day of December

It was a bad day for the BCS, a worse day for West Virginia

13) At 3:16am ET Sunday morning, a pass hit a Washington WR in hands in end zone, deflected to a Hawai'i defender, as Rainbow Warriors capped a 12-0 regular season with a 35-28 comeback win over the Huskies, clinching berth in BCS bowl, most probably the Sugar Bowl. Against whom? Who knows?

12) Hawai'i played a pathetic first quarter, trailed 28-7 in first half before waking up, then shut Washington out in second half, scoring winning TD in last minute. Lot of close wins vs suspect teams for Hawai'i, but 12-0 is 12-0; they deserve the chance to test themselves against one of best teams in land.

11) So Les Miles isn't going to Michigan, which could make this an even worse day for West Virginia, if coach Rodriguez becomes a candidate there. Losing to Pitt is bad for West Va on several fronts, not the least of which is recruiting.

10) One official did his darndest in last few minutes to help West Virginia get to national title game; he called holding on WR Turner to nullify a Pitt first down; then, on next play, the same guy ignored a blatant holding penalty that allowed the Mountaineers to get ball back. If I ran Big East office, I'd fire that ref, because he's either incompetent or corrupt. Or both.

9) Glad to see Oregon-Oregon State rivalry make it onto TV this year; it is fairly bitter series, but usually gets relegated to Fox Sports Net or no TV at all. Was good ballgame, with the Beavers nipping Oregon, sending Ducks into bowl in freefall.

8) Oregon has three sets of helmets, by the way; they wore the gold ones Saturday, possibly for first time. There has to be a department in that school that could use that money for its budget, rather than wasting it on two extra sets of helmets.

7) The Smith kid who is running back at Central Florida does remind us of DeAngelo Williams from Memphis State couple years back; if he comes back to UCF, could make run at lot of postseason awards in 2008.

6) By the way, George O'Leary's Knights are 10-3, heading to the Liberty Bowl (it gets cold in Memphis in late December, which could work against Knights), while Notre Dame lost nine of twelve games this year. There is some justice.

5) Congrats to Florida International on beating North Texas and snapping long losing streak. Losing sucks, especially if it is all you ever do. Good to see them win a game.

4) Cal was unbeaten and ranked 2nd in country at one point this season; they finished regular season 6-6. Jim Harbaugh beat USC and Cal in his first year on Farm, a decent start.

3) Karl Dorrell's UCLA Bruins got outrushed 247-11, were 0 for 11 on third down, and had four turnovers in 24-7 loss to USC that could clinch idea that someone else will be coach of the Bruins in '08. Maybe even Bruin alum Rick Neuheisel?

2) In hoop, Gonzaga beat UConn in Boston, as Huskies' slide from nation's elite continues. Zags were in Alaska last week, in Philly during week, in Boston Saturday. They have to be at least a little tired, but they had great poise Saturday.

1) Army won't beat Navy until Paul Johnson leaves the Naval Academy; Arkansas? UCLA? Michigan? Get the guy a job with a much bigger paycheck; he has earned it.

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**pm530** · 12-02-2007, 05:22 AM

National Football League - Dunkel Index

NFL
Dunkel Index

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 2

Game 337-338: Atlanta at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 122.793; St. Louis 124.042
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 4; 42
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+4); Under

Game 339-340: Buffalo at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 128.104; Washington 129.111
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 42
Vegas Line: Washington by 6; 37
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+6); Over

Game 341-342: Detroit at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 127.897; Minnesota 135.679
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 8; 49
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3); Over

Game 343-344: Houston at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 127.735; Tennessee 127.515
Dunkel Line: Even; 38
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 4; 42
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+4); Under

Game 345-346: Jacksonville at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 138.389; Indianapolis 143.401
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 5; 42
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 7; 45
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+7); Under

Game 347-348: NY Jets at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 122.702; Miami 127.504
Dunkel Line: Miami by 5; 32
Vegas Line: Miami by 1; 38
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-1); Under

Game 349-350: San Diego at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 134.437; Kansas City 131.143
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 3 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: San Diego by 5 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+5 1/2); Over

Game 351-352: Seattle at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 129.959; Philadelphia 131.823
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 47
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3); Over

Game 353-354: San Francisco at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 120.807; Carolina 126.957
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 6; 38
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3; 35 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-3); Over

Game 355-356: Tampa Bay at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 133.216; New Orleans 133.682
Dunkel Line: Even; 39
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+3 1/2); Under

Game 357-358: Cleveland at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 130.410; Arizona 129.225
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 60
Vegas Line: Arizona by 1; 52
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+1); Over

Game 359-360: Denver at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 127.919; Oakland 127.498
Dunkel Line: Even; 40
Vegas Line: Denver by 3 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+3 1/2); Under

Game 361-362: NY Giants at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 129.346; Chicago 132.112
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 3; 40
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 2 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+2 1/2); Under

Game 363-364: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 127.795; Pittsburgh 139.407
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 12; 42
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 7; 48
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-7); Under

MONDAY, DECEMBER 3

Game 365-366: New England at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: New England 152.649; Baltimore 125.195
Dunkel Line: New England by 27 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: New England by 20 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-20 1/2); Over

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**pm530** · 12-02-2007, 05:24 AM

National Football League – Long Sheet

NFL
Long Sheet

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Sunday, December 2
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ATLANTA (3 - 8) at ST LOUIS (2 - 9) - 12/2/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (5 - 6) at WASHINGTON (5 - 6) - 12/2/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 41-66 ATS (-31.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (6 - 5) at MINNESOTA (5 - 6) - 12/2/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (5 - 6) at TENNESSEE (6 - 5) - 12/2/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 5-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (8 - 3) at INDIANAPOLIS (9 - 2) - 12/2/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-2 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (2 - 9) at MIAMI (0 - 10) - 12/2/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 4-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN DIEGO (6 - 5) at KANSAS CITY (4 - 7) - 12/2/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 3-2 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (7 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 6) - 12/2/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 8) at CAROLINA (4 - 7) - 12/2/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CAROLINA is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TAMPA BAY (7 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (5 - 6) - 12/2/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 49-72 ATS (-30.2 Units) in home games in dome games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 49-72 ATS (-30.2 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games in December games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 49-75 ATS (-33.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 49-75 ATS (-33.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (7 - 4) at ARIZONA (5 - 6) - 12/2/2007, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DENVER (5 - 6) at OAKLAND (3 - 8) - 12/2/2007, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss against opponent over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 22-47 ATS (-29.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (7 - 4) at CHICAGO (5 - 6) - 12/2/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (4 - 7) at PITTSBURGH (7 - 3) - 12/2/2007, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, December 3
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NEW ENGLAND (11 - 0) at BALTIMORE (4 - 7) - 12/3/2007, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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**pm530** · 12-02-2007, 05:28 AM

National Football League - Short Sheet

NFL
Short Sheet

Sunday, December 2nd

Atlanta at St. Louis, 1:00 EST
Atlanta: 6-1 ATS off BB Overs
St. Louis: 1-6 ATS off an Under

Buffalo at Washington, 1:00 EST
Buffalo: 7-2 ATS off BB Overs
Washington: 0-5 ATS off BB games with 400+ total yards

Detroit at Minnesota, 1:00 EST
Detroit: 18-6 ATS off 3+ ATS losses
Minnesota: 2-11 ATS off a win by 14+ points as an underdog

Houston at Tennessee, 1:00 EST
Houston: 6-0 ATS away off a road loss
Tennessee: 9-22 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points

Jacksonville at Indianapolis, 1:00 EST
Jacksonville: 0-7 ATS away off a home win by 21+ points
Indianapolis: 12-4 ATS in dome stadiums

NY Jets at Miami, 1:00 EST
NY Jets: 21-7 ATS vs. Miami
Miami: 2-12 ATS vs. division opponents

San Diego at Kansas City, 1:00 EST
San Diego: 1-6 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points
Kansas City: 5-1 ATS off a division loss

Seattle at Philadelphia , 1:00 EST
Seattle: 15-35 ATS off a division win
Philadelphia: 22-10 ATS vs. NFC West opponents

San Francisco at Carolina , 1:00 EST
San Francisco: 13-2 ATS off 3+ division games
Carolina: 2-10 ATS in home games

(TC) Tampa Bay at New Orleans, 4:15 EST
Tampa Bay: 9-1 Under off BB wins
New Orleans: 2-9 ATS as a home favorite

Cleveland at Arizona, 4:05 EST
Cleveland: 7-1 ATS off an ATS win
Arizona: 13-5 Over playing on artificial turf

Denver at Oakland, 4:05 EST
Denver: 7-0 Over off an ATS loss
Oakland: 3-12 ATS at home vs. conference opponents

NY Giants at Chicago, 4:15 EST
NY Giants: 9-2 ATS away vs. conference opponents
Chicago: 12-3 Over in home games

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, 8:15 EST NBC
Cincinnati: 13-16 Over revenging a same-season loss
Pittsburgh: 7-2 ATS in December

Monday, December 3rd

New England at Baltimore, 8:30 EST ESPN
New England: 7-1 ATS vs. conference opponents
Baltimore: 0-8 ATS vs. conference opponents

**(TC) Denotes Time Change

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**pm530** · 12-02-2007, 05:32 AM

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up

Week 13 NFL schedule

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Sunday, December 2
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Falcons (3-8) @ Rams (2-9)—Hard to get excited about either side; Rams have awful offensive line; only twice in ’07 have five guys who started a game on OL finished that game. Bulger got knocked goofy last week, not sure if he plays here. College rumors have Petrino looking to bolt Falcons after one season, never a good sign. Atlanta’s defense hasn’t played bad; but offense is terrible- they scored total of just 43 points (four TD, five FG) on 19 drives that started in enemy territory, while foes scored 44 points (five TD, three FG) on just nine drives that started in Falcon territory. Rams had won two in row, led Seattle 19-7 at half last week, but let game slip away in last minute.

Bills (5-6) @ Redskins (5-6)—Hard to analyze game where one of star players was murdered during week, but we’ll try. Bills gave up 92 points (10 TD, five FG on last 18 drives) in losing last two games; they scored 9.3 pg in four games on natural grass. Skins lost last three games, somehow losing to Bucs last week, even though Tampa didn’t have first down in second half, and was outgained 412-192 for game. Redskin DC Williams is former head coach of Bills, so this game has to have special meaning for him; his defense has only one INT in last five games- they were -6 in turnovers last week, still almost won in Tampa. Five of last six Washington games went over total.

Lions (6-5) @ Vikings (5-6)—Detroit won first meeting 20-17, in game where both teams had five turnovers, and Vikings also had 12 penalties for 96 yards, but Lions lost last three games overall, allowing 28 pg- they’re 1-5 when they don’t win turnover battle, which they haven’t in last three weeks. Viking defense scored three TDs it self in rout of Giants at Swamp last week; Minnesota scored 70 points in winning last two games, averaging 9.3/7.8 ypp as Jackson is showing improvement as season wears on. Five of last six Viking games went over the total. Detroit has three extra days to rest/prep, having played on Thursday last week.

Texans (5-6) @ Titans (6-5)—Titan PK Bironas kicked NFL-record eight FGs in first meeting, 38-36 Titan win, in game where Texans rallied from 32-7 deficit to take lead at end, before backup QB Collins completed long pass to set up winning FG. Tennessee lost last three games, allowing 32.3 pg; they’re -7 in turnovers last four games, turning ball over 12 times. Houston is 5-0 when it allows 21 points or less; they’re 0-6 when they allow more- Titans scored 20 or less points ine ach of last five games, but are 3-2 at home, losing only to Colts, Jaguars. Under is 3-0-1 in four Texan games since the Week 7 loss to Tennessee.

Jaguars (8-3) @ Colts (9-2)—Jags can tie for first in AFC South with win, but they lost first meeting 29-7 to Indy (+3), as Colts outgained them 384-226, holding Jags to 2.8 yards/pass attempt. Jax won, covered last three games, winning by 15-7-22 points; they lost 41-24 in Superdome in only game on carpet so far this season (this is last of their two on artificial turf in ’07). Jags ran ball for average of 137.7 ypg in last three games (they were also +2 in turnovers in all three). Since getting 11 penalties in Week 2 vs. Falcons, Jaguars have been called for five or less penalties in each of last nine games; Colts are only other team that can make that claim. Five of last six Indy games stayed under total.

Jets (2-9) @ Dolphins (0-11)—Clemens makes 4th career start, Beck 3rd in this epic clash; NY scored 2 TDs on 32 drives in last three games, while only Dolphin TD in last two games came on long punt return, although quagmire at Heinz Monday rendered stats of that game useless. Jets won first meeting 31-28 in Week 3 (-3), almost blowing 31-13 lead in 4th quarter. Miami is winless, but lost five games by FG each- they have some hope, especially now that Ricky Williams experiment ended after five plays. Last four Miami games stayed under total; in their last five games, Dolphins have lost battle of field position by average of 13-20-17-12-22 yards. That’s hard to do.

Chargers (6-5) @ Chiefs (4-7)—San Diego has 22 takeaways at home (+12), seven on road (+1); they lost four of five road games (winning only at Denver) and are 1-4 when scoring less than 23 points, a figure Chiefs have allowed only twice this season (to Packers, Broncos, both at home). Chiefs won 30-16 at Qualcomm in first meeting (+11.5), outscoring Bolts 24-0 in second half, with four takeaways and average of 7.9 ypp. Ravens nay have done Norv a favor last week, forcing Rivers to pass, taking LT’s runs away- Rivers actually looked pretty good. Chiefs are 0-4 since bye, scoring 38 points in last three games (three offensive TDs on last 31 drives).

Seahawks (7-4) @ Eagles (5-6)—Philly played very well in loss at Foxboro last week, but threw three more INTs, are -6 in turnovers last two games; since allowing 13 yards/pass to Dallas in Week 9, Eagle D has improved, holding Brady to 6.4 last week. Philly is just 2-3 at home, may have QB controversy, especially if Feeley plays again and does well. Seattle trailed 19-7 at half in St Louis last week, rallied to win when Rams fumbled on 1-yard line on last play of game- the kind of play that winning teams benefit from (they did nothing to force the fumble). Hawks are 1-3 on grass this year, beating only the 49ers. Four of last five Philly games went over total.

49ers (3-8) @ Panthers (4-7)—Wow, talk about two sorry teams; Niners needed four takeaways and a missed 32-yard FG in OT (after a hideous delay of game penalty) from one of NFL’s best kickers to sweep Arizona, ending 8-game skid- Warner passed for 456 net yards (8.6 yards/try, even with four sacks). Niners had two TDs on 49 drives before scoring four on 14 drives at Arizona. Carolina didn’t give it the ol’ college try once Saints got ahead last week; they haven’t won home game in over a full calendar year (0-5 this year, allowing 27.2 pg), ar e-6 in turnovers last two games, and won battle for field position once all season. An NFL team with no QB is guaranteed to be a disaster.

Buccaneers (7-4) @ Saints (5-6)—Tampa went into shell with a lead and Garcia hurt last week, forced six turnovers, hung on to win third straight game, despite not getting first down in second half (Garcia returned in 4th quarter)- they’ve given up just three TDs on foes’ last 37 drives. Bucs won first meeting 31-14 at home in Week 2 (+3.5), averaging a whopping 15.2 ypp (10-16/243). Saints scored 29+ points in four of last five games, but are just 2-3 at home; they beat Jags, but lose to Rams/Texans, go figure. Bucs outscored last three opponents 43-6 in first half. Bucs are 1-3 on carpet in ’07, winning in Atlanta, losing at Seattle (20-6), Indy (33-14) and Detroit (23-16).

Browns (7-4) @ Arizona (5-6)—Could fill book with way Cards screwed last week’s game up, now they have to bounce back vs Cleveland squad that won five of last six games (covering all six), scoring 27+ points in all six. Cleveland has seven takeaways and 12 sacks in last two games, after having total of 15-7 in first eight; Arizona gave up seven sacks in last two games, mostly because Warner holds ball so long. Browns covered four of five road games (2-3 SU, beating Rams, Ravens). Over will be fashionable pick here, as Redbirds scored 31-35-31 points in last three games, while Browns yielded 31+ in five of last seven outings (over 6-1 in those seven games).

Broncos (5-6) @ Raiders (3-8)—Pay attention to media reports in pre-game shows; if Raiders decide to use rookie QB Russell in this game, Denver becomes play, because it is going to take him while to become NFL QB, not having played as many years as he could have at LSU. Oakland snapped 6-game skid in KC last week; opponents are just 9 for last 35 on 3rd down. Broncos blew 34-20 lead in 4th quarter last week, converting just 1-12 on 3rd down, with several special teams disasters. You think Denver worked on their punting this week, after getting one blocked and another run back for TD in Chicago? Nine of last ten Denver games went over the total.

NY Giants (7-4) @ Bears (5-6)—After disaster vs Vikings last week, younger Manning needs to man up, have strong game vs Chicago defense that yielded 425-430 total yards in last two weeks, vs Seattle, Denver. Giants won last four on road, allowing just 11.8 pg, but they’ve been outscored 51-19 in second half of last four games- you could question their heart. Bears generally win field position (won it in six of last eight games) because of Hester, but Chicago is 0-4 SU and vs spread in game following a win, losing by 34-10/34-31/16-7/30-23 scores. This is only Giants’ third game on grass; they won in London 13-10, on soccer field unfit for NFL, rallied from behind in Week 3 to beat Skins 24-17.

Bengals (4-7) @ Steelers (8-3)—Heinz Field quagmire shouldn’t be much better six days after 3-0 debacle Monday night that almost saw Pitt lose to 2-8 Jets/0-10 Dolphins back/back; Steelers won first meeting 24-13 at Cincinnati in Week 8 (-4); as Steelers outrushed Bengals 160-91, converted 8-11 on 3rd down, scored three TDs in four red zone trips (Cincy had one on its four). Bengals are 1-4 on road, beating Ravens in last away game; they held Titans to pair of FGs on five red zone trips last week. Short work week for Steelers, who have one TD on last 22 drives, after scoring 15 TDs on previous 44 drives in four games before the loss to the Jets.

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Monday, December 3
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Patriots (11-0) @ Ravens (4-7) —Hideous Raven offense (15 for last 59 on 3rd down, -13 turnover ratio in last four games), special teams are putting too much pressure on Baltimore defense; 15 of foes’ last 51 drives started in Raven territory, after only 8 of first 78 did this season. Patriots took Eagles’ best shot last week, still won; they’re 6-0 on road, winning 38-14/34-13/48-27/49-28/24-20/56-10. In second half of those six games, Pats outscored foes 113-34. Emotional Ravens are capable of great defense, but they’ll need their best offensive game of year to move chains enough to take pressure off their defense. Over is 9-2 in Patriot games this season, 6-1 in last seven Baltimore games.

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**pm530** · 12-02-2007, 05:34 AM

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL

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Tips and Trends
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Sunday, December 2

San Francisco 49ers at Carolina Panthers (FOX | 1 PM ET)

The Panthers will be hoping to avoid an eighth consecutive home loss. They have been outscored 200-70 in losing their last seven home games, also dropping five straight overall (averaging just 10 points per game during that stretch). EDGE: 49ERS
Carolina may be forced to start rookie Matt Moore at QB if 44-year-old veteran Vinny Testaverde can't go again with a sore back. The David Carr experiment appears over, as he threw for 95 yards and two interceptions in last week's loss. EDGE: 49ERS
San Francisco is coming off a huge overtime win at Arizona last week, something the 49ers hope can carry over to this week. "You could have swore we just won the Super Bowl the way we were celebrating," San Francisco's Tully Banta-Cain said. Insiders do expect a bit of a letdown this week after the team snapped an eight-game losing streak. EDGE: PANTHERS
49ers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against a losing home team.
49ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against the NFC.
49ers are 1-9 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Panthers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Panthers are 0-7 ATS in games playing on grass this season.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (CBS | 1 PM ET)

This is a tough situational setting for Jacksonville as the Colts have had an extra four days of rest and preparation due to the fact that they played on Thanksgiving. EDGE: COLTS
Team insiders are reporting that Jacksonville players and coaches are eager to erase the memory of their 29-7 loss at the hands of the Colts earlier in the season. The 29-7 score was the largest margin of victory suffered by the Jaguars in this rivalry since 2000. However, it should be noted that Jacksonville starting QB David Garrard went out early in that meeting with an ankle injury. EDGE: JAGUARS
Some league insiders believe that this is one of the most important games of the weekend, as both teams are jockeying for first place in the AFC South, where the Colts lead by one game. The Colts are 4-1 SU & ATS at home this season and an impressive 14-1 SU & 11-4 ATS their last 15 at home. EDGE: COLTS
One Indianapolis team insider is reporting that wide receiver Marvin Harrison (check status) will be back for this contest, which is terrible news for Jacksonville, as the team's pass defense ranks 28th in the league, allowing 246 yards passing per game. EDGE: COLTS
This is the final game that Jacksonville DT tackle Marcus Stroud will be out, as he is finishing up a four-game suspension. Middle linebacker is also out with a broken hand, and their absence has shown recently as Jacksonville?s overall defense has dropped to 23rd in the league. EDGE: COLTS
Jaguars are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog.
Jaguars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss of more than 14 points.
Colts are 20-8 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
Colts are 12-3 ATS when playing against a winning team over the last 2 seasons.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Indianapolis.

San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (CBS | 1 PM ET)

KC is surprisingly just 2-4 SU & 1-4-1 ATS at home this season, averaging 16 points per game. Despite the two wins, the Chiefs have yet to win a game statistically this season. EDGE: CHARGERS
The Chargers are looking to avenge a 30-16 home loss to Kansas City in Week 4. They allowed 24 unanswered points in the second half, but San Diego has won five of seven games since then while the Chiefs have dropped five of seven. EDGE: CHARGERS
The Chiefs are still very inexperienced in the offensive backfield, with RB Kolby Smith getting his second start and QB Brodie Croyle possibly making his third. However, Croyle has been bothered by a sore back and may be replaced by veteran Damon Huard if he can't go. (Check status on the Pregame Wire!) EDGE: CHARGERS
KC is 19-1 SU in its last 20 December games at Arrowhead Stadium. EDGE: CHIEFS
Chargers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a win of more than 14 points.
Chargers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Chiefs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against the AFC West.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
The underdog is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (CBS | 1 PM ET)

This is a brutal situational setting for the lowly Dolphins as New York has had four days of extra preparation after playing on Thanksgiving while Miami comes into this contest off a short week following a trip to Pittsburgh for Monday Night Football. EDGE: JETS
League insiders believe it will not be too long before Miami gets into the win column this season as the team's defensive unit has been playing lights out over their last four game. Indeed, this defense has given up 17, 13, 13 and 3 points the last four games and will be facing a Jets team that has been getting outscored by an average of 25-17. EDGE: DOLPHINS
Team insiders remain impressed about how hard this injury-ridden Miami team has played all season, as six of the team's defeats have been by three points. Despite suffering a 31-28 loss at New York earlier this season, the Dolphins nevertheless should have won that game, as they out-gained New York by a whopping 424-256 margin. EDGE: DOLPHINS
Jets are 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS on the road, giving up a whopping 28 points per game this season.
Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a small underdog.
Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Jets are 18-4-2 ATS in the last 24 meetings.
Dolphins are 2-12 ATS against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Dolphins are 0-6 ATS in home games following 2+ losses over the last 3 seasons.

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings (FOX | 1 PM ET)

This NFC North battle pits Two teams going in opposite directions despite the fact that Detroit is ahead of Minnesota in the standings. Coming into this contest, the Vikings are playing well, riding an impressive 3-1 SU & ATS run while the Lions have dropped three in a row both SU & ATS. EDGE: VIKINGS
Team insiders reported seeing a very motivated Minnesota team in practice this week, as the Vikings are eager to avenge their 20-17 loss at the hands of Detroit in Week 2 this season. EDGE: VIKINGS
Some league insiders are not surprised with the recent troubles of the Lions, as they have one of the worst offensive lines in the league. Detroit?s Jon Kitna has been sacked 44 times and the running game has games of 56, 39, 68, 25 and minus-18 yards rushing over their last five games. EDGE: VIKINGS
Detroit comes into this contest with one of the worst defenses in the league (ranked 29th), and the team's pass defense is second worst, giving up a whopping 269 yards per game. EDGE: VIKINGS
Team insiders are reporting that Minnesota rookie sensation Adrian Peterson (1,081 yards, 6.4 yards per carry) will start this weekend despite missing the last two games with a sprained knee. Peterson will split carries with Chester Taylor, who has rushed for 241 yards and four touchdowns in his absence. The Vikings comes into this contest with the NFL?s No. 1 rushing offense, one that is averaging 173 yards per game this season. EDGE: VIKINGS
Lions are 3-10 SU & 4-9 ATS in their last 13 away games.
Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Lions are 0-6 ATS playing a losing team in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Lions are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Vikings are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games against the NFL North.
Vikings are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing previously.

Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles (FOX | 1 PM ET)

The Eagles will likely be without starting QB Donovan McNabb yet again after he failed to practice on Thursday. Philly head coach Andy Reid has said he needs McNabb back at 100 percent before he gets the ok to play, so insiders expect backup A.J. Feeley to get the nod following an impressive performance at New England on Sunday nigh in which he threw for a career-high 345 yards. EDGE: EAGLES
Philadelphia RB Brian Westbrook is averaging 161 yards from scrimmage in his last five home games and leads the NFL with 145.9 per game. Westbrook is coming off just 92 last week against New England and should be primed to bounce back in front of the home fans. EDGE: EAGLES
Seattle has won three in a row despite having 2006 NFL MVP Shaun Alexander on the field. The Seahawks have resorted to a pass-happy offense with Alexander out, and backup Maurice Morris has performed well with 84.3 yards per game in his absence. EDGE: SEAHAWKS
Seahawks are 4-0 ATS against a losing team.
Seahawks are 0-7 ATS in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
Eagles are 22-10 ATS against the NFC West since 1992.
Eagles are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite.
The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Atlanta Falcons at St. Louis Rams (FOX | 1 PM ET)

St. Louis team insiders are reporting that starting QB Marc Bulger will not play due to a concussion suffered last week against Seattle. The Rams will again go with backup Gus Frerotte, who literally fumbled away the team's chances at a win in the final seconds. EDGE: FALCONS
The injury bug has taken its toll on the Falcons as they started two third-string offensive linemen (left tackle Quinn Ojinnaka and right guard D'Anthony Batiste) against the Colts on Thanksgiving. EDGE: RAMS
Team insiders reportedly saw a very demoralized Atlanta clubhouse after last Thursday?s 31-13 loss against the Colts. The week before, the Falcons also lost 31-7 loss to the Buccaneers in a game that saw them turn the ball over four times with Byron Leftwich under center. Team insiders are expecting QB Joey Harrington to start again as Leftwich is still sidelined by a tailbone injury. EDGE: RAMS
Atlanta comes into this contest with the league's second-worst offensive unit, as the Falcons are averaging just 11 points per game at home this season. EDGE: RAMS
Team insiders are becoming increasingly disgusted by the Rams' offensive play calling. Despite leading Seattle 19-7 at halftime, the Rams allowed the Seahawks to rally for a 24-19 win. EDGE: FALCONS
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Falcons are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Rams are 0-5 SU & 1-3-1 ATS at home this season.
Rams are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite.
Rams are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 December games.
The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Team insiders are reporting that Tennessee players and coaches are happy to be returning from a brutal two-game road trip that saw the Titans go 0-2 with losses at Denver and Cincinnati. EDGE: TITANS
Some team insiders were a bit disappointed in this Texans offense that only managed 314 yards against one of the worst defenses in the league in Cleveland. The main reason for the disappointment was that Houston finally welcomed back a healthy Andre Johnson, who should make this a top offensive unit (although they are currently a respectable 10th in the league). SLIGHT EDGE: TITANS
Team insiders are also concerned with the injuries to DT Albert Haynesworth and DE Travis LaBoy. Before their absence, Tennessee was one of the best teams in the NFL at stopping the run. The Titans have given up 167 rushing yards to Denver and 148 to Cincinnati in the last two games, although Haynesworth is likely to return this week. EDGE: TITANS
Team insiders are reporting that mobile Tennessee QB Vince Young will not be 100% after suffering a bruised thigh and a sprained ankle. The loss of Young as an effective rusher cripples this offense that relies heavily on running the football. EDGE: TEXANS
Tennessee is 17-7-1 ATS in its last 25 games.
Texans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against the AFC.
Titans are 9-22 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
Titans are 0-4 ATS against a losing team.
The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Buffalo Bills at Washington Redskins (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Team insiders are reporting rookie QB Trent Edwards will get the start against a very emotional Redskins team that will be playing their first game without safety Sean Taylor, who died early Tuesday morning after being shot at his home Monday. BIG EDGE: REDSKINS
The Bills come into this contest second to last in total offense (averaging just 15 points per game and only 10 on the road this season) and total defense in the NFL. Indeed, Buffalo?s run defense has been a huge problem over the last three games, as the Bills are giving up 143, 127 and 124 rushing yards, which could be a real problem against this run-oriented Washington offensive unit. EDGE: REDSKINS
Three weeks ago Buffalo was finishing off its fourth straight win. Now the Bills come into this contest off two demoralizing losses over the past two weeks, getting crushed 56-10 against New England before suffering a 36-14 blowout at Jacksonville. EDGE: REDSKINS
Washington comes into this game on a three-game losing streak. However, one team insider is encouraged at the play of this Washington team. Despite the final result, Washington outgained Tampa 412-192 last wekek, but the team's six turnovers were the difference. SLIGHT EDGE: REDSKINS
Bills are 21-8-1 ATS against a losing team.
Bills are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in December.
Redskins are 5-14 ATS when playing on 6 days or less rest over the last 2 seasons.
Redskins are 0-7 ATS when playing a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The UNDER is 22-8 in the Bills last 30 games following an ATS loss.

Cleveland Browns at Arizona Cardinals (CBS | 4:05 ET)

Despite being “right in the mix of the playoff race” one league insider still has doubts about the Browns, who own the NFL’s worst defensive unit, allowing 29 points per game. EDGE: CARDINALS
The Cardinals have lost three defensive starters in as many weeks, as Pro Bowl safety Adrian Wilson underwent season-ending heel surgery on Wednesday. They have also lost CB Eric Green for the year with a groin tear and DE Bertand Berry with a heel injury as well. Starting QB Kurt Warner also injured his ribs in the third quarter of last week's game, and he is still playing with a torn ligament in his non-throwing elbow. EDGE: BROWNS
The Browns come into this contest with one distinction that they are equal to the mighty Patriots. Both Cleveland and New England are 9-2 ATS this season. However, the Browns are just 4-14 SU the last four Decembers, winning one game each of the last four years. SLIGHT EDGE: BROWNS
Browns are 8-1 ATS when playing on 6 or less days rest this season.
Cardinals are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
Cardinals are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
The OVER is 7-0 in Arizona's last 7 games in December.

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders (CBS | 4:05 ET)

Denver will try to win its fifth straight trip to Oakland and beat the Raiders for the sixth time in a row overall. The Broncos should be highly motivated for this game considering they sit one game behind San Diego in the AFC West and two games behind Cleveland for the last Wild-Card spot in the AFC. All five of the team's final opponents to end the regular season are under the .500 mark. BIG EDGE: BRONCOS
The Broncos could be without yet another RB, as Andre Hall suffered a high ankle sprain last week at Chicago after rushing for 98 yards and a touchdown. Hall could become the third straight starting RB to go down following Travis Henry and Selvin Young. Denver might have to turn to fullbacks Mike Bell or Cecil Sapp if Hall can't go. EDGE: RAIDERS
Oakland had originally planned to give #1 pick JaMarcus Russell his first start in this game, but that might not happen considering Daunte Culpepper has been solid in the last two games. Culpepper did not play in the first meeting with Denver, won on a Jason Elam field goal in overtime after the Broncos froze Oakland's Sebastian Janikowski earlier with a timeout. Janikowski had made the original 52-yarder for the win, but the TO was called just as the ball was snapped and he missed the second attempt. Insiders believe that sour ending is all the Raiders need as motivation this time around. EDGE: RAIDERS
Broncos are 8-19 ATS overall over the last 2 seasons.
Broncos are 1-8 ATS against division opponents over the last 2 seaosn.
Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win.
Raiders are 0-10 ATS in December games over the last 3 seasons.
The UNDER is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (FOX | 4:15 PM ET)

New Orleans team insiders are reporting that running back Reggie Bush is still troubled by a bruised left shin and will be less then 100% if he plays against Tampa. EDGE: BUCS
This is a big revenge game for New Orleans after suffering a 31-14 loss against Tampa in Week 2. EDGE: SAINTS
Despite being on a roll, some team insiders are becoming concerned over the injury suffered last week by Tampa starting QB Jeff Garcia, who hurt his back on the first play of the game and did not return. Tampa was outgained in that game 412-192 but took advantage of six turnovers to walk away with a win. EDGE: SAINTS
One league insider believes that Tampa’s defense (one that allows just 14 points per game) should have some success against a New Orleans offense that relies heavily on the pass. Tampa has one of the quickest secondaries in the league. EDGE: BUCS
Bucs are 5-0 ATS against a losing team.
Bucs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a small favorite.
Saints are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games a home favorite.
The underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

New York Giants at Chicago Bears (FOX | 4:15 PM ET)

It seems like every week the Bears have a "must-win" game in order to stay in the playoff hunt. Insiders believe this could very well be the team's biggest game of the season after rallying back from a 34-20 deficit last week to beat Denver in overtime. Chicago likely can't afford another loss, especially in this spot against a Giants team that currently sits in one of the NFC's two Wild-Card spots. The Bears scored four touchdowns during a 15-minute stretch to win at New York last November 12th, 38-20. EDGE: BEARS
Team insiders are concerned with another potential second-half swoon for the Giants, who are 9-18 SU since Tom Coughlin became their head coach in 2004. They went 1-7 in the second half three years ago and 2-6 last season to miss out on the playoffs. EDGE: BEARS
League insiders believe Chicago will be better off with Adrian Peterson taking over as the team's starting RB after the Bears put Cedric Benson on injured reserve with a leg injury. Peterson is known as a much better receiver out of the backfield and more similar to last year's starter Thomas Jones. EDGE: BEARS
The Giants hope to have leading rusher Brandon Jacobs back after missing last week's game with a hamstring injury. They are 2-2 without him this season and have won three straight on the road with him. EDGE: GIANTS
Giants are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS loss.
Giants are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games following a double-digit home loss.
Bears are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win.
The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittburgh Steelers (NBC | 8:15 PM ET)

The weather was an obvious factor in Pittsburgh's 3-0 win over Miami on Monday night, and the Steelers might be hosting another rainy game on Sunday night. Early forecasts predict more rain, and team officials are not expected to re-sod the field. BIG EDGE: UNDER
Pittsburgh is 28-10 at Heinz Field, but three of the losses have come at the hands of the Bengals. However, the Steelers won 24-13 at Cincinnati back on October 28th, taking a 21-6 halftime lead on a touchdown with four seconds left before the break. "That's why they're 5-2 and we're 2-5," Cincy WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh said. "Good teams put it in the end zone. Teams like us kick field goals." The Bengals had earlier elected to kick a field goal on a 4th-and-1 play at the Pittsburgh 2-yard line. EDGE: STEELERS
Bengals are 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 road games.
Bengals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win.
Steelers are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games as a favorite of 3.5-10 points.
Steelers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in December.
The road team is 10-1-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

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**pm530** · 12-02-2007, 05:38 AM

National Football League – Cheat Sheet

NFL
NFL poolies' cheat sheet

Sunday, December 2

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Cheat Sheet
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NFL poolies' cheat sheet: Week 13

Atlanta at St. Louis (-3)

Why Falcons cover: Are 4-1 ATS on the road. Rams are 0-5 ATS at home this season. Warrick Dunn has six TDs and averages 4.9 yards per carry for his career against St. Louis. Marc Bulger questionable with a concussion meaning Gus Frerotte would start at QB for St. Louis.

Why Rams cover: Have covered two of last three games, both wins. Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, winning each game. Steven Jackson gets to face the NFC's second-worst rush defense.

Total (40 1/2): Over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.

Buffalo at Washington (-5 1/2)

Why Bills cover: Have covered in five straight meetings. Trent Edwards, who is 3-1 as a starter, will quarterback the Bills. Redskins are 1-5-2 ATS in their last eight home games and 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.

Why Redskins cover: Will want to win for murdered teammate Sean Taylor. Jason Campbell has thrown for 864 yards and six TDs in his last three games. Bills are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games.

Total (37): Over is 5-1 in Redskins' last six games.

Detroit at Minnesota (-3 1/2)

Why Lions cover: Beat Vikings 20-17 on Sept. 20 as 3-point favorites. Lead the NFL with 31 takeaways. Have league's ninth-ranked rush defense.

Why Vikings cover: Get league's leading rusher Adrian Peterson back from a knee injury. Jon Kitna has thrown seven INTs and only three TDs in three career games against Minnesota. Lions are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

Total (44 1/2): Over is 4-0 in Vikings' last four home games and 4-1 in their last five games overall.

Houston at Tennessee (-3 1/2)

Why Texans cover: Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings. Underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings. Since Week 10 Titans have allowed an average of 149 yards rushing per game.

Why Titans cover: Could have DT Albert Haynesworth back from a hamstring injury. Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings. Houston leads the NFL with 29 turnovers.

Total (43): Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.

Jacksonville at Indianapolis (-7)

Why Jaguars cover: Are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. Have AFC's second-best rushing attack. Held Peyton Manning to 54-percent completion rate, four touchdowns and three interceptions in their last five meetings. In three career games against Indy, Maurice Jones-Drew has 321 yards rushing and four TDs.

Why Colts cover: Are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. Have NFL's second-best defense, holding opponents to 15.6 points per game. Won four of last five meetings and last two in Indianapolis.

Total: (45): Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Indianapolis.

N.Y. Jets at Miami (-1 1/2)

Why Jets cover: Have won six of last seven meetings. Are 18-4-2 ATS in last 24 meetings and 4-0 ATS in last four meetings in Miami. Dolphins could be down to fourth-string running back Patrick Cobbs with Ricky Williams and Jesse Chatman both suffering injuries last week. Thomas Jones has rushed for 179 yards in two career games against Miami.

Why Dolphins cover: Holding opponents to 11.5 points per game in their last four contests. Could be the team's best chance to avoid going winless for the season. Favorite is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

Total (38): Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Miami.

San Diego at Kansas City (+5 1/2)

Why Chargers cover: LaDainian Tomlinson has rushed for 513 yards and scored four TDs in his last five games against Kansas City. Chiefs are 1-4-1 ATS at home. Both Chiefs QBs are banged up. K.C. has lost three straight at Arrowhead Stadium and four of its last five.

Why Chiefs cover: Kolby Smith rushed for 150 yards and two touchdowns in his first start last week. Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings. San Diego has lost four of five games on the road this season. Underdog is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings. Chargers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Kansas City.

Total (37 1/2): Over is 4-0 in Chiefs' last four home games and 4-0-1 in Chargers' last five road games.

Seattle at Philadelphia (-3)

Why Seahawks cover: Are the league's least penalized team. Have averaged 98.7 rushing yards per game since Maurice Morris replaced the injured Shaun Alexander. Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings. Donovan McNabb still bothered by thumb and ankle injuries and might not play.

Why Eagles cover: Have covered in three straight games and five of last seven. Lost to New England by three points last week after being pegged as 22-point underdogs. Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.

Total (42): Over is 4-1 in Eagles' last five games overall.

San Francisco at Carolina (-3)

Why 49ers cover: Frank Gore may finally be healthy. He compiled 214 yards and two scores last week. Panthers have lost seven straight home games and haven't covered at home this season. Carolina has only managed 50 points in its last five games.

Why Panthers cover: The 49ers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 meetings between these two teams, and 0-4 ATS in their last four games in Carolina. San Francisco has been outscored by 60 points on the road this season. Vinny Testaverde will start at QB if healthy.

Total (35 1/2): Over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings and 4-1 in the last five games in Carolina.

Cleveland at Arizona (-1)

Why Browns cover: Are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall. Have best return game in the NFL. Cardinals are the league's most penalized team and have committed 11 more than the next closest club. Jamal Lewis has been on fire, and has rushed for 257 yards in two career game against Arizona. Cardinals will be without Pro Bowl safety Adrian Wilson who is out for the season with a heel injury.

Why Cardinals cover: Are averaging 32.3 points over their last three games. Kurt Warner has passed for 489 yards and scored four touchdowns in two career games versus Cleveland.

Total (51 1/2): Over is 9-1-1 in Browns' last 11 games and 4-1 in Cardinals' last five games.

Denver at Oakland (+3 1/2)

Why Broncos cover: Have won five straight meetings and four in a row at Oakland. Own AFC's fourth-best offense. Road team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.

Why Raiders cover: Justin Fargas has rushed for 384 yards and two TDs in four games since becoming the starting running back. Denver running backs Travis Henry, Andre Hall and Selvin Young are all banged up.

Total (41 1/2): Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings and 4-1 in the last five games in Oakland.

N.Y. Giants at Chicago (+2)

Why Giants cover: Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings. Bears starting running back Cedric Benson was lost for the season after injuring his ankle last week. Chicago is 1-4 ATS at home.

Why Bears cover: Have won four of the last five meetings. Devin Hester changes opponents' kicking games. Defense held Eli Manning to 121 yards passing and picked him off twice in their last meeting. Giants are averaging 16.5 points per game over their last four after scoring 26.7 in their first seven.

Total (42 1/2): Under is 4-0 in Giants' last four road games.

Tampa Bay at New Orleans (-3)

Why Buccaneers cover: Have NFC's top-rated pass defense. Are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings with the Saints and 4-0 ATS in their last four games in New Orleans. Underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Road team is 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings. Saints have the worst field-goal percentage in the NFL at 53.3 percent.

Why Saints cover: Drew Brees has thrown for 965 yards and seven TDs in four career games against Tampa Bay. Buccaneers could be without Jeff Garcia which means either Luke McCown or Bruce Gradkowski would start at quarterback. A win would move them one game behind the Bucs for the division lead.

Total (42): Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (-7)

Why Bengals cover: Have won three of their last four at Heinz Field. Are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Pittsburgh. Rudi Johnson starting to get healthy. Road team is 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings and has won seven straight. Steelers have failed to cover in three straight contests.

Why Steelers cover: Could get star safety Troy Polamalu back from a knee injury. Holding opponents to nine points per game at home. Bengals are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight meetings.

Total (45): Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Pittsburgh.

New England at Baltimore (+20 1/2)

Why Patriots cover: Will want to rebound from a near loss to Philadelphia last week as 22-point favorites. Adalius Thomas will face his former team for the first time. Ravens have lost five straight and are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

Why Ravens cover: Could learn from Philadelphia's success against New England last week. Patriots lost key linebacker Roosevelt Colvin for the season last week. Home team has won five of the last six meetings. Held Tom Brady to 172 yards and no touchdowns in their last meeting.

Total (51 1/2): Over is 14-3 in Patriots' last 17 games and 6-1 in Ravens? last seven Monday games.

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**pm530** · 12-02-2007, 05:48 AM

National Football League – over/under plays

NFL
Total bias: Week 13 over/under plays

Sunday, December 2

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NFL over/under picks
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Total bias: Week 13 top over/under play

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans - over 42

Defensive tackles don't get as much press as they deserve but it's hard to ignore the Titans' lack of success without Albert Haynesworth. He hasn't played in the last three games and the Titans have given up an average of 32 points each week.

The unit isn't able to disrupt opposing offenses without Haynesworth's interior penetration.

The Texans have quick-strike scoring with Andre Johnson running go routes and Matt Schaub accurately delivering deep bombs.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts - under 45

The Colts have taken on a new identity this season. Instead of outscoring their opponents, they now rely on a strong defense and an improving ground game.

There just isn't as much opportunity for Peyton Manning to air it out with running mate Marvin Harrison watching from the sideline. The All-Pro receiver is expected to miss his fifth straight match.

There?s no change of identity for Jacksonville. The squad still plays hard-nosed D and is conservative with the ball.

New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens - over 51 1/2

I know, I know. I've got some bad karma taking the over in Monday nighters, but I can't bet against the Pats and the over.

It's been proven several times throughout this campaign the Ravens' defense is not what it once was. They're old, slow and they can't put any pressure on the quarterback. It doesn't help either the unit has to spend two-thirds of the game on the field because Baltimore's offense can't put together any long drives.

The way New England played its opening drive against the Eagles has to be an over bettor's dream. The Patriots lined up with four wide receivers and went with a no-huddle offense. Look for a similar strategy against a banged up Baltimore secondary.

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**pm530** · 12-02-2007, 05:55 AM

National Football League – Betting Notes

NFL
Betting Notes

Sunday, December 2

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NFL game day buzz: Week 13 betting notes
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Atlanta at St. Louis (-3)

The Rams have won the last four meetings with Atlanta at the Edward Jones Dome.

Buffalo at Washington (-5 1/2)

Washington looks to avoid a fifth straight loss to Buffalo, though the teams haven't met since the Bills won 24-7 at home on Oct. 19, 2003.

The Redskins last beat the Bills 37-24 in Super Bowl XXVI on Jan. 26, 1992, but haven't defeated Buffalo in the regular season since a 29-14 home win on Dec. 30, 1990.

Detroit at Minnesota (-3 1/2)

Detroit swept the Vikings last season and has won 10 consecutive games in this series before this year.

Houston at Tennessee (-3 1/2)

The Titans have won nine of 11 against the Texans, including five straight. Each of their last four wins, though, have been decided by six points or fewer.

Jacksonville at Indianapolis (-7)

The Colts have lost just once in six home games against the Jaguars, who fell to 3-10 all-time in this series with the Oct. 22 loss as they were outgained 384-226.

N.Y. Jets at Miami (-1 1/2)

New York has won the last three meetings and six of seven, but struggled to hold off Miami 31-28 at the Meadowlands on Sept. 23.

San Diego at Kansas City (+6)

The Chargers have lost two straight and nine of their last 10 at Arrowhead Stadium.

Seattle at Philadelphia (-3)

The Eagles are 2-3 in Philadelphia, where the Seahawks have had some success in recent years. The Seahawks have shut out the Eagles in each of their last two visits to Philadelphia, winning 38-0 on Sept. 6, 1998, and 42-0 on Dec. 5, 2005.

San Francisco at Carolina (-3)

It hasn't been a pleasant season for the former NFC West rivals, who meet for the first time since Carolina won 37-27 on Nov. 11, 2004 and just the second time since the Panthers left for the NFC South in 2002

Cleveland at Arizona (-1)

Cleveland hasn't visited Arizona since a 29-21 loss on Oct. 8, 2000. The Browns won 44-6 in the teams' last meeting Nov. 16, 2003.

Denver at Oakland (+3 1/2)

Denver hasn't lost at Oakland since Dec. 22, 2002. The Broncos fell 25-24 on Nov. 28, 2004 for their most recent defeat to the Raiders.

N.Y. Giants at Chicago (+1 1/2)
The Bears have won the last two games over New York, which enters with a four-game road winning streak. These teams have not met in Chicago since a 14-7 Giants' victory on Sept. 17, 2000.

Tampa Bay at New Orleans (-3)

Tampa Bay had won three in a row and four of its last five at the Superdome going into last year's Oct. 8 matchup, but Reggie Bush lifted the Saints to a thrilling home victory, returning a punt 65 yards for his first career touchdown with 4:17 remaining to give New Orleans a 24-21 win.

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (-7)

Pittsburgh is 28-10 at home since 2003, but three of those losses came to Cincinnati, which has won three of its last four at Heinz Field.

New England at Baltimore (+20 1/2)

These teams have played three times since the Cleveland Browns fired Bill Belichick and moved to Baltimore to become the Ravens for the 1996 season, with the Patriots winning all three. The Ravens have scored a combined six points in the last two meetings.

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**pm530** · 12-02-2007, 05:57 AM

National Football League - Gameday

NFL
Gameday

Sunday, December 2

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NFL Gameday
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Sunday NFL Gameday

Some key divisional battles highlight the National Football League's Week 13 schedule - including the Colts getting a visit from the Jaguars. Here is your NFL Gameday . . .

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (-6.5) (Total 44.5)
RCA Dome, 1:00pm ET (CBS)

The Jaguars can actually move into a first-place tie with the Colts in the AFC South with a win on Sunday afternoon. Jacksonville has now won three games in a row, and they pounded the Bills 36-14 last weekend. David Garrard went 23-of-37 for 296 yards passing in that contest, with one TD and no INTs. Fred Taylor led the Jaguars' ground attack in that contest, picking up 104 rushing yards and a touchdown on his 14 carries.

The Colts have won two in a row, and they've yet to lose to a divisional opponent this season. Peyton Manning and company had no problem getting past the Falcons on Thanksgiving, going up 21-13 by halftime and cruising to a 31-13 win. Manning went 22-of-32 for 272 yards in that game, with three TDs and one INT. Anthony Gonzalez caught six balls for 105 yards that night, while Joseph Addai ran for 44 yards and a touchdown.

San Diego Chargers (-5.5) at Kansas City Chiefs (Total 37.5)
Arrowhead Stadium, 1:00pm ET (CBS)

The Chargers moved back over the .500 mark with their 32-14 win over the Ravens last weekend. Philip Rivers had an effective afternoon against Baltimore, completing 25-of-35 pass attempts for 249 yards, with three TDs and no INTs. LaDainian Tomlinson ran for 77 yards on 24 carries in that contest, but was held out of the end zone. Antonio Gates caught six passes for 105 yards, and he picked up two touchdowns in that victory.

Kansas City has now lost four games in a row to fall to 4-7 on the season, and they won't have Larry Johnson (foot) back on the field this weekend. His replacement, Kolby Smith, ran for 150 yards and two touchdowns on 31 carries in the team's 20-17 home loss to the Raiders in Week 12. Brodie Croyle, who is nursing a sore back, went just 12-of-23 for 145 yards in that defeat, with no touchdown passes and a single interception.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (-3.5) (Total 41.5)
Superdome, 4:15pm ET (FOX)

The Bucs hold a two-game lead on the Saints in the NFC South, thanks in large part to their current three-game winning streak. Tampa Bay added to their victory total last weekend by knocking off the Redskins 19-13 at home. Bruce Gradkowski came in for an injured Jeff Garcia (back) in that contest, completing 9-of-19 pass attempts for 106 yards. Earnest Graham ran for 75 yards and a touchdown on 21 carries in that victory.

New Orleans can get back to the .500 mark with a win over their divisional rival on Sunday afternoon. The Saints rode three third-quarter touchdowns to an easy 31-6 win over the Panthers last weekend, improving their season record to 5-6. Drew Brees went 24-of-36 for 260 yards passing in that win, with three TDs and one INT. Reggie Bush (shin) saw limited work in that contest, but he's returned to full practice for his squad.

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7) (Total 45)
Heinz Field, 8:15pm ET (NBC)

The Bengals had no problem picking up their fourth win of the season last week - they pummeled the Titans 35-6 at Paul Brown Stadium. Carson Palmer had a big day against Tennessee, going 32-of-38 for 283 yards passing with three TDs and one INT. Chad Johnson found the end zone three times in that game, and caught 12 balls for 103 yards. Rudi Johnson rushed for 88 yards and a touchdown on 25 carries in the victory.

The Steelers improved to 8-3 on the season with an ugly 3-0 win over the still-winless Dolphins on Monday night. Ben Roethlisberger went 18-of-21 for 165 yards passing on a sloppy Heinz Field, with no TDs and one INT. Willie Parker managed to move the ball a little bit in that game, gaining 81 yards on 24 carries, while Hines Ward caught nine balls for 88 yards. Jeff Reed kicked the game-winning field goal in the waning seconds.

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**pm530** · 12-02-2007, 06:20 AM

National Basketball Association - Tips & Trends

NBA

Sunday, December 2

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Tips and Trends
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Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics (12:30 PM ET)

Cleveland hopes to have NBA leading scorer LeBron James back in the lineup after he missed Friday's loss at Toronto with a sprained finger. James was instrumental in helping the Cavs hand the Celtics their second loss of the season on Tuesday, scoring 38 points and dishing out 13 assists. Cleveland is 9-4 playing without him during his career and has won 8 of the last 9 meetings with Boston. EDGE: CAVS
Boston is a perfect 8-0 at home this season with only one of those wins decided by less than 13 points. BIG EDGE: CELTICS
Cavs are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games when playing 1 days rest.
Celtics are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
The OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Indiana Pacers at Los Angeles Clippers (3:30 PM ET)

The return of Jermaine O'Neal seemed to shake up the chemistry of the Pacers on Friday, as he scored 12 points and grabbed 10 rebounds before departing with a shoulder injury with 2:19 left. Mike Dunleavy Jr. seemed to be the most affected by O'Neal's presence, scoring just 14 points against the Sonics after totaling 50 in helping the Pacers win the first 2 games of their road trip. EDGE: CLIPPERS
Dunleavy has also been held in check by his dad, who just happens to be the head coach of the Clippers. LA has won the last 2 meetings by a combined 38 points with Dunleavy scoring 22 points total in those games. EDGE: CLIPPERS
Pacers are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games when playing on 1 days rest.
Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
The UNDER is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.

Portland Trail Blazers at San Antonio Spurs (3:30 PM ET)

San Antonio is outscoring opponents by an average of 14.1 points in going 9-0 at home this season. The Spurs have won the last 10 meetings with Portland along with 17 of the last 18. BIG EDGE: SPURS
Manu Ginobili is averaging a team-high 18.6 points during San Antonio's 10-game series winning streak vs. Portland. Ginobili is coming off a season-high 31 points at Minnesota on Friday. EDGE: SPURS
Blazers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in San Antonio.
Spurs are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 games when playing on 1 days rest.

New Jersey Nets at Detroit Pistons (6 PM ET)

New Jersey is 6-38 SU in the last 44 trips to Detroit. The Nets dropped all 4 meetings with the Pistons last year, going 1-3 ATS. BIG EDGE: PISTONS
The Pistons are coming off their 2 most dominating wins of the season, beating Milwaukee and Cleveland by a combined 61 points. EDGE: PISTONS
Nets are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against a team winning more than 60%.
Nets are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
Pistons are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games.

Phoenix Suns at New York Knicks (7 PM ET)

The on-again, off-again rumors about Isiah Thomas' future in New York are off-again for the moment after the Knicks rallied back to beat the Bucks on Friday. "I thought our guys competed, and it was a tough game for us, particularly after losing the way we did last night and not sure emotionally how guys would feel," Thomas said. "But they fought through it. We were down the whole game, and they found a way to battle back and pick up their confidence and get their rhythm back." EDGE: KNICKS
The Suns begin a season-high five-game road trip in New York. They are 6-2 on the road this season but have failed to cover their last 2 away from home along with their last 2 trips to Madison Square Garden. EDGE: KNICKS
Former Sun and current Knicks point guard Stephon Marbury is averaging 24 points in 7 career meetings vs. Phoenix. EDGE: KNICKS
Suns are 32-74-3 ATS in their last 109 games against a team winning less then 40%.
Knicks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a SU win.
The OVER is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in New York.

Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets (NBATV | 8 PM ET)

Miami is averaging just 88.7 points per game, good for second-worst in the NBA. However, the Heat are also the second-best defensive team in the NBA, giving up 92.4 points per game. BIG EDGE: UNDER
The Nuggets exploded for 123 points in Friday's win over the Clippers after being held under 100 points in 4 of their previous 5. They have won 4 straight over the Heat and 8 of 10. EDGE: NUGGETS
Heat are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 29 games against the Western Conference.
Nuggets are 43-20-1 ATS in their last 64 games following a win more than 10 points.
The OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Golden State Warriors at Seattle SuperSonics (9 PM ET)

The Sonics became the last team in the NBA to win a home game on Friday when they held off the Pacers, 95-93. They were 0-7 at KeyArena this season and had lost 11 straight there dating back to last season. EDGE: WARRIORS
Golden State is riding the NBA's longest active winning streak at 5 in a row. The Warriors are 6-1 since Stephen Jackson returned from a suspension to start the season, and he will likely guard Seattle rookie Kevin Durant, who is coming off a career-high 35 points against Indiana. EDGE: WARRIORS
Warriors are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 5-10.5 points.
Sonics are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win.
Warriors are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

Orlando Magic at Los Angeles Lakers (9:30 PM ET)

Two of the NBA's best young big men will take center stage in this game, as Orlando's Dwight Howard and LA's Andrew Bynum square off. Howard has notched an NBA-high 16 double doubles in 18 games while slamming down a league-best 81 dunks. Bynum ranks second in dunks with 34 and battled foul trouble in the last meeting with Howard, who totaled 25 points and 10 rebounds. EDGE: MAGIC
LA has won the last 5 meetings with Orlando along with 15 of the last 17. The Lakers haven't lost at home to the Magic in more than 11 years. BIG EDGE: LAKERS
Magic are 22-5-2 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
Lakers are 10-21-1 ATS in their last 32 home games.
The favorite is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

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**pm530** · 12-02-2007, 06:21 AM

National Basketball Association – Hot Lines

NBA
Hot Lines

Sunday, December 2

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Pick 'n' roll: Sunday's best NBA bets
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Toronto Raptors at Washington Wizards (+1, 198)

Chris Bosh is leaning toward probable to be in the Raptors’ lineup Saturday after injuring his groin in Wednesday’s victory over the Grizzlies.

The Raptors have won four of their last five against the Wizards, including a March 30 victory in which Bosh torched the Wiz for 37 points and 14 rebounds. The fifth-year forward has also scored more than 30 points in four of his last five tilts with Washington.

Toronto has covered the spread in five of its last six meetings with Washington. It is also 4-0 ATS in its last four road games.

Pick: Raptors -1

Philadelphia 76ers at New Jersey Nets (-8 ½, 186 ½)

Philadelphia has covered the spread in each of its last four visits to the Garden State.

The Nets, meanwhile, have failed to cover the spread in four straight home contests, including last Tuesday’s straight up (SU) loss to the lowly Grizzlies. New Jersey is also 2-7 ATS in its first nine meetings in the Swamp.

The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings between the Nets and Sixers.

Pick: 76ers +8 ½

Charlotte Bobcats at Chicago Bulls (-7, 195 ½)

Charlotte has lost three straight on the road.

The struggling Bobcats are 3-8 all-time against Chicago and are a meager 1-5 at the United Center. Charlotte has also lost four of its last five contests outside North Carolina, which includes Tuesday’s 20-point setback to the Heat.

The home team is also 4-1 in the last five meetings between the Bulls and Bobcats.

Pick: Bulls -7

Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies (-9, 212 ½)

The Grizzlies have covered the spread in four of their last four meetings in Tennessee, including a 128-124 win over the then-surging Wizards. They are also 5-2 ATS in their first seven at FedEx Forum.

Memphis has averaged 111 points in its last five home games, which is seven points above its season average. It has also covered the spread in eight of its last 10 meetings with the Timberwolves.

Pick: Grizzlies -9

Dallas Mavericks at New Orleans Hornets (+4, 192 ½)

The Hornets’ sting has mysteriously vanished.

New Orleans has lost four of its last five contests after winning seven of its first nine. That includes a 103-94 loss to the lowly Timberwolves. The Hornets have also been outscored by an average of 14 points in their last four setbacks.

The Hornets are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with the Mavericks in the Big Easy.

Pick: Mavericks -4

Detroit Pistons at Milwaukee Bucks (+3, 194)

The Bucks hit a new low on Friday when they lost to the laughable Knicks.

Milwaukee has lost three straight, including a 114-99 home setback to the 76ers. The Bucks were outscored by a combined 31 points in those three setbacks. They have also scored fewer than 90 points two times in that span, seven points fewer than their season average.

The Bucks are also winless ATS in their last four games following up a straight up loss.

Pick: Pistons -3

Houston Rockets at Sacramento Kings (+6 ½)

The Rockets have covered the spread in five of their last six meetings in Sacramento. They have also won three straight over the Kings. Houston has also covered the spread in two of its last three road outings.

To make matters worse for the Kings, Ron Artest will miss tonight’s tilt to be with his ailing daughter in Indiana. Artest is Sacramento’s stingiest defender, averaging more than two steals per game. He is also the Kings’ second leading-scorer, with more than 21 points per night.

Pick: Rockets -6 ½

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**pm530** · 12-02-2007, 06:22 AM

National Basketball Association – Notes

NBA
Betting Matchup Notes

Sunday, December 2

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Sunday's key NBA betting matchup notes
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Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics (off)

LeBron James led the Cavaliers to a 109-104 overtime win Tuesday in Cleveland. Cleveland has won eight of nine against the Celtics.

Portland Trail Blazers at San Antonio Spurs (-15, 188)

San Antonio knocked off the Trail Blazers 106-97 at home in the teams' season opener Oct. 30. That was San Antonio's 10th win in a row over Portland and 17th in 18 meetings, including nine straight at home since a 95-76 loss Nov. 9, 2002.

Indiana Pacers at Los Angeles Clippers (off)

The Clippers are looking to sweep this two-game season series for the second time in four years. The last time these teams met at Staples Center, the Clippers set a franchise record for fewest points allowed in an 87-64 victory on March 3.

New Jersey Nets at Detroit Pistons (-8, 182)

The Nets have won just six of their last 44 road games in Detroit since the start of the 1985-86 season. Last season, New Jersey couldn't beat the Pistons (10-5) anywhere, dropping all four of its games against them.

Phoenix Suns at New York Knicks (+8 ½, 205 ½)

The Knicks lost 113-102 on November 13 and have dropped seven of their last eight games against the Suns.

Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets (-6 ½, 201 ½)

Denver (10-7) has won four straight over the Heat and eight of the last 10. The Heat's last win in Denver was Jan. 29, 2002.

Golden State Warriors at Seattle SuperSonics (+6 ½, 217 ½)

Golden State (8-7) is 6-22 in Seattle since 1993, but the Warriors have five of those wins over the last five seasons. This is the best stretch for them in Seattle since winning six of their first eight when the franchise was based in San Francisco, and the Warriors are 32-72 there all-time.

Orlando Magic at Los Angeles Lakers (-1 ½, 211)

Los Angeles hasn't lost at home to Orlando since March 17, 1996, and has won five in a row and 15 of 17 overall in the series.

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Announcement

Sunday Trends and Indexes 12/02

Sunday Trends and Indexes 12/02

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