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Thursday Trends and Indexes 11/22

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  • #31
    NCAAB
    Write-Up



    Thursday's Games

    Top Three Games

    Kansas State lost seven guys from LY and its coach, but has a pair of super freshmen in Beasley/Walker (played in few games LY, but blew out his knee, is still considered a freshman). So far they beat on three stiffs, so well-drilled George Mason will be a big step up in competition. Patriots have all five starters back from 18-15 team that almost won CAA title game.

    San Diego won by hoop at Hawai'i, lost by 11 to UNLV, and by five to San Diego State, both at home. USC lost to Mercer, but then went east and won 85-75 at South Carolina, as OJ Mayo is showing why his reputation preceded him to LA. Trojans have had injury issues, but are slowly getting healthier.

    Western Kentucky will be team to follow come March, NCAAs time; Hilltoppers traveled lot farther than Gonzaga to get to this event, but Heytfeldt being hurt sets Bulldogs back. WKU has four starters back from LY's 22-win team. Gonzaga has just one senior on roster, but 6-10 freshman Daye is drawing raves. This could easily be preview of first round NCAA matchup.

    Rest of the Card

    -- South Carolina lost 85-75 at home to USC, after beating up on couple of stiff teams; Gamecocks have talented new transfers in backcourt. Penn State also beat two cupcakes; they're picked 6th in Big 11, lot higher than usual for them.
    -- NC State just lost at home to New Orleans, as 17-point fave. Rider's Thompson is one of most unheralded players in nation. Broncs are picked 3rd in MAAC, have three starters back from LY, but only true PG is a freshman.
    -- Central Florida is home team for this event; they're picked 7th in improved C-USA; Knights already beat Nevada, opening its new arena in Orlando, about 20 miles from this gym. Villanova has to get contributions from its incoming freshmen.

    -- Mississippi State lost at home to Clemson last week, but they are picked 2nd in SEC West; they have four starters back from LY. Cal-Irvine upset Utah State at home last week, but lost to Nevada by 9- they're picked to finish sixth in Big West.
    -- Southern Illinois won Disney event in Orlando this weekend last year; Salukis have three starters back from 29-7 team, are a favorite to win MVC. Chattanooga led 50-46 at halftime when it played at Indiana, but lost 99-79- they want to play fast.
    -- South Alabama has new coach in Ronnie Arrow; they've got a senior backcourt like the one Arrow had last time he coached USA, back in early 90's. Miami, OH has three starters back from 18-13 team that made NCAAs last spring.

    Comment


    • #32
      NHL
      Dunkel



      Chicago at Calgary
      After finishing next-to-last in offense last season, the Blackhawks are enjoying a resurgence in scoring. Chicago is in the top 10 in scoring with a 3.05 average, nearly a goal better than last season's 2.38 average. And they have scored five or more goals in five of their 20 games, including a 5-3 win over Detroit on Sunday. Chicago looks like a dangerous underdog (+140) tonight in Calgary according to Dunkel, which has the Blackhawks favored straight up by 2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+140). Here are all of today's games.

      THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 22

      Game 1-2: Pittsburgh at Ottawa
      Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 10.049; Ottawa 13.070
      Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 3; 5 1/2
      Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-215); 6
      Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-215); Under

      Game 3-4: Detroit at Nashville
      Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.385; Nashville 13.032
      Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 6 1/2
      Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-145); 5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+125); Over

      Game 5-6: Colorado at Edmonton
      Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 9.810; Edmonton 10.578
      Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 5
      Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-145); 5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+125); Under

      Game 7-8: Chicago at Calgary
      Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.547; Calgary 10.468
      Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 6
      Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-160); 5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+140); Over

      Comment


      • #33
        NCAAB
        Short Sheet



        Thursday, November 22nd

        Old Spice Classic
        Orlando, Florida
        Opening Round

        Penn State vs. South Carolina, 12:00 EST ESPN2
        Penn State: 6-1 ATS in November
        South Carolina: 23-40 ATS with a line of +3 to -3

        Rider vs. NC State, 2:20 EST ESPN2
        Rider: 15-32 ATS off BB wins
        NC State: 6-0 ATS in tournament games

        Villanova vs. Central Florida, 7:00 EST ESPN2
        Villanova: 5-0 Under off BB games with 15+ offensive rebounds
        Central Florida: 16-4 ATS off an ATS loss

        George Mason vs. Kansas State, 9:20 EST ESPN2
        George Mason: 15-5 Under playing on a neutral court
        Kansas State: 12-4 ATS as a favorite


        Anaheim Classic
        Anaheim, California
        Opening Round

        Mississippi State vs. Cal Irvine, 2:00 EST ESPNU
        Mississippi State: 21-10 ATS as a favorite
        Cal Irvine: 9-19 ATS after playing as a favorite

        Tennessee Chattanooga vs. Southern Illinois, 4:20 EST ESPNU
        Tennessee Chatt: 7-17 ATS off an ATS win
        Southern Illinois: 9-2 ATS away vs. non-conference opponents

        Miami OH vs. South Alabama, 9:30 EST ESPNU
        Miami OH: 22-9 Under vs. non-conference opponents
        South Alabama: 12-4 SU off BB games scoring 75+ points

        San Diego vs. USC, 11:59 EST ESPN2
        San Diego: 6-0 ATS away off an ATS loss
        USC: 1-9 ATS off a win by 10+ points as an underdog


        Great Alaska Shootout
        Anchorage, Alaska
        Opening Round

        Texas Tech at Alaska Anchorage, 9:00 EST
        Texas Tech: No trends available
        Alaska Anchorage: No trends available

        Western Kentucky vs. Gonzaga, 11:30 EST ESPNU
        Western Kentucky: 2-14 ATS away off BB wins
        Gonzaga: 8-1 ATS off BB home games

        ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

        Comment


        • #34
          NHL
          Short Sheet



          Thursday, November 22nd

          Pittsburgh at Ottawa, 7:35 EST
          Pittsburgh: 1-8 SU off 3+ division games
          Ottawa: 10-2 SU as a home favorite

          Detroit at Nashville, 8:05 EST
          Detroit: 55-17 SU off a division game
          Nashville: 17-34 SU vs. Detroit

          Colorado at Edmonton, 9:05 EST
          Colorado: 6-0 SU away off 3+ losses
          Edmonton: 4-12 SU at home off a home win scoring 4+ goals

          Chicago at Calgary, 9:05 EST
          Chicago: 9-5 SU as an underdog
          Calgary: 0-5 SU off a win by 2+ goals

          ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

          Comment


          • #35
            NHL
            Write-Up



            Thursday, November 22


            Hot Teams
            -- Red Wings won seven of their last ten road games.
            -- Dallas Stars won last three games, outscoring foes 11-2.
            -- Flames won three of their last four games. Blackhawks are 6-3 in their last nine games.

            Cold Teams
            -- Penguins lost ten of their last thirteen games. Ottawa is 3-3 in last six games, after being 13-1 in first fourteen.
            -- Predators lost last two games, scoring three goals.
            -- Avalanche lost three of their last four games.

            Series Records
            -- Penguins won last three games vs Ottawa, after losing five in row to the Senators before that.
            -- Red Wings won their last five games vs Nashville.
            -- Stars won five of their last six games vs Colorado.
            -- Calgary, Chicago aplit their last eight meetings.

            Totals
            -- Under is 7-3 in last ten Pittsburgh games.
            -- Three of last four Detroit games went over the total.
            -- Last five Colorado-Dallas games went over the total.
            -- Under is 5-1-3 in last nine Calgary games.

            Comment

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