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A Special Situation - Take A Look and Play It

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  • A Special Situation - Take A Look and Play It

    Other than baseball, I rarely post plays unless there is a special reason for the play. Take a look at the Oregon at St. Marys line. It opened at Oregon -5 and is now Oregon -2. Three points is a big move for a single digit line. Makes you think Vegas has too much St. Marys money and is trying to get more Oregon money.

    Partly true. The books want more Oregon money but they don't have too much St. Marys money. Just the opposite. At sportsbook.com 75% of the money is on Oregon. W a ger line reports 70% of the plays are on Oregon. I live near and follow St. Marys. They are co-favorites with Gonzaga to win the WCC this year.

    They have three Australian players, with International experience. Oregon's tallest player is only 6'9" giving St. Marys a nice height advantage. Here is a little more info on St. Marys.

    Four of the team's five starters are boasting double-digit averages, led by center Omar Samhan's 16.3 ppg. The 6-11 big man is converting 61.8 percent of his shots and is getting it done as a rebounder (8.0 rpg) and passer (2.3 apg) as well. Forward Ian O'Leary is also delivering from the floor (57.1 percent), adding 10.7 ppg. Guard Patrick Mills and forward Diamon Simpson round out the double-digit threats with 10.3 and 10.0 ppg, respectively.

    I just checked again and the line is still 2. It hasen't gone back up. Now 77% of the money at sportsbook.com is on Oregon. Sure looks like a trap for Oregon bettors, which is what I am hoping it is.

    PLAY ST MARYS +2.

    Forgot to add. Game is on ESPN-U.
    Last edited by thesandman; 11-20-2007, 09:41 PM.

  • #2
    Thanx Sandy
    "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

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    • #3
      Thanks for the info, but I already had Oregon.
      Scranton

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      • #4
        On The Same One Sandy ! Got It Earlier At +3

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        • #5
          On The Same One Sandy ! Got It Earlier At +3 Gl !

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          • #6
            Up by 3 at the half and the second half line has Oregon favored by just 1.5 points, meaning the books see St. Marys winning the game.

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            • #7
              Scranton

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              • #8
                up by 10 now looks like a great call nice post

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                • #9
                  Congrats!!
                  1*=$50

                  Crusader MM starting qb at Oregon

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                  • #10
                    wish i saw this before i put my oregon play in...
                    Proud Member on Bettorschat.com since March 10, 2006


                    Overall since 9/1/09- 39-30-1 +1.14 units ($114.40)
                    1 unit=$100.00

                    Updated through Nov 18th 2009 @ 1:09AM est

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                    • #11
                      ST MARY'S ALMOST 100
                      OREGON 87


                      Their freshman pointguard Patrick Mills, another player from downunder is going to be a superstar. 19 years old, 13 of 14 FT's [no one on the G.S. Warriors can do that] and a St. Marys freshman record 37 points.

                      What's interesting is that the most lopsided game moneywise tonight was Oregon 80%, St. Mary's 20% at sportsbook.com.

                      File this for later on. St. Mary's is 42-11 SU at home. Something to remember when they play Seaton Hall and Gonzaga.

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                      • #12
                        I wanted to hop on this game but I was at busy at work and couldn't get my bet in
                        Record (started keeping track as of 11/10/07)
                        NCAAF: 14-9
                        NFL: 7-6
                        NBA: 4-4-2
                        CBB: 10-6-1

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                        • #13
                          Dude that call was tits!!!



                          $100/unit

                          They are all booger eaters!!!

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