Announcement

**pm530** · 11-17-2007, 04:54 AM

Six-pack

(Earlier “Six-pack” is repeated here.)

College football trends for your perusal

-- Ohio State won five of last six games vs Michigan.

-- Favorite is 12-3 vs spread in Washington State-Oregon State series.

-- Home side covered last four South Florida-Louisville tilts.

-- San Jose State covered five of last six vs Louisiana Tech.

-- Alabama covered three of last 15 as double digit favorite.

-- Northwestern covered six of last seven vs Illinois.

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**pm530** · 11-17-2007, 04:55 AM

College Football - Dunkel Index

NCAAF
Dunkel Index

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 17

Game 313-314: Western Michigan at Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 69.951; Iowa 91.414
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 21 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Iowa by 14; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-14); Under

Game 315-316: Kent at Temple
Dunkel Ratings: Kent 64.327; Temple 74.506
Dunkel Line: Temple by 10; 44
Vegas Line: Kent by 2 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (+2 1/2); Under

Game 317-318: North Carolina at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 84.425; Georgia Tech 97.521
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 13; 40
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 10; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-13); Under

Game 319-320: Penn State at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 97.999; Michigan State 101.058
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 3; 54
Vegas Line: Penn State by 3; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+3); Over

Game 321-322: West Virginia at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 109.874; Cincinnati 97.546
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 12; 52
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 6 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-6 1/2); Under

Game 323-324: Syracuse at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 75.123; Connecticut 103.970
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 29; 39
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 18; 46
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-18); Under

Game 325-326: Purdue at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 87.352; Indiana 90.443
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 3; 56
Vegas Line: Purdue by 2 1/2; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+2 1/2); Under

Game 327-328: Vanderbilt at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 94.578; Tennessee 102.903
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 8 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 12; 52
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+12); Under

Game 329-330: Bowling Green at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 73.925; Buffalo 79.445
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 5 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 1 1/2; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+5 1/2); Under

Game 331-332: Tulsa at Army
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 93.779; Army 71.228
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 22 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 14 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-14 1/2); Under

Game 333-334: BYU at Wyoming
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 99.960; Wyoming 79.449
Dunkel Line: BYU by 20 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: BYU by 10 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-10 1/2); Over

Game 335-336: San Diego State at Air Force
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 79.926; Air Force 95.238
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 15 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Air Force by 10 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-10 1/2); Over

Game 337-338: Mississippi State at Arkansas
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 97.171; Arkansas 97.587
Dunkel Line: Even; 53
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 11; 51
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+11); Over

Game 339-340: Utah State at New Mexico State
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 66.994; New Mexico State 67.570
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 1; 60
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 9 1/2; 63
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+9 1/2); Under

Game 341-342: Oklahoma State at Baylor
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 99.570; Baylor 74.645
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 25; 61
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 14; 65
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-14); Under

Game 343-344: Oklahoma at Texas Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 109.151; Texas Tech 96.716
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 12 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 7 1/2; 66
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-7 1/2); Under

Game 345-346: Iowa State at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 78.776; Kansas 111.606
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 33; 54
Vegas Line: Kansas by 25 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-25 1/2); Under

Game 347-348: Idaho at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 65.202; Boise State 107.604
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 42 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Boise State by 33; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-33); Under

Game 349-350: Duke at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 74.377; Notre Dame 87.127
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 13; 53
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 5; 48
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-5); Over

Game 351-352: Central Florida at SMU
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 90.529; SMU 70.075
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 20 1/2; 68
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 12 1/2; 72 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-12 1/2); Under

Game 353-354: Tulane at Rice
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 74.389; Rice 73.487
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 1; 75
Vegas Line: Rice by 2; 70
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+2); Over

Game 355-356: Marshall at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 79.828; Houston 86.629
Dunkel Line: Houston by 7; 58
Vegas Line: Houston by 12; 65
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+12); Under

Game 357-358: Northern Illinois at Navy
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 61.179; Navy 84.972
Dunkel Line: Navy by 24; 68
Vegas Line: Navy by 15 1/2; 73
Dunkel Pick: Navy (-15 1/2); Under

Game 359-360: UAB at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 61.097; Memphis 80.656
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 19 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Memphis by 11; 60
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-11); Under

Game 361-362: California at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: California 95.802; Washington 96.234
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 52
Vegas Line: California by 7; 58
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+7); Under

Game 363-364: LSU at Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 109.006; Mississippi 80.030
Dunkel Line: LSU by 29; 51
Vegas Line: LSU by 18; 54
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-18); Under

Game 365-366: Kentucky at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 102.806; Georgia 103.209
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 1; 58
Vegas Line: Georgia by 8; 61
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+8); Under

Game 367-368: Missouri at Kansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 111.887; Kansas State 83.980
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 28;
Vegas Line: Missouri by 7; 68
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-7);

Game 369-370: Ohio State at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 103.947; Michigan 105.184
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 1; 53
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 4; 49
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+4 1/2); Over

Game 371-372: Miami (FL) at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 83.462; Virginia Tech 108.333
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 25; 44
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 16 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-16 1/2); Over

Game 373-374: Boston College at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 102.798; Clemson 104.063
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 1 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Clemson by 7 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+7 1/2); Over

Game 375-376: Maryland at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 93.170; Florida State 96.738
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 3 1/2; 49 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida State by 7 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+7 1/2); Over

Game 377-378: New Mexico at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 92.065; Utah 104.450
Dunkel Line: Utah by 12 1/2; 39 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah by 14 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+14 1/2); Under

Game 379-380: Oregon State at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 96.717; Washington State 93.885
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 3; 45
Vegas Line: Washington State by 2 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+2 1/2); Under

Game 381-382: San Jose State at Louisiana Tech
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 77.498; Louisiana Tech 75.355
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 2; 56
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 6; 53
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+6); Over

Game 383-384: North Carolina State at Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina State 92.001; Wake Forest 93.996
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 2; 54
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 6 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina State (+6 1/2); Over

Game 385-386: Louisville at South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 94.411; South Florida 96.768
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 2; 55
Vegas Line: South Florida by 7; 62
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (+7); Under

Game 387-388: Wisconsin at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 100.863; Minnesota 81.478
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 19 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 13 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-13 1/2); Under

Game 389-390: UNLV at TCU
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 71.664; TCU 102.512
Dunkel Line: TCU by 31; 52
Vegas Line: TCU by 17; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-17); Over

Game 391-392: Southern Mississippi at UTEP
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 76.794; UTEP 80.499
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 4; 58
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 3 1/2; 66
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+3 1/2); Under

Game 393-394: Pittsburgh at Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 84.111; Rutgers 98.077
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 14; 42
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 11 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-11 1/2); Under

Game 395-396: Northwestern at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 81.606; Illinois 103.361
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 22; 48
Vegas Line: Illinois by 13 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-13 1/2); Under

Game 397-398: UL Monroe at Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 68.106; Alabama 102.534
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 34 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Alabama by 24 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-24 1/2); Under

Game 399-400: UL Lafayette at Florida International
Dunkel Ratings: UL Lafayette 59.550; Florida International 60.044
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 1; 59
Vegas Line: UL Lafayette by 4 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+4 1/2); Over

Game 401-402: Florida Atlantic at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 72.270; Florida 107.843
Dunkel Line: Florida by 35 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Florida by 34; 67
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-34); Over

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**pm530** · 11-17-2007, 04:58 AM

College Football – Long Sheet

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 12

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Saturday, November 17
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W MICHIGAN (3 - 7) at IOWA (6 - 5) - 11/17/2007, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
W MICHIGAN is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
W MICHIGAN is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
IOWA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KENT ST (3 - 7) at TEMPLE (3 - 7) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KENT ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
KENT ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N CAROLINA (3 - 7) at GEORGIA TECH (6 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PENN ST (8 - 3) at MICHIGAN ST (6 - 5) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
MICHIGAN ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W VIRGINIA (8 - 1) at CINCINNATI (8 - 2) - 11/17/2007, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SYRACUSE (2 - 8) at CONNECTICUT (8 - 2) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PURDUE (7 - 4) at INDIANA (6 - 5) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
INDIANA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-1 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VANDERBILT (5 - 5) at TENNESSEE (7 - 3) - 11/17/2007, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-1 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-1 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOWLING GREEN (6 - 4) at BUFFALO (4 - 6) - 11/17/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULSA (7 - 3) at ARMY (3 - 7) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BYU (7 - 2) at WYOMING (5 - 5) - 11/17/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
WYOMING is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 2-0 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 2-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN DIEGO ST (4 - 5) at AIR FORCE (8 - 3) - 11/17/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
AIR FORCE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
AIR FORCE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
AIR FORCE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
AIR FORCE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 1-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSISSIPPI ST (6 - 4) at ARKANSAS (6 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH ST (0 - 10) at NEW MEXICO ST (4 - 7) - 11/17/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-1 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA ST (5 - 5) at BAYLOR (3 - 8) - 11/17/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BAYLOR is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) in November games since 1992.
BAYLOR is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
BAYLOR is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
BAYLOR is 49-74 ATS (-32.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA (9 - 1) at TEXAS TECH (7 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 72-48 ATS (+19.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 51-27 ATS (+21.3 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 52-28 ATS (+21.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 52-28 ATS (+21.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IOWA ST (3 - 8) at KANSAS (10 - 0) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 14-35 ATS (-24.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
KANSAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
KANSAS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
KANSAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
KANSAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games played on turf this season.
KANSAS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
KANSAS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
KANSAS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
KANSAS is 45-74 ATS (-36.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
KANSAS is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IDAHO (1 - 9) at BOISE ST (9 - 1) - 11/17/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 70-41 ATS (+24.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 46-23 ATS (+20.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 48-25 ATS (+20.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 48-18 ATS (+28.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 25-7 ATS (+17.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 43-17 ATS (+24.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 25-7 ATS (+17.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
BOISE ST is 70-41 ATS (+24.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 54-32 ATS (+18.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 39-16 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 39-16 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DUKE (1 - 9) at NOTRE DAME (1 - 9) - 11/17/2007, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UCF (7 - 3) at SMU (1 - 9) - 11/17/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TULANE (3 - 7) at RICE (3 - 7) - 11/17/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 49-74 ATS (-32.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
RICE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
RICE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
RICE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
RICE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
RICE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
RICE is 1-1 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
RICE is 1-1 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARSHALL (2 - 8) at HOUSTON (6 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
MARSHALL is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
HOUSTON is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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N ILLINOIS (2 - 8) at NAVY (6 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 96-66 ATS (+23.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 91-61 ATS (+23.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 61-38 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
NAVY is 43-19 ATS (+22.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NAVY is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NAVY is 96-66 ATS (+23.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UAB (2 - 8) at MEMPHIS (5 - 5) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 2-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CALIFORNIA (6 - 4) at WASHINGTON (3 - 7) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 46-72 ATS (-33.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-1 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LSU (9 - 1) at OLE MISS (3 - 7) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KENTUCKY (7 - 3) at GEORGIA (8 - 2) - 11/17/2007, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 1-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 1-1 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSOURI (9 - 1) at KANSAS ST (5 - 5) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 53-31 ATS (+18.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
MISSOURI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO ST (10 - 1) at MICHIGAN (8 - 3) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (5 - 5) at VIRGINIA TECH (8 - 2) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON COLLEGE (8 - 2) at CLEMSON (8 - 2) - 11/17/2007, 7:45 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARYLAND (5 - 5) at FLORIDA ST (6 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 1-1 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW MEXICO (7 - 3) at UTAH (7 - 3) - 11/17/2007, 5:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 2-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON ST (6 - 4) at WASHINGTON ST (4 - 6) - 11/17/2007, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 66-45 ATS (+16.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON ST is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE ST (4 - 6) at LOUISIANA TECH (4 - 6) - 11/17/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NC STATE (5 - 5) at WAKE FOREST (6 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (5 - 5) at S FLORIDA (7 - 3) - 11/17/2007, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-1 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (8 - 3) at MINNESOTA (1 - 10) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UNLV (2 - 8) at TCU (5 - 5) - 11/17/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
TCU is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 1-1 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SOUTHERN MISS (5 - 5) at UTEP (4 - 6) - 11/17/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (4 - 5) at RUTGERS (6 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 2-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS is 2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NORTHWESTERN (6 - 5) at ILLINOIS (8 - 3) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 46-74 ATS (-35.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 34-55 ATS (-26.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 34-55 ATS (-26.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (4 - 6) at ALABAMA (6 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.
ALABAMA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ALABAMA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
ALABAMA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAFAYETTE (2 - 8) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 9) - 11/17/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA ATLANTIC (5 - 4) at FLORIDA (7 - 3) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**pm530** · 11-17-2007, 04:59 AM

College Football – Short Sheet

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Saturday, November 17th

(TC) Western Michigan at Iowa, 3:30 EST
Western Michigan: 1-7 ATS this season
Iowa: 10-3 ATS vs. MAC opponents

Kent State at Temple, 12:00 EST
Kent State: 0-6 ATS off 4+ losses
Temple: 11-2 Under as a home underdog

North Carolina at Georgia Tech, 12:00 EST
North Carolina: 0-6 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
Georgia Tech: 11-2 Under off an Over

(TC) Penn State at Michigan State, 3:30 EST
Penn State: 1-9 ATS away after allowing 6 points or less
Michigan State: 15-5 ATS at home off a conference win

(TC) West Virginia at Cincinnati, 7:45 EST
West Virginia: 8-1 ATS away off an ATS loss
Cincinnati: 30-12 Under playing on artificial turf

Syracuse at Connecticut, 12:00 EST
Syracuse: 1-7 ATS after losing 4 of their last 5 games
Connecticut: 7-0 ATS at home off a conference road loss

(TC) Purdue at Indiana, 3:30 EST
Purdue: 8-0 Under off BB losses
Indiana: 1-6 ATS off a loss by 3 points or less

(TC) Vanderbilt at Tennessee, 2:00 EST
Vanderbilt: 6-0 Under off a conference game
Tennessee: 7-0 ATS off BB home games

Bowling Green at Buffalo, 1:00 EST
Bowling Green: 0-6 ATS off BB games scoring 31+ points
Buffalo: 5-1 ATS vs. conference opponents

(TC) Tulsa at Army, 12:00 EST
Tulsa: 8-1 ATS away off an ATS win
Army: 1-6 ATS as a home underdog

BYU at Wyoming, 2:00 EST
BYU: 7-1 Over off a conference home win
Wyoming: 1-11 ATS off 3+ conference games

San Diego State at Air Force, 2:00 EST
San Diego State: 1-9 ATS away off a road win
Air Force: 6-1 ATS vs. conference opponents

Mississippi State at Arkansas, 2:00 EST
Mississippi State: 8-1 ATS in road games
Arkansas: 13-4 Over in home games

Utah State at New Mexico State, 2:00 EST
Utah State: 2-16 ATS off a loss by 28+ points
New Mexico State: 6-0 Over after losing 3 of their last 4 games

(TC) Oklahoma State at Baylor, 7:00 EST
Oklahoma State: 13-2 Over off an ATS loss
Baylor: 2-10 ATS off BB conference games

(TC) Oklahoma at Texas Tech, 8:00 EST
Oklahoma: 16-6 Under after winning 8+ of their last 10 games
Texas Tech: 21-7 ATS off a conference loss by 10+ points

(TC) Iowa State at Kansas, 3:30 EST
Iowa State: 14-35 ATS away playing on artificial turf
Kansas: 9-0 ATS this season

Idaho at Boise State, 2:00 EST
Idaho: 3-11 ATS off a straight up loss
Boise State: 40-11 ATS off BB conference games

Duke at Notre Dame, 2:30 EST
Duke: 6-1 Over as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
Notre Dame: 0-6 ATS at home off a home game

Central Florida at SMU, 3:00 EST
Central Florida: 6-1 Over off 3+ wins
SMU: 2-10 ATS off a loss by 3 points or less

Tulane at Rice, 3:00 EST
Tulane: 5-15 ATS vs. conference opponents
Rice: 8-1 ATS off a conference win

Marshall at Houston, 3:30 EST
Marshall: 1-9 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
Houston: 6-1 ATS off a conference loss

Northern Illinois at Navy, 3:30 EST
Northern Illinois: 2-10 ATS away after having 475+ total yards
Navy: 20-8 ATS after having 475+ total yards

UAB at Memphis, 3:30 EST
UAB: 10-2 ATS away after allowing 37+ points
Memphis: 2-13 ATS at home off a conference win

California at Washington, 3:30 EST
California: 7-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
Washington: 0-7 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less

LSU at Mississippi, 3:30 EST
LSU: 6-1 Under after gaining 575+ total yards
Mississippi: 10-5 ATS vs. LSU

(TC) Kentucky at Georgia, 12:30 EST
Kentucky: 14-5 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
Georgia: 3-10 ATS off BB home wins

(TC) Missouri at Kansas State, 12:30 EST
Missouri: 6-1 Over playing on artifial turf
Kansas State: 7-0 ATS off a road loss by 21+ points

(TC) Ohio State at Michigan, 12:00 EST
Ohio State: 17-6 ATS vs. conference opponents
Michigan: 13-27 ATS after committing 3+ turnovers

Miami FL at Virginia Tech, 3:30 EST
Miami FL: 0-6 ATS off an Over
Virginia Tech: 17-6 ATS vs. conference opponents

(TC) Boston College at Clemson, 7:45 EST
Boston College: 5-1 ATS as a road underdog
Clemson: 9-2 Under off BB wins by 21+ points

(TC) Maryland at Florida State, 12:00 EST
Maryland: 7-1 ATS off ATS losses in 3 of their last 4 games
Florida State: 1-8 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

New Mexico at Utah, 5:30 EST
New Mexico: 0-6 ATS after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
Utah: 6-0 ATS off 3+ conference games

Oregon State at Washington State, 6:30 EST
Oregon State: 29-15 ATS off a conference win
Washington State: 5-21 ATS off ATS wins in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

San Jose State at Louisiana Tech, 7:00 EST
San Jose State: 23-10 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games
Louisiana Tech: 0-7 ATS off BB road games

(TC) NC State at Wake Forest, 4:00 EST
NC State: 1-7 ATS off 3+ conference games
Wake Forest: 11-3 Under as a home favorite

(TC) Louisville at South Florida, 8:00 EST
Louisville: 9-21 ATS after committing 4+ turnovers
South Florida: 7-0 Under off 3+ conference games

(TC) Wisconsin at Minnesota, 3:30 EST
Wisconsin: 5-1 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards
Minnesota: 1-5 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less

UNLV at TCU, 7:30 EST
UNLV: 2-12 ATS away on Saturdays
TCU: 8-1 ATS off 3+ conference games

Southern Miss at UTEP, 7:30 EST
Southern Miss: 7-1 Under off a loss by 3 points or less
UTEP: 1-8 ATS in November

(TC) Pittsburgh at Rutgers, 12:00 EST
Pittsburgh: 14-28 ATS away off an ATS loss
Rutgers: 7-0 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games

(TC) Northwestern at Illinois, 12:00 EST
Northwestern: 10-2 ATS away off BB games committing 3+ turnovers
Illinois: 9-22 ATS at home after committing 1 or 0 turnovers

Added Games:

(TC) Louisiana Monroe at Alabama, 2:30 EST
LA Monroe: 5-1 ATS off BB home games
Alabama: 4-14 ATS in home games

Louisiana Lafayette at Florida International, 7:00 EST
LA Lafayette: 6-18 ATS as a favorite
Florida Int: 8-4 Under off a conference loss

(TC) Florida Atlantic at Florida, 12:00 EST
Florida Atl: 0-6 ATS away vs. non-conference opponents
Florida: 5-1 Over off BB conference games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**pm530** · 11-17-2007, 05:00 AM

College Football – Write up

NCAAF
Write-up

Saturday’s Games

Top Ten Games

Penn State beat Michigan State the last three years, 37-13/31-22/ 17-13; home side covered 10 of last 14 series games. Spartans lost five of last seven after 4-0 start; over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games- they allowed 32.7 pg in last seven. Lions won five of last six games; they’re 2-2 on the road, winning at Indiana (36-31), Temple (31-0). MSU is 4-2 at home, 1-2 in last three, losing to Northwestern (48-41ot), Michigan (28-24, when they led by 10 with 7:00 left).

West Virginia won three of last four vs. Bearcats, winning last two years by 38-0/42-24 scores; home side is 4-0-1 vs spread in series. WVa won last four games since upset at South Florida, winning by 41-25-28-7 points- they’re 6-2-1 vs spread this year, all as favorite, 3-1-1 as road fave, with wins by 25-17-41-28 points. Bearcats held eight of nine D-I foes under 100 rushing yards this year (Pitt had 260). -- four of UC’s last five games stayed under total.

Purdue won the Old Oaken Bucket last five years, by margins of
24-8-39-27-9 points, winning the last two visits here, 24-16/41-14. Boilers are 2-4 in last six games after 5-0 start- they lost last two road games. Indiana lost four of last five games after 5-1 start; they blew game last week, letting freshman sub QB throw INT for TD in his only play as sub for dinged starter Lewis (IU led at time, 14-3), and Hoosiers wound up losing game by a FG that they should have won.

Vanderbilt is 5-5, needs win here or vs Wake next week to be eligible for first bowl in 25 years. Tennessee beat Commodores 24 of last 25 years, but Vandy won their last visit here; ‘dores covered 12 of last 16 as road dog, have already won at South Carolina in ’07, but Vols are 6-0 at home (5-0-1 vs spread) with wins by 20-21-21-3-51-21 points. Vols are +8 in turnovers in last three games, with seven INTs- they held Arkansas to 127 yards rushing last week. Three of five Vandy losses are by 14+ points.

Emergence of freshman RB Moreno has sparked Georgia run game (195.8 ypg in last four). Kentucky beat Georgia 24-20 LY (+7), for first series win in last 10 tries; UK allowed 31+ points in four of last five games. Wildcats are 2-1 SU on road, 3-2 vs the spread as dog, but -9 in turnovers last five games, with only four takeaways. Dawgs won four in row, seven of their last eight games, scoring 42-44-45 in last three, all vs foes who will be in bowls- they’re 4-1 at home, winning last three by 45-17/44-34/
45-20 scores.

Missouri beat Kansas State LY for first time in last 14 meetings; they lost last eight visits to Little Apple, (24-14/36-28 in last two), but are on roll this year, winning last four games, scoring 44.5 pg. Mizzou is 2-1 on road, winning 38-25 at Ole Miss, 55-10 at Colorado, losing 41-31 at Oklahoma. K-State gave up to 73 to dead Nebraska squad last week, their third loss in last four games. Tigers have biggest game in their recent history next week (vs rival Kansas in Arrowhead); they can’t look past this.

Health of Henne, Hart kept this game off board most of week. Michigan lost five of last six games vs Ohio State, losing last three years by 37-21/25-21/42-39 scores; this is first time since ’59 both teams come into this game off a loss. Buckeyes had national title hopes dashed last week; they’re 4-0 on road, winning by 19-23-16-20 points. Wolverines won last five home games, scoring 33.4 pg- they covered six of last seven as a dog. Four of last five OSU games went over total.

Boston College beat Clemson in OT in each of last two years, 16-13/34-33; Tigers outgained BC 479-322 LY, still lost. Clemson won, covered last four games overall (+7 in TO’s), winning by 56-13-37-34 points; they’re 2-2 as home favorite in ’07. Boston College covered last four tries as underdog, but lost last two weeks, 27-17/42-35 (-6 in TO’s)- they haven’t picked off pass in last three games. Four of last five Clemson games went over total, but three of BC’s last four stayed under.

Underdog covered last four NC State-Wake Forest games, with Wake winning last two, 27-19/25-23; home side covered eight of last 11 series games. Wolfpack won last four games to even record (5-5), with seven INTs in last three; their last three games were all decided by five or less points. Wake lost their last two games, scoring 16-10 points, but they won last four at home, by 11-7-3-20 points. State covered last four tries as underdog. State needs one more win to become bowl eligible.

Home side covered last four South Florida-Louisville games, with Cardinals losing last two visits here, 31-28OT/45-14 (as 20-point favorite). South Florida snapped 3-game skid last week, routing Syracuse; they scored 33-41 in last two games, and outscored last three opponents 49-13 in second half. Bulls covered 13 of last 20 as home favorite. Louisville is 2-0 as dog this season, disappointing 5-5 SU, 2-3 on road, losing at Kentucky (40-34), UConn (21-17), West Virginia (38-31).

Rest of the Card

-- Iowa needs win here to guarantee bowl bid; they’ve won last three games, by 7-11-5 points, but failed to cover last three tries as favorite. Western Michigan lost last three games; four of their last five were decided by four or less points.

-- Temple scored seven points in losing its last two games (23-7/
31-0) with QB Charlton replacing the injured starter DiMichele; they’re 6-3 vs spread as dog in ’07. Kent lost last five games, but is favored for third time in last four weeks, second straight time on road!!!!

-- Underdog covered nine of last 13 Ga Tech-North Carolina games, with Tech winning eight of last nine, but Heels covered last three. Dog is 8-1 vs spread in last eight Tech games, with GT 2-4 as favorite. UNC had ball on 12-yard line to win at NC State last week, but fell just short; they’re 2-7 vs D-I teams.

-- Syracuse is 2-6 vs spread as dog this season, 1-3 on road, with 35-0 loss at Iowa and pair of 3-point defeats; last four SU games stayed under total, as have four of last five Husky games. UConn is 3-1 as favorite, 5-0 SU at home, with wins by 5-34-4-7-19 points.

-- Bowling Green is 6-0 when it scores 31+ points, 0-4 when it doesn’t; they’re 3-3 on road, and scored 82 points in winning last two games. Six of their last seven games went over total. Buffalo covered four of last five games; they’re 3-0 at home in MAC, winning by 21-10-16 points.

-- Army lost last four games, by 24-24-20-35 points, allowing 38 pg (-9 TO ratio); they’re 3-4 vs spread as underdog in ’07. Tulsa crushed Houston 56-7 last week; they’re 2-2 on road, beating UL-Monroe 35-17, Tulane 49-25. Hurricane covered just two of last six as a favorite.

-- Wyoming trailed 40-0 at half last week in Utah, as they go thru another late season slide, losing four of last five games (0-5 vs spread), but they’re 4-1 at home, losing 20-3 to New Mexico. BYU won six in row after 1-2 start; they’re 2-2 on road, winning at New Mexico (31-24), UNLV (24-14).

-- Air Force just beat Army, Notre Dame last two weeks, could let down vs San Diego State squad that scored 65 points in winning last two games, after 2-5 start, but Falcons covered last six games, are 4-0 as favorite in ‘07. Aztecs covered four of last five tries as dog.

-- Underdog covered 12 of last 15 Arkansas-Miss State games, with home side covering last five. Bulldogs are 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine tries as road dog; they beat Alabama last week to become bowl eligible, but since 11 of 12 SEC teams might be eligible, a seventh win wouldn’t hurt.

-- Underdog is 6-2 vs spread in last eight New Mexico State-Utah State games; USU covered four of last six, even though they’ve lost 16 in row SU. NMex State lost last three games, giving up 50-40-51 points, so hard to endorse them, especially giving 9.5 points- they’re 1-1 as favorite this season.

-- Baylor’s coach isn’t coming back in ’08; they’re 2-11 vs the spread in last 13 Big 12 games. Oklahoma State needs win to become bowl eligible, or Gundy won’t be back either. Cowboys allowed 81 points in losing last two games- they’re 1-2 vs spread as favorite, 1-3 SU on road, winning only at Nebraska.

-- Oklahoma won last five games, last four by 10+ points; they’re just 1-3 as road favorite in ’07, but covered 10 of last 14 vs Texas Tech, which lost three of last four games and is 0-2 as underdog this year. Faves covered five of Tech’s last six games.

-- 3-8 Iowa State won last two weeks, is only thing between Kansas and showdown with Missouri for Big 12 North title last week; home side is 12-3-1 vs. spread in Jayhawk-Cyclone series. Kansas covered 13 of last 14 games overall, but they did allow 39-28 points in last two games.

-- Boise won last eight games, covered last three, outscoring last two foes 92-7, but Broncos play Hawai’i next week, so they could look past in-state rival that is 0-9 vs D-I teams (1-6 vs spread in last seven). None of their last five losses are by more than 16 points, however.

-- Duke’s offensive coordinator was OC at Notre Dame LY, but Weis fired him; the guy’s kids still go to school in South Bend. Both teams 1-9, they both lost close games to Navy, Duke lost last seven games, failed to cover last four. Is this is the worst nationally televised game in history of college football?

-- Not only has SMU’s coach already been fired, they blew 15-point lead in 4th quarter last week, their 8th loss in row (four of last six by six or less pts, or in OT). Central Florida failed to cover last eight tries as road favorite, but they’ve won four in row overall, with all four wins by 14+ points.

-- Rice won last two games, allowing 90 points; they’ve allowed 45.1 pg vs D-I foes this year, and is 1-3 at home, even losing to I-AA Nicholls State. Tulane is 0-7 scoring less than 34 points; they split last four games after 1-5 start. Wave has 200+ rushing yards in five of last six games.

-- Marshall covered just three of last 15 as road dog; they did upset East Carolina at home last week, holding hit Pirates to 7 points. Houston got crushed at Tulsa last week, ending 4-game win streak; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five tries when favored.

-- Navy scored 74 points last week and didn’t cover, week after giving up 44 points and winning at Notre Dame- they trailed 49-45 at North Texas at the half last week. Northern Illinois ended five-game skid last week. Navy covered three of last 10 as home favorite- they have bowl bid locked up.

-- Underdog covered seven of last eight Memphis-UAB games, with Blazers winning last seven SU; UAB has given up 240-335-216-338-402 rushing yards in last five games. Tigers upset Southern Miss last week; they need win to get to six, but their last four wins are all by three or less points.

-- Cal lost four of last five games (0-5 vs spread), losing last two on road; they’re 1-5 vs spread in their last six tries as favorite. Washington QB Locker left with sprained neck last week; doubt he goes here, and there is dropoff to backup Bonnell. Huskies lost seven of their last eight games.

-- Underdog covered eight of last 10 LSU-Ole Miss games, with four of last five decided by three or less pts; teams compete on recruiting trail (Orgeron is from Cajun country, grew up an LSU fan). Rebels are 5-1-1 vs spread in last seven SEC home games. Does LSU need style points?

-- Miami tanked in Orange Bowl finale last week, losing 48-0 to Virginia, now go to Blacksburg after Tech beat Florida State last week. In its last two games, Miami is 10-35/178 passing, dismal numbers. Hokies won seven of last eight games, with last four wins all by 18+ points.

-- Florida State covered four of last 15 as home favorite; they’re 3-1 at home, losing to Miami, winning by 10-17-19 points.- they’re 1-4 if they allow more than 17 points. Maryland ended 3-game skip beating BC last week; three of their last four losses were by seven or less points (30-17 vs Clemson).

-- Utah is hot, winning last six games, covering last five; they won last four home games by combined score of 151-31- they allowed three points in last two games, opponents are 7 for last 41 on third down against Utes. New Mexico won four of last five games, but the loss was 37-0 at TCU.

-- Favorite covered 12 of last 15 Oregon State-Wazzu games, with OSU covering six of last seven in series; their QB Canfield missed last week’s game, but Beavers won four of last five games, losing only at USC. Coogs won last two home games, beating UCLA 27-7, Stanford 33-17.

-- San Jose State is 1-5 on road, beating winless Utah State, losing other five games by combined score of 188-27; they’re 2-5 vs spread as dog this season- they had 476 rushing yards vs Louisiana Tech LY in 44-10 win. Tech got waxed at LSU last week, after winning previous two games.

-- Wisconsin is 3-3 in last six visits to Metrodome, with three wins by combined total of eight points. Minnesota lost last nine games (1-3 vs spread in last four), with three of their last four home losses by 14+ points. Badgers won three of last four games, winning by 41,30,16 points.

-- TCU covered five of last seven as double digit favorite, but are 2-4 vs spread in last six tries overall as a favorite; they’re 4-1 at home this year, winning by 27-14-12-37 points. UNLV lost last six games, with four of six by 10 or less points- they’re 4-3 vs spread as an underdog this season.

-- UTEP lost last four games, allowing 42.3 pg; they gave up 45-47 in two games they won before that, so they’re an awful team. on defense. Southern Miss got upset at home by Memphis last week; they’re 3-2 on road, losing at Tennessee, Boise State. Favorite covered their last ten road games.

-- Rutgers lost three of last four home games; favorite covered four of their last five games. Pitt is 0-3 on road this year, losing at Michigan State (17-13), Virginia (44-14), Louisville (24-17)- their last three games stayed under total. Pitt is 3-2 as an underdog this season.

-- Illinois had highly emotional win at Ohio State last week; their third win in row; they’re 4-2 vs spread as favorite this seasons. Northwestern covered three of last four tries as underdog, but Bacher threw nine INTs in last three games (-8 TO ratio in last four games).

-- Alabama is 0-3 as home favorite this season, covered three of last 15 as double digit favorite; they beat UL-Monroe 41-7 LY (+24), but have huge Auburn game up next, coming off physical Miss State contest. UL-Monroe covered last three tries as an underdog, but this is deeper water for them- they lost 49-26 at Clemson in September (+26).

-- UL-Lafayette ran ball for 376 yards in upset win at Middle Tennessee last week, week after running for 234 in loss at Tennessee; Cajuns are 1-0 as favorite this year, 1-4 on road, with only win last week. FIU is 0-9, but came close last week, losing 27-24 after leading 9-3 at the half.

-- Florida scored 100 points in winning last two games; they have Seminoles on deck, after hammering South Carolina last week. FAU lost 41-6 at Oklahoma State, 45-17 at Kentucky, so they’re out of their league here, but as long the Gators’ check clears at the bank, it’s a productive night for Owls.

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**pm530** · 11-17-2007, 05:02 AM

College Football - Tips & Trends

NCAAF
Tips and Trends

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Tips and Trends
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Saturday, November 17

#7 Ohio State at #21 Michigan (ABC | 12 PM ET)

Michigan and Ohio Sate have met on the final Saturday of the Big Ten season every year since 1935, and this is the first time since 1959 both programs meet coming off of losses. Before Ohio State’s shocking loss to Illinois they had hopes of playing for the BCS title, now a trip to the Rose Bowl is on the table with a Big 10 Championship. “You come to Ohio State to play against Michigan" says OS WR Brian Hartline. Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel is 5-1 versus Michigan since taking over in 2001, and look to continue his team’s dominance on the road this season. State is 4-0 on the road and has won those games by an average of 22 points. EDGE: OHIO STATE
Michigan simply didn’t look like they brought it’s A-game to Wisconsin last week, suffering a 37-21 loss. Players said they weren’t looking past that game, but it truly didn’t mean much in the run for the Big 10 Championship thanks to an eight-game winning streak in the middle of the season. Michigan scored an average of 31 points per game during that streak, and the players have stepped-up for their coach Lloyd Carr. “I am very proud of the way this team has fought this year, and we will fight again for a trip to the Rose Bowl” Michigan coach Lloyd Carr. EDGE: MICHIGAN
Ohio State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games following an ATS loss.
Ohio State is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games as a road favorite.
Michigan is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games as an underdog.
Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 conference games.
The OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Northwestern at #19 Illinois (ESPN | 12 PM ET)

After beating the top-ranked team in the country for the first time since 1956, the No. 21 Illinois look to close their first winning regular season in six years on a high note. Illinois has won three in-a-row and are averaging 33 points per game during the streak. QB Juice Williams has seen more action through the air during this streak, averaging 164 passing yards with 6 touchdowns. This red-hot Illinois offense should be able to make some nosie against a Northwestern team which is allowing 415 total yards per game on the road this season. EDGE: ILLINOIS
Northwestern has played very good against their in-state rivals, “We're playing very good football” said Northwestern coach Pat Fitzgerald. Northwestern has won four in a row against Illinois and only one of those games was decided by fewer than 11 points. Northwestern hasn’t lost to Illinois since 2002. EDGE: NORTHWESTERN
Northwestern is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games as an underdog.
Northwestern is 4-11 ATS in its 15 road games against a winning home team.
Illinois is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games following a SU win.
Illinois is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games as a home favorite.

#1 LSU at Mississippi (CBS | 3:30 PM ET)

Top-ranked LSU travels to Mississippi looking to stay in the ***** of the national title race. The Tigers finally climbed back atop the AP poll winning three straight and jumping back into the top spot when Ohio State lost to Illinois on Saturday. During this three game streak LSU has averaged 43 points per game while racking up an average of 500+ yards. Not only has the Tigers offense been ticking, but their defense is allowing just 66 rushing yards per game and 237 yards overall – led by Glenn Dorsey. EDGE: LSU
Since Eli Manning's graduation, Mississippi is 6-24 in SEC play, and has a 10-game losing streak against ranked teams, but the Rebels played Florida and Alabama close, and are coming off a bye week. “They are coming to our house, and I know we will be ready for the challenge." Mississippi coach Ed Orgeron said. SLIGHT EDGE: MISSISSIPPI
LSU is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games as a road favorite of 10.5+ points.
LSU is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 conference games.
Mississippi is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 home games.
Mississippi is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games as a home underdog.
Road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Iowa State at #3 Kansas (ABC | 3:30 PM ET)

Kansas is in the midst of a remarkable run from nowhere to legitimate national title contender. The Jayhawks are 10-0 on the season and have showed they can win high scoring and low scoring affairs. They are one of the rare teams in the league to not have any players listed on the injury report, and have been hard to stop, averaging 46 points per game overall. Kansas is putting up over 500 yards a game, and this is not good news for the Iowa State defense which is already allowing close to 400 yards a game. BIG EDGE: KANSAS
The Iowa State Cyclones have been outscored by an average of 14.5 points in dropping all four of their road games this season. However, Iowa State is coming off one of its most impressive victories of the season, rallying from a 21-point halftime deficit to beat Colorado 31-28 last Saturday. This is following their 31-20 victory over Kansas State on Nov. 3, and the Cyclones have won back-to-back conference games for the first time since winning four in a row in 2005. "The two-game winning streak lets our team know we can play against the best teams in the country" State coach Gene Chizik said. EDGE: IOWA STATE
Iowa State is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 conference games.
Iowa State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games against a winning team.
Kansas is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 conference games.
Kansas is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games as a home favorite.
Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Penn State at Michigan State (ABC | 3:30 PM ET)

The Penn State Nittany Lions and Michigan State Spartans wrap up their respective schedules, as the two are set for a Big Ten Conference clash. Penn State is coming off its second shutout of the season, a 31-0 triumph at Temple last weekend. The Nittany Lions have gotten hot down the stretch, winning five of their last six games. State is averaging 31 points per game over that winning stretch and Michigan State’s defense is giving up that exact number over their last three games. EDGE: PENN STATE
Against Purdue, Michigan State QB Brian Hoyer completed 22-of-31 passes for 266 yards and two touchdowns. He looked often to Devin Thomas, who finished with 10 catches for 116 yards. The Spartans rank second in the conference with 205 rushing yards per game, and coach Mark Dantonio will stick with the run in this game. Michigan State know they need this game in order to officially lock up a bowl game, so expect a hard-fought game from start to finish. EDGE: MICHIGAN STATE
Penn State is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games following an ATS win.
Penn State is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 conference games.
Michigan State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against a winning team.
Michigan State is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 home games.
Home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

#6 West Virginia at #22 Cinncinnati (ESPN | 7:45 PM ET)

West Virginia is coming off one of its worst performances of the season, but still managed to come away with a victory. The fifth-ranked Mountaineers continue their push for the Big East crown on Saturday when they visit the 25th-ranked Bearcats, who are back in the ***** of the conference chase. West Virginia beat Louisville 38-31 last Thursday to move up one place in the AP poll and one place in the BCS standings to sixth. West Virginia QB Pat White has rushed for 204 yards, two touchdowns, thrown for 198 yards, and two scores in two career games against Cincinnati.The Mountaineers are 13-1-1 against the Bearcats, and have won all five meetings in Cincinnati. EDGE: WEST VIRGINIA
Cincinnati has eight regular-season wins for the first time since 1993, and is looking to notch nine victories for the first time since 1976. The Bearcats offense has been rolling along at home going 4-1 while averaging 37 points per game. While their offense has been clicking, the defense has been great at getting the ball back to them. The Bearcats lead the nation in both takeaways and interceptions, and this is great news for them considering the Mountaineers had a total of five fumbles alone in their last game. EGDE: CINNCINNATI
West Virginia is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games as a road favorite.
West Virginia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games against a winning team.
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games following a SU win.
Cincinnati is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 conference games.
Under is 5-1 in West Virginia’s last 6 games following a SU win.

#4 Oklahoma at Texas Tech (ABC | 8 PM ET)

Oklahoma, which has won a record four Big 12 titles in its five championship game appearances, extended its conference win streak to five games with a 52-21 win over Baylor last Saturday. The Sooners moved up one spot in the AP poll, matching their highest ranking of the season. Oklahoma has won six-in-row and has been a powerhouse on offense, scoring an average of 30 points per game. This is good news for the Sooners, as now they face a Texas Tech defense which was just lit up for 59 points last week against Texas. EDGE: OKLAHOMA
The Red Raiders have fallen on hard times, losing three out of their last four games. The good news has been their offense, compiling 542 yards per game on the season, while averaging 467 passing yards at home. The Red Raider passing attack is led by QB Graham Harell, who leads the Football Bowl Subdivision with 421 completions, 4,878 yards and 43 TDs, who will face an Sooner defense which is allowing 8 yards per pass completion. EDGE: TEXAS TECH
Oklahoma is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 road games against a winning home record.
Oklahoma is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games overall.
Texas Tech is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games as a home underdog.
Texas Tech is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against a winning team.
Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

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**pm530** · 11-17-2007, 05:04 AM

NCAAF
Matchup notes

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College football key matchup notes - Week 12
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Saturday, November 17

No. 7 Ohio State at No. 23 Michigan (N/A)
Michigan leads the series with Ohio State 57-40-6 and 30-18-4 in Ann Arbor. Carr is 6-6 against the Buckeyes.

Northwestern at No. 21 Illinois (-13 1/2, 56 1/2)
Northwestern is 44-51-5 all-time against Illinois, but has won four in a row in the series and only one of those games was decided by fewer than 11 points.

Florida Atlantic at No. 14 Florida (-34, 67 1/2)
Tim Tebow looks to continue making his case for becoming the first sophomore to win the Heisman Trophy when he leads 14th-ranked Florida into its first meeting with Florida Atlantic on Saturday.

No. 6 Missouri at Kansas State (+7, 68 1/2)
The Wildcats look to bounce back at home, where they're 4-1. Their only defeat in Manhattan came Oct. 6 against Kansas, the only team from a BCS conference without a loss.

No. 20 Kentucky at No. 9 Georgia (-8, 61)
The Wildcats have never beaten three top 10 teams in one season, but that could change on Saturday.

Idaho at No. 15 Boise State (-33 1/2, 65)
Boise State is looking for its 45th straight regular-season home win.

Vanderbilt at No. 19 Tennessee (-11 1/2, 52)
Vanderbilt ranks second-to-last in the SEC in offense (330 ypg) and scoring (21.9 ppg), but had one of it's best games against the Wildcats, gaining 432 yards.

No. 24 Wisconsin at Minnesota (+13 1/2, 57)
Minnesota has lost both of it's games against ranked opponents this season, and nine straight games to Top 25 teams since a 42-35 double-overtime victory over Purdue on Sept. 24, 2005.

No. 1 Louisiana State at Mississippi (+19 1/2, 54)
LSU had to wait 48 years to make it to No. 1 in the Top 25. The Tigers hope to make the most of a second stint that came about much more quickly.

Iowa State at No. 4 Kansas (-26, 58)
Kansas is in the midst of a remarkable run from nowhere to legitimate national title contender, but coach Mark Mangino doesn't want his team looking ahead.

Miami at No. 10 Virginia Tech (-17, 42)
Miami (5-5, 2-4) has lost four of five, including three to unranked teams. In order to qualify for a bowl game for the 10th straight year, they'll have to win either at Virginia Tech (8-2, 5-1) or at 18th-ranked Boston College next week.

No. 5 West Virginia at No. 25 Cincinnati (+6 1/2, 55 1/2)
Cincinnati has eight regular-season wins for the first time since 1993, and is looking to notch nine victories for the first time since 1976.

No. 18 Boston College at No. 16 Clemson (-7 1/2, 52 1/2)
Boston College has lost it's national championship hopes, and now Clemson would relish spoiling its new rival's shot at the ACC title.

No. 3 Oklahoma at Texas Tech (+8 1/2, 66)
Texas Tech has lost six of its last seven meetings with Oklahoma to fall to 3-11 all-time against the Sooners. The Red Raiders, though, won the teams' last matchup in Lubbock 23-21 on Nov. 19, 2005.

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**pm530** · 11-17-2007, 05:05 AM

National Football League - Dunkel Index

NFL
Dunkel Index

Week 11

Chicago at Seattle
The on-again, off-again saga of Rex Grossman appears to be on again as the much-criticized QB came off the bench last week and led the Bears to a win over the Raiders. It likely saved the Bears season -- at least for the moment -- and set up a showdown for this weekend in Seattle. These two team met twice last year with the Bears winning both times, the first during the regular season at home (37-6) and the second in the divisional playoff (27-24). But it is Seattle that comes in with the better record at this point and in first place in the division, while the Bears are likely scratching for a wild card bid. The difference between the two teams doesn't look to be that great, though. Four of Seattle's five wins have come against losing teams (Cincinnati, St. Louis and San Francisco twice), while the Bears have actually played better ball on the road (3-2 record) than at Soldier Field (1-3) with notable victories at Philadelphia and Green Bay. Lovie Smith is sticking with Grossman this week looking for a little of last season's magic. The should make for a good underdog pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has Chicago favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+ Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 18

Game 403-404: San Diego at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 136.733; Jacksonville 132.944
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4; 47
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 3; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+3); Over

Game 405-406: Kansas City at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 125.159; Indianapolis 150.679
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 25 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 14 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-14 1/2); Under

Game 407-408: Oakland at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 122.759; Minnesota 133.595
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 11; 32
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 5; 35 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-5); Under

Game 409-410: Cleveland at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 126.240; Baltimore 130.107
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 4; 47
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 3; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+3); Over

Game 411-412: Pittsburgh at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 138.003; NY Jets 125.759
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 12 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 9 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-9 1/2); Over

Game 413-414: Tampa Bay at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 131.556; Atlanta 125.997
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 5 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 35 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-3); Over

Game 415-416: Arizona at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 128.651; Cincinnati 128.841
Dunkel Line: Even; 44
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+3 1/2); Under

Game 417-418: Miami at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 120.412; Philadelphia 132.231
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 12; 46
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 10; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-10); Over

Game 419-420: New England at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: New England 151.973; Buffalo 131.347
Dunkel Line: New England by 20 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: New England by 14 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-14 1/2); Over

Game 421-422: Washington at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 124.164; Dallas 142.188
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 18; 51
Vegas Line: Dallas by 10 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-10 1/2); Over

Game 423-424: New Orleans at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 130.026; Houston 127.300
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 3; 53
Vegas Line: Houston by 1; 48
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+1); Over

Game 425-426: Carolina at Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 125.292; Green Bay 139.830
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 14 1/2; 32
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 9 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-9 1/2); Under

Game 427-428: NY Giants at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 132.018; Detroit 135.970
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 4; 47
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3; 49
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+3); Under

Game 429-430: St. Louis at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 117.074; San Francisco 121.724
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 4 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 3; 40
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3); Over

Game 431-432: Chicago at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 129.276; Seattle 128.293
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 1; 40
Vegas Line: Seattle by 6; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+6); Over

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 19

Game 433-434: Tennessee at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 133.358; Denver 129.003
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 4; 41
Vegas Line: Denver by 3; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+3); Over

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**pm530** · 11-17-2007, 05:06 AM

National Football League – Long Sheet

NFL
Long Sheet

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Sunday, November 18
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SAN DIEGO (5 - 4) at JACKSONVILLE (6 - 3) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KANSAS CITY (4 - 5) at INDIANAPOLIS (7 - 2) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OAKLAND (2 - 7) at MINNESOTA (3 - 6) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
OAKLAND is 21-46 ATS (-29.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEVELAND (5 - 4) at BALTIMORE (4 - 5) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (7 - 2) at NY JETS (1 - 8) - 11/18/2007, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games off a win against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TAMPA BAY (5 - 4) at ATLANTA (3 - 6) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (4 - 5) at CINCINNATI (3 - 6) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI (0 - 9) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 5) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ENGLAND (9 - 0) at BUFFALO (5 - 4) - 11/18/2007, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
BUFFALO is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 114-83 ATS (+22.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 50-27 ATS (+20.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (5 - 4) at DALLAS (8 - 1) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
DALLAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (4 - 5) at HOUSTON (4 - 5) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (4 - 5) at GREEN BAY (8 - 1) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
GREEN BAY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
CAROLINA is 70-42 ATS (+23.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (6 - 3) at DETROIT (6 - 3) - 11/18/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in November games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (1 - 8) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 7) - 11/18/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 65-90 ATS (-34.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in November games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-0 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (4 - 5) at SEATTLE (5 - 4) - 11/18/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
SEATTLE is 43-69 ATS (-32.9 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 14-35 ATS (-24.5 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
SEATTLE is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, November 19
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TENNESSEE (6 - 3) at DENVER (4 - 5) - 11/19/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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**pm530** · 11-17-2007, 05:07 AM

National Football League - Short Sheet

NFL
Short Sheet

Sunday, November 18th

San Diego at Jacksonville, 1:00 EST
San Diego: 9-1 ATS vs. AFC South opponents
Jacksonville: 1-7 ATS off BB Overs

Kansas City at Indianapolis, 1:00 EST
Kansas City: 5-1 ATS off BB ATS losses
Indianapolis: 28-14 Over off a loss as a favorite

Oakland at Minnesota, 1:00 EST
Oakland: 2-9 ATS off 4+ losses
Minnesota: 17-7 Over after allowing 450+ total yards

Cleveland at Baltimore, 1:00 EST
Cleveland: 10-0 ATS after allowing 30+ points
Baltimore: 0-6 ATS vs. conference opponents

Pittsburgh at NY Jets, 1:00 EST
Pittsburgh: 13-4 ATS off BB home wins
NY Jets: 0-7 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less

Tampa Bay at Atlanta, 1:00 EST
Tampa Bay: 15-5 Under in road games
Atlanta: 5-15 ATS off 3+ ATS wins

Arizona at Cincinnati, 1:00 EST
Arizona: 19-8 Over as an underdog
Cincinnati: 0-7 ATS at home after losing 2 of their last 3 games

Miami at Philadelphia, 1:00 EST
Miami: 6-15 ATS off an Under
Philadelphia: 9-2 ATS off a division game

New England at Buffalo, 1:00 EST
New England: 8-1 ATS as a favorite
Buffalo: 6-1 Over off a division win

Washington at Dallas, 1:00 EST
Washington: 15-30 ATS after allowing 30+ points
Dallas: 6-0 ATS vs. conference opponents

New Orleans at Houston, 1:00 EST
New Orleans: 1-6 ATS off BB Overs
Houston: 10-2 Over with a line of +3 to -3

Carolina at Green Bay, 1:00 EST
Carolina: 30-16 ATS away off an ATS loss
Green Bay: 0-8 ATS at home off an Under

NY Giants at Detroit, 4:15 EST
NY Giants: 23-10 Under away in November
Detroit: 3-7 ATS in November

St. Louis at San Francisco, 4:15 EST
St. Louis: 5-17 ATS playing with same-season revenge
San Francisco: 21-8 ATS vs. St. Louis

Chicago at Seattle, 8:15 EST NBC
Chicago: 8-2 ATS off BB Unders
Seattle: 1-4 ATS vs. NFC North opponents

Monday, November 19th

Tennessee at Denver, 8:30 EST ESPN
Tennessee: 14-4 ATS as an underdog
Denver: 1-10 ATS as a home favorite

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**pm530** · 11-17-2007, 05:08 AM

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up

Week 11 NFL schedule

Sunday, November 18

Chargers (5-4) @ Jaguars (6-3) —San Diego is +13 in turnovers last five games (13 INTs), with four special teams TDs in last three games, but their passing game has gained just 4.3/3.3 ypa in last two games, as Rivers looked lost. In last three games, Bolts gained 237-229-177 total yards, and have just two offensive TDs on 23 drives (11 3/outs) in last two games; they’re 1-3 on road, routing Denver, but giving up 38-31-35 points in three losses. Jaguars are home for first time in four weeks; they’re 2-2 at Alltel- four of their last five games went over total. Chargers are 5-0 allowing less than 31 points. Would be very concerned about Charger offense.

Chiefs (4-5) @ Colts (7-2) —Indy lost last two games, now has major injury issues, with Harrison, Freeney, Clark all banged up; they allowed 24-23 points in losing last two games, after not allowing more than 20 in any of seven wins- they’re 3-1 at home, with wins by 41-10/38-20/33-14 scores. Chiefs are 0-2 since bye, losing by 11,16, allowing 30 peg; they didn’t have first down in first half of playoff loss here LY; they’re without QB Huard, star RB Johnson here, as Alabama alum Croyle makes first NFL start. KC is 2-2 on road, 3-1 as road dog. All four Indy games since its bye stayed under the total.

Raiders (2-7) @ Vikings (3-6) — Star rookie RB Peterson is out (knee) so Viking passing game (less than six yards per attempt in seven of last eight games) will need to produce, but they have started three different QB’s in last three games, so hard to have any continuity there. Oakland is 0-5 since its bye, with losses by 14-2-4-7-11 points; they’re 1-3 on road, 3-1 as road dog, with losses by 3-14-4 points. This is their only game all season on artificial turf. Vikings are 2-2 at home; this is first time they’ve been favored since Week 1, when they beat Falcons 24-3 (-3). Under is 4-0-1 in last five Raider games, but last three games at Metrodome went over.

Browns (5-4) @ Ravens (4-5) —Baltimore is back to Boller at QB, in midst of three-game skid (three TDs on 35 drives, 10 turnovers in last two games); they lost at home for first time in four tries last week. Ravens ran ball 32 times in last two games, with 73 dropbacks, too much passing for them. In their last 18 trips to red zone, Ravens have four TDs, which is awful. Browns scored 27+ points in each of last four games, behind Raven reject Anderson; they’re just 1-3 on road, beating the 1-8 Rams, allowing 27.8 ppg. Cleveland is 3-0 vs spread when favored this season. Five of last six Raven games stayed under total, but over is 8-1 in Cleveland games.

Steelers (7-2) @ Jets (1-8) —Indy’s recent struggles put #2 seed in AFC within reach for Steelers, so they can’t afford slip-up here vs Jet squad that last won in Week 3. Pitt is 2-2 on road, 6-3 vs spread as favorite; they scored 30.3 pg in four games since its bye. Jets lost last six games (1-5 vs spread); bye week gave new starting QB Clemens time to work. Last four Jet losses are by 7-7-10-3 points- they were 11-18 on 3rd down in Clemens’ first start, after being 10-37 in previous three, so Clemens can make plays. In last five games, Steelers outrushed opponents by total of 691-323- they need to avoid letdown, after beating three divisional rivals in last three games, with Monday nighter up next.

Buccaneers (5-4) @ Falcons (3-6) —Tampa allowed 20-33-23-24 points in its losses, 14 or less in its wins; they’re 1-3 on road, winning only at Carolina. Bucs are 0-4 when they don’t win turnover battle, 5-0 when they do. Falcons scored more than 20 in only one ’07 game, although they did get 20 in last two games since bye, both wins. They allowed 14.5 pg in last two games, but opposing QB’s were Smith, Testaverde, so hard to get too excited, although win is a win. Bucs ran ball for 124-136-162 yards in last three games; they were +10/+14 in field position last two games. Last five Atlanta games, and five of last seven Tampa games stayed under total.

Cardinals (4-5) @ Bengals (3-6) —Arizona is 4-1 when it scores more than 21 points, 0-4 when it does not; Bengals allowed 24+ points in seven of last eight games, shutting down inept Ravens last week- they are 2-2 at home, allowing average of 27.3 pg. Cardinals are 1-4 on road, with losses by 3-3-2-7 points (4-1-1 as underdog, 2-1-1 on road). Bengals were +4/+1/+6 in turnovers in their three wins; they haven’t won a game without winning TO margin. Cards turned ball over 2+ times in each of last six games (-8 in last four games). Cincy is 2-3 as a favorite this season. NFC teams won six of last eight vs AFC, cutting season lead to 20-19.

Dolphins (0-9) @ Eagles (4-5) —Winless Miami gives BYU rookie Beck his first NFL vs blitzing Eagle defense that allowed 38-25 points last two weeks, after giving up 16.7 pg over first seven games of season. Fish may be 0-9, but they’ve lost five games by a FG, and are 2-1-2 vs spread as road dog. Eagles are 2-3 at home, losing last two there; they’ve only won field position battle twice this year, and both times it was by single yard, but Miami has lost FP by 13-20-17 yards last three weeks. Philly is 0-3 this season in game following a win; they’re 2-4 vs spread as favorite. Over last four games, Miami was outscored 82-20 in first half.

Patriots (9-0) @ Bills (5-4) —Buffalo is 4-0 since its bye, allowing 12 pg; they’re 4-2 at home, with pair of one-point losses (Denver/ Dallas); they’ve only lost field position battle in one game, but that was 38-7 loss at Foxboro in Week 3, when Pats outgained them 485-193, averaging 10.2 ypa, while Bills averaged just 2.8. NE scored 17 points on its four drives that started in Buffalo territory, while Bills went 3/out on six of 10 drives. Patriots come off bye; they’re 4-0 on orad, winning by 24-21-21- 21-4 points; seven of their nine games went over total. Bills won last four games that stayed under, but are 1-2 if games goes over total- they’re sticking with Losman as starting QB.

Redskins (5-4) @ Cowboys (8-1) —Dallas won last three games, by 10-21-11 points, scoring 31 pg; they’re 3-0 as home favorite this season, winning 45-35/35-7/24-14- seven of their nine games went over total, as did last four Redskin games. In their nine wins, Pokes outscored foes 170-60 in 2nd half (outscored 27-10 in second half by Patriots, their only loss). Redskins are 2-2 on road, losing 17-14 at Lambeau, 52-7 at Foxboro; they’ve been outscored 80-41 in second half of last five games. Redskins are
3-0 SU in game following loss this season, 1-1-1 vs spread as the dog. Redskin rush defense allowed 152-124-139 yards in their last three games.

Saints (4-5) @ Texans (4-5) - N.O. had won four in row before Rams ambushed them in Superdome last week; Bulger was 28-34/276 against Saints, not sure Texans can match that production (12+ IP’s in five of last six games). Saints beat Seattle, 49ers in last two road games- they averaged over seven yards per pass attempt in last three games. Texans are 2-2 at home; they’re 4-1 when allowing 21 or less points, 0-4 when they allow 26+. Saints scored 31-41-29 in last three weeks, and outsacked opponents 17-2 over last six. Saints played last six weeks in row; Texans are coming off their bye week. Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Houston games, 4-1 in Saints’ last five.

Panthers (4-5) @ Packers (8-1) —Green Bay won last four games, allowing 12.5 pg; they scored 67 points in last two games (six TD’s, seven FGA on 20 drives); their four home wins are by 3-7-3-34 points. Carolina has Vinny, Carr back at QB; they’re 0-3 since bye, scoring 9 pg, losing by 24-13-7 points. Panthers averaged 5.1 ypa or less in seven or less eight games, were outscored 41-10 in second half of last three games. Underrated Packer defense allowed only one of last eight opponents to run ball for 95+ yards- their last five foes are combined 12 for last 57 (21.1%) on third down. Last six Carolina games stayed under, as did three of last four Packer tilts.

Giants (6-3) @ Lions (6-3) —If playoffs started now, these would be two NFC wild cards, so big game in playoff positioning; Detroit has 29 takeaways in nine games, but are only +7, since March Madness doesn’t exactly stress ball security (five TO’s at Arizona last week). Lions lost field position battle in last six games; they’re 1-3 if they don’t win turnover battle. Giants had six-game win streak ended by Dallas last week; they won last three away games, allowing 12.3 pg, but averaged just 3.7/4.5/5.0 ypa in last three games overall. Detroit is 4-0 at home, scoring 31.8 pg- they somehow had -18 rushing yards last week, which isn’t easy to do in NFL.

Rams (1-8) @ 49ers (2-7) —St Louis is road favorite despite winning first game in Week 10, that’s how awful 49ers are. SF won first meeting 17-16, despite being outgained 392-186; Rams lost three fumbles in game, lost field position battle by 14 yards. Niners are on short week, with funeral of coach Nolan’s dad mixed in; they scored two TD’s on 36 drives in last three games, and scored just two TDs on last 26 drives at home. Rams came off bye and upset Saints in Superdome; Bulger was 28-34/276 in air. Despite records, thinking St Louis is in way better shape mentally at this point, especially with 49ers coming off MNF disaster- they’re four for last 25 on third down.

Bears (4-5) @ Seahawks (5-4) — Chicago’s QB situation is totally screwed up; they scored three TD’s on last 32 drives, but big one was 61-yard pass to Berrian that beat Raiders and kept Bears alive in race for playoffs. Chicago is 0-3 in game following a win; they’re 4-2 when allowing 20 or less points, 0-3 otherwise, and scored just pair of field goals in first half of last three games. Seattle is 1-3 after win; they had easy win on Monday, no travel, so it shouldn’t be too much of an issue. Bears been held under 100 rushing yards in each of last seven games. Five of last seven Seattle games stayed under total, as did Chicago’s last three contests.

Monday, November 19

Titans (6-3) @ Broncos (5-4) —Tennessee is 3-1 on road, losing only by FG at Tampa; three of their four road games were decided by three or less points- they had three-game win streak snapped by jags last week, as Jax outrushed Titans 166-62. Denver won for just second time in seven games at KC last week; they’re 2-3 at home, with both wins by FG. Bronco offense can’t carry team, scoring just three FGs on last 20 drives that started 80+ yards from goal line. Titans turned ball over seven times in last two games- they’re 4-1 if they turn it over less than three times. Under is 6-2-1 in Tennessee games, but seven of last eight Denver games went over.

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**pm530** · 11-17-2007, 05:19 AM

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL

Sunday, November 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (CBS | 1 PM ET)

League insiders are unsure if anything can stop this Cleveland offense that is averaging an impressive 28 points per game. On the other hand Baltimore comes into this contest with one of the worst offenses in the league, one that is averaging just 11 points per game over their past 6 contests and will have backup QB Kyle Boller as the starter. EDGE: BROWNS

Cleveland comes into this contest with the worst defense in the NFL, one that is allowing their opposition to score a whopping 29 points per game. While Baltimore enters with the leagues No. 3 overall defense in the NFL, allowing just 15 points per game at home. EDGE RAVENS

The Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the AFC.
The Browns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss.
The Ravens are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games during Week 11.
The Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Home team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

San Diego Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Some league insiders remain cautious as to whether this San Diego Chargers team “is back” to their old form. Despite defeating the Colt’s last Sunday night, their offense was only able to manage 177 total yards and needed 6 Manning interceptions a 2 missed filed goals to get the 23-21 win. The Chargers offense has been very unpredictable so far this season as they have scored 41, 28, 35, 17 and 23 their last five games. EDGE: JAGUARS
Even though the Chargers offense has been up-and-down this season, the team has won four-out-of-five and are right in the t-hick of the division lead. EDGE: CHARGERS
Some league insiders are becoming increasingly concerned over the loss of defense end Luis Castillo who will be out six weeks after having surgery to repair a tendon in his right knee. Castillo was a big reason why the Charges have been one of the best in the league at stopping to run, and their last rado game saw them give up 296 rushing yards to Vikings RB Adrian Peterson. EDGE: JAGUARS

Some team insiders are reporting that Jacksonville players and coaches are happy to be returning home as they just finished a three game road trip. The Jaguars offense has also started to click and will get even healthier with the return of QB David Garrard from an ankle injury. EDGE: JAGUARS
Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Jags are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a winning team.
Jags are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
The OVER is 7-3 in the Jags last 10 games against the AFC.

Miami Dolphins at Philadelphia Eagles (CBS | 1 PM ET)

The Dolphins will try to find out if rookie John Beck, their second-round draft pick out of Brigham Young, is their quarterback of the future by making him the starter for the season's final seven games. "I just want to make the most of it," Beck said. "I've been working real hard in practice and on the sidelines in games to try to prepare myself." Beck cannot be any worse then what the winless Dolphins have already seen this year. EDGE: DOLPHINS
Despite a rather poor 4-5 start t the season, a win over the Dolphins means that the Eagles can get to .500 for the first time this season, and are just two games behind the leading New York Giants and Detroit Lions in the NFL wild-card race. Eagles still have the 9th overall offense in the league and a defense that is ranked No. 12 overall, allowing just 20 points per game and only 93 yards rushing. EDGE: EAGLES
Dolphins are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 November games.
Dolphins are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games against a losing team.
Eagles are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the Eagles last 7 games following a SU win.

Oakland Raiders at Minnesota Vikings (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Oakland’s offense has been horrible over their last 5 games as they have put up 14, 10, 9, 17 and 6 points over their last 5 games. However they will have former Vikings QB Daunte Culpeper starting, who defeated another former team in the Dolphins 35-17 earlier in the year. EDGE: RAIDERS
Vikings rookie RB Adrian Peterson is out of this game, and Chester Taylor will be the starter. Taylor isn't as dominate as Peterson, but he is averaging over 5 yards per carry this season. The Raiders rush defense haven't been stopping many, as they are allowing 145 rushing yards per game, which is key due to the team's QB questions. EDGE: VIKINGS
Raiders are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a 15- effort.
Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a 10+ loss.
Vikings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on turf.
Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
The OVER is 4-0 in the Vikings last 4 games following a SU loss.

Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Some league insiders don’t believe that Kansas City has the offensive firepower to stay within two scores of one of the best offenses in the league. Kansas City offense is very vanilla and ranks 27th in the NFL and averages just 13 points per game on the road this season. BIG EDGE: COLTS
League insiders are reporting the Kansas City will start back-up quarterback Brodie Croyle this weekend who will fill in for the injured Damon Huard. Croyle was 17-for-30 for 162 yards, with one interception, in last Sunday’s loss, and has said he is ready for Sunday's game. EDGE: CHIEFS
Some team insiders are becoming increasingly concerned about the mounting injuries the Colt’s have suffered throughout the season. In last weeks loss against San Diego, the were without without six starters, and still have a number of questionable starters. Good news is they return hom where they are 13-1 SU and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games. EDGE: COLTS
Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a winning team.
Colts are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall
Chiefs are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetins.

Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers (FOX | 1 PM ET)

The Carolina Panthers are in trouble. They enter this game without a healthy quarterback, Vinny Testaverde (Achilles), David Carr (back), and Jake Delhomme (elbow). Panthers insiders haven't named a starting quarterback just yet for this game eithe, but on a good note all four of their season wins have come on the road no matter who was the quarterback. EDGE: PANTHERS
The Packers are rolling - winners of four straight. QB Brett Favre has called this streak "wonderful" and the offense looks to be clicking. This is bad news for a Panthers defense which gave up over 300 passing yards and four touchdowns to Favre and company last time these teams met. EDGE: PACKERS
Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Panthers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Packers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Packers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against a losing team.
Underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

New York Giants at Detriot Lions (FOX | 1 PM ET)

The Giants look to bounce back from suffering a 31-20 loss to the Cowboys last week, which was their first loss in over two months The Giants offense has been rolling along on the orad this year to the tone of 30 points per game for 415 yards per game. The Lions defense was just lit up by the lonely Cardinals for 31 points. EDGE: GIANTS
The Lions have been tough at home, going 4-0 SU. They are also enjoying their homecooking with scoring an average of 31 ppg at home. Combine this with their defense only allowing 15 ppg over its last three - and you have a touch Detriot team. EDGE: LIONS
Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the NFC.
Giants are 1-10 AS in their last 11 Week 11 games.
Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss.
Lions are 1-4 in their last 5 ames during November.
Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Tampa Bay Bucs at Atlanta Falcons (FOX | 1 PM ET)

This is a good situational setting for Tampa Bay as they come into this contest off their bye week. Tampa really needed the rest of they have already placed 12 players, including three offensive starters, on injured reserve. Its defense is one of the best in the league (ranked 6th overall) and are allowing just 16 points per game. This is great news going against a Falcons team which are scoring just 19 ppg at home. EDGE: BUCS
The struggling Atlanta Falcons offense has finally found someting with QB Joey Harrington. They are winners of two-striaght and have put together back-to-back 20 points games for the first time this year.Their defense has also stepped-up of late only allowing 17 ppg over their last three games. EDGE: FALCONS
Bucs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.
Bucs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games as a favorite.
Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Falcons are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Favorite is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings.

New Orleans Saints at Houston Texans (FOX | 1 PM ET)

The Saints are rolling on offense right now, averaging 30 points per game over their last five games. Saints are 4-1 SU during this time period while the Texans are losers three of their last four. Houston has given up an average of 30 ppg over their last three which just what the Saints are putting up on offense. BIG EDGE: SAINTS
The Houston Texans have lost their mojo, winning only two out of their last seven games. Good news is Matt Schaub is expected to start on Sunday, and Schaub (concussion) has said he "feeling much better". He has put up some serious passing numbers already this season and the Saints defense has allowed a combined 61 points over their last two games. EDGE: TEXANS
Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games against a losing home team.
Saints are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a SU loss.
Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
The OVER is 5-2-1 in the Texans last 8 games overall.

Arizona Cardinals at Cincinnati Bengals (FOX | 1 PM ET)

The Arizona Cardinals won a sloppy game last Sunday against the Lions, which saw them put up their highest point total (31) in a month. The Cards are just 1-4 SU on the road, but face a Bengals defense, which has been one of the worst in the league, allowing 27 ppg at home. EDGE: CARDINALS
The Bengals couldn't find the endzone last week, but did grab a total of 271 yards through the air against a tough Ravens defense. It was also good to see suspended WR Chris Henry back in action, grabbing 4 balls for 99 yards, and accordingto league insiders the Bengals offense is getting much better with their wide-outs now back at 100 percent. EDGE: BENGALS
Cardinals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games a road underdog.
Cardinals are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.
Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss.
The OVER is 5-0 in the Bengals last 5 games as a favorite.

Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Jets (FOX | 4:05 PM ET)

Some league insiders believe that Pittsburgh is one of the most well rounded teams in the league. They come into New York ranked No 6 in the NFL in total offense and a defense that is No. 1 in the league allowing just 250 yards per game. On the Season, the Steelers have outscored their opponents by a 28-14 average, which is bad news for a 1-8 Jets team. EDGE: STEELERS
The Steelers seem to have a hard time “getting up” against weaker opponents. Their 2 loses this season came against Arizona and Denver, both played on the road. The Jets have had a week off to prepare for the Steelers and are expected to get WR Laveranues Coles back as well. EDGE: JETS
Steelers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.
Steelers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against the AFC.
Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.
Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks (FOX | 4:15 PM ET)

The Bears are looking to go on their playoff run, after a come from behind victory over the Raiders. QB Rex Grossman lef the comeback with 142 passing yards and a touchdown. Grossman will get the start in this one, and has said it's good to be back. Seattle's defense has been up-and-down this year, but is allowing 216 passing yards per game. EDGE: BEARS
The Seahawks are one of the toughest ome teams in the league, and proved this on Money night with a 24-0 win over the 49ers. QB Matt Hasselbeck has been throwing the ball very well of late, inlcuding 278 yards in that Monday night game. Hasselbeck and company at home has been tough to stop with them averaging a little over 34 ppg at home. EDGE: SEAHAWKS
Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 11.
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win.
Seahawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against the NFC.
Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 11.
The UNDER is 7-3 in the Seahawks last 10 games against the NFC.

St. Louis Rams at SF 49ers (FOX | 4:15 PM ET)

The Rams finally got a win last time out, a 37-29 victory over the Saints. Don't look now but the Rams offense has put up a combined 57 points over their last two games. This is good news for the Rams, as they are facing a weak 49ers defense which is allowing 25 ppg over their last three. EDGE: RAMS
The 49ers offense has fallen off the map, scoring just an average of 9 ppg over their last three games. QB Alex Smith said that his shoulder is still "killing him" and it has shown throwing for only 114 yards in a Monday night defeat. EDGE: RAMS
Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games against a losing team.
Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 11.
49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a losing team.
Rams are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (FOX | 4:15 PM ET)

The Redskins started 2-0 and appeared to be on their way to 3-0, leading the Giants 17-3 at halftime in Week 3. But New York scored 21 second-half points to deal Washington its first defeat heading into its bye week, and the Redskins have alternated wins and losses since then. The skins own the eighth-best rushing attack in the league at 132.1 yards per game, and has run for 454 yards in the past two weeks. This is good news against a Cowboys defense which has struggled against the run. EDGE: REDSKINS
The Redskins have been vulnerable against the pass, allowing 218.3 yards a game through the air to rank 22nd in the league. Making matters worse, Pro Bowl safety Sean Taylor will miss at least two weeks with a sprained knee. This is all very good news for the Cowboys and their star QB Tony Romo, who is completing 65 percent of his passes. EDGE: COWBOYS
Redskins are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a winning team
Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 November games.
Cowboys are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Underdog is 18-5 ATS in the last 23 meetings.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (NBC | 8:15 PM ET)

The Patriots can do no wrong, going 9-0 on the season. The Pats have already defeated these Bills by 31 points this season, and now have an extra week to prepare. Bills defense has been tough, but their offense doesn't come close the Patriots 39 ppg. EDGE: PATRIOTS
The Bills have been a nice story this year at 5-4, and hot right now winning five of six. QB JP Losman has won his starting job back and is completing more then 60 percent of his passes. The Bills all of revenge on their minds, as they want to prove this team is much better this time around for this Pats. Every Bills home games this year has been a tough game for their opponent. EDGE: BILLS
Pats are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a 10+ favorite.
Pats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
Bills are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as home underdog.
Bills are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

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**pm530** · 11-17-2007, 05:24 AM

National Football League – Cheat Sheet

NFL
NFL poolies' cheat sheet: Week 11

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Cheat Sheet
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Sunday, November 18

Arizona at Cincinnati (-3)

Why Cardinals Cover: Playing for a share of the NFC West lead. Kurt Warner getting healthier and playing better. Are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record while the Bengals are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Why Bengals cover: Are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite. Home team has won last seven meetings. Receiver Chris Henry returned with a bang last week with four catches for 99 yards. Edgerrin James is only averaging 2.8 yards per carry for his career against Cincinnati.

Total (48 1/2): Combined teams allowing almost 50 points per game.

Carolina at Green Bay (-9 1/2)

Why Panthers cover: Are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games. Underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight meetings. Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.

Why Packers cover: Are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Have NFL’s best passing attack (yes, even better than New England’s). Brett Favre has thrown 20 TDs in eight career game against Carolina. Finally found running game with Ryan Grant rumbling for 119 yards against Minnesota’s NFC-best rush defense. Panthers have yet to win at home this season.

Total (37 1/2): Under is 6-0 in Panthers’ last six games overall.

Cleveland at Baltimore (+2 1/2)

Why Browns cover: Coming off heartbreaking loss to Pittsburgh last week. Are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. Reeling Ravens have lost three straight. Beat Baltimore 27-13 in first meeting this year.

Why Ravens cover: Will turn to Kyle Boller in place of Steve McNair who has been horrible and unable to protect the football (seven fumbles). Willis McGahee has rushed for 209 yards and two touchdowns in two career games vs. Cleveland. Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

Total (43 1/2): Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Baltimore.

Kansas City at Indianapolis (-14 1/2)

Why Chiefs cover: Have held opponents to only four rushing touchdowns. Colts are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and will be without defensive end Dwight Freeney who is out for the season with a foot injury.

Why Colts cover: Trying to avoid losing three straight after starting season 7-0. Are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games. Chiefs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight meetings. Brodie Croyle will be making his first career start at QB for Kansas City. Chiefs Running back Larry Johnson still out.

Total (43 1/2): Under is 6-1 in Chiefs’ last seven road games and 4-0 in Colts’ last four games overall.

Miami at Philadelphia (-10)

Why Dolphins cover: Have won four of their last six meetings including two of three in Philadelphia. Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. Jesse Chatman had breakout game last week with 124 yards rushing while filling in for the injured Ronnie Brown.

Why Eagles cover: Brian Westbrook is one of the league’s most versatile weapons and has 1,219 all-purpose yards and nine touchdowns this season. Miami is allowing opponents to rush for 149.7 yards per contest. Rookie John Beck will start at quarterback for Miami.

Total (40 1/2): Under is 7-2 in Philadelphia’s last nine games on grass.

New Orleans at Houston (-1)

Why Saints cover: Look to rebound from embarrassing 37-29 home loss to the Rams who were winless at the time. Are third in the NFL with 194 first downs. Held opponents to seven sacks all season. Are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games.

Why Texans cover: Get stud wide receiver Andre Johnson back after being out since mid-September. Saints are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Total: (47 1/2): Over is 4-1 in Saints’ last five road games and 4-1 in their last five games overall.

Oakland at Minnesota (-5 1/2)

Why Raiders cover: Daunte Culpepper will make his first career start against the team that drafted him. Vikings without league’s leading rusher, Adrian Peterson, because of a torn LCL ligament. Minnesota has used three quarterbacks this season and none have a QB rating better than 66 percent.

Why Vikings cover: Holding opponents to 3 yards per rush, second-best in the NFL. Oakland only averaging 155.8 passing yards per game while allowing opponents to rush for 1,298 yards and 13 touchdowns this season.

Total (35 1/2): Under is 12-3-2 in Raiders’ last 17 road games and 4-0-1 in their last five games overall. Teams own two of the worst passing offenses on the NFL.

San Diego at Jacksonville (-3)

Why Chargers cover: Have won four of last five games. Are 4-1 ATS in their last five games. Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.

Why Jaguars cover: Are back home after going 2-1 on a three-game road trip. Have held LaDainian Tomlinson to 94 yards rushing in last two meetings. Will have starting QB David Garrard back from an ankle injury. Home team has won and covered last two meetings. Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.

Total (40 1/2): Over is 4-0 in Chargers’ last four road games and 4-1 in Jaguars’ last five games overall.

Tampa Bay at Atlanta (+3)

Why Buccaneers cover: Coming off bye week. Are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings in Atlanta. Trying to hold division lead in tight NFC South. Are holding opponents to 16 points per game while Atlanta is only averaging 15 points per contest. Favorite is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings.

Why Falcons cover: Will have QB Byron Leftwich back from an ankle injury. Have won and covered last two meetings. Buccaneers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings. Warrick Dunn has brought new life to the running game.

Total (35 1/2): Under is 4-0 in Buccaneers’ last four vs. NFC and 8-1 in Falcons’ last nine vs. NFC South.

N.Y. Giants at Detroit (+3)

Why Giants cover: Lead the NFL with 31 sacks while the Lions have allowed a league-high 32 sacks. Road team has won last five meetings and is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.

Why Lions cover: Haven’t lost at home this season and are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five home games. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.

Total (49 1/2): Under is 4-1 in Giants’ last five road games.

Pittsburgh at N.Y. Jets (+9 1/2)

Why Steelers cover: Have best defense in league. Jets are only 1-4 ATS at home and 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. New York is worst in the NFL in rushing first downs allowed, rushing yards allowed and average yards per passing play allowed.

Why Jets cover: Are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a bye week. Kellen Clemens was solid in his first game as the Jets’ new starting quarterback. Willie Parker is questionable with a hip injury.

Total (40 1/2): Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

Washington at Dallas (-10 1/2)

Why Redskins cover: Holding Terrell Owens to 38.3 receiving yards per game for his career. Clinton Portis finally appears healthy and has rushed for 333 yards in his past two games. Are 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Why Cowboys cover: Are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. Redskins will be without Pro Bowl safety Sean Taylor who has a knee injury. Washington is 0-4 ATS in its last four games and 1-4 ATS in its last five meetings in Dallas. Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

Total (46 1/2): Under is 5-2-2 in the last nine meetings and 4-1-1 in the last six meetings in Dallas.

St. Louis at San Francisco (+3)

Why Rams cover: Coming off first victory of season, over New Orleans. Lead the NFL in interceptions. Trent Dilfer will start at QB for 49ers. San Francisco has totaled fewer than 200 yards of offense five times this season.

Why 49ers cover: Frank Gore has six touchdowns in five games versus the Rams who have allowed 11 rushing touchdowns this season. Are holding Steven Jackson to 3.7 yards per carry for his career. Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last six meetings and 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings in San Francisco. Underdog is 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings.

Total (40 1/2): Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.

Chicago at Seattle (-6)

Why Bears cover: Have outstanding special teams. Won last two meetings. Holding opponents to 12.7 points in their last three games.

Why Seahawks cover: Have only allowed five passing touchdowns this season. Rex Grossman will start at QB for Chicago. Have changed offense to be more pass oriented, taking pressure off a banged-up Shaun Alexander. Bears having difficulty running the ball all season.

Total (37 1/2): Under is 7-1 in Seahawks’ last eight home games.

New England at Buffalo (+15)

Why Patriots cover: Will want to silence critics (Don Shula, Mercury Morris) who have voiced negative opinions about the Patriots possibly going undefeated. Beat Buffalo 38-7 in late September. Are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Buffalo and 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings overall. Favorite is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

Why Bills cover: Are 5-1 since losing to New England in Week 3. Holding opponents to 17.8 points per game at home. Are 5-0 ATS at home.

Total (46 1/2): Under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings in Buffalo and 16-5 in the last 21 meetings overall.

Monday, November 19

Tennessee at Denver (-2 1/2)

Why Titans cover: Could get run-stopping defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth back from a hamstring injury. League’s fourth-best rush offense gets to face NFL’s 31st-ranked rush defense. Are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games. Broncos are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Why Broncos cover: Rookie Selvin Young filled in admirably for an injured Travis Henry, rushing for 109 yards and a score against a tough Chiefs defense. Are averaging 5.66 yards per offensive play, sixth best in the league. Have averaged 36 points per game in their last two meetings while holding the Titans to 13 points per contest. Home team has won eight of last 10 meetings.

Total (38): Over is 9-1 in Broncos’ last 10 home games and 13-3 in their last 16 games overall.

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**pm530** · 11-17-2007, 05:25 AM

National Football League – over/under plays

NFL
Total bias: Week 11 over/under plays

Sunday, November 18

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NFL over/under picks
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New Orleans Saints at Houston Texans – over 48

Forget about Thanksgiving, quarterback Matt Schaub must think Christmas has arrived with the return of his star receiver. Andre Johnson hasn't played since Week 2 but he's ready to make an impact for the Texans.

Keep in mind Houston has only had Schaub, Johnson and running back Ahman Green on the field together twice this season. Expect Schaub to connect with Johnson for at least one big play.

The Saints continue to score with ease and struggle to prevent their opponents from doing the same. Cornerback Jason David may go down as the worst free-agent signing ever in professional football.

Miami Dolphins at Philadelphia Eagles – under 40 1/2

The John Beck era has begun in Miami. The 26-year-old quarterback was named the starter for this weekend's game to try and spark a lackluster offense. Cam Cameron's game plan will likely be run-heavy in an attempt to limit Beck from too many long passing downs.

I expect Philly to jump out to an early lead and milk the clock. The Eagles just want to grab a win and come out of this game healthy.

Tennessee Titans at Denver Broncos – under 38

Neither one of these two teams is having a great offensive season. Javon Walker – Denver's most explosive weapon – has been out the majority of the year because of an uncooperative knee.

The Broncos have struggled stopping the run all season but Tennessee's top two backs are both a little dinged up. Chris Brown (ankle) and LenDale White (knee) will both play but may be limited.

As mentioned above, Vince Young isn't giving the Titans' consistent quarterback play. Expect a quick game filled with three-and-outs.

Last week’s record: 3-0

Season record: 18-12

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Announcement

Saturday Trends and Indexes 11/17

Saturday Trends and Indexes 11/17

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