Amazing NFL stat

[GOLDENGREEK]

If what you say in this post is what you meant, they why the.........

NOT TRUE AT ALL....comment.......

you go back and read what you said, not what you thought you were saying....

and as far as me not liking you (NOT TRUE AT ALL), I don't dislike anyone....they are who they are........

I reiterate----you arrogantly opened up with a strong, CAPITALIZED, statement....did you not........

and then almost repeted what he said, what was your point.....????????????

and you should respect your Elders, it's the proper thing to do....Thank you...

you have a nice day also, and try to be more consice/clear with your statements.....

I'm sure I'm not the only one who picked up on the .....NOT TRUE AT ALL----opening......

If you agree, then no need for the NOT TRUE AT ALL opening...

PS---what makes it evident in your saying, I don't like you... (where is the evidence to that)....I merely questioned, and still do the Capped statement....NOT TRUE AT ALL....when in reality, it is ter7e, and then you go on to better support his statement.......what, in heavens name, was NOT TRUE AT ALL, in his post....????

and yes you're right, someone did get up on the wrong side of the bed today, apparently you did.....kinda touchy when someone questions a blatant error on your part......

If you don't want criticism, then quit criticizing others, as NOT TRUE AT ALL....that's a criticism, and outright, statement, that he's wrong....

I ask you again, what did you mean by NOT TRUE AT ALL....re what part....if you would clarify that, then we have no disagreeance........when making that kind of statement, make it clear what you are referring to.....where there's no questions can be brought up....

Take this kind suggestion, from one of the Elders, you supposedly respect

KAPT - THE POST WAS FROM A WHILE AGO...

I USUALLY HAVE MY CAP LOCK BUTTON ON BECAUSE THIS SITE FORMATS IT TO WHERE THE FIRST LETTER IS CAPITOLIZED - AS YOU CAN SEE - I SAID "FROM ANOTHER SITE" THIS PART WAS COPIED AND PASTED IN REGULAR FORMAT .... WHEN THAT HAPPENS WHAT I HAD CAPITOLIZED STAYED CAPITOLIZED -- I WASNT TRYING TO YELL AT THE GUY

HOPE THAT MADE SENSE

[roccodean]

Its all good greek. But, the stat is true, as you pointed out in your reply. Of course, you have to interpret it. Appreciate the feedback.

[GOLDENGREEK]

If what you say in this post is what you meant, they why the.........

NOT TRUE AT ALL....comment.......

you go back and read what you said, not what you thought you were saying....

and as far as me not liking you (NOT TRUE AT ALL), I don't dislike anyone....they are who they are........

I reiterate----you arrogantly opened up with a strong, CAPITALIZED, statement....did you not........

and then almost repeted what he said, what was your point.....????????????

and you should respect your Elders, it's the proper thing to do....Thank you...

you have a nice day also, and try to be more consice/clear with your statements.....

I'm sure I'm not the only one who picked up on the .....NOT TRUE AT ALL----opening......

If you agree, then no need for the NOT TRUE AT ALL opening...

PS---what makes it evident in your saying, I don't like you... (where is the evidence to that)....I merely questioned, and still do the Capped statement....NOT TRUE AT ALL....when in reality, it is ter7e, and then you go on to better support his statement.......what, in heavens name, was NOT TRUE AT ALL, in his post....????

and yes you're right, someone did get up on the wrong side of the bed today, apparently you did.....kinda touchy when someone questions a blatant error on your part......

If you don't want criticism, then quit criticizing others, as NOT TRUE AT ALL....that's a criticism, and outright, statement, that he's wrong....

I ask you again, what did you mean by NOT TRUE AT ALL....re what part....if you would clarify that, then we have no disagreeance........when making that kind of statement, make it clear what you are referring to.....where there's no questions can be brought up....

Take this kind suggestion, from one of the Elders, you supposedly respect

If you could just pick 70% SU, you're having a very good season! Problem is, of the 70% SU winners you pick, only 82% of them will cover (theoretically) which means you'll only cover 57% ATS and that's for an exceptional season. By this theory, you'd have to pick at least 64% SU winners just to make a profit against -110 juice.



But wait, it gets worse. It's much easier to predict when favorites will win SU rather than dogs. Dogs are more of a crapshoot. Our 82% number is significantly skewed because it includes SU dog winners, which are obviously 100% in covering. You'll be lucky to have just a modest handful of these SU dog winners. Take out the dogs and we see that FAVORITES that win SU also cover the spread only 73% of the time. This is the reality of it. Now, a solid 70% season of picking SU favs will only net you 51% ATS and you'll actually lose money.

You would need to hit 72% SU to see a profit but history shows that only 66% of favs actually win SU. So, the next time you hear someone say "Just pick the SU winner because they usually cover", you'll know they are getting the wrong idea. It's a true statement, but it doesn't help you.




HOPE THIS MAKES IT MORE CLEAR

[GOLDENGREEK]

Its all good greek. But, the stat is true, as you pointed out in your reply. Of course, you have to interpret it. Appreciate the feedback.

NO WORRIES BROTHER - HOPE YOU DIDNT GET THE WRONG IDEA ALSO - CHEERS !!

[Kaptain]

Greek

KAPT - THE POST WAS FROM A WHILE AGO...

I USUALLY HAVE MY CAP LOCK BUTTON ON BECAUSE THIS SITE FORMATS IT TO WHERE THE FIRST LETTER IS CAPITOLIZED - AS YOU CAN SEE - I SAID "FROM ANOTHER SITE" THIS PART WAS COPIED AND PASTED IN REGULAR FORMAT .... WHEN THAT HAPPENS WHAT I HAD CAPITOLIZED STAYED CAPITOLIZED -- I WASNT TRYING TO YELL AT THE GUY

HOPE THAT MADE SENSE

Now----that can make some sense, and takes away the flashing lights, towards, the statement "NOT TRUE AT ALL"...

you must admit when ones sees that heading, it automaticly kicks in as, "you're full of it""that's a blatant lie", and here's why..........

best to ya

[roccodean]

over the last 5 years the SU winner covered 84.1% of time. Therefore if you pick 7/10 SU winners you would have covered 58.9 % of the time (84.1% of 10%). The example you used was 82%. This is of course taking for granted you have mixed favs and dog plays.