Sunday Trends and Indexes 10/21

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Sunday, October 21

Good Luck on day #294 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

National Football League - Dunkel Index

NFL
Dunkel Index

San Francisco at NY Giants
The Giants have put together four straight wins after opening 0-2. Monday night's 31-10 win over Atlanta saw the New York offense rack up 491 yards -- their most since 2003 -- with Eli Manning throwing for 303 yards and 2 TDs. The running game has put together back-to-back games with 188 yards and 2 TDs. But as good as the offense has been, the defense has been better, allowing just 20 points over the last 14 quarters. San Francisco is heading in the opposite direction. After averaging 18.5 points in winning their first two games of the season, the 49ers have scored just 26 points while dropping their last three. Trent Dilfer has had a tough time filling in for the injured Alex Smith at QB and RB Frank Gore has yet to break the 100-yard mark after topping it nine times last year. Going up against a defense on top of its game, the 49ers struggles should continue and makes the Giants a good pick (-9) to cover according to Dunkel, which has New York favored by 16. Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-9). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 21

Game 405-406: Arizona at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 124.963; Washington 133.760
Dunkel Line: Washington by 9; 34
Vegas Line: Washington by 8; 36
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-8); Under

Game 407-408: Atlanta at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 123.799; New Orleans 129.087
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 8; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+8); Under

Game 409-410: Baltimore at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 128.097; Buffalo 130.159
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 2; 37
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+3); Over

Game 411-412: Minnesota at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 126.325; Dallas 142.596
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 16; 44
Vegas Line: Dallas by 9; 47
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-9); Under

Game 413-414: New England at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: New England 146.796; Miami 126.706
Dunkel Line: New England by 20; 56
Vegas Line: New England by 16; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-16); Over

Game 415-416: San Francisco at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 120.669; NY Giants 136.703
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 16; 35
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 9; 39
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-9); Under

Game 417-418: Tampa Bay at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 131.556; Detroit 126.807
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 5; 40
Vegas Line: Detroit by 2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+2); Under

Game 419-420: Tennessee at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 133.585; Houston 136.948
Dunkel Line: Houston by 3; 43
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 1 1/2; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+1 1/2); Over

Game 421-422: Kansas City at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 130.774; Oakland 126.904
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 4; 42
Vegas Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+2 1/2); Over

Game 423-424: NY Jets at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 123.332; Cincinnati 132.454
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 9; 50
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 6; 46
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-6); Over

Game 425-426: Chicago at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 129.344; Philadelphia 131.629
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 45
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 6; 41
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+6); Over

Game 427-428: St. Louis at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 117.114; Seattle 129.751
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 12 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Seattle by 8; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-8); Over

Game 429-430: Pittsburgh at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 138.036; Denver 126.712
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 11 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3 1/2); Over

MONDAY, OCTOBER 22

Game 433-434: Indianapolis at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 141.907; Jacksonville 139.650
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 2; 48
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+3); Over

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[pm530]

National Football League – Long Sheet

NFL
Long Sheet


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Sunday, October 21
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ARIZONA (3 - 3) at WASHINGTON (3 - 2) - 10/21/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (1 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 4) - 10/21/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (4 - 2) at BUFFALO (1 - 4) - 10/21/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (2 - 3) at DALLAS (5 - 1) - 10/21/2007, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ENGLAND (6 - 0) at MIAMI (0 - 6) - 10/21/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 113-82 ATS (+22.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-2 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 3) at NY GIANTS (3 - 2) - 10/21/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (4 - 2) at DETROIT (3 - 2) - 10/21/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (3 - 2) at HOUSTON (3 - 3) - 10/21/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 4-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (3 - 3) at OAKLAND (2 - 3) - 10/21/2007, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 4-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (1 - 5) at CINCINNATI (1 - 4) - 10/21/2007, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in October games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CHICAGO (2 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (2 - 3) - 10/21/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 114-80 ATS (+26.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) against NFC North division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ST LOUIS (0 - 6) at SEATTLE (3 - 3) - 10/21/2007, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-2 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (4 - 1) at DENVER (2 - 3) - 10/21/2007, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
DENVER is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
DENVER is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
DENVER is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 1-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Monday, October 22
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INDIANAPOLIS (5 - 0) at JACKSONVILLE (4 - 1) - 10/22/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[pm530]

National Football League - Short Sheet

NFL
Short Sheet


Sunday, October 21st

Week 7 Byes: Carolina, Cleveland, Green Bay, San Diego

Arizona at Washington, 1:00 ET
Arizona: 3-8 ATS vs. NFC East opponents
Washington: 15-6 Under off a road loss by 3 points or less

Atlanta at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 11-4 ATS at New Orleans
New Orleans: 0-7 ATS after losing 4 of their last 5 games

Baltimore at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 0-6 ATS as a road favorite
Buffalo: 8-1 ATS off BB ATS wins

(TC) Minnesota at Dallas, 4:15 ET
Minnesota: 4-13 ATS after allowing 350+ passing yards
Dallas: 18-7 ATS after allowing 35+ points

New England at Miami, 1:00 ET
New England: 11-2 ATS as a road favorite
Miami: 1-10 ATS off a road game

San Francisco at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
San Francisco: 9-18 ATS after allowing 9 points or less
NY Giants: 4-1 ATS vs. NFC West opponents

Tampa Bay at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 8-1 Under after allowing 14 points or less
Detroit: 1-5 ATS off BB games allowing 25+ points

Tennessee at Houston, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 14-5 ATS off 3+ games allowing 17 points or less
Houston: 8-2 Over off a division loss

Kansas City at Oakland, 4:05 ET
Kansas City: 20-9 Under vs. conference opponents
Oakland: 3-12 ATS with a line of +3 to -3

NY Jets at Cincinnati, 4:05 ET
NY Jets: 0-6 ATS away in October
Cincinnati: 5-1 Under off a loss as a favorite

Chicago at Philadelphia, 4:15 ET
Chicago: 15-2 Over vs. conference opponents
Philadelphia: 25-11 ATS vs. NFC North opponents

St. Louis at Seattle, 4:15 ET
St. Louis: 15-33 ATS off a non-conference game
Seattle: 8-2 Over in October

Pittsburgh at Denver, 8:15 ET NBC
Pittsburgh: 15-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Denver: 1-10 ATS in home games


Monday, October 22nd

Indianapolis at Jacksonville, 8:30 ET ESPN
Indianapolis: 6-0 Over off BB wins by 10+ points
Jacksonville: 3-13 ATS off BB ATS wins as a favorite


** (TC) Denotes Time Change

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[pm530]

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up


Week 7 NFL scoreboard

Sunday, October 21

Cardinals (3-3) @ Redskins (3-2)— Leinart, Warner both out for Arizona, so Rattay is QB, bad news vs tough Redskinn defense that held Pack to 225 yards at Lambeau last week. Before both QBs got hurt, Arizona’s only losses had been by FG each (all three of their road games were decided by three points). Skins are 2-1 at home, winning by 3,31 points. NFC East home favorites are 4-1-1 vs spread in non-division games, NFC West road dogs are 2-3-1. Arizona has 22 penalties for 201 yards in their last two games. Redskins held three of last four opponents under 5.5 yds per pass attempt; they’ve allowed one TD on opponents’ last 24 drives.

Falcons (1-5) @ Saints (1-4)— Saints win one ballgame, all of a sudden they’re 9-point favorites in rivalry game? Short week for Atlanta, off dismal Monday night performance; they’re 0-3 on road, losing by 21-6-7 points, and completed less than half their passes in each of last two games. Saints didn’t score in second half at Seattle; they’ve been outscored 79-33 after halftime this season. Falcon receivers were bad Monday, which helps explain their 7-31 mark on third down in last two games. Saints held last four opponents under 100 yards rushing- last week was their first with less than two turnovers. All three Atlanta road games stayed under the total.

49ers (2-3) @ Giants (4-2)—Short week for red-hot Giants, with London trip on deck; they better not look ahead here, vs Niner club that lost last three games before its bye, by 21-20-2 points. Only once in five games has SF gained 200+ yards in game; they have two TDs on last 36 drives, and with Dilfer at QB, they’re lame on offense (5-26 on 3rd down, 0.6/4.6 ypp last two games). Giants won last four in row, by 7-13-11-21 points, scoring 26.5 pg (eight TDs on 23 drives in last two games); after allowing 478-368 yards in first two games, NY has allowed average of 252.8 ypg during win streak. Four of five 49er games stayed under the total.

Ravens (4-2) @ Bills (1-4)—Baltimore bullied bad teams last two weeks, holding Dilfer-Frerotte to one TD on 23 drives, in 9-7/22-3 wins; they’re 1-2 on road, losing at division rivals Bengals-Browns, and nipping Niners in weak effort, so they’re suspect on road, especially if Boller starts (they have one TD on 24 drives in last two games). First game for Bills after bye and Monday night meltdown vs. Dallas- their three home games (1-2) have been decided by total of five points- they were +6 in turnovers and lost Dallas game, which is really hard to do. Only once in four games have they averaged 4+ yards per pass attempt. Four of last five Raven games stayed under total.

Vikings (2-3) @ Cowboys (5-1)— Dallas’ last game before bye and three straight division games; they’re 3-1 vs spread as faves, 2-1 at home, with wins by 10-32 points- their last five opponents ran ball for 70.8 ypg, good news vs Viking squad averaging 170.2 ypg after 311-yard outburst in Chicago last week. Cowboy secondary can be exploited, but can Jackson (9-23/130 last week) do it? Minnesota losses are by 3-3-7 points; they turned ball over five times in only previous turf game (17-20 @ Detroit), have only four other giveaways (+5 TO ratio). NFC East home favorites are 4-1-1 vs spread out of division; NFC North road dogs are 2-4.

Patriots (6-0) @ Dolphins (0-6)— With New England 6-0 (against spread too), ’72 Dolphins have reason to worry about being last unbeaten team. Miami lost only home games 37-20/35-17, giving up nine TDs on 21 drives; 0-6 teams don’t have home field edge, especially ones that play in good weather cities, where fans are not as avid. Patriots finding reason to run up score on every opponent, scoring 34+ in all six games, winning road games by 24-21-21 points. I guess there is possible letdown after big Dallas win, but these Patriots seem totally focused right now, scoring 26 TDs on 68 drives (38.2%). Four of last five Miami games went over total.

Bucs (4-2) @ Lions (3-2)—Detroit is 2-0 at home, beating Vikings, Bears; their two losses are by 35-31 points. Hard to imagine Jeff Garcia’s Bucs inflicting that kind of damage, but Kiffin defenses always did pretty well vs Ram version of Martz Madness. Bucs are 1-2 on road, losing at Seattle (20-6), Indy (33-14), but 3-0 if they score more than 14 points; Lions haven’t held anyone under 17, and only one team under 21. Kitna’s been sacked 24 times in last four games; Lions are 3-20 (!5%) on third down last two games, after being 18-45 (40%) in first three. Tampa has 27 rushed for 47 yards in last two games; three of their last four games stayed under total.

Titans (3-2) @ Texans (3-3)—Key here is Young’s quad injury; will have to be really bad for him to miss game vs division rival/ hometown team that he tortured LY in pair of wins (26-20/28-22). Titans are 9-3 in last 12 games, 2-1 on road in ’07, allowing just 12.3 pg away from home (four TDs on 29 drives). Houston is 2-1 at home, losing to Colts; Texans allowed 30-26-37 points in their losses, 3-21-19 in wins- Titans cracked 20 mark in only one of five games (at then-winless Saints). Houston lost three of last four games, with only win by FG over 0-6 Dolphins. Under is 4-0-1 in Titan games, but 1-4 in last five Texan tilts.

Chiefs (3-3) @ Raiders (2-3)—Herm’s team won three of last four games; they’ve scored 13 or less points in all three losses, 30-27 in wins. Raiders allowed 23+ points in four of five games; they’re 1-1 at home (21-36/26-24). Chiefs are 1-2 on road, losing at Texans (3-20), Bears (10-20) before win at San Diego (30-16) that seemed to revitalize them. Oakland had three turnovers in all three of its losses; they’re 2-0 if they turn it over less than three times. Raiders allowed 347 rushing yards in last two games, good news for sluggish (under 75 rushing yards in 4 of 6 games) KC attack. Home side is 1-4-1 vs spread in AFC West divisional games this season. Four of five Oakland games went over total.

Bears (2-4) @ Eagles (2-3)—Chicago allowed 311 rushing yards last week, turned ball over four times (-4) and lost on 55-yard FG at gun; go figure. Griese was 26-45/269, Hester ran another punt back for a TD, so once-stodgy Bears are now fun to watch, more porous on defense (allowed 31.3 pg in last four games) but explosive with ball (seven TDs on last 40 drives, after two on first 35). Philly scored 56 points vs Lions in Week 3, but total of 44 in other four games; in their last two games, they’ve kicked three FGs in five visits to red zone, and have only one 80-yard+ TD drive all year (in 14 tries). Last four Chicago games went over; four of last five Eagle games stayed under.

Jets (1-5) @ Bengals (1-4)—Cincy lost last four games, Jets last three, so pair of desperate teams. Bengals are poor on defense (allowed 34 pg in last four), Gang Green is shaky with ball (scored 14 or less in four of six games, with only win vs 0-6 Miami). Jets allowed 339 rush yards in last two games; they’re 0-2 away from home, losing at Ravens (20-13), Bills (17-14). Bengals are -6 in turnovers during skid, throwing pair of picks in each of last three games- they allowed 294 rush yards in last two games. AFC North home favorites are 5-2 vs. spread in non-divisional games. Jets one of five teams without TD drive of less than 50 yards. Hard to endorse either side in this game.

Rams (0-6) @ Seahawks (3-3)— St Louis is real awful, with four losses by 14+ points; they’re 1-3 vs spread as underdog, -8 in turnovers the last five weeks, and on few occasions when they do get ball in position to score, PK Wilkins has been dreadful, missing three easy FGs already. Bulger expected to return at QB for Rams, after Frerotte threw five picks in Baltimore and got pummeled all day. Seattle lost last two games, getting outscored 49-10 in Steeler game and first half vs Saints; they’ve run ball for just 224 yards in last three games, as natives grumble about Alexander’s toughness. Under is 5-1 in Ram games, 3-1 in last four Seattle tilts.

Steelers (4-1) @ Broncos (2-3)—Denver lost last three games, but Rockies’ success has kept fans off their backs- they allowed 102 points in last three games (13 TDs on 26 drives!!!) and allowed 206.5 rushing yards/game over last four tilts, so interesting to see what adjustments they made during bye week. Steelers also had last week off; they’ve won games by 27-23-21-21 points, with only loss vs their old assistants in Arizona. Ben completed just 50% of passes in last two games, but Pitt has outscored their opponents 57-6 in first half of games this year. AFC North teams are 1-4-1 vs. spread on road, in non-division games, though, and Broncos are desperate home dog in night game.

Monday, October 22

Colts (5-0) @ Jaguars (4-1)— Last year, Jax ran ball for 566 yards (191-375) in splitting pair vs Colts, handing Indy 44-17 loss on this field- Jaguars won four in row since opening loss to Texans; they’ve allowed just 37 points in four home games, but Indy steamrolling towards showdown with Patriots- their road wins have been close (22-20/30-24). Jags allowing just 9.8 pg this year; they’ve run ball for 194.7 ypg in last three weeks, and are 28-55 on 3rd down during win streak, so they make plays to keep chains moving, which is critical, if they want to keep ball away from Manning. Four of five Indy games went over the total.

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[pm530]

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL


Sunday, October 21

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Tips and Trends
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Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Some of the professional bettors are a bit perplexed at this line opening at only 3. If you look inside the numbers, Baltimore's offense is a whopping 104 yards better than Buffalo’s while the Ravens defense allows 149 yards less than the Bills defense. EDGE: RAVENS
The Ravens have been hit by the injury bug hard this season. Tackle Jonathon Ogden (toe) hasn’t played, DE Trevor Pryce is out and QB Steve McNair has a bad back and didn't play last week. It has already been reported that backup QB Kyle Boller will start again this week for Baltimore. Last week, Baltimore's offensive line started three rookies and only managed one offensive touchdown against a very depleted St. Louis defense. EDGE: BILLS
The Ravens have scored just two offensive touchdowns and turned ball over eight times on the road this season. EDGE: BILLS
Baltimore comes into this contest with the No. 4 defense in the NFL, allowing just 66 yards rushing per game, so this is not a a good matchup for the Bills, who rely on rushing the football to establish their passing attack. EDGE: RAVENS
The Bills come into this contest off their bye week. Normally, getting a week of rest is a good thing, but one league insider isn’t so sure that’s the case with the Bills, have been fielding questions about their disastrous collapse the week before against Dallas when they were outscored 9-0 in the final 20 seconds of a 25-24 loss. EDGE: RAVENS
As a road favorite, the Ravens are 0-7 ATS the last three years.
The Ravens are 7-15 SU & 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games.
The Bills are 10-5 ATS in its last 15 as an underdog.
The Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week.
The Bills are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
The Bills are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.
The OVER is 5-2 in Buffalo's last 7 games vs. a winning team.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions (FOX | 1 PM ET)

Tampa Bay’s rushing attack is in disarray. The Bucs have lost both starting RB Carnell Williams and backup Michael Pittman, prompting them to trade for Michael Bennett earlier this week. Tampa will also be without offensive tackle Luke Petitgout. Those injuries have crippled the team's offense, as the Bucs have managed just 17 and 30 yards rushing the last two weeks while gaining just 12 first downs in each contest. EDGE: LIONS
For weeks, we commented on how Detroit was one-dimensional. However, the Lions offense is now getting more production out of the running game with the return of RB Kevin Jones. Look for a more well-rounded offensive performance from Detroit off a bye. EDGE: LIONS
The Bucs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
The Bucs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win.
The Lions are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 vs. the NFC.
The Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss.
The Bucs are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.


Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Tennessee QB Vince Young (check status on Pregame Wire) had an MRI exam Monday to check out his strained right quadriceps muscle. If he is unable to start, Kerry Collins will be under center. EDGE: TEXANS
Team insiders are reporting that Houston WR Andre Johnson could return this game. Johnson’s presence will be a big boost to this Houston offensive unit. EDGE: TEXANS
The UNDER is 5-0 in Tennessee's games this season.
The Titans are 14-4-1 ATS the last 19 games.
The Titans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. the AFC.
The Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
The Texans are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
The Texans are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a winning team.
The OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Houston.


New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins (CBS | 1 PM ET)

New England's offense is #1 in the NFL, averaging 38.3 points per game. Often overlooked though is that the team's defense comes into this contest ranked #2 in the league. EDGE: PATRIOTS
One league insider believes that this could actually be a very dangerous spot for New England. Miami comes into this contest with one of the NFL's top rushing attacks. In contrast, New England only managed 75 rushing yards last Sunday against Dallas, so it is very possible Miami could control the time of possession. If the Dolphins are able to keep the powerful Patriots offense off the field, one league insider believes that “they may be in a position” to win this game late in the 4th quarter. They did just that the last time New England made it to the Super Bowl, winning SU as a 10-point underdog in 2004, 29-28. In fact, New England QB Tom Brady is just 7-5 lifetime vs. Miami compared to 76-20 against other teams.EDGE: DOLPHINS
Some team insiders are still concerned with this Miami defense (which was supposed to me one of the best in the league) that has been decimated with injuries and has given up an average of 30.3 points in their six losses. EDGE: PATRIOTS
The Dolphins ares just 9-25 ATS their last 34 home games.
The Dolphins are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 16 vs. the AFC.
The Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
The Patriots are on an 11-1 SU & ATS run going back to last season and have also gone 11-2 SU & ATS in their last 13 road games.
The Patriots are 16-5 in their last 16 games as a road favorite.
The Patriots are 24-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
The Patriots are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Miami.


San Francisco 49ers at New York Giants (FOX | 1 PM ET)

This is a brutal situational setting for New York. San Francisco is off its bye week while New York had one less day to prepare for this contest having played on the road on Monday night. EDGE: 49ERS
The bye week came at a perfect time for the 49ers, who are riding a three-game losing streak. The bye week also helped to get some key personnel healthy, as tight end Vernon Davis (a key part of this offense) is expected to return. San Francisco could also welcome back starting QB Alex Smith, who would give a much-needed boost to this offense. (Check status on Pregame Wire) EDGE: 49ERS
The 49ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.
The 49ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. the NFC.
The Giants are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
The Giants are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.


Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (FOX | 1 PM ET)

Despite some respectable offensive outings this season, Atlanta still comes into this contest with one of the league's worst offenses, averaging just 13 points per game. One league insider isn’t so quick to put the blame on inconsistent QB Joey Harrington as the play of the team's offensive line has been miserable this season. Indeed, this past Monday the Giants had four sacks bringing Atlanta's total for the season to 21 allowed. The Falcons did decide to bench Harrington indefinitely though, choosing to give Byron Lefttwich a shot to spark the team. SLIGHT EDGE: SAINTS
Team insiders remain concerned over this Atlanta run defense that has allowed 139 rushing yards to Minnesota (5.1 yards per carry), 113 to Jacksonville, 175 to Carolina, and 188 Monday night to the NY Giants. Now they must find a way to stop Reggie Bush, who is coming off his best game of the season. EDGE: SAINTS
The Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
The Falcons are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
The Saints are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win.
The Saints are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.


Arizona Cardinals at Washington Redskins (FOX | 1 PM ET)

Arizona third-string QB Tim Rattay will get the call under center after replacing Kurt Warner (elbow) last week and going a miserable 12-for-24 with no touchdowns and three interceptions.The offense could be in for a long day as Washington possesses one of the league’s best secondaries and the NFC’s top-rated defense allowing just 14 points per game. BIG EDGE: REDSKINS
Team insiders are concerned about an Arizona defensive line that looked “exhausted” after this weekend's matchup with Carolina. The line took a pounding against the Panthers, who rushed the ball 30 times. This weekend they face an even more powerful rushing attack led by Clinton Portis. BIG EDGE: REDSKINS
Arizona’s defense has been nothing short of terrible on the road this season, allowing 17, 23 and 34 points to unproven offenses in San Francisco, Baltimore and St. Louis, respectively. EDGE: REDSKINS
The Cardinals are 7-0 ATS its last 7 road games.
The Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
The Cardinals are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
The Cardinals are 2-5-1 in the last 8 meetings.
The Redskins are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
The UNDER is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.
The UNDER is 11-3 in Washington's last 14 games.


New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals (CBS | 4:05 PM ET)

League insiders believe that its time for a quarterback change in New York. However, the Jets have been awful on both sides of the ball in getting beaten by an average score of 26-17. The defense is ranked 28th, allowing 367.4 yards per game while the offense is 30th overall. EDGE: BENGALS
The Jets secondary does have some concerns, which is not good news against Cincinnati QB Carson Palmer, who has passed for 401, 342, 231 and 320 yards in the last four games. EDGE: BENGALS
Cincinnati has also struggled on defense, giving up 31 points and 152 rushing yards per game. The Bengals have been dealing with injuries and expect to have starting RB Rudi Johnson back at full speed after seeing limited action last week. They have lost four games in a row for the first time in the Marvin Lewis era and are 1-7 SU & 3-5 ATS in their last eight games. EDGE: JETS
The Jets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss.
The Jets are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
The Bengals are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 home games.
The Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. the AFC.
The UNDER is 4-1 in Cincinnati's last 5 home games.


Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders (CBS | 4:05 PM ET)

It took a while for the Kansas City offense to get going, but the Chiefs have been impressive over their last four games in rushing for 123, 133, 156 and 121 yards. Kansas City could be in for another big day as they match up against the league's 28th-rated run defense, allowing 144 yards per game. San Diego ran for 6.4 yards per carry last Sunday against the Raiders, and KC is also expected to activate Priest Holmes to serve as Larry Johnson's backup after dealing Michael Bennett to Tampa Bay earlier in the week. BIG EDGE: CHIEFS
The Raiders are just 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 home games.
The Raiders have dropped 16 straight games to division opponents and have lost eight in a row to the Chiefs.
The Raiders are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
The Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. the AFC West.
The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
The Chiefs are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog.
The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.


Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys (CBS | 4:15 PM ET)

This is a very tough situational setting for Minnesota off a very emotional and hard-fought win against NFC North rival Chicago, as the Vikings now have to play on the road for the fourth time in five games against a Dallas team that is eager to silence critics after getting dismantled at home against New England last Sunday. EDGE: COWBOYS
The Vikings defense is No. 1 in the NFL against the run but last against the pass, allowing 288 yards per game through the air. That’s not very good news for the Vikings, as Dallas is a pass first, run second team. EDGE: COWBOYS
The Dallas defense is ranked No. 10 in the league, allowing 79 rushing yards and 232 passing per game. The Cowboys match up well against a Vikings offense that is No. 1 in rushing the football with 170 yards on the ground per game, but terrible when they go to the air. EDGE: COWBOYS
The Vikings are 6-17 SU & 8-13-2 ATS in their last 23 as an underdog.
The Vikings are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a SU win.
The Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a winning team.
The Vikings are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
The Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
The Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS loss.


Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles (FOX | 4:15 PM ET)

Some team insiders are perplexed as to why Chicago fans are again calling for the return of embattled QB Rex Grossman. While Brian Griese has been under center, the Bears offense has shown a marked improvement, scoring 27, 27 and 31 points in the last three games. EDGE: BEARS
The Bears run defense has been very disappointing this season, but much of that is due to injuries more then anything else. They lost their safety Mike Brown and nose tackle Dusty Dvoracek to knee injuries in the season opener. They've allowed 131, 95, 121 and 311 rushing yards the last 4 games. However, there is some good news out of Bears camp, as the secondary could see a boost with the expected return of CB Nathan Vashar. SLIGHT EDGE: EAGLES
Philadelphia’s secondary has been hurting but the Jets were unable to take advantage of that last week. Both CB Lito Sheppard and S Brian Dawkins are expected to return this week though, giving the team's defense a much stronger secondary. EDGE: EAGLES
League insiders are quick to point out that this is still an Eagles offensive unit that is struggling. Despite a 56-point effort against the Lions, the Eagles have struggled to put up points, as that game was the only time they have scored more than 16 points this season. The Eagles are averaging only 11 points per contest. EDGE: BEARS
The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss.
The Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a losing team.
The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. the NFC.
The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.


St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (FOX | 4:15 ET)

The Rams are in total disarray. They again lost All-Pro left tackle Orlando Pace early on, causing them to scramble to find some bodies to just to play on their offensive line. Then backup tackle Todd Steussie got hurt, so they had to move Alex Barron to the left side in Pace's place. In the secondary, CB Tye Hill is questionable, but backup safety Jerome Carter (foot) is through for the year and starting SS Corey Chavous (pectoral muscle; out last week) is questionable and will not be 100% if he plays. On the offensive side of the ball, St. Louis has been without starting QB Marc Bulger (two broken ribs), who has vowed to play this week despite the injury. The Rams will again be missing their best offensive player in running back Steven Jackson (groin). BIG EDGE: SEAHAWKS
The Rams are ranked 29th in total offense and 22nd in total defense. The rush defense is 27th overall, allowing 135 yards on the ground per game, which could be a problem against a Seattle team that likes to run. EDGE: SEAHAWKS
The Rams are 11-19 ATS in their last 30 on the road, including 0-3 SU & ATS on the road this season, getting beaten by a 28-5 average.
The Rams are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
The Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. the NFC West.
The Seahawks are 2-5-1 in their last 8 home games.
The road team is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
The UNDER is 4-1 in Seattle's games this season and 9-2 in the last 11 games.


Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos (NBC | 8:15 ET)

The Broncos have not been home underdogs in five years, and they are a remarkable 15-4 ATS off bye weeks under head coach Mike Shanahan. BIG EDGE: BRONCOS
The Steelers are also coming off a bye week that allowed WR Hines Ward (knee), Troy Polamalu (abdomen) and WR Santonio Holmes (hamstring) to get healthy enough to play on Sunday night. Pittsburgh's passing attack has been severely limited without Ward, who has missed the last two games. "All tests to this point have been very positive (about Ward)," Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin said. "I know he is excited about being back in there as we are about having him back in there." EDGE: STEELERS
Pittsburgh has a key matchup advantage with RB Willie Parker going up against a Denver run defense that is surrendering 187.6 yards per game. The Steelers rank second in the NFL in rushing with 167 yards per game and should be able to take advantage of this mismatch. EDGE: STEELERS
The Steelers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games a favorite.
The Steelers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win.
The Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.
The Broncos are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games.
The OVER in 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

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[pm530]

NFL
Total bias: over/under plays


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Total bias: over/under plays
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Arizona Cardinals at Washington Redskins – over 36

Tim Rattay looked terrible after taking over for an injured Kurt Warner, but the good news is he’ll have a full week of practice with the first unit under his belt this time around. The Cards also get dynamic wideout Anquan Boldin back after a three-game absence.

Don’t be scared off by Redskins sloppy performance at Lambeau field. There’s too much offensive talent in Washington for a repeat outing. Santana Moss will make amends for his costly fumble with several long grabs in front of a forgiving home crowd.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions – under 44 ½

The Bucs have quietly developed a highly productive defense. They have an abundance of young quick defenders who are getting better each Sunday. Jeff Garcia is normally good for one deep bomb to Joey Galloway a week, but this is a no-thrills offense aside from that.

Head coach Jon Gruden is now content to win with a solid defense and conservative offensive play calling.

Detroit still plays with a go-big-or-go-home philosophy. The problem for total players is the offense is highly volatile. One week the unit is putting 30 points on the board and the next it can’t muster more than a field goal. I’ll put my wallet on a good defense over an inconsistent offense any day.


Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars – over 44 ½

You’ve got to like the way the Jags are moving the ball right now. David Garrard still hasn’t thrown a pick and he hasn’t had a quarterback rating below 102.7 since Week 1. Maurice Jones-Drew is getting back to an elite level and you know he’s looking forward to facing the Colts again.

The last time he saw Indy’s defense he gained 181 yards on just 16 touches.

Meanwhile Peyton Manning gets Marvin Harrison and Joseph Addai back for this AFC South sizzler. I’m expecting some fireworks for Monday night.

Last week: 0-3

Season: 9-9

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[pm530]

National Football League - Gameday

NFL
Gameday


Sunday, October 21

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NFL Gameday
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Sunday NFL Gameday

The unbeaten New England Patriots will take on the winless Miami Dolphins on Sunday afternoon in what is expected to be a big AFC East mismatch. Here's your NFL Gameday …

New England Patriots (-16.5) at Miami Dolphins (Total 52)
Dolphin Stadium, 1:00pm ET (CBS)

The Pats were supposed to have a tough game against the Cowboys last week, but New England cruised to a 48-27 road victory. Tom Brady went 31-of-46 for 388 yards passing in that win, with an impressive five touchdown strikes. Wes Welker had two TD catches on the day. Sammy Morris is doubtful with a chest injury this week, while starting running back Laurence Maroney (groin) is listed as questionable for the game.

The Dolphins lost their sixth straight game 41-31 to the Browns last time out. Cleo Lemon got the start for Miami in that contest, and he went 24-of-43 for 256 yards, with two touchdown passes and two interceptions. Ronnie Brown ran for 101 yards on 19 carries, and he also had nine catches for 69 yards. The Miami defense has been one of the worst in the conference so far this year - they've given up 182 points in six games.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions (-2) (Total 44.5)
Ford Field, 1:00pm ET (FOX)

Tampa Bay improved their record to 4-2 by slipping past the Titans 13-10 at home last week. Jeff Garcia completed 20-of-31 for 274 yards for the Buccaneers in that win, with one touchdown pass and no interceptions. Joey Galloway had the TD catch, while Earnest Graham ran for just 29 yards on 13 carries. Michael Pittman (ankle) will be out again for this week, but Tampa Bay did pick up RB Michael Bennett from Kansas City.

The Lions are coming off a bye week, which could've given them a chance to forget about the 34-4 pounding they took from the Redskins last time out. Jon Kitna went just 16-of-29 for 106 yards passing in that loss, with no touchdowns and two interceptions. Kevin Jones rushed for 48 yards on only 11 carries, and the team has confirmed that he is their starting running back once again. Calvin Johnson is reportedly back to 100%.


Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys (-9.5) (Total 46.5)
Texas Stadium, 4:15pm ET (FOX)

The Vikings got a huge game from Adrian Peterson last week as they got past the Bears by a final score of 34-31. Peterson rushed for an incredible 224 yards on 20 carries, and scored three times. Chester Taylor, who is losing carries to the rookie, had 83 yards rushing, while QB Tarvaris Jackson went just 9-of-23 for 136 yards passing in the win (with one TD toss). Jackson (sore groin) is expected to start again this weekend.

Dallas will be looking to get back on track this Sunday after they were spanked by Tom Brady and company last week. Tony Romo couldn't get much going against the Patriots, completing 18-of-29 pass attempts for 199 yards with two touchdowns and one interception. Julius Jones and Marion Barber combined for 100 yards rushing on 15 carries, while Terrell Owens had one TD catch. Terry Glenn (knee) is out for this week.


Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) at Denver Broncos (Total 39)
Invesco Field, 8:15pm ET (NBC)

The Steelers had a bye last week, and they blanked the Seahawks 21-0 back in Week 5. Ben Roethlisberger went an efficient 18-of-22 for 206 yards passing in that win, with one touchdown strike and no interceptions. Willie Parker continued his fine campaign with 102 yards rushing on 28 carries, while Najeh Davenport vultured two touchdowns.

Denver also skipped last week, so their most recent result was the 41-3 pounding they took from the Chargers back in Week 5. Jay Cutler completed 23-of-36 pass attempts for 232 yards in that contest, with no touchdowns and one interception. Travis Henry, still not suspended, ran for 65 yards on 16 carries. Javon Walker won't be on the field for Denver on Sunday - he's having knee surgery and will be out the next few weeks.

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[pm530]

NFL ADDITIONAL

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Points of Interest
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10/19/07
04:40 PM Info Alert
NFL
New Cowboys DT Tank Johnson (suspended) has returned to practice.

10/19/07
04:39 PM News Alert
NFL
Tommy Urbanski, strip club manager paralyzed in a triple shooting, is now suing the NFL and Pacman Jones.

10/19/07
04:37 PM News Alert
NBA
Mavs F Josh Howard has been suspended two games without pay for his involvement in a fight with Brad Miller.

10/19/07
04:34 PM Injuries
NFL
Vikings QB Tarvaris Jackson (groin) went through an unrestricted workout today.

10/19/07
04:33 PM Injuries
NFL
Pats RB Laurence Maroney (questionable, groin) was limited in practice today.

10/19/07
02:59 PM Lineups
NFL
Rams RB Steven Jackson (groin) has been ruled out for Week 7.

10/19/07
02:58 PM Coach's Call
NFL
Ravens coach Brian Billick says Ray Lewis will be a game-time decision Sunday.

10/19/07
11:07 AM News Alert
NFL
The Dolphins have no intention of letting Trent Green play football for their organization again, according to the Miami Herald.

10/19/07
11:05 AM Info Alert
NFL
Redskins DB Shawn Springs remains in Dallas with his father, former NFL player Ron Springs, who's in a coma.

10/17/07
07:15 PM Coach's Call
NFL
Falcons coach Bobby Petrino says the switch to Byron Leftwich is permanent.

10/17/07
04:31 PM Lineup Alert
NFL
The Falcons will start QB Byron Leftwich this week at New Orleans.

10/17/07
02:01 PM News Alert
NFL
NFL commissioner Roger Goodell has reinstated Packers WR Koren Robinson after a one-year suspension.

10/17/07
01:59 PM Info Alert
NFL
Bengals RB Rudi Johnson is expected to see an increased workload in Week 7.

10/17/07
11:53 AM Lineups
NFL
Falcons backup QB Byron Leftwich could be the starter for Week 7 against the Saints.

10/17/07
11:16 AM Lineup Alert
NFL
Steelers WR Hines Ward (knee), WR Santonio Holmes (hamstring), and S Troy Polamalu (ribs) are expected to play Sunday night.

10/17/07
11:09 AM Coach's Call
NFL
Titans coach Jeff Fisher said Vince Young (quadriceps) may not be able to practice.

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[pm530]

College Football - Dunkel Index

NCAAF
Dunkel Index


SUNDAY, OCTOBER 21

Game 431-432: Southern Mississippi at Marshall
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 78.753; Marshall 76.754
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 2; 51
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 4; 56
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+4); Under

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[pm530]

College Football – Long Sheet

NCAAF
Long Sheet

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Sunday, October 21
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SOUTHERN MISS (3 - 3) at MARSHALL (0 - 6) - 10/21/2007, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 1-1 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-0 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

College Football – Short Sheet

NCAAF
Short Sheet


Sunday, October 21st

Southern Miss at Marshall, 8:00 ET ESPN
Southern Miss: 6-1 Over after allowing 14 points or less
Marshall: 6-0 ATS as as home underdog

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[pm530]

College Football – Write up

NCAAF
Write-up


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Sunday, October 21

-- Marshall is 0-6 in '07; they lost last two vs Southern Miss, by 27-24OT/42-7 scores. Herd allowed 38+ points in four of last five games. USM is 3-0 when allowing less thna 31 points; their Ws vs I-A opponents are by 28-21/28-7 scores.

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Long Sheet

CFL
Long Sheet


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Sunday, October 21
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HAMILTON (2 - 13) at SASKATCHEWAN (10 - 5) - 10/21/2007, 3:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Write up

CFL
Write-up


Week 17 CFL games

Sunday, October 21

Hamilton (2-13) @ Saskatchewan (9-6) -- Riders' 40-23 win last week in Hamilton was their third in row; they've scored 35 ppg in last four weeks, but are just vs spread as home fave in their last six at Taylor Field. TiCats covered three of last four; they are 4-4 as road dog, with away losses by 28-4-18-2-18-13-2-8 points. Four of last five Hamilton games stayed under total.

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