Friday Trends and Indexes 10/12

[pm530]

Hockey – Long Sheet

NHL
Long Sheet


Friday, October 12

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WASHINGTON (3-0-0-0, 6 pts.) at NY RANGERS (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/12/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 119-129 ATS (+119.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 167-181 ATS (+167.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 192-219 ATS (+192.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 59-79 ATS (-59.8 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 80-117 ATS (-81.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 5-3 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 5-3-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

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CHICAGO (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) at DETROIT (3-0-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/12/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 59-111 ATS (+194.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
DETROIT is 200-164 ATS (-137.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 14-3 (+4.8 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 14-3-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.8 Units)

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CALGARY (0-2-0-1, 1 pts.) at DALLAS (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/12/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 45-46 ATS (-20.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 45-46 ATS (-20.7 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 45-46 ATS (-20.7 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-32 ATS (-19.1 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-32 ATS (-19.1 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-32 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 7-20 ATS (+28.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 5-15 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-3-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

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COLORADO (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) at ST LOUIS (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/12/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 25-19 ATS (+44.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 5-3-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.0 Units)

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VANCOUVER (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) at EDMONTON (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/12/2007, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 103-91 ATS (+200.3 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 55-42 ATS (+2.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 55-42 ATS (+2.6 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 55-42 ATS (+2.6 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 27-21 ATS (+50.2 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 27-21 ATS (+50.2 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 27-21 ATS (+50.2 Units) in road games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 31-18 ATS (+51.4 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1996.
EDMONTON is 31-39 ATS (+79.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 8-8-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

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BOSTON (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (1-3-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/12/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 63-80 ATS (+63.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 7-26 ATS (+35.1 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 1-0-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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[pm530]

National Hockey League - Short Sheet

NHL
Short Sheet

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Friday, October 12th
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Washington at NY Rangers, 7:05 ET
Washington: 7-13 SU off BB wins
NY Rangers: 15-1 Under off a division road loss

Chicago at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Chicago: 0-8 SU away with a total of 5 goals or less
Detroit: 17-2 SU at home playing their third game in five days

Calgary at Dallas, 8:35 ET
Calgary: 1-11 SU away off BB losses
Dallas: 24-3 SU at home off a win by 4+ goals

Colorado at St. Louis, 8:35 ET
Colorado: 27-13 SU vs. St. Louis
St. Louis: 7-23 SU off a home win

Vancouver at Edmonton, 9:05 ET
Vancouver: 7-1 SU off a home loss by 2+ goals
Edmonton: 23-9 Over at home off a division road loss

Boston at Los Angeles, 10:35 ET
Boston: 10-2 Under off BB non-conference games
Los Angeles: 7-26 SU off a loss by 2+ goals

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[pm530]

Baseball – Long Sheet (updated)

MLB
Long Sheet
Updated and Revised

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Friday, October 12
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CLEVELAND (99 - 67) at BOSTON (99 - 66) - 7:00 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. JOSH BECKETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 99-66 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 99-67 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 87-61 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 72-49 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 95-74 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 43-33 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 50-54 (-20.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 295-233 (-59.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
BECKETT is 7-15 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-2 (+2.6 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. BOSTON since 1997
SABATHIA is 2-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.91 and a WHIP of 1.221.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+4.0 units)

JOSH BECKETT vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
BECKETT is 1-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 6.57 and a WHIP of 1.216.
His team's record is 1-3 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.0 units)

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COLORADO (94 - 73) at ARIZONA (93 - 73) - 10:00 PM
UBALDO JIMENEZ (R) vs. DOUG DAVIS (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 11-8 (+4.9 Units) against ARIZONA this season
10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
JIMENEZ is 0-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 0.692.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

DOUG DAVIS vs. COLORADO since 1997
DAVIS is 2-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.733.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

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[pm530]

Baseball - Short Sheet (updated)

MLB
Short Sheet
Updated and Revised

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Friday, October 12
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AL Championship Series
Game One
Series Tied, 0-0
TV: FOX

Cleveland at Boston, 7:05 ET
CC Sabathia (L) vs. Josh Beckett (R)

Sabathia:
6-0 TSR as an underdog
3-0 TSR, 3.79 ERA L3 starts

Beckett:
5-1 Under in playoff starts
Boston 24-12 Under after scoring 8+ runs

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NL Championship Series
Game Two
Colorado Leads, 1-0
TV: TBS

Colorado at Arizona, 10:15 ET
Ubaldo Jimenez (R) vs. Doug Davis (L)

Jimenez:
Colorado 10-1 Under after allowing 1 run or less BB Games
Colorado 15-5 SU after allowing 1 run or less

Davis:
15-3 TSR in home starts
Arizona 16-3 SU revenging a loss as a home favorite

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[pm530]

Baseball - Dunkel Index

MLB
Dunkel Index

Cleveland at Boston
Cleveland was clearly not intimidated by the Yankees as the Indians used dominating pitching and timely hitting to put New York away in four games. Most impressive was Cleveland's .367 average (11-for-30) with two outs and runners in scoring position. C.C. Sabathia wasn't at his best in Game One as he lasted only five innings and 114 pitches. But the Cleveland ace has been solid on the road this season (8-3, 3.32). Boston was never challenged in its series with the Angels and cruised in three games while outscoring LA 19-4. But the Indians bring some momentum into this series and look like a good underdog pick (+146) tonight according to Dunkel, which has Cleveland favored straight up by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+146). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 12

Game 953-954: Colorado at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 17.290; Arizona 15.400
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 2; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 955-956: Cleveland at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sabathia) 16.434; Boston (Beckett) 15.973
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Boston (-154); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+146); Under

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[pm530]

National Hockey League - Dunkel Index

NHL
Dunkel Index

Vancouver at Edmonton
Vancouver comes in trying to correct the mistakes that led to an 8-2 loss to Philadelphia at home on Wednesday. The Canucks were short-handed four times against the Flyers, leading to two goals. Edmonton opened the season with back-to-back home wins over Philadelphia and San Jose. And goalie Dwayne Roloson has continued to play well (2.32 GAA) despite a pair of road losses to Detroit and Minnesota since then. Edmonton looks like a good home underdog pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Oilers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+100). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 12

Game 51-52: Washington at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.334; NY Rangers 12.122
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-165); Under

Game 53-54: Chicago at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.836; Detroit 12.306
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-315); 5
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-315); Under

Game 55-56: Calgary at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.790; Dallas 11.585
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-140); Over

Game 57-58: Colorado at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 12.149; St. Louis 11.087
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-115); Under

Game 59-60: Vancouver at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 10.356; Edmonton 11.189
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-110); 5
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+100); Over

Game 61-62: Boston at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.449; Los Angeles 10.192
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+120); Over

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[pm530]

National Football League - Dunkel Index

NFL
Dunkel Index

Oakland at San Diego
The Chargers' 1-3 start with essentially the same team that went 14-2 the year before was mystifying and had folks in San Diego questioning whether Norv Turner was the right head coach. But San Diego showed what a dominating team it can still be as the Chargers won in Denver last week (41-3), handing the Broncos their worst home loss since 1966. LaDainian Tomlinson (140 total yards) and Michael Turner (147 rushing yards) showed signs of returning to last year's form. The special teams contributed a TD and the defense held Denver to just a field goal out of 11 drives. It was a complete team effort that should give the Chargers some momentum heading home for this week's contest against division rival Oakland. The Raiders are a pleasant surprise at 2-2 and have relied heavily on the No. 1 rushing offense (194.3 ypg) in the NFL. But their two wins have come against Cleveland and Miami, which are a combined 2-8. Playing against a San Diego team with some newfound confidence will be a tougher test, especially since the Raiders are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings between the two teams. San Diego looks like a good pick to cover (-9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Chargers favored by 16 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-9 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 14

Game 207-208: Cincinnati at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 128.887; Kansas City 132.752
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 4; 37
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+3); Under

Game 209-210: Houston at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 131.084; Jacksonville 136.473
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 5 1/2; 34
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 7; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+7); Under

Game 211-212: Miami at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 121.626; Cleveland 124.377
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 3; 49
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 5; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+5); Over

Game 213-214: Minnesota at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 126.372; Chicago 129.245
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 3; 44
Vegas Line: Chicago by 6; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+6); Over

Game 215-216: Philadelphia at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 126.978; NY Jets 127.645
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 1; 37
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3; 43
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+3); Under

Game 217-218: St. Louis at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 118.681; Baltimore 133.748
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 15; 33
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 9; 37
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-9); Under

Game 219-220: Tennessee at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 135.076; Tampa Bay 132.699
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 2 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+3); Over

Game 221-222: Washington at Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 128.704; Green Bay 134.370
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 6; 45
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 40
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-3); Over

Game 223-224: Carolina at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 128.340; Arizona 128.094
Dunkel Line: Even; 46
Vegas Line: Arizona by 4; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+4); Over

Game 225-226: New England at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: New England 147.154; Dallas 140.308
Dunkel Line: New England by 7; 47
Vegas Line: New England by 5; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-5); Under

Game 227-228: Oakland at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 119.341; San Diego 135.761
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 16 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: San Diego by 9 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-9 1/2); Over

Game 229-230: New Orleans at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 121.574; Seattle 132.266
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 11; 37
Vegas Line: Seattle by 6 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-6 1/2); Under


MONDAY, OCTOBER 15

Game 233-234: NY Giants at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 129.109; Atlanta 129.572
Dunkel Line: Even; 47
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3 1/2); Over

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[pm530]

National Football League – Long Sheet

NFL
Long Sheet


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Sunday, October 14
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CINCINNATI (1 - 3) at KANSAS CITY (2 - 3) - 10/14/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (3 - 2) at JACKSONVILLE (3 - 1) - 10/14/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (0 - 5) at CLEVELAND (2 - 3) - 10/14/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (1 - 3) at CHICAGO (2 - 3) - 10/14/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (1 - 3) at NY JETS (1 - 4) - 10/14/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ST LOUIS (0 - 5) at BALTIMORE (3 - 2) - 10/14/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against AFC North division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TENNESSEE (3 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (3 - 2) - 10/14/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WASHINGTON (3 - 1) at GREEN BAY (4 - 1) - 10/14/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAROLINA (3 - 2) at ARIZONA (3 - 2) - 10/14/2007, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (5 - 0) at DALLAS (4 - 0) - 10/14/2007, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OAKLAND (2 - 2) at SAN DIEGO (2 - 3) - 10/14/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 21-43 ATS (-26.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 4-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (0 - 4) at SEATTLE (3 - 2) - 10/14/2007, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 16-41 ATS (-29.1 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
SEATTLE is 23-42 ATS (-23.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
SEATTLE is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, October 15
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NY GIANTS (3 - 2) at ATLANTA (1 - 4) - 10/15/2007, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

National Football League - Short Sheet

NFL
Short Sheet


Sunday, October 14

Week 6 Byes: Buffalo, Denver, Detroit, Indianapolis, Pittsburgh, San Francisco

Cincinnati at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 1-7 ATS in October
Kansas City: 17-34 ATS off BB games allowing 17 points or less

Houston at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
Houston: 13-4 ATS off BB ATS losses
Jacksonville: 1-6 ATS off BB ATS wins

Miami at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Miami: 0-7 ATS off a road loss
Cleveland: 7-0 ATS after allowing 30+ points

Minnesota at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 1-5 ATS off a home loss
Chicago: 6-1 Under off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games

Philadelphia at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
Philadelphia: 14-5 ATS off a bye week
NY Jets: 14-6 Over in the first half of the season

St. Louis at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
St. Louis: 19-34 ATS as a road underdog
Baltimore: 8-0 ATS off a road win by 3 points or less

Tennessee at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 13-3 ATS as an underdog
Tampa Bay: 8-2 Under off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games

Washington at Green Bay, 1:00 ET
Washington: 5-1 ATS off a win by 10+ points
Green Bay: 2-10 ATS off a division game

Carolina at Arizona, 4:05 ET
Carolina: 11-2 Under off a division game
Arizona: 6-19 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games

New England at Dallas, 4:15 ET
New England: 8-2 ATS off BB wins by 10+ points
Dallas: 3-0 Under vs. New England

Oakland at San Diego, 4:15 ET
Oakland: 11-2 Under vs. division opponents
San Diego: 16-5 ATS off a win by 21+ points

New Orleans at Seattle, 8:15 ET NBC
New Orleans: 10-3 Under off BB losses
Seattle: 12-26 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points


Monday, October 15th

NY Giants at Atlanta, 8:30 ET ESPN
NY Giants: 10-3 ATS off BB home wins
Atlanta: 6-1 Over as a home underdog

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[pm530]

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up


Sunday, October 14

Bengals (1-3) @ Chiefs (2-3) —Cincinnati lost last three games before their bye, allowing 36.3 pg, getting outrushed 511-278; they allowed 14 TDs on opponents’ last 33 drives, and ran out of healthy linebackers in their last game, so the bye came at good time. Palmer threw pair of picks in each of those losses. Chiefs are playing good defense, allowing 14.3 pg over last three games, but they’ve yet to win field position in game this season, so they miss Dante Hall’s returns.. KC is also just 17 for last 53 on third down, so they’re not moving chains on offense. Bengals lost both road games, 51-45/24-21. Four of five Chief games stayed under the total.

Texans (3-2) @ Jaguars (3-1) — Houston swept Jaguars LY, 27-7/ 13-10, holding them to two TDs, 12 3/outs on 22 drives. This yr, Del Rio’s team is playing good defense, allowing 10.3 pg; they’ve outrushed last three foes 455-139, but Texans are passing team, averaging 7.3+ yards/pass attempt in four of their five games— only Colts (5.3) held them under 7.3. Houston scored TD on its first drive last week, then ended game by kicking FGs on each of its last five drives, with three of the five coming on boots of 54+ yards (NFL record). Texans allowed 30,26 in its two losses, 21 or less in its three wins. Jags have yet to score more than 23 points.

Dolphins (0-5) @ Browns (2-3) —Cleo Lemon gets first NFL start under center for Miami, who lost all three of their road games by three points each, and also lost QB Green (concussion) last week. Cleveland is favored for first time this year, after covering three of last four as underdog; they won last two home games, 51-45/ 27-13, as Anderson has proved to be competent NFL QB (maybe better than he was in college). Fish ran ball for 141-137 yards in last two games, but until Lemon proves he is passing threat, they might have harder time running ball now. Four of five Cleveland games went over total, as did three of last four Miami tilts.

Vikings (1-3) @ Bears (2-3) — Griese is a definite upgrade at QB over Grossman; Chicago was +4 in turnovers last week, after -7 in margin in first four games; Bears hit some pass plays in second half last week (trailed 17-7 at half, won 27-20) to hand the Packers their first loss. Bears swept Minnesota LY, 19-16/23-13, as both teams had seven turnovers in the two games. Vikes scored one offensive TD in every game this season (four TD’s on 42 drives, with only two TD drives longer than 50 yards); they’ve run ball for 135 yds/game, which is pretty good. Vikings lost last three games before their bye, despite a defense allowing just 62.5 rushing yards per game.

Eagles (1-3) @ Jets (1-4) —Desperate time for these teams; Philly scored one TD on 33 drives in its three losses, but scored eight on 13 drives in their 56-21 win vs Lions- they need Westbrook back in lineup after bye week, and they need better pass blocking (gave up 12 sacks in their last game, on this same field). Jets played Giants last week, so they’ll be familiar with Eagle defense; Pennington will read defenses well, but can he stretch field? Only once in five games did Jets averaged six yards per pass attempt- they threw five picks in last two games, and lost last week, even though they had kick return and INT runback for TDs. Jets are allowing 33.7 pg in Giants Stadium. Philly is yet another road favorite that has yet to win on road.

Rams (0-5) @ Ravens (3-2) — St Louis is a mess; one of their few healthy offensive linemen had 50 yards in penalties last week, by himself, their DBs are all hurt, they have backups playing QB, RB and now Isaac Bruce is hurt, so no excuse for Raven defense not to dominate here. McNair should be highly motivated, since he lost Super Bowl to Rams, but Ravens scored just 13,9 points in last two games (one TD, 7 FGA, only three 3/outs on 18 drives in last two games)- they move ball well enough, but are awful in red zone (two TDs in last nine visits there). Under is 4-1 in St Louis games, 3-1 in last four Raven games. They played better last week with Frerotte at QB, but not well enough.

Titans (3-1) @ Buccaneers (3-2) —Two teams on up-tick here; Tennessee is 9-2 in last 11 games; their only ’07 loss is 22-20 to Colts, so would be hesitant to give them points, but Tampa won its two home games by 31-14/24-3 scores (albeit vs. two winless teams, Saints/Rams). Tennessee gave up only three points in second half vs Falcons last week, despite six of eight Atlanta drives starting in titan territory- That is solid defense. Tennessee gave up 10-14-13 points in its three wins, only let Indy score two offensive TDs on their 10 drives in that game. Field position is key for both teams; six of Bucs’ 10 offensive TDs, and five of Titans’ seven, have been on drives of 57 yards or less.

Redskins (3-1) @ Packers (4-1) — Green Bay gained 341 yards in first half against the Bears Sunday night, and led 17-7; in the second half, they gained total of 88 yards and lost 27-20; there was one five possession sequence where Pack ran total of 15 plays that gained 18 yards. Four punts and an INT, while the Bears rallied for a season-saving win. Pack had run ball for just 59.3 yg in their four wins- they had 121 Sunday, but did so little in second half, they lost. Redskins allowed 13-12-3 points in their wins, led 17-3 at half in their loss, but got outscored 21-0 in 2nd half of that game. Packers’ center is out (broken eye socket), that’s a critical position to use a sub. Last four Packer games went over total.

Panthers (3-2) @ Cardinals (3-2) — Arizona scored 55 points in winning last two games, has legit shot to make playoffs, but now they have to win game they’re expected to—underdog is 4-0-1 vs. spread in their games this season. Carr’s backup at QB are Matt Moore and Vinny Testaverde, signed during week, so hard to be enthused about Carolina team that was outgained by 98 yards in Superdome last week, but used dropped Saint passes to get road win. Arizona’s QB controversy ended with Leinart’s injury, so 36-yard Warner, two-time MVP, has keys to offense that scored 25.3 pg in last four games—both its losses came in final minute. Over is 3-1 in last four games for both teams.

Patriots (5-0) @ Cowboys (5-0) —New England is 15-1 in last 16 games vs NFC; they’ve scored 38-38-38-34-34 points in their games, winning them all by at least 17 points- they’ve yet to allow more than 17 points in a game, but Dallas averages 24.4 pg, in second half alone. Cowboys survived six turnovers in wild win Monday night; they’re working on short week here, with a shaky QB, but they make when they have to (17 for their last 28 on 3rd down). Bengals (6.1) are the only team to average more than 5.1 yards/pass attempt vs Pats; Cowboys have yet to average less than 6.2 in any game, and averaged 13.4/9.8 in their two home wins (Giants/Rams). Cowboys have not allowed offensive TD in last two games, but did allow four return TDs.

Raiders (2-2) @ Chargers (2-3) —San Diego ties for 1st place with win here, against team they beat twice LY (27-0/21-14), forcing 12 Raider 3/outs on 22 drives. Bolts ended three-game skid last week by waxing Broncos 41-3, Denver’s worst home loss since 1966, they had 214 rushing yards, and 270 passing, so we’ll see if that balance continues here. Oakland scored 25.3 ppg in splitting first four games- all four of their games went over the total, as did last four San Diego tilts. Chargers better gear up to stop run; since Oakland, in last three games, gained 200-186-299 running ball. Chargers gained 15 yards per pass attempt last week; Raiders allowed 5.3/4.3 in last two games, so interesting matchup there.

Saints (0-4) @ Seahawks (3-2) — Are the Seahawks aggressive enough? In five games, they’ve committed only 17 penalties (120 yards), their opponents 37 (for 293 yards). Maybe they need to be a little more assertive. In last four games, they’ve run ball for just 81.3 ypg. Hapless Saints scored 10-13-14-13 points in winless start; read article by observer at the Carolina game, who said Saint receivers were horrible last week, dropping numerous balls on big plays that cost NO dearly. Saints are 20-39 on 3rd down their last three games, not like they’re not making plays, just not enough to win. Seattle got blanked by Steelers, who were playing without two of its best defenders- they’re 2-0 at home, winning 20-6/24-21. Four of five Seattle games stayed under the total.


Monday, October 15

Giants (3-2) @ Falcons (1-4) — Resurgent Giants outscored last three opponents 58-10 in second half; calls for Coughlin’s head are now history. Atlanta had five takeaways last week, started six second half drives in Titan territory, but scored just three points on those six drives, losing 20-13 on INT for TD which got QB Harrington yanked for Leftwich. Giants are on roll, winning last three games; after allowing 478-368 yards in the first two games, they’ve held last three foes to 260-190-277 yards, much better. Not sure if Falcons taking back $19.9M of Vick’s bonus money affects this team, but it can’t be good. Four of five Giant games went over the total.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Chopsticks]

love the reading material...thanks

[pm530]

...and there is a lot to read, but I hope it helps!

Best of Luck to Chopsticks and all the BC crew!

[Kaptain]

Points Of Interest

Injury/Lineup updates

11:22 AM Injuries
CFB
Virginia RB Cedric Peerman (foot/ankle) has been downgraded to doubtful for this weekend.

10/12/07
11:17 AM Injuries
NFL
Vikings QB Tarvaris Jackson (groin) said he'll be ready to play against the Bears.

10/12/07
11:15 AM Coach's Call
NFL
Titans coach Jeff Fisher indicated the team may not welcome Pacman Jones back if his suspension is lifted after ten games.

10/12/07
11:13 AM Lineups
NFL
Bengals RB Kenny Watson is readying himself to be the starter in Week 6.


************************************************** ************************************************** *************************************************
12:43 AM Lineup Alert
CFB
Friday: Hawaii QB Colt Brennan (ankle) is certain to start, and has said he'll "go all out" with a bye week coming after San Jose State.

************************************************** ************************************************** *************************************************

12:33 AM Lineup Alert
CFB
USC QB Mark Sanchez will make his first career start on Saturday.

10/12/07
12:25 AM News Alert
MLB
Diamondbacks defeated the Rockies 5-1 in the first game of the NLCS.
10/12/07
12:20 AM Info Alert
NFL
Vikings RB Chester Taylor and DE Erasmus James reportedly got into a fight after Thursday's practice.

10/11/07
07:43 PM News Alert
MLB
The Yankees are expected to decide Joe Torre's fate at meetings in Tampa beginning on Monday or Tuesday.


10/11/07
05:31 PM Injuries
NFL
Eagles RB Brian Westbrook (groin) will start this week against the Jets, but is not 100 percent.

10/11/07
05:07 PM Lineup Alert
CFB
LSU WR Early Doucet (groin) will play this week against Kentucky.

[Dennis14072]

Thanks Guys, good luck tonight!