Monday Trends and Indexes 10/08

[pm530]

Baseball – In Depth Trends

MLB


Monday, October 8

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In Depth Trends
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Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees

Red - Hot trends are trends 80% or higher.
Blue - Cold trends are trends 20% or lower.


W/L Trends

Cleveland
Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 Monday games.
Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss.
Indians are 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Indians are 16-5 in their last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
Indians are 28-10 in their last 38 overall.
Indians are 19-7 in their last 26 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series.
Indians are 25-10 in their last 35 games on Grass.
Indians are 39-19 in their last 58 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff road games.
Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 playoff road games.
Indians are 5-1 in Byrd's last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Indians are 4-1 in Byrd's last 5 Monday starts.
Indians are 20-6 in Byrd's last 26 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Indians are 9-3 in Byrd's last 12 road starts.
Indians are 8-3 in Byrd's last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Indians are 5-2 in Byrd's last 7 starts during game 4 of a series.
Indians are 5-2 in Byrd's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Indians are 7-3 in Byrd's last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Indians are 11-5 in Byrd's last 16 starts on Grass.
Indians are 13-6 in Byrd's last 19 starts.

NY Yankees
Yankees are 12-3 in their last 15 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 11-3 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 37-14 in their last 51 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 41-16 in their last 57 home games.
Yankees are 15-6 in their last 21 games on Grass.
Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Yankees are 37-15 in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Yankees are 19-8 in their last 27 overall.
Yankees are 44-19 in their last 63 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Yankees are 159-72 in their last 231 vs. American League Central.
Yankees are 46-22 in their last 68 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Yankees are 35-17 in their last 52 games following a win.
Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 Monday games.
Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 Divisional Playoff games.
Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 playoff games.
Yankees are 4-0 in Wang's last 4 Monday starts.
Yankees are 7-1 in Wang's last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 19-4 in Wang's last 23 starts vs. American League Central.
Yankees are 23-5 in Wang's last 28 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Yankees are 4-1 in Wang's last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 24-7 in Wang's last 31 home starts.
Yankees are 12-4 in Wang's last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 38-15 in Wang's last 53 starts.
Yankees are 37-15 in Wang's last 52 starts on Grass.
Yankees are 35-17 in Wang's last 52 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 1-4 in Wang's last 5 starts during game 4 of a series.


O/U Trends

Cleveland
Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 games following a loss.
Under is 6-1 in Indians last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 10-3 in Indians last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Indians last 8 overall.
Under is 6-2 in Indians last 8 on Grass.
Under is 19-7 in Indians last 26 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 10-4 in Indians last 14 vs. American League East.
Under is 20-8 in Indians last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 16-7-1 in Indians last 24 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 36-17-3 in Indians last 56 road games.
Under is 4-0-1 in Byrd's last 5 starts during game 4 of a series.
Over is 5-1 in Byrd's last 6 Monday starts.
Over is 10-2-1 in Byrd's last 13 starts on Grass.
Over is 5-1 in Byrd's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Byrd's last 5 starts overall.
Over is 6-2-1 in Byrd's last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

NY Yankees
Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 overall.
Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 on Grass.
Over is 9-2 in Yankees last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 home games.
Over is 10-3 in Yankees last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 8-3 in Yankees last 11 games following a win.
Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 13-6 in Yankees last 19 during game 4 of a series.
Over is 4-0 in Wang's last 4 starts overall.
Over is 4-0 in Wang's last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Wang's last 5 home starts.
Over is 4-1 in Wang's last 5 starts on Grass.
Over is 4-1 in Wang's last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-2 in Wang's last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Wang's last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2-1 in Wang's last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.


Head to Head
Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.
Indians are 5-21 in the last 26 meetings in New York.
Indians are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings.


Umpire Trends - Fieldin Culbreth
Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 Monday games with Culbreth behind home plate.
Over is 10-1 in Culbreth's last 11 Monday games behind home plate.
Under is 8-2 in Culbreth's last 10 games behind home plate.
Home team is 8-2 in Culbreth's last 10 Monday games behind home plate.
Under is 7-2-1 in Culbreth's last 10 games behind home plate vs. Cleveland.
Indians are 12-4 in their last 16 games with Culbreth behind home plate.
Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 games with Culbreth behind home plate.
Under is 13-5 in Culbreth's last 18 games behind home plate vs. New York.

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[Udog]

Baseball Today - October 8


SCOREBOARD
Monday, Oct. 8

Cleveland at N.Y. Yankees (7:37 p.m. EDT).

Paul Byrd starts for the Indians against Game 1 loser Chien-Ming Wang as they try to finish off the Yankees.

STARS
Sunday

-Johnny Damon, Yankees, drove in four runs, including a go-ahead three-run homer, to help New York avoid elimination with an 8-4 win over Cleveland.

-Curt Schilling, Red Sox, allowed six hits in seven scoreless innings and Boston finished off a sweep of the Los Angeles Angels with a 9-1 win.

DOMINANCE

Curt Schilling pitched seven masterful innings, David Ortiz and Manny Ramirez hit back-to-back homers and Boston completed a three-game sweep of the Los Angeles Angels with a 9-1 win on Sunday. Schilling raised his postseason record to 9-2 in 16 career starts while lowering his ERA to 1.93, having allowed only 25 earned runs in 116 1-3 innings.

SNAPPED

Alex Rodriguez stopped his postseason hitless streak at 18 at-bats with a second-inning single and also beat out an infield single in the New York Yankees' 8-4 win over Cleveland on Sunday.

TRICKY SOX

The Angels have lost nine straight playoff games to Boston following a 9-1 loss on Sunday and seven straight postseason games overall. The Red Sox beat the Angels in the last three games of the 1986 ALCS and swept them in the first round of the 2004 playoffs.

SPEAKING

''I don't think we're ready to see Roger Clemens' last steps off the mound, or Joe Torre's last game. We have a lot to play for.'' - Johnny Damon, after the Yankees rallied past Cleveland 8-4 Sunday night, closing within 2-1 in their first-round AL playoff series.

SEASONS Oct. 8

1908 - The Chicago Cubs won the NL pennant when Mordecai Brown beat Christy Mathewson 4-2 in the playoff of the disputed game Sept. 23 when Fred Merkle failed to touch second base.

1929 - Howard Ehmke, a surprise starter for the Philadelphia Athletics, struck out 13 Chicago Cubs to win the opening game of the World Series 3-1.

1956 - Don Larsen of the New York Yankees pitched the only perfect game in World Series history for a 2-0 triumph over the Brooklyn Dodgers. Sal Maglie, the opposing pitcher, gave up five hits.

1961 - The Yankees' Whitey Ford set a World Series record for consecutive scoreless innings by extending his streak to 32 innings in a 7-0 triumph over the Cincinnati Reds in Game 4.

1973 - Rusty Staub's two home runs powered the New York Mets to a 9-2 victory over the Cincinnati Reds and a 2-1 lead in the NLCS. Pete Rose of the Reds and Bud Harrelson of the Mets scuffled at second base in the fifth inning after Rose slid hard into the base.

1986 - Mike Scott equaled a playoff record with 14 strikeouts and threw a five-hitter as the Houston Astros defeated the New York Mets 1-0 in the first game of the NLCS. Glenn Davis opened the second inning with a home run off Dwight Gooden.

2000 - Bobby J. Jones pitched the sixth complete game one-hitter in postseason history as the Mets eliminated the Giants with a 4-0 win in Game 4 of their NL division series. It was the first one-hit shutout in the postseason since Boston's Jim Lonborg beat St. Louis in the 1967 World Series.

Today's birthday: Olmedo Saenz 37.

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet


Monday, October 8


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CLEVELAND (98 - 67) at NY YANKEES (95 - 70) - 7:35 PM
PAUL BYRD (R) vs. CHIEN-MING WANG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 98-67 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 57-36 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 94-74 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 42-23 (+14.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BYRD is 23-11 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 95-70 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 83-61 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 72-50 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 110-80 (-22.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 7-2 (+4.7 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

PAUL BYRD vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BYRD is 1-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.81 and a WHIP of 1.567.
His team's record is 2-7 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-2. (+4.8 units)

CHIEN-MING WANG vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
WANG is 2-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.750.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)


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[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel


Cleveland at NY Yankees
The Rocket fizzled last night, but the Yankee bats finally came alive and kept New York in the series with an 8-4 win. The Yankee offense will probably need another strong performance tonight to support Chien-Ming Wang, who will be pitching on short rest. Wang gets the call over Mike Mussina largely because of his record at home (10-4, 2.75 this season; 26-9, 3.04 in career). But Wang has only pitched on short rest one other time in his career and the Indian bats chewed him up in Game One (8 runs, 9 hits in 4 2/3 innings). The Indians will go with Paul Byrd, opting not to bring back C.C. Sabathia on 3-days' rest. That is risky given that Byrd was just 3-5 with a 6.10 ERA against teams with winning records this season. He also did not finish strong, going 2-3 with a 5.21 ERA in September, including an outing against the Yankees in which he gave up seven runs and seven hits over two innings. With the Yankees regaining some offensive confidence, New York looks like a good pick (-201) to even the series tonight according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-201). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, OCTOBER 8

Game 917-918: Cleveland at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Byrd) 15.588; NY Yankees (Wang) 16.560
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 12
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-201); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-201); Over

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


New Jersey at Ottawa
The Senators eliminated the Devils in last year's playoffs en route to their first trip to the Stanley Cup. They have started off just as hot this season, going 3-0 while outscoring the opposition 9-5. Martin Gerber has filled in nicely for injured starter Ray Emery (wrist surgery) in net and is coming off a 2-0 shutout over the Rangers in which he stopped 35 shots. Daniel Alfredsson has supplied much of the offense with his league-leading four goals and had success against the Devils (5 goals, 4 assists in 9 games) last season. Ottawa looks like a good pick (-165) in this one according to Dunkel, which has the Senators favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-165). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, OCTOBER 8

Game 51-52: Washington at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.320; NY Islanders 11.735
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-113); 6
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-113); Under

Game 53-54: New Jersey at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.187; Ottawa 12.400
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-165); 5
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-165); Under

Game 55-56: Edmonton at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.203; Detroit 12.296
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-230); Under

[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet


Monday, October 8th


AL Divisonal Series
Game Four
Indians Lead, 2-1
TV: TBS
(TC) Cleveland at NY Yankees, 7:35 EST
Paul Byrd (R) vs. Chien-Ming Wang (R)


Byrd:
23-11 TSR pitching off a team loss
8-3 TSR after allowing 0 walks

Wang:
15-5 Under as a home favorite of -150 to -200
Yankees 5-10 SU in October

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Monday, October 8th


Washington at NY Islanders, 2:05 EST
Washington: 0-6 SU off BB wins by 2+ goals
NY Islanders: 6-2 SU vs. Washington

New Jersey at Ottawa, 3:05 EST
New Jersey: 1-7 SU off a road win by 2+ goals
Ottawa: 9-4 SU off a shutout home win

Edmonton at Detroit, 7:35 EST
Edmonton: 9-17 SU off a home win by 2+ goals
Detroit: 22-2 SU at home off a division road loss

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Hot Lines


Ice picks: Monday's best NHL bets

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders (-103, 6)

Life is good for Islanders center Mike Comrie. Not only is the newly-acquired free agent rumored to be dating Hillary Duff, he is off to a blistering start to his season. Comrie scored two goals for the second straight game in Saturday's 3-2 victory over Buffalo and his line of Bill Guerin and Ruslan Fedotenko have already combined for 16 points in two games.

Alexander Ovechkin and the Caps are off to their best start in five years. Ovechkin scored his first goal of the season Saturday, giving him 200 points in his brief NHL career. The Washington sniper had two goals in four games against the Islanders last season and he has four goals and two assists in seven career games.

Pick: Over


New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators (-159, 5)

About the only thing that could slow down the Senators today is that sleepy feeling after eating too much Thanksgiving turkey. This marks Thanksgiving weekend north of the border and Canadians across the country are feasting in celebration.

The Sens won't be able to afford a slow start against the team they knocked out of the playoffs last season, who'll be looking for payback in this afternoon matchup. Ottawa is off to a strong start, outscoring opponents 9-5 while winning its first three games.

After dropping its season opener against the Lightning, New Jersey rebounded with a 4-1 win at Florida on Saturday thanks in part to center John Madden's first two goals of the year.

Pick: Senators -159


Edmonton Oilers at Detroit Red Wings (-219, 5 1/2)

The undefeated Oilers' No. 1 goal for tonight's game is to try and shut down Henrik Zetterberg. The Wings forward has a goal and four assists in two games this season and the Red Wings are an amazing 37-1-2 since the end of the lockout when Zetterberg has a multipoint game.

Dwayne Roloson should be back in the crease for Edmonton after watching from the bench on Saturday. Roloson was the main reason behind the Oilers' first-round upset of the Red Wings in the 2005-06 playoffs.

If the contest ends up going to a shootout look out of the Oilers. They were 2-1-1 against the Red Wings last season, winning the final two contests in penalty shots.

Pick: Detroit -219

[Udog]

NHL
Today's key matchup notes

Washington at New York Islanders (-112)

The Islanders went 3-0-1 against Washington last season, and have won eight of the last 10 meetings. They have also won five straight home games over the Capitals.

New Jersey at Ottawa (-161)

While the Senators won the postseason series against the Devils last year, New Jersey went 3-1-0 against Ottawa in the regular season.

Edmonton at Detroit (-226)

The Oilers were 2-1-1 against the Red Wings last season, winning the final two contests in shootouts.

[Udog]

Hockey today - October 8


SCOREBOARD

Monday, Oct 8

Edmonton at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EDT).

Geoff Sanderson had two goals in the Oilers' 5-3 win against Philadelphia on Saturday night.

STARS
Sunday

-Paul Stastny and Milan Hejduk, Avalanche. Stastny had a goal and four assists and Hejduk scored twice as Colorado beat San Jose 6-2.

MOVING UP

Joe Sakic had a goal and assist in Colorado's 6-2 victory over San Jose on Sunday, moving past Phil Esposito into eighth on the NHL career points list with 1,591.

SIGNED

Center Richard Park signed a two-year extension with the New York Islanders through the 2010 season on Sunday. Park had 10 goals and a career-high 16 assists last season, his first with the Islanders after attending training camp on a tryout.

SPEAKING

''Obviously, I've been around a long time. For me to have played this long and get to those guys who meant a lot to the game, it's an honor.'' - Colorado captain Joe Sakic after helping the Avalanche to a 6-2 win over the Sharks on Sunday. Sakick had a goal and an assist to move past Phil Esposito into eighth place on the NHL career points list with 1,591.

[pm530]

National Hockey League – Write up

NHL
Write-up


Monday, October 8

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Monday's NHL games

Happy holiday to our Canadian friends

Islanders are 6-2 vs Washington last two years, going 4-0 at the Coliseum (5-3/5-2/4-1/5-2); over is 5-3 in those games. Caps are off to 2-0 start; they shut Carolina out 2-0 Saturday, and got 3-1 win at Atlanta in the opener. Islanders swept home/home vs Buffalo (6-4/3-2) so both sides off to strong start.

Ottawa upset Devils in playoffs last spring, 4-1, winning three in row (2-0/3-2/3-2) to close out series. Devils lost three of last four visits to this site. Under is 9-2 in last 11 series games, 4-0 in last four. Senators shut Rangers out Saturday; they're 3-0 tp start season. Devils split a pair of games in Florida.

Oilers won seven of last nine games vs Detroit, going 4-3 in last seven visits to Motor City; under is 4-1-1 in last six series tilts at this site. Wings lost in SO at Chicago Saturday, after beating Ducks in SO in opener. Oilers opened season with home wins vs San Jose, Philly.

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[pm530]

Baseball – Write up

MLB
Write-up


Monday, October 8

2007 first-round playoff series

Bronx staved off elimination last night, is now 4-12 in its last 16 playoff games. Wang gave up eight runs in 4.2 IP in a 12-3 loss at Cleveland in series opener. Byrd is 1-3, 7.06 in his last five starts; over is 10-4-1 in his last 15 starts. He gave up seven runs in second inning of August 11 start vs Bronx, an 11-2 loss.

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