Friday Trends and Indexes 10/05

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Friday, October 5

Good Luck on day #278 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.



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[pm530]

Friday's List of 13: Tell your statistics to shut up.............

13) Patriots have started ten drives 80 or more yards from the end zone; they’ve scored TDs on seven of those ten drives, an amazing percentage. Put it this way; 32 NFL teams have a total of 62 TD drives of 80+ yards, and Patriots have seven.

12) Dallas has started nine drives in enemy territory, most in NFL, part of why they’ve scored a league-high 18 TDs on 44 drives (41%).

11) Cowboys also lead league with 22 plays from scrimmage of 20+ yards.

10) Dallas and Colts, at +7, are tied for league lead in turnover ratio, with New Orleans (-8, in only three games) team with worst ratio.

9) Detroit may be 3-1, but they have turned ball over 12 times and allowed 21 sacks. 13 takeaways have Lions where they are right now. Martz Madness always has its miscues.

8) One of big reasons Miami is still winless is their failure on third downs; they’re last in NFL in 3rd down conversions (26.3%) on offense, and defense (55.6%).

7) League leaders in 3rd down conversions are Oakland on offense (52.5%) and Chiefs on defense (27.8%).

6) Who is worst team in red zone?: Try the Rams, who have gotten to the opponents’ 20-yard line ten times, with just 33 points to show for it. Terrible. Now we get to see if Frerotte can do better. He could use some healthy linemen.

5) Panthers, Browns’ opponents have both started 11 drives in enemy territory, most in the league.

4) 49ers have gone 3/out 47% (23-49) of time, and with Alex Smith still out, that doesn’t figure to approve anytime soon.

3) Bears (48.9%), Steelers (45.2%) have forced the highest percentage of 3/outs.

2) Part of Denver’s problem is that they’ve forced opponents to throw only 29 incomplete passes in four games, a very low number. Five teams have already forced 60+ IPs.

1) If you look at each team’s record on first drive of each half, you see the Patriots have outscored opponents 41-7 on those eight drives; Denver (3-24), Jets (3-21) have done worst on first drives.

[pm530]

College Football - Dunkel Index

NCAAF
Dunkel Index


FRIDAY, OCTOBER 5

Game 307-308: Utah at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 83.965; Louisville 93.261
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 9 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Louisville by 15; 62
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+15); Under

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 6

Game 309-310: Northern Illinois at Temple
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 65.993; Temple 67.017
Dunkel Line: Temple by 1; 55
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 4; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (+4); Over

Game 311-312: West Virginia at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 103.289; Syracuse 85.934
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 17 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 26 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+26 1/2); Under

Game 313-314: Cincinnati at Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 105.022; Rutgers 96.375
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 8 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 3 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3 1/2); Over

Game 315-316: Wisconsin at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 96.084; Illinois 93.225
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 3; 47
Vegas Line: Illinois by 3; 51
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+3); Under

Game 317-318: Minnesota at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 79.391; Indiana 95.690
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 16; 58
Vegas Line: Indiana by 12 1/2; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-12 1/2); Under

Game 319-320: Northwestern at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 77.766; Michigan State 96.124
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 18 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 14; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-14); Under

Game 321-322: Miami (FL) at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 94.659; North Carolina 82.670
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 12; 44
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 6 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-6 1/2); Over

Game 323-324: Wake Forest at Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 90.304; Duke 81.074
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 9; 42
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 7; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-7); Under

Game 325-326: Central Michigan at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 78.988; Ball State 87.071
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 8; 61
Vegas Line: Ball State by 13; 67 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+13); Under

Game 327-328: Vanderbilt at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 87.579; Auburn 93.526
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 6; 45
Vegas Line: Auburn by 8 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+8 1/2); Over

Game 329-330: Bowling Green at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 83.039; Boston College 100.615
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 17 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Boston College by 20; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+20); Under

Game 331-332: Ohio at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 74.940; Buffalo 75.576
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 1; 60
Vegas Line: Ohio by 5 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+5 1/2); Over

Game 333-334: Tulane at Army
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 68.481; Army 72.573
Dunkel Line: Army by 4; 51
Vegas Line: Army by 7; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+7); Over

Game 335-336: Eastern Michigan at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 68.834; Michigan 102.784
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 34; 40
Vegas Line: Michigan by 31 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-31 1/2); Under

Game 337-338: TCU at Wyoming
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 93.327; Wyoming 88.931
Dunkel Line: TCU by 4 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 3; 41
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+3); Over

Game 339-340; Oklahoma State at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 94.352; Texas A&M 94.119
Dunkel Line: Even; 55
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 6 1/2; 62
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+6 1/2); Under

Game 341-342: UAB at Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 72.159; Mississippi State 84.997
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 13; 49
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 19; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (+19); Under

Game 343-344: Miami (OH) at Kent State
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 74.880; Kent State 79.532
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 5; 51
Vegas Line: Kent State by 9 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+9 1/2); Over

Game 345-346: Kansas at Kansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 101.528; Kansas State 101.022
Dunkel Line: Even; 62
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 3; 56
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+3); Over

Game 347-348: Louisiana Tech at Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 75.590; Mississippi 83.265
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 8; 55
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 13; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+13); Over

Game 349-350: Colorado at Baylor
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 97.327; Baylor 81.271
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 16; 49
Vegas Line: Colorado by 8 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-8 1/2); Over

Game 351-352: Virginia Tech at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 96.854; Clemson 96.953
Dunkel Line: Even; 43
Vegas Line: Clemson by 5 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+5 1/2); Over

Game 353-354: Oklahoma vs. Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 113.942; Texas 92.285
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 21 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 10; 57
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-10); Over

Game 355-356: Nebraska at Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 97.979; Missouri 97.605
Dunkel Line: Even; 58
Vegas Line: Missouri by 7; 67
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+7); Under

Game 357-358: Iowa at Penn State
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 91.385; Penn State 98.469
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 7; 44
Vegas Line: Penn State by 9; 38
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+9); Over

Game 359-360: NC State at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 78.186; Florida State 98.909
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 21; 36
Vegas Line: Florida State by 17 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-17 1/2); Under

Game 361-362: Georgia at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 99.250; Tennessee 97.400
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 2; 60
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 2 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (+2 1/2); Over

Game 363-364: Fresno State at Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 82.423; Nevada 91.137
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 9; 46
Vegas Line: Nevada by 2 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-2 1/2); Under

Game 365-366: Houston at Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 84.483; Alabama 99.030
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 14 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Alabama by 11; 55
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-11); Under

Game 367-368: Idaho at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 70.199; San Jose State 73.329
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 3; 56
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 7; 51
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+7); Over

Game 369-370: San Diego State at Colorado State
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 71.896; Colorado State 87.218
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 15 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 13; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (-13); Over

Game 371-372: Arizona at Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 90.113; Oregon State 88.267
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2; 63
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 5 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+5 1/2); Over

Game 373-374: Stanford at USC
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 79.365; USC 111.233
Dunkel Line: USC by 32; 56
Vegas Line: USC by 38 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+38 1/2); Under

Game 375-376: Akron at Western Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 76.544; Western Michigan 80.481
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 4; 57
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 10; 58
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+10); Under

Game 377-378: Georgia Tech at Maryland
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 94.414; Maryland 98.155
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 4; 44
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 2 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+2 1/2); Over

Game 379-380: Iowa State at Texas Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 77.143; Texas Tech 100.070
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 23; 64
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 25; 68
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+25); Under

Game 381-382: Central Florida at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 87.467; East Carolina 88.730
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 1; 59
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 3 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+3 1/2); Over

Game 383-384: Florida at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 100.581; LSU 118.823
Dunkel Line: LSU by 18; 47
Vegas Line: LSU by 8; 52
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-8); Under

Game 385-386: Ohio State at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 109.627; Purdue 99.348
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 10; 50
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 6; 54
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-6); Under

Game 387-388: Notre Dame at UCLA
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 82.353; UCLA 97.804
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 15 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: UCLA by 21; 50
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+21); Under

Game 389-390: UNLV at Air Force
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 84.574; Air Force 86.210
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 1 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Air Force by 6; 43
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+6); Under

Game 391-392: Tulsa at UTEP
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 87.498; UTEP 86.352
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 1; 77
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 3 1/2; 70
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+3 1/2); Over

Game 393-394: Arizona State at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 105.696; Washington State 82.552
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 23; 56
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 8 1/2; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-8 1/2); Under

Game 395-396: Utah State at Hawaii
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 59.490; Hawaii 102.841
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 43 1/2; 69
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 38; 71
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-38); Under

Game 397-398: South Florida at Florida Atlantic
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 100.182; Florida Atlantic 76.801
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 23 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: South Florida by 15 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-15 1/2); Over

Game 399-400: Arkansas State at UL Monroe
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 77.430; UL Monroe 70.853
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 6 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 2 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-2 1/2); Over

Game 401-402: North Texas at UL Lafayette
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 56.419; UL Lafayette 74.709
Dunkel Line: UL Lafayette by 18; 62
Vegas Line: UL Lafayette by 7; 55
Dunkel Pick: UL Lafayette (-7); Over

Game 403-404: Troy at Florida International
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 87.910; Florida International 56.142
Dunkel Line: Troy by 31 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Troy by 18 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-18 1/2); Under

Game 405-406: Virginia at Middle Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 91.608; Middle Tennessee State 73.916
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 18; 50
Vegas Line: Virginia by 10; 46
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-10); Over

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 7

Game 433-434: New Mexico State at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 67.835; Boise State 103.436
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 35 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Boise State by 22 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-22 1/2); Under

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[pm530]

College Football – Long Sheet

NCAAF
Long Sheet

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Friday, October 5
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UTAH (2 - 3) at LOUISVILLE (3 - 2) - 10/5/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
UTAH is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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Saturday, October 6
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N ILLINOIS (1 - 4) at TEMPLE (0 - 5) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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W VIRGINIA (4 - 1) at SYRACUSE (1 - 4) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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CINCINNATI (5 - 0) at RUTGERS (3 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS is 1-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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WISCONSIN (5 - 0) at ILLINOIS (4 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 44-72 ATS (-35.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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MINNESOTA (1 - 4) at INDIANA (4 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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NORTHWESTERN (2 - 3) at MICHIGAN ST (4 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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MIAMI (4 - 1) at N CAROLINA (1 - 4) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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WAKE FOREST (2 - 2) at DUKE (1 - 4) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DUKE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 1-1 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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C MICHIGAN (2 - 3) at BALL ST (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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VANDERBILT (3 - 1) at AUBURN (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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BOWLING GREEN (3 - 1) at BOSTON COLLEGE (5 - 0) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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OHIO U (2 - 3) at BUFFALO (1 - 4) - 10/6/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 2-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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TULANE (1 - 3) at ARMY (2 - 3) - 10/6/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
TULANE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
TULANE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 1-0 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons
TULANE is 1-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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E MICHIGAN (2 - 3) at MICHIGAN (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 5-20 ATS (-17.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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TCU (3 - 2) at WYOMING (3 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 2-0 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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OKLAHOMA ST (3 - 2) at TEXAS A&M (4 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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UAB (1 - 3) at MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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MIAMI OHIO (2 - 3) at KENT ST (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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KANSAS (4 - 0) at KANSAS ST (3 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 75-52 ATS (+17.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 3) at OLE MISS (1 - 4) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


COLORADO (3 - 2) at BAYLOR (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
BAYLOR is 47-70 ATS (-30.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
BAYLOR is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BAYLOR is 44-69 ATS (-31.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BAYLOR is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


VIRGINIA TECH (4 - 1) at CLEMSON (4 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OKLAHOMA (4 - 1) vs. TEXAS (4 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEBRASKA (4 - 1) at MISSOURI (4 - 0) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 1-1 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 1-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IOWA (2 - 3) at PENN ST (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NC STATE (1 - 4) at FLORIDA ST (3 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GEORGIA (4 - 1) at TENNESSEE (2 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FRESNO ST (2 - 2) at NEVADA (2 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in October games since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NEVADA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
NEVADA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 2-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 1-1 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOUSTON (2 - 2) at ALABAMA (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
ALABAMA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IDAHO (1 - 4) at SAN JOSE ST (2 - 3) - 10/6/2007, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
SAN JOSE ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
SAN JOSE ST is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE ST is 2-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SAN DIEGO ST (1 - 3) at COLORADO ST (0 - 4) - 10/6/2007, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
COLORADO ST is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
COLORADO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARIZONA (2 - 3) at OREGON ST (2 - 3) - 10/6/2007, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 47-73 ATS (-33.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


STANFORD (1 - 3) at USC (4 - 0) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-1 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


AKRON (2 - 3) at W MICHIGAN (2 - 3) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GEORGIA TECH (3 - 2) at MARYLAND (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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IOWA ST (1 - 4) at TEXAS TECH (4 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 50-27 ATS (+20.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 50-27 ATS (+20.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 89-64 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 41-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UCF (3 - 1) at E CAROLINA (2 - 3) - 10/6/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FLORIDA (4 - 1) at LSU (5 - 0) - 10/6/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LSU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OHIO ST (5 - 0) at PURDUE (5 - 0) - 10/6/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NOTRE DAME (0 - 5) at UCLA (4 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
UCLA is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UNLV (2 - 3) at AIR FORCE (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 1-1 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 1-1 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TULSA (3 - 1) at UTEP (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TULSA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-1 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 1-1 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARIZONA ST (5 - 0) at WASHINGTON ST (2 - 3) - 10/6/2007, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UTAH ST (0 - 5) at HAWAII (5 - 0) - 10/6/2007, 11:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAWAII is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII is 2-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


S FLORIDA (4 - 0) at FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARKANSAS ST (2 - 2) at LA MONROE (0 - 4) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NORTH TEXAS (0 - 4) at LA LAFAYETTE (0 - 5) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTH TEXAS is 2-0 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TROY (3 - 2) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 5) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


VIRGINIA (4 - 1) at MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 4) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, October 7
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 2) at BOISE ST (3 - 1) - 10/7/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 66-39 ATS (+23.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 66-39 ATS (+23.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 37-15 ATS (+20.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 37-15 ATS (+20.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 42-21 ATS (+18.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

College Football – Short Sheet

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Friday, October 5

Utah at Louisville, 8:00 ET ESPN
Utah: 4-14 ATS in the first half of the season
Louisville: 10-4 ATS as a home favorite

Saturday, October 6th

(TC) Northern Illinois at Temple, 1:00 ET
Northern Illinois: 0-7 ATS off a road game
Temple: 7-0 ATS off BB games with 40+ pass attempts

West Virginia at Syracuse, 12:00 ET
West Virginia: 5-14 ATS off a loss as a favorite
Syracuse: 10-2 Under off a road game

(TC) Cincinnati at Rutgers, 8:00 ET ESPN2
Cincinnati: 6-0 ATS off BB non-conference games
Rutgers: 6-1 Under in October

Wisconsin at Illinois, 12:00 ET ESPN
Wisconsin: 9-1 ATS away off BB ATS losses
Illinois: 15-30 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers

Minnesota at Indiana, 12:00 ET
Minnesota: 5-15 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
Indiana: 7-0 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games

Northwestern at Michigan State, 12:00 ET
Northwestern: 13-4 ATS away after committing 4+ turnovers
Michigan State: 2-10 ATS off a conference loss

Miami FL at North Carolina, 12:00 ET ESPN2
Miami FL: 13-3 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points
North Carolina: 9-2 Under off 4+ losses

(TC) Wake Forest at Duke, 1:00 ET
Wake Forest: 7-1 ATS in October
Duke: 2-10 ATS in home games

Central Michigan at Ball State, 12:00 ET
Central Michigan: 7-0 Under off a win by 21+ points
Ball State: 8-1 ATS off an Over

Vanderbilt at Auburn, 12:30 ET
Vanderbilt: 7-0 ATS as a road underdog
Auburn: 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points

(TC) Bowling Green at Boston College, 12:00 ET ESPNU
Bowling Green: 18-7 ATS off a home win by 17+ points
Boston College: 1-6 ATS off 3+ wins

Ohio U at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Ohio U: 7-3 ATS off an Over
Buffalo: 6-1 Under off a road conference loss

(TC) Tulane at Army, 7:00 ET ESPNU
Tulane: 3-11 ATS playing on artificial turf
Army: 5-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less

(TC) Eastern Michigan at Michigan, 12:00 ET
Eastern Michigan: 5-20 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Michigan: 6-1 Over vs. MAC opponents

TCU at Wyoming, 2:00 ET
TCU: 16-6 ATS off a win
Wyoming: 6-19 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games

(TC) Oklahoma State at Texas A&M, 7:30 ET FSN
Oklahoma State: 8-19 ATS away after committing 3+ turnovers
Texas A&M: 6-0 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games

UAB at Mississippi State, 2:30 ET
UAB: 9-1 ATS away after allowing 37+ points
Mississippi State: 0-6 ATS after committing 1 or 0 turnovers

Miami OH at Kent State, 3:00 ET
Miami OH: 5-1 Over after allowing 14 or less points
Kent State: 1-5 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards

(TC) Kansas at Kansas State, 12:00 ET FSN
Kansas: 1-6 ATS at Kansas State
Kansas State: 37-19 ATS at home off a conference game

(TC) Louisiana Tech at Mississippi, 2:00 ET
Louisiana Tech: 2-12 ATS away off BB road games
Mississippi: 6-0 ATS off 4+ losses

(TC) Colorado at Baylor, 7:00 ET
Colorado: 1-8 ATS away vs. conference opponents
Baylor: 8-2 Under as a home underdog

(TC) Virginia Tech at Clemson, 6:00 ET ESPN
Virginia Tech: 12-26 ATS off a home conference win
Clemson: 14-3 ATS at home off a combined score of 29 or less points

Oklahoma at Texas, 3:30 ET ABC
Oklahoma: 10-2 Under off a conference loss
Texas: 12-3 ATS off 3+ Overs

(TC) Nebraska at Missouri, 9:15 ET ESPN
Nebraska: 1-8 ATS off a home game
Missouri: 21-6 Over after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers

Iowa at Penn State, 3:30 ET ABC
Iowa: 2-12 ATS off a home game
Penn State: 24-14 ATS off BB ATS losses

NC State at Florida State, 3:30 ET ABC
NC State: 9-2 Under after losing 3 of their last 4 games
Florida State: 15-4 ATS at home off BB games allowing 14 points or less

Georgia at Tennessee, 3:30 ET CBS
Georgia: 15-4 Under after scoring 42+ points
Tennessee: 2-10 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less

Fresno State at Nevada, 4:00 ET
Fresno State: 1-8 ATS vs. conference opponents
Nevada: 7-0 ATS off a home game

(TC) Houston at Alabama, 3:00 ET
Houston: 8-2 ATS off a loss as a home favorite
Alabama: 2-12 ATS as a home favorite

Idaho at San Jose State, 4:00 ET
Idaho: 6-1 Under off a conference loss by 21+ points
San Jose State: 14-4 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

San Diego State at Colorado State, 5:30 ET
San Diego State: 5-1 ATS after losing 3 of their last 4 games
Colorado State: 0-7 ATS off BB losses

(TC) Arizona at Oregon State, 4:00 ET
Arizona: 20-36 ATS off an Over
Oregon State: 23-10 ATS off BB conference losses

Stanford at USC, 7:00 ET VER
Stanford: 10-2 Under off BB losses
USC: 1-7 ATS in October

Akron at Western Michigan, 7:00 ET
Akron: 6-1 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points
Western Michigan: 9-3 Over as a favorite

(TC) Georgia Tech at Maryland , 12:00 ET
Georgia Tech: 2-10 ATS off an ATS win
Maryland: 9-2 ATS off a win by 10+ points as an underdog

Iowa State at Texas Tech, 7:00 ET
Iowa State: 14-34 ATS away playing on artificial turf
Texas Tech: 38-19 ATS as a home favorite

Central Florida at East Carolina, 7:30 ET CSTV
Central Florida: 6-16 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games
East Carolina: 13-4 ATS off a conference game

(TC) Florida at LSU, 8:25 ET CBS
Florida: 1-8 ATS in road games
LSU: 8-1 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games

Ohio State at Purdue, 8:00 ET ABC
Ohio State: 9-1 ATS off an Under
Purdue: 1-8 ATS in October

Notre Dame at UCLA, 8:00 ET ABC
Notre Dame: 3-12 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
UCLA: 12-3 ATS in home games

UNLV at Air Force, 9:00 ET
UNLV: 3-11 ATS in road games
Air Force: 16-6 Under in October

Tulsa at UTEP, 9:05 ET
Tulsa: 11-3 ATS in road games
UTEP: 0-7 ATS after having 300+ rushing yards

(TC) Arizona State at Washington State, 4:00 ET FSN
Arizona State: 2-10 ATS away off a road win
Washington State: 10-3 Over as an underdog

Utah State at Hawaii, 11:59 ET
Utah State: 1-8 ATS off a road loss
Hawaii: 14-4 ATS as a favorite


Added Games:

South Florida at Florida Atlantic, 3:30 ET ESPNU
South Florida: 14-2 Under as a favorite
Florida Atl: 2-9 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

Arkansas State at Louisiana Monroe, 7:00 ET
Arkansas State: 6-18 ATS off a home win
LA Monroe: 9-2 Over off a conference game

North Texas at Louisiana Lafayette, 7:00 ET
North Texas: 5-1 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
LA Lafayette: 2-10 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less

Troy at Florida International, 7:00 ET
Troy: 5-1 Over off BB wins
Florida Int: 0-8 ATS off 4+ losses

Virginia at Middle Tennessee State, 7:00 ET
Virginia: 4-14 ATS away off BB ATS wins
Mid Tenn State: 5-1 ATS in October

Sunday, October 7th

New Mexico State at Boise State, 8:00 ET ESPN
New Mexico State: 5-15 ATS as an underdog
Boise State: 18-5 ATS at home after scoring 37+ points

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

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[pm530]

College Football – Write up

NCAAF
Write-up


Friday, October 5

Louisville won 29-10 at NC State last week, after allowing total of 120 pts in previous three games, but Wolfpack has lost ten in row vs I-A teams, so not impressed. Utah is 0-2 on road this yr, losing 24-7 at Oregon State (was 7-7 at half), 27-0 at UNLV. Utes scored 44-34 in their two wins, 7-12-0 in their losses. Louisville has held one of four I-A opponents under 38 points. Cardinals are 1-3 vs spread as favorite, Utah is 1-1 as the underdog.


Saturday's college football info
Top 10 games

Then-unbeaten Rutgers went to Cincinnati LY and came home a 30-11 loser (-6.5), as Bearcats averaged 18.5 pards/pass attempt, a ridiculously high figure (277 yds/15 passes/no sacks). Rutgers got upset by Maryland last week, 34-24, as Terps outrushed the Scarlet Knights, 239-82. UC is playing its third road game in four weeks (Miami, San Diego State were first two) so fatigue could be factor for explosive Bearcats. We have a selection below.

Ron Zook has Illinois 4-1 after win vs Penn State; Illini has run ball for average of 294 yds/game in last three games, but they've lost four in row vs Wisconsin, losing 30-24 in Madison LY, after they had led 21-3 at one point. Badgers are 9-5 vs the spread as road dog, Illini is 2-6 in last eight tries as home favorite. In only other road game this year, Badgers won 20-13 at UNLV, scoring winning TD in last 3:00 of game.

Butch Davis faces his former Miami team as Hurricanes come to town winners of three straight (by 14-17-10); Miami is 1-5 vs the spread in their last six tries as road favorite. UNC is 8-4 vs the spread in last dozen tries as home dog; they're 0-4 vs I-A clubs, with three losses by seven or less pts. Home side won last three series meetings, with 'canes losing 31-28 in last visit here (-22).

Kansas State has already won at Texas, scared Auburn, picking off six passes in those two games; now they face rival Kansas, which is 4-0 against lamest schedule you've seen (two squads from MAC, Fla International and a I-AA). Home side won four in row in series, with Jayhawks (9-13 as recent road dog) losing last two visits here, 42-6/12-3. Kansas had 247 rushing yards in last year's 39-20 win in Lawrence.

Georgia won its last three visits to Knoxville, taking 41-14/27-14 verdicts in last two; Vols returned favor between hedges in '06, crushing Dawgs 51-33 in wild comeback, fourth straight series win for road side. Tennessee has been awful home favorite, as 11-27 spread record indicates. Vols had last week off, Georgia is playing for sixth straight Saturday; they're 23-3 SU on road.

Oklahoma, Texas lost on same day last week for first time in last eight years; Longhorns won last two series games, 45-12/28-10, after Sooners had won previous five meetings. Texas gave up a pair of return TDs and a defensive TD last week; they struggled at Central Florida (35-32) in their other road game. Sooners had scored 51+ pts every game before blowing 24-7 lead in Boulder. Both sides have very strong records coming off a loss.

Home side won last five Nebraska-Missouri games, as Huskers lost last two visits to Columbia, both by 41-24 score. Nebraska scored 107 pts in last three games, but shows cracks, trailing at half last week vs Iowa State, week after escaping with 41-40 win at home vs Ball State. Mizzou hasn't played D-I foe in three wks; they've allowed 34-25-24 points in three games vs I-A foes.

Florida lost at home to Auburn 20-17 last week, now visit Death Valley at night, where LSU wins 80% of time. Tigers had sloppy win at Tulane last week (led 10-9 at half). Gators are 6-0 as road dog since '03, but are 4-9-1 vs spread in game after their last 14 losses- they've yet to hold I-A opponent under 20 points. LSU has given up only 32 points in five games, is +11 in turnovers.

Ohio State takes 5-0 record on road; they've already won games at Washington (33-14), Minnesota (30-7) and are averaging cool 262.8 rushing yards/game. Buckeyes covered seven of last ten tries as road favorite. Purdue is also 5-0, having outscored last three opponents 78-3 in first half. Boilers are 4-2 vs spread in its last six tries as home dog. Purdue's schedule hasn't been strong, so we'll see if they're worthy against strong OSU run game.

Arizona State won first road game 41-3 last week, moved to 5-0, now visit another one of Erickson's former homes; home side is 4-1 in last five series games, with ASU winning last visit here in '05, 27-24 (-2). Washington State covered six of last nine as dog at home, ASU covered five of last six as road favorite. Wazzu gave up 95 points in losing last two games, both on road; they allowed Arizona to average over 11 yards per pass last week.


Rest of Card

-- Temple is 0-5 this year, losing home games 30-19/42-7; last yr, they lost 43-21 at Northern Illinois (+32). NIU is 1-4 after losing 35-10 at Central Michigan; they're already -11 in turnovers.

-- West Virginia covered 13 of last 17 as road favorite, will be in foul mood after South Florida upset; they've won last couple of visits to Carrier Dome, 34-23/15-7, covering both.

-- Home side won eight of last nine Indiana-Minnesota games; average total in last six series games is 71. Hoosiers are 3-1 vs I-A teams, winning games by 10,17,18 points.

-- Michigan State won 41-38 at Northwestern LY, after trailing at one point 38-3, greatest college comeback ever. Wildcats lost its last two visits to Spartan Stadium, 39-24 (+24)/49-14 (+13)

-- Wake Forest is 6-20-1 vs spread as favorite under Grobe, 2-5 on road, but the two covers came in their last two visits to this site, 42-13/44-6. Duke is 6-14 in last 20 games as home dog.

-- Ball State covered seven of last nine as home favorite; after a brutal 41-40 loss at Nebraska, Cards bounced back, won big vs Buffalo. Central Michigan is 0-2 on road, losing 52-7/45-22.

-- Auburn is off emotional win in Gainesville; they're 3-8 against spread in game after its last 11 wins. Vanderbilt is 11-2 vs spread in last 13 tries as road dog. Auburn is 1-3 as favorite in 2007.

-- Boston College only beat I-AA UMass 24-14 last week; they play Notre Dame last week. Eagles are 0-3 in last three games the week before facing Irish. Bowling Green is 2-0 as a dog in '07.

-- Ohio won four of last five games vs Buffalo, losing last visit here, 34-20; Bulls lost last three games, by 21-13-35 points. Ohio lost its last three games, allowing 31.7 ppg.

-- Army covered as home favorite vs Temple last week, can even its record at 3-3 by beating Tulane squad that led LSU 9-7 until last play of first half. Average total in last eight meetings, 66.

-- Funny how Michigan suspends it best WR for rules violation, and it comes against woeful Eastern Michigan (losses by 24-22- 23 points already) instead of game against conference rival.

-- TCU beat Wyoming last two years, 26-3/28-14, but Cowboys are 12-6 vs spread in last 18 home games. TCU lost both its road games this season, scoring 15 ppg; they're 4-2 in last six as AU.

-- Oklahoma State just 7-20 vs spread as road dog; they missed two PATs LY in 34-33 OT loss at home vs Aggies, third win in a row for A&M over OSU (36-20/62-23/34-33OT).

-- UAB is 0-3 vs D-I teams, but covered last two, losing 38-30 at Tulsa, 34-24 at Florida State. Mississippi State is 3-2 after loss at South Carolina last week; they beat UAB 16-10 in OT last year.

-- Kent State won 16-14 at Miami LY (+14), snapping series skid (last four losses by 7-8-20-17 pts). Miami beat Syracuse 17-14 a week ago, after losing previous three games, allowing 43.3 ppg.

-- Ole Miss is 1-7-2 vs spread as home favorite (0-4-2 under this coach), 7-15 vs spread off a loss, 2-7-1 in non-SEC games; they really need this game. Tech is 0-3 vs I-A foes, losing by 1-30-11.

-- Looking for Colorado to let down on road after an emotional 27-24 home win vs Oklahoma, game they trailed in second half, 24-7. With freshman QB, Buffs are risky business on the road.

-- Clemson missed four FG last week, had punt blocked, fumbled another, now faces Virginia Tech squad that has beaten them in last four meetings, and Hokies embrace the special teams.

-- Not only did Penn State lose last two weeks, scoring total of 29 points, they lost last five meetings vs Iowa, but Hawkeyes on 0-3 skid-- they're playing four freshman WRs, due to injuries.

-- Florida State assistant Amato was NC State coach last several years; he had good success in this game. Seminoles' win vs the Tide last week was very physical. Switch to QB Lee worked.

-- Nevada's 38-35 win in last series game here is Wolf Pack's one win in last eight meetings; Nevada is 12-0 vs spread as favorite at home. Fresno 0-5 vs spread in last five WAC away games.

-- Houston missed 37,38 yd FGs in last 1:55 in 37-35 home loss last week, now visit Alabama squad that has played three tough games in row. Tide covered two of last twelve as home favorite.

-- San Jose State won last two games vs Idaho (28-13/26-18); the Vandals are just 8-14 vs spread in last 22 games as underdog on road. Vandals are 0-4 vs I-A opponents, allowing 43.3 ppg.

-- Colorado State lost last 11 games, is double digit favorite over San Diego State squad that is 0-3 vs I-A foes, allowing 43.7 ppg. Aztecs beat Colorado State last two seasons, 30-10/17-6.

-- Oregon State fumbled three kickoffs in row last week, as 14-12 lead turned into 40-14 home loss; they allowed 65 second half points in last two games. Arizona lost four of five vs Beavers.

-- Stanford's QB had seizure Sunday, will miss USC game; last year, Trojans crushed Cardinal 42-0- they won last two meetings here, 44-21/51-21. Stanford is last team to beat SC in Coliseum.

-- Western Michigan posted 17-0 shutout at Akron LY, holding Zips to 119 total yards, -13 rushing. Broncos allowing 45 ppg in four games vs I-A foes (1-3). Akron is 2-3 (L's by 18-17-34).

-- Georgia Tech is just 12 for last 55 on third down, but has silid defense. Maryland upset Rutgers last week, an excellent win, in game after blowing 24-3 lead in fourth quarter at Wake Forest. .

-- Texas Tech won last two meetings vs Iowa State, 52-21/42-26; Raiders have A&M on deck; this is their first I-A game with new defensive coordinator; old one "quit" after Oklahoma State loss.

-- Central Florida scored 95 points in winning last two games; its only loss was 35-32 vs Texas. East Carolina allowed 35.5 ppg in last four games. Visiting side won te last two series games.

-- Notre Dame beat UCLA 20-17 LY (-12), scoring TD in the last minute; this year, Irish are 0-5 (1-4 vs spread). Bruins having QB injury issues, but they're 13-5 vs spread in last 18 as home fave.

-- UNLV ended losing skid vs Air Force LY, 42-39; they lost last two visits here, 24-7/42-7. Rebels are 4-12-1 vs spread in last 17 tries as road dog. Air Force is 4-8 in last 12 as home favorite.

-- Average total in last four Tulsa-UTEP games, 71. Tulsa won four of last five series games, covered five of last seven as road favorite. UTEP won it OT last week, after trailing 28-7 at SMU.

-- Hawai'i's Brennan threw five picks in win at Idaho last week; they won last two meetings vs Utah State, 83-10/50-23. Aggies are 15-26 vs spread in last 41 tries as a road underdog.

-- South Florida hits road after emotional home win over West Va. Florida Atlantic hung in for three quarters at Kentucky last week; they're 3-2,, with losses by 36 (Okla State), 28 (Ky) pts.

-- Underdog is 5-0 vs spread in last five Arkansas St-ULM tilts, with ASU winning four of last five, by 3-12-7-4 pts. Indians are 1-4 vs spread in last five as road fave. ULM is 6-4 as home dog.

-- UL-Lafayette is favored despite losing last four games, giving up 38.5 ppg in process; they've covered just three of last 11 as a home favorite, and lost four of last five games vs North Texas.

-- Troy won last three games vs Florida Int'l, 21-10/26-13/18-13; they were just 9-23 passing vs FIU last year. Trojans won three games in row, by 18-17-17 points. FIU is 2-3 as an underdog.

-- Virginia had revenge win vs Pitt last week, winning its fourth game in row, scoring 29.5 ppg. Middle Tennessee was down by just 38-35 at Louisville at halftime. UVa is 5-8 as road favorite.

-- New Mexico State lost last three trips to Boise by average of 51-14; Aggies covered just five of last 17 tries as underdog on road. Broncos are 27-11 vs spread as favorite on blue carpet.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

NCAAF
College Football Betting Trends


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Betting Trends
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at Toledo Rockets by NL Liberty O/U NL
Toledo Rockets are 16-2-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Toledo Rockets are 14-4-0 O/U After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)

Northern Illinois Huskies by 4.0 at Temple Owls O/U 52.5
Northern Illinois Huskies are 6-0-1 ATS After 1 Losses (3 -> 6.5)

at Rutgers Scarlet Knights by 3.5 Cincinnati Bearcats O/U 52.0
Cincinnati Bearcats are 6-17-0 O/U As Dog (All Lines)
Cincinnati Bearcats are 3-11-0 O/U As Away Dog (All Lines)

at Illinois Fighting Illini by 2.5 Wisconsin Badgers O/U 51.5
Wisconsin Badgers are 5-0-0 ATS As Away (PK -> 2.5)
Wisconsin Badgers are 5-0-0 ATS After 1 Overs (PK -> 2.5)

at Indiana Fightin Hoosiers by 13.5 Minnesota Golden Gophers O/U 67.5
Minnesota Golden Gophers are 4-13-0 ATS As Away Dog (All Lines)

at Michigan State Spartans by 14.5 Northwestern Wildcats O/U 54.0
Michigan State Spartans are 13-28-0 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)
Michigan State Spartans are 14-28-1 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Michigan State Spartans are 9-21-0 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Michigan State Spartans are 10-24-0 ATS After 1 Losses (All Lines)
Michigan State Spartans are 9-2-0 O/U After 2 ATS Wins (All Lines)

Miami Hurricanes by 6.5 at North Carolina Tar Heels O/U 41.0
Miami Hurricanes are 20-43-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)
Miami Hurricanes are 3-11-0 O/U All Games (3 -> 6.5)
Miami Hurricanes are 16-36-0 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)
Miami Hurricanes are 1-7-0 O/U As Favorite (3 -> 6.5)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 7.0 at Duke Blue Devils O/U 47.5
Wake Forest Demon Deacons are 6-17-1 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)
Duke Blue Devils are 10-24-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Duke Blue Devils are 8-1-1 O/U As Home Dog (All Lines)

at Ball State Cardinals by 13.0 Central Michigan Chippewas O/U 67.5
Central Michigan Chippewas are 1-7-1 ATS After 2 Home (All Lines)

at Boston College Eagles by 20.0 Bowling Green Falcons O/U 57.0
Boston College Eagles are 17-7-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)

Ohio Bobcats by 4.5 at Buffalo Bulls O/U 53.5
Buffalo Bulls are 6-0-0 O/U As Home Dog (All Lines)
Buffalo Bulls are 9-2-1 ATS After 2 ATS Loss (All Lines)

at Army Black Knights by 6.5 Tulane Green Wave O/U 43.5
Army Black Knights are 2-13-1 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5)
Army Black Knights are 0-5-0 ATS After 1 Home (3 -> 6.5)

at Wyoming Cowboys by 3.0 Texas Christian Horned Frogs O/U 40.5
Texas Christian Horned Frogs are 7-1-0 O/U As Away (3 -> 6.5)

at Texas A&M Aggies by 6.5 Oklahoma State Cowboys O/U 62.0
Texas A&M Aggies are 4-13-0 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5)
Oklahoma State Cowboys are 10-2-0 O/U After 2 Wins (All Lines)

at Mississippi State Bulldogs by 19.0 UAB Blazers O/U 50.5
Mississippi State Bulldogs are 13-30-2 ATS After 1 Losses (All Lines)

at Kent Golden Flashes by 9.5 Miami of Ohio Redskins O/U 49.0
Miami of Ohio Redskins are 5-0-0 O/U After 1 ATS Wins (7 -> 9.5)

at Kansas State Wildcats by 3.0 Kansas Jayhawks O/U 55.0
Kansas State Wildcats are 16-5-0 O/U After 1 Away (All Lines)
Kansas Jayhawks are 15-4-1 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5)
Kansas Jayhawks are 9-1-1 O/U As Away (All Lines)
Kansas Jayhawks are 8-1-0 O/U As Away Dog (All Lines)
Kansas Jayhawks are 6-0-0 ATS After 1 Overs (3 -> 6.5)

at Mississippi Rebels by 13.0 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs O/U 53.5
Mississippi Rebels are 0-7-0 O/U All Games (10 -> 13.5)
Mississippi Rebels are 10-22-2 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are 15-29-1 ATS As Away (All Lines)

Colorado Buffaloes by 8.5 at Baylor Bears O/U 47.0
Baylor Bears are 0-6-0 O/U As Home Dog (All Lines)
Baylor Bears are 5-0-0 O/U After 1 Unders (All Lines)

at Penn State Nittany Lions by 9.5 Iowa Hawkeyes O/U 38.5
Penn State Nittany Lions are 5-0-0 ATS After 2 Away (All Lines)

at Florida State Seminoles by 18.0 North Carolina State Wolfpack O/U 45.5
Florida State Seminoles are 1-8-0 ATS After 2 ATS Wins (All Lines)
Florida State Seminoles are 0-5-1 ATS vs. North Carolina State (All Lines)
North Carolina State Wolfpack are 6-17-0 O/U After 1 Unders (All Lines)
North Carolina State Wolfpack are 5-0-1 ATS vs. Florida State (All Lines)

at Tennessee Volunteers by 1.5 Georgia Bulldogs O/U 56.5
Tennessee Volunteers are 13-26-2 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Tennessee Volunteers are 7-17-0 O/U After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)

at Nevada Wolf Pack by 3.5 Fresno State Bulldogs O/U 55.5
Nevada Wolf Pack are 22-8-0 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)
Nevada Wolf Pack are 25-10-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Nevada Wolf Pack are 9-1-0 ATS As Home (3 -> 6.5)
Nevada Wolf Pack are 14-4-0 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines)

at Alabama Crimson Tide by 11.0 Houston Cougars O/U 56.5
Alabama Crimson Tide are 3-11-0 O/U All Games (10 -> 13.5)
Alabama Crimson Tide are 1-9-0 O/U As Favorite (10 -> 13.5)
Alabama Crimson Tide are 1-7-0 O/U As Home (10 -> 13.5)

at San Jose State Spartans by 7.0 Idaho Vandals O/U 51.0
San Jose State Spartans are 8-20-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)
San Jose State Spartans are 12-2-1 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)
San Jose State Spartans are 0-7-0 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)
San Jose State Spartans are 3-11-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
San Jose State Spartans are 0-5-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
San Jose State Spartans are 0-6-0 O/U After 2 Wins (All Lines)

at Colorado State Rams by 13.0 San Diego State Aztecs O/U 58.5
Colorado State Rams are 5-0-0 O/U After 1 Unders (10 -> 13.5)
Colorado State Rams are 0-5-0 O/U After 2 Away (All Lines)
San Diego State Aztecs are 9-21-0 O/U After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)

at Oregon State Beavers by 4.0 Arizona Wildcats O/U 54.0
Arizona Wildcats are 6-16-0 ATS After 1 Wins (All Lines)
Arizona Wildcats are 0-5-0 O/U After 1 Wins (3 -> 6.5)
Arizona Wildcats are 7-18-0 ATS After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
Arizona Wildcats are 1-7-0 ATS After 1 ATS Wins (3 -> 6.5)

at Southern California Trojans by 39.5 Stanford Cardinal O/U 58.0
Stanford Cardinal are 21-37-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)
Stanford Cardinal are 15-32-0 O/U As Dog (All Lines)
Stanford Cardinal are 7-19-0 O/U As Away Dog (All Lines)
Stanford Cardinal are 3-16-0 O/U After 2 Losses (All Lines)
Stanford Cardinal are 2-9-0 O/U After 2 ATS Loss (All Lines)
Stanford Cardinal are 9-21-0 O/U After 1 Unders (All Lines)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets by 3.0 at Maryland Terrapins O/U 42.0
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 7-19-1 ATS After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
Maryland Terrapins are 8-21-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)

at Texas Tech Red Raiders by 24.5 Iowa State Cyclones O/U 66.5
Texas Tech Red Raiders are 26-11-1 O/U After 1 Wins (All Lines)
Iowa State Cyclones are 5-17-0 ATS After 2 Losses (All Lines)

UCF Golden Knights by 3.5 at East Carolina Pirates O/U 54.0
East Carolina Pirates are 2-9-0 O/U After 1 Overs (All Lines)

Ohio State Buckeyes by 7.0 at Purdue Boilermakers O/U 53.0
Ohio State Buckeyes are 25-11-0 ATS After 1 Unders (All Lines)
Ohio State Buckeyes are 20-9-0 ATS After 1 Away (All Lines)
Purdue Boilermakers are 1-7-0 O/U All Games (7 -> 9.5)
Purdue Boilermakers are 8-22-2 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Purdue Boilermakers are 0-5-0 O/U After 1 ATS Loss (7 -> 9.5)

at Air Force Falcons by 5.5 UNLV Rebels O/U 44.0
UNLV Rebels are 4-15-0 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5)
UNLV Rebels are 2-9-0 ATS As Dog (3 -> 6.5)

Tulsa Golden Hurricanes by 3.0 at Texas El Paso Miners O/U 72.5
Texas El Paso Miners are 2-9-1 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5)
Texas El Paso Miners are 1-7-1 ATS As Dog (3 -> 6.5)
Texas El Paso Miners are 0-5-1 ATS After 1 ATS Wins (3 -> 6.5)
Texas El Paso Miners are 0-6-1 ATS After 1 Away (3 -> 6.5)

Arizona State Sun Devils by 9.0 at Washington State Cougars O/U 62.5
Arizona State Sun Devils are 0-6-0 ATS After 1 Unders (7 -> 9.5)
Washington State Cougars are 17-6-0 O/U As Dog (All Lines)
Washington State Cougars are 5-0-0 O/U After 2 Away (All Lines)

at Hawaii Warriors by 39.0 Utah State Aggies O/U 69.0
Hawaii Warriors are 21-9-0 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)
Hawaii Warriors are 19-8-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Hawaii Warriors are 14-5-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Hawaii Warriors are 15-4-0 O/U After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)

South Florida Bulls by 15.5 at Florida Atlantic Owls O/U 48.5
South Florida Bulls are 10-27-1 O/U All Games (All Lines)
South Florida Bulls are 2-12-0 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)
South Florida Bulls are 0-8-1 O/U After 2 Unders (All Lines)

Arkansas State Indians by 2.5 at UL Monroe Indians O/U 58.5
UL Monroe Indians are 5-0-0 ATS After 2 ATS Loss (All Lines)

at UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns by 8.0 North Texas Eagles O/U 67.0
UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns are 0-6-0 ATS vs. North Texas (All Lines)
North Texas Eagles are 0-5-0 O/U All Games (7 -> 9.5)
North Texas Eagles are 6-0-0 ATS vs. UL Lafayette (All Lines)

Troy Trojans by 19.0 at Florida Intl Golden Panthers O/U 55.0
Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 0-7-0 ATS After 5 Losses (All Lines)
Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 0-6-0 ATS After 2 ATS Loss (All Lines)
Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 0-6-0 O/U After 2 ATS Loss (All Lines)

Virginia Cavaliers by 10.5 at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders O/U 45.5
Virginia Cavaliers are 3-12-0 O/U After 2 Home (All Lines)
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are 8-1-0 O/U After 1 Wins (All Lines)
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are 7-1-0 O/U After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)

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[pm530]

College Football - Tips & Trends

NCAAF



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Tips and Trends
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Friday, October 5

Utah at Louisville (ESPN2 | 8 PM ET)

The Cardinals are coming off their best defensive effort of the season at North Carolina State in a 29-10 victory, which also turned out to be their lowest offensive output of the year. They are averaging 55.3 points in three home games and will be playing there for the first time since suffering a shocking 38-35 upset loss to Syracuse. EDGE: LOUISVILLE
Utah has scored one touchdown combined in two road games this year. The Utes lost 24-7 at Oregon State in the season opener and then were blanked at UNLV, 27-0. EDGE: LOUISVILLE
Louisville is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 home games.
The UNDER is 17-8 in Utah's last 25 games as an underdog.


Saturday, October 6

#5 Wisconsin at Illinois (ESPN | 12 PM ET)

The Badgers have won 14 straight games - the longest active winning streak in the country - including a school-record 9 in a row in Big Ten play. "We're excited about our position in college football, in the Big Ten," Wisconsin head coach Bret Bielema said. "We've done a lot of good things to this point to get where we are." EDGE: WISCONSIN
Illinois has won 4 straight games and is off to its best start since winning the Big Ten in 2001. The Illini led last year's meeting at Madison by 18 points before Wisconsin rallied for a 30-24 win. EDGE: ILLINOIS
Wisconsin’s No. 2 RB Lance Smith will not play on Saturday due to a five-game University suspension. Starting RB P.J. Hill (133 yards per game) will once again carry the load, but he will need a breather (78% of the team’s carries) and does not have a proven backup ready to play. EDGE: ILLINOIS
Wisconsin is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 road games.
Wisconsin is 12-5-1 ATS in its last 18 games overall.
Illinois is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games vs. teams with a winning record.
The UNDER is 7-3 in Wisconsin's last 10 road games.


#10 Oklahoma vs. #19 Texas at Dallas (ABC | 3:30 PM ET)

For the first time since 1999, both teams will be coming off losses heading into the 102nd edition of the Red River Rivalry. Texas will be looking for its third straight win in the series. Oklahoma freshman QB Sam Bradford is coming off the worst loss of his young career in a 27-24 loss at Colorado, throwing for just 112 yards with two interceptions after leading the Sooners to at least 51 points in each of their previous four games. SLIGHT EDGE: TEXAS
Texas QB Colt McCoy has been medically cleared to play on Saturday, but he will need to cut down on the interceptions. McCoy has already thrown 9 picks compared to only 7 all of last season and now must face an Oklahoma defense which has nine INTs this season. EDGE: OKLAHOMA
Oklahoma is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 road games.
Oklahoma is 16-5-1 ATS in its last 22 games overall.
Texas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games overall.


#12 Georgia at Tennessee (ABC | 3:30 PM ET)

Georgia is an amazing 23-3 straight-up on the road in SEC play under head coach Mark Richt and has won three straight at Tennessee. BIG EDGE: GEORGIA
The Vols are ranked 111th in scoring defense this season, surrendering an abysmal 37.5 points per game. BIG EDGE: GEORGIA
Tennessee is 10-28 ATS in its last 38 home games.
The UNDER is 6-2 in Georgia's last 8 road games.
The UNDER is 8-3-1 in Tennessee's lsat 12 games played in October.


#15 Virginia Tech at #22 Clemson (ESPN | 6 PM ET)

Virginia Tech true freshman QB Tyrod Taylor has been battling a groin injury, but he is expected to make his first road start. Taylor was limited in practice and has led the team to just 160 passing yards per game. He’ll need to be 100 percent this week as he’ll be facing a Clemson defense which yields just 149 passing yards per game. EDGE: CLEMSON
Virginia Tech has won the last 4 meetings between the teams both SU & ATS.
Virginia Tech is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 road games.
Clemson is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games overall.
The UNDER is 8-2 in Virginia Tech's last 10 games overall.
The UNDER is 7-1 in Clemson's last 8 ACC games.


#9 Florida at #1 LSU (CBS | 8 PM ET)

Florida WR Andre Caldwell (knee) is expected to be stronger this week against LSU, but he is once again expected to be used more as a decoy. SLIGHT EDGE: LSU
Florida is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 SEC games.
Florida is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record.
Florida is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings between the teams.
The UNDER is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.


#4 Ohio State at #23 Purdue (ABC | 5 PM ET)

Purdue has covered the last three home meetings with Ohio State, winning twice straight-up. This will be the team's toughest home game of the season, with road games at Michigan and Penn State the only real roadblocks potentially keeping the Boilermakers from a Big Ten title if they win this game. EDGE: PURDUE
The Buckeyes lead the Big Ten in scoring defense, allowing just 7.2 points per game. They have also been outstanding offensively in the last three games, averaging 40.3 points per game. EDGE: OHIO STATE
Ohio State is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 road games.
The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings between the teams.
The UNDER is 22-6-1 in Purdue's last 29 home games.
The UNDER is also 22-8 in Purdue's last 30 Big Ten games.


#20 Cincinnati at #21 Rutgers (ESPN2 | 8 PM ET)

This is a big revenge spot for Rutgers after Cincinnati ended the team's dream of an unbeaten season with a 30-11 victory just nine days after the the Scarlet Knights upset previously unbeaten Louisville. EDGE: RUTGERS
Cincinnati will be playing its second straight road game after traveling cross country for last Saturday's 52-23 rout of San Diego State. EDGE: RUTGERS
Cincinnati has won all five of its games by at least 26 points. EDGE: CINCINNATI
Cincinnati is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on grass.
The OVER is 7-1 in Cincinnati's last 8 games overall.
The OVER is 7-1 in Rutgers' last 8 games overall.


#25 Nebraska at #17 Missouri (ESPN | 9:15 PM ET)

Missouri has won two straight home meetings with Nebraska but has not won three in a row against the Cornhuskers in Columbia since 1947-51. Nebraska leads the all-time series 63-34-3 and won last year's meeting at home, 34-20. SLIGHT EDGE: NEBRASKA
Missouri is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 home games.
Missouri is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record.
The UNDER is 6-2 in Nebraska's last 8 road games.

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Long Sheet

CFL
Long Sheet



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Friday, October 5
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BRITISH COLUMBIA (9 - 3 - 1) at WINNIPEG (8 - 4 - 1) - 10/5/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in October games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Saturday, October 6
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EDMONTON (5 - 7 - 1) at TORONTO (6 - 7) - 10/6/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 since 1996.
TORONTO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Monday, October 8
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HAMILTON (2 - 11) at MONTREAL (6 - 7) - 10/8/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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SASKATCHEWAN (8 - 5) at CALGARY (6 - 6 - 1) - 10/8/2007, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 70-44 ATS (+21.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-3 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Write up

CFL
Write-up



Week 15 CFL games

BC Lions (9-3-1) @ Winnipeg (8-4-1) -- Bombers upset BC 22-21 back in Week 7 (+6), handing Lions second loss in row after the 5-0 start; BC has now won three games in row, scoring 40-37-42 pts-- they're 4-1-1 on road, losing only at Montreal. Winnipeg won last four home games, by 18-2-19-2 points; they snuck by lowly Hamilton last week, for third win last four games. Four of last five BC road games went over the total.

Edmonton (5-7-1) @ Toronto (6-7) -- Argos went to Alberta and upset Eskimos 18-11 last week, winning fourth game in last five tries- they're just 3-3 at home, but won last two at home, by 13,8 points. Edmonton is 2-4 on road, with losses by 20,40,7,11 pts- they played low-scoring games (16-10/11-18) last two weeks, as three of their last four games stayed under total. Toronto is 3-2 vs spread as a favorite this season.

Hamilton (2-11) @ Montreal (6-7) -- Alouettes are 2-0 this year vs TiCats, winning 29-20 in Week 3 at Hamilton (-6), then 27-9 on this field six weeks later (-4), but Als lost last three games in row overall, allowing 32 ppg. Hamilton is 0-7 on road, losing by 28-4-18-2-18-13-2 points. Under is 5-2 in last seven Hamilton games. Montreal won four of their last five home games.

Saskatchewan (8-5) @ Calgary (6-6-1) -- Roughriders waxed the Stampeders 49-8 in Week 2 in Regina (-1) but lost rematch three weeks ago at McMahon, 44-22 (-3). Since that win, Stampeders lost at woeful Hamilton, then got whacked 42-9 at BC; they are 4-1-1 at home, losing only to Lions 42-37. Riders snapped skid at three last week, beating Montreal; they're 3-3 on road, losing last two away games at Winnipeg (34-15), Calgary (44-22).

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[pm530]

CFL
Makin’ Canadian bacon: Week 15 CFL picks



BC Lions at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+2, 51 ½)
Friday, Oct. 5, 8 p.m. ET

The Lions have reclaimed the West Division lead and been the class of the league the last three weeks. BC backers are paying the price for the team’s success, laying points as they visit the East Division leaders.

Kicker / punter Paul McCallum didn’t practice on Tuesday due to a bruised hip. If he can’t go, head coach Wally Buono’s options are a slotback or an untested junior player. In the meantime, there’s a 90 percent chance of rain in Winnipeg on Friday with a northeasterly wind clocking in at 20 km/h. The Bombers might actually have the kicking advantage, which is saying something when you consider their 15 missed field goals this season.

But the Bombers’ offensive line injuries will have a bigger impact on the game than McCallum’s potential absence. There will be new players in new slots on the line and that won’t help Charles Roberts regain the league’s rushing lead.

BC claims the more potent running game these days with Joe Smith grinding out the yards behind a healthy Lions’ line. It makes Jarious Jackson feel more and more comfortable as the starting quarterback and it makes me feel more and more comfortable about backing a team led by, well, Jarious Jackson.

Pick: Lions –2


Edmonton Eskimos at Toronto Argonauts (-11, 48 ½)
Saturday, Oct. 6, 3 p.m. ET

Toronto played a few games without its No. 1 quarterback and looked pitiful. Is it time for Edmonton to do the same now that Ricky Ray has a long-term injury? Stefan LeFors makes his first CFL start on Saturday at Rogers Centre and won’t have the healthiest Eskimos offense to help him. Fullback Mathieu Bertrand is out while tailback Tyler Ebell and receivers Jason Tucker and Kamau Peterson will play, but are all banged-up.

Edmonton has imported a couple of linemen from south of the 49th parallel to help with the running game on Saturday, but it’s hard to imagine the revamped line being cohesive right from its inception.

There’s also the fact that the Argonauts beat the Eskimos, at Commonwealth Stadium no less, just last weekend. The 11-point spread is problematic. The Boatmen only have one truly lopsided home win this season and that came back in Week 3.

Edmonton’s last two games have both ranked among the league’s lowest-scoring matchups in 2007. Add that to Toronto’s league-leading eight games playing under the total and I have a reason to avoid taking a side.

Pick: Under 48 ½


Hamilton Tiger Cats at Montreal Alouettes (-9, 49 ½)
Monday, Oct. 8, 1 p.m. ET

Hamilton +9 would look like a bargain if we go by the teams’ performances from the last two weeks. The Tiger Cats beat Calgary in Week 13 as 7 ½-point home underdogs, then easily covered the 10 ½-point spread in Winnipeg last week. The Alouettes, on the other hand, have dropped three games (and paydays) in a row. But there’s more to consider than their recent results on the field. It’s hard to determine, for example, which East Division non-power has the more poisoned atmosphere these days.

New quarterback Casey Printers hasn’t won over his Ticats teammates and head coach Charlie Taaffe openly mused to reporters this week that he can’t decide whether running back Jesse Lumsden is having bad luck with injuries or is simply fragile.

In Montreal, linebacker Timothy Strickland suggests that Jim Popp took on too much responsibility as the Als’ head coach and GM, suggesting that the team no longer has a winning attitude.

Montreal was shafted by CFL schedule-makers this week, as the Als suit up in Toronto on Friday after this holiday Monday game. They’re in danger of choking away what was once a sure playoff spot if they don’t right their ship. Based on their current form, however, I can’t give away more than a touchdown with them, even at home.

Pick: Tiger Cats +9


Saskatchewan Roughriders at Calgary Stampeders (+7 ½, 53)
Monday, Oct. 8, 4 p.m. ET

Calgary smoked the Riders 44-22 as recently as Week 12 but a couple of changes have since gone down in Cowtown. Most importantly is the injury to Henry Burris.

Edmonton bettors haven’t seen much of Ricky Ray’s backups, so they can always rely on optimism. Calgary bettors, however, have seen Burris’ backups in action and it hasn’t been pretty. Akili Smith? Barrick Nealy? It doesn’t really matter, especially with Eddie Davis finally back in the Riders’ secondary. Saskatchewan shut down Montreal’s ground game last week and can do the same on Monday by loading the defensive front and daring Calgary to pass.

This week also represents a unique defensive challenge for the Stamps. Head coach Tom Higgins and GM Jim Barker canned defensive coordinator Denny Creehan shortly after last week’s 42-9 loss to BC.

Creehan’s sudden departure reminds the players how easily they can be dropped if they don’t get their act together. This is a dangerous call considering their results this year, but I’m counting on the Stampeders to tighten up on ‘D’ and make this a reasonably tight game.

Pick: Under 53


Last week: 4-0
Year to date: 24-28

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[pm530]

National Football League - Dunkel Index

NFL
Dunkel Index

Atlanta at Tennessee
Tennessee finished last season by winning six of its last seven and has carried that momentum into this year. The Titans (2-1) are off to their best start since 2003 -- the last time they made the playoffs. They have the second best rushing offense in the NFL (173.7 ypg) and QB Vince Young continues to improve. Young ran his record to 10-6 as a starter by throwing for two TDs in a Monday night win at New Orleans (31-14) in Tennessee's last game. Jeff Fisher's defense was the story of that game, though, as the Titans forced five turnovers, including three Keith Bulluck interceptions. Atlanta did show some offense in a 26-16 win over Houston at home last weekend. But on the road, Bobby Petrino's club has been outscored 37-10. And the Falcons have struggled against Tennessee in recent years, dropping the last four contests. Warrick Dunn has been held to just 79 yards on 38 attempts in his last three games against the Titans. Tennessee comes into this game fresh off a bye week and looks like a good pick to cover (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Titans favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-8). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 7

Game 407-408: Carolina at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 126.097; New Orleans 124.435
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 1 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+3); Under

Game 409-410: Jacksonville at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 132.775; Kansas City 134.147
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 2 1/2; 36
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+2 1/2); Over

Game 411-412: Detroit at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 127.880; Washington 129.012
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 49
Vegas Line: Washington by 4 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+4 1/2); Over

Game 413-414: Atlanta at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 123.326; Tennessee 138.243
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 15; 45
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 8; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-8); Over

Game 415-416: Miami at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 119.979; Houston 135.555
Dunkel Line: Houston by 15 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Houston by 5 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-5 1/2); Over

Game 417-418: Seattle at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 131.003; Pittsburgh 137.410
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2; 32
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 5 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-5 1/2); Under

Game 419-420: Cleveland at New England
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 125.691; New England 144.766
Dunkel Line: New England by 19; 44
Vegas Line: New England by 14 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: New England (-14 1/2); Under

Game 421-422: Arizona at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 125.094; St. Louis 125.312
Dunkel Line: Even; 37
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+3 1/2); Under

Game 423-424: NY Jets at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 125.463; NY Giants 126.334
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 35
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+3 1/2); Under

Game 425-426: Tampa Bay at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 131.248; Indianapolis 144.907
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 13 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 10; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-10); Under

Game 427-428: San Diego at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 132.096; Denver 130.200
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 48
Vegas Line: Denver by 1; 42
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+1); Over

Game 429-430: Baltimore at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 126.778; San Francisco 125.731
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 32
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3; 35 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3); Under

Game 431-432: Chicago at Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 126.245; Green Bay 136.795
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 10 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-3); Over

MONDAY, OCTOBER 8

Game 433-434: Dallas at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 134.736; Buffalo 127.934
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 7; 38
Vegas Line: Dallas by 10; 44
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+10); Under

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[pm530]

National Football League – Long Sheet

NFL
Long Sheet


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, October 7
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NFL
Long Sheet


Sunday, October 7th

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CAROLINA (2 - 2) at NEW ORLEANS (0 - 3) - 10/7/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 48-26 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 68-40 ATS (+24.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-36 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 48-72 ATS (-31.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 48-72 ATS (-31.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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JACKSONVILLE (2 - 1) at KANSAS CITY (2 - 2) - 10/7/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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DETROIT (3 - 1) at WASHINGTON (2 - 1) - 10/7/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 40-63 ATS (-29.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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ATLANTA (1 - 3) at TENNESSEE (2 - 1) - 10/7/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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MIAMI (0 - 4) at HOUSTON (2 - 2) - 10/7/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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SEATTLE (3 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 1) - 10/7/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 16-40 ATS (-28.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
SEATTLE is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
SEATTLE is 57-83 ATS (-34.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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CLEVELAND (2 - 2) at NEW ENGLAND (4 - 0) - 10/7/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 112-82 ATS (+21.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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ARIZONA (2 - 2) at ST LOUIS (0 - 4) - 10/7/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 63-89 ATS (-34.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 2-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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NY JETS (1 - 3) at NY GIANTS (2 - 2) - 10/7/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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TAMPA BAY (3 - 1) at INDIANAPOLIS (4 - 0) - 10/7/2007, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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SAN DIEGO (1 - 3) at DENVER (2 - 2) - 10/7/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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BALTIMORE (2 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 2) - 10/7/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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CHICAGO (1 - 3) at GREEN BAY (4 - 0) - 10/7/2007, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Monday, October 8
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DALLAS (4 - 0) at BUFFALO (1 - 3) - 10/8/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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[pm530]

National Football League - Short Sheet

NFL
Short Sheet

Sunday, October 7th

Week 5 Byes: Cincinnati, Minnesota, Oakland, Philadelphia

Carolina at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
Carolina: 30-15 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
New Orleans: 17-36 ATS at home vs. division opponents

Jacksonville at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 12-2 Over with a line of +3 to -3
Kansas City: 8-1 Over in October

Detroit at Washington, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 0-6 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Washington: 21-9 Under vs. NFC North opponents

Atlanta at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 9-1 Under in road games
Tennessee: 27-13 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

Miami at Houston, 1:00 ET
Miami: 0-7 ATS off BB games allowing 30+ points
Houston: 22-10 ATS off BB losses

Seattle at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 14-33 ATS off a division win
Pittsburgh: 14-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

Cleveland at New England, 1:00 ET
Cleveland: 7-1 Under in October
New England: 10-3 ATS off BB wins by 14+ points

Arizona at St. Louis, 1:00 ET
Arizona: 9-2 Over off an ATS win
St. Louis: 1-9 ATS at home off an ATS loss

NY Jets at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
NY Jets: 0-6 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
NY Giants: 13-4 ATS at home off a win as a division underdog

Tampa Bay at Indianapolis, 4:05 ET
Tampa Bay: 8-1 Under away off an Under
Indianapolis: 1-7 ATS off BB wins

San Diego at Denver, 4:15 ET
San Diego: 9-22 ATS off a division loss by 10+ points
Denver: 28-11 Over off 3+ Overs

Baltimore at San Francisco, 4:15 ET
Baltimore: 18-4 ATS off a loss as a favorite
San Francisco: 34-19 Over after losing 2 of their last 3 games

Chicago at Green Bay, 8:15 ET NBC
Chicago: 13-2 Over vs. conference opponents
Green Bay: 2-9 ATS off a division game


Monday, October 8th

Dallas at Buffalo, 8:30 ET ESPN
Dallas: 2-12 ATS off a win by 28+ points
Buffalo: 24-7 ATS off a win by 3 points or less


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National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up


Week 5 2007 NFL season

Sunday, October 7

Panthers (2-2) @ Saints (0-3) —NO off to horrible start, allowing 103 points in losses by 31,28,17 points; they’ve covered just one of last seven as favorite coming off a bye and are already -8 in turnovers, with ten giveaways in only three games, as well as no sacks yet and a -21 IP ratio (47-26). Loss of McAllister makes Saints more of a passing team. Carolina hurting with backup QB Carr; he averaged 2.7 yds/pass attempt in dismal 20-7 loss to Bucs last week (they averaged 3.6/4.4/2.7 in last three games). Road team is 4-0 in Panther games this year with Carolina scoring 27 points each in wins at St Louis, Atlanta (combined 1-7 record).

Jaguars (2-1) @ Chiefs (2-2) — Herm’s Chiefs are playing solid defense, allowing four TDs on 44 drives, zero points on 14 drives that started 80+ yards from goal line (only NFL team at 0.00); they have 11 sacks, 10 takeaways and lead league allowing just 27.8% of third downs to be converted- they outscored last three foes 37-3 in second half. Jax lost five of last seven post-bye games, even though they were favored in six of those games. Jaguars allowed just 21 points in winning last two games before the bye, including win at Denver where they outrushed Broncos 186-47 (Broncos ran just 41 plays the whole game).

Lions (3-1) @ Redskins (2-1) — Erratic Lions either implode (they trailed 42-21 at half in Philly) or explode (they scored 34 points in fourth quarter last week). Detroit is 0-20 in DC, but Lions have 13 takeaways in four games, but Kitna making enough plays to make up for 21 sacks and 12 giveaways, typical Martz Madness stats. Martz first made his name as QB coach here with Skins, where he coached Trent Green. Redskins won nine of their last 11 post-bye games, winning last two years, by FG each; they’ve allowed 5.2/ 4.3/5.4 ypa in their three games. Lions lost eight of last ten pre-bye games, allowing 30,38 pts last two years.

Falcons (1-3) @ Titans (2-1) —Atlanta scored 10 points in two road losses, then scored 46 pts at home last two weeks; they’re hopeful Harrington (54-73/546 passing last two weeks) getting knack of offense, but Falcons are 29th in red zone offense (3.58), even when they’ve moved ball well. Falcons are only NFL club that has yet to start a drive in opponents’ territory. Road team won all three Titan games, with Tennessee losing 22-20 at home to Colts—they scored 28+ points in four of last five post-bye games. Titans are only NFL team that has yet to score point on drive that started 80+ yards from opponents’ end zone (7 drives).

Dolphins (0-4) @ Texans (2-2) — Miami playing better on road, losing both games by FG, but they’ve allowed 37-31-35 points in last three games (12 TDs on 28 drives) and are last in NFL on third down, both on offense (26.3%) and defense (55.6%), which results in lot of short fields for opponents (already yielded four TD drives of 40 yards or less). Fish have just three takeaways, five sacks in four games. Houston fading with Johnson/Green hurt, but they also have zero takeaways in last two games, after having seven in their two wins. Texans averaged 7.4+ ypa in three of four games. Last three games for both sides all went over the total.

Seahawks (3-1) @ Steelers (3-1) — Pittsburgh been dominant at home (26-3/27-16), but were held to 77 rushing yards last week, after averaging 198.3 ypg in three wins; they had 11 penalties last week, after total of 11 in the three wins. Steelers have 14 sacks, eight takeaways, but Seattle has 13/10; Hawks have allowed just four TDs on 42 drives, while forcing 42 3/outs. Seattle is fumbled snap away from 4-0 start; they have seven takeaways in last two games, are 5-7 as road dog last 3+ years. Steelers lost four of last five pre-bye games, with only win by four points. Both these teams lost at Arizona for only loss. NFC West road dogs are 2-5 vs. spread out of their division.

Browns (2-2) @ Patriots (4-0) — Old friends from Parcells’ Giant staff meet here; only two teams in NFL have more TDs than spunky Browns (14). New England playing with chip on its shoulder, winning games by 24-24-31-21 points, scoring 37 pg- they’ve had ten drives start 80+ yards from goal line, and scored seven TD’s, with five of those drives 90+ yards; the entire NFL has 62 TD drives of 80+ yds this season. Cleveland scored 51-24-27 pts in last three games; only blocked FG off skin infield at Oakland is keeping them from 3-1 record. Patriots playing on short week after thrashing Bengals. Both sides have had three of four games go over total.

Cardinals (2-2) @ Rams (0-4) — Redbirds been juggling QB’s successfully, using Leinart in running spots, former Ram (and still a St Louis icon) Warner in passing spots. Must-win game for 2-2 Arizona team, with two last-minute losses, vs. dysfunctional Ram squad starting Frerotte at QB for first time, with RB Jackson and five guys on OL all out injured. Arizona lost both its road games in last minute, but Rams been outscored 72-9 in second half of games this season, and are probably worst team in NFL, although they do get CB Brown (suspension) back here. Will be interesting to see if Leinart spouting off about juggling QB’s will change anything for Cardinals.

Jets (1-3) @ Giants (2-2) — Both teams at home here, although it is GIANTS Stadium; Big Blue defense awakened in last two weeks, allowing just 20 points, keeping both foes under 50% passing and sacking McNabb 12 times last week. Manning is moving chains (Giants 48.1% on 3rd down) but fading in red zone (3.86, 26th) partly because they’re struggling to run ball (94-96-83 yards last three games). Jets allowed 33 pg in pair of Swamp games; their lack of sacks, takeaways (three of each) has hurt their field position (Jets, Saints are only teams not to start drive in enemy territory). These teams are 2nd, 3rd in NFL in penalty yard ratio (Giants +129, Jets +89).

Bucs (3-1) @ Colts (4-0) — Indy has 16 plays of 20+ yards this year, will be tested by Buc defense that has allowed five. The last time these teams met was on Monday night in ’03 when Bucs led by 19 at home with 5:00 left but somehow lost in OT, as Dungy beat his former team on his birthday. Bucs come in here on three-game win streak, where they’ve allowed 14-3-7 points. Obviously, both teams run same defense—Bucs allowed only one TD in last two games, and that came with 0:23 left in Carolina last week, in garbage time of 20-7 win. Bucs had 182-189 rushing yards last two games, but are without star RB Williams now (knee). Oft-travelled Garcia enjoying another good start to season.

Chargers (1-3) @ Broncos (2-2) — Two floundering sides meet here; Denver allowed 200-186-226 rushing yards in their last three games losing last two by 9,18 pts. San Diego imploded at home vs Chiefs last week, outscored 24-0 in second half; in their last three games, they’ve allowed 38-31-30 points and gave up 7+ ypa in each loss. Denver has seven TD’s, 13 FGA’s, while allowing 11 TD’s, four FGA, so that’s problem. Tomlinson had 100+ rushing yards at half last week, then had 20 in second half, so they need to keep feeding him ball. Denver’s two wins are by combined total of four points; they’ve been -13/-18 in field position last two games, making it even harder on young QB Cutler.

Ravens (2-2) @ 49ers (2-2) — Injury to Alex Smith leaves former Raven Dilfer facing former mates, week after Niners had 22 net passing yards in ugly 23-3 home loss to Seattle. Baltimore is 0-2 on road, giving up 27 points in both games (at Bengals, Browns); they have eight giveaways in two losses, one in two wins, both of which came at home. 49ers been outscored 40-13 in first half of last three games; they’ve converted just 27.3% of 3rd down plays (31st) and went 3/out on 23 of 49 drives (46.9%, 32nd). As usual, offense is an issue for Ravens, who scored five TDs with 13 FGA’s, second-worst ratio in NFL- they also are last in league with 267 penalty yards. This could be an ugly game.

Bears (1-3) @ Packers (4-0) — Desperate times for NFC champion Bears, who are searching for a QB; they’ve turned ball over 14 times (-5, 30th) averaged 2.8/3.7/2.8 ypa in last three games, and thrown 32 more IPs than their opponents (32nd). They gave up 34 points in 4th quarter last week, after giving up 31 points in second half vs Dallas the week before. Meanwhile, its all good for Packer squad that is 4-0 despite not running ball for more than 83 yards in any game this season—they scored 29 pg, averaged 7.2+ ypa in last three weeks, and have won battle of field position in all four games. In last two games, Bears threw 91 passes, been sacked nine times and run ball only 45 times, as it continues to be dreadful fall for Turner family.

Monday, October 8

Cowboys (4-0) @ Bills (1-3) — Dallas off to red-hot start, winning by 10-17-24-28 points; Pokes have outscored opponents 107-40 in second half, and already have NFL-high 18 TD’s (six FGA)- they have big game in six days, hosting Patriots, but national TV spotlight should keep their attention here. Bills got first win over Jets last week; their two home games were decided by total of four points- they’ve allowed 14.5 pg at home, 32 on road. Bills need better defense on 3rd down; they’ve allowed 50% of 3rd plays to convert, bad news vs. mobile Romo and Dallas offense that is 24-49 (49%) on 3rd down. Given success Dallas has had in second half, Bills need to keep their defense off field as much as possible.

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