V V Computations

[Spark]

Keep it going buddy ...

Thanks for posting

[vinnyvegas]

Just ran this game: Wisky @ Illini

Illini -5 vs Vegas -2.5

Good line value in taking Illini...

Good example of where I've found a line by Vegas where I have some good value...hopefully it's a winner.

[vinnyvegas]

2-0 so far through 2 nights.

To be consistent or for tracking, since my line says SC is a 4 pt fav & Vegas saying 3.5, value would be taking SC since they should cover...right? 1/2 pt value, not a lot but it works.


Tomorrow's game my line & vegas about same...

3-0 posting these...

I've run some & posted based on requests...getting same lines so not sure how I'll count on posting or at all...one for sure sticks out...

Illini -5 vs Vegas -2.5

Again, when my line & vegas line are same more capping required if I want to take it...as do the valued lines like Illini...however, the valued lines jump out more & those are types of games where digging deeper is worth it...same lines, not so sure...and around I go...enough of my BS...

[Spearit]

Great work as usual Vinnie- I need to go back in my emails to get the full picture again or just shoot me a model.
I would suggest using the better looking cheerleaders as a filter!

[vinnyvegas]

Great work as usual Vinnie- I need to go back in my emails to get the full picture again or just shoot me a model.
I would suggest using the better looking cheerleaders as a filter!

U have MAIL...

[Spearit]

Lots of work my friend but makes sense to cap this way!

[BillMill71]

VV good job, keep it going. What you have on Georgia/Tenn?

[10DimeBry]

VV good job, keep it going. What you have on Georgia/Tenn?

bump for VV

[Spearit]

I have looked over the works and can honestly say that VV has his work cut out for him. To set parameters is the next goal but this system of matching up to Vegas can be a comfort when making a bet and the size of the bet.
Best of luck and I'll help out as much as possible! Nice of you to share Vinnie!

[vinnyvegas]

bump for VV

Bry & others...ran #'s...I get GA FAV by 6 vs Vegas -1 (and that's after a huge swing of TN opening up at FAV to now DOG)

Now here's some simple things I see from what I run:

Rushing game: GA has a better #'s, enough to have edge & control the line of scrimmage

Passing yds/attempt: GA again better at passing, stretching field...

TN D has allowed way to many yds to opponents especially looking at the combo of rush/pass they really have issues on D side...

Now one might say TN played Cal & FLA, well GA hasn't played much weak sisters in OKST, ALA, SCAROL...so I think TN D will have issues or has potential to vs GA...

I also looked at PTS ALLOWED by TN...same story...allowing way too many so D is being handled...O not giving D any help either...

Mostly opinions based on stats/model I run...I'll dig deeper...

Now what I run isn't the goose laying the golden eggs...it tells me where values of lines may be for any game, if at all...as u see I have some games that are right on w/ Vegas...this one, & Illini game I see value in FAVS based on line Vegas is giving out...

I don't expect this thing to keep this pace, just ridiculous to expect that...but it does help me in digging deeper into why there is such a diff in my line & Vegas...

Hope that helps a little in whichever side u take...

[Spark]

Good work vinny and Good Luck ..


I sent you 2 e-mails today and got them both both ...

undeliverable ...

[vinnyvegas]

Good work vinny and Good Luck ..


I sent you 2 e-mails today and got them both both ...

undeliverable ...

Hmmmm...not sure why...getting them all day long...just not from U??

[frankb03]

I know, I know, Vegas factors a lot of stuff into their lines...much more than anyone probably could imagine...I think one of my bday wishes will be to one day see the amount of computers & people involved in determining all the lines in all the sports over the course of a year...especially when you've got NBA/NHL/NFL/CFB/NCAAB...and so on going on during a week/weekend...it's a machine!! I digress...

IMO Vegas doesn't use lots of factors setting their lines for college games except high profile games and games with injuries to key players. Most college lines are set simply based on power rankings. Inside the top-25 they probably adjust according to certain factors.

In the NFL there's fewer games they probably use more factors but once again IMO not as many as one would think.

[tech fan]

gl with this buddy

[Dat Boi E]

good luck with Ill, Vinny V!