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**pm530** · 09-30-2007, 05:01 AM

National Football League - Dunkel Index

NFL
Dunkel Index

Denver at Indianapolis
The Colts know how to get out of the gate quickly as their 3-0 start has pushed their record to 17-2 in September under Tony Dungy. The wins haven't been easy, though, as the last two have come on the road against a pair of improving teams: Tennessee (22-20) and Houston (30-24). Home will look pretty good to the Colts where they are 10-0 in the regular season since the start of last season and have won 21 of 22 overall. What may look even better is a Denver team that fell flat at home last week in a loss to Jacksonville (23-14). The Broncos allowed the Jaguars to run through their defense (186 rushing yards), which should help Joseph Addai get going. Meanwhile the Bronco offense managed just 265 total yards against the Jag defense with Travis Henry being held to 35 yards on 11 carries. Those numbers should look good to a Colt defense that has carried over the momentum from last year's postseason and held the Texans to 40 rushing yards, the lowest total against an Indy defense since 2005. The Colts have dominated the Broncos the last two times Denver has come to town, outscoring them 90-34 in back-to-back playoff games. This game looks like it could be more of the same and makes the Colts a good pick to cover (-9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Indianapolis favored by 18. Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-9 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 30

Game 205-206: Oakland at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 117.947; Miami 127.437
Dunkel Line: Miami by 9 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Miami by 4; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4); Over

Game 207-208: Houston at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 133.948; Atlanta 123.972
Dunkel Line: Houston by 10; 45
Vegas Line: Houston by 3; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-3); Over

Game 209-210: Baltimore at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 130.748; Cleveland 124.871
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 6; 44
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 4; 38
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-4); Over

Game 211-212: Chicago at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 128.614; Detroit 129.111
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 49
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+3); Over

Game 213-214: Green Bay at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 128.720; Minnesota 130.461
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1); Under

Game 215-216: St. Louis at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 119.226; Dallas 141.070
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 22; 40
Vegas Line: Dallas by 11; 45
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-11); Under

Game 217-218: NY Jets at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 125.463; Buffalo 129.265
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 4; 46
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3 1/2; 37
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+3 1/2); Over

Game 219-220: Tampa Bay at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 124.307; Carolina 132.001
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 8; 34
Vegas Line: Carolina by 2 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-2 1/2); Under

Game 221-222: Seattle at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 127.364; San Francisco 127.721
Dunkel Line: Even; 47
Vegas Line: Seattle by 2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+2); Over

Game 223-224: Pittsburgh at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 138.673; Arizona 128.094
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 10 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 5; 41
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-5); Over

Game 225-226: Kansas City at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 125.950; San Diego 135.738
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 10; 42
Vegas Line: San Diego by 13; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+13); Over

Game 227-228: Denver at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 127.858; Indianapolis 145.730
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 18; 44
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 9 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-9 1/2); Under

Game 229-230: Philadelphia at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 128.970; NY Giants 129.657
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 52
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3; 48
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3); Over

MONDAY, OCTOBER 1

Game 231-232: New England at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: New England 147.049; Cincinnati 132.454
Dunkel Line: New England by 14 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: New England by 6; 52
Dunkel Pick: New England (-6); Under

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**pm530** · 09-30-2007, 05:03 AM

National Football League – Long Sheet

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 4

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Sunday, September 30
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OAKLAND (1 - 2) at MIAMI (0 - 3) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 20-43 ATS (-27.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (2 - 1) at ATLANTA (0 - 3) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALTIMORE (2 - 1) at CLEVELAND (1 - 2) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (1 - 2) at DETROIT (2 - 1) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (3 - 0) at MINNESOTA (1 - 2) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST LOUIS (0 - 3) at DALLAS (3 - 0) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 63-88 ATS (-33.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (1 - 2) at BUFFALO (0 - 3) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 2-2 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (2 - 1) at CAROLINA (2 - 1) - 9/30/2007, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (2 - 1) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 1) - 9/30/2007, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 56-83 ATS (-35.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (3 - 0) at ARIZONA (1 - 2) - 9/30/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KANSAS CITY (1 - 2) at SAN DIEGO (1 - 2) - 9/30/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 2-2 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (2 - 1) at INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 0) - 9/30/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (1 - 2) at NY GIANTS (1 - 2) - 9/30/2007, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, October 1
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NEW ENGLAND (3 - 0) at CINCINNATI (1 - 2) - 10/1/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 111-82 ATS (+20.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**pm530** · 09-30-2007, 05:04 AM

National Football League - Short Sheet

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 4

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Sunday, September 30th
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Week 4 Byes: Jacksonville, New Orleans, Tennessee, Washington

Oakland at Miami, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 8-18 ATS vs. conference opponents
Miami: 28-10 ATS vs. AFC West opponents

Houston at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Houston: 6-0 Over off BB ATS wins
Atlanta: 10-25 ATS at home off a home game

Baltimore at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 24-10 ATS away off an ATS loss
Cleveland: 2-14 ATS off 3+ Overs

Chicago at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Chicago: 4-0 Under after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Detroit: 19-36 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games

Green Bay at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 6-1 ATS off a non-conference game
Minnesota: 9-0 Under at home off BB road losses

St. Louis at Dallas, 1:00 ET
St. Louis: 1-6 ATS off a road loss by 14+ points
Dallas: 6-1 Over in September

NY Jets at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
NY Jets: 7-1 Over off a home win
Buffalo: 1-7 ATS off BB losses by 14+ points

Tampa Bay at Carolina, 4:05 ET
Tampa Bay: 0-7 ATS off BB wins
Carolina: 9-2 Under off a division game

Seattle at San Francisco, 4:05 ET
Seattle: 22-6 Under away in September
San Francisco: 6-1 ATS off a road loss by 14+ points

Pittsburgh at Arizona, 4:15 ET
Pittsburgh: 13-3 ATS off BB home wins
Arizona: 6-16 ATS at home in September

Kansas City at San Diego, 4:15 ET
Kansas City: 10-2 Under vs. division opponents
San Diego: 7-3 ATS off a loss

Denver at Indianapolis, 4:15 ET
Denver: 1-6 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points
Indianapolis: 13-6 ATS off 3+ wins

Philadelphia at NY Giants, 8:15 ET NBC
Philadelphia: 25-10 ATS after allowing 400+ yards
NY Giants: 11-5 Under at home vs. Philadelphia

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Monday, October 1st
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New England at Cincinnati, 8:30 ET ESPN
New England: 6-0 ATS away off a division game
Cincinnati: 1-6 ATS in October

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**pm530** · 09-30-2007, 05:05 AM

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up

Week 4 - 2007 NFL season

Sunday, September 30

Raiders (1-2) @ Dolphins (0-3)— Miami won six of last seven series games (only loss in ’00 playoffs), and Raiders lost last four visits here, but Fish are 0-3, allowing 68 points in last two games; they’ve allowed 166 rushing yards per game, converted only 12 of 46 on third down. Oakland allowed 27.7 pg this year, but they have run ball for 386 yards in last two games, and their last two games both came down to last-second FGs- they’ve improved. McCown hurt his ankle last week, so Culpepper, dumped last year by Miami, could get nod at QB here. Dolphins have zero takeaways in their last two games (-6). All three Raider games went over total.

Texans (2-1) @ Falcons (0-3)— You can say what you want about Vick’s absence hurting Atlanta, but in first three games, they’ve allowed five TD drives of 80+ yards, and Vick didn’t play defense. Falcons have no takeaways in their last two games, and allowed 142 rushing yards/game. Texans scored 26 ppg in 2-1 start; they’re 12-24 on 3rd down in last two games, and started six less drives in the black zone (80+ yards from goal line) than their opponents. Houston QB Schaub was Vick’s backup in Atlanta, but was traded just weeks before the whole dog fighting thing became known, or else he’d still be with Falcons. Atlanta did score two TD’s last week, after scoring one in first two games.

Ravens (2-1) @ Browns (1-2)— Big question here, as always, is whether McNair’s is good to go; have faith in him on road, none in Boller. Home side won five of last six series games; Ravens are 1-2 in last three visits to old home (Ravens are former Browns); last four series totals at this site were 36 or less. Browns scored 75 points in last two games (10 TDs on 24 drives) but they have also allowed 35 pg, 176 rushing yards per game- opponents are 20-43 (46.5%) on third down. Ravens scored 20+ pts in all three games (2-1), with a 354-185 edge on ground; they’re 20-36 on 3rd down in last two games, but showed vulnerability to no-huddle attack vs. Cardinals last week.

Bears (2-1) @ Lions (2-1)— Greise is getting nod under center for Bears, after Grossman's horrid outing vs Dallas. Detroit allowed 15 first downs on first 23 Eagle plays last week (five TDs); Bears should light up board against them. Chicago won last four series games, but their last five visits here have all been decided by six or less points. Detroit has the usual Martz Madness stats: 413 yards/game, 25.7 pg, both very good, but 10 turnovers, typically bad- they were 4-22 on 3rd against Bears last year, in 34-7/26-21 losses. Bears need to do better than 3.35 yards per rush. Chicago has been outscored 52-10 in second half of its games.

Packers (3-0) @ Vikings (1-2)— Favre won three of last four visits to this site, after losing nine of the previous ten; last nine regular season meetings were all decided by six or less points. Pack is 3-0 despite running ball for just 57 yards/game- they’ve scored nine TD’s on 20 drives in last two games, after upsetting Eagles in opener due to Philly miscues in punt game. Vikes are good field, no-hit, scoring three TD’s on 31 drives this season, already using three QB’s. Average total in Pack’s last nine visits to this site, 50.2, but under is 3-0 in ’07 Viking games (27-37-23). Vikings are allowing just 67 yds/game on ground, have 11 sacks, but when your third-string QB starts the third game, it ain’t good.

Rams (0-3) @ Cowboys (3-0)— No Steven Jackson, three starters are out on OL, and Rams are 0-3, scoring just 3.6 points/red zone trip, so not much good news as they travel to Dallas to face 3-0 Pokes, who’ve scored 86 second half points, are 44% on third down, and score 5.5 pts/red zone trip. Rams allowing 152 rushing yards/game, bad news vs. diverse Dallas offense that scored 13 TDs on 33 drives (Rams have three in 32). Only caution here is that giving 13 with self-satisfied (after Chicago win) Cowboys is asking to be bitten by gigantic letdown against hungry underdog that does have talent that belies 0-3 mark. Home side lost last six series games, with Rams winning last four visits here; their last loss here was in ’81.

Jets (1-2) @ Bills (0-3)— Losman is out, as are various others, as bad news mounts for Buffalo squad that scored just 24 points in three games (two TDs on 27 drives), is 13-37 (35%) on third down and is starting a rookie QB who couldn’t win game in Pac-10 LY. That said, Jets have been outsacked 10-1, and have no plays of 20+ yards in two games Pennington started (they had four (vs a . strong Raven defense) in game he didn’t play), and are allowing 121.3 rushing yards/game. Buffalo run defense has allowed 171-184-177 rushing yards in its three games, so Jones/Washington combo could have big day. Bill passing game averaged 2.0/3.0/2.8 yards/attempt in first three games—horrible. Last four totals in series were 44+.

Buccaneers (2-1) @ Panthers (2-1)— Carolina won seven of last eight in divisional rivalry, winning first meeting last four years (by 3-7-20-2 points); last three series totals at this site were all 35 or less. Bucs won last two weeks at home, with five takeaways and five TDs in five red zone trips- foes are just 12-35 (34.3%) on 3rd down against them. Carolina had three 80-yard scoring drives in Atlanta last week; they scored 27-21-27 pts so far this year, but Delhomme hurt elbow last week, was replaced by Carr. Not sure who starts here. Panthers scored three offensive TDs in each game—Patriots are the only other team that can say that. With Falcons, Saints struggling, this is first of two showdown games for NFC South title.

Seahawks (2-1) @ 49ers (2-1)— Seattle got swept in this series LY (20-14/24-14) after winning previous six meetings. Niners been outgained this year by 67-206-61 yards, are just 13-41 (31.7%) on third down, but they’re 2-1, winning pair of tight games vs other two NFC West rivals. Now come division king Seahawks, fresh off splitting pair of nailbiters. Alexander is playing with cracked bone on hand. Seattle defense yielded 421.5 yds/game last two weeks, but if they hadn’t messed up handoff in last 2:00 in Week 2 at Arizona, they’d probably be 3-0. Average total in Seattle’s last five visits here, 50.2. Hard to like Niner squad averaging just 223 yards/game.

Steelers (3-0) @ Cardinals (1-2)— Arizona coach Whisenhunt, ass’t Grimm both spent many years with Cowher in Steel City, were both bypassed for HC position so Rooney could hire minority candidate (who is obviously very capable, but lets face it, Steelers hire from within if Tomlin isn’t a minority). Anyway, Pitt is off to great 3-0 start, winning by combined score of 97-26, while Arizona rallied from 23-6 deficit in 4th quarter to tie Ravens behind Warner, only to lose on last-second FG, their second last-minute loss in three games, sandwiched around last-second win. For teams who haven’t met since ’97, Arizona coaches know an awful lot about their opponent. Leinart starts again for Cards, but Warner is ready in bullpen.

Chiefs (1-2) @ Chargers (1-2)— San Diego plays its three rivals in AFC West over next three weeks; they sweep and they’ll be 4-2, and order is restored, but that has to begin here, vs lame Chief squad that has two offensive TDs on 32 drives. Bolts beat Bears, then got riddled by Brady/Favre for 604 passing yards in pair of road losses—Huard is closer to Grossman than Favre. Chiefs ran ball for just 64 yards/game, so they’ll have trouble keeping ball away from frustrated Charger side eager to explode in front of home fans. Bears faced Grossman/Jackson last two weeks- they move way up in class here. Home side won last five series games, with Chiefs losing last three visits to this site by 7-8-11 points.

Broncos (2-1) @ Colts (3-0)— Denver defense having trouble getting off field (foes 17-33 on third down last two games), which is bad news vs. Indy squad that scored nine TDs on 30 drives and is averaging 31 pg this year. Cutler is from Santa Claus, IN, coming home to face hot Colt squad that has wins by 31-2-6 points, winning only home game 41-10, and taking pair of road division games last two weeks. Broncos snuck out their first two games (15-14 @ Buffalo, in OT vs. Raiders), then got housed by Jaguars, as Jax had 67 snaps (running ball for 186 yards), Denver only 41. Oddly, Colts one of only five NFL teams without an 80+-yard TD drive so far this season. Average total in last six series games, 54.5.

Eagles (1-2) @ Giants (1-2)— Both teams had season-reviving wins last week; three of last four games in this division rivalry were decided by 3 points, or in OT, with average total in last five, 49.6. Eagles won three of last four at this site; they exploded on offense last week, gaining 315 yards on first 23 plays (15 first downs, five TDs) in 56-21 walkover. Giants used 21-0 second half to upset Skins, as Ward emerged as quality ballcarrier. Not sure what to think of Giant defense, after they allowed 846 yards in first two games, then held Redskins to 260 LW; they’ve lost field position battle last three weeks (by 5-3-15 yards), but Eli makes plays (Giants converted 22-41 on third down, an excellent 53.7%).

Monday, October 1

Patriots (3-0) @ Bengals (1-2)-- New England crushing foes so far, winning by 24-24-31 points, scoring 38 in all three games-- they waxed Bengals 38-13 in Week 4 LY, outrushing Cincy 236-71, winning 63% of third down plays, scoring TDs on all three drives that started in Bengal territory. Cincy allowed 75 points in losing on road last two weeks (10 TDs on 25 drives); they’ve turned ball over nine times in three games. You look at Bengal defense that allowed 51 points in Cleveland, and you wonder how they’ll ever stop Brady-led passing game that has been sacked just three times in 91 pass attempts. But, Monday night home dogs are long-revered angle, so have to respect emotional, erratic hosts.

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**pm530** · 09-30-2007, 05:07 AM

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL

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Tips and Trends
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Sunday, September 30

Houston Texans at Atlanta Falcons (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Houston team insiders are becoming increasingly concerned with the mounting injuries to what they classify as a “very fragile” offensive unit. During the game against the Colts last Sunday, RB Ahman Green had to leave the game with a knee injury, and backup Ron Dayne was inactive because of bruised ribs. Top WR Andre Johnson also didn't play due to a knee injury. Taking his place was Jacoby Jones, who left in the third quarter with a separated shoulder while center Steve McKinney left with a knee sprain in the fourth quarter. EDGE: FALCONS
League insiders remain impressed with the play of the young Texans defensive front seven, which held KC RB Larry Johnson to 43 yards on 10 carries in the season opener and then held Carolina to just 66 rushing yards. EDGE: TEXANS
Atlanta’s rushing defense has been nothing short of horrendous this season, allowing 139 rushing yards (5.1 yards per carry) to Minnesota, 113 to Jacksonville and 175 to Carolina. That’s terrible news against a Texans team that is 15-6 in games in which they have kept possession for 32 minutes or more. EDGE: TEXANS

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (CBS | 1 PM ET)

One NFL insider was amazed that the Jets beat Miami last weekend. Despite the final score, the Dolphins thoroughly dominated the game, putting up 424 yards of total offense while the Jets had only 256. EDGE: BILLS
Team insiders are reporting that Buffalo will be without the services of starting QB J.P. Losman this week due to a knee injury. Backup QB Trent Edwards will take his place and make his first NFL start. EDGE: JETS
Buffalo can’t seem to stop anybody on the ground again this season. Last season, the run stopping unit ranked 28th in the league, allowing a whopping 4.7 yards per carry. This season, it actually has been worse, allowing 171 rushing yards (5.3 yards per carry) to Denver, 184 to Pittsburgh and 177 to New England. EDGE: JETS
Buffalo is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog.
The Jets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games under head coach Eric Mangini.

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Team insiders expect fragile Baltimore QB Steve McNair to start after he said his injured groin was "fine." However, McNair's injury history certainly doesn't guarantee he will finish the game, so backup Kyle Boller could very well play at some point. SLIGHT EDGE: BROWNS
Cleveland comes into this contest with the distinction of having the league's worst overall defense, allowing an incredible 430 yards per game. Even worse, the team's rushing defense is allowing an average of 176 yards per game, which is not good news going against Baltimore RB Willis McGahee. BIG EDGE: RAVENS
The Browns are 21-31-1 ATS in their last 53 as an underdog.
The Ravens are 6-14 SU & ATS in their last 20 road games.

St. Louis Rams at Dallas Cowboys (FOX | 1 PM ET)

This is the second straight road game for the Rams, and they run into a terrible matchup with an offensive line that has been decimated with injuries. They will be going against a Dallas defense that attacks and has lots of blitzing packages. St. Louis QB Marc Bulger was sacked six times in Week 2 and will be playing with two broken ribs. BIG EDGE: COWBOYS
The St. Louis offense received another blow last weekend when they lost the services of star RB Steven Jackson, who will miss at least one week with a partial tear of his left groin. Even with Jackson, the Rams have just two touchdowns in three games this season. Rookie Brian Leonard will make his first NFL start in Jackson's place. EDGE: COWBOYS
Team insiders are very concerned about the St. Louis run defense, which has been torched this season. The Rams gave up 186 rushing yards ( 4.9 yards a carry) in the season opener, 89 yards against the 49ers and then 182 rush yards last week against the Bucs. EDGE: COWBOYS
League insiders have been impressed with the Dallas defense overall but noted that the Cowboys are vulnerable in the secondary. The Rams will likely lean on their passing attack without Jackson in the lineup and could score a lot against this defensive backfield. EDGE: RAMS
The Rams are just 11-17 ATS in their last 28 road games.

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (FOX | 1 PM ET)

Chicago insiders are breathing a sign of relief now that the Rex Grossman era is officially over. Grossman's backup Brian Griese will start, and this should help the Bears defense as much as the offense since he is a 63 percent career passer and a veteran who should minimize turnovers. EDGE: BEARS
One team insider is becoming very concerned with Chicago's defensive injuries, which are beginning to pile up. As reported two weeks ago in this report, safety Mike Brown and DT Dusty Dvoracek were both knocked out for the season with knee injuries. Add to that list LB Lance Briggs and CB Nathan Vasher who both went down with groin injuries while All-Pro DT Tommie Harris also left the game with a sprained knee. All of them are out this week. EDGE: LIONS
The Lions should struggle to run the football against a Chicago front seven that is one of the best in the league against the run and one that is eager to avenge last week's poor performance against Dallas. If the Lions fail to establish any semblance of a rushing attack, that could prevent them from taking advantage of a depleted Chicago secondary with both starting cornerbacks Charles Tillman and Vashar out with injuries. SLIGHT EDGE: BEARS
Detroit team insiders are concerned about the play of their offensive line, which saw QB Jon Kitna sacked nine times against the Eagles. EDGE: BEARS

Oakland Raiders at Miami Dolphins (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Team insiders are reporting former Miami QB Daunte Culpepper will be making his first start of the season for the Raiders in place of the injured Josh McCown. Culpepper failed miserably last year with the Dolphins and will be playing with some revenge for getting released by them before training camp. SLIGHT EDGE: RAIDERS
Team insiders are becoming concerned over the highly-touted Miami Dolphins defense under offensive-minded head coach Cam Cameron. In the first three games this season, opponents have scored 16, 37 and 31 points against them in their three losses. They gave up 400 yards to Washington (191 rushing), 166 yards rushing to Dallas, and 141 yards on the ground to the Jets last Sunday. Miami is still without LB Zach Thomas due to a concussion. BIG EDGE: RAIDERS
Oakland is 21-43 ATS in its last 64 games overall, including 2-15 SU & 7-10 ATS in the last 17 away from home.
Miami is just 9-24 ATS in its last 33 games at home.

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (FOX | 1 PM ET)

Tough situational spot for the visiting Packers, who play a Vikings team that will give an all-out effort with their bye week on deck while Green Bay hosts archrival Chicago next Sunday night. EDGE: VIKINGS
League insiders remain impressed with a Green Bay defense that has been nothing short of brilliant so far this season. Don’t forget this was a team that ranked 10th in the league against the run last season, allowing just 3.3 yards per rush. That bodes well against a very one-dimensional Minnesota offense led by rookie RB Adrian Peterson. EDGE: PACKERS
Some Green Bay insiders are concerned about a Packers offense that has been unable to rush the football with their running-back-by-committee approach. However, that should not be as much of a concern this week, as Minnesota owns a dominant run defense but can be attacked through the air. That being said, look for Green Bay QB Brett Favre to break Dan Marino's all-time touchdown pass record before halftime. EDGE: PACKERS
The Packers are 6-3 SU & 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (FOX | 4:05 PM ET)

Panthers QB Jake Delhomme (elbow) missed practice on Thursday, making it more likely backup David Carr will start Sunday. Carr was 3-for-4 with 56 yards last week. Delhomme owns a 7-1 career mark vs. Tampa Bay. SLIGHT EDGE: BUCS
Tampa Bay's offense has gotten on track the last two games, averaging 27.5 points in two wins at home. Starting QB Jeff Garcia has completed 66 percent of his passes (43-of-65) and could be the difference. EDGE: BUCS
Carolina is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 home games.
Tampa Bay is 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
The OVER is 6-2 in Carolina's last 8 games.

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (FOX | 4:05 PM ET)

The 49ers were finally exposed last Sunday as they were one of the worst/luckiest 2-0 SU/ATS in NFL history. San Francisco topped Arizona 20-17 on a last-second comeback in the season opener, even though the offense was terrible with just 194 total yards. Two weeks ago, they got outgained 392-186 in a 17-16 win at St. Louis. That poor play surfaced again last week in a 37-16 loss at Pittsburgh, as the team went 5-for-15 on third down while giving up 205 rushing yards. EDGE: SEAHAWKS
Team insiders are reporting that San Francisco LB Manny Lawson is out for the season with a torn ACL. Lawson was missed last week and will continue to be missed throughout the season as one of the defense's top playmakers. EDGE: SEAHAWKS
The UNDER is 7-1 in Seattle's last 8 games.
Seattle is 9-10 SU & 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 road games.
The 49ers are 11-6 ATS in their last 17 as underdogs.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Arizona Cardinals (CBS | 4:15 PM ET)

Pittsburgh is making an early statement as one of the best AFC teams this season, outscoring opponents by an average score of 32-8. EDGE: STEELERS
The Steelers defense ranks No. 2 in the NFL, allowing 244 yards per game while their pass defense is 6th (144 yards per game). EDGE: STEELERS
Team insiders are reporting that Pittsburgh WR Hines Ward has a sprained right knee and will not play this week. Ward is QB Ben Roethlisberger's most consistent target in the passing game and will be sorely missed. EDGE: CARDINALS
Arizona team insiders are unsure about who will play QB this week for Arizona. New Arizona coach Ken Wisenhunt benched second-year pro Matt Leinart in favor of veteran Kurt Warner last weekend after Leinart looked tentative under the attacking Baltimore defense. Neither is a good choice against a blitzing Pittsburgh defense. EDGE: STEELERS
The Steelers are 9-2 SU & 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games.

Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts (CBS | 4:15 PM ET)

Team insiders are concerned with a Denver run defense that ranks 28th in the league, allowing opponents 166 yards per game on the ground. That's great news for Indy RB Joseph Addai, who could have a field day running against the Broncos. EDGE: COLTS
If you discount the 2004 regular-season finale in Denver - in which Indy rested its starters - the Colts have gone 5-1 SU & ATS in the other six meetings, averaging 32.2 points per game. BIG EDGE: COLTS
This game starts a brutal scheduling spot for the Broncos, who begin a five-game stretch that includes three 3-0 opponents, plus San Diego and a visit to Detroit. EDGE: COLTS
Indianapolis is 11-0 SU & 8-3 ATS in its last 11 home games.

Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers (CBS | 4:15 ET)

San Diego team insiders are worried about the Chargers offense, which was forecasted to put up a lot of points this season. Their average of 17.3 points over their last two games this season has many inside the organization believing that they need to go back to their old ways. Even more concerning has been the play of their defense, which allowed New England to out-gain the Chargers by a whopping 407 to 201 edge in yardage, and then the one-dimensional Green Bay offensive attack put up 31 points on them last week. EDGE: CHIEFS
What’s was wrong with 2006 NFL MVP LaDainian Tomlinson? LT averaged 113 rushing yards last season, but he has just 130 in three games (43.3 average) combined this year and is only gaining 2.2 yards per carry. EDGE: CHIEFS
One league insider believes that Kansas City may be one of the worst offensive teams in recent history, managing just 26 points combined over their first three games and only 8 points in their 4 preseason games. The offense had 219 total yards in the opener (3 points and 4 turnovers), only 281 against Chicago (10 points and 2 turnovers) and just 251 against Minnesota (13 points and 2 turnovers). BIG EDGE: CHARGERS
The home team has won the last five games of the head-to-head series - both SU & ATS - but only by a winning margin of 8.4 points per game, which is important considering the Chargers are favored by a double-digit spread. SLIGHT EDGE: CHIEFS

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (NBC | 8:15 ET)

Eagles starting free safety Brian Dawkins (neck) is expected to return to action Sunday night. This is great news for an Eagles secondary that has been giving up an average of 256 passing yards per game so far this season. EDGE: EAGLES
Philadelphia QB Donovan McNabb silenced most of his critics with an outstanding performance in the team's 56-21 win over Detroit last Sunday. McNabb completed 21-of-26 passes for 381 yards with four touchdowns after making remarks about unfair criticism due to his race. He may have to do a lot more against the Giants if RB Brian Westbrook (221 yards rushing and receiving with three touchdowns) can't play due to an abdominal strain. SLIGHT EDGE: EAGLES
The Giants are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games against NFC East opponents.
The Eagles are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a losing record.
The UNDER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings at New York.
The OVER is 6-2-1 in Philly's last 9 road games.

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**pm530** · 09-30-2007, 05:09 AM

NFL – Betting Notes

NFL
This week’s NFL betting news and notes

Sunday, September 30

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NFL Betting Notes
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Week 4 betting notes

Baltimore at Cleveland

The Ravens look to win three straight in the series with the Browns for the first time since taking four in a row from Sept. 26, 1999-Nov. 26, 2000.

Baltimore, 6-2 on the road last year, has won five of eight at Cleveland Browns Stadium. The previous two matchups there were decided by four points or fewer, the last being the Ravens' 15-14 victory Sept. 24, 2006.

Chicago at Detroit

The Bears have taken four straight against the Lions, winning 26-21 in Detroit on Dec. 24 in the last matchup. Jon Kitna had a 99.5 passer rating in two games against Chicago last season, throwing three touchdowns and no interceptions.

Green Bay at Minnesota

Brett Favre lost nine of his first 11 starts at the Metrodome, but has since won three of four games there while throwing for 1,221 yards with 10 TDs and two interceptions. He threw for 347 yards and two scores in last year's 23-17 win at Minnesota.

Houston at Atlanta

The Texans are already off to the best start in franchise history. In took nine games for them to record their third win last season.

Houston beat Atlanta 17-13 at home in 2003, the only other meeting between the teams.

N.Y. Jets at Buffalo

The Bills may have a chance to get their offense in gear this week, as the Jets haven't been too good on defense. New York is yielding 386.0 yards per game, including 264.7 through the air - both the fifth-worst averages in the NFL.

Oakland at Miami

Miami has history on its side against the Raiders. The Dolphins have won six straight in the series and haven't lost at home to Oakland since 1990, when the Raiders were based in Los Angeles and had Bo Jackson and Marcus Allen carrying the football.

St. Louis at Dallas

Including the postseason, the Rams have won each of their last four games in Dallas, where they haven't lost since a 29-17 defeat Oct. 18, 1981. They beat the Cowboys 20-10 at Texas Stadium in the teams' last meeting Jan. 1, 2006.

Seattle at San Francisco

The Seahawks had won six straight against the Niners before last season, when San Francisco took both meetings. The Niners held Shaun Alexander to 110 total rushing yards in those games, including a season-low 37 on 17 carries in San Francisco on Nov. 19.

Frank Gore had a career-high 212 yards in that 20-14 win, and compiled 356 total rushing yards against Seattle last season - nearly 100 more than he had against any other opponent.

Tampa Bay at Carolina

The Panthers have won seven of their previous eight meetings with the Bucs. In the last matchup, Steve Smith had eight catches for 149 yards and a touchdown to lead Carolina to a 24-10 win on Nov. 13.

Smith has reached 100 yards receiving in each of his last four games against Tampa Bay.

Denver at Indianapolis

The Colts have won three of their last five regular-season games against Denver.

Kansas City at San Diego

The Chiefs have lost their last three visits to San Diego.

Pittsburgh at Arizona

This game gives the Steelers another opportunity to continue their dominance over NFC teams. They are 13-1 in their last 14 meetings against the opposite conference, including a victory over Seattle in Super Bowl XL.

Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants

The Eagles and Giants split last year's two meetings, with each team winning on the road.

New England at Cincinnati

Cincinnati's defense is giving up 402.7 yards and 31.7 points per game, both fourth-worst in the NFL.

Opponents have scored touchdowns all five times they have moved inside the Patriots' 20-yard line.

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**pm530** · 09-30-2007, 05:13 AM

NFL
Total bias: Week 4 over/under plays

Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers – under 38 ½

Herm Edwards has successfully changed the Chiefs from the dynamic offensive force they once were to the boring, predictable, conservative unit they are now. Running back Larry Johnson can’t get any breathing room because the passing attack is non-existent.

The Chargers will grab an early lead and let LaDainian Tomlinson find his groove the rest of the way.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants – under 47 ½

There are two things I’m not buying after last weekend’s results: the Eagles offense is fixed after a 56-point performance, and the Giants defense is better after stopping the Washington Redskins on first-and-goal to preserve a 24-17 victory.

Brian Westbrook is bothered by an abdominal injury (what else is new?) and that could have a huge impact on Philly’s potential against the Giants. He’ll probably play, but if he’s limited Donovan McNabb won’t look nearly as good as he did last Sunday.

New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals – over 52 ½

I think we’re going to see lots of over-the-top touchdown celebrations in this one. Bill Belichick knows running the ball is the key to beating the Bengals but it’s going to be hard not to take a couple of shots downfield with Randy Moss ready to test Cincinnati’s secondary.

The Bungles are always good for some turnovers (11 in their first three outings) and the Pats should turn those mistakes into points.

Last week's record: 2-1

Season record: 7-2

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**pm530** · 09-30-2007, 05:14 AM

National Football League – Points of Interest

NFL

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Points of Interest
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09/27/07
06:50 PM Injury Alert
NFL
Falcons DT Jonathan Babineaux suffered a stretched knee ligament in practice and could be out up to three weeks.

09/27/07
05:50 PM Lineups
NFL
Rams RG Richie Incognito (ankle) is not expected to play Sunday.

09/27/07
05:49 PM Injuries
NFL
Chiefs RB Larry Johnson (hamstring) missed practice for the second straight day today.

09/27/07
05:48 PM Injuries
NFL
Dolphins LB Zach Thomas (concussion) has not been medically cleared for game contact.

09/27/07
05:47 PM Injuries
NFL
Ravens QB Steve McNair (groin) practiced without limitations today, and looks to be in line to start Sunday.

09/27/07
05:46 PM Injuries
NFL
Lions WR Calvin Johnson (back) did not partake in any phases of practice today.

09/27/07
05:44 PM Lineups
NFL
VIkings backup QB Kelly Holcomb is expected to make his second consecutive start Sunday.

09/27/07
05:43 PM Injuries
NFL
Giants WR Plaxico Burress (sprained ankle) will be a gametime decision on Sunday night.

09/27/07
04:29 PM Lineup Alert
NFL
Bengals RB Rudi Johnson (hamstring) has been ruled out for Monday night's game.

09/27/07
04:28 PM Injuries
NFL
Pats RB Laurence Maroney (groin) was again listed as having been limited in practice today.

09/27/07
04:03 PM Lineups
NFL
Eagles FS Brian Dawkins (neck) is expected to return to action Sunday night.

09/27/07
02:14 PM Lineups
NFL
Ravens CB Samari Rolle (illness) will miss Sunday's game.

09/27/07
02:12 PM Injuries
NFL
Panthers QB Jake Delhomme (elbow) missed today's practice, making it more likely backup David Carr will start Sunday.

09/27/07
11:31 AM Lineups
NFL
Chargers RT Shane Olivea (back) has practiced and will start this Sunday.

09/27/07
11:12 AM Injuries
NFL
Broncos RB Mike Bell (concussion) and DB John Lynch (groin) were held out of practice.

09/27/07
11:10 AM Injury Alert
NFL
Eagles DB Lito Sheppard (knee) is likely out until mid October.

09/25/07
10:48 AM Lineup Alert
NFL
QB Brian Griese is expected to replace Rex Grossman as the Bears starter according to the Chicago Tribune.

09/25/07
10:46 AM Injury Alert
NFL
Bears Tommie Harris (knee), Lance Briggs (groin) and Nathan Vasher (groin) are all doubtful for Sunday according to the Chicago Tribune.

09/25/07
10:44 AM Lineups
NFL
Seahawks RB Maurice Morris (hip) is expected to play Sunday.

09/25/07
10:43 AM Injury Alert
NFL
Rams RB Steven Jackson is expected to miss at least 2-3 weeks with a partially torn groin according to the St. Louis Post Dispatch.

09/25/07
02:23 AM Injury Alert
NFL
49ers TE Vernon Davis is expected to miss two games after partially tearing the MCL in his right knee.

09/25/07
02:22 AM Lineups
NFL
Texans WR Andre Johnson (knee sprain) is not expected to play on Sunday.

09/25/07
02:21 AM Coach's Call
NFL
Rams coach Scott Linehan revealed Monday that QB Marc Bulger is playing through two broken ribs.

09/25/07
02:16 AM Lineups
NFL
Chiefs WR Eddie Kennison (torn hamstring) is expected to miss Sunday's game.

09/25/07
02:15 AM Injury Alert
NFL
Saints RB Deuce McAllister suffered a torn ACL Monday night and will miss the remainder of the season.

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**Udog** · 09-30-2007, 10:17 AM

NFL
Betting Trends

NFL trends for Week 4
-- Lions are 1-5-1 vs spread as underdog in division games.
-- Raiders are 4-12 as road dog in non-division games.
-- Tampa Bay covered only eight of last 25 road games.
-- Falcons are 3-6 as home dog vs non-division foes.
-- Packers are 18-11-1 vs spread in last 30 road games.
-- Rams are 3-9 as road dog in non-division games.

**Udog** · 09-30-2007, 10:25 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Anaheim vs. Los Angeles
The Ducks looked like anything but the defending champs as they fell to Los Angeles (4-1) in the season opener in London. Injuries to key personnel (Jean-Sebastian Giguere, Samuel Pahlsson, and Mathieu Schneider) left Anaheim a shell of its Stanley Cup form. The Kings, meanwhile, got two goals from Mike Cammalleri and a short-handed goal from veteran Rob Blake. The short-handed Ducks look like they could continue to struggle early and make the Kings a good underdog pick (+135) in today's contest according to Dunkel, which has Los Angeles favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+135). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 30

Game 51-52: Los Angeles vs. Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 13.281; Anaheim 11.188
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-145); 6
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+135); Under

**Udog** · 09-30-2007, 10:26 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 30

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LOS ANGELES (27-41-0-14, 68 pts.) vs. ANAHEIM (64-24-0-15, 143 pts.) - 9/30/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 8-27 ATS (+37.3 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 30-20 ATS (-0.2 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 39-20 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 4-10 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 8-9 (+3.9 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 9-8-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.7 Units)

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**Udog** · 09-30-2007, 10:27 AM

MLB
Dunkel

New York Yankees at Baltimore
These two teams have put up 40 runs in two games and today looks like more of the same kind of offensive explosion. The Yankees will start Sean Henn, who is 0-4 with a 10.20 ERA in four career starts and hasn't pitched past the fifth inning in any of them. Baltimore starter Brian Burres was rocked his last time out for seven runs over 3 1/3 innings in an 11-4 loss to Toronto on Tuesday. With the run total set at 11, the over looks like a good pick according to Dunkel, which has the total at 13. Dunkel Pick: Over. Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 30

Game 901-902: Florida at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Willis) 14.649; NY Mets (Glavine) 14.370
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 903-904: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Lilly) 16.225; Cincinnati (Bailey) 13.396
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 3; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: :Chicago Cubs (-109); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-109); Under

Game 905-906: St. Louis at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Looper) 15.563; Pittsburgh (Bullington) 12.988
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 907-908: Washington at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Bergmann) 15.243; Philadelphia (Moyer) 15.617
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 909-910: San Diego at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Tomko) 15.962; Milwaukee (Suppan) 15.447
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 911-912: Atlanta at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Carlyle) 16.787; Houston (Paulino) 14.917
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-107); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-107); Under

Game 913-914: Arizona at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Davis) 14.808; Colorado (Jimenez) 16.641
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 2; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 915-916: San Francisco at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 13.680; LA Dodgers (Stults) 15.024
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-114); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+106); Over

Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hammel) 14.323; Toronto (Burnett) 17.997
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 3 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-193); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-193); Under

Game 919-920: NY Yankees at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Henn) 16.158; Baltimore (Burres) 14.906
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 13
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-109); 11
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+101); Over

Game 921-922: Detroit at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Robertson) 16.456; White Sox (Contreras) 15.507
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-119); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+111); Under

Game 923-924: Minnesota at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Garza) 15.320; Boston (Tavarez) 16.028
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 925-926: Cleveland at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Laffey) 15.762; Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.384
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 14.762; Oakland (Gaudin) 13.855
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 929-930: Texas at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Murray) 14.946; Seattle (Hernandez) 16.542
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

**Udog** · 09-30-2007, 10:34 AM

MLB
Streaking Pitchers

Sunday, September 30

HOT

A.J. Burnett (Toronto Blue Jays) – Burnett has been solid down the stretch for the Jays, going 5-1 in his last nine starts including victories in each of his last two trips to the mound. The hard-throwing righty is 6-2 with a sparkling 2.62 ERA at home this season. Toronto will go for the series sweep of the Tampa Bay Devil Rays today with oddsmakers pegging the Jays as –193 home favorites.

Jason Bergmann (Washington Nationals) – Bergmann hasn’t lost a start in almost three months. He has a 5-0 record in 10 starts during that stretch. Four of the five wins have come in Bergmann’s last five starts, a stretch in which over bettors went 4-0-1. The Nationals will be looking to deliver a serious blow to the Phillies' playoff chances in the final game of the season today. Odds have not been released for this matchup.

Dontrelle Willis (Florida Marlins) – The D-Train has finally cracked the list of hot pitchers. The lefty has turned things around after a season in which he's been a weekly shoo-in for the Cold List. He’s 2-0 in his last three starts with the Marlins winning all three games. After a bench-clearing scuffel in Saturday's game, Willis and the Marlins would love nothing more than to end the Mets' playoff hopes with a win on the final day of the regular season. Willis is 11-3 with a tidy 2.25 ERA in his career against New York. A line for this game hasn’t been released yet.

COLD

Chad Gaudin (Oakland Athletics) – Gaudin was a Cy Young candidate earlier this summer after putting up solid first-half numbers. He has gradually slipped, posting a 6.81 ERA after the break. The A’s right-hander is having a September to forget, recording only one win in five starts this month with a September ERA over 8.00. In his last two starts, Gaudin hasn’t pitched past the fourth inning including his most recent effort against Boston when he allowed three runs and walked seven batters in just four innings.

**Udog** · 09-30-2007, 10:39 AM

MLB
Hot Lines

Sunday, September 30

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles (-102, 11)

The Yankees close out the regular season against the Orioles today with one eye on Thursday’s playoff game against the Cleveland Indians. Manager Joe Torre rested Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez, Johnny Damon and Hideki Matsui in an 11-10 victory over Baltimore on Saturday and several players will sit out this afternoon as well.

The Orioles have played the Yankees hard this year, going 9-8 against them overall. A win today would give Baltimore its first season series against New York since 1997.

The Yankees send reliever Sean Henn (2-2, 7.49) to the mound for his first start of the season today. He is 0-4 with a 10.20 ERA in four career starts, and will face Orioles starter Brian Burres (6-7, 5.66), who is 1-1 with a 2.03 ERA in two outings against New York this year.

Pick: Orioles -102

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers (-105, 8 ½)

The Dodgers lost 10 of 11 games heading into their final series of the season against the Giants, but today have a chance to win their third straight game and record their third sweep of San Francisco this year.

The Giants, who are in last place in the division, have lost four straight and 12 of their last 16 games. They'll close out the series – and the season – without Barry Bonds. He said goodbye to the fans in the last home game of the season on Wednesday and hasn't featured in the lineup since.

San Francisco sends Barry Zito (10-14. 4.63) to the mound today after a disappointing season. The former Cy Young Award winner closes out his first losing campaign after recording his lowest win total in a full season. The left-hander is 1-2 with a 4.22 ERA in four starts against Los Angeles.

Pick: Dodgers -105

Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox (-110, 9 ½)

It’s a case of too little, too late for the White Sox as they make an impressive finish to a disastrous season. They've won five straight games for the first time this year, but will still finish the year with the fourth-worst record in the American League.

The White Sox won just seven of 30 games in a month-long stretch between Aug. 11 and Sept. 11, but have won 11 of 16 since. Credit for their late-season surge has to go to DH Jim Thome, who is batting .328 (22-for-67) with 12 home runs and 23 RBIs in his last 19 games.

Thome and the rest of the Sox lineup will face Detroit’s Nate Robertson (8-13, 4.79) today. Robertson has just one victory in his last eight starts and is 0-3 with a 6.00 ERA in five outings against the White Sox through last season. The Tigers are just 6-11 against Chicago this year.

Pick: White Sox -110

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