Sunday Trends and Indexes 09/30

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet


Sunday, September 30


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FLORIDA (70 - 91) at NY METS (88 - 73) - 1:10 PM
DONTRELLE WILLIS (L) vs. TOM GLAVINE (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 11-6 (+1.2 Units) against FLORIDA this season
11 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.8 Units)

DONTRELLE WILLIS vs. NY METS since 1997
WILLIS is 11-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.56 and a WHIP of 1.184.
His team's record is 14-4 (+9.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-10. (-4.3 units)

TOM GLAVINE vs. FLORIDA since 1997
GLAVINE is 13-14 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 4.10 and a WHIP of 1.483.
His team's record is 17-21 (-15.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 19-17. (+1.0 units)


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CHICAGO CUBS (85 - 76) at CINCINNATI (71 - 90) - 1:15 PM
TED LILLY (L) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 85-76 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 243-292 (-85.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-22 (-9.9 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 127-182 (-56.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 76-90 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 85-76 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 34-50 (-27.2 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 43-42 (-9.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 427-421 (-105.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
LILLY is 3-11 (-9.5 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 35-24 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 71-90 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 36-52 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CINCINNATI is 38-42 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CINCINNATI is 215-235 (-54.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 7-17 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
CINCINNATI is 16-23 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 44-67 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 71-90 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 22-35 (-12.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 38-50 (-12.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CINCINNATI is 16-26 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 8-9 (+0.4 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
11 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.2 Units)

TED LILLY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LILLY is 1-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 0.840.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

HOMER BAILEY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.


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ST LOUIS (77 - 84) at PITTSBURGH (68 - 93) - 1:35 PM
BRADEN LOOPER (R) vs. BRYAN BULLINGTON (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 11-6 (+2.9 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

BRADEN LOOPER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LOOPER is 2-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.118.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

BRYAN BULLINGTON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
BULLINGTON is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 15.00 and a WHIP of 3.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)


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WASHINGTON (73 - 88) at PHILADELPHIA (88 - 73) - 1:35 PM
JASON BERGMANN (R) vs. JAMIE MOYER (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 11-6 (+0.7 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
11 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.6 Units)

JASON BERGMANN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
BERGMANN is 0-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.065.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

JAMIE MOYER vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
MOYER is 2-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.00 and a WHIP of 1.148.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.7 units)


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SAN DIEGO (89 - 72) at MILWAUKEE (82 - 79) - 2:05 PM
BRETT TOMKO (R) vs. JEFF SUPPAN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 5-1 (+4.1 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

BRETT TOMKO vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
TOMKO is 7-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.84 and a WHIP of 1.281.
His team's record is 7-5 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+2.8 units)

JEFF SUPPAN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
SUPPAN is 3-4 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 6.26 and a WHIP of 1.826.
His team's record is 3-6 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.7 units)


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ATLANTA (84 - 77) at HOUSTON (72 - 89) - 2:05 PM
BUDDY CARLYLE (R) vs. FELIPE PAULINO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 84-77 (-7.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 84-74 (-4.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 57-34 (+22.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
ATLANTA is 237-159 (+41.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
HOUSTON is 72-89 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 72-89 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 50-66 (-18.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 (+0.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

BUDDY CARLYLE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
CARLYLE is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

FELIPE PAULINO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.


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ARIZONA (90 - 71) at COLORADO (88 - 73) - 3:05 PM
YUSMEIRO PETIT (R) vs. UBALDO JIMENEZ (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 9-8 (+2.7 Units) against ARIZONA this season
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-1.0 Units)

YUSMEIRO PETIT vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
JIMENEZ is 0-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 0.600.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)


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SAN FRANCISCO (70 - 91) at LA DODGERS (82 - 79) - 4:10 PM
BARRY ZITO (L) vs. ERIC STULTS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 70-91 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 41-48 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 64-96 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-34 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-32 (-18.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-44 (-18.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-31 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 70-91 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 49-65 (-16.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 37-54 (-16.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 36-57 (-19.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ZITO is 2-9 (-8.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 95-57 (+26.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 82-79 (-5.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 79-76 (-5.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 10-7 (+1.3 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.6 Units)

BARRY ZITO vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
ZITO is 2-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.68 and a WHIP of 1.255.
His team's record is 2-3 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

ERIC STULTS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
STULTS is 0-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)


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TAMPA BAY (65 - 96) at TORONTO (83 - 78) - 1:05 PM
JASON HAMMEL (R) vs. A.J. BURNETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 65-96 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 48-114 (-40.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 15-44 (-23.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 44-71 (-17.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 35-80 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 21-58 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 47-32 (+16.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 49-31 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TORONTO is 29-9 (+18.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 49-31 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 15-10 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
TORONTO is 37-45 (-13.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BURNETT is 1-7 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 8-9 (+1.2 Units) against TORONTO this season
12 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.5 Units)

JASON HAMMEL vs. TORONTO since 1997
HAMMEL is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BURNETT is 6-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 0.935.
His team's record is 7-5 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-2. (+5.9 units)


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NY YANKEES (93 - 68) at BALTIMORE (69 - 92) - 1:35 PM
SEAN HENN (L) vs. BRIAN BURRES (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 93-68 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 41-39 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
NY YANKEES are 38-33 (-16.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
NY YANKEES are 28-27 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY YANKEES are 81-59 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 19-19 (-9.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 109-79 (-22.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 34-37 (+5.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
NY YANKEES are 25-5 (+18.7 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 69-92 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 35-45 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 27-49 (-23.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 61-79 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 36-59 (-26.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 15-29 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 27-55 (-21.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 35-69 (-23.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 9-8 (+5.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
11 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.9 Units)

SEAN HENN vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

BRIAN BURRES vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BURRES is 1-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.03 and a WHIP of 1.125.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)


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DETROIT (87 - 74) at CHI WHITE SOX (72 - 89) - 2:05 PM
NATE ROBERTSON (L) vs. JOSE CONTRERAS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 35-48 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 76-69 (-8.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 59-59 (-13.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 21-24 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
ROBERTSON is 10-19 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
ROBERTSON is 12-22 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ROBERTSON is 2-13 (-12.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ROBERTSON is 2-9 (-9.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
ROBERTSON is 8-17 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
ROBERTSON is 6-16 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ROBERTSON is 5-13 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 39-32 (+11.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 162-111 (+32.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 130-112 (+20.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 191-146 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 108-67 (+24.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 95-74 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 51-30 (+21.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 43-30 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 52-31 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 72-89 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 76-83 (-18.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 63-81 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 46-61 (-24.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CONTRERAS is 12-20 (-13.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 11-6 (+8.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.3 Units)

NATE ROBERTSON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
ROBERTSON is 4-6 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.03 and a WHIP of 1.469.
His team's record is 7-8 (-0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-7. (-0.9 units)

JOSE CONTRERAS vs. DETROIT since 1997
CONTRERAS is 8-5 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.234.
His team's record is 11-7 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-7. (+3.4 units)


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MINNESOTA (78 - 83) at BOSTON (96 - 65) - 2:05 PM
MATT GARZA (R) vs. JULIAN TAVAREZ (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-2 (+0.6 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

MATT GARZA vs. BOSTON since 1997
GARZA is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.411.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

JULIAN TAVAREZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
TAVAREZ is 2-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.316.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)


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CLEVELAND (95 - 66) at KANSAS CITY (69 - 92) - 2:10 PM
AARON LAFFEY (L) vs. LUKE HOCHEVAR (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 7-10 (+1.2 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.8 Units)

AARON LAFFEY vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
LAFFEY is 1-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.541.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

LUKE HOCHEVAR vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.


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LA ANGELS (94 - 67) at OAKLAND (75 - 86) - 4:05 PM
JERED WEAVER (R) vs. CHAD GAUDIN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 9-9 (+1.7 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
13 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.1 Units)

JERED WEAVER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
WEAVER is 2-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 0.975.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

CHAD GAUDIN vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GAUDIN is 1-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 6.25 and a WHIP of 1.573.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.1 units)


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TEXAS (75 - 86) at SEATTLE (87 - 74) - 4:05 PM
A.J. MURRAY (L) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 10-8 (+1.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

A.J. MURRAY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 3-4 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.337.
His team's record is 3-6 (-5.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3. (+2.8 units)


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[pm530]

Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB


Sunday, September 30

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Tips and Trends
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Florida Marlins at New York Mets (1:10 PM ET)

Florida’s Dontrelle Willis is a dominating 11-3 with a 2.49 ERA in 18 career starts versus New York. The left-hander is 0-1 with a 7.36 ERA in two starts against the Mets this season, giving up nine earned runs and 15 hits over 11 innings. EDGE: MARLINS
Willis is a dismal 3-8 with a 5.81 ERA in 15 starts since the All-Star break. Opposing batters are hitting .315 against him in the second half compared to just .279 in the first half. EDGE: METS
Mets left-hander Tom Glavine is a solid 7-2 with a 3.71 ERA in 15 home starts this season. The Mets have lost his last two outings at Shea Stadium, getting outscored 13-11 in the process. SLIGHT EDGE: METS
Glavine has posted a fantastic 6-1 record since the All-Star break, but he’s still carrying a 3.84 ERA. He’s been hit hard in his last two starts, giving up 10 earned runs and 20 hits over his last 10 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: METS
A loss and Phillies win would eliminate the Mets from winning the NL East..


Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies (1:35 PM ET)

Washington starter Jason Bergmann is 2-3 with an inflated 5.11 ERA in 11 road starts. The Nationals have won his last two starts, with the offense supplying 17 runs of support. SLIGHT EDGE: PHILLIES
Bergmann has enjoyed a tremendous month of September, posting a perfect 4-0 record and 3.73 ERA in five starts. The right-hander has fanned 28 batters over 31 1/3 innings of work this month. EDGE: NATIONALS
Philadelphia’s Jamie Moyer is 5-4 with a 3.18 ERA in 14 career outings versus Washington. He’s 1-0 with a 3.21 ERA in two starts against the Nationals this season, giving up five earned runs and 10 hits over 14 innings. EDGE: PHILLIES
Moyer has a solid 7-4 record and 5.02 ERA in 14 home starts this season. The left-hander has struggled with giving up the long ball at Citizens Bank Park lately, allowing eight home runs over his last four starts. SLIGHT EDGE: PHILLIES
A loss and Mets win would eliminate the Phillies from winning the NL East..


Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox (2:05 PM ET)

Detroit’s Nate Robertson has a losing 4-6 record and 4.93 ERA in 15 career starts versus Chicago. The left-hander has given up 20 home runs in 96 2/3 innings against them. EDGE: WHITE SOX
Robertson has struggled mightily on the road, going 3-9 with a 5.50 ERA in 13 outings. He’s also struggled with his control of late, issuing 13 walks in his last 25 2/3 innings of work. EDGE: WHITE SOX
White Sox right-hander Jose Contreras has a winning 8-5 record and 4.18 ERA in 18 home starts in his career. He’s gone 0-1 with a 10.80 ERA in two outings against the Tigers in 2007, giving up 14 earned runs and 17 hits in 11 2/3 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: TIGERS
Contreras has pulled things together in the season’s final month, posting a 3-0 record and 2.88 ERA in five starts. The sinker ball thrower has given up just three home runs in 34 1/3 innings this month. EDGE: WHITE SOX


Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox (2:05 PM ET)

Minnesota right-hander Matt Garza is 3-2 with a 2.79 ERA in eight road starts this season. The Twins have lost his last two starts away from the Metrodome, being outscored 16-7 in the process. SLIGHT EDGE: TWINS
Garza has failed to pick up a victory during the day, posting an 0-3 record and 4.02 ERA in six starts. Opposing batters are hitting .317 against him under the sun compared to .287 at night. EDGE: RED SOX
Boston’s Julian Tavarez has a dismal 2-6 with a 4.97 ERA in 13 home outings in 2007. The right-hander has managed to strike out just 23 batters and walk 19 in 58 innings at Fenway Park. EDGE: TWINS
Tavarez has fared well under the sun this season, going 3-2 with a 3.30 ERA in 10 appearances. The right-hander has a disappointing 5.93 ERA under the lights, allowing a .313 average compared to .209 during the day. EDGE: RED SOX


San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers (2:05 PM ET)

San Diego’s Brett Tomko has a fantastic 7-2 record and 3.70 ERA in 14 career outings versus Milwaukee. He picked up a loss in his only start against the Brewers this season, giving up five runs and eight hits over 5 1/3 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: PADRES
Tomko has posted a perfect 2-0 and 3.52 ERA in six outings this month. Opposing batters are hitting just .230 against him in September, which is a dramatic improvement from his .284 average against overall this season. EDGE: PADRES
Brewers starter Jeff Suppan has flourished at Miller Park this season, posting an impressive 8-3 record and 3.74 ERA in 16 starts. The Brewers have picked up three straight home victories with Suppan on the hill, outscoring their opponents 21-8 in the process. EDGE: BREWERS
Suppan is an even 3-3 with a highly inflated 6.26 ERA in eight starts during the day in 2007. He’s allowed seven home runs in just 41 2/3 innings this season under the sunshine. SLIGHT EDGE: PADRES

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[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet


Sunday, September 30th


National League

Florida at NY Mets, 1:10 EST
Dontrelle Willis (L) vs. Tom Glavine (L)
Willis: 11-1 Over vs. division opponents
Glavine: 9-2 TSR after allowing 2+ home runs last start

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati, 1:15 EST
Ted Lilly (L) vs. Homer Bailey (R)
Lilly: 6-14 TSR as a road favorite of -150 or less
Bailey: Cincinnati 20-11 Over off BB Unders

St. Louis at Pittsburgh, 1:35 EST
Braden Looper (R) vs. Bryan Bullington (R)
Looper: 8-2 TSR in day games
Bullington: Pittsburgh 6-12 SU after losing 8+ of their last 10 games

Washington at Philadelphia, 1:35 EST
Jason Bergmann (R) vs. Jamier Moyer (L)
Bergmann: Washington 10-21 SU off 5+ road games
Moyer: 11-3 TSR vs. division opponents

San Diego at Milwaukee, 2:05 EST
Brett Tomko (R) vs. Jeff Suppan (R)
Tomko: 7-2 Under in road games
Suppan: 11-5 TSR in home games

Atlanta at Houston, 2:05 EST
Buddy Carlyle (R) vs. Felipe Paulino (R)
Carlyle: Atlanta 13-6 SU away off a one-run loss
Paulino: Houston 11-0 Under at home with a total of 10+ runs

Arizona at Colorado, 3:05 EST
Yusmeiro Petit (R) vs. Ubaldo Jimenez (R)
Petit: 6-1 Under in road games
Jimenez: Colorado 19-9 SU off a win by 8+ runs

San Francisco at LA Dodgers, 4:10 EST
Barry Zito (L) vs. Eric Stults (R)
Zito: 2-9 TSR in day games
Stults: Dodgers 36-16 SU at home off BB wins


American League

Tampa Bay at Toronto, 1:05 EST
Jason Hammel (R) vs. AJ Burnett (R)
Hammel: Tampa Bay 3-19 SU away off BB losses by 2 runs or less
Burnett: Toronto 20-9 SU after having 4 or less base hits

NY Yankees at Baltimore, 1:35 EST
Sean Henn (L) vs. Brian Burres (L)
Henn: Yankees 20-3 SU after scoring 10+ runs
Burres: Baltimore 6-14 SU at home off 5+ home games

Detroit at Chicago White Sox, 2:05 EST WGN
Nate Robertson (L) vs. Jose Contreras (R)
Robertson: 2-9 TSR vs. division opponents
Contreras: 10-1 Over pitching off BB team wins

Minnesota at Boston, 2:05 EST
Matt Garza (R) vs. Julian Tavarez (R)
Garza: Minnesota 2-10 SU after blowing a save
Tavarez: Boston 11-5 Under vs. Minnesota

Cleveland at Kansas City, 2:10 EST
Aaron Laffey (L) vs. Luke Hochevar (R)
Laffey: Cleveland 11-2 SU revenging a loss as a road favorite
Hochevar: Kansas City 5-18 SU off a division win as an underdog

LA Angels at Oakland, 4:05 EST
Jered Weaver (R) vs. Chad Gaudin (R)
Weaver: 19-6 TSR pitching off a team win
Gaudin: Oakland 1-6 SU off BB home division losses

Texas at Seattle, 4:05 EST
AJ Murray (L) vs. Felix Hernandez (R)
Murray: Texas 2-7 SU at Seattle
Hernandez: 8-1 TSR pitching off BB team wins

** End of Regular Season **

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

MLB
Write-Up


Sunday, September 30


Hot Pitchers
-- Florida won last three Willis starts, scoring 19 runs.
-- Nationals won four of last five Bergmann starts.
-- Cubs won five of last six Lilly starts.
-- Milwaukee won four of last five Suppan starts. Padres are 3-0 in Tomko starts (2-0, 3.50).

-- Burnett is 3-0, 1.94 in his last six starts. Hammel has a 3.41 RA in his last five starts.
-- White Sox won five of last six Contreras starts.
-- Indians won six of last seven Laffey starts.
-- Angels won seven of last nine Weaver starts.
-- Mariners won eight of last ten Hernandez starts. Murray gave up one run in five IP in his only start, a 3-1 win vs Angels.

Cold Pitchers
-- Mets are 2-5 in last seven Glavine starts; they lost his last six no decisions.
-- Moyer is 2-4, 7.36 in his last eight starts.
-- Troy Percival has appeared in 638 big league games, but has not started one, until today; with 39 IP in 33 games, he won't be in game too long. Bullington is 0-2, 9.00 in two starts this year.
-- Carlyle is 2-3, 9.59 in his last six starts.
-- Bailey is 1-2, 8.31 in his last starts.
-- Paulino has 10.00 RA in two starts this season.
-- Petit is 0-2, 10.19 in his last four starts; last one was Aug. 20. Jimenez is 1-2, 6.10 in his last six starts.
-- Stults is 1-2, 4.64 in four starts this season. Giants are 6-14 in last twenty Zito starts.

-- Burres is 1-2, 6.86 in his last four starts. Bronx used 13 guys to start games this year, but Henn wasn't one of them; his career record in majors is 2-6, 7.79. This is his fifth start in majors.
-- Red Sox lost seven of last nine Tavarez starts, last of which was on August 31. Twins are 1-4 in last five Garza starts.
-- Detroit lost six of last eight Robertson starts.
- Top Royal prospect Hochevar gets first start; he has allowed one run, eight hits in 9.2 IP in majors. He was 4-9, 4.91 in his 26 minor league starts this season.
-- Oakland is 4-11 in last fifteen Gaudin starts.

Totals
-- Over is 12-2 in Mets' last fourteen games.
-- Last three Lilly starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-1 in last four Pittsburgh games.
-- Last four Bergmann starts went over the total.
-- Over is 18-5-1 in Padres' last twenty-four road games.
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight Carlyle starts.
-- Over is 12-4 in last sixteen Colorado games.
-- Three of four Stults starts went over the total.

-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Burnett starts.
-- Last five Baltimore games all went over the total.
-- Over is 12-7-1 in last twenty Contreras starts.
-- Under is 12-5-1 in last eighteen Minnesota games.
-- Last three Laffey starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 10-2-2 in last fourteen Gaudin starts.


Hot Teams
-- Cardinals won their last four games.
-- Phillies won twelve of their last sixteen games. Nationals won five of their last six games.
-- Marlins won four of their last five games.
-- Braves are 9-4 in their last thirteen games. Astros won seven of their last ten games; last game for HOF'er Craig Biggio.
-- San Diego won four its last five games.
-- Rockies won 12 of their last 13 games.

-- Red Sox won six of their last eight games.
-- Toronto won five of its last six games.
-- Bronx won eight of its last eleven games. .
-- Indians are 13-6 in last nineteen games.
-- White Sox won six of their last nine home games. Detroit won four of its last six games.
-- Mariners won nine of their last twelve games.


Cold Teams .
-- Mets lost eight of their last nine home games.
-- Reds lost their last seven games, not scoring in last two.
-- Brewers lost seven of their last eleven games.
-- Pirates lost last three games, outscored 21-4.
-- Arizona lost four of their last six games; they're in playoffs.
-- Dodgers lost three of last five games. Giants lost 11 of their last thirteen road games.

-- Twins are 5-10 in their last fifteen road games.
-- Orioles are 5-17 in their last twenty-two home games.
-- Devil Rays lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Royals scored seven runs in their last four games.
-- Angels lost three of their last five games. A's lost their last six home games.
-- Rangers lost ten of their last eleven road games.

[Udog]

Six-pack for Sunday

Heading into the last day of baseball's regular season.......

-- San Diego clinches playoff spot with win in Milwaukee Sunday. Of course, they could have clinched Saturday too.

-- How weird is it that Tony Gwynn Jr kept Padres from their playoff clincher yesterday? His dad is greatest player in the history of the Padre franchise.

-- Mets, Phillies are tied; if they're still tied tonight, there is playoff game tomorrow in Philly.

-- Colorado is also still alive, if San Diego loses. Rockies are 12-1 in their last thirteen games.

-- Craig Biggio caught two innings for Astros last night, the first time he caught in majors since 1991. Today is the last game of Biggio's brilliant career.

-- If Padres lose, and Rockies, Mets, Phillies all win, there is total chaos, as you will have tie for NL East, plus three-way tie for the Wild Card. Fun for the whole family.



Six-pack for Saturday


NFL trends for Week 4


-- Lions are 1-5-1 vs spread as underdog in division games.

-- Raiders are 4-12 as road dog in non-division games.

-- Tampa Bay covered only eight of last 25 road games.

-- Falcons are 3-6 as home dog vs non-division foes.

-- Packers are 18-11-1 vs spread in last 30 road games.

-- Rams are 3-9 as road dog in non-division games.

[Udog]

Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up college football Saturday


13) How would you like to be televising Texas-Oklahoma tilt next week? Big game, then both squads go down in upsets in game before. Now? Not such a big game.

12) Auburn has Urban Meyer's number.
Kansas State has Mack Brown's number.
Everyone has Charlie Weis' number.

11) At least Notre Dame finally better the spread this week.

10) If you put Notre Dame uniforms on South Florida's record, they're #3 in country, right behind USC, LSU. Bulls have win at Auburn, win over West Virginia; they're very good.

9) Don't be misled by USC's 27-24 win; Washington scored at 0:35 mark, never got ball back. An easier win than 27-24; plus, it gives Trojans wins at Nebraska, at Washington.

8) Brutal loss for Oregon, as they fumbled inside 1-yard line, trying to stretch ball over goal line (coaches can't possibly be teaching that technique, can they?) in 31-24 home loss to Cal.

7) Who dressed Minnesota last night? They had gold pants and jerseys-- lets just be nice and say they didn't look good.

6) Kansas State had a kick return for TD, a punt return for TD and a defensive TD, as they KO'd Colt McCoy for second yr in a row...........Army also had kick return and punt return for TDs, as they covered as home favorite vs woeful Temple.

5) Double digit dogs that won Saturday: Indiana (+11) won at Iowa, Auburn (+18.5) won in the Swamp, K-State (+14.5) won in Austin, Colorado (+22) beat Oklahoma in Boulder (go play intramurals, Bob Stoops!!!!), East Carolina (+10.5) won 37-35 in Houston, and Maryland (+16.5) won at Rutgers 34-24.

4) LSU only led Tulane 10-9 at the half. They play Florida next week in Death Valley. Sounds like fun.

3) Last year, Cincinnati burst Rutgers' bubble with a big win; next week, the undefeated Bearcats venture into New Jersey to play the Garden State's Scarlet Knights. Revenge is sweet.

2) Michigan State gained 564 yards at Wisconsin, still lost to the Badgers 37-34. I know you are what your record says you are, but Wisconsin is a terrible team, for an unbeaten.

1) How in the name of Donald Igwebuike does Clemson not have a full-time kicker? Their kicker played in a soccer game at home Friday night, then drove by himself to Atlanta for the game at Georgia Tech. What if he got hurt playing soccer? Are they kidding? The kid was 1-5 Saturday, by the way, in a game they lost 13-3.