Tuesday Trends and Indexes 07/31

[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet


Tuesday, July 31st

National League

Cincinnati at Washington, 7:05 EST
Bobby Livingston (L) vs. Matt Chico (L)
Livingston: Cincinnati 5-1 SU at Washington
Chico: 8-3 TSR in home starts

Colorado at Florida, 7:05 EST
Aaron Cook (R) vs. Scott Olsen (L)
Cook: 1-10 TSR after a game where he did not walk a batter
Olsen: Florida 8-1 Over after scoring 8+ runs

St. Louis at Pittsburgh, 7:05 EST
Adam Wainwright (R) vs. Paul Maholm (L)
Wainwright: St. Louis 24-7 Under vs. lefties
Maholm: Pittsburgh 6-1 Under vs. St. Louis

Houston at Atlanta, 7:35 EST
Chris Sampson (R) vs. Chuck James (L)
Sampson: Houston 2-14 SU Away off a loss by 6+ runs
James: Atlanta 14-3 Over off a win by 8+ runs

NY Mets at Milwaukee, 8:05 EST
Tom Glavine (L) vs. Jeff Suppan (R)
Glavine: 20-4 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5
Suppan: Milwaukee 24-13 Over vs. lefties

Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 EST
Adam Eaton (R) vs. Jason Marquis (R)
Eaton: Philadelphia 7-0 SU Away off BB Unders
Marquis: Cubs 2-6 SU at home vs. Philadelphia

Arizona at San Diego, 10:05 EST
Brandon Webb (R) vs. Justin Germano (R)
Webb: Arizona 35-14 Under in road games
Germano: SD 23-9 Under at home when the total is 7.5 or less

San Francisco at LA Dodgers, 10:10 EST
Noah Lowry (L) vs. Brad Penny (R)
Lowry: SF 9-18 SU revenging BB division losses
Penny: 17-4 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher


American League

Chicago White Sox at NY Yankees, 7:05 EST
Jose Contreras (R) vs. Mike Mussina (R)
Contreras: White Sox 15-4 SU playing with triple revenge
Mussina: 4-8 TSR working on 5 or 6 days rest

Baltimore at Boston, 7:05 EST
Erik Bedard (L) vs. Josh Beckett (R)
Bedard: 9-1 TSR in July
Beckett: Boston 14-3 Over at home vs. division

Texas at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Brandon McCarthy (R) vs. Fausto Carmona (R)
McCarthy: 15-4 Under as an underdog
Carmona: Cleveland 5-11 SU off a division loss as a favorite of -150 or higher

Toronto at Tampa Bay, 7:10 EST
Jesse Litsch (R) vs. Edwin Jackson (R)
Litsch: Toronto 5-13 SU Away with a money line of -100 to -150
Jackson: Tampa Bay 11-3 Over off BB wins

Kansas City at Minnesota, 8:10 EST
Jorge De La Rosa (L) vs. Carlos Silva (R)
De La Rosa: Kansas City 15-3 Under in dome games
Silva: Minnesota 7-0 SU after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games

LA Angels at Seattle, 10:05 EST
John Lackey (R) vs. Jeff Weaver (R)
Lackey: Angels 27-12 Under off a SU loss
Weaver: Seattle 8-0 SU after allowing one run or less in a division win

Detroit at Oakland, 10:05 EST
Justin Verlander (R) vs. Dan Haren (R)
Verlander: 7-0 Over when the total is 7 to 8.5
Haren: Oakland 8-18 SU in July

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet


Tuesday, July 31


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CHICAGO (12 - 14) at CONNECTICUT (14 - 12) - 7/31/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
CHICAGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CONNECTICUT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
CONNECTICUT is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in home games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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WASHINGTON (10 - 14) at INDIANA (16 - 10) - 7/31/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 142-182 ATS (-58.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 84-113 ATS (-40.3 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 68-94 ATS (-35.4 Units) in road games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 89-118 ATS (-40.8 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in July games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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LOS ANGELES (8 - 16) at NEW YORK (10 - 14) - 7/31/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
LOS ANGELES is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-0 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 4-1 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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DETROIT (20 - 6) at SAN ANTONIO (16 - 8) - 7/31/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PHOENIX (16 - 10) at HOUSTON (8 - 17) - 7/31/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 205-159 ATS (+30.1 Units) in all games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 107-75 ATS (+24.5 Units) in home games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) in July games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 148-103 ATS (+34.7 Units) in May, June, or July games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1997.
PHOENIX is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 7-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-5 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SACRAMENTO (14 - 10) at SEATTLE (13 - 13) - 7/31/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
SACRAMENTO is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 4-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 5-3 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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[Udog]

WNBA
Hot Lines


Tuesday, July 31


Lady luck: Tuesday’s best WNBA bets


Washington Mystics at Indiana Fever (-3 ½, 145)

We can definitively say who the league’s most valuable player is this season. Some may prefer the sexy numbers Lauren Jackson is putting up (league-leading 24.2 points per game) but the Fever are a completely different team without Tamika Catchings.

Catchings leads the Fever in points (16.6), rebounds (9.0), assists (4.7) and steals (3.1). Indiana was the class of the WNBA until Catchings partially tore her plantar fascia in her left foot. Since she went down the Fever have lost five straight and gone 1-4 against the spread.

“We don’t have (Tamika) but we’ve got enough players in here to fill the void,” Indiana’s Tully Bevilaqua said after falling 89-75 to the Seattle Storm on Friday. “There’s no excuse for why we can’t be winning these games without her.”

We disagree.

Pick: Mystics +3 ½



Detroit Shock at San Antonio Silver Stars (-1, 147)

If you were expecting the Silver Stars to drop off some after jumping out to a surprising 3-1 start, think again. San Antonio has proved several times this season it is a legitimate championship contender, making tonight’s matchup against the Shock a possible Finals preview.

Offseason acquisition Becky Hammon – another MVP candidate to some – has instilled a winning attitude for a franchise that hasn’t won anything. The Silver Stars beat the Shock at the start of the month (in Detroit no less) and there’s no reason to think they won’t be able to win the rematch on their home floor.

Pick: Silver Stars -1

[Udog]

MLB
Matchups and Additional Trends


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