Tuesday Trends and Indexes 07/31

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Tuesday, July 31

Good Luck on day #212 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

Six-pack for Tuesday

-- Baseball trading deadline is 4pm Tuesday; Teixeira went to the Braves Monday, Mets filled their 2B hole with Luis Castillo, will Phils do something to strenghten their team?

-- Phillies are red-hot, winning nine of last ten games, so is it a good idea to change a winning formula right now?

-- Celtics' trade for Kevin Garnett gives them nucelus that is good enough to win East: Garnett-Pierce-Allen.

-- Lakers signed Coby Karl Monday; both George Karl and Phil Jackson once coached the Albany Patroons in CBA, so those of us here got to witness coaching greatness.

-- Terrific pitching duel in Seattle Monday, when Batista got best of Escobar, 2-0, trimming Angels' lead in AL West.

-- Carl Crawford has injured wrist and didn't start Monday; he came in as pinch-runner and had to bat in extra frames, where he took pitches, trying to draw a walk. Count got to 3-1, he fouled pitch off, then homered to win game. Will he learn that taking pictures makes him a better hitter?

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Tuesday's List of 13: Notes from the recruiting trail..........

13) Lot less coaches here Monday, as recruiting is winding down for month, and teams are beginning to focus on kids they've already discovered, rather than identify new ones. It might look like a ghost town here Tuesday.......

12) Great set of late games Monday night at Milk House, with Alabama Challenge beating Martin Brothers (Iowa), and the West Virginia Select team nipping Philly Renegades in two of the better games. Renegades has especially tough day, with close losses to both Martin Bros and West Virginia.

11) Where else can you see kids from New Hampshire play a group of kids from New Mexico? Both teams are solid, with New Mexico Lobos beating kids from Granite State. All the Ivy League clubs are looking at jump shooting big guy from New Hampshire named Saunders.

10) You hear lot of interesting things sitting on baseline here at the Milk House, where the coaches sit. Learned ton about defense listening to one coach Sunday, then heard couple of coaches discussing scheduling a home-and-home series on Monday afternoon. A lot of business gets done here.

9) The referees working this part of tournament are paying to be here and have their work evaluated by pair of NBA refs, neither of whom is Tim Donaghy. Officials take great pride in their work, so coming here and learning is part of the process of moving up the officiating ladder.

8) Just about all coaches where gear with their school's name on it; I think the ones with really big letters are more effective, especially for smaller schools. Mercer University has the best of those shirts, t-shirts with huge block letters. Nobody that sees that shirt is going to forget that Mercer was around.

7) Once teams get into the loser's bracket part of the tourney, they get sent to gyms all over Kissimmee, and it becomes an at art to try and get to see every team you want to. I know bit more about driving in this town that I do about driving in my hometown, where I only go certain places.

6) We trekked down to Kissimmee Civic Center to see recruit, only the kid didn't play in the game his team won by 17 or so. Not good. Had to ask if the kid was sick or hurt or suspended was told he was hurt, only he went through warmups like he was 100%., so we'll see if he plays in tomorrow's game.

5) There are so many teams here, it is impossible to see all the teams and all the kids; sometimes, you are watching one kid or one team, and you stumble on to another player you really like, and that is part of the fun of recruiting.

4) Saw odd thing today, as team was wrapping up a 10-point win in their game; player and coach had a disagreement about how to run a play, and neither would back down, so the two argued on sideline as game wound down, to point where the kid's father came out of stands to try and calm things down. Usually losing teams act like that, not teams that are winning.

3) The tendency is to think that things will slow down here at Disney once the tournament ends Wednesday, but the 14's come in for their nationals later in week. I get distinct feeling that things are never very slow around Disney World.

2) Last year I think I saw it rain once here in my 12 days; this year, it has rained more days than not. It also hasn't been as hot this year, and that isn't a complaint.

1) Tuesday is our last day of basketball here, then at night, it is off to Tropicana Field, for Jays-Rays game, before flying home Wednesday morning. It has been an excellent trip, but when we get home, it'll be time to dive into football, so make sure you log on for Fantasy Football writeups in August.

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[pm530]

Baseball - Dunkel Index

MLB
Dunkel Index

Tuesday, July 31

No Picks Today
The Index is taking a short summer break and will not publish picks from July 27 through August 4.
Please check back on August 5 for our latest updates.

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[pm530]

Baseball – Write up

MLB
Write-up


Tuesday, July 31

Hot Pitchers
-- Cook is 2-0, 1.71 in his last three starts. Marlins won five of last seven Olsen starts.
-- Pirates are 5-3 in last eight Maholm starts. Wainwright is 3-1, 3.12 in his last four starts.
-- James is 2-1, 1.47 in his last five starts.
-- Mets won last four Glavine starts, scoring 26 runs; he tries for his 300th career win tonight.
-- Webb is 1-1, 1.93 in his last couple starts.
-- Giants won seven of last nine Lowry starts. Dodgers won last three Penny starts, are 17-4 this season.

-- Orioles won last seven Bedard starts, outscoring foes 37-15. Beckett has 2.45 RA in his last three starts.
-- Carmona is 5-0, 1.78 in his last five starts; he has thrown 16 innings in last two starts, without allowing a run.
-- Angels won fourteen of last eighteen Lackey starts.
-- Oakland won ten of last thirteen Haren starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Chico is 0-1, 7.02 in his last three starts.
-- Sampson is 1-2, 5.89 in his last six starts.
-- Suppan is 1-4, 7.30 in his last ten starts.
-- Marquis is 1-2, 10.38 in his last four starts. Eaton has 6.96 RA in his last seven starts.
-- San Diego lost six of last seven Germano starts.

-- White Sox lost ten of last eleven Contreras starts (1-8, 8.86). Mussina has 6.14 RA in his last four starts.
-- McCarthy is 0-3, 5.79 in his last seven starts.
-- de la Rosa has 8.20 RA in his last four road starts.
-- Devil Rays lost four of last five Jackson starts. Towers is 1-2, 5.19 in his last three starts.
-- Silva has 8.07 RA in his last five starts.
-- Weaver is 0-3, 4.87 in his last three starts.
-- Verlander has 5.97 RA in his last five starts, but Detroit is 7-2 in his last nine starts, overall.


Totals
-- Four of five Livingston starts went over the total.
-- Over is 8-3 in Cook's last eleven starts.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Wainwright starts.
-- Under is 14-4-1 in last nineteen James starts.
-- Over is 4-2-2 in last eight Suppan starts.
-- Over is 7-0-1 in last eight Eaton starts.
-- Under is 7-2-2 in last eleven Webb starts.
-- Over is 10-4 in Penny's last fourteen starts.

-- Over is 9-2-1 in last dozen Contreras starts.
-- Under is 11-5 in last sixteen Bedard starts.
-- Under is 9-5 in last fourteen Carmona starts.
-- Seven of last eight Jackson starts went over the total.
-- Six of last nine de la Rosa starts went over the total.
-- Last three Lackey starts all went over the total.
-- Four of last five Verlander starts stayed under the total.


Hot Teams
-- Nationals won four of their last five home games.
-- Rockies won three of their last four games.
-- Cardinals won four of their last five games.
-- Mets are 11-7 since the All-Star break.
-- Phillies won nine of their last ten games.
-- Arizona won eight of its last nine games.
-- Visiting team is 9-0 in Giant-Dodger games this season.

-- White Sox won three of their last four games. Bronx is 8-3 in its last eleven games.
-- Orioles won six of their last eight games. Red Sox won eight of their last ten games.
-- Toronto won six of its last nine games.
-- Twins won last three games, allowing four runs. Royals won four of their last five games.
-- Angels won four of their last five games. Seattle won last four games, scoring 27 runs.

Cold Teams
-- Reds lost last two games by combined score of 14-1.
-- Marlins lost six of their last seven games.
-- Pirates lost their last three games, allowing 23 runs.
-- Braves lost four of their last five games. Astros are 2-6 in game after their last eight losses.
-- Brewers lost six of their last eight games.
-- Cubs lost last three home games, scoring three runs.
-- Padres lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Dodgers lost four of their last five games.

-- Indians lost five of their last seven games. Rangers lost last three games, outscored by Royals 22-6.
-- Devil Rays lost eight of last ten games, allowing 89 runs, but they did win the last two days.
-- Tigers lost four of their last five games. Oakland lost last four games, 7-1/4-3/14-10/5-2.

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[pm530]

Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB

Tuesday, July 31

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Tips and Trends
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Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox (7:05 PM ET)

The Boston Red Sox have won four of five meetings with the Orioles this season and are 24-4 against its AL East rival since September 2005. BIG EDGE: RED SOX
Baltimore’s Erik Bedard is 6-0 with a 1.89 ERA and a .149 opponent batting average over his last seven starts, striking out 63 batters in 47 2/3 innings during the run. BIG EDGE: ORIOLES
Bedard makes his first start of the season against Boston, going 3-4 lifetime with a 5.44 ERA in nine appearances. SLIGHT EDGE: RED SOX
Red Sox starter Josh Beckett has alternated wins with losses over his last four outings, but has produced a quality start in each. He’s a perfect 2-0 with a 2.37 ERA in three career starts versus Baltimore. EDGE: RED SOX
The Orioles are 7-0 in Bedard’s last seven starts.



Texas Rangers at Cleveland Indians (7:05 PM ET)

On July 20, Cleveland starter Fausto Carmona squared off against Brandon McCarthy and threw eight scoreless innings to earn the 3-2 win. McCarthy gave up three runs in 5 2/3 innings and fell to 3-2 with a 5.84 ERA in 11 career appearances with three starts against the Indians. EDGE: INDIANS
Carmona took a no-hitter into the fifth inning in his last start, picking up a 1-0 victory over the Red Sox for his career-high fifth straight victory. He has posted an incredible 1.57 ERA in July. EDGE: INDIANS
McCarthy will try for his first win since May 20 at Houston. He’s 0-3 with a 5.13 ERA in seven starts since the and spent nearly a month on the disabled list with a blister on his right middle finger. EDGE: INDIANS
The Indians are 2-5 so far on their 10-game homestand after losing the final two games of their weekend set versus Minnesota. SLIGHT EDGE: RANGERS
The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings in Cleveland.



Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)

Chicago’s Jose Contreras is 2-3 in five career starts versus New York, even though he carries a fantastic 2.50 ERA against them. He allowed three runs and four hits in 7 1/3 innings versus the Yankees on June 7. SLIGHT EDGE: WHITE SOX & UNDER
The White Sox have lost nine of Contreras’ last 10 starts and the right-hander has been reached for 19 earned runs and 22 hits in his last 12 innings of work. EDGE: YANKEES
New York starter Mike Mussina has a losing 3-4 record and 5.40 ERA in eight home starts this season. He’s lost his last two starts at Yankee Stadium to the Minnesota Twins and Tampa Bay Devil Rays. EDGE: WHITE SOX
Mussina has been reached for 10 runs and 24 hits in 16 1/3 innings of work over his last two starts. The right-hander has a 96-66 career record and 3.52 ERA since the All-Star break. SLIGHT EDGE: YANKEES
The UNDER is 5-1-2 in the last eight meetings.



Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs (8:05 PM ET)

Philadelphia right-hander Adam Eaton is 5-2 with a 4.31 ERA in eight career starts against Chicago. He went a perfect 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two starts versus the Cubs in 2005. EDGE: PHILLIES
The Phillies have alternated wins and losses over Eaton’s last seven starts. Philadelphia picked up a 7-6 loss in his last start against Washington, as the right-hander allowed four earned runs and eight hits over 6 1/3 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: PHILLIES
Chicago’s Jason Marquis is 5-2 with a 3.72 ERA in 11 home starts this season. The Cubs have won his last five outings at Wrigley Field, outscoring opponents 33-22 in the process. EDGE: CUBS
Marquis is an even 3-3 with a 4.65 ERA in 16 career appearances versus the Phillies. He was an even 1-1 with a 4.76 ERA in two starts against them in 2006. SLIGHT EDGE: CUBS
The Phillies are 5-1 in Eaton’s last six starts versus a team with a winning record.



New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers (8:05 PM ET)

New York’s Tom Glavine is searching for career win No. 300 and is 6-3 with a 4.50 ERA in 12 career starts versus Milwaukee. He’s a perfect 2-0 with a 3.43 ERA in three starts at Miller Park. EDGE: METS
The Mets have picked up wins in four straight games with Glavine on the hill due to the offense supplying the left-hander with 26 runs of support over that span. EDGE: METS
Brewers starter Jeff Suppan is 3-2 with a 2.81 ERA in seven career starts against the Mets. He picked up a 5-4 road loss versus New York on May 11, allowing four earned runs and six hits in six innings of work. SLIGHT EDGE: BREWERS
Suppan is 5-2 with a 4.23 ERA in 10 home starts in his first year as a member of the Milwaukee Brewers. He’s posted an impressive 10-2 record and 3.12 ERA in 17 career starts at Miller Park. BIG EDGE: BREWERS
The Mets are 1-4 in Glavine’s last five starts versus the Brewers.



Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners (10:05 PM ET)

Los Angeles starter John Lackey has a losing 7-8 record and 4.61 ERA in 19 starts against Seattle, He’s an even 5-5 with a 3.55 ERA in 11 career starts at Safeco Field. SLIGHT EDGE: MARINERS
Lackey is an ultra-impressive 7-3 with a 2.85 ERA in 11 road starts in 2007. He wasn’t sharp in his last road effort against the Minnesota Twins, allowing five earned runs and 10 hits in just five innings of work. SLIGHT EDGE: ANGELS
Seattle’s Jeff Weaver has a losing 5-6 record in his career versus Los Angeles, but carries an impressive 3.03 ERA in 13 outings against them. He’s allowed just five home runs in 77 1/3 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: MARINERS
Weaver has suffered three straight defeats since the All-Star break, but his second-half earned-run-average is one and half runs lower than his first-half ERA. SLIGHT EDGE: ANGELS
The UNDER is 6-2-2 in Lackey’s last 10 road starts.



Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics (10:05 PM ET)

Detroit’s Justin Verlander has just three career starts against Oakland, posting an even 1-1 record and 2.25 ERA. He’s fanned 16 batters and walked just six in 20 innings against them. SLIGHT EDGE: TIGERS
Verlander has a dominant 6-1 record and 2.97 ERA in 10 road starts this season. The All-Star right-hander has allowed just four home runs in 66 2/3 innings away from Comerica Park compared to seven at home in 62 innings. EDGE: TIGERS
Oakland’s Dan Haren is searching for his first career victory against Detroit, posting a 0-2 record and 5.31 ERA in three career starts against them. EDGE: TIGERS
Haren is a dominant 7-1 with a 2.45 ERA in 11 career home starts, surrendering just 56 hits in 77 innings of work. BIG EDGE: A’S
The UNDER is 11-4-1 in Haren’s last 15 starts overall.



San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM ET)

San Francisco starter Noah Lowry is 3-2 with a 3.33 ERA in 12 career outings versus Los Angeles and dropped a 5-3 home game three starts back to the Dodgers. He allowed a season-high ten hits in 5 2/3 innings in his last start against them. SLIGHT EDGE: GIANTS
Lowry has picked up victories in his last two road starts versus Milwaukee and St. Louis. The left-hander has allowed four earned runs in his last two outings away from AT&T Park. SLIGHT EDGE: GIANTS
Los Angeles right-hander Brad Penny is a perfect 6-0 with a 2.23 ERA in 12 home starts this season. He’s allowed just two home runs in 76 2/3 innings at Dodger Stadium. BIG EDGE: DODGERS
MLB insiders are expecting Penny to start struggling down the stretch now that he’s showing signs of wearing down with an abdominal injury in his last start, but he’s still a perfect 3-0 with a 3.26 ERA in three starts since the All-Star break. SLIGHT EDGE: DODGERS
The Giants are 5-16 in the last 21 meetings.

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[pm530]

Baseball – Injury Report

MLB


Tuesday, July 31

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Injuries
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MLB Infirmary Report

Starting pitchers around the major leagues have been leaving their starts with nagging injuries recently. Here's the latest news in this edition of the MLB Infirmary Report . . .

Arizona - Randy Johnson P 15-Day Disabled List
So much for The Big Unit's chances of returning to the Diamondbacks' rotation this season. The lefthander will have back surgery this week and miss the rest of the year.

Baltimore - Chris Ray P 15-Day Disabled List
Ray's sprained elbow will keep him out of Baltimore's bullpen until at least early September. The O's will now end up with a closer-by-committee for the next five weeks.

Boston - Curt Schilling P 15-Day Disabled List
The latest target date for Schilling to return to the mound for the Red Sox is August 5 versus the Mariners. The righthander is still making rehab appearances in the minors.

Chi Cubs - Carlos Zambrano P Day-to-Day (calf cramps)
The Cubs' ace suffered some calf cramps in his outing on the weekend. However, Zambrano did manage to throw eight innings, and he's expected to make his next start.

Cincinnati - Aaron Harang P Day-to-Day (sore back)
Harang lasted just a single inning in his start on the weekend, leaving the game with a sore lower back. The Reds have now announced he will miss his next scheduled outing.

Detroit - Kenny Rogers P 15-Day Disabled List
The Tigers will be without Rogers' services for at least the next couple of weeks. The lefthander was placed on the 15-day disabled list on Sunday night with a sore left elbow.

LA Dodgers - Derek Lowe P Day-to-Day (hip injury)
Lowe left his start last Wednesday with a hip injury. The righthander, though, wasn't placed on the disabled list, and it's possible he could return to the mound this weekend.

LA Dodgers - Brad Penny P Day-to-Day (strained abdomen)
Penny left his start last Thursday with an abdominal injury. The righthander felt ok during a bullpen session on the weekend and is scheduled to make a start on Tuesday.

NY Mets - Carlos Beltran OF Day-to-Day (strained oblique)
Beltran has been out of the Mets' lineup with a strained oblique. The star outfielder will try to play against the Brewers on Tuesday night before a decision on the DL is made.

NY Mets - Paul Lo Duca C Day-to-Day (sore hamstring)
Lo Duca was forced out of Saturday's game with a leg injury, and he sat out on Sunday. However, the catcher is expected to be back behind the plate for the Mets on Tuesday.

NY Yankees - Derek Jeter SS Day-to-Day (sore shoulder)
Jeter left Sunday's contest against the Orioles early after suffering a shoulder injury. The Yankees, though, were up big at the time, and the SS is expected to play Tuesday.

Philadelphia - Chase Utley 2B 15-Day Disabled List
The Phillies suffered a big blow when star 2B Utley suffered a broken right hand last week. Utley will miss a month with the injury, and the team picked up Tadahito Iguchi.

Pittsburgh - Tom Gorzelanny P Day-to-Day (sore shoulder)
Gorzelanny experienced stiffness in his shoulder during his start last Wednesday, and had to leave the game early. The lefthander might be able to pitch again this weekend.

San Diego - Chris Young P 15-Day Disabled List
Young was ruled out of his weekend start on Friday, and he was placed on the 15-day disabled list on Saturday. The righthander is only expected to miss a couple of outings.

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[pm530]

Baseball Today - July 31

SCOREBOARD
Tuesday, July 31

Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees (7:05 p.m. EDT).
Alex Rodriguez continues his pursuit of his 500th homer, facing Jose Contreras (5-13, 6.22 ERA).

STARS
Monday

-Cole Hamels, Phillies, allowed one run and three hits with eight strikeouts in eight innings of a 4-1 win over the Chicago Cubs.

-Carl Crawford, Devil Rays, hit a game-ending homer in the 11th inning to lift Tampa Bay over Toronto 5-4.

-Miguel Batista, Mariners, allowed four singles in seven innings of a 2-0 win over the Los Angeles Angels.

-Scott Baker, Twins, gave up one run and two hits with seven strikeouts in eight innings of Minnesota's 3-1 victory over Kansas City.

TRADES

Mark Teixeira could be Atlanta's new cleanup hitter as early as Tuesday night. The Braves reached an agreement on Monday to send rookie catcher Jarrod Saltalamacchia and three minor leaguers to Texas for the powerful, switch-hitting Teixeira. The official announcement of the deal is expected to come on Tuesday. ... The New York Mets acquired three-time All-Star Luis Castillo from Minnesota for a pair of prospects. ... Philadelphia acquired right-hander Kyle Lohse from Cincinnati for minor league lefty Matt Maloney.

HEROICS

Carl Crawford, who scored the tying run as a pinch runner in the ninth inning, led off the bottom of the 11th with a homer to give Tampa Bay a 5-4 victory over Toronto on Monday. Crawford, who was out of the starting lineup for three games with a sprained right wrist, hit a 3-2 pitch from Brian Wolfe (2-1) over the wall in center field for Tampa Bay, which had lost eight of nine.

OPPOSITE DIRECTIONS

Detroit beat Oakland 5-2 on Monday in a matchup of teams headed in opposite directions. Both teams figured to challenge for division titles and on June 15 they were within a game of each other. The A's were at their season high of 37-29, while the Tigers were a game better at 38-28. Detroit has won 23 of 39 games since then, while the A's have lost 28 of 40.

STRAIGHT A'S

Curtis Granderson and Placido Polanco both had three hits and an RBI as Detroit beat Oakland 5-2 on Monday. Granderson's .353 career average (18-for-51) against the A's is his best against any team except St. Louis, while Polanco's .500 mark (36-for-72) is his best against any team.

SNAPPED

Ted Lilly had won six straight decisions before allowing four runs on seven hits in five innings and taking the loss in the Chicago Cubs' 4-1 defeat at the hands of Philadelphia on Monday. ... Minnesota topped Kansas City 3-1 to end the Royals' four-game winning streak. ... Detroit snapped a four-game slide with a 5-2 win over Oakland.

SPEAKING

''You ask yourself, 'When is it going to end?' We just have to keep our fingers crossed and pray that neither of them are out for an extended period of time. That puts a serious dent in what we're trying to accomplish when you lose two guys like that.'' - Philadelphia's Aaron Rowand, on Shane Victorino and Michael Bourn departing a 4-1 win over the Chicago Cubs on Monday with injuries. Philadelphia already has All-Star Chase Utley and five others on the disabled list.

SEASONS
July 31

1930 - Lou Gehrig drove in eight runs with a grand slam and two doubles as the New York Yankees outlasted the Boston Red Sox 14-13.

1932 - Cleveland's Municipal Stadium opened and Lefty Grove and the Philadelphia A's beat the Indians 1-0 before 76,979 fans.

1934 - The St. Louis Cardinals defeated the Cincinnati Reds 8-6 in 18 innings at Cincinnati as Dizzy Dean and Tony Freitas both went the distance.

1954 - Joe Adcock hit four home runs and a double to lead the Milwaukee Braves to a 15-7 victory over the Brooklyn Dodgers. Adcock's 18 total bases is a major league record.

1961 - The All-Star game ended in a 1-1 tie at Fenway Park as heavy rain halted play.

1981 - The second baseball strike ended after 42 days.

1990 - Nolan Ryan, 43, won his 300th game, reaching the milestone in his second try, as the Texas Rangers beat the Milwaukee Brewers 11-3.

2002 - Mike Mussina became the second pitcher in major league history to give up six doubles in one inning, during the New York Yankees' 17-6 loss to Texas. Hall of Famer Lefty Grove allowed that many with Boston in 1934 against Washington.

2003 - John Smoltz broke his own record as the fastest pitcher to record 40 saves by pitching a scoreless ninth in Atlanta's 7-4 win over Houston. Last year, he got his 40th save on Aug. 8, en route to breaking the NL record with 55.

2006 - Orlando Hudson hit home runs from both sides of the plate, including his first career grand slam, as Arizona beat the Chicago Cubs 15-4.

Today's birthday: Randy Flores 32.

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[pm530]

WNBA – Recent Trends

WNBA


Tuesday, July 31

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Recent Trends
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Chicago (12-14) at Connecticut (14-12)

Chicago:
Over is 8-1 in CHI last 9 games as an underdog.
CHI are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Tue. games.

Connecticut:
CONN are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games.


Washington (10-14) at Indiana (16-10)

Washington:
Over is 23-5 in WAS last 28 Tue. games.
Over is 6-2 in WAS last 8 road games.

Indiana:
Over is 7-1 in IND last 8 home games.
Over is 7-1 in IND last 8 games as a home favorite.

Head to Head:
WAS are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.


Los Angeles (8-16) at New York (10-14)

Los Angeles:
Under is 20-6 in LA last 26 Tue. games.

Head to Head:
Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.


Detroit (20-6) at San Antonio (16-8)

Detroit:
Over is 7-2 in DET last 9 road games.
Over is 6-2 in DET last 8 games as a road favorite.
Over is 8-3 in DET last 11 vs. Western Conference.

San Antonio:
Under is 6-2 in SA last 8 games as an underdog.
SA are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 Tue. games.


Phoenix (16-10) at Houston (8-17)

Phoenix:
PHO are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 Tue. games.
PHO are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 road games.

Houston:
HOU are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 Tue. games.
Under is 6-2 in HOU last 8 Tue. games.
HOU are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Head to Head:
Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.
PHO are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.


Sacramento (14-10) at Seattle (13-13)

Sacramento:
Under is 22-5 in SAC last 27 Tue. games.

Seattle:
SEA are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Tue. games.
Over is 11-4 in SEA last 15 home games.
SEA are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games.

Head to Head:
SAC are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

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[Udog]

MLB



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WINNING POINTS
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*SERIES BEGINNING MONDAY JULY 30*


Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs (4) 30th, 31st, 1st, 2nd

Both these teams have turned a tidy profit against righthanders (Phillies +$565, Chicago +$290) but they’ve been dreadful vs. lefthanders so far (Cubs -$1030, Phillies -$610). Both pitching staffs have a mix of righties and lefties, so we’ll wait for the right situation. PREFERRED: Lefthanders vs. righthanders.



Toronto at Tampa Bay (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

The Blue Jays have underperformed offensively this season (.258 overall team BA, only 3.4 runs per game last 10 days) and they’ve not fared well outside of Rogers Centre (-$580). But the Devil Rays are floundering (-$1485) and their lack of pitching (5.82 ERA) makes it impossible to back them. PREFERRED: None.



Kansas City at Minnesota (4) 30th, 31st, 1st, 2nd

The Twins have a losing record against the Royals in head to head play this year (2-3, -$215) and KC has a terrific record vs. righthanders in road games (+$1260). Minnesota has had a very difficult time with lefthanders at home (-$755), so we’ve got a few angles where we can use the visitor. PREFERRED: Lefthanders vs. the Twins/Royals in night games vs. righthanders.



L.A. Angels at Seattle (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

The Angels have dominated the Mariners in head to head play so far (7-2, +$460) but Seattle has outperformed LA in recent weeks, closing to within a couple of games in the AL West. They’ve been very tough at Safeco (+$1115) while the Angels have struggled on the road (-$170 overall). We’ll stick with the hot home team in this key division matchup. PREFERRED: Mariners in all games.



Detroit at Oakland (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

The Athletics have produced the fewest runs in the AL this year (only 4.1 per game with a .251 team BA), proving that you need more than great pitching to compete effectively. They’ve lost money here at McAfee

(-$1305) and the Tigers are the best road team in baseball (+$1685). PREFERRED: Tigers in all games.


*SERIES BEGINNING TUESDAY JULY 31*


Cincinnati at Washington (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd

The Reds have had a difficult season and because more was expected of them their money losses are enormous (-$1675 so far). Bobby Livingston has given them a lefty in the starting rotation, and he’s likely to see action. The Nationals have have turned a nice profit vs. southpaws in 2007 (+$910). PREFERRED: Nationals vs. Livingston.



Colorado at Florida (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd

The Rockies are having a solid, if not spectacular season, but 2007 has been a big disappointment for the Marlins, The visitor should fare well in righty vs. righty matchups. Florida is only 10-18 vs. righties in night games here at Dolphin Stadium (-$1125) while Colorado is in the black vs. righties in all settings (+$945 with 5.0 runs per game. Play this series accordingly. PREFERRED: Rockies when righty meets righty.



St. Louis at Pittsburgh (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd

We haven’t had many situations where we can use the Cardinals this year, but we may get some opportunities at PNC Park in this series. St. Louis has turned a profit vs. lefties in road games (+$540) and the Pirates rotation s loaded with southpaws. Pittsburgh is slumping since the break (1-8, -$740 last 10 days) and they’ve lost money at home this year (-$845). PREFERRED: Cardinals vs. lefthanders.



Houston at Atlanta (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd

Logic suggests the Braves should win at least 2 out of 3, given Houston’s lousy record in 2007 (42-56,

-$1860) and the fact that Atlanta has been playing well since June. But Atlanta still has lost money here at Turner Field (-$780) so it’s difficult to give them a wholehearted recommendation. PREFERRED: None.



N.Y. Mets at Milwaukee (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd

The Brewers have been a sensational home team (+$1290) but the Mets are 18-8 in road games vs. righthanders at night (+$1105) so a degree of caution is advised. They’ve had much more difficulty in day games vs. righthanders (-$720) so perhaps we’ll have an opportunity to use the home team in Thursday’s afternoon contest. PREFERRED: Righthanders vs. the Mets in day games.



Arizona at San Diego (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd

The Padres had a terrible weekend hosting the Phillies at Petco Park, and their inability to score runs is taking its toll (only 4.1 per game, .242 team BA, lowest in the league). They’ve fared poorly vs. righthanders at home (-$995) and the D’Backs have already won 5 of 8 in head to head play (+$160). Take a shot vs. David Wells (4.57 ERA) who is set to make a start in this series, if the matchup permits. PREFERRED: Righthanders vs. D. Wells.



San Francisco at L.A. Dodgers (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd

The Dodgers are a much better team than the Giants and should win at least 2 out of 3 games in this series, having prevailed in 6 of the first 9 head to head meetings. But prices tend to be high on LA when they play here at Chavez Ravine, so we’ll limit ourselves to playing against the Giants’ lefthanders, given LA’ 18-10 (+$645) record vs. southpaws. PREFERRED: Dodgers vs. lefthanders.



Chicago W. Sox at N.Y. Yankees (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd

The Yankees are clicking offensively, and even though their overall numbers money-wise are horrible

(-$1970) this looks like a bad time to go against them, especially with a lackluster Chicago team with the worst stats in the league (.243 team BA, 4.73 ERA). But prices on the home team will be prohibitive. PREFERRED: None.



Baltimore at Boston (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd

The Red hot have been pitiful against righthanders in night games at Fenway (10-13, -$1275) but they are 21-5 in day games against righties (+$1525). It’s also worth noting that Boston has lost money vs. lefthanders (-$620) and it appears they’ll be facing Eric Bedard (3.12 in 21 starts) at some point. PREFERRED: Bedard/Red Sox vs. righties in day games/Righthanders vs. the Red Sox in night games.



Texas at Cleveland (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd

The Tribe checks in with a 5-1 record vs. the Rangers in head to head play (+$375) and their numbers at Jacobs Field are spectacular (34-15, +$1065). Prices could be high, but if the number is not to unreasonable, we’ll consider taking a shot with the superior home team. PREFERRED: Indians at -170 or less.

[Udog]

MLB

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
70% Situation
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MLB (Tuesday): Play Against MLB (NL) home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a team batting average <=.255 facing a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 5.20, with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 this season.
(51-16 last 5 seasons.) (76.1%) PLAY: St. Louis -115

[Udog]

MLB
Streaking Pitchers


Tuesday, July 31


Hot

Erik Bedard (Baltimore Orioles) - Bedard tries to keep his outstanding hot streak going tonight when the Orioles face the AL East-leading Red Sox. The Orioles are currently playing some of their best ball of the season and Bedard is a big part of it. The left-hander is 6-0 with a 1.89 ERA and a .149 opponent batting average over his last seven starts. This will be Bedard's first start against the favored Sox this year and he is 3-4 with a 5.44 ERA lifetime in nine appearances. The under is 7-1-1 in Bedard's last nine starts as a road underdog.

Fausto Carmona (Cleveland Indians) - Cleveland bettors are expected to get rich when the Tribe host the last-place Rangers for three games at Jacobs field starting tonight. Carmona, who took a no-hitter into the sixth inning in his last start will take the hill for the Indians. The right-hander has matched his career high by winning his fifth straight start and has a 1.57 ERA in July. Carmona comes into this game with an 18-inning scoreless streak and has already beaten Texas once this season.

Brad Penny (Los Angeles Dodgers) - All eyes will be on Barry Bonds tonight but if Brad Penny has his say the seven-time NL MVP will go homerless once again. Penny will try to become the first Dodgers pitcher to start 14-1 since Phil Regan in 1966 and keep Major League history on hold for one more night. The right-hander won his third start in a row and eighth straight decision on Thursday against the Rockies. Penny is 6-0 with a 2.35 ERA in 11 home starts against NL opponents this season.

Cold

Jose Contreras (Chicago White Sox) - The slumping Contreras allowed nine runs and 12 hits in 4 2-3 innings of a 13-9 defeat to Detroit on Wednesday, dropping him to 0-6 with a 9.41 ERA since June 18. The former Yankee will attempt to keep Alex Rodriguez sitting at 499 homers and improve on a 2-3 career record against the Yankees. Contreras has lost both his starts versus New York this season, but has a 3.21 ERA in those outings. The over is 5-0 in the right-handers last five starts as an underdog.

Jeff Weaver (Seattle Mariners) - Weaver hopes to stop a personal three-game skid tonight, hoping for his first victory in over a month. The right-hander has only two victories since returning from a month on the DL and is looking for more run support from the Mariners. Weaver has only allowed three runs or less eight times in his last nine starts. He is 5-5 with a 2.72 ERA in 11 career starts against the favored L.A. Angels.

[Kaptain]

Points of Interest for Tuesday

7-31-07....."Points of Interest"

07/31/07
01:32 AM Injuries
MLB
Tuesday: Mets CF Carlos Beltran (.263; ribs) is not expected to play and C Paul Lo Duca (.270; hamstring) is questionable.

07/31/07
01:31 AM Injuries
MLB
Tuesday: Yankees SS Derek Jeter (.332; shoulder) is probable; Phillies OF Shane Victorino (.283; leg) is questionable.

07/31/07
01:18 AM Injury Alert
NFL
49ers Pro Bowl RB Frank Gore broke a bone in his right hand Monday and might not play in the preseason.

07/31/07
01:11 AM Injuries
MLB
Phillies OF Michael Bourn left Monday's game after six innings with an right ankle injury.

07/31/07
01:11 AM News Alert
MLB
The Dodgers are reportedly making a run at A's SP Joe Blanton, with a package of three frontline prospects.

07/31/07
01:06 AM Injuries
MLB
Phillies OF Shane Victorino will undergo an MRI Tuesday after injuring his right calf during Monday's victory.

07/31/07
01:13 AM News Alert
NFL
Free agent QB Daunte Culpepper will work out for the Raiders on Tuesday

07/31/07
01:09 AM News Alert
MLB
The Octavio Dotel deal between the Royals and Braves is no lock to get done according the Braves team website.

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet


Tuesday, July 31


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CINCINNATI (45 - 61) at WASHINGTON (45 - 60) - 7:05 PM
BOBBY LIVINGSTON (L) vs. MATT CHICO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 45-61 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 26-39 (-14.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CINCINNATI is 45-61 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 18-31 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
WASHINGTON is 45-60 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 32-26 (+20.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 18-11 (+12.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-10 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 193-223 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 38-37 (+13.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 22-22 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHICO is 9-4 (+9.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
CHICO is 8-3 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
CHICO is 6-1 (+7.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
CHICO is 8-3 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 406-457 (+57.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 260-293 (+32.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 123-106 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 2-14 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 (+3.4 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.2 Units)

BOBBY LIVINGSTON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

MATT CHICO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
CHICO is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 0.882.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)




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COLORADO (53 - 51) at FLORIDA (49 - 57) - 7:05 PM
AARON COOK (R) vs. SCOTT OLSEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 44-62 (-24.8 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 119-173 (-55.3 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.
COOK is 19-35 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COOK is 8-17 (-10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COOK is 19-34 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COOK is 6-16 (-10.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLORIDA is 212-223 (+37.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
OLSEN is 19-11 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 53-51 (+7.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 53-48 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 39-33 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
FLORIDA is 20-33 (-17.6 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 16-25 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

AARON COOK vs. FLORIDA since 1997
COOK is 0-1 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

SCOTT OLSEN vs. COLORADO since 1997
OLSEN is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.049.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)




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ST LOUIS (49 - 53) at PITTSBURGH (42 - 61) - 7:05 PM
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. PAUL MAHOLM (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 143-136 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 13-22 (-12.9 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 143-136 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 85-103 (-33.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 43-54 (-23.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 17-30 (-16.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ST LOUIS is 11-17 (-13.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 30-36 (-14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 49-40 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 49-42 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MAHOLM is 17-11 (+12.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 6-2 (+3.1 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.8 Units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 1-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.778.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
MAHOLM is 1-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.04 and a WHIP of 1.641.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)




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HOUSTON (46 - 59) at ATLANTA (55 - 51) - 7:35 PM
CHRIS SAMPSON (R) vs. CHUCK JAMES (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 46-59 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 276-269 (-56.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
HOUSTON is 18-34 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 46-59 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 93-117 (-37.8 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters since 1997.
HOUSTON is 10-21 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 134-134 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 60-73 (-25.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 67-67 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 31-41 (-20.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 132-130 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 94-95 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 62-68 (-19.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHRIS SAMPSON vs. ATLANTA since 1997
SAMPSON is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

CHUCK JAMES vs. HOUSTON since 1997
JAMES is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)




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NY METS (59 - 46) at MILWAUKEE (57 - 49) - 8:05 PM
TOM GLAVINE (L) vs. JEFF SUPPAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 36-17 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 36-17 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 56-47 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 39-30 (+16.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 162-115 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 35-19 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
NY METS are 78-59 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 20-8 (+11.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
NY METS are 160-114 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 23-14 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
NY METS are 119-79 (+22.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 45-31 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 71-51 (+15.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GLAVINE is 40-17 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GLAVINE is 20-4 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GLAVINE is 39-17 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GLAVINE is 29-11 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 10-16 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in July games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

TOM GLAVINE vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
GLAVINE is 6-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.578.
His team's record is 6-6 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-4. (+1.7 units)

JEFF SUPPAN vs. NY METS since 1997
SUPPAN is 4-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.22 and a WHIP of 1.094.
His team's record is 7-2 (+6.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.6 units)




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PHILADELPHIA (56 - 49) at CHICAGO CUBS (55 - 49) - 8:05 PM
ADAM EATON (R) vs. JASON MARQUIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-31 (-10.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-34 (-17.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUIS is 12-2 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 20-14 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-18 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
EATON is 8-2 (+7.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 122-145 (-31.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 63-70 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1-7 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Tuesday this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 122-142 (-28.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 326-312 (-73.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
MARQUIS is 6-15 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 40-57 (-37.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.0 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

ADAM EATON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
EATON is 5-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 5-3 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.6 units)

JASON MARQUIS vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
MARQUIS is 3-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.813.
His team's record is 3-6 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.9 units)




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ARIZONA (58 - 49) at SAN DIEGO (56 - 48) - 10:05 PM
BRANDON WEBB (R) vs. JUSTIN GERMANO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 58-49 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 10-2 (+7.6 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
ARIZONA is 58-49 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 42-33 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 31-46 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 52-54 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 5-3 (+1.8 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

BRANDON WEBB vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
WEBB is 3-6 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.356.
His team's record is 9-8 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-10. (-4.4 units)

JUSTIN GERMANO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
GERMANO is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.106.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)




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SAN FRANCISCO (45 - 58) at LA DODGERS (57 - 48) - 10:10 PM
NOAH LOWRY (L) vs. BRAD PENNY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-58 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 53-78 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-25 (-10.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-58 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 30-44 (-15.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-34 (-11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA DODGERS are 84-47 (+27.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 39-18 (+14.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PENNY is 17-4 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
PENNY is 16-4 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
PENNY is 15-4 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
PENNY is 19-4 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 593-474 (+87.0 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
LOWRY is 24-15 (+14.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
LOWRY is 12-5 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 126-142 (-45.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 6-3 (+2.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

NOAH LOWRY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LOWRY is 3-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.306.
His team's record is 5-5 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.6 units)

BRAD PENNY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
PENNY is 3-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.170.
His team's record is 7-8 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-7. (+0.3 units)




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CHI WHITE SOX (48 - 57) at NY YANKEES (56 - 49) - 7:05 PM
JOSE CONTRERAS (R) vs. MIKE MUSSINA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 138-129 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CONTRERAS is 21-29 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CONTRERAS is 9-19 (-14.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 123-97 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 97-75 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 183-117 (+48.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 117-92 (+23.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 35-26 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 56-49 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 50-43 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 57-42 (-23.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 85-66 (-23.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MUSSINA is 10-12 (-17.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
MUSSINA is 43-35 (-34.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 4-3 (+0.2 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

JOSE CONTRERAS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
CONTRERAS is 2-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.50 and a WHIP of 1.083.
His team's record is 2-3 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.0 units)

MIKE MUSSINA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
MUSSINA is 10-10 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.14 and a WHIP of 1.238.
His team's record is 12-10 (-4.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-11. (-1.5 units)




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BALTIMORE (49 - 55) at BOSTON (64 - 41) - 7:05 PM
ERIK BEDARD (L) vs. JOSH BECKETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 24-46 (-24.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 50-93 (-31.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 37-78 (-32.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BEDARD is 4-17 (-14.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 19-13 (+9.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BEDARD is 9-1 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 192-158 (-45.5 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
BOSTON is 41-46 (-19.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 255-194 (-41.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-1 (+2.3 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

ERIK BEDARD vs. BOSTON since 1997
BEDARD is 3-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.95 and a WHIP of 1.559.
His team's record is 3-5 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.1 units)

JOSH BECKETT vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BECKETT is 2-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.37 and a WHIP of 0.737.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)




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TEXAS (46 - 59) at CLEVELAND (60 - 45) - 7:05 PM
BRANDON MCCARTHY (R) vs. FAUSTO CARMONA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 35-34 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 138-129 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 34-45 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 127-117 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 92-95 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-1 (+3.7 Units) against TEXAS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
MCCARTHY is 2-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 2-1 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.0 units)

FAUSTO CARMONA vs. TEXAS since 1997
CARMONA is 1-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.097.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)




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TORONTO (52 - 53) at TAMPA BAY (40 - 65) - 7:10 PM
JESSE LITSCH (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 10-19 (-11.1 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 13-26 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
TORONTO is 40-26 (+20.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 95-61 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 76-51 (+23.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 40-65 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 12-31 (-19.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 7-26 (-18.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-5 (+1.8 Units) against TORONTO this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

JESSE LITSCH vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

EDWIN JACKSON vs. TORONTO since 1997
JACKSON is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-1 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.4 units)




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KANSAS CITY (47 - 58) at MINNESOTA (54 - 51) - 8:10 PM
JORGE DE LA ROSA (L) vs. CARLOS SILVA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 88-61 (+20.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 47-58 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 23-27 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 84-109 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 35-40 (+8.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 29-32 (+12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KANSAS CITY is 33-42 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-3 (+0.5 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

JORGE DE LA ROSA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 1-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.789.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-0. (+4.0 units)

CARLOS SILVA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SILVA is 3-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.304.
His team's record is 6-3 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.7 units)




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LA ANGELS (61 - 43) at SEATTLE (58 - 46) - 10:05 PM
JOHN LACKEY (R) vs. JEFF WEAVER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 58-46 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 35-19 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SEATTLE is 55-43 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 42-31 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 34-23 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SEATTLE is 21-16 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WEAVER is 11-4 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 118-101 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 40-26 (+16.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 238-170 (+30.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 60-45 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LACKEY is 29-17 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LACKEY is 55-30 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LACKEY is 19-7 (+11.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 7-3 (+3.4 Units) against SEATTLE this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.2 Units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
LACKEY is 7-8 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.482.
His team's record is 10-9 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-11. (-4.1 units)

JEFF WEAVER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
WEAVER is 5-5 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.186.
His team's record is 5-6 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-8. (-6.7 units)




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DETROIT (61 - 44) at OAKLAND (49 - 57) - 10:05 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. DAN HAREN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 61-44 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 35-23 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 149-102 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-17 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
DETROIT is 56-42 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 100-65 (+21.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 81-40 (+23.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 20-4 (+16.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 49-57 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 25-28 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 8-18 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
OAKLAND is 47-52 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 33-41 (-12.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against OAKLAND this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
VERLANDER is 2-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.145.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

DAN HAREN vs. DETROIT since 1997
HAREN is 0-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.33 and a WHIP of 1.342.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)




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[Udog]

MLB
Hot Lines


Tuesday, July 31


Colorado Rockies at Florida Marlins: (-104, 9)

Colorado begins its six-game East Coast road swing in Florida with right-hander Aaron Cook charged with the duty of getting the team off on the right foot.

Cook was impressive over his last six starts, outside a shaky five-run effort against the Phillies. He's notched a 2.51 ERA during this stretch. Cook has also kept his pitch counts down mostly due to his improving sinker. He threw only 74 pitches in his last start and averages just over 14 pitches per inning this season.

Pick: Rockies -104



New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers: (+104, 9)

The Brewers' road woes continued this past week during their eight-game road trip, which they finished 2-6.

Milwaukee returns home to Miller Park today after a day off to lick its wounds. The Brewers are the National League’s best home team over the past three seasons (130-85) including a 36-17 home record this year.

"The only thing I can come up with is that it's a mindset," manager Ned Yost told MLB.com. "That's the only thing it can be."

Today’s starter, Jeff Suppan, has reflected the team’s black-and-white play. The right-hander is 5-2 inside Miller Park with a 4.23 ERA, compared to 3-7 on the road with an ERA just under 6.00.

Pick: Brewers +104



Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres: (+106, 7)

An eight-game winning streak has put Arizona a half game up on the Padres at the top of the National League West standings. The two teams start a crucial three-game set today in San Diego.

D-Backs ace Brandon Webb is hunting for the elusive win against San Diego this season after going 0-1 with a 2.49 ERA in three starts against the Padres. Webb is 9-8 overall with a 3.23 ERA this season.

"We go into San Diego with Brandon Webb on the mound, so we'll feel confident going out there," manager Bob Melvin told reporters.

Webb snapped a three-game slump in his last start, throwing seven shutout innings against the Marlins. Webb finally received run support from Arizona’s lineup in the win after getting an average of just over two runs in his previous nine appearances.

Pick: Diamondbacks -114