Sunday Trends and Indexes 07/01

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Sunday, July 01

Good Luck on day #182 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

Six-pack for Sunday

-- Brewers grabbed 7-2 lead in second inning Saturday, and made it stand, as they hammered Cubs 13-4, and got lead in NL Central back up to 7.5 games over Chicago.

-- CC Sabathia is first Indian pitcher with dozen wins before the All-Star Break since Gaylord Perry back in 1974.

-- Padre pitcher Chris Young is married to granddaughter of hockey legend Lester Patrick.

-- 60 of Trevor Hoffman's 505 career saves have come at the expense of the Dodgers, San Diego's arch-rival.

-- Padres are now 20-9 in last 29 games against the Dodgers

-- Rick Ankiel hit his 22nd homer for Memphis Redbirds on Saturday; looks like he'll make it back to majors, this time as an outfielder, after failing as a pitcher. Good for him.

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[pm530]

Sunday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.........

13) Phillies have already used 24 pitchers this season, nine of whom have started a game; franchise record is 27, back in '00, but this season is only half over.

12) This weekend's series vs Mets was huge for their chances in 2007; yet three of four games were started by pitchers who, coming into weekend, had started total of four games in MLB. The other game was started by "veteran" Hamels, in his 2nd year in major leagues.

11) On bright side, Food Network has declared Citizens' Bank Park to have the best food any ballpark in major leagues. Too bad the pitching staff gives the Phillies' fans heartburn.

10) Mets' manager Willie Randolph was named as a coach for All-Star Game, but will have surgery on his rotator cuff during the three days off instead.

9) Umpire Cuzzi recently umpired Verlander's no-hitter, after his previous game behind plate was Schilling's one-hitter in Oakland. The last umpire to work no-hitters in consecutive games behind plate was Deegan in '77 (Eckersley/Colborn).

8) David Ortiz will be starting first baseman for AL, but he is not a first baseman, except when Red Sox play in NL parks. It is ludicrous and absurd not to have the DH in All-Star Game. Who the hell wants to watch pitchers hit in that game?

7) You can go to Dodger Stadium and buy a family plan for a mere $62; for that, you get four tickets, four Dodger Dogs and four Cokes. A ticket, Coke and hot dog for $15.50. Not bad.

6) We talked during week about the $50,000-buy in for poker tournament in Vegas, a HORSE tournament that tests players in five different games. Well, the final table was an epic 15-hr marathon, starting at 2pm, ending at 5am, before Freddy Deeb a Danny DeVito-lookalike, won the $2.3M first prize. This will be fun to watch when ESPN shows it later in summer.

5) It is July 1st, and Devil Rays haven't played Red Sox yet, and they're in same division. That means 34 of Devil Rays' 81 second half games are vs Boston or Bronx, which makes them a favorite to lose 100+ games again this season.

4) A truck driver from Oklahoma has winning powerball ticket worth $105.8M; he and his wife decided to take lump sum of $33.3M, after taxes, instead of having it paid off over next 29 years (he is 64). You lose $72.5M in taxes? What a country.

3) Dodger games are only place you're liable to hear about the Balkan Peninsula; Vin Scully was describing how Padre third baseman Kouzmanoff is of Macedonian descent, not Russian so we got a mini-history lesson on the Balkan Peninsula. If it isn't, it should be mandatory for every young announcer to listen to Scully, he is still that good.

2) Nomar Garciaparra broke a 231-AB homerless streak when he hit one off Peavy Saturday. The Padre ace hadn't tossed a gopher ball in over 80 innings.

1) By the way, Phillies lost 9,995th game in franchise history Saturday. No pro sports team has lost more than the Phillies. Lets see them use that on ads for their cable broadcasts.

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball (Women’s) – Long Sheet

WNBA
Long Sheet


Sunday, July 1

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INDIANA (10 - 4) at WASHINGTON (5 - 10) - 7/1/2007, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 137-179 ATS (-59.9 Units) in all games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 5-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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SAN ANTONIO (8 - 6) at DETROIT (11 - 3) - 7/1/2007, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 44-68 ATS (-30.8 Units) in May, June, or July games since 1997.
SAN ANTONIO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1997.
DETROIT is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-0 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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MINNESOTA (5 - 10) at SACRAMENTO (10 - 6) - 7/1/2007, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 115-77 ATS (+30.3 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
SACRAMENTO is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games on Sunday games since 1997.
SACRAMENTO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 8-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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NEW YORK (8 - 7) at SEATTLE (7 - 7) - 7/1/2007, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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CHICAGO (7 - 8) at LOS ANGELES (7 - 7) - 7/1/2007, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
LOS ANGELES is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 2-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 3-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball (women) – Hot Lines

WNBA
Hot Lines


Sunday, July 1

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Lady luck: Sunday’s best WNBA bets


Indiana Fever at Washington Mystics (-1, 153 ½)

Sunday’s early game looks like a mismatch at first glance as 10-4 Indiana visits the nation’s capital to take on the 5-10 Mystics.

All five of Washington’s wins, however, have come in its last seven games and the Mystics most recently beat the defending champion Shock as 2 ½-point home underdogs. Friday’s upset win followed a four-game road trip in which the Mystics, previously winless on the road, went 3-1 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS).

The Mystics overcame a 16-point deficit in the second half against Detroit and scored the game’s final nine points. Alana Beard had her lowest-scoring game since mid-June but still played the hero with her last-minute three-point play.

"Our group really, really grew up tonight," interim head coach Tree Rollins told the Washington Post.

Indiana remains one of the top teams in the Eastern Conference, but the Fever have dropped three of their last five games despite being favored in all of them.

Pick: Mystics -1



San Antonio Silver Stars at Detroit Shock (-7, 143)

The Silver Stars and Shock meet for the first time in 2007 on Sunday, with Detroit winning and covering the spread in each of the teams’ two head-to-head meetings last summer.

The Shock want to bounce back from their collapse in Washington on Friday night. The team’s 5-1 SU record at the Palace of Auburn Hills says they’re likely to win at home, but their 2-4 ATS home record says “bettors beware” when the Shock are laying points. Detroit has played only three home games since May and failed to cover the spread in all of them.

Cheryl Ford’s absence continues to hurt. The forward, who would lead the WNBA in rebounding if she’d played enough to satisfy minimum-game requirements, has missed six of the last seven games and is questionable for Sunday. Detroit is 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS without Ford, compared to 8-0 SU and 5-3 ATS with her in the lineup.

San Antonio is coming off a pair of disappointing losses, but the Silver Stars were road underdogs twice in June and won both contests straight up.

Pick: Silver Stars +7



Chicago Sky at Los Angeles Sparks (-1 ½, 152)

What happened to Jia Perkins? The guard, who'd scored in double digits only three times in her first 13 games, exploded for 39 points on 17-for-24 shooting in Sacramento on Friday night. She hit 5-of-7 trey attempts and led the Sky to a double-overtime win as a 7 ½-point road underdog, dishing out 10 assists as well to top her season-high tally of four.

"(Perkins) probably could have turned around and threw the ball up and it would have gone in,” Monarchs forward Adrian Williams said after the game.

Perkins now leads the Sky into L.A. for Sunday’s night’s latest tip-off. Chicago is 5-3 SU and ATS on the road in 2007, while the Sparks are 4-3 SU and 2-5 ATS at the Staples Center.

Los Angeles has alternated losses and wins at home since mid-June. After Friday night’s home loss to New York, the pattern says the Sparks are due for a win. Head coach Michael Cooper begs to differ.

"We are not a very good basketball team," Cooper told the Long Beach Press-Telegram after the 80-68 loss as a 5-point favorite. "This was a horrible, horrible exhibition again after playing Sacramento. We played like we didn't even know each other.”

Pick: Sky +1 ½

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[pm530]

Baseball - Short Sheet

MLB
Short Sheet


Sunday, July 1st

National League

Atlanta at Florida, 1:05 ET
Buddy Carlyle (R) vs. Dontrelle Willis (L)
Carlyle: Atl 13-4 Away when the money line is +125 to -125
Willis: 6-0 Over vs. division opponents

St. Louis at Cincinnati, 1:15 ET
Mike Maroth (L) vs. Homer Bailey (R)
Maroth: 16-8 TSR Away on grass
Bailey: Cin 3-10 at home vs. lefties

Washington at Pittsburgh, 1:35 ET
Mike Bacsik (L) vs. Paul Maholm (L)
Bacsik: 10-0 Under as an underdog of +125 to +175
Maholm: Pit 26-55 in day games

NY Mets at Philadelphia, 1:35 ET
Odalis Perez (L) vs. Kyle Kendrick (R)
Perez: 9-0 TSR Away with a money line of -100 to -150
Kendrick: Phi 0-9 as a home underdog

Colorado at Houston, 2:05 ET
Rodrigo Lopez (R) vs. Wandy Rodriguez (L)
Lopez: Col 9-25 Away vs. NL Central
Rodriguez: Hou 7-2 at home vs. Colorado

Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 ET
Dave Bush (R) vs. Jason Marquis (R)
Bush: 12-31 TSR in road starts
Marquis: ChC 6-1 vs. Dave Bush

Arizona at San Francisco, 4:05 ET
Micah Ownings (R) vs. Tim Linecum (R)
Ownings: Ari 10-2 on Sundays
Linecum: SF 4-10 as a home favorite of -125 to -150

San Diego at LA Dodgers, 4:10 ET
Justin Germano (R) vs. Chad Billingsley (R)
Germano: SD 14-5 Under in day games
Billingsley:


American League

Tampa Bay at Cleveland, 1:05 ET
James Shields (R) vs. Cliff Lee (L)
Shields: TB 24-4 Over Away on grass
Lee: 15-3 Over at home

Oakland at NY Yankees, 1:05 ET
Dan Haren (R) vs. Andy Pettitte (L)
Haren: 5-1 TSR vs. Yankees
Pettitte: NYY 8-2 Under at home vs. Oakland

(TC) Minnesota at Detroit, 8:05 ET
Scott Baker (R) vs. Jeremy Bonderman (R)
Baker: Min 9-2 vs. Bonderman
Bonderman: Det 13-4 Over as a home favorite of -150 or more

LA Angels at Baltimore, 1:35 ET
John Lackey (R) vs. Jeremy Guthrie (R)
Lackey: LAA 40-18 as a favorite of -110 or higher
Guthrie: Bal 19-49 as an underdog of +125 to +175

Texas at Boston, 2:05 ET
Kameron Loe (R) vs. Julian Tavarez (R)
Loe: 15-5 Under as an underdog
Tavarez: Bos 20-5 in day games

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City, 2:10 ET
Jon Garland (R) vs. John Thomson (R)
Garland: 1-7 TSR when the money line is -100 to -150
Thomson: 51-25 Under working on 5 or 6 days rest

Toronto at Seattle, 4:05 ET
Shaun Marcum (R) vs. Jeff Weaver (R)
Marcum:
Weaver: Sea 16-5 at home when the total is 9 to 9.5

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[pm530]

Baseball – Write up

MLB
Write-up


Sunday, July 1

Hot Pitchers
-- Atlanta won four of last five Carlyle starts (2-1, 4.80).
-- Maroth allowed one run in 7.1 IP in first start for Cardinals, a game St Louis later lost in extra innings.
-- Phillies are 3-0 in Kendrick starts, scoring 28 runs (2-0, 5.00).
-- Colorado won six of last seven Lopex starts.
-- Bush is 2-0, 2.03 in his last two starts.
-- Germano is 5-1, 2.83 in nine starts this season.

-- Cleveland won Lee's last three starts, scoring 25 runs.
-- A's are 12-3 in Haren's last fifteen starts. Bronx won Pettitte's last four home starts (3-0, 2.15).
-- Baker is 1-0, 1.80 in his last couple starts.
-- Guthrie is 3-0, 2.10 in his last ten starts.
-- Tavarez is 2-1, 2.95 in his last three starts. Loe is 3-0, 2.08 in his last three starts.
-- Garland is 2-1, 2.80 in his last five starts. Thomson won first start for Royals, allowing three runs in seven IP in Anaheim.
-- Weaver is 2-0, 1.23 in his last two starts. Marcum is 2-0, 1.63 in his last four starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Willis is 0-4, 5.14 in his last five starts.
-- Bailey has 6.40 RA in his first four big league starts.
-- Pirates are 3-11 with Maholm if they score less than six runs. Nationals lost last six Bacsik starts (0-5, 7.34).
-- Mets lost four of last five Perez starts.
-- Rodriguez is 2-4, 6.46 in his last seven starts.
-- Marquis is 0-3, 7.04 in his last nine starts.
-- Owings is 1-1, 4.94 in his last four starts. Giants lost five of last six Lincecum starts.
-- Billingsley has 8.22 RA in two starts, but Dodger bullpen won both games after he left.

-- Shields is 0-3, 8.00 in his last three starts.
-- Bonderman has 6.75 RA in last four starts, but Detroit is 9-1 in his last ten starts.
-- Lackey is 1-2, 7.01 in his last four starts.


Totals
-- Six of nine Willis home starts went over the total.
-- Eight of last twelve Maroth starts went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Philly games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Colorado road games went over the total.
-- Last six games at Wrigley Field all went over the total.
-- Over is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Arizona games.
-- Five of last seven Dodger games went over the total.

-- Six of last nine Indian games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Pettitte starts.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Minnesota road games.
-- Over is 12-4-1 in last seventeen Baltimore games.
-- Four of last five Tavarez starts went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine White Sox road games.
-- Over is 11-5 in last sixteen Toronto games.


Hot Teams
-- Cubs won seven of their last eight games. Brewers won 13 of their last 15 games.
-- Atlanta won last four games, allowing eight runs.
-- Mets won eight of their last nine games.
-- Pittsburgh won six of its last eight home games.
-- Houston won five of its last six home games.
-- Cardinals are 9-7 in their last sixteen road games.
-- Arizona is 5-1 in game after its last six losses.
-- Padres are 13-5 in their last eighteen road games.

-- Tigers won eight of their last twelve games. Twins won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Indians won eight of their last ten home games.
-- Rangers won seven of their last ten games.
-- White Sox won five of last six games. Royals won five of their last six games, allowing fourteen runs.
-- Mariners won last seven games, outscoring foes 44-21.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost six of their last seven games.
-- Nationals lost eleven of their last fourteen games.
-- Phillies lost four of their last five games.
-- Reds lost eleven of their last sixteen games.
-- Colorado is 1-8 on road trip, blowing four last-inning leads.
-- Giants are 4-11 in last fifteen games.
-- Dodgers lost last four home games, outscored 23-11.

-- Bronx lost eight of last ten games, but is 9-2 in last 11 home games. Oakland lost seven of nine on this road trip so far.
-- Angels lost four of last five games. Orioles lost nine of their last thirteen home games.
-- Red Sox lost four of their last five games.
-- Devil Rays lost twelve of their last sixteen games.
-- Toronto lost four of its last five games.


Umpires
-- Atl-Fla-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Diaz games.
-- StL-Cin-- Favorite is 10-2 in last dozen Tschida games; four of his last five games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Pitt-- Seven of last ten Hudson games stayed under.
-- NY-Phil-- Favorite won six of last seven Iassogna games.
-- Col-Hst-- Underdog won last five Meals games.
-- Mil-Chi-- Last five Runge games all went over the total.
-- Az-SF-- Underdog won three of last four Vanover games.
-- SD-LA-- Six of last seven Cederstrom games went over total; underdog won four of his last five.

-- TB-Cle-- Underdog is 8-7 in last fifteen Meriwether games.
-- A's-NY-- Visitor won six of last eight Barrett games.
-- Min-Det-- Home side won last six McClelland games.
-- LA-Balt-- Four of last five Davis games went over the total.
-- Tex-Bos-- Underdog won three of last four Kellogg games.
-- Chi-KC-- Favorite won nine of last eleven Eddings games.
-- Tor-Sea-- Visiting side won five of last six Holbrook games.

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[pm530]

Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB

Sunday, July 1

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Tips and Trends
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Atlanta Braves at Florida Marlins (1:05 PM ET)
Atlanta starter Buddy Carlyle is an even 1-1 with a 5.23 ERA in two career starts against Florida, but threw seven dominant innings against them in his last outing – allowing just one run and a single hit. SLIGHT EDGE: BRAVES
Carlyle has very little experience on the road in his career, posting a 0-1 record and inflated 8.10 ERA in 14 outings. EDGE: MARLINS
Marlins left-hander Dontrelle Willis is a respectable 6-4 in his career against the Braves and picked up an 8-7 victory over them on April 13. SLIGHT EDGE: MARLINS
Willis has started just two day games in 2007, tallying an even 1-1 record and 2.25 ERA. He hasn’t allowed a home run in 12 innings over that span. SLIGHT EDGE: MARLINS


Oakland Athletics at New York Yankees (1:05 PM ET)
Oakland’s Dan Haren is a perfect 3-0 with a 3.11 ERA in six career starts against New York. He’s fanned 33 batters and walked just 10 in 37 2/3 innings against them. BIG EDGE: A’S
The Athletics suffered an 8-5 loss to the Indians in Haren’s last start, but the Oakland right-hander has still won nine straight decisions. EDGE: A’S
Yankees southpaw starter Andy Pettitte is an impressive 8-4 with a 3.06 ERA in 16 career starts against the Athletics. EDGE: YANKEES
Pettitte has gone 3-1 with a 3.18 ERA in seven home appearances this season. He’s an unbelievable 84-31 in 140 career starts at Yankee Stadium. BIG EDGE: YANKEES


Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET)
Angels right-hander John Lackey has enjoyed great success against the Orioles, going 5-2 with a 3.38 ERA in eight starts. He picked up a victory in his last start against them, allowing two runs and five hits over 7 1/3 innings. EDGE: ANGELS
Lackey has posted a 6-2 record and 2.41 ERA in eight road starts this season. The right-hander has struck out 39 batters and walked just 13 in 52 1/3 innings. EDGE: ANGELS
Despite being just 1-1 in seven home outings, Baltimore’s Jeremy Guthrie has been dominant with a 2.34 ERA. He’s surrendered just three home runs in 42 1/3 innings at Camden Yards. EDGE: ORIOLES & UNDER
The Orioles have won Guthrie’s last two starts, as he’s allowed just three earned runs in 14 2/3 innings. EDGE: ORIOLES


Brewers at Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET)
Milwaukee starter Dave Bush has a respectable 4.15 ERA against Chicago in his career, but he is just 1-4 in his seven starts. SLIGHT EDGE: CUBS
The Brewers have won Bush’s last three starts, as the right-hander has allowed six runs in 17 2/3 innings over that span. EDGE: BREWERS
Chicago’s Jason Marquis is a disappointing 4-6 with a 4.23 ERA in 14 career appearances against Milwaukee. The Cubs picked up a 7-2 road victory over Milwaukee on June 4, as the right-hander worked 5 1/3 innings and allowed just one run. SLIGHT EDGE: BREWERS
Marquis has fallen off in June after going an impressive 3-1 with a 2.35 ERA in April. He’s a winless 0-2 with a 5.09 ERA in five starts this month. EDGE: BREWERS


Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners (4:05 PM ET)
Toronto’s Shaun Marcum has appeared in four games against Seattle, surrendering four runs and 14 hits in 6 2/3 innings against them. EDGE: OVER
Marcum has posted a 3-1 record and 3.31 ERA in 10 road appearances this season. He’s allowed just seven earned runs in 27 2/3 innings on the road as a starter. BIG EDGE: BLUE JAYS
Mariners starter Jeff Weaver is 5-9 with a 5.68 ERA in 16 career outings against the Blue Jays. He’s allowed 17 home runs in 96 2/3 innings against them. EDGE: BLUE JAYS & OVER
Weaver is a perfect 2-0 with a 1.82 ERA in June through four starts, after suffering through an 0-6 record during the first two months of the season. EDGE: MARINERS


Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET)
Diamondbacks starter Micah Owings is a perfect 2-0 on the road this season, even though he carries a 5.31 ERA into this contest away from Chase Field. EDGE: D-BACKS & OVER
Owings has limited experience under the sun this season, throwing just 8 1/3 innings and allowing five runs and 11 hits over 8 1/3 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: OVER
San Francisco’s Tim Lincecum bounced back nicely in his last start, after the Giants lost his previous five. The young right-hander tossed seven shutout innings and allowed just four hits in a 4-3 Giants victory over the Padres. SLIGHT EDGE: GIANTS
Lincecum has been blasted for 13 runs and 14 hits in 10 1/3 daytime innings in his rookie campaign so far. EDGE: OVER


San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers (4:10 PM ET)
San Diego’s Justin Germano is a perfect 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA in five starts away from Petco Park this season. He’s allowed just six earned runs and 21 hits over 30 innings of work on the road. BIG EDGE: PADRES & UNDER
The Padres have lost two straight games with Germano on the hill, as the offense has supplied the right-hander with just four runs. SLIGHT EDGE: DODGERS & UNDER
Dodgers starter Chad Billingsley is a perfect 4-0 on the season, but most of his work has come out of the bullpen. The right-hander has allowed seven runs in his last 7 2/3 innings as a starter. SLIGHT EDGE: PADRES
Billingsley has a brilliant 11-3 record and 3.58 ERA in 41 career outings on the grass versus 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA on the turf. EDGE: DODGERS


Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers (ESPN | 8:05 PM ET)
Minnesota’s Scott Baker is 2-1 with a 4.13 ERA in four career starts against Detroit. He’s walked just one batter in 24 innings against the Tigers. EDGE: TWINS & UNDER
Baker is coming off his best start of the season, as the right-hander fanned nine batters and walked just one in seven innings of work. The Twins have won two straight games with him on the hill. EDGE: TWINS
Detroit right-hander Jeremy Bonderman is a disappointing 2-6 with a 6.08 ERA in 12 career appearances against Minnesota. The Twins have knocked him around for 91 hits in just 66 2/3 innings. EDGE: TWINS & OVER
The Tigers have won eight of Bonderman’s last nine starts. BIG EDGE: TIGERS

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[pm530]

Baseball – Betting Notes

MLB


Sunday, July 1

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MLB Betting Notes
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Sunday’s MLB betting notes

Tough times ahead for Tampa

Tampa Bay has lost five straight games and are 16 games behind the Boston Red Sox in the AL East. MLB.com points out that it’s not going to get any easier for the Devil Rays with 52 of their last 85 games of the season against .500-or-better teams.

That statistic doesn’t include games against the New York Yankees due to the Bronx Bombers' losing record. It also doesn’t tell you that 18 of those 85 games will be against the Red Sox, as Tampa has yet to play them this season.

"It ain't going to be easy," Rays outfielder Carl Crawford told MLB.com. "That's for sure. We're just going to have to keep going out and playing hard. Play hard and play smart. That's all we can do."

Tampa closes out a three-game series against the Cleveland Indians with James Shields (6-3, 3.81 ERA) set to start. The Indians counter with Cliff Lee (4-4, 5.37 ERA) and are –139 favorites to take the game.

Eckstein expected to return

St. Louis Cardinals shortstop David Eckstein is due to come off the disabled list on Saturday and could make his first appearance in over two weeks Sunday.

Eckstein went through an extensive workout Friday and would be a welcome addition for the Cards in the series finale against the Cincinnati Reds. The shortstop was batting .312 with 12 RBI and two home runs before back problems put him on the DL.

St. Louis will send Mike Maroth (5-2, 4.73 ERA) to the mound to face the Reds' Homer Bailey (2-1, 6.41 ERA) on Sunday. The Cards are +100 underdogs to take the game with the total set at 10½.

Kinsler’s quick recovery

Texas Rangers second baseman Ian Kinsler is expected to return to the lineup for Sunday’s series closer against the Boston Red Sox, according to an MLB.com report. He's missed the past two games due to a sprained left foot.

Kinsler was hurt on a swing-and-miss early in Thursday’s game against Detroit, and left the ballpark on crutches that night. But he was seen walking in Boston without them on Friday and is hopeful of a quick recovery.

"It shouldn't be too long," Kinsler told MLB.com. "I'm hoping it won't be too long. We did treatment when I got to the ballpark and it felt better than when I left the hotel."

Kinsler is batting .241 with 35 RBIs and 14 home runs for the season. Sunday’s game at Fenway features a pitching duel between Kameron Loe (4-6, 6.02 ERA) and Julian Tavarez (5-5, 4.60 ERA), with Boston the –174 favorites.

Third base a charm for Nomar?

L.A. Dodgers slugger Nomar Garciaparra looks set to continue at third base for the foreseeable future. He was moved there on Tuesday to accommodate the hot-hitting James Looney and says he has no problem with the change.

"This team has been like this since last year," Garciaparra told reporters in a press conference on Thursday. "I'm going to go out there and do whatever they ask me to do to help the team."

Nomar is not a stranger to the position – he has played 36 games as a third baseman managing a .249 average with 22 RBIs and seven homers. In his first two games since this week's change he failed to get a hit in nine at bats, but on Friday night he managed one RBI and 3 hits in 4 at bats. So far this season he's batting .273 with 39 RBIs and one home run.

With Garciaparra at third, the Dodgers will close out a three-game series at San Diego on Sunday. San Diego's Justin Germano (5-1, 2.67 ERA) will face Chad Billingsley (4-0, 4.01 ERA) on the mound. L.A. is –110 favorites.

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[pm530]

Baseball – Gameday

MLB


Sunday, July 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gameday
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Sunday MLB Gameday

Jeremy Bonderman, Dan Haren, and John Lackey will all be looking to add to their impressive win totals when they take the mound on Sunday. Here's your MLB Gameday …

Oakland Athletics at New York Yankees, 1:05pm ET
Dan Haren (9-2, 1.91 ERA) vs. Andy Pettitte (4-5, 3.24 ERA)

Haren went 3-0 with two no-decisions for the Athletics in the month of June, allowing no more than three earned runs in any of those five outings. The righthander boosted his season mark to 9-2 with that strong stretch, and lowered his ERA to a miniscule 1.91. Haren has also managed to strike out 93 batters over 117.2 innings of work this season.

Pettitte's season mark has sunk to 4-5, but his ERA is still a respectable 3.24. In the month of June the Yankees lefthander went 1-1 with three no-decisions, giving up four, five, and six earned runs in three of those outings. Last time out, on the road against the Orioles, Pettitte bounced back with seven strong innings, allowing just two earned runs.


Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles, 1:35pm ET
John Lackey (10-5, 2.99 ERA) vs. Jeremy Guthrie (4-1, 2.45 ERA)

Lackey managed to go just 2-2 (with one no-decision) in the month of June, but overall he's 10-5 on the season with a 2.99 ERA. In his five June starts the Angels righthander allowed three or fewer earned runs three times, but gave up four runs to the Twins and was knocked around for six runs by the Astros. Lackey has fanned 82 batters this year.

Guthrie continues to pitch well for the Orioles. The righthander went just 1-0 with four no-decisions for Baltimore in the month of June, but he allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of those five outings. Guthrie is now 4-1 on the season, and his ERA is at 2.45. Last time out, against New York, Guthrie allowed two earned runs in 6 1-3 innings.


San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers, 4:10pm ET
Justin Germano (5-1, 2.67 ERA) vs. Chad Billingsley (4-0, 4.01 ERA)

Germano went 2-1 with two no-decisions for the Padres in June, beating the Nationals and the Devil Rays but losing to the Orioles. The righthander surrendered three or fewer earned runs in four of those five outings, giving up five to the Mariners on June 8. Last time out, against the Giants, Germano allowed two earned runs over six innings pitched.

Billingsley has taken over Jason Schmidt's spot in the Dodgers' rotation, and he'll be looking to keep his 4-0 season record unblemished. In his last appearance, against the Diamondbacks on June 26, the righthander surrendered five earned runs on four hits over four innings, but came away with a no-decision. Billingsley's ERA sits at 4.01 now.


Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers, 8:05pm ET
Scott Baker (2-2, 5.77 ERA) vs. Jeremy Bonderman (8-1, 3.90 ERA)

Baker made four starts in June, with mixed results. In his first two outings of the month the righthander allowed five and six earned runs to the Angels and Brewers, and picked up two losses. In his two most recent starts, though, Baker has held the Mets to only two earned runs and the Blue Jays to a single earned run, going 1-0 with a no-decision.

Bonderman went 4-1 for the Tigers in June, boosting his season mark to 8-1 and keeping his ERA steady at 3.90. The righthander has also struck out 82 batters in 90 innings of work in 2007. Bonderman's one loss in the month of June came last time out, when he allowed two earned runs on seven hits over seven innings against the Rangers.

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[Udog]

MLB
70% Situation


MLB (Sunday): Play Against MLB (NL) underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 with a team that has a batting average <=.255 facing a starting pitcher with an ERA =4.20 to 5.20, with a bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities.
(37-11 last 5 seasons.) (77.1%) PLAY: San Francisco -120

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel


Oakland at NY Yankees
Yesterday the Yankee bats were shut down (7-0) on a combined one-hitter by Chad Gaudin and Rich Harden. The shutout ran New York's scoreless streak to 16 straight innings. Today the Bronx Bombers have to face Oakland's Dan Haren (9-2, 1.91), who leads the A.L. in ERA and opponents' batting average (.194) while running his streak to 15 straight starts without a loss. The A's look like a good underdog pick (+135) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Oakland favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+135). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, JULY 1

Game 951-952: Atlanta at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Carlyle) 15.191; Florida (Willis) 14.242
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+130); Over

Game 953-954: St. Louis at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Maroth) 16.707; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.172
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-110); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110); Under

Game 955-956: Washington at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Bacsik) 14.369; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 15.645
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-170); Over

Game 957-958: NY Mets at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Perez) 17.183; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.162
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-140); Under

Game 959-960: Colorado at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Lopez) 15.631; Houston (Rodriguez) 15.441
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+140); Over

Game 961-962: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Bush) 17.540; Cubs (Marquis) 15.629
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2; 12
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-110); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-110); N/A

Game 963-964: Arizona at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Owings) 17.163; San Francisco (Lincecum) 14.473
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); Under

Game 965-966: San Diego at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Germano) 18.035; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 15.513
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Diego (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-115); Under

Game 967-968: Tampa Bay at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 13.953; Cleveland (Lee) 16.976
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 3; 11
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-160); Over

Game 969-970: Oakland at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Haren) 15.929; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 14.364
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+135); Over

Game 971-972: Minnesota at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 18.103; Detroit (Bonderman) 17.366
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-175); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+175); Over

Game 973-974: LA Angels at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Lackey) 15.902; Baltimore (Guthrie) 17.464
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+150); Over

Game 975-976: Texas at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Loe) 17.642; Boston (Tavarez) 16.735
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-200); 11
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+200); Under

Game 977-978: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Garland) 16.220; Kansas City (Thomson) 17.175
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+110); Under

Game 979-980: Toronto at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Marcum) 16.369; Seattle (Weaver) 17.349
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+110); Over

[Udog]

MLB
Streaking Pitchers


Sunday, July 1


HOT

Buddy Carlyle (Atlanta Braves) - Carlyle has been a real pal to Braves backers recently. The right-hander has won four of the last five times he's taken the mound for Atlanta. He'll face the Marlins as a +114 road underdog today.

Cliff Lee (Cleveland Indians) - The former Arkansas Razorback has allowed three runs or less in his last three outings with his team winning each of those contests. The Tribe have helped out their lefty in a big way by scoring a total of 25 runs during those starts. Cleveland is listed as a -139 favorite against lowly Tampa Bay (see below) today.

Kyle Kendrick (Philadelphia Phillies) - Philadelphia sports fans are arguably the toughest on their hometown teams. You'd be upset too if your city hasn't won a major sports championship since the Sixers won the Larry O'Brien trophy back in 1983. But Philly sports fan can't be upset with Kendrick. He has made three starts in his rookie season and the Phillies have tasted victory each time. The righty puts his streak on the line today at home as a +111 underdog against the Mets.

COLD

James Shields (Tampa Bay Devil Rays) - Tampa Bay hasn't been able to shield itself from losses when the California native has pitched recently. The Rays have scored less than seven runs total in his last three appearances, while his team has allowed the opposition to score a combined 25 runs during those three defeats. Tampa Bay enters its game in Cleveland as a +131 underdog.

Mike Bacsik (Washington Nationals) - Bacsik has made eight starts in a Nationals uniform this season and the team has a 1-7 record in those outings. He faces the Pirates for the second time in less than a month, but this time he goes in as an underdog. In fact, his previous outing against the Bucs was the only game he's been favored in all year. Bettors have since learned that it pays to bet against the southpaw. Pittsburgh's listed as a -145 favorite against Bacsik today.

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet


Sunday, July 1


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ATLANTA (43 - 38) at FLORIDA (37 - 44) - 1:05 PM
BUDDY CARLYLE (R) vs. DONTRELLE WILLIS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 122-121 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 55-67 (-22.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 120-117 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 34-43 (-13.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 56-62 (-18.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 207-217 (+36.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
ATLANTA is 84-43 (+27.2 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 19-32 (-17.5 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 16-25 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
FLORIDA is 16-25 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 6-5 (+3.9 Units) against ATLANTA this season
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.8 Units)

BUDDY CARLYLE vs. FLORIDA since 1997
CARLYLE is 1-1 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 5.23 and a WHIP of 1.355.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

DONTRELLE WILLIS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
WILLIS is 6-4 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.85 and a WHIP of 1.510.
His team's record is 9-7 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-11. (-9.7 units)




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ST LOUIS (35 - 42) at CINCINNATI (31 - 50) - 1:15 PM
MIKE MAROTH (L) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 129-125 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 12-22 (-13.9 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 129-125 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MAROTH is 20-11 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MAROTH is 16-8 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 31-50 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 15-24 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CINCINNATI is 54-79 (-36.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 36-52 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 31-50 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 3-10 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 9-21 (-12.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CINCINNATI is 15-26 (-14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 5-3 (+1.4 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

MIKE MAROTH vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
MAROTH is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.106.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

HOMER BAILEY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.




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WASHINGTON (32 - 48) at PITTSBURGH (35 - 45) - 1:35 PM
MIKE BACSIK (L) vs. PAUL MAHOLM (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 40-26 (+15.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 22-22 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 34-33 (+11.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 59-64 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 26-55 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

MIKE BACSIK vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
BACSIK is 0-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 12.47 and a WHIP of 2.540.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
MAHOLM is 0-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.422.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)




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NY METS (46 - 33) at PHILADELPHIA (41 - 40) - 1:35 PM
MIKE PELFREY (R) vs. KYLE KENDRICK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-13 (+12.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
NY METS are 149-102 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 27-14 (+11.1 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 23-14 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
NY METS are 37-18 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 51-30 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 23-14 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 108-70 (+21.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 15-5 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
NY METS are 16-6 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 67-47 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 62-61 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 62-61 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-28 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 6-4 (+0.7 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

MIKE PELFREY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

KYLE KENDRICK vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.




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COLORADO (39 - 42) at HOUSTON (34 - 47) - 2:05 PM
RODRIGO LOPEZ (R) vs. WANDY RODRIGUEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 93-147 (-42.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 105-164 (-60.2 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.
COLORADO is 21-15 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LOPEZ is 44-33 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
LOPEZ is 37-29 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LOPEZ is 44-32 (+14.6 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 34-47 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 266-262 (-59.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
HOUSTON is 34-47 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 25-36 (-13.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 18-28 (-12.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
HOUSTON is 17-26 (-11.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-3 (+0.2 Units) against HOUSTON this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

RODRIGO LOPEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
LOPEZ is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.625.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

WANDY RODRIGUEZ vs. COLORADO since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 2-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.88 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)




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MILWAUKEE (47 - 33) at CHICAGO CUBS (39 - 40) - 2:20 PM
DAVE BUSH (R) vs. JASON MARQUIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 44-74 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 42-70 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 34-56 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 58-66 (-17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BUSH is 12-31 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BUSH is 6-17 (-13.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUSH is 6-17 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUSH is 14-24 (-14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 47-33 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-11 (+11.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 39-40 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-21 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 6-11 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 56-74 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 39-40 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 37-46 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUIS is 75-81 (-32.4 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 6-5 (-0.3 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.7 Units)

DAVE BUSH vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
BUSH is 1-4 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.070.
His team's record is 1-6 (-6.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)

JASON MARQUIS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
MARQUIS is 3-6 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.28 and a WHIP of 1.428.
His team's record is 4-8 (-8.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-5. (+0.3 units)




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ARIZONA (46 - 36) at SAN FRANCISCO (34 - 45) - 4:05 PM
MICAH OWINGS (R) vs. TIME LINCECUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 46-36 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 21-17 (+6.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ARIZONA is 10-2 (+9.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
ARIZONA is 46-36 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 34-24 (+8.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 27-15 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OWINGS is 6-0 (+6.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 34-45 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 14-20 (-13.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-24 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 34-45 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 84-97 (-16.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 6-5 (+1.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.7 Units)

MICAH OWINGS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

TIME LINCECUM vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.




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SAN DIEGO (46 - 33) at LA DODGERS (45 - 36) - 4:10 PM
JUSTIN GERMANO (R) vs. CHAD BILLINGSLEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 22-13 (+8.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN DIEGO is 135-110 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 70-54 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 14-6 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 28-13 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 133-109 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 54-36 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 7-4 (+2.9 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

JUSTIN GERMANO vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GERMANO is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 12.26 and a WHIP of 2.180.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

CHAD BILLINGSLEY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
BILLINGSLEY is 0-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 5.56 and a WHIP of 1.765.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)




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TAMPA BAY (33 - 46) at CLEVELAND (48 - 32) - 1:05 PM
JAMES SHIELDS (R) vs. CLIFF LEE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 34-84 (-32.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 29-69 (-27.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 6-0 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-19 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-1 (+2.6 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
SHIELDS is 0-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 0.375.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

CLIFF LEE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
LEE is 3-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.73 and a WHIP of 0.968.
His team's record is 3-4 (-4.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.4 units)




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OAKLAND (41 - 39) at NY YANKEES (37 - 40) - 1:05 PM
DAN HAREN (R) vs. ANDY PETTITTE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 137-112 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 66-60 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 17-8 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 58-36 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 127-102 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 14-5 (+9.7 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 61-47 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 37-40 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 11-16 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY YANKEES are 34-35 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 28-27 (-13.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 18-22 (-12.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 (+1.5 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

DAN HAREN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HAREN is 3-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.11 and a WHIP of 1.274.
His team's record is 5-1 (+5.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)

ANDY PETTITTE vs. OAKLAND since 1997
PETTITTE is 6-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.24 and a WHIP of 1.067.
His team's record is 7-5 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-8. (-5.1 units)




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MINNESOTA (42 - 37) at DETROIT (46 - 33) - 8:05 PM
SCOTT BAKER (R) vs. JEREMY BONDERMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 150-105 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 29-13 (+13.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 137-91 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 100-65 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 138-106 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 92-68 (+13.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 82-56 (+19.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-16 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DETROIT is 4-10 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 (+2.1 Units) against DETROIT this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.3 Units)

SCOTT BAKER vs. DETROIT since 1997
BAKER is 2-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.208.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

JEREMY BONDERMAN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BONDERMAN is 2-6 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.17 and a WHIP of 1.660.
His team's record is 2-9 (-7.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.9 units)




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LA ANGELS (50 - 31) at BALTIMORE (35 - 44) - 1:35 PM
JOHN LACKEY (R) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 21-13 (+8.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA ANGELS are 113-92 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 39-23 (+19.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 75-57 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 74-61 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 156-143 (+35.5 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 229-162 (+31.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
LACKEY is 27-16 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LACKEY is 25-14 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 19-42 (-25.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 96-107 (-27.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 9-21 (-15.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 22-41 (-21.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 96-107 (-27.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 47-88 (-30.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 4-2 (+0.4 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LACKEY is 5-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 6-2 (+3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.5 units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GUTHRIE is 0-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.375.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)




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TEXAS (33 - 47) at BOSTON (49 - 30) - 2:05 PM
KAMERON LOE (R) vs. JULIAN TAVAREZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 20-5 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
BOSTON is 38-19 (+14.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAVAREZ is 26-13 (+19.4 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 67-55 (+21.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 11 to 11.5 since 1997.
TEXAS is 33-31 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-3 (+0.4 Units) against TEXAS this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

KAMERON LOE vs. BOSTON since 1997
LOE is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.302.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.0 units)

JULIAN TAVAREZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
TAVAREZ is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 7.45 and a WHIP of 1.861.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)




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CHI WHITE SOX (34 - 43) at KANSAS CITY (34 - 47) - 2:10 PM
JON GARLAND (R) vs. JOHN THOMSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-43 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 17-24 (-9.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 11-21 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 27-36 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
GARLAND is 2-8 (-7.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 96-148 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 77-95 (+33.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 118-90 (+26.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 171-110 (+42.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 144-91 (+32.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
GARLAND is 27-16 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARLAND is 20-8 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARLAND is 32-15 (+16.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 5-2 (+2.1 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JON GARLAND vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GARLAND is 13-5 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.91 and a WHIP of 1.232.
His team's record is 16-11 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-12. (+1.1 units)

JOHN THOMSON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
THOMSON is 1-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)




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TORONTO (39 - 41) at SEATTLE (44 - 33) - 4:05 PM
SHAUN MARCUM (R) vs. JEFF WEAVER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 38-58 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 44-33 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 26-15 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SEATTLE is 16-5 (+11.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
SEATTLE is 42-32 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 26-17 (+10.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TORONTO is 68-47 (+17.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
WEAVER is 57-65 (-24.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-0 (+2.3 Units) against TORONTO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

SHAUN MARCUM vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MARCUM is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 10.11 and a WHIP of 3.371.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JEFF WEAVER vs. TORONTO since 1997
WEAVER is 5-9 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.46 and a WHIP of 1.411.
His team's record is 6-9 (-4.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-5. (+4.5 units)




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[Udog]

MLB
Hot Lines


Sunday, July 1


Oakland Athletics at New York Yankees (-133, 8 ½)

The great thing about the overwhelming public appeal of the New York Yankees is that it gives baseball bettors situations like today. With the Yankee Nation backing the Bronx at home, oddsmakers have hung an enticing dog tag on Oakland and star pitcher Danny Haren.

Haren, who leads the majors with a 1.91 ERA, usually raises the price on the A’s. His starts get an average moneyline of around -180, but today Oakland is a +130 road pup. The right-hander hasn’t given up more than three earned runs in a single start this season and is facing a lineup that mustered only one hit during Saturday’s contest.

Although he stumbled a bit against New York back on April 13, Haren is 3-0 with a 3.11 ERA in six career starts versus the Yankees.

Pick: Athletics +130

Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners (+106, 9 ½)

In honor of our Canadian readers, who are celebrating their nation’s 140th birthday today, we are taking a look at the Toronto Blue Jays’ matchup with the Mariners this afternoon.

Toronto is 4-4 on July 1 since 1999 and has won the last three games played on the national holiday. During these three contests the Blue Jays have outscored opponents 34-4. Before this winning stretch they were shut out for three straight years on Canada Day.

Toronto sends Shaun Marcum to the bump today hoping to avoid a three-game sweep at the hands of the Seattle Mariners. The right-hander has yet to record a loss in his nine starts this season but has six no-decisions. Toronto is 6-3 during Marcum’s appearances, who is 3-0 with a 2.26 ERA since taking a starting role in mid May.

Pick: Blue Jays -111



Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers (-164, 9 ½)

Tigers pitcher Jeremy Bonderman no longer has to throw with a monkey on his back.

Bonderman was flirting with franchise history as well as being mentioned in the same breath as “undefeated season” after starting the year 8-0 in his first 14 starts. Monday’s 8-3 loss to the Texas Rangers this past Monday was his first defeat in his last 21 starts carrying over from 2006.

The righty didn’t pitch all that badly, allowing only two earned runs in seven innings which included a season-high nine strikeouts. However, Bonderman did make a costly throwing error which led to two unearned scores by the Rangers.

He tries to get back on track today against the Twins, who despite scoring 27 total runs in their last three games haven’t been hitting the ball that well. During those contests, Minnesota batted only .245 at the plate, but Twins batters also hit six home runs and walked 14 times.

Pick: Tigers -164