Saturday Trends and Indexes 05/19

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel


Florida at Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay saw its four-game winning streak come to an end last night, but will look to get it restarted with Jae Seo on the mound today. Seo started the win streak with a solid performance against Toronto last Sunday in which he tossed seven shutout innings. The pitcher usually putting up those kind of numbers -- Dontrelle Willis -- has struggled recently, dropping his last two starts while watching his ERA climb over 5.00 (5.14). The D-Rays look like a decent underdog pick (+127) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Tampa favored straight up by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+127). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, MAY 19

Game 901-902: Arizona at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Owings) 15.199; Pittsburgh (Gorzelanny) 16.937
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-145); Over

Game 903-904: Atlanta at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lerew) 15.910; Boston (Matsuzaka) 18.647
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 905-906: Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Vazquez) 14.729; Cubs (Marquis) 17.379
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-138); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-138); N/A

Game 907-908: NY Yankees at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Rasner) 15.769; NY Mets (Glavine) 17.703
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-137); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-137); Under

Game 909-910: Cincinnati at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Belisle) 15.235; Cleveland (Sowers) 16.544
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-162); 10
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-162); Under

Game 911-912: Minnesota at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 15.117; Milwaukee (Bush) 16.831
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-170); Under

Game 913-914: St. Louis at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Reyes) 14.015; Detroit (Robertson) 16.801
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 3; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-172); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-172); Over

Game 915-916: Baltimore at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 15.912; Washington (Bacsik) 16.283
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 917-918: Texas at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Koronka) 14.676; Houston (Rodriguez) 16.644
Dunkel Line: Houston by 2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 919-920: Toronto at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Marcum) 15.075; Philadelphia (Moyer) 17.270
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-175); Under

Game 921-922: Florida at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Willis) 14.278; Tampa Bay (Seo) 14.960
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Florida (-127); 10
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+127); Over

Game 923-924: Kansas City at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Meche) 17.192; Colorado (Buchholz) 14.862
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-114); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-114); Under

Game 925-926: LA Dodgers at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Hendrickson) 17.278; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.713
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+135); Under

Game 927-928: San Francisco at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 16.254; Oakland (Haren) 16.010
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+140); Over

Game 929-930: San Diego at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Maddux) 17.067; Seattle (Ramirez) 15.030
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-120); Under

Game 931-932: Atlanta at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Smoltz) 17.362; Boston (Hansack) 16.910
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Udog]

MLB
Hot Lines


Saturday, May 19


New York Yankees at New York Mets (-126, 9 ½)

Whatever happened to the new Murderer’s Row? The Yankees batting order was considered one of the best the team had ever assembled going into this season, but over the last eight games New York is averaging only three runs a game.

“Right now, we’re probably pressing a little bit,” Yankees manager Joe Torre told the New York Times after last night’s 3-2 loss to the Mets. “And sometimes when you want things bad enough, that makes them tougher to get. The fact that we held a good offense to three runs with the way our offense is supposed to be, that should be enough, but it wasn’t.”

Things don’t get any easier for the Yankee bats today as they face another lefty, Tom Glavine. The Yankees batting order is heavy with left-handed hitters and the team has gone 3-8 when facing a southpaw pitcher this season.

Pick: Mets –126




San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners (+102, 8 ½)

Richie Sexson is killing the Mariners offense right now. The cleanup hitter struck out three times last night bringing his batting average down to an embarrassing .162. The home fans booed their first baseman loudly after striking out with runners in scoring position.

“I deserve it. I played horrible,” Sexson told Seattle Post-Intelligencer. “All I can do is continue to work hard. It’s their right. They pay money to come to these games and watch us do well and watch us succeed, and I’m not doing well.”

Facing a crafty veteran like Greg Maddux shouldn’t help reverse the trend today. Maddux pitched a complete game, surrendered only one run and no walks in his last outing.

Pick: Padres -110




Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs (-124, N/A)

White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen had one of his trademark blowups yesterday during an on-air radio show after the host questioned Guillen’s decisions regarding the lineup.

He went on an expletive tirade and was in a foul mood until the first pitch of yesterday’s game. Although the Sox lost the game, Guillen's performance should be a good sign for the team. He's an emotional manager but his team has been playing without much motivation so far this season.

Cubs starter Jason Marquis is not as good as his numbers this year indicate. He had a 6.02 ERA last year and he gave up four runs in five innings in his last outing. The White Sox should be able to rough up Marquis today.

Pick: White Sox +116

[Udog]

MLB
Streaking Pitchers


Saturday, May 19


Hot

Daisuke Matsuzaka (Boston Red Sox) - Coming off his best major league start to date, Matsuzaka gets his first taste of interleague play today when he opens a day-night double header against the Braves. The Japanese superstar is 5-2 with a 4.17 ERA and has been impressive in his last two starts, allowing a combined two runs over 16 innings. The BoSox have won Matsuzaka's last five starts, playing over in four of the games.

Cold

Anthony Reyes (St. Louis Cardinals) - What a difference a season makes when it comes to Anthony Reyes. Last season the Cards right-hander made a name for himself in the World Series versus the Detroit Tigers and has been searching for the same kind of success ever since. Reyes is 0-6 with a 5.08 ERA this season and has not won a regular season game since September. The Cardinals haven't helped out much, giving him just six total runs of support during the winless streak.

Jeremy Sowers (Cleveland Indians) - The Indians are hot at Jacobs Field, winning eight straight heading into today. Backers hope the trend will continue with a struggling pitcher on the hill. Jeremy Sowers has made seven starts this season, but is still looking for his first win since Sept. 5. The left-hander has allowed six runs in each of his last two starts and has an 6.56 ERA. He lost his only career start against the Reds last June 25.

[Udog]

MLB
Revised Short Sheet


Saturday, May 19th

National League

Arizona at Pittsburgh, 7:05 EST
Micah Owings (R) vs. Tom Gorzelanny (L)
Owings: Ari 0-8 as a road underdog of +125 to +175
Gorzelanny: 3-0 TSR after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing


Interleague

Atlanta at Boston, 1:05 EST GAME 1
Anthony Lerew (R) vs. Daisuke Matsuzaka (R)
Lerew: Atl 1-5 vs. Boston
Matsuzaka: Bos 16-2 in interleague play


Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs, 3:55 EST FOX
Javier Vazquez (R) vs. Jason Marquis (R)
Vazquez: ChW 30-11 in interleague play
Marquis: ChC 45-65 in day games


NY Yankees at NY Mets, 3:55 EST FOX
Darrell Rasner (R) vs. Tom Glavine (L)
Rasner: NYY 16-3 Over as a road underdog of +100 to +150
Glavine: 22-3 TSR at home when the total is 9 to 9.5


Cincinnati at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Matt Belisle (R) vs. Jeremy Sowers (L)
Belisle: Cin 4-15 in May
Sowers: Cle 11-0 as a favorite of -150 or more

Minnesota at Milwaukee, 7:05 EST
Scott Baker (R) vs. Dave Bush (R)
Baker: Min 17-2 in interleague play
Bush: Mil 24-8 Over on Saturdays


St. Louis at Detroit, 7:05 EST
Anthony Reyes (R) vs. Nate Robertson (L)
Reyes: 0-7 TSR this season
Robertson: 10-1 Under in interleague play
Over/Under Winner From MTi Sports

Baltimore at Washington, 7:05 EST
Jeremy Guthrie (R) vs. Jason Bergmann (R)
Guthrie: Bal 15-44 as an underdog of +125 to +175
Bergmann: Wash 6-1 at home with OBP of .300 or worse L10 games

Texas at Houston, 7:05 EST
John Koronka (L) vs. Wandy Rodriguez (L)
Eyre: 7-1 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175
Rogriguez: Hou 5-2 Under vs. Texas


Toronto at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
Shaun Marcum (R) vs. Jamie Moyer (L)
Marcum: Tor 12-5 Over in road games
Moyer: 23-5 TSR as a home favorite of -110 or higher

Florida at Tampa Bay, 7:10 EST
Dontrelle Willis (L) vs. Jae Seo (R)
Willis: 14-3 TSR Away with a money line of -100 to -125
Seo: TB 5-2 Under at home vs. Florida


Kansas City at Colorado, 8:05 EST
Gil Meche (R) vs. Taylor Buchholz (R)
Meche: KC 5-22 when the total is 9 to 9.5
Buchholz: Col 16-3 Under at home in May


LA Dodgers at LA Angels, 9:05 EST
Mark Hendrickson (L) vs. Jered Weaver (R)
Hendrickson: LAD 1-18 Away in interleague play
Weaver: LAA 17-5 Under when the money line is -100 to -150


San Francisco at Oakland, 9:05 EST
Matt Cain (R) vs. Dan Haren (R)
Cain: 0-6 TSR in night games
Haren: Oak 14-3 Under off a win


San Diego at Seattle, 10:05 EST
Justin Germano (R) vs. Horacio Ramirez (L)
Germano: SD 13-3 Over after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games
Ramirez: 3-0 TSR, 1.45 ERA at home



Write-In Game

Atlanta at Boston, 1:05 EST GAME 2
John Smoltz (R) vs. Devern Hansack (R)
Smoltz: Atl 8-1 Away when the money line is +125 to -125
Hansack: Bos 11-0 Over at home at home with a money line of -100 to -125

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


Ottawa at Buffalo
The Sabres staved off elimination with a gutsy road win (3-2) in Game Four and now return home with some momentum. But the Senators haven't been intimidated on the road this postseason and come in with a 6-1 record, including wins in Games One and Two of this series. The Senators look like a good underdog pick in this one according to Dunkel, which has Ottawa favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, MAY 19

Game 51-52: Ottawa at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 14.377; Buffalo 12.816
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+1 1/2); Under

[Kaptain]

Thanks once again fellows----appreciate all your hard work, and the consideration of sharing----that's what we're all about, and you guys display it daily.....thanks

[GrandPa]

Ditto

[Dennis14072]

Thanks Guys, good luck tonight!

[Spark]

Thanks once again fellows----appreciate all your hard work, and the consideration of sharing----that's what we're all about, and you guys display it daily.....thanks

They sure do Kaptain ... I have the opportunity to speak to them via e-mail .. they are great ... awesome to have them here at BC ...

Thanks Guys