Friday Trends and Indexes 05/11

[Spearit]

HOT

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers are off to an amazing start. They own the league's best record (23-10) and they’ve won nine of their last 10 games. Since opening the year 3-4 the Brew Crew have won 20 of their last 26 games.

Milwaukee’s starting pitching staff has been consistent and the emergence of shortstop J.J. Hardy has sparked the offense. In the last 22 games the Brewers have won eight of 10 games when listed as an underdog.

The value in backing Milwaukee appears to be declining. The Brewers hadn’t been huge favorites, but were -205 or higher faves in three straight games this week.

Detroit Tigers

The defending American League champs have won eight consecutive games. The streak started with a win against the Minnesota Twins and their ace Johan Santana.

Oddsmakers have favored the Tigers in each of their last seven games entering Wednesday’s game. But bettors should pay attention to the Tigers middle relief situation now that Joel Zumaya is out for three months. Manager Jim Leyland will have to do some juggling with his bullpen to fill the void left by Zumaya.

Gary Sheffield is becoming a force in the middle of the lineup. After sleeping through most of April, the Tigers’ designated hitter has hit four home runs and collected eight RBIs in his last six games.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubbies are finally starting to show some value after a shaky start to the season. Manager Lou Piniella has his team playing with enthusiasm, something the club lacked under former manager Dusty Baker.

Chicago's won eight of 10 heading into Wednesday night's game, but bettors should be cautious before investing their bankroll on this team. Only two of the Cubs wins came as an underdog. The Cubs’ hot play has come at the expense of three bad teams.

Still, with Alfonso Soriano, Derrek Lee and Aramis Ramirez, the Cubs lineup has plenty of pop and Jason Marquis and Ted Lilly have pitched exceptionally well at the back end of the rotation. The NL Central possesses some of the most disappointing teams in the league so the Cubs could continue to cash in during divisional play.

COLD

Toronto Blue Jays

Injuries have severely hurt the Jays. Toronto is missing starting catcher Gregg Zaun, leadoff hitter Reed Johnson, closer B.J. Ryan and No. 3 starter Gustavo Chacin.

They only have two left-handed batters in their lineup, which helps explain why the team is hitting just .251 off right-handed pitching.

The Jays haven’t been huge dogs in any games yet so betting against them could still be profitable.

St. Louis Cardinals

It’s been a rough season for the defending World Series champions. The team’s ace hasn’t pitched since opening day, the leadoff spot has been a disaster and the death of relief pitcher Josh Hancock have all hurt the team's play.

The Cards have lost seven of their last 10 games and they’ve played under the total in five of their last six. If the St. Louis bats get hot, the team should start improving. They have one of the best bullpens in the league and, even without Chris Carpenter, the rotation has pitched well.

Jim Edmonds and Scott Rolen must start hitting to give slugger Albert Pujols proper protection in the batting order. The Cardinals are the third-worst hitting team in the big leagues.

Chicago White Sox

Scoring runs has proven to be a difficult task so far this season for the White Sox. Chicago has scored only 114 runs in 29 games. Sluggers Jermaine Dye, Paul Konerko and Joe Crede are all hitting below .225.

Manager Ozzie Guillen must be anxiously awaiting the return of DH Jim Thome. Thome was the only productive bat in April, but he’s been on the disabled list with a strained rib cage this month. Add to that the fact that leadoff hitter Scott Podsednik is on the DL with a groin injury and things look even worse for Chicago’s lethargic offense.

The White Sox have lost and played under in six of their last eight games heading into Wednesday's game.

[pm530]

Baseball – Long Sheet

MLB
Long Sheet


Friday, May 11

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FLORIDA (16 - 18) at WASHINGTON (9 - 25) - 7:05 PM
SCOTT OLSEN (L) vs. SHAWN HILL (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 4-2 (+1.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.0 Units)

SCOTT OLSEN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
OLSEN is 2-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.735.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

SHAWN HILL vs. FLORIDA since 1997
HILL is 0-1 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.091.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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ATLANTA (22 - 12) at PITTSBURGH (15 - 18) - 7:05 PM
KYLE DAVIES (R) vs. ZACH DUKE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 44-54 (-19.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 68-71 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 46-54 (-20.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 34-21 (+14.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 60-66 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 38-29 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 203-215 (+28.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
DUKE is 9-1 (+7.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 17-9 (+10.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KYLE DAVIES vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
DAVIES is 1-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.98 and a WHIP of 1.097.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

ZACH DUKE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
DUKE is 1-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP of 1.044.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (16 - 16) at PHILADELPHIA (15 - 19) - 7:05 PM
RICH HILL (L) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 83-112 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 13-24 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 83-109 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 40-55 (-20.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 85-104 (-35.3 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 47-47 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-17 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 47-47 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 65-69 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-12 (-9.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

RICH HILL vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
HILL is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

COLE HAMELS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
HAMELS is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 22.50 and a WHIP of 4.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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MILWAUKEE (24 - 10) at NY METS (21 - 12) - 7:10 PM
JEFF SUPPAN (R) vs. JORGE SOSA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 35-59 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 12-27 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 124-81 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 66-36 (+18.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 122-80 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 93-57 (+22.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 54-33 (+17.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 24-10 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 24-10 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 45-36 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JEFF SUPPAN vs. NY METS since 1997
SUPPAN is 4-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.78 and a WHIP of 1.085.
His team's record is 7-1 (+7.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.6 units)

JORGE SOSA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
SOSA is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 0.84 and a WHIP of 1.407.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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ARIZONA (19 - 17) at HOUSTON (16 - 18) - 8:05 PM
BRANDON WEBB (R) vs. CHRIS SAMPSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 141-155 (-43.2 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRANDON WEBB vs. HOUSTON since 1997
WEBB is 2-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.78 and a WHIP of 1.047.
His team's record is 4-1 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.4 units)

CHRIS SAMPSON vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

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SAN FRANCISCO (17 - 17) at COLORADO (15 - 20) - 9:05 PM
TIME LINCECUM (R) vs. JOSH FOGG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-12 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 35-51 (-24.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 573-449 (+92.3 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 319-291 (+47.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-3 (+0.1 Units) against COLORADO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

TIME LINCECUM vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

JOSH FOGG vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
FOGG is 3-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.26 and a WHIP of 1.511.
His team's record is 5-3 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.7 units)

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ST LOUIS (14 - 18) at SAN DIEGO (18 - 17) - 10:05 PM
KIP WELLS (R) vs. JAKE PEAVY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 108-101 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 108-101 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 5-12 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 107-102 (-31.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 12-26 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 26-14 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KIP WELLS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
WELLS is 4-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.252.
His team's record is 5-1 (+5.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

JAKE PEAVY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
PEAVY is 1-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.03 and a WHIP of 1.662.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.6 units)

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CINCINNATI (15 - 20) at LA DODGERS (20 - 15) - 10:40 PM
BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. RANDY WOLF (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 15-25 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 7-18 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 22-9 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 65-34 (+23.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 392-433 (+62.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 21-10 (+13.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 332-382 (+45.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 197-195 (+50.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRONSON ARROYO vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
ARROYO is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

RANDY WOLF vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WOLF is 5-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.066.
His team's record is 6-5 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-8. (-6.0 units)

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BALTIMORE (17 - 18) at BOSTON (23 - 10) - 7:05 PM
BRIAN BURRES (L) vs. JULIAN TAVAREZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 13-23 (-15.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 39-76 (-28.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 184-153 (-46.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
BOSTON is 242-229 (-48.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
BOSTON is 273-215 (-51.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

BRIAN BURRES vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

JULIAN TAVAREZ vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
TAVAREZ is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 2.200.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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TAMPA BAY (14 - 20) at TORONTO (13 - 21) - 7:05 PM
SCOTT KAZMIR (L) vs. A.J. BURNETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 26-73 (-31.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 6-25 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in road games in May games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 17-50 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 15-54 (-30.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 23-46 (-21.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 15-5 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 30-11 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 99-110 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 13-21 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 0-9 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in May games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. TORONTO since 1997
KAZMIR is 2-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.352.
His team's record is 2-7 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.5 units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BURNETT is 5-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.56 and a WHIP of 0.881.
His team's record is 6-3 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.8 units)

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LA ANGELS (19 - 16) at TEXAS (14 - 20) - 8:05 PM
JOHN LACKEY (R) vs. VICENTE PADILLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 53-35 (+20.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 153-113 (+36.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 86-69 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 54-25 (+29.3 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
TEXAS is 3-13 (-9.9 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. TEXAS since 1997
LACKEY is 7-8 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.38 and a WHIP of 1.504.
His team's record is 11-9 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-10. (-0.6 units)

VICENTE PADILLA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
PADILLA is 3-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.93 and a WHIP of 1.586.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.7 units)

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DETROIT (21 - 12) at MINNESOTA (17 - 17) - 8:10 PM
MIKE MAROTH (L) vs. JOHAN SANTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 81-56 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SANTANA is 107-42 (+45.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 62-19 (+30.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 30-7 (+18.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 34-7 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 38-11 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 35-8 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 125-84 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 64-41 (+24.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-9 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games in May games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 83-48 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 78-45 (+22.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MAROTH is 13-2 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MAROTH is 19-7 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MAROTH is 11-2 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 (+1.5 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

MIKE MAROTH vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MAROTH is 3-9 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.78 and a WHIP of 1.416.
His team's record is 6-11 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-10. (-4.7 units)

JOHAN SANTANA vs. DETROIT since 1997
SANTANA is 10-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.87 and a WHIP of 1.047.
His team's record is 11-5 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-7. (+0.6 units)

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KANSAS CITY (11 - 24) at CHI WHITE SOX (16 - 15) - 8:10 PM
ODALIS PEREZ (L) vs. JON GARLAND (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 3-18 (-14.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 217-150 (+33.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 136-81 (+36.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 58-81 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 60-80 (+22.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PEREZ is 18-7 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 33-38 (-14.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

ODALIS PEREZ vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
PEREZ is 0-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.65 and a WHIP of 1.348.
His team's record is 0-4 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

JON GARLAND vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GARLAND is 12-5 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.265.
His team's record is 15-11 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-12. (+0.1 units)

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CLEVELAND (20 - 12) at OAKLAND (17 - 16) - 10:05 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. JOE BLANTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 62-71 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 113-89 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 103-79 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 118-85 (+26.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 52-41 (+18.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 19-6 (+12.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

C.C. SABATHIA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SABATHIA is 1-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 6.40 and a WHIP of 1.712.
His team's record is 3-7 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+0.8 units)

JOE BLANTON vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
BLANTON is 0-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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NY YANKEES (16 - 17) at SEATTLE (15 - 15) - 10:05 PM
DARRELL RASNER (R) vs. JARROD WASHBURN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 209-155 (-43.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 35-35 (-16.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 30-38 (-23.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 27-32 (-21.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 97-48 (+29.1 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-2 (+1.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

DARRELL RASNER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
RASNER is 1-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.882.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

JARROD WASHBURN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
WASHBURN is 5-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.96 and a WHIP of 1.233.
His team's record is 6-5 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-2. (+6.8 units)

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[pm530]

Baseball - Dunkel Index

MLB
Dunkel Index


Detroit at Minnesota
The Tigers come into this series having won nine of their last 10, a hot streak that started with Mike Maroth beating Johan Santana back on April 29. Maroth takes the mound tonight and has helped Detroit to a perfect 6-0 mark when he starts despite a fairly high 5.42 ERA. Santana comes in with a better ERA (3.40), but has not benefited from the run support as the Twins have dropped three of his last five starts. Overall Minnesota is just 3-7 in its last 10 games. The Tigers look like a good underdog pick (+210) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Detroit favored straight up by 3. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+210). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, MAY 11

Game 901-902: Florida at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Olsen) 15.185; Washington (Hill) 14.998
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Florida (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-120); Under

Game 903-904: Atlanta at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Davies) 15.654; Pittsburgh (Duke) 16.465
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-116); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+116); Over

Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago Cubs (Hill) 17.153; Philadelphia (Hamels) 17.246
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120); Over

Game 907-908: Milwaukee at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Suppan) 19.360; NY Mets (Sosa) 17.341
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+125); Over

Game 909-910: Arizona at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Webb) 17.697; Houston (Sampson) 16.403
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-125); Under

Game 911-912: San Francisco at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.099; Colorado (Fogg) 14.471
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-118); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+118); Under

Game 913-914: St. Louis at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wells) 13.176; San Diego (Peavy) 16.954
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-250); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-250); Over

Game 915-916: Cincinnati at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.809; LA Dodgers (Wolf) 16.280
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-116); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-116); Over

Game 917-918: Baltimore at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Burres) 15.354; Boston (Tavarez) 17.491
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-150); Under

Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 15.587; Toronto (Burnett) 14.111
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+135); Over

Game 921-922: LA Angels at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Lackey) 15.188; Texas (Padilla) 14.153
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-139); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-139); Under

Game 923-924: Detroit at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Maroth) 18.687; Minnesota (Santana) 15.859
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 3; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-210); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+210); Over

Game 925-926: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Perez) 13.908; White Sox (Garland) 14.954
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-180); Under

Game 927-928: Cleveland at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sabathia) 17.692; Oakland (Blanton) 16.939
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-140); Over

Game 929-930: NY Yankees at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Rasner) 16.637; Seattle (Washburn) 16.405
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-120); Under

[kbsooner21]

Thanks guys! Good luck and have a great day!

[pm530]

Pro Basketball - Dunkel Index

NBA
Dunkel Index


Utah at Golden State
The Warriors are down 0-2 in the series and facing adversity for the first time in the postseason. But Don Nelson's team should gain some confidence in knowing that one or two bounces their way along with some made free throws would have Golden State up 2-0. The Warriors also look to have a fairly significant advantage of playing in front of a loud Oracle Arena crowd, which helped GS post a 3-0 mark straight up and ATS against Dallas in the last series. In a must-win situation, the Warriors look like a good pick to cover the Vegas line (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Golden State favored by 12. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, MAY 11

Game 705-706: Utah at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 118.810; Golden State 130.768
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 12; 227
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 5 1/2; 217
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-5 1/2); Over

[pm530]

Hockey - Dunkel Index

NHL
Dunkel Index


Anaheim at Detroit
Detroit's defense, which boasts Norris Trophy finalist Nicklas Lidstrom along with former Norris winner Chris Chelios, was able to shut down the potent San Jose offense to advance to the conference finals. Six-time Vezina Trophy winner Dominik Hasek also had a lot to do with the Red Wings' dominance of the Sharks and comes into this series giving up just 1.5 goals per game in the postseason. But as good as the Wings' defense is, Anaheim's might be better with two Norris finalists (Scott Niedermayer and Chris Pronger) along with goalie Jean-Sebastien Giguere, who led the Ducks to the 2003 Stanley Cup finals and has allowed a league-low 1.28 goals in this year's playoffs. The Ducks thoroughly dominated Minnesota and Vancouver in five-game sets and showed an ability to win on the road (3-1 postseason record) that should help tonight. Anaheim looks like a good underdog pick in this one according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored straight up by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, MAY 11

Game 53-54: Anaheim at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 13.907; Detroit 13.198
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+1 1/2); Under

[pm530]

Baseball – Hot Lines

MLB
Hot Lines


Thursday, May 10

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Florida Marlins at Washington Nationals (+103, 8 ½)

Shawn Hill might be the most underrated pitcher in baseball. Pitching for the Nationals will do that. The 26-year-old right-hander has thrown a quality game in all seven of his appearances this season, allowing just two runs in six of his starts and three runs in the other.

Washington’s ineptitude at the plate means Hill is just 2-3, but his 3.00 ERA and 1.13 WHIP will eventually get him noticed. He is making his first start at home since April 8 tonight after five straight starts on the road.

Hill will face a Florida team batting just .244 with a .678 OPS over the last week. The Marlins managed just five hits yesterday afternoon in a 3-0 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Florida's last hit of the game was a big one. Outfielder Josh Willingham hit a walk-off three-run home run in the bottom of the ninth to win it. Expect a bit of a letdown for Florida after such an emotional win.

Scott Olsen will pitch for the Marlins.

Pick: Nationals +103



Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets (-122, 9)

This weekend’s battle for National League supremacy should be great. The Mets had the league’s best regular season record last year by nine games, and were also the NL’s top money team, earning 17.28 units, meaning anyone who bet on every Mets game last season would have taken home 17.28 times their average wager by season's end.

The Brewers are on a similar pace this year. Their 24-10 record is two games clear of the Atlanta Braves for the league’s best record, and their 14.64 units earned is more than double that of the next best NL team (also Atlanta). Of course, New York is no slouch at 21-12 and 4.40 units earned.

This is a much bigger series for the Brewers than it is the Mets. Milwaukee still hasn’t proven itself against a top-notch team. The Brewers have played their last 10 games at home against Washington, Pittsburgh and a grieving St. Louis team, going 9-1. They will notice the increased level of play against a confident and established Mets team tonight.

Jeff Suppan will pitch for Milwaukee. Jorge Sosa will start for New York.

Pick: Mets -122



New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners (+101, 9 ½)

Darrell Rasner has been one of the better pitchers on the Yankees’ starting staff this season with a 2.75 ERA in four starts, but he also struggles to pitch deep into games. That will be a problem for a New York team that used three relievers in yesterday’s 14-2 loss to the Texas Rangers, and five relievers in a 6-2 win the day before.

The Yankees bullpen is beginning to struggle this season after a hot start. Their 4.51 ERA is the fourth worst in the majors.

Seattle bats are beginning to heat up. The Mariners are averaging 5.5 runs per game over the last week, during which time they are 3-4 despite being at least a +133 underdog in every game.

A team’s bullpen has to be strong to beat this deep and deadly Yankees lineup and the Mariners pass that test. Seattle relievers are 5-1 on the season, and their 3.55 ERA is 10th best in the majors.

Jarrod Washburn will start for the Mariners. He allowed three runs in 5 1/3 innings the last time he faced New York – a 5-0 Yankees win on May 6.

Pick: Mariners +101

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[pm530]

Baseball – Streaking Pitchers

MLB
Streaking Pitchers


Friday, May 11

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HOT

Bronson Arroyo (Cincinnati Reds) – Arroyo started the year without much help from his teammates. He pitched well in his first five games, allowing just two earned runs or less in all but one of those starts, yet he still went 0-2. Arroyo's latest two outings yielded wins, however. He has pitched into the seventh inning in five of his seven starts this year. The Reds are +111 underdogs against the Chicago Cubs tonight.


Jeff Suppan (Milwaukee Brewers) – After opening the year with two straight losses, Suppan has been extraordinary, going 5-0 with a 2.05 ERA and one complete game. He was forced to leave his last start after being hit in the leg by a ground ball but isn’t expected to be bothered by it. Books have Milwaukee as a +114 underdog against the Mets tonight.


Scott Kazmir (Tampa Bay Devil Rays) – The D-Rays are 3-0 in Kazmir’s last three outings with their ace allowing just four earned runs over that stretch. He'll face the Toronto Blue Jays tonight, the only team that's beaten him this season. This time around, the Jays are riding a nine-game losing streak while Tampa is on a four-game slide. Oddsmakers have the Devil Rays as +118 dogs.


COLD

Randy Wolf (Los Angeles Dodgers) – Things were looking up for Wolf early in the season when he reeled off three wins in his first four starts as a Dodger. He has since dropped two of his last three outings, however, posting a 6.35 ERA over that stretch. While going undefeated in afternoon affairs this season, Wolf has struggled in night games going 1-3 with an ERA over six. Bad news, since he faces the L.A. Dodgers tonight as a –119 fave.


Kip Wells (St. Louis Cardinals) – If there’s one thing you can always count on, it’s finding Wells on the cold starting pitchers list. He has had just one winning season in his 10-year career, but that didn’t stop the Cards from signing him in the offseason. Bad idea. Wells is 1-6 on the year and has lost his last five trips to the mound, allowing seven earned runs in each of his last three games. Sportsbooks have taken notice, setting St. Louis as a +185 underdog against the San Diego Padres tonight.

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Hot Lines

NBA
Hot Lines


Thursday, May 10

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Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors (-6 1/2, 217)

The Warriors led by five points with 16 seconds remaining in Game 2, but they let the game slip away because of some key missed free throws. Utah forced overtime and ended up winning 127-117. After the game the Golden State locker room was full of regret.

“It had to be the most painful loss,” Warriors forward Jason Richardson told the San Francisco Chronicle. “We had the game. A play here, a play there, a made free throw here, a stop there would’ve won the game. It hurts when you lose a game like this.”

Don’t read too much into the rebounding statistics. The Warriors could easily have won either of the first two games in Utah despite getting outrebounded 68-114.

Under most circumstances a team losing two close games would be disheartened, but bettors shouldn’t discount the Warriors’ home crowd in Game 3. Fans in the Bay area are going bananas for their beloved team. Golden State won’t be feeling sorry for themselves with 20,000 screaming fans supporting them tonight.

Pick: Warriors –6 1/2

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[pm530]

Hockey – Hot Lines

NHL
Hot Lines


Thursday, May 10

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Anaheim Ducks at Detroit Red Wings (-142, 4 ½)

The Wings are going to miss Mathieu Schneider. The defenseman was a key contributor to Detroit’s power play but he’s done for the year after breaking his wrist in Game 5 against the San Jose Sharks.

Before he got hurt Schneider was playing close to 30 minutes a game. The Wings will have to depend more on senior citizens Niklas Lidstrom (age 37) and Chris Chelios (age 45) to defend the back end.

The Ducks have a nice blend of young and old. They have defensemen who often put the hurt on opponents with punishing hits.

“Maybe we can take advantage of that by using our speed and maybe being physical on these guys,” Ducks defenseman Francis Beauchemin told the Detroit News. “We’ve got to play a physical game.”

Pick: Ducks +132

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[pm530]

Baseball - Short Sheet

MLB
Short Sheet


Friday, May 11th

National League

Florida at Washington, 7:05 ET
Scott Olsen (L) vs. Shawn Hill (R)
Olsen: Fla 18-4 Over vs. division opponents
Hill: Wash 0-8 when the money line is +125 to -125

Atlanta at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET TBS
Kyle Davies (R) vs. Zach Duke (L)
Davies: Atl 7-0 Away when the money line is +125 to -125
Duke: Pit 6-0 Under at home vs. Atlanta

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Rich Hill (L) vs. Cole Hamels (L)
Hill: ChC 18-5 Over Away after a loss by 2 runs or less
Hamels: Phi 4-12 off a win

Milwaukee at NY Mets, 7:10 ET
Jeff Suppan (R) vs. Jorge Sosa (R)
Suppan: 7-1 TSR, 1.78 ERA vs. Mets
Sosa: NYM 14-5 Under when the total is 9 to 9.5

Arizona at Houston, 8:05 ET
Brandon Webb (R) vs. Chris Sampson (R)
Webb: Ari 18-8 Under vs. righties
Sampson: Hou 46-18 at home after having won 3 of their last 4

San Francisco at Colorado, 9:05 ET
Tim Lincecum (R) vs. Josh Fogg (R)
Lincecum: SF 3-12 off BB losses by 2 runs or less
Fogg: 21-7 TSR at home with a money line of -100 to -150

St. Louis at San Diego, 10:05 ET
Kip Wells (R) vs. Jake Peavy (R)
Wells: 0-3 TSR, 12.60 ERA L3 starts
Peavy: 18-5 Under at home in night games

Cincinnati at LA Dodgers, 10:40 EST
Bronson Arroyo (R) vs. Randy Wolf (L)
Arroyo: 0-3 TSR vs. Dodgers
Wolf: LAD 11-3 off an Under


American League

Baltimore at Boston, 7:05 ET
Brian Burres (L) vs. Julain Tavarez (R)
Burres: Bal 14-43 as an underdog of +125 to +175
Tavarez: Bos 18-3 after scoring 8+ runs 3 straight games

Tampa Bay at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Scott Kazmir (L) vs. AJ Burnett (R)
Kazmir: TB 11-1 Over vs. division opponents
Burnett: Tor 0-9 in May

LA Angels at Texas, 8:05 ET
John Lackey (R) vs. Vicente Padilla (R)
Lackey: LAA 29-12 vs. Texas
Padilla: Tex 5-21 as a home underdog

Detroit at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Mike Maroth (L) vs. Johan Santana (L)
Maroth: 13-2 TSR in all starts
Santana: 62-19 TSR in home starts

Kansas City at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Odalis Perez (L) vs. Jon Garland (R)
Perez: KC 13-1 Over after a loss by 10+ runs
Garland: 21-5 TSR after walking 1 hitter or less BB outings

Cleveland at Oakland, 10:05 ET
CC Sabathia (L) vs. Joe Blanton (R)
Sabathia: Cle 18-4 as a favorite of -110 or higher
Blanton: Oak 12-2 Under off a win

NY Yankees at Seattle, 10:05 ET
Darrell Rasner (R) vs. Jarrod Washburn (L)
Rasner: NYY 1-8 Away revenging loss as a home favorite
Washburn: Sea 12-4 Over off an Over

.

[pm530]

Footnote to post #13 (AFL)

AFL

NOTE:
The Arena Football League game between the Chicago Rush and Dallas Desperados has been scheduled for Monday, 5/14/2007, 8:30 PM ET, on ESPN2. We will repost with any updates on Monday.

[pm530]

This weekend in sports

Weekend Sports Preview

The NBA and NHL playoffs continue this weekend, while there is also a full slate of baseball, AFL, and two races as NASCAR and Formula 1 both take to the track.

They’re down to the Final Four in the NHL playoffs with two teams left standing in the East and two in the West. The Western Conference begins their final on Friday night as Anaheim visits Detroit in Game 1.

Saturday night’s showdown pits Ottawa against Buffalo in Game 2 of their conference final. The Ducks and Red Wings return to the ice in Game 2 of their series on Sunday night, as one team will be looking to avoid falling into an 0-2 hole.

On the hardwood this weekend the NBA playoffs continue without both finalists from last season. There’s only one game on Friday night as Golden State heads home to take on Utah in Game 3 of their second-round series.

There are two games on Saturday, as Cleveland takes on New Jersey and Phoenix faces San Antonio in Game 3 of both series. Sunday’s pair of NBA games includes Game 4 between Detroit and Chicago and Game 4 in the Utah/Golden State series.

On the diamond this weekend the American League boasts a number of prime division matchups, including the Angels at Texas, Detroit at Minnesota, Baltimore at Boston and Tampa Bay at Toronto. Also on tap in the AL is Kansas City at the White Sox, the Yankees at Seattle and Cleveland at Oakland.

The National League has the best matchup of the weekend as the NL-best Milwaukee Brewers take on the New York Mets. Other top matchups include the Cubs at Philadelphia, Arizona at Houston, St. Louis at San Diego and Cincinnati at the Dodgers. The rest of the NL schedule has Atlanta at Pittsburgh, Florida at Washington and San Francisco at Colorado.

Week 3 in the AFL kicks off on Friday night with three games on the schedule. Grand Rapids at Columbus (-10.5) gets things started followed by New Orleans at Orlando (-7.5) and Colorado at Nashville (+1).

There is a four-pack of football games on Saturday as Utah battles Kansas City (-1.5), Austin visits Arizona (-4), Las Vegas travels to San Jose (-21) and Tampa Bay takes a trip to Los Angeles (-4.5).

The drivers of NASCAR return to the track on Saturday night at Darlington Raceway for the Dodge Avenger 500. Greg Biffle won this race last season and he could really use another victory at Darlington this year, considering his best finish of the year was fifth place at Bristol back in March. Jimmie Johnson won his fourth race of the season at Richmond last week and is the favorite to claim the checkered flag at Darlington at 4/1.

After almost a month-long break, Formula 1 is back this weekend with the Spanish Grand Prix at Catalunya. Felipe Massa won in Bahrain the last time F1 raced in April, while Fernando Alonso is the defending champion, having won in Spain last season.

[Dennis14072]

Thanks Guys, good luck tonight!