Saturday Trends and Indexes 05/05

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


Ottawa at New Jersey
While Martin Brodeur is the bigger name, Ottawa goalie Ray Emery has been the star of the series. Emery finally had his home shutout streak snapped at 153:33 in Game Five, but still made 29 saves to pick up the win and give the Senators a 3-1 series lead. Brodeur has been strong, stopping 130 of 141 shots, but the Sens are finding enough ways to score on him to put the Devils on the brink of elimination. Ottawa will try to close it out on the road tonight where they've gone 3-1 in the postseason, including a Game One win (5-4), while the Devils are just 3-2 on their home ice. The Senators look like a good underdog pick in this one according to Dunkel, which has Ottawa favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, MAY 5

Game 5-6: San Jose at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 13.625; Detroit 13.564
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+1 1/2); Under

Game 7-8: Ottawa at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 13.812; New Jersey 12.221
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+1 1/2); Over

[Udog]

MLB
Streaking Pitchers


Saturday, May 5


Hot

Roy Halladay (Toronto Blue Jays) - The Blue Jays ace is making a case to wrest the AL Cy Young award away from the Minnesota Twins' Johan Santana. Halladay is 4-0 on the season with a 2.28 ERA for the Blue Jays, -155 road favorites tonight against the Texas Rangers. Bolstering the case for Halladay tonight is the Doctor's 1.67 ERA during night games and a miniscule .213 OBP against over his last three starts.

Jeff Suppan (Milwaukee Brewers) - Wonder if the Cardinals would like to have Suppan back in their rotation? Judging by the numbers, the answer would have to be yes. Suppan is 3-0 since April 15 with a stellar 1.57 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. The 2006 NLCS MVP has also posted a 2.45 ERA at Miller Park so far this season, where the Brew Crew are -140 favorites tonight against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Cold

Derek Lowe (Los Angeles Dodgers) - Lowe and Dodgers backers are in for a challenge tonight against the red-hot Atlanta Braves and starting pitcher Tim Hudson. This has as much to do with Lowe's recent performances as it does anything Atlanta is doing. Lowe is winless in his last three starts with a steep 5.50 ERA. The sinkerballer's biggest problem during the skid has been keeping runners off the base paths, as he has put up a .410 OBP against and 1.83 WHIP since the middle of April. Oddsmakers have the Dodgers as +139 underdogs tonight at Turner Field in Atlanta.

Julian Tavarez (Boston Red Sox) - Not only do the Red Sox have the '"luxury" of facing the Twins with Johan Santana on the mound, they'll have to do it with their worst starter taking the bump. Tavarez has been shaky at best lately, sporting a 7.20 ERA over his last three trips to the mound. Making matters worse, Tavarez has given up four home runs over that stretch while striking out only eight batters. Books have Boston as +196 underdogs for tonight's game.

[Udog]

MLB
Hot Lines


Saturday, May 5


Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles (+105, 9 ½)

The Cleveland Indians are a decidedly better team at home this season. Cleveland is 11-3 at Jacobs Field and 6-6 everywhere else. They won seven of eight games during their recent homestand, but showed their weakness in last night’s 3-2 loss to the Orioles.

Cleveland’s starter has also struggled to compete on the road this season. Jeremy Sowers is 0-1 with a 6.32 ERA in three starts on the road and has almost twice as many walks (7) as strikeouts (4).

Orioles’ starter Daniel Cabrera is as solid a bet at home as Sowers is a fade on the road. Baltimore is 3-1 in Cabrera’s home starts this season and the big right-hander has 22 strikeouts against eight walks.

Pick: Orioles +105



Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins (-214, 8 ½)

Johan Santana’s numbers at home this season don’t speak very well to facing a formidable Red Sox lineup. The two-time Cy Young winner is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA in three home starts this season.

Boston, on the other hand, continues to flash its bat. The Red Sox’s offense has carried them to three straight wins, and seven wins in their last 10 games. They showed in their last road series they were finally over their struggles on the road, putting up 19 runs in three games at Yankee Stadium.

Backing the team with the best record in the majors with odds at 2-to-1 is just too good to pass up, even with Julian Tavarez pitching for Boston.

Pick: Red Sox +196



Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers (+144, 9)

The Jays’ success against the Rangers hasn’t been good – especially on the road. Toronto is 5-15 in its last 20 games against Texas, dating back to early in the 2003 season.

Surprisingly, staff ace Roy Halladay is mirroring his team’s failure against the Rangers. The former Cy Young winner is 2-1 in Texas over the last six years, but is carrying a 6.15 ERA in seven career starts.

Vicente Padilla will start for the Rangers.

Pick: Rangers +144

[pm530]

Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB
Tips and Trends
Additional games added


Saturday, May 5

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San Diego Padres at Florida Marlins (7:05 PM ET)
Florida has hit 35 homers this season, tying the team with Milwaukee and Tampa Bay for second most in the majors. EDGE: OVER
The Marlins have won three of four and eight of 12 after a season-high six-game skid. San Diego, meanwhile, has dropped three straight on the road and six of its last nine overall. EDGE: MARLINS
Florida starter Sergi Mitre lost his only start against the Marlins last season, allowing five runs and seven hits in six innings of a 9-3 defeat. EDGE: PADRES
In two road starts this season, San Diego starter David Wells has allowed 10 runs and 16 hits in 7 1/3 innings. EDGE: MARLINS
The OVER is 11-2-1 in Wells last 14 starts as an underdog.


Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers (7:05 PM ET)
Milwaukee starter Jeff Suppan will try to push the Brewers 10 games over .500 for the first time in nearly 15 years. Brewers starters are 14-7 with a 3.78 ERA so far this season. EDGE: BREWERS
Suppan is 8-3 in 15 lifetime starts versus Pittsburgh, but carries a 6-0 record and 2.37 ERA in seven starts against them at home. EDGE: BREWERS
Pittsburgh starter Zach Duke is 0-2 with a 7.91 ERA in fours starts at Miller Park. EDGE: OVER
The Brewers are 8-2 in their last 10 home games versus a left-handed starter.


Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers (8:05 PM ET)
Toronto starter Roy Halladay is 3-2 with a 5.96 ERA in eight career starts against Texas. EDGE: OVER
Texas right-hander Vicente Padilla has received just 10 runs of support in his six starts this season. EDGE: BLUE JAYS & UNDER
The Blue Jays have lost four in a row overall and 14 of their last 17 in Arlington. BIG EDGE: RANGERS
The Rangers are 0-7 in Padilla's last seven starts as an underdog.
The OVER is 15-7-1 in the last 23 meetings in Texas.

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[pm530]

Hockey – Tips & Trends

NHL
Tips and trends


Saturday, May 5

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San Jose Sharks at Detroit Red Wings (2 PM ET)
The Sharks are 5-0 in their last five games playing on two days rest.
The favorite is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.
The UNDER is 5-0-1 in the last six meetigs in Detroit.
The Sharks are 3-14-1 in the last 18 meetings in Detroit.

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[pm530]

Baseball – Write up

MLB
Write-up


Saturday, May 5

Hot Pitchers
-- Hill is 3-1, 1.77 in five starts for the Cubs.
-- Lieber is 1-0, 1.93 in three starts this season. Giants won last three Lowry starts, scoring 21 runs.
-- Suppan is 4-0, 1.84 in his last four starts. Duke has 1.98 RA in his last two outings.
-- Hudson is 3-0, 1.40 in six starts this season.
-- Cincinnati is 5-1 in Harang starts, scoring 19 runs in last two. Cook is 0-0, 1.64 in three road starts, but Colorado bullpen lost last all three games.
-- Arizona won Webb's last three starts (1-0, 1.96).

-- Lackey is 2-0, 1.42 in his last two starts.
-- Kennedy has 2.14 RA in four starts, but A's lost all four tilts, scoring total of seven runs.
-- Detroit is 5-0 in Maroth starts, scoring 31 runs.
-- Halladay is 3-0, 1.83 in his last four starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Washington is 1-5 in Patterson starts, scoring three or less runs in all six games.
-- Albers is 0-1, 6.91 in three starts this season. Kip Wells is 0-4, 8.75 in his last four starts.
-- Lowe is 0-2, 6.50 in his last three starts.
-- David Wells is 1-1, 6.23 in five starts this season. Mitre is 0-2, 7.15 in three starts; his last start was April 17.
-- Sosa is making 75th big league start (27-40, 4.61); he was 4-0 in AAA this season, with 1.13 ERA in five starts.

--White Sox are 0-5 in Garland starts; they scored seven runs in his last four outings.
-- Wang is 0-2, 5.84 in two starts this season. Seattle lost all four Weaver starts, outscored 39-9.
-- Cabrera is 0-2, 6.14 in his last four starts. Sowers is 0-1, 6.89 in his last three starts.
-- Tavarez is 1-2, 7.71 in four starts this season. Santana is 1-2, 4.33 in his last four starts.
-- Kazmir is 0-1, 5.09 in three home starts.
-- Perez is 2-3, 6.91 in six starts for Royals.
-- Texas is 0-6 in Padilla starts (0-4, 7.20).

Totals
-- Last four Hill starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1 in Houston's last six road games.
-- Over is 6-2-2 in Giants' last ten games.
-- Over is 8-1 in Florida's last eight home games.
-- Under is 4-2 in last six Milwaukee home games.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Dodger games.
-- Five of last six Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Met games.

-- Under is 6-1 in last seven White Sox games.
-- Over is 8-3-2 in Bronx home games.
-- Under is 9-2-2 in Baltimore home games.
-- Under is 12-2-1 in Red Sox road games.
-- Over is 11-5-1 in last seventeen Devil Ray games.
-- Under is 9-3 in last twelve Detroit road games.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Texas home games.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs won six of their last seven games.
-- Marlins won five of their last six home games.
-- Atlanta is 9-4 in its last thirteen home games.
-- Brewers won nine of their last eleven home games.
-- Mets are 11-3 on the road this season, and won their last 12 games at Arizona. .
-- Phillies are 9-5 in their last fourteen games. Giants won eight of their last ten home games.

-- Mariners won seven of their last nine games. Bronx won three of its last four games.
-- Indians won ten of their last twelve games, four of five.
-- Devil Rays are 9-2 in game after their last 11 losses. A's are 6-3 in their last nine road games.
-- Detroit won its last five games, allowing sixteen runs.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last nine games.
-- Angels won twelve of their last fifteen home games.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost five of their last six games.
-- Padres lost four of their last five road games.
-- Reds lost seven of their last nine home games. Rockies are 5-10 in its last fifteen road games.
-- Dodgers scored five runs in their last four games.
-- Pirates lost five r of their last seven games.
-- Astros lost their last seven road games. Cardinals lost last five of last six games, outscored 38-10.
-- Arizona lost last four games, scoring nine runs.

-- Orioles lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Rangers lost five of their last six games. Toronto lost six of its last eight games.
-- Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
-- White Sox lost their last five games, scoring seven runs.
-- Royals lost eight of their last twelve games.

Umpires
-- Underdog is 4-2 in Kulpa games this season (Wash-Chi)
-- Under is 3-1-1 in Hickox games this season (Hst-StL)
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Barksdale games (Phil-SF)
-- Under is 11-4 in last fifteen Carlson games (SD-Fla)
-- Home favorites are 3-0 in Marquez games this year (Pitt-Mil)
-- Home side is 5-1 in last six Davidson games (LA-Atl)
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Reliford games (Colo-Cin)
-- Favorite is 7-1 in last eight Schrieber games (NY-Az)

-- Favorite is 10-1 in last eleven Bell games (CWS-LAA)
-- Under is 11-4-1 in last sixteen Davis games (Sea-NYY)
-- Underdog is 27-12 in last 39 Cooper games (Clev-Balt)
-- Under is 5-1 in Wolf's last six games behind dish (Bos-Minn)
-- Last six Layne games stayed under the total (A's-TB)
-- Underdog is 13-7 in last 20 Cousins games; over is 4-1-1 in his last six games behind plate (Det-KC)
-- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Dreckman games (Tor-Tex)

[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Write up

NBA
Write-up


Saturday, May 5

Home side is 6-0 in Houston-Utah series, with Jazz losing three in row in Houston, by 9,8,4 points, but Rockets needed 12-24 shooting from arc to eke out 96-92 win in last home game. Jazz needs more from Kirilenko (his 14 points in Game 6 was better than most of his series efforts). Houston scored average of 92.7 ppg in three series wins, 78.0 in losses. Utah has led all six of the series games at halftime.

Chicago won three of four vs Detroit this year, winning at home 106-89/83-81, splitting at Detroit, 93-95/106-88. Bulls, led by Ben Wallace (jumped from Detroit to Chicago as free agent after last season), are 14-2 in last 16 games overall, sweeping Miami in its first round series, but Pistons did same to Orlando, averaging over 31 free throws attempts per game in series vs Magic.

[pm530]

Hockey – Write up

NHL
Write-up


Saturday, May 5

Total of 15 goals were scored in first four Detroit-San Jose tilts, but none bigger than Wings' goal with 0:33 left in Game 4, tying goal that sent game to OT, where Detroit won 3-2 Sharks have outscored Detroit 5-1 in first period in series, but Red Wings have 4-1 edge in scoring after second period. Detroit is winning 57% of faceoffs in its defensive zone in series; they outshot the Sharks 49-27 in Game 4, and now have home ice edge back.

Home team is 6-2 in Ottawa-New Jersey series this year, as both sides ae 1-3 on road. Senators held Jersey to pair of goals in its two-game sweep north of border; they can wrap series with win here. Senators have won 59.3% of faceoffs in offensive zone in series. All four series games in this building this season were decided by a single goal. Senators are 3-1 on road in playoffs.

[pm530]

Arena Football League – Write up

AFL
Write-up


Saturday, May 5

Nashville (4-5) @ Grand Rapids (2-6) -- Former Michigan St star Smoker returns home as QB of Nashville club that is 3-0 when it allows 55 or less points, 1-5 when it doesn't; they're 2-2 on road, 1-1 as favorite; five of its last seven games went over total. Host lost last three games by 11,21,4 points; they're 1-3 at home, 3-4 as underdog; six of their last seven games also went over the total.


Kansas City (4-4) @ Philadelphia (4-4) -- Soul lost last four games after 4-0 start; they played lot of Monday night games recently, but they also played six road games in first eight- they're 1-1 at home, beating Colorado 71-47, losing 57-49 to Georgia. KC lost last two games, by 9,3 points; they're 1-2 on road, losing by 4,9 points, winning only at doormat Las Vegas. Last four KC games stayed under the total, as did three of last four Philly games.


San Jose (5-3) @ Arizona (2-7) -- Rattlers haven't had the bye yet, could be tired after playing four road games last five weeks; they lost four of last five games, giving up 62+ points in all five games. San Jose won four of last five games, but all four wins were home games; they're 1-3 on road, winning 66-58 at LA, but losing three in row, on foreign soil; 48-45 at Chicago, 64-62 at Georgia, 67-54 at New Orleans. Five of last six San Jose games went over total.

[Dennis14072]

Thanks Guys, GL today!