Saturday Trends and Indexes 05/05

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Saturday, May 5

Good Luck on day #125 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

Six-Pack for Saturday

-- Mets are now 16-2 in Maine's last eighteen starts.

-- Mets also have won their last 12 games at Arizona, but are facing Brandon Webb Saturday night.

-- Igawa has made five starts for Bronx Bombers, and has allowed 27 runs in 24.2 IP. Not very good.

-- Thru Wednesday, 22.8% of Ryan Howard's fly balls have gone over the fence; last year, 38% of them did. Not good.

-- Brett Myers is now Phillies' closer; has any pitcher ever gone from Opening Day starter to closer in four weeks?

-- The All-Star Game is in San Francisco this July, reminding us of a pet peeve; the DH was made for All-Star Games, but in NL parks, there is never a DH. Stupid.

[pm530]

Saturday's Den: Our experts analyze the Kentucky Derby

Danny the Glover
The Kentucky Derby is arguably the most exciting 2 minutes in sports; this year certainly will not disappoint. The morning line favorite has only raced 3 times in his career and you have 8 other horses with very legitimate cases to be wearing roses.

After reviewing how I think the race will be run, I have come to the conclusion that one of the non-contenders will be the key to this race = 17-Stormello: if he can break well and get out on the lead at the first turn, I think this will set the race up for three horses to win. I have no particular favorite at this juncture. All 3 have won graded stakes in their last outings, have shown steady improvement and the key factor: I think they are all sitting on a breakout race. The last factor – each has a possible fatal flaw. Whoever overcomes this the best is your winner.

6-Cowtown Cat. I think he can tuck in within a length of Stormello, letting him do the tough work on the front, breeze along for the first 6 furlongs or so and then dig in for stretch drive with enough gas in his tank to make the wire. Without a pace setter, he could be in trouble.

12-Nobiz Like Shobiz. The model of consistency and solid results in all 6 outings. If you discount the difficult trip in the Fountain of Youth, he is your morning line favorite. I like the path Tagg has picked for him and I think the target from Day 1 has been May 5 for his moment to shine. One troubling thing is does he have the tactical speed to keep him out of trouble into and out of the first turn.

14-Scat Daddy. Has a similar resume as Nobiz. I like that he is coming from the last post of the main gate. This will afford Prado – a master tactician – to move Scat Daddy into a favorable position. I have some worries that he does not have a mile and quarter in him after seeing him lug home in the Hopeful, BC Juvenile and Holy Bull. Others:

2-Curlin. Best on paper and can very well prove that he is the class of three year-olds but I am just not real comfortable with a horse that did not run as a two-year old and only has three starts in his lifetime. The inexperience may very well chew him up in the Derby.

7-Street Sense. I think the race of his lifetime will be at Churchill – unfortunately it was last year in the Breeder’s Cup. He will be in contention but I fear he will get stuck in the middle-front of the pack and have too much traffic to overcome to become the first Juvenile winner to pull off the Derby.

8-Sam P. Ran two solid races at Santa Anita but could not take a win. Has improved to the point that if he takes another step forward, provided he can pick his way through the field, he could surprise on the stretch drive to be in the money for exotic wagering.

Bets:
$2 Triples
Cowtown Cat/Nobiz Like Shobiz/Scat Daddy on top
with Cowtown Cat/Nobiz/Scat/Curlin/Street Sense/Sam P.
with Cowtown Cat/Nobiz/Scat/Curlin/Street/Sam P.

Total Bets = $60


DD Lohaus
It's hard to believe its Derby time again. This officially kicks off my handicapping season and what an interesting renewal. As I write this the weather is questionable at best. Forecast is for thunderstorms off and on and the track was sloppy on Thursday. Therefore, I believe there will be moisture in the track and there is 50/50 chance the track will be less than fast.

This group of horses all have some issues and cases can be made against most. What does this mean? If you like a certain horse stick with it. There will be value throughout the race. As I went through the form I found myself coming back to the same four or five horses. To me each appeared able to stand the rigors of a 20 horse field and all the outside distractions.

Cowtown Cat keeps popping into my sights. I know he had it easy on the way to the Derby and the experts say he is too slow. Here's what I say: he is smartly climbing the ladder of competition while building confidence. His workouts have been excellent and I think the poly workout says he is going to move forward at the right time. He is flying under the radar and he will certainly present some value.

Street Sense won the Breeders Cup Juvenile last year and I put absolutely no stock in the jinx. Each year and each horse is different and Carl Nafzger knows how to train. He romped on this track before and I think he is the one to beat. I think horse move up the next race after a poly track race and this sets up for a huge finish for Street Sense.

Scat Daddy is a working man's horse. He has faced all comers and beat many in this field so he eliminates any questions about if he belongs in this race. I am sure Pletcher will have him ready and I expect him to be a factor. I think when the betting closes he may be shorter than some think.

Hard Spun is a horse I thought would be my big play until he went out and put up a .57 workout. He may have tipped his hand and gone over the top. His last was a cake walk and I though he would be the freshest and tightest of everyone. Now I think he still has a shot and his trainer was down-playing the workout (what's he supposed to say) but I think the edge may be off Hard Spun.

Great Hunter is an interesting horse. He seems to do well when he stays out of trouble and gets some racing room. However, his jockey is prone to getting into trouble and I would think a rider change might improve his chances but what do I know? He is nearly dead from post 20, but he can rate a little as seen in the RB Lewis and maybe he can find the daylight at the end and make the winning move. He should prove some value.

Derby Quick Takes:
Sedgefield: better on turf, some trouble in Lanes End: Toss

Curlin: Very good, short odds, not enough experience for me. Toss

Zanjero: Deep closer doesn't get enough pace. Toss

Storm in May: Toss

Imawildandcrazyguy: Toss

Liquidity: Distance a question. No quality wins. Toss

Teuflesberg: Toss Bwana Bull: May like wet. Toss

Nobiz Like Shobiz: Can't bet Tagg. Funny Cide was a fluke! Toss

Sam P.: Under the radar, may have a shot, too unknown to me. Toss

Tiago: Another deep closer may not get pace. Peaked too early. Toss

Circular Quay: Last was awesome. Peaked too early? Who did he beat? Toss

Stormello: Runs hard but going the wrong way lately. May need a break. Toss

Any Given Saturday: Another Pletcher. Wise Guy Horse. Just can't. Toss

Dominican: Last took it all out him. Toss

The Bets:
$22WP Cowtown Cat
$13WP Street Sense
$5WP Hard Spun
$2 TriBox
Cowtown Cat/Street Sense/Hard Spun/Scat Daddy/Great Hunter

Total Bets: $200.00
Good luck; see you in Maryland!


Capper Zeke
1. Scat Daddy - Pletcher runner has improved in each start as 3 year old and I'm looking for another forward move today. Should not be far from pace and take the lead in stretch and get the roses with Edgar Prado.

2. Street Sense - BC Juvy champ making 3rd start of year should be fit as fiddle and making run at Scat Daddy deep stretch only to fall 1 length short.

3. Hard Spun - Could find himself on lead and take this field a long way. Was originally this prognosticator's top pick but I'm concerned he left his race on the surface during Monday's blistering :57 3/5 work. Could be gasping for air inside 8th pole.

4. Circular Quay - Late running chestnut colt will be looking to pick up the pieces in deep stretch but fall short. Include him in your triples and superfecta's. mmm

[pm530]

Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB
Tips and Trends


Saturday, May 5

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Houston Astros at St. Louis Cardinals (1:10 PM ET)
Houston starter Woody Williams is winless in six starts so far this season and 0-2 with a 5.92 ERA in four games on the road. EDGE: CARDINALS
St. Louis right-hander Kip Wells has picked up four straight losses since picking up a 10-1 victory over Houston on April 8th. He's allowed 15 runs and 15 hits over his last two starts. EDGE: ASTROS & OVER
Wells hasn't had any success at Busch Stadium on the year, posting an 0-3 record and 6.11 ERA. EDGE: ASTROS
The Astros are 6-15 in the last 21 meetings in St. Louis.
The UNDER is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings in St. Louis.



Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees (FOX | 3:55 PM ET)
Seattle's offseason signing of pitcher Jeff Weaver has certainly backfired, with the right-hander tallying an 0-4 record and 18.26 ERA in four starts this season. EDGE: YANKEES & OVER
Weaver's been atrocious on the road this season, going 0-2 with an 18.00 ERA - surrendering 10 runs and 14 hits in just five innings of work. EDGE: YANKEES & OVER
The Mariners have been outscored 39-9 in Weaver's four starts this season. BIG EDGE: YANKEES
Yankees starter Chien-Ming Wang will make his third start of the season and it comes against a perfect opponent, as he's a perfect 4-0 with a 3.25 ERA in four career starts against the Mariners. BIG EDGE: YANKEES
The Yankees are 21-7 in Wang's last 28 home starts.



Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants (FOX | 3:55 PM ET)
Philadelphia right-hander Jon Lieber has no wins on the road this season in three appearances (two starts), but certainly has pitched well with a 2.03 ERA. SLIGHT EDGE: PHILLIES
Lieber has held San Francisco slugger Barry Bonds in check during his career. Bonds is hitting just .179 against Lieber in 39 plate appearances. EDGE: PHILLIES
San Francisco starter Noah Lowry enters this game with three straight victories and is 2-1 with a 2.84 ERA in three home starts this season. EDGE: GIANTS
Lowry is an even 1-1 with a 6.35 ERA in three starts against the Phillies. SLIGHT EDGE: PHILLIES
The Giants are 2-10 in their last 12 games versus the NL East.



Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET)
Cleveland's Jeremy Sowers is 0-1 with a 8.38 ERA in two career starts against Baltimore. The Orioles picked up a 7-4 victory in his last start at Jacobs Field and he's winless in five starts this season. EDGE: ORIOLES
Baltimore right-hander Daniel Cabrera pitched seven shutout innings against Cleveland in his only career start against them. EDGE: ORIOLES
Cabrera has been fighting control problems in his last two starts, issuing 11 walks in his last two starts - picking up losses in both. EDGE: INDIANS
The OVER is 11-2-1 in Cabrera's last 14 Saturday starts.



Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves (7:05 PM ET)
Los Angeles right-hander Derek Lowe has been knocked around in his last three starts and is 1-2 with a 6.14 ERA on the road this season. He's 1-3 with a 4.47 ERA in 13 career appearances (six starts) against Atlanta. EDGE: BRAVES
Atlanta's Tim Hudson has arguably been baseball's best pitcher this season, registering a perfect 3-0 record with a 1.40 ERA. The Braves have won five out of his six starts this season, including all three at Turner Field. EDGE: BRAVES
The OVER is 10-4 in Hudson's last 14 road starts.
The Braves are 4-0 in Hudson's last four starts versus the Dodgers.

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Tips and Trends

NBA
Tips and trends



Saturday, May 5

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#5 Chicago Bulls at #1 Detroit Pistons
Game 1 - Saturday, May 5th, 7 p.m. Eastern (TNT)

Ben Wallace is the obvious storyline here after leaving the Pistons for the Bulls in the offseason. Wallace was outstanding in the first-round sweep of Miami, even making 7-of-8 free throws in Game 4. He didn't fit into the plans of Detroit head coach Flip Saunders but has been exactly what Chicago needed, a defensive stopper in the middle who can also grab offensive rebounds for the team's mainly perimeter offense. Wallace's matchup with replacement Chris Webber is one of the keys to the series. SLIGHT EDGE: BULLS
Another key matchup is Detroit's Tayshaun Prince vs. Chicago's Luol Deng, who enjoyed a breakthrough series against the Heat by averaging 26.3 points on 58 percent shooting. Prince is an all-defensive team selection who will have a tough time staying with Deng because of his ability to play both inside and outside. Prince does have tons of experience though after going against Miami's Dwyane Wade last year and Kobe Bryant in the 2004 NBA Finals. SLIGHT EDGE: PISTONS
Insiders are concerned with Detroit's sometimes lackadaisical approach to games. The Pistons seem to think they can turn it on and off whenever needed without much concern. Some believe this is a confident bunch who won the 2004 NBA title while others feel head coach Flip Saunders lacks the instinct to go for the kill when ahead and could be the downfall in this series. SLIGHT EDGE: BULLS
Chicago is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 road games.
Chicago is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games vs. Central Division opponents.
Detroit is 17-7-3 ATS in its last 27 games overall.
OVER is 8-2 in Detroit's last 10 home games.
First-round Results: Chicago | Detroit

Head-to-Head Recaps

FIRST-ROUND SCHEDULE

5/5/07 - Game 1: Chicago at DETROIT (TNT | 7 PM ET)
5/7/07 - Game 2: Chicago at DETROIT (TNT | TBD)

REGULAR-SEASON RESULTS

Chicago wins 3-1 SU & ATS
OVER 3-1

4/4/07 - Chicago 106, DETROIT 88 (ATS winner: Chicago +6 | OVER 186)
3/29/07 - CHICAGO 83, Detroit 81 (ATS winner: Det +4.5 | UNDER 181)
2/25/07 - DETROIT 95, Chicago 93 (ATS winner: Chicago +6 | OVER 182.5)
1/6/07 - CHICAGO 106, Detroit 89 (ATS winner: Chicago -4.5 | OVER 189.5)

REGULAR-SEASON SERIES RECAP: The Pistons won just one of the regular-season meetings between the teams, and that was a struggle as they had to rally back from down 16 points at home to win by two. The Bulls actually had a chance to win that meeting too, but Ben Gordon's 3-pointer fell short at the buzzer. Chicago then left a very bad taste in Detroit's mouth with a 106-88 beating at The Palace on April 4th. Of course there is the massive sub-plot of this series involving Bulls center Ben Wallace, who left the Pistons for more money and got the best of his former team during the regular season. Only one of these teams will look like a genius after their playoff matchup though, emerging as the favorite to get to the 2007 NBA Finals.


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#4 Utah Jazz at #5 Houston Rockets
Game 7 - Saturday, May 5th, 9:30 p.m. Eastern (TNT)
The home team has won every game of this series so far and is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall. Houston made just 6-of-21 shots from 3-point range in Game 5 after sinking 12-of-24 in Game 4. Insiders expect the Rockets - especially the role players - to be much more comfortable at home in Game 7. EDGE: ROCKETS
Houston star Tracy McGrady still has not had a monster offensive game in this series even though he had 26 points and a career-high 16 assists in Game 5. McGrady got his teammates going early on in Game 5 and may need to do the same thing in Game 7 at home. EDGE: ROCKETS
McGrady has played in two Game 7s, and neither has obviously resulted in a win since he has never won a playoff series. In fact, McGrady's two previous Game 7 losses have been decided by a combined 55 points. EDGE: JAZZ
Utah is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 road games.
Houston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 home games.
Utah is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games vs. Southwest Division opponents.
UNDER is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Head-to-Head Recaps

FIRST-ROUND RESULTS (HOME team in CAPS)

Series tied 3-3 SU (Utah 4-2 ATS)
UNDER 4-2

5/3/07 - Game 6: UTAH 94, Houston 82 (ATS winner: Utah -4.5 | UNDER 183)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: The Jazz continued their trend of leading at halftime in every game of the series and then played outstanding defense in the third quarter to take a 68-62 lead into the fourth. The Rockets then cut an 11-point lead to one twice before Utah went on a final run to close out the game and cover the spread. Houston committed 19 turnovers, and star Tracy Grady made just 1-of-8 shots from the field in the second half to contribute to a disappointing offensive performance and help cash the UNDER.

4/30/07 - Game 5: HOUSTON 96, Utah 92 (ATS winner: Utah +6 | OVER 188)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: The Jazz again started out strong, leading at halftime for the fifth time in as many games of the series. They also outscored the Rockets in the third quarter 28-25 to take a four-point lead into the fourth. That's when Houston came alive though, taking a seven-point lead late until Utah battled back with a 6-0 run to cut the lead to one. The Rockets then closed out the game by when Yao Ming hit two free throws with 11 seconds left. Yao seemed to be fouled again with five seconds left after Utah's Deron Williams missed a 3-pointer, but the refs let the clock run out to cost Houston backers and hand Jazz supporters a victory against the spread.

4/28/07 - Game 4: UTAH 98, Houston 85 (ATS winner: Utah -2.5 | UNDER 184)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: Utah built a 50-45 lead at halftime and pulled away with a 33-17 edge in the third quarter to rout the Rockets for the second straight game. Houston outscored the Jazz 23-15 in a low-scoring fourth quarter to make the final score a bit more respectable and force the total UNDER for the third time in the series.

4/26/07 - Game 3: UTAH 81, Houston 67 (ATS winner: Utah -4.5 | UNDER 188)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: The Rockets scored just 25 points in the second half after scoring the same amount in the second quarter alone. That ensured an easy UNDER and sent the Rockets to a franchise-low 67 points in a playoff game. The Jazz shut down everybody other than Tracy McGrady and Yao Ming, who combined for 50 points.

4/23/07 - Game 2: HOUSTON 98, Utah 90 (ATS winner: Houston -5 | OVER 188)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: The Rockets didn't wait until the second half to take off in this one. Instead, they rallied back in the second quarter after trailing by nine points at the end of a quarter for the second straight game. Each team failed to score more than 17 points in one of the first two quarters, but the second half turned what looked like a sure UNDER into an OVER. Houston scored 59 points after the break, including 31 in the fourth quarter, the highest total for either team through the first two games.

4/21/07 - Game 1: HOUSTON 84, Utah 75 (ATS winner: Houston -6.5 | UNDER 188.5)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: The story of this game was Houston star Tracy McGrady, who scored just 1 point by halftime but erupted for 16 in the third quarter to turn a 9-point halftime deficit into a 6-point lead going into the fourth quarter. The Rockets outscored Utah 26-11 in the third after trailing 42-33 at the break. A couple missed 3-pointers by the Jazz in the final seconds kept them from covering. Each team also failed to score more than 20 points in two of the four quarters to force the total UNDER.

REMAINING SCHEDULE

5/3/07 - Game 6: Houston at UTAH (TNT | 8 PM ET)
5/5/07 - Game 7: Utah at HOUSTON (IF NECESSARY, TBD)

REGULAR-SEASON RESULTS

Utah wins 3-1 SU & ATS
OVER/UNDER 2-2

4/18/07 - UTAH 101, Houston 91 (ATS winner: Utah -8.5 | UNDER 192.5)
4/1/07 - Utah 86, HOUSTON 83 (ATS winner: Utah +5.5 | UNDER 189.5)
1/5/07 - HOUSTON 100, Utah 86 (ATS winner: Houston -3 | OVER 184.5)
11/1/06 - UTAH 107, Houston 97 (ATS winner: Utah +1.5 | OVER 182.5)

REGULAR-SEASON SERIES RECAP: You can throw out the last meeting between the teams on the last day of the regular season, as Houston stars Yao Ming and Tracy McGrady sat out to rest for the playoffs. Yao also missed Houston's lone win in the season series with a broken leg, so Utah won both meetings when the teams were at full strength. Utah has a slightly better home record, so the home-court edge could be the key in this series for the Rockets even though the Jazz have proven they can win at Houston. This should be one of the most competitve matchups of the first round.

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[pm530]

Baseball - Short Sheet

MLB
Short Sheet


Saturday, May 5th

National League

Washington at Chicago Cubs, 1:05 EST
John Patterson (R) vs. Rich Hill (L)
Patterson: 5-11 TSR as a road 'dog
Hill: 6-0 Under in day games

Houston at St. Louis, 1:10 EST
Woody Williams (R) vs. Kip Wells (R)
Williams: 7-1 TSR Away in day games
Wells: 17-36 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher

Philadelphia at San Francisco, 3:35 EST
Jon Lieber (R) vs. Noah Lowry (L)
Lieber: Phi 11-2 vs. San Francisco
Lowry: 17-7 Over when the total is 9 to 9.5

San Diego at Florida, 7:05 EST
David Wells (L) vs. Sergio Mitre (R)
Wells: 44-17 TSR after giving up 2+ HR's last outing
Mitre: 0-9 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10

Pittsburgh at Milwaukee, 7:05 EST
Zach Duke (L) vs. Jeff Suppan (R)
Duke: 1-15 TSR as a road underdog
Suppan: Mil 22-8 Over on Saturday

LA Dodgers at Atlanta, 7:05 EST
Derek Lowe (R) vs. Tim Hudson (R)
Lowe: LAD 6-1 at Atlanta
Hudson: 36-12 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -175

Colorado at Cincinnati, 7:10 EST
Aaron Cook (R) vs. Aaron Harang (R)
Cook: 5-20 TSR as an underdog
Harang: Cin 7-1 at home vs. Colorado

NY Mets at Arizona, 9:40 EST
John Maine (R) vs. Brandon Webb (R)
Maine: 8-1 TSR Away in night games
Webb: 3-11 TSR at home vs. NL East


American League

Chicago White Sox at LA Angels, 3:35 EST
Jon Garland (R) vs. John Lackey (R)
Garland: 16-4 TSR as a road underdog
Lackey: 7-13 TSR as a home favorite of -150 to -175

Seattle at NY Yankees, 3:55 EST
Jeff Weaver (R) vs. Chien Ming-Wang (R)
Weaver: 10-27 TSR vs. AL East
Wang: 4-0 TSR, 3.25 ERA vs. Seattle

Cleveland at Baltimore, 7:05 EST
Jeremy Sowers (L) vs. Daniel Cabrera (R)
Sowers: Cle 15-4 vs. righties
Cabrera: 21-4 Over vs. AL teams scoring 5.2+ runs/game

Boston at Minnesota, 7:10 EST
Julian Tavarez (R) vs. Johan Santana (L)
Tavarez: Bos 12-2 Under in road games
Santana: 61-19 TSR in home starts

Oakland at Tampa Bay, 7:10 EST
Joe Kennedy (L) vs. Scott Kazmir (L)
Kennedy: 2-14 TSR in night games
Kazmir: 6-0 Under after giving up 2+ HR's last outing

Detroit at Kansas City, 8:10 EST
Mike Maroth (L) vs. Odalis Perez (L)
Maroth: 10-0 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10
Perez: KC 13-43 vs. lefties

Toronto at Texas, 8:05 EST
Roy Halladay (R) vs. Vicente Padilla (R)
Halladay: 28-5 TSR in night games
Padilla: Tex 3-21 as a home underdog

[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Short Sheet

NBA
Short Sheet


Saturday, May 5th

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Western Conference Playoffs
Opening Round, Game Seven
Series Tied, 3-3
TV: TNT
Utah at Houston, 9:35 EST

Utah:
9-19 ATS away after playing as a home favorite
12-21 ATS off a home win

Houston:
14-5 ATS off a road loss
23-12 ATS after losing 3 of their last 4 games

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Eastern Conference Playoffs
Semifinals, Game One
Series Tied, 0-0
TV: TNT
Chicago at Detroit, 7:05 EST

Chicago:
5-1 ATS at Detroit
28-14 Over away with a total of 180 to 189.5 points

Detroit:
0-7 ATS revenging a loss allowing 100+ points
5-1 Over at home vs. Chicago

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[pm530]

Hockey – Short Sheet

NHL
Short Sheet


Saturday, May 5th

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Western Conference Playoffs
Semifinals, Game Five
Series Tied, 2-2
TV: NBC
San Jose at Detroit, 2:05 EST

San Jose:
5-11 SU off 5+ Unders
4-17 SU at Detroit

Detroit:
30-11 SU off a win by 1 goal
11-3 SU off an overtime win

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Eastern Conference Playoffs
Semifinals, Game Four
Ottawa Leads, 3-1
TV: VER
Ottawa at New Jersey, 8:05 EST

Ottawa:
3-8 SU after winning 8+ of their last 10 games
9-2 Under in the fifth game of a playoff series

New Jersey:
14-5 SU off a loss by 1 goal
16-7 SU playing with same-season revenge

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Long Sheet (Chi-Det)

NBA
Long Sheet
Chicago Bulls vs. Detroit Pistons


Saturday, May 5

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CHICAGO (53 - 33) at DETROIT (57 - 29) - 5/5/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
DETROIT is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games this season.
DETROIT is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-5 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 7-5 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

Hockey – Long Sheet

NHL
Long Sheet


Saturday, May 5

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SAN JOSE (57-28-0-6, 120 pts.) at DETROIT (56-23-0-13, 125 pts.) - 5/5/2007, 2:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 50-28 ATS (-2.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 13-4 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-6-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.9 Units)

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OTTAWA (55-26-0-10, 120 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (54-29-0-9, 117 pts.) - 5/5/2007, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 112-71 ATS (-36.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 112-71 ATS (-36.6 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 112-71 ATS (-36.6 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 64-43 ATS (-32.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 48-36 ATS (-1.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 33-19 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 6-6 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 6-6-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.5 Units)

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[pm530]

Arena Football League – Long Sheet

AFL
Long Sheet


Saturday, May 5

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B]NASHVILLE (4 - 5) at GRAND RAPIDS (2 - 6)[/B] - 5/5/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GRAND RAPIDS is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games after playing a game on a Saturday since 1996.
GRAND RAPIDS is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus GRAND RAPIDS over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 3-1 straight up against GRAND RAPIDS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (4 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 4) - 5/5/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN JOSE (5 - 3) at ARIZONA (2 - 7) - 5/5/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
ARIZONA is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
ARIZONA is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
ARIZONA is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 8 or more games since 1996.
ARIZONA is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 110 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 4-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 4-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet
Utah Jazz vs. Houston Rockets


Saturday, May 5


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UTAH (54 - 34) at HOUSTON (55 - 33) - 5/5/2007, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 112-136 ATS (-37.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 29-54 ATS (-30.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in home games after scoring 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 10-7 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 10-7 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet


Saturday, May 5


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WASHINGTON (9 - 20) at CHICAGO CUBS (13 - 14) - 1:05 PM
JOHN PATTERSON (R) vs. RICH HILL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 80-110 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 41-54 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 10-22 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 40-62 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 80-107 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 584-649 (-131.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-26 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 9-20 (-13.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 37-53 (-19.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

JOHN PATTERSON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
PATTERSON is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.940.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

RICH HILL vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.




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HOUSTON (12 - 16) at ST LOUIS (11 - 16) - 1:10 PM
WOODY WILLIAMS (R) vs. KIP WELLS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 95-96 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 255-250 (-57.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
HOUSTON is 14-31 (-15.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 5-15 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in road games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 95-96 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WILLIAMS is 166-134 (+32.7 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WILLIAMS is 7-1 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WILLIAMS is 143-107 (+37.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 105-99 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 50-53 (-17.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 105-99 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 106-100 (-30.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 54-53 (-15.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WELLS is 4-14 (-14.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
WELLS is 16-32 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

WOODY WILLIAMS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
WILLIAMS is 1-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.68 and a WHIP of 1.613.
His team's record is 1-5 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

KIP WELLS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
WELLS is 4-6 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.56 and a WHIP of 1.414.
His team's record is 6-8 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-7. (-2.0 units)




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PHILADELPHIA (13 - 16) at SAN FRANCISCO (15 - 13) - 3:55 PM
JON LIEBER (R) vs. NOAH LOWRY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LOWRY is 21-11 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 34-49 (-23.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LOWRY is 3-13 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

JON LIEBER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
LIEBER is 5-6 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.83 and a WHIP of 1.377.
His team's record is 7-7 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-6. (+0.3 units)

NOAH LOWRY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
LOWRY is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.529.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)




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SAN DIEGO (15 - 14) at FLORIDA (14 - 14) - 7:05 PM
DAVID WELLS (L) vs. SERGIO MITRE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 382-425 (+27.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 28-18 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 53-45 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 27-16 (+12.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 43-17 (+26.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 53-45 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 44-32 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WELLS is 191-108 (+48.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WELLS is 94-56 (+32.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WELLS is 72-44 (+25.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

DAVID WELLS vs. FLORIDA since 1997
WELLS is 1-1 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 2.12 and a WHIP of 0.824.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

SERGIO MITRE vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MITRE is 1-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 7.02 and a WHIP of 1.620.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)




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PITTSBURGH (13 - 15) at MILWAUKEE (19 - 10) - 7:05 PM
ZACH DUKE (L) vs. JEFF SUPPAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 19-45 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 3-17 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DUKE is 3-17 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 19-10 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 59-38 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 56-33 (+17.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 19-10 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 78-72 (+20.1 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 39-54 (-21.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

ZACH DUKE vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
DUKE is 3-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.62 and a WHIP of 1.459.
His team's record is 3-5 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.7 units)

JEFF SUPPAN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
SUPPAN is 8-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.087.
His team's record is 10-5 (+4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-8. (-0.8 units)




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LA DODGERS (17 - 12) at ATLANTA (18 - 10) - 7:05 PM
DEREK LOWE (R) vs. TIM HUDSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LOWE is 12-18 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 12-2 (+8.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HUDSON is 168-93 (+38.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 95-37 (+32.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 157-84 (+40.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 100-48 (+28.0 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 44-50 (-17.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

DEREK LOWE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
LOWE is 1-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.45 and a WHIP of 1.459.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-1. (+3.8 units)

TIM HUDSON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
HUDSON is 5-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.353.
His team's record is 7-0 (+7.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-2. (+2.8 units)




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COLORADO (12 - 17) at CINCINNATI (13 - 16) - 7:10 PM
AARON COOK (R) vs. AARON HARANG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 88-144 (-45.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 80-152 (-41.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
COLORADO is 53-108 (-42.4 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.
COOK is 11-27 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COOK is 11-27 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COOK is 3-13 (-10.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 195-191 (-52.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

AARON COOK vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
COOK is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 7.50 and a WHIP of 2.167.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

AARON HARANG vs. COLORADO since 1997
HARANG is 3-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 0.964.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.3 units)




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NY METS (18 - 10) at ARIZONA (16 - 15) - 9:40 PM
JOHN MAINE (R) vs. BRANDON WEBB (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 121-79 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 64-36 (+15.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 23-9 (+12.9 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 60-39 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 28-11 (+16.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 119-78 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 10-1 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
NY METS are 90-56 (+20.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 37-21 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 51-32 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MAINE is 11-2 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MAINE is 9-1 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MAINE is 8-0 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 403-356 (-67.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 58-63 (-31.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
ARIZONA is 403-356 (-67.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
ARIZONA is 287-262 (-53.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
ARIZONA is 183-179 (-42.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

JOHN MAINE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MAINE is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

BRANDON WEBB vs. NY METS since 1997
WEBB is 1-5 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.99 and a WHIP of 1.027.
His team's record is 1-6 (-7.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-1. (+4.9 units)




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CHI WHITE SOX (12 - 14) at LA ANGELS (17 - 13) - 3:55 PM
JON GARLAND (R) vs. JOHN LACKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 67-36 (+21.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 106-75 (+27.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 40-20 (+18.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 87-60 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 154-91 (+43.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 56-35 (+27.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GARLAND is 25-14 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARLAND is 18-5 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARLAND is 17-6 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 72-79 (-31.2 Units) against the money line in home games in day games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-1 (+2.1 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

JON GARLAND vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GARLAND is 3-6 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.16 and a WHIP of 1.361.
His team's record is 5-7 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-4. (+2.5 units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
LACKEY is 3-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.437.
His team's record is 4-5 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.6 units)




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SEATTLE (13 - 11) at NY YANKEES (12 - 15) - 3:55 PM
JEFF WEAVER (R) vs. CHIEN-MING WANG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WEAVER is 54-70 (-26.6 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 56-63 (-23.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 50-39 (+10.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 205-153 (-42.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 44-35 (-23.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 67-62 (-45.4 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.
NY YANKEES are 73-64 (-46.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
NY YANKEES are 38-31 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 (+1.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JEFF WEAVER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
WEAVER is 2-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.68 and a WHIP of 1.469.
His team's record is 2-3 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)

CHIEN-MING WANG vs. SEATTLE since 1997
WANG is 4-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.048.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)




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CLEVELAND (17 - 9) at BALTIMORE (13 - 16) - 7:05 PM
JEREMY SOWERS (L) vs. DANIEL CABRERA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 61-69 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 15-3 (+11.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 21-39 (-19.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 38-72 (-25.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-2 (+0.2 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

JEREMY SOWERS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SOWERS is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 8.38 and a WHIP of 1.861.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

DANIEL CABRERA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
CABRERA is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)




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BOSTON (19 - 9) at MINNESOTA (15 - 14) - 7:10 PM
JULIAN TAVAREZ (R) vs. JOHAN SANTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 134-136 (-36.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.
BOSTON is 4-10 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 9-18 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 242-228 (-47.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 72-49 (+17.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SANTANA is 106-42 (+44.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 61-19 (+29.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 63-19 (+31.8 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome since 1997. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 72-22 (+39.7 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 66-21 (+32.9 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf since 1997. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 11-1 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TAVAREZ is 10-2 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JULIAN TAVAREZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
TAVAREZ is 2-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.385.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

JOHAN SANTANA vs. BOSTON since 1997
SANTANA is 2-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.039.
His team's record is 4-3 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-0. (+7.0 units)




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OAKLAND (14 - 14) at TAMPA BAY (13 - 16) - 7:10 PM
JOE KENNEDY (L) vs. SCOTT KAZMIR (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 21-38 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 48-48 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 48-48 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 63-60 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 48-48 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 10-5 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
OAKLAND is 110-87 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 54-46 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 117-83 (+27.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 (+0.4 Units) against OAKLAND this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

JOE KENNEDY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. OAKLAND since 1997
KAZMIR is 3-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.515.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)




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DETROIT (17 - 11) at KANSAS CITY (10 - 20) - 7:10 PM
MIKE MAROTH (L) vs. ODALIS PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 57-79 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 46-69 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 121-83 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 67-36 (+20.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-3 (+11.3 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 62-41 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 32-15 (+17.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 111-72 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 81-47 (+24.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 75-44 (+20.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 64-29 (+22.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MAROTH is 12-2 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MAROTH is 11-1 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MAROTH is 18-7 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MAROTH is 10-2 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 3-15 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 13-43 (-20.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-2 (+1.2 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

MIKE MAROTH vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
MAROTH is 10-8 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.312.
His team's record is 13-10 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 15-6. (+8.1 units)

ODALIS PEREZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
PEREZ is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 2.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)




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TORONTO (13 - 16) at TEXAS (11 - 18) - 8:05 PM
ROY HALLADAY (R) vs. VICENTE PADILLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 52-35 (+18.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
TORONTO is 100-73 (+29.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
HALLADAY is 42-15 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HALLADAY is 26-9 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HALLADAY is 28-5 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HALLADAY is 25-6 (+14.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 37-42 (-17.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PADILLA is 4-13 (-11.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-2 (+1.1 Units) against TORONTO this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

ROY HALLADAY vs. TEXAS since 1997
HALLADAY is 6-4 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.01 and a WHIP of 1.429.
His team's record is 6-9 (-4.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-10. (-6.3 units)

VICENTE PADILLA vs. TORONTO since 1997
PADILLA is 2-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.209.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)




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[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel


San Diego at Florida
San Diego looks to bounce back from yesterday's loss in the series opener behind veteran David Wells. Wells has looked sloppy in the early going (6.23 ERA) as the Padres are just 2-3 in his five starts. But those three losses came against Derek Lowe (twice) and Brandon Webb, opposition that is significantly tougher than Florida starter Sergio Mitre. Mitre has a better ERA than Wells (4.05), but has failed to lead the team to a win in any of his three starts. In fact, the Marlins have lost those games by an average margin of 4 1/2 runs. The Padres look like a good underdog pick (+115) in this one according to Dunkel, which has San Diego favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+115). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, MAY 5

Game 901-902: Washington at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Patterson) 12.920; Chicago Cubs (Hill) 17.513
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 4 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-230); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-230); N/A

Game 903-904: Houston at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Albers) 15.365; St. Louis (Wells) 12.431
Dunkel Line: Houston by 3; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 905-906: Philadelphia at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lieber) 15.322; San Francisco (Lowry) 17.315
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+110); Over

Game 907-908: San Diego at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Wells) 15.688; Florida (Mitre) 14.565
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Florida (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+115); Over

Game 909-910: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 16.052; Milwaukee (Suppan) 18.688
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-149); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-149); Under

Game 911-912: LA Dodgers at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Lowe) 16.425; Atlanta (Hudson) 18.742
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-158); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-158); Under

Game 913-914: Colorado at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Cook) 14.310; Cincinnati (Harang) 17.389
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-150); Over

Game 915-916: NY Mets at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Sosa) 16.432; Arizona (Webb) 17.493
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Garland) 13.564; LA Angels (Lackey) 16.881
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 3 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-158); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: :LA Angels (-158); Over

Game 919-920: Seattle at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Weaver) 13.885; NY Yankees (Wang) 15.029
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 12
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-275); 11
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-275); Over

Game 921-922: Cleveland at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sowers) 16.072; Baltimore (Cabrera) 16.819
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+125); Under

Game 923-924: Boston at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Tavarez) 17.261; Minnesota (Santana) 15.475
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 6
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-230); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+230); Under

Game 925-926: Oakland at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Kennedy) 13.793; Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 15.954
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-150); Under

Game 927-928: Detroit at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Maroth) 19.540; Kansas City (Perez) 14.881
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 4 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-130); Over

Game 929-930: Toronto at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Halladay) 17.474; Texas (Padilla) 12.356
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 5; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-166); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-166); Over

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Chicago at Detroit
The Bulls are coming off a sweep of the defending champion Heat, including winning the last two on the road by an average margin of 10 1/2 points. The Pistons also had a sweep in the first round, although it was against a lower-rated Orlando team. And once again Detroit was not that impressive at home, going 1-1 against the spread versus Orlando to give the Pistons a lackluster 17-26-0 ATS home record on the season. That won't get it done against the improving Bulls, who look like a good underdog pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Chicago favored straight up by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, MAY 5

Game 707-708: Utah at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 121.617; Houston 122.822
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 1; 178 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 5 1/2; 182 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+5 1/2); Under

Game 751-752: Chicago at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 127.687; Detroit 125.225
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 5 1/2; 181 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+5 1/2); Over