Saturday Trends and Indexes 04/28

[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet


Saturday, April 28th

National League

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis, 3:55 EST FOX
Carlos Zambrano (R) vs. Adam Wainwright (R)
Zambrano: ChC 37-62 in day games
Wainwright: StL 47-23 in day games

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, 7:05 EST
Matt Belisle (R) vs. Tom Gorzelanny (L)
Belisle: Cin 2-12 Away on Saturday
Gorzelanny: Pit 7-0 Under at home vs. div. opponents

Florida at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
Dontrelle Willis (L) vs. Adam Eaton (R)
Willis: Fla 16-1 Over vs. div. opponents
Eaton: 37-15 Over when the money line is -100 to -150

Milwaukee at Houston, 7:05 EST
David Bush (R) vs. Chris Sampson (R)
Bush: 0-11 TSR vs. division opponents
Sampson: Hou 10-1 Under off a loss

NY Mets at Washington, 7:05 EST
Tom Glavine (L) vs. Jerome Williams (R)
Glavine: 17-5 TSR 1st half of season
Williams: Wash 5-17 off a division win as home dog

Atlanta at Colorado, 8:05 EST TBS
John Smoltz (R) vs. Jason Hirsh (R)
Smoltz: Atl 22-7 Over after scoring 9 runs
Hirsh: Col 25-11 revenging a loss as a home fave

San Francisco at Arizona, 9:40 EST
Matt Cain (R) vs. Edgar Gonzalez (R)
Cain: SF 10-2 Under vs. right-handed starters
Gonzalez: Ari 70-46 Under off 3+ division games

LA Dodgers at San Diego, 10:05 EST
Brett Tomko (R) vs. Greg Maddux (R)
Tomko: LAD 13-4 Over when the total is 7 to 8.5
Maddux: 7-17 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175


American League

Texas at Toronto, 1:05 EST
Kevin Millwood (R) vs. Gustavo Chacin (L)
Millwood: 15-3 Under Away when the total is 10 or higher
Chacin: 11-1 TSR in home starts

Minnesota at Detroit, 1:05 EST
Carlos Silva (R) vs. Justin Verlander (R)
Silva: Min 66-40 Under in day games
Verlander: Det 48-22 as a favorite of -125 to -175

Boston at NY Yankees, 3:55 EST FOX
Tim Wakefield (R) vs. Kei Igawa (L)
Wakefield: Bos 10-2 Under in road games
Igawa: NYY 2-10 vs. division opponents

Tampa Bay at Oakland, 4:05 EST
Casey Fossum (L) vs. Dan Haren (R)
Fossum: TB 16-4 Over in all games
Haren: 10-2 TSR vs. AL East

Baltimore at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Erik Bedard (L) vs. Jeremy Sowers (L)
Bedard: Bal 7-23 Away revenging one run loss
Sowers: Cle 24-7 at home off BB wins

LA Angels at Chicago White Sox, 7:05 EST WGN
Jered Weaver (R) vs. Jon Garland (R)
Weaver: LAA 10-19 off 4+ Overs
Garland: 20-4 TSR after walking 1 or 0 hitters BB starts

Kansas City at Seattle, 9:05 EST
Gil Meche (R) vs. Jeff Weaver (R)
Meche: KC 1-7 at Seattle
Weaver: 9-27 TSR after a game where he did not walk a batter

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[maxell]

Hot Pitchers
-- Cardinals are 3-1 in Wainwright starts, scoring 20 runs.
-- Gorzelanny is 3-0, 2.39 in four starts this season. Reds are 3-1 in Belisle starts, scoring 23 runs.
-- Marlins are 4-1 in Willis starts, scoring 38 runs.
-- Glavine is 2-0, 3.50 in his last three starts.
-- Hirsh is 2-1, 3.16 in four starts this season.
-- Cain has 1.55 RA in four starts this season.
-- Atlanta is 4-1 in Smoltz starts this season.

-- Verlander has 2.42 RA in his last four starts. Silva has 2.74 RA in four starts this season.
-- Wakefield is 2-2, 2.77 in four starts this season.
-- Orioles won three of Bedard's last four starts, scoring 25 runs.
-- Haren is 2-0, 0.64 in his last two starts.
-- Meche is 0-0, 2.57 in his last three starts; he is pitching vs his old team tonight. Jeff Weaver is 0-3, 13.91 in last three starts. .

Cold Pitchers
-- Zambrano is 1-2, 7.00 in five starts this season.
-- Eaton has 6.55 RA in four starts this season.
-- Sampson has 5.06 RA in three starts this season. Bush has a 5.04 RA in four starts this season.
-- JWilliams is 0-4, 8.59 in four starts this season.
-- Gonzalez is 0-2, 4.43 in his last three starts.
-- Tomko is 0-1, 5.06 in three starts this season. Maddux is 1-2, 4.24 in four starts this season.

-- Millwood is 0-2, 8.18 in his last two starts. Chacin has 5.40 RA in four starts this season.
-- Karstens allowed seven runs in 4.1 IP in first '07 start.
-- Sowers is 0-1, 8.38 in his last two starts.
-- Fossum has 7.33 RA in four starts this season.
-- White Sox are 0-4 in Garland starts, scoring 14 runs. Weaver is 0-2, 12.91 in two starts this season.

Totals
-- Four of last six Cub road games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1 in Pittsburgh home games.
-- Eight of last nine Florida games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in Houston home games.
-- Three of Mets' last four road games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Atlanta road games went over the total, but in last seven games at Coors Field, under is 5-2. .
-- Under is 4-0 in Gonzalez starts this season.
-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Dodger games.


-- Under is 7-1 in last seven Toronto home games.
-- Four of last six Detroit games went over the total.
-- Under is 10-2 in Red Sox road games, but 10 of the last 11 last Bronx games went over the total. .
-- Six of last eight White Sox home games stayed under.
-- Four of last six Baltimore road games went over the total.
-- Last six Seattle home games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in Oakland home games, but over is 9-2 in last eleven Tampa Bay games.


Hot Teams
-- Mets are 7-3 on road, just 2-2 against Nationals.
-- Pirates won last five games, allowing total of twelve runs.
-- Phillies won six of last seven games, scoring 47 runs. Florida won four of its last six games.
-- Milwaukee won seven of its last nine games.
-- Giants won eight of last nine games, allowing 24 runs. Arizona won last three games, allowing eight runs.

-- Red Sox won last five road games, by combined score of 31-11.
-- Indians won seven of their last eight games.
-- Toronto won three of their last four games.
-- White Sox won seven of last nine games. Angels won six of last eight games, scoring 58 runs.
-- Seattle won its last four games, allowing 10 runs.
--

Cold Teams
-- Washington is 4-8 at home this season.
-- Astros lost last seven games, allowing 37 runs.
-- Cincinnati lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Colorado lost six of last eight games.
-- Dodgers, Padres both lost four their last five games.

-- Bronx lost their last seven games, allowing 54 runs.
-- Orioles lost last five games, scoring fourteen runs.
-- Minnesota lost four of its last six games.
-- Rangers are 4-8 in their last twelve games, allowing 25 runs in last four games (1-3).
-- Royals are 6-16 in their last twenty-two games.
-- Oakland lost last three games, scoring three runs.

Umpires
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six O'Nora games. (Cubs-StL)
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last 12 Hirschbeck games. (Cin-Pitt)
-- Favorite is 7-2 in last nine Wendelstedt games. (Fla-Phil)
-- Favorite is 6-1 in last seven Culbreth games. (Mil-Hst)
-- Underdog is 4-2 in last six Gibson games. (NY-Wsh)
-- Underdog is 6-2 in last eight Eddings games. (Atl-Col)
-- Underdog is 5-1 in last six Meriwether games. (SF-Az)
-- Over is 4-2 in last six Joyce games. (LA-SD)

-- Over is 6-3 in Young's last nine games. (Tex-Tor)
-- Underdog is 4-2 in last six Nauert games. (Min-Det)
-- Last seven Froemming games stayed under total. (Bos-NY)
-- Over is 10-4-1 in last fifteen Hoye games. (TB-A's)
-- Underdog won last eight Hudson games. (Blt-Clev)
-- Favorite won last five Scott games. (LA-Chi)
-- Over is 14-5-2 in last 21 Reynolds games. (Sea-KC)

[Udog]

Thank you, Maxell! Good luck today!

[Udog]

NBA
Write-up


Saturday, April 28


Detroit can clinch series here; they made 8-13 3's in dominating Game 3 win, holding Orlando to 54 points in last three quarters. Pistons have a total of only 26 turnovers in three series games; as Magic not getting easy hoops- they're 8-21 from arc in series so they're not getting much beyond arc, either.

Cleveland has taken 72 foul shots in first two series games, had relatively easy time so far, as Wizards without its injured stars Butler, Arenas. Washington is just 12-41 from arc, forced only 18 turnovers. Cavaliers need quick series to give James time to heal up from minor injuries.

Denver played well at Alamo, splitting pair, but shooting 38.6% in Game 2, as Iverson/Anthony combined for just 17 hoops in 46 attempts. Spurs took 23 FTs in Game 2, after only 10 in first game; they took ten less treys, so they attacked the hoop more. Denver's foul shots dropped from 25 to 17 in Game 2.

Utah forced 19 turnovers in Game 3 win, holding Rockets to 67 points, as Houston, aside from Ming/McGrady, made just six of 27 shots-- only six Rockets played more than 14:18. Jazz shot under 39% for second time in three games; they're 7-41 from arc in series. Utah had led at halftime of all three series games.

[Udog]

NHL
Write-up


Saturday, April 28


San Jose, youngest team left in playoffs, got outshot 23-9 after first period, but they scored two quick goals in Game 1, hung on for upset win, giving them home ice edge. There were 19 faceoffs in Shark zone, only 8 in Detroit's, so Wings pressured throughout last two periods, but couldn't put biscuit in basket.

Ottawa scored four goals in first period vs Hall of Fame goalie Brodeur, then hung on for dear life, as Devils rallied to 4-3, but Senators won, scoring pair of power play goals, while Jersey was 0-3 with man advantage. Senators now won last four tilts, allowing total of just seven goals.

[Udog]

AFL
Write-up


Saturday, April 28


Colorado (5-3) @ Kansas City (4-3)-- Visiting Crush won three of last four games; they're 1-2 on road, winning 49-48 at New York, losing at Philly (71-47), San Jose (72-44). KC had three-game win streak snapped last week; they're 3-1 at home, losing to Dallas, but winning other three by 13,2,11 points. Five of last six Crush games went over total, five of seven KC games stayed under.

Georgia (7-1) @ New Orleans (4-4)-- Georgia handed Dallas first loss last week; they're 3-1 on road, losing by point at Columbus, winning other three by 4,14,8 points. Seven of their eight games went over total, as did three of last four Voodooo games. NO is 3-0 vs spread in game following a loss this season; they're 3-1 on home field, losing to LA, winning by 7,3,13 points.

Nashville (4-4) @ Dallas (7-1) -- Dallas coming off first loss; they are 4-0 at home, winning by 19,4,2,10 points- over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Kats have gone LLWWLLWW so far this year they're 2-1 on road, losing by 17 at Colorado, but winning by 7 at Austin, 26 at Arizona. Neither team has had bye yet. Kats are 1-4 if they don't win the turnover battle.

[Dennis14072]

Thanks Guys, GL tonight!

[pm530]

Six-Pack for Saturday

-- Jeff Francoeur made terrific running catch in corner in RF to end game, or else tying runs would have scored, saving Atlanta's 9-7 win at Coors Field.

-- Dodgers scored four runs in ninth vs Trevor Hoffman, as Dodgers ended skid with 6-5 win in San Diego.

-- Angels are 2-8 in Santana's last ten road starts.

-- Orioles, Bronx, Astros are all winless this week.

-- Ian Snell is pitching great for red-hot Pirates, who haven't lost yet this week.

-- Ramon Ortiz has been surprisngly good for Minnesota.

[pm530]

Idle thoughts as I watch the NFL Draft

-- First choice of day: ESPN or NFL Network? ESPN hires all the "edgy" guys; they have Keyshawn Johnson this time, so we switch to NFLN. How about hiring good guys instead of the jerks of the game? Just an idea..........

-- Then again, Deion Sanders is on NFLN, so it is hard to get away from this trend. Marshall Faulk and Steve Mariucci are terrific, though, so we'll stick with NFLN today, for most part.

-- But that means I won't get to hear as much of Mel Kiper, so I make a note to watch ESPN tomorrow; no one does Sunday of the NFL Draft like Mel Kiper, Jr.

-- Why would anyone trade for Randy Moss? I don't know how to put this, other than: HE DOESN'T ALWAYS TRY!!!!

-- Arizona Cardinals were 4-2 in NFC West last year, 1-9 out of its division. At least they have a nice stadium now.

-- Amobi Okoye is 250 days younger than anyone else ever drafted in NFL; he graduated college at age 19.

-- Brady Quinn has lost at least $10M so far, as he is still in a waiting area, as none of first ten teams drafted him. Commish Goodell has bailed Quinn out, sending him to a waiting area with no TV cameras, so we can't see him suffer.

-- Matt Millen still has a job; he just drafted another WR, kind of like the swallows returning to Capistrano. Amazing.

-- 49ers made great pick with Ole Miss LB Patrick Willis; he is going to be tremendous.

-- To me, when they show prospects do things in games, it means hell of a lot more than when they show workouts. It is the games that matter.

-- Four of the top eleven picks were SEC players.

-- Wisconsin OT Joe Thomas went fishing instead of going to New York for the Draft. Interesting choice, but he went #3 to the Browns, good pick for the Cleveland side.