Sunday Trends and Indexes 04/22

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Sunday, April 22

Good Luck on day #112 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB
Tips and Trends


Sunday, April 22

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Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers (1:05 PM ET)
The White Sox dropped three straight before its current winning streak, scoring a combined two runs in those three games and batting .184. During the four consecutive wins, Chicago is averaging six runs. EDGE: WHITE SOX
Chicago starter Jon Garland is 12-6 with a 4.32 ERA in 22 starts against the Tigers. EDGE: WHITE SOX
Detroit starter Justin Verlander is 1-4 with a 7.82 ERA in five starts against the White Sox. Chicago designated-hitter Jim Thome is 6-for-12 with four homers and five RBIs against the right-hander. EDGE: WHITE SOX
The Tigers are 10-3 in Verlander's last 13 home games.


Atlanta Braves at New York Mets (1:10 PM ET)
Braves starter John Smoltz is 2-0 after Atlanta losses this season and will have a chance to give the Braves two straight series wins over the Mets for the first time since 2005. EDGE: BRAVES
New York starter Tom Glavine is 0-1 with a 2.19 ERA in his two starts against former teammate Smoltz, but he is 3-10 with a 5.55 ERA in 16 outings against the Braves overall. SLIGHT EDGE: BRAVES & OVER
A strong Mets lineup will try to break Smoltz's run of success against Glavine. New York has scored seven runs or more seven times this season, including twice against Atlanta. EDGE: METS & OVER
The Mets are 12-3 in Glavine's last 15 starts versus a team with a winning record.


Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds (1:15 PM ET)
The Phillies will try to win consecutive games and a series for the first time in 2007 as they complete this three-game set. SLIGHT EDGE: REDS
Philadelphia manager Charlie Manuel expects to have slugger Ryan Howard back in the lineup, after missing three games with a leg injury. EDGE: PHILLIES
Reds third baseman Edwin Encarnacion is hitting just .182 this season, but he picked up his first multi-hit game since April 7 on Saturday. SLIGHT EDGE: REDS
Phillies starter Freddy Garcia won both starts against the Reds while pitching in interleague games for Seattle and Chicago. He has limited Cincinnati to four runs and 10 hits in 16 innings. EDGE: PHILLIES
The Reds are 4-0 in Belisle's last four home starts.


Houston Astros at Milwaukee Brewers (2:05 PM ET)
Unlike last season when the Astros struggled to produce runs consistently behind starter Roy Oswalt, they have scored 20 runs in his last three starts. EDGE: ASTROS & OVER
Oswalt is 11-6 with a 3.39 ERA in 20 starts against Milwaukee, including two wins in 2006. EDGE: ASTROS
Milwaukee's J.J. Hardy went 2-for-3 with two homers and three RBIs on Saturday, giving him four homers and eight RBIs in his last three games. EDGE: BREWERS
Brewers starter Dave Bush has been solid against Houston, going 2-0 with a 2.17 ERA in four career starts against them. EDGE: BREWERS
The Astros are 7-0 in Oswalt's last seven road starts.
The Brewers are 5-0 in Bush's last five starts as a home underdog.


St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET)
The Cubs were an NL-worst 36-45 at home last year, but were 8-2 against the Cardinals at Wrigley and bounced back Saturday after losing 2-1 in Friday's series opener. SLIGHT EDGE: CUBS
Chicago starter Wade Miller is 8-6 with a 3.74 ERA against the Cardinals, but hasn't faced them since 2004. He was 1-3 with a 5.91 ERA against St. Louis while with Houston. SLIGHT EDGE: CARDINALS
The Cardinals have scored a major-league low 50 runs and just 12 in their last six contests. EDGE: UNDER
The OVER is 22-8-1 in the Cardinals' last 31 Sunday games.


Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET)
The Giants have improved nicely after a slow start. They have won four straight games and seven of their last nine to reach .500 at 8-8 after a 1-6 start. EDGE: GIANTS
San Francisco starter Matt Cain has allowed only four runs and eight hits while striking out 17 batters, but he has received just six runs of support in 20 innings. EDGE: GIANTS & UNDER
Arizona starter Yusmeiro Petit was 1-1 witth a 9.57 ERA in one start and 15 overall appearances wwith the Florida Marlins in 2006. EDGE: GIANTS & OVER
The OVER is 5-0 in Cain's last five starts versus the Diamondbacks.


New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox (ESPN | 8:05 PM ET)
After a disastrous home record against the New York Yankees last season, the Boston Red Sox are on the verge of their first sweep over their archrivals at Fenway Park in more than 16 years. SLIGHT EDGE: YANKEES
Saturday's victory was the fourth straight and seventh in eight games overall for the Red Sox. EDGE: RED SOX
Boston's David Ortiz has seven homers and 20 RBIs in 20 games against the Yankees since the start of last season. EDGE: RED SOX
New York's Alex Rodriguez is batting .372 with four homers and 15 RBIs in his last 10 games at Fenway Park. EDGE: YANKEES
The Yankees are 0-6 in their last six Sunday games.

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Tips and Trends

NBA
Tips and trends



Sunday, April 22

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#7 Washington Wizards at #2 Cleveland Cavaliers
Game 1 - Sunday, April 22nd, 7 p.m. Eastern (TNT)

The Wizards stumbled down the stretch without two of their top three scorers, dropping eight of their last 10 SU and going 4-5-1 ATS. It's doubtful that they will be able to win a game in this series, but they may be able to stay within double digits. In those eight losses, the margin of victory for their opponents was more than eight points twice. Still, Washington will sorely miss the 47.6 points of offense generated by injured All-Stars Gilbert Arenas and Caron Butler. BIG EDGE: CAVS
Insiders believe Washington's best chance is to slow down the pace of the game. Chicago is the only team to score more than 96 points in the Wizards' last six games. The total went UNDER in all of those games along with eight of the team's last nine. EDGE: UNDER
Cleveland is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 home games.
Washington is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine vs. Central Division opponents.
UNDER is 10-2 in Cleveland's last 12 games vs. Southeast Division opponents.



REGULAR-SEASON RESULTS

Cleveland wins 2-1 SU (Washington 2-0-1 ATS)
UNDER 2-1

4/6/07 - Cleveland 99, WASHINGTON 94 (ATS winner: PUSH +5 | UNDER 197.5)
11/18/06 - WASHINGTON 111, Cleveland 99 (ATS winner: Wash -4 | OVER 196.5)
11/1/06 - CLEVELAND 97, Washington 94 (ATS winner: Wash +6 | UNDER 194)

REGULAR-SEASON SERIES RECAP: This is a very tough spot for the Wizards, who are severely depleted offensively without All-Stars Caron Butler and Gilbert Arenas. The duo averaged a combined 47.6 points per game, and Arenas scored a game-high 45 points in Washington's only win over the Cavs this season. Antawn Jamison will be counted on as the main offensive option and averaged 21 points against Cleveland in three games. LeBron James averaged nearly 24 points for the Cavs in the season series, and he will likely be too much for the Wizards to handle in what should be a clean sweep.

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#7 Los Angeles Lakers at #2 Phoenix Suns
Game 1 - Sunday, April 22nd, 3 p.m. Eastern (ABC)

The Lakers were just 2-12 SU down the stretch when NBA scoring champion Kobe Bryant scored 40 points or less. They also lost the last three times he scored 50 or more, proving this team could be in big trouble here against a very balanced Phoenix team. LA dropped eight of 12 down the stretch, including two losses to the Suns. BIG EDGE: SUNS
LA is especially weak inside, where the Suns can take advantage with Amare Stoudemire and Shawn Marion. Stoudemire did not play in last year's first-round playoff matchup and averaged 17 points and 12 rebounds in the three wins during the regular-season series after sitting out the season opener. BIG EDGE: SUNS
LA Lakers are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games.
Phoenix is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
UNDER is 8-3 in Phoenix's last 11 home games.
UNDER is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix.



REGULAR-SEASON RESULTS

Phoenix wins 3-1 SU (Lakers 3-1 ATS)
OVER/UNDER 2-2

4/13/07 - PHOENIX 93, LA Lakers 85 (ATS winner: LAL +9.5 | UNDER 220.5)
4/8/07 - Phoenix 115, LA LAKERS 107 (ATS winner: Pho -4.5 | OVER 218)
3/4/07 - PHOENIX 99, LA Lakers 94 (ATS winner: LAL +10 | UNDER 219.5)
10/31/06 - LA LAKERS 114, Phoenix 106 (ATS winner: LAL +5 | OVER 209.5)

REGULAR-SEASON SERIES RECAP: The Suns sent a message to the Lakers by winning the last three meetings after losing the season opener at LA, 114-106. That lone setback in the season series came during a 1-5 start for Phoenix, and Kobe Bryant did not even play in that game. Lamar Odom scored a game-high 34 points in the victory while Bryant averaged 27.3 points in the other three meetings on 26.3 shots per game. Bryant and the Lakers still seem to be haunted by their collapse in last year's first-round series against the Suns, when they blew a 3-1 lead and saw him score just 1 point in the second half of Phoenix's Game 7 rout.

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#6 Denver Nuggets at #3 San Antonio Spurs
Game 1 - Sunday, April 22nd, 7 p.m. Eastern (TNT)

The much-hyped pairing of Carmelo Anthony and Allen Iverson did not really pan out until the end of the season when the Nuggets won 10 of 11. Insiders believe this is the worst possible matchup for the prolific pair since San Antonio had the best scoring defense in the NBA this season, allowing just 90.1 points per game. BIG EDGE: SPURS
Experts see a very focused San Antonio team going into the playoffs following a strange wake-up call at Dallas last Sunday. Tim Duncan seems to be using that loss as motivation to make an early statement after getting ejected in the third quarter for laughing on the bench. Referee Joey Crawford was suspended indefinitely by NBA commisioner David Stern on Tuesday for his actions, and now the Spurs are on a mission to prove nothing can stop them. EDGE: SPURS
The Spurs dropped their last three games both SU & ATS after winning 12 of 13 (9-4 ATS).
The Nuggets finished the season on a 10-1 run SU, going 8-3 ATS in those games.
UNDER is 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings between the teams, including 7-1 in the last 8 at San Antonio.



REGULAR-SEASON RESULTS

San Antonio wins 2-1 SU & ATS
UNDER 3-0

4/18/07 - Denver 100, SAN ANTONIO 77 (ATS winner: Denver +5 | UNDER 194.5)
2/20/07 - SAN ANTONIO 95, Denver 80 (ATS winner: San Antonio -7 | UNDER 202)
1/10/07 - San Antonio 92, DENVER 83 (ATS winner: San Antonio -5 | UNDER 200)

REGULAR-SEASON SERIES RECAP: The only regular-season meeting when both teams were at full strength came on February 20th. Denver's duo of Carmelo Anthony and Allen Iverson had a rough shooting night, making a combined 9-of-26 shots and totaling 24 points between them as the Spurs returned home for the first time in more than three weeks. San Antonio outscored the Nuggets 30-10 in the third quarter to take a 31-point lead into the fourth quarter. Neither team played their starters in the season finale, and Anthony missed the first meeting due to his highly-publicized suspension for fighting at Madison Square Garden. Denver averaged 108.5 points in winning 10 of 11 to close out the regular season, but whether or not this team can play with discipline against the defensive-minded Spurs remains to be seen.

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#8 Golden State Warriors at #1 Dallas Mavericks
Game 1 - Sunday, April 22nd, 9:30 p.m. Eastern (TNT)

Dallas won a franchise-best 67 games this season, and only team with as many wins did not win the NBA title - the 1972-73 Boston Celtics, who went 68-14. The Mavs have a monster edge in postseason experience after last year's appearance in the NBA Finals, going to the playoffs each of the past seven seasons. BIG EDGE: MAVS
Golden State has a strong advantage in the backcourt with big guards Jason Richardson (6-foot-6) and Baron Davis (6-3). Dallas had trouble with Dwyane Wade in the NBA Finals last season and could have trouble matching up. SLIGHT EDGE: WARRIORS
The Warriors have won the last five meetings with the Mavs both SU & ATS, and head coach Don Nelson is obviously very familiar with his former team. Nelson runs a similar high-scoring offense, as his Golden State team has averaged more than 117 points per game since March 29 in winning nine of 10 down the stretch. EDGE: WARRIORS & OVER
Golden State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 road games.
Golden State is 17-5-2 ATS in its last 24 meetings.
Dallas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 home games.
OVER is 11-2 in Golden State's last 13 games.
OVER is 10-2 in last 12 meetings between the teams.
UNDER is 7-2 in Dallas' last 9 games.



REGULAR-SEASON RESULTS

Golden State wins 3-0 SU & ATS
OVER 3-1

4/17/07 - GOLDEN STATE 111, Dallas 82 (ATS winner: GS -10 | UNDER 215)
3/12/07 - GOLDEN STATE 117, Dallas 100 (ATS winner: GS +7.5 | OVER 206)
11/6/06 - Golden State 107, DALLAS 104 (ATS winner: GS +9.5 | OVER 197)

REGULAR-SEASON SERIES RECAP: Not to make excuses for the league's best team during the regular season, but the first meeting came during a four-game losing streak to start the 2006-07 campaign. The Mavs then proceeded to win 12 straight games after that loss and went on a 61-8 run, including a 17-game winning streak that was snapped by Golden State. The final meeting was meaningless for Dallas and very meaningful for the the Warriors, who needed to win to hold off the Clippers for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Needless to say, Dallas will have no excuses here and will need to show up against a hungry but inexperienced Golden State team that is making its first playoff appearance since 1994.

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[pm530]

Hockey – Tips & Trends

NHL
Tips and trends


Sunday, April 22

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New Jersey Devils at Tampa Bay Lightning (NBC | 1 PM ET)
After giving up three goals in each of the first four games, Devils goaltender Martin Brodeur made 31 saves on Friday night to shut out the Lightning and push Tampa Bay to the brink of elimination. SLIGHT EDGE: DEVILS & UNDER
Tampa Bay stars Vincent Lecavalier and Martin St. Louis have scored eight of the Lightning's 12 goals in this series. EDGE: LIGHTNING
The Lightning are 21-7 in their last 28 games playing on one days rest.


Detroit Red Wings at Calgary Flames (9 PM ET)
The home team has won each game in this Western Conference quarterfinal series. EDGE: FLAMES
Calgary goaltender Miikka Kiprusoff has played better at home so far this postseason, stopping 61 of 65 shots for a 2.00 GAA. EDGE: FLAMES
The Red Wings are 1-6 in their last seven games playing on zero days rest.
The home team is 8-0 in the last eight meetings.

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[pm530]

MLB
Hot Lines


Sunday, April 22

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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles

The Toronto Blue Jays are sorely missing closer B.J. Ryan. The Jays’ bullpen blew another lead on Friday night and helped push the team’s losing streak to three games.

“If we jump ship on ‘em every time you have the young kids struggling, you have no damn team,” Jays manager John Gibbons told the Toronto Star after the 5-4 loss. “We’ve been in every game this year …. We’re in a position to win, it’s just not happening.”

It shouldn’t happen today either. Starter Gustavo Chacin rarely goes past five or six innings, meaning Toronto’s bullpen should be a large factor again today.

Also, outfielder Jay Payton is healthy and should start to see some time in left field. Payton was signed in the offseason but started the year on the disabled list because of a hamstring injury.

Pick: Orioles +104

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St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs

The Chicago Cubs just can’t seem to get any clutch hits these days. Before Saturday’s game, the Cubs were hitting only .182 with runners in scoring position.

“I keep waiting for this thing to break out,” Cubs manager Lou Piniella told the Chicago Sun-Times. “It’s been a bit of a struggle early.”

Things probably won’t get any better for the Cubs until leadoff hitter Alfonso Soriano returns from a strained hamstring injury.

The St. Louis Cardinals have been a great road bet so far this season. Six of the club’s seven wins have come on the road.

Pick: Cardinals -131

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Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels

The Los Angeles Angels do not have an offense without Vladimir Guerrero. In the two games Guerrero missed after getting hit by a Josh Beckett pitch, the Angels scored just one run and only three extra base hits.

All that changed Friday night when Guerrero returned to the lineup and his team scored eight runs. Guerrero had three hits including a home run.

“Vlad comes to play every night and we all know what he can do,” Angels manager Mike Scioscia told the Los Angeles Daily News. “He’s extremely talented and he works hard. And I’ve never seen a guy swing the bat as hard as he does and still be able to square up the ball like he does. He’s in a special class.”

Guerrero still doesn’t have much protection in the batting order, but the Angels should be able to help him out today with Jeff Weaver starting the game for the Seattle Mariners.

Pick: Angels -145

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Long Sheet

NBA
Long Sheet


Sunday, April 22

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WASHINGTON (41 - 41) at CLEVELAND (50 - 32) - 4/22/2007, 12:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 18-37 ATS (-22.7 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 94-79 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 73-54 ATS (+13.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 58-41 ATS (+12.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 11-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 8-8 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (42 - 40) at PHOENIX (61 - 21) - 4/22/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
LA LAKERS are 121-158 ATS (-52.8 Units) after a division game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 44-36 ATS (+4.4 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 79-65 ATS (+7.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHOENIX is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points this season.
PHOENIX is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 11-8 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 14-5 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (45 - 37) at SAN ANTONIO (58 - 24) - 4/22/2007, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 43-22 ATS (+18.8 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 110-79 ATS (+23.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 46-35 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games this season.
DENVER is 68-50 ATS (+13.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) on Sunday games this season.
DENVER is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 35-48 ATS (-17.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 9-7 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 10-6 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
12 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (42 - 40) at DALLAS (67 - 15) - 4/22/2007, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 123-92 ATS (+21.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 67-45 ATS (+17.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 8-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

Hockey – Long Sheet

NHL
Long Sheet


Sunday, April 22

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NEW JERSEY (52-26-0-9, 113 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (46-35-0-6, 98 pts.) - 4/22/2007, 1:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-6 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 7-6-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.3 Units)

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DETROIT (52-21-0-13, 117 pts.) at CALGARY (45-31-0-10, 100 pts.) - 4/22/2007, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-6 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-6-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.1 Units)

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Short Sheet

NBA
Short Sheet


Sunday, April 22nd

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Eastern Conference Playoffs
Game One
TV: TNT
Washington at Cleveland, 12:35 ET

Washington:
14-24 ATS off a win
18-37 ATS playing with 3+ days rest

Cleveland:
12-1 ATS off 4+ wins
18-5 ATS at home after playing 3+ games as a favorite

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Western Conference Playoffs
Game One
TV: ABC
LA Lakers at Phoenix, 3:05 ET

LA Lakers:
15-24 ATS off a home game
11-23 ATS in the second half of the season

Phoenix:
13-5 ATS at home off an ATS loss
15-5 ATS off a division loss

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Western Conference Playoffs
Game One
TV: TNT
Denver at San Antonio, 7:05 ET

Denver:
15-6 ATS off a road win
23-11 ATS off a win by 15+ points

San Antonio:
23-9 Under at home on Sundays
10-1 Under at home off a home loss

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Western Conference Playoffs
Game One
TV: TNT
Golden State at Dallas, 9:35 ET

Golden State:
0-8 ATS away after playing as a road favorite
11-25 ATS away after scoring 60+ first-half points

Dallas:
34-16 ATS at home revenging a loss allowing 110+ points
43-25 ATS playing their second game in five days

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[Udog]

NBA
Additional


Sunday,April 22


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NBA Playoff Game (Sunday) Play Over NBA road teams when the total is 190 to 199.5 points with a team averaging 83+ shots per game on the year versus an opponent who for 3 straight games has made >=47% of their shot attempts.
(34-11 since 1996.) (75.6%) PLAY: Washington / Cleveland OVER 190

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at Cleveland Cavaliers by 11.5 Washington Wizards O/U 190.0
Cleveland Cavaliers are 16-6-0 O/U All Games (10 -> 11.5)



at Phoenix Suns by 10.5 Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers O/U 212.5
Phoenix Suns are 7-25-1 ATS All Games (10 -> 11.5)
Phoenix Suns are 4-21-0 ATS As Favorite (10 -> 11.5)
Phoenix Suns are 3-16-0 ATS As Home (10 -> 11.5)
Phoenix Suns are 3-16-0 ATS As Home Favorite (10 -> 11.5)
Phoenix Suns are 5-15-1 ATS After 1 Unders (10 -> 11.5)
Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers are 6-19-0 ATS All Games (10 -> 11.5)
Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers are 0-8-0 ATS After 1 ATS Wins (10 -> 11.5)
Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers are 65-103-6 ATS After 1 Away (All Lines)
Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers are 1-13-0 ATS After 1 Away (10 -> 11.5)



at San Antonio Spurs by 8.5 Denver Nuggets O/U 196.5
San Antonio Spurs are 141-180-6 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)
San Antonio Spurs are 72-111-3 O/U As Home (All Lines)
San Antonio Spurs are 13-32-1 O/U As Home (8 -> 9.5)
San Antonio Spurs are 70-109-3 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
San Antonio Spurs are 13-32-1 O/U As Home Favorite (8 -> 9.5)
San Antonio Spurs are 9-23-0 O/U After 1 Home (8 -> 9.5)
San Antonio Spurs are 5-15-0 O/U vs. Denver (All Lines)
Denver Nuggets are 3-14-0 ATS After 1 Unders (8 -> 9.5)
Denver Nuggets are 5-15-0 O/U vs. San Antonio (All Lines)



at Dallas Mavericks by 10.0 Golden State Warriors O/U 215.0
Dallas Mavericks are 20-8-0 ATS As Home (10 -> 11.5)
Dallas Mavericks are 20-8-0 ATS As Home Favorite (10 -> 11.5)
Dallas Mavericks are 3-11-1 ATS vs. Golden State (All Lines)
Golden State Warriors are 53-34-2 ATS After 2 ATS Wins (All Lines)
Golden State Warriors are 11-3-1 ATS vs. Dallas (All Lines)

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Denver at San Antonio
The Allen Iverson-Carmelo Anthony combination jelled down the stretch as the Nuggets went a franchise-best 10-1 in April. They also played well on the road with a 22-19 season record straight up, including winning six of their last seven, and an even better 25-15-1 against the spread. San Antonio lost only 10 games straight up at home (31-10), but dropped down to a less impressive 21-20 ATS at AT&T Center. Against a hot Nuggets team, the Spurs should have trouble covering the Vegas line (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has San Antonio favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Denver (+8 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, APRIL 22

Game 509-510: Washington at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 113.692; Cleveland 128.363
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 14 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 11; 190
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-11); Over

Game 511-512: LA Lakers at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 117.059; Phoenix 130.198
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 13; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 10 1/2; 214 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-10 1/2); Under

Game 513-514: Denver at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 124.389; San Antonio 126.059
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 1 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 8 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+8 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: Golden State at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 125.565; Dallas 126.757
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 203
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 10; 214 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+10); Under

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel


Toronto at Baltimore
The Blue Jays look to salvage a game in this series and snap a four-game losing streak in the process behind Gustavo Chacin. Chacin was the pitcher of record the last time Toronto won (2-1 over Boston on Tuesday). The lefthander comes in with a solid 2-0 start and 3.57 ERA. He'll face veteran Steve Trachsel, who was knocked out of the fourth inning in his last start against Tampa Bay and took the loss (6-4). The Blue Jays look like a good pick (-115) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Toronto favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-115). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, APRIL 22

Game 951-952: Washington at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Williams) 12.147; Florida (Obermueller) 14.578
Dunkel Line: Florida by 2 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 953-954: Atlanta at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Smoltz) 17.205; NY Mets (Glavine) 18.060
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-120); Over

Game 955-956: Philadelphia at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Garcia) 14.374; Cincinnati (Belisle) 17.417
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-125); Under

Game 957-958: Houston at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oswalt) 20.480; Milwaukee (Bush) 16.767
Dunkel Line: Houston by 3 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Houston (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-140); Over

Game 959-960: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.326; Chicago Cubs (Miller) 14.931
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-140); N/A

Game 961-962: San Diego at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Maddux) 16.818; Colorado (Hirsh) 15.403
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: San Diego (-115); 10
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-115); Over

Game 963-964: Arizona at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Petit) 15.087; San Francisco (Cain) 15.914
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-200); Under

Game 965-966: Pittsburgh at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Gorzelanny) 17.253; LA Dodgers (Tomko) 17.877
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130); Over

Game 967-968: Chicago White Sox at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Garland) 15.490; Detroit (Verlander) 16.953
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-163); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-163); Under

Game 969-970: Toronto at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Chacin) 17.617; Baltimore (Trachsel) 15.837
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-115); Under

Game 971-972: Cleveland at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Westbrook) 13.481; Tampa Bay (Shields) 16.545
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-120); 11
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+120); Under

Game 973-974: Minnesota at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Ortiz) 19.656; Kansas City (De La Rosa) 15.291
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-160); Over

Game 975-976: Oakland at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gaudin) 17.415; Texas (Tejeda) 16.327
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Oakland (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-110); Over

Game 977-978: Seattle at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Weaver) 12.776; LA Angels (Santana) 14.047
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-140); Under

Game 979-980: NY Yankees at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Wright) 17.960; Boston (Matsuzaka) 17.006
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-185); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+185); Over

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet


Sunday, April 22


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WASHINGTON (6 - 12) at FLORIDA (7 - 10) - 1:05 PM
JEROME WILLIAMS (R) vs. WES OBERMUELLER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 3-2 (-0.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.0 Units)

JEROME WILLIAMS vs. FLORIDA since 1997
WILLIAMS is 0-0 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

WES OBERMUELLER vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
OBERMUELLER is 2-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 0.500.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)




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ATLANTA (11 - 6) at NY METS (11 - 5) - 1:10 PM
JOHN SMOLTZ (R) vs. TOM GLAVINE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 88-88 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 114-74 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 45-22 (+19.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 112-73 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 84-53 (+18.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 49-31 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GLAVINE is 29-10 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GLAVINE is 28-10 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SMOLTZ is 29-10 (+16.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 (+1.3 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JOHN SMOLTZ vs. NY METS since 1997
SMOLTZ is 8-6 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.184.
His team's record is 9-9 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-5. (+6.8 units)

TOM GLAVINE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
GLAVINE is 3-10 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.55 and a WHIP of 1.568.
His team's record is 4-12 (-8.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-6. (+2.5 units)




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PHILADELPHIA (5 - 11) at CINCINNATI (9 - 9) - 1:15 PM
FREDDY GARCIA (R) vs. MATT BELISLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-25 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
GARCIA is 9-1 (+8.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARCIA is 24-11 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARCIA is 35-15 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GARCIA is 22-7 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 52-76 (-35.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 195-189 (-50.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

FREDDY GARCIA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
GARCIA is 2-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 0.688.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

MATT BELISLE vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.




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HOUSTON (9 - 7) at MILWAUKEE (10 - 7) - 2:05 PM
ROY OSWALT (R) vs. DAVE BUSH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 22-9 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 110-59 (+29.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
BUSH is 5-14 (-10.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-1 (+0.7 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

ROY OSWALT vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
OSWALT is 11-6 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.100.
His team's record is 14-6 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-9. (-0.6 units)

DAVE BUSH vs. HOUSTON since 1997
BUSH is 2-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.17 and a WHIP of 0.862.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)




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ST LOUIS (7 - 10) at CHICAGO CUBS (7 - 10) - 2:20 PM
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. WADE MILLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 101-93 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 101-93 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 51-50 (-15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 45-23 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 74-106 (-29.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 39-51 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 193-182 (-55.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 3-9 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 74-103 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 578-646 (-133.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 31-46 (-25.3 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 27-45 (-17.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 33-51 (-21.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)


ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

WADE MILLER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
MILLER is 8-6 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.085.
His team's record is 12-6 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-8. (+0.1 units)




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SAN DIEGO (11 - 7) at COLORADO (7 - 11) - 3:05 PM
GREG MADDUX (R) vs. JASON HIRSH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 55-37 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 52-41 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 21-10 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 52-41 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 44-29 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 33-22 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 4-1 (+2.6 Units) against COLORADO this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

GREG MADDUX vs. COLORADO since 1997
MADDUX is 8-5 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.245.
His team's record is 9-6 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-6. (+3.0 units)

JASON HIRSH vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HIRSH is 1-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.406.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)




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ARIZONA (10 - 9) at SAN FRANCISCO (8 - 8) - 4:05 PM
YUSMEIRO PETIT (R) vs. MATT CAIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 401-371 (+44.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ARIZONA is 66-65 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-18 (-13.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

YUSMEIRO PETIT vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

MATT CAIN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
CAIN is 2-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.184.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-5. (-4.4 units)




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PITTSBURGH (6 - 10) at LA DODGERS (13 - 5) - 4:10 PM
TOM GORZELANNY (L) vs. BRETT TOMKO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 5-18 (-12.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 19-43 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 17-45 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 12-35 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 27-11 (+15.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 61-31 (+23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

TOM GORZELANNY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

BRETT TOMKO vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
TOMKO is 7-5 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.163.
His team's record is 10-7 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-9. (-4.1 units)




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CHI WHITE SOX (9 - 7) at DETROIT (9 - 8) - 1:05 PM
JON GARLAND (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 210-142 (+34.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 66-33 (+23.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 104-71 (+29.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 39-17 (+20.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 43-21 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 78-47 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 85-56 (+26.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 151-85 (+46.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 133-77 (+37.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 53-24 (+21.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 102-73 (+24.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GARLAND is 25-13 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARLAND is 10-1 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARLAND is 29-12 (+16.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARLAND is 17-5 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 60-110 (-48.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
DETROIT is 51-79 (-34.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-0 (+2.4 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JON GARLAND vs. DETROIT since 1997
GARLAND is 12-6 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.405.
His team's record is 13-9 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-11. (-2.8 units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
VERLANDER is 1-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 7.81 and a WHIP of 1.815.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)




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TORONTO (8 - 9) at BALTIMORE (10 - 7) - 1:35 PM
GUSTAVO CHACIN (L) vs. STEVE TRACHSEL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 40-27 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 52-31 (+17.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHACIN is 14-6 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHACIN is 18-9 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHACIN is 9-3 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 50-80 (-48.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 136-188 (-67.5 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 19-37 (-19.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 12-22 (-14.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
TRACHSEL is 17-33 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in April games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TRACHSEL is 14-37 (-24.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday since 1997. (Team's Record)
TRACHSEL is 50-75 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against TORONTO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

GUSTAVO CHACIN vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
CHACIN is 2-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.95 and a WHIP of 1.109.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.5 units)

STEVE TRACHSEL vs. TORONTO since 1997
TRACHSEL is 3-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.342.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)




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CLEVELAND (7 - 7) at TAMPA BAY (7 - 10) - 1:40 PM
JAKE WESTBROOK (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 85-91 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 84-86 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 84-86 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played in a dome over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 84-86 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.
SHIELDS is 6-0 (+6.9 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 68-47 (+26.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JAKE WESTBROOK vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
WESTBROOK is 5-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.387.
His team's record is 6-3 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.1 units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.




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MINNESOTA (11 - 6) at KANSAS CITY (5 - 12) - 2:10 PM
RAMON ORTIZ (R) vs. JORGE DE LA ROSA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 54-72 (+23.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 42-63 (+15.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 107-75 (+22.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 66-41 (+18.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 16-48 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-1 (-0.1 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

RAMON ORTIZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
ORTIZ is 3-4 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 7.09 and a WHIP of 1.574.
His team's record is 4-4 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.6 units)

JORGE DE LA ROSA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 0-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 2.545.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)




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OAKLAND (9 - 8) at TEXAS (7 - 10) - 3:05 PM
CHAD GAUDIN (R) vs. ROBINSON TEJEDA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 105-81 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 93-84 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 116-99 (+28.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 11-3 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 39-28 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 46-25 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 97-72 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 78-59 (+15.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 2-13 (-10.9 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against TEXAS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

CHAD GAUDIN vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

ROBINSON TEJEDA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
TEJEDA is 2-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.540.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)




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SEATTLE (5 - 8) at LA ANGELS (8 - 9) - 3:35 PM
JEFF WEAVER (R) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 16-40 (-17.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 23-42 (-20.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SANTANA is 26-9 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 26-9 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 70-52 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in road games in April games since 1997.
WEAVER is 24-15 (+17.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 11-17 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 70-79 (-33.2 Units) against the money line in home games in day games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

JEFF WEAVER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
WEAVER is 5-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.43 and a WHIP of 1.137.
His team's record is 5-5 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-7. (-5.7 units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SANTANA is 1-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 6.56 and a WHIP of 1.457.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)




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NY YANKEES (8 - 8) at BOSTON (11 - 5) - 8:05 PM
CHASE WRIGHT (L) vs. DAISUKE MATSUZAKA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 31-32 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 183-151 (-44.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
BOSTON is 238-228 (-51.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
BOSTON is 271-213 (-49.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.2 Units)

CHASE WRIGHT vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

DAISUKE MATSUZAKA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.




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[pm530]

Baseball – Streaking Pitchers

MLB
Streaking Pitchers


Sunday, April 22

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Hot pitchers

Ramon Ortiz (Minnesota Twins) – New addition Ortiz has been a blessing for the pitching-strapped Twins. A return to the American League has seen Ortiz explode out of the gates with a perfect 3-0 start and 2.05 ERA. Oddsmakers have tagged Minnesota as underdogs in two Ortiz’s three starts but have them favored at -145 on the road at Kansas City.

Tom Gorzelanny (Pittsburgh Pirates) – The Pirates’ starting pitching staff is one of the biggest surprises of the young season and Gorzelanny is a big reason why. The young lefty has shown the ability to shut down top-notch teams away from home with road win over Houston and St. Louis. Pittsburgh travels to Dodgertown as +121 underdogs to take on an L.A. squad that hits .261 against southpaws.

Gustavo Chacin (Toronto Blue Jays) – Chacin is coming off one of the best starts of his career, out-dueling Daisuke Matsuzaka in a 2-1 victory over the Boston Red Sox on Tuesday. Toronto will need a similar effort from Chacin if they are to snap their current four-game losing streak. The Jays (-108), are favored on the road in Baltimore against the Orioles who only have only three homers against left handed pitching in 2007.

Cold pitchers

Jeff Weaver (Seattle Mariners) – Seattle’s big free agent signing is turning out to be a big bust. So far this season Weaver is robbing the Mariners by earning slightly over $1.3 million per inning pitched. An inability to get hitters out has led to a whopping 15.75 ERA and only eight innings in two starts for the 2006 playoff hero. Oddsmakers have Seattle listed as +137 underdogs as they visit the Angels in Anaheim.

Jake Westbrook (Cleveland Indians) – Cleveland re-signed Westbrook to a 3-year, $33 million contract extension and then saw him promptly get blasted for eight runs in 1.2 innings against the Yankees on Tuesday. Overall the former 15-game winner is 0-2 in three starts this season with an inflated 12.08 ERA. The good news? Cleveland (-111) is playing against the Tampa Bay Devil Rays on Sunday.

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[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet


Sunday, April 22nd

National League

Washington at Florida, 1:05 EST
Jerome Williams (R) vs. Sergio Mitre (R)
Williams: Wash 0-6 when the money line is +125 to -125
Mitre: 1-10 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125

Atlanta at NY Mets, 1:10 EST
John Smoltz (R) vs. Tom Glavine (L)
Smoltz: ATL 49-33 Over when the money line is +125 to -125
Glavine: 18-2 TSR at home when the total is 8.5 to 10

Philadelphia at Cincinnati, 1:15 EST
Freddy Garcia (R) vs. Matt Belisle (R)
Garcia: 9-1 TSR as a road underdog of +100 to +150
Belisle: Cin 8-2 Under when the money line is +125 to -125

Houston at Milwaukee, 2:05 EST
Roy Oswalt (R) vs. Dave Bush (R)
Oswalt: Hou 110-59 as a road favorite of -125 to -150
Bush: Mil 8-1 Over at home

St. Louis at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 EST
Adam Wainwright (R) vs. Wade Miller (R)
Wainwright: StL 45-22 in day games
Miller: ChC 2-9 in day games

San Diego at Colorado, 3:05 EST
Greg Maddux (R) vs. Jason Hirsh (R)
Maddux: 14-22 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher
Hirsh: 7-2 TSR vs. division opponents

Arizona at San Francisco, 4:05 EST
Yusmeiro Petit (R) vs. Matt Cain (R)
Petit: Ari 0-5 as an underdog
Cain: SF 8-1 as a home favorite of -175 to -200

Pittsburgh at LA Dodgers, 4:10 EST
Tom Gorzelanny (L) vs. Brett Tomko (R)
Gorzelanny: Pit 19-43 in day games
Tomko: LAD 16-3 Over vs. Pittsburgh


American League

Chicago White Sox at Detroit, 1:05 EST
Jon Garland (R) vs. Justin Verlander (R)
Garland: 9-2 TSR as a road underdog
Verlander: 1-4 TSR, 7.81 ERA vs. White Sox

Toronto at Baltimore, 1:35 EST
Gustavo Chacin (L) vs. Steve Trachsel (R)
Chacin: 11-4 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10
Trachsel: 17-33 TSR in April

Cleveland at Tampa Bay, 1:40 EST
Jake Westbrook (R) vs. James Shields (R)
Westbrook: CLe 12-2 Over after BB games where bullpen gave up no runs
Shields: 6-0 TSR as a home underdog of +100 to +125

Minnesota at Kansas City, 2:10 EST
Ramon Ortiz (R) vs. Jorge De La Rosa (L)
Ortiz: 3-0 TSR, 2.05 ERA this season
De La Rosa: 0-3 TSR, 7.36 ERA vs. Twins

Oakland at Texas, 3:05 EST
Chad Gaudin (R) vs. Robinson Tejada (R)
Gaudin: Oak 18-3 Under when the total is 10 or higher
Tejada: Tex 3-18 as a home underdog

Seattle at LA Angels, 3:35 EST
Jeff Weaver (R) vs. Ervin Santana (R)
Weaver: Sea 16-40 as a road underdog of +125 to +150
Santana: 14-2 TSR at home when the total is 8.5 to 10

NY Yankees at Boston, 8:05 EST
Chase Wright (L) vs. Daisuke Matsuzaka (R)
Wright: NYY 9-1 Over as an underdog of +125 to +175
Matsuzaka: Bos 21-3 after batting .333 or better L3 games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[pm530]

Baseball – Write up

MLB
Write-up


Sunday, April 22

Hot Pitchers
-- Atlanta is 3-1 in Smoltz starts this season (2-1, 3.81). Glavine is 3-1, 3.86 in four starts this season.
-- Reds scored 20 runs in winning Belisle's three starts (2-0, 3.57)
-- Oswalt is 3-0, 2.89 in four starts this season.
-- Hirsh is 1-1, 3.38 in three starts this season.
-- Cain is 0-1, 1.80 in three starts this season.
-- Dodgers are 2-0 in Tomko's starts (0-0, 3.27). Gorzelanny is 2-0 1.77 in his three starts.

-- Verlander is 1-1, 1.89 in three starts this season.
-- Chacin is 2-0, 3.78 in three starts this season.
-- Ramon Ortiz is 3-0, 2.05 in three starts this season.
-- A's are 3-0 in Gaudin starts (1-0, 1.96). Tejeda is 2-1, 3.32 in his three starts this season.
-- Angels won Santana's last seven home starts.
-- Matsuzaka is 1-2, 2.70 in three starts; Red Sox scored one run in his last two starts. Wright won his first start, allowing three runs in five IP (104 PT).

Cold Pitchers
-- Obermueller has 9-19, 5.65 career mark in 41 starts, mostly with the Brewers, last of which were in '05. Williams is 0-3, 6.19 in his three starts this season.
-- Garcia allowed three runs in 4.2 IP (95 PT) in first Philly start
-- Bush is 1-1, 5.82 in three starts this season.
-- Miller is 0-1, 9.00 in two starts this season. Wainwright is 1-1, 3.86 in his three starts this season.
-- Maddux is 1-1, 3.86 in three starts, a total of just 16.1 IP.
-- Petit makes first start for Arizona; he allowed five runs in sux IP in his only '06 start, an 18-9 win vs Washington.

-- White Sox are 0-3 in Garland starts (0-1, 4.66).
-- Trachsel is 0-1, 5.19 in three starts this season.
-- Westbrook is 0-2, 12.79 in three starts this season. Shields is
1-1, 5.85 in three starts this season.
-- de la Rosa is 0-1, 7.71 in his last two starts.
-- Seattle was outscored 25-5 in Weaver's first two starts.

Totals
-- Last four Florida games went over the total.
-- Under is 3-1 in Smoltz starts this season.
-- Under is 11-5-2 in Cincinnati games this season.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in Houston's last six road games.
-- Under is 12-2-1 in Cardinal games this season.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight games at Coors Field.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in Giants' last thirteen games.
-- Last five Dodger home games went over the total.


-- Under is 10-3-1 in White Sox' last fourteen games.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Baltimore games.
-- Over is 6-2 in Cleveland road games this season
-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Minnesota games.
-- Under is 11-2-1 in last fourteen Oakland games.
-- Under is 10-4-1 in last fifteen Angel games.
-- Last six Bronx games went over the total.


Hot Teams
-- Braves are 5-2 on road this season. Mets won four of their last five games.
-- Giants are 6-1 in their last seven games.
-- Astros won five of their last six games. Brewers are 7-3 in their last ten games.
-- Padres won seven of their last nine road games.
-- Dodgers won nine of their last eleven games.

-- White Sox won last four games, scoring 22 runs.
-- Red Sox are 9-2 in their last eleven games.
-- Orioles won seven of their last eight games.
-- A's won five of their last seven games.
-- Twins won four of last five games, scoring 36 runs.
-- Angels won last two games, scoring 15 runs.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost six of their nine home games. Cardinals lost five of last six games, scoring total of twelve runs.
-- Marlins lost six of last seven games, outscored 47-27.
-- Phillies lost eleven of their first sixteen games. Cincinnati lost five of its last seven home games.
-- Colorado lost eight of its last eleven games.
-- Arizona lost last three games, scoring eight runs.
-- Pirates lost ten of their last thirteen games.

-- Detroit lost its last three games, allowing 16 runs.
-- Indians lost four of last five games, allowing 36 runs. Devil Rays are 2-5 in their last seven home games.
-- Rangers lost five of their last seven games.
-- Royals lost twelve of last sixteen games.
-- Seattle lost five games in a row, allowing 37 runs.
-- Bronx lost four of its last five road games.

Umpires
-- Underdog is 24-12 in Cooper's last 36 games. (Wsh-Fla)
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Emmel games. (Atl-NYM)
-- Five of last seven Miller games went over the total. (Phil-Cin)
-- Over is 6-3 in last nine Cederstrom games. (Hst-Mil)
-- Under is 11-1 in last dozen Barrett games. (StL-Chi)
-- Underdog is 21-15 in last 36 Poncino games. (SD-Col)
-- Underdog is 10-6 in last sixteen Wolf games. (Az-SF)
-- Under is 10-5 in last fifteen Rapuano games. (Pitt-LA)

-- Favorite is 4-0 in McClelland games this season, with three of the four going over total. (CWS-Det)
-- Johnson is new umpire; he umpired one game behind plate last year, a 5-0 Astro win over Texas. (Tor-Balt)
-- Under is 12-2-1 in last fifteen Froemming games. (Clev-TB)
-- Underdog is 5-5 in last 10 Drake games. (Min-KC)
-- Under is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Davis games. A's-Tex)
-- Under is 3-0-1 in Danley games this season. (Sea-LAA)
-- Favorite is 8-2 in last ten Holbrook games. (NYY-Bos)