Saturday Trends and Indexes 04/21

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


Vancouver at Dallas
The Stars avoided elimination by winning in overtime at Vancouver on Thursday. But heading home has not been an advantage for Dallas, which has lost six straight postseason games at American Airlines Center -- one short of the NHL playoff record. That streak includes a pair of 2-1 losses in games three and four against the Canucks, who continue to get strong play from goalie Roberto Luongo (1.39 GAA, .953 save percentage). Vancouver looks like a good underdog pick in this one according to Dunkel, which has the Canucks favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, APRIL 21

Game 27-28: Calgary at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.261; Detroit 13.544
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

Game 29-30: Vancouver at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 13.522; Dallas 12.569
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 3 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+1 1/2); Under

[Udog]

MLB
Streaking Pitchers


Saturday, April 21


Hot pitchers

Brad Penny (Los Angeles Dodgers) - No one is shutting down opposing hitters as well as the Dodgers ace right now. Penny is 3-0 on the season with a miniscule 0.89 ERA for Los Angeles, -143 home favorites tonight against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The NL starter in last year's All-Star game has yet to allow a home run in over 20 innings of work.

Josh Towers (Toronto Blue Jays) - What a difference a year makes. At this time last season, bettors were wondering if there was any value left in Towers and his 8.42 ERA. Well, there's plenty of value in Towers tonight with the Blue Jays listed as +103 road underdogs against the Baltimore Orioles. He's put up a stellar 2.02 ERA so far this season, giving up only one dinger and one walk in two starts to go along with a .296 OBP against.

Chris Capuano (Milwaukee Brewers) - Capuano is looking like the pitcher who threw well enough to make the NL All-Star team last season. Capuano is 2-0 in three starts in 2007 with a 2.81 ERA, including a 2.53 ERA during night games. Add to that the left-hander's sparkling .254 OBP against and 1.06 WHIP, and you can see why oddsmakers have priced the Brewers as -136 favorites tonight.

Cold pitchers

Clay Hensley (San Diego Padres) - Let the numbers speak for themselves: Hensley is 0-3 in April with a demotion-worthy 12.21 ERA. Digging a little deeper, Hensley has proven himself worthless by serving up seven homers in only 14 innings pitched to go along with eight free passes. Couple that with Hensley's whopping .444 OBP against and stiff 2.29 WHIP, and the Padres +125 underdog tag tonight against the Colorado Rockies becomes risky business.

Boof Bonser (Minnesota Twins) - Bonser has gotten off to a tough start with an 0-1 record and a 6.89 ERA in three starts. While Bonser is striking out nearly a batter an inning, he's negating his good stuff by giving up the long ball (five in 15 innings) and walking eight batters in three starts. Books have Bonser's Twins as -110 road favorites today against the Kansas City Royals.

[Udog]

MLB
Hot Lines


Saturday, April 21


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Atlanta Braves at New York Mets: Atlanta +112

New York manager Willie Randolph joked this past week during his team’s demolition of the Florida Marlins that setting a lineup was trivial because of the depth on the Mets roster. Well, who’s laughing now?

Atlanta took the pop out of New York’s bats Friday night, holding them to a 7-3 victory as -104 road favorites. The Braves have handed the Mets three of their five losses this season and have limited New York to three or less runs in those wins.

Right-handed hurler Chuck James faces New York’s star-studded lineup on Saturday afternoon. He is 2-1 in three starts this season with a 2.25 ERA. James is 9-2 in his last 11 starts carrying over from last year, including an eight-inning, one-hit shutout last September.




Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles: Toronto +103

The last time Toronto's Josh Towers won back-to-back starts was July of 2005. Funny enough, one of those wins came against the Orioles in the form of a nine-inning shutout performance. This also marked the last time Towers faced his former club.

The young righty appears to be shaking his habit of less-than-consistent pitching, throwing over seven innings against the Detroit Tigers last weekend while giving up only three hits. Towers needs to put in another lengthy effort to keep the Jays' stumbling bullpen out of the picture.

Toronto’s reserves are accountable for three losses in the last six games. In almost 45 innings the bullpen is 2-4 with a 4.03 ERA and five blown saves, including Friday night’s eighth-inning collapse to Baltimore.




Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels: Los Angeles -147

Los Angeles management must have carefully planned for staff ace Bartolo Colon to make his season debut against the Seattle Mariners, given the former Cy Young winner's recent record against the M’s.

Colon, who is returning from shoulder surgery, won his last four starts against Seattle and has a 10-8 career record versus the Mariners. This game marks his first major league start since July.

Also helping ease Colon back into form are the Angels' bats, which have recently come alive after being dormant since the start of the season. Los Angeles swatted across eight runs against Seattle on Friday night, two more than it totaled during its six-game losing skid.




Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers: Los Angeles -143

Can the Pittsburgh Pirates stop the bleeding? They have given up 24 runs in the last three games, including 10 runs to the Dodgers on Friday night.

Pittsburgh turns to young right-hander Ian Snell to close the flood gates. Snell is on top of his game, going 1-1 in his first three starts with a 1.80 ERA. But he hasn’t fared well against Los Angeles during his short career. Snell is 1-1 in four career games against the Dodgers and posts a 7.50 ERA.

Los Angeles is smashing the ball lately, hitting .297 this past week. It has won five of its last six games and averaged almost seven runs per game while doing so.

[Udog]

NBA
Write-up


Vince Carter is Public Enemy #1 in Toronto, after admitting he didn't try his best so Raptors would get rid of him; this is a big series for Raptor franchise that regained lot of respect this year winning their division. Nets won three of four vs Toronto this season, splitting here; home side won three of four. Nets won four in row, ten of last thirteen games- their guys have more in area of playoff experience.

Miami is defending champ until someone knocks them out, but they've had disjointed season, with Wade/Shaq hurt at various times. Chicago blew #2 seed in East with loss to the Nets in last game, only their third loss in last thirteen games. Heat is 0-9 vs spread in last nine games.

Detroit beat Orlando four times this year, 104-99/110-88 here, 87-83/94-89 in Florida. Pistons drifted through end of season as veteran teams often do. Orlando is excited to be playing; they have young team that won six of last seven games, losing only to Pistons in this arena April 11. Darko vs his old team.

Houston lost three of four vs Utah this season, including last two meetings, 101-91/86-83, but Jazz was awful down stretch, losing eight of last eleven games, but two of the wins were vs Houston. Rockets won five of last six games, are healthy and loaded with talent. Both coaches are excellent.

[Udog]

NHL
Write-up


Home side now 8-0 in Calgary-Detroit games this season, as the Flames evened series with pair of 3-2 wins at home; problem is they've been crushed twice in Motor City (4-1/3-1, outshot by a 97-35 margin) and need to win game here to win series. Wings outshot Flames 35-21in Game 4 loss, but Kiprusoff's play kept Calgary in it. Lot of pressure on Detroit in this game.

Under is now 8-1 in Dallas-Vancouver games this season, with total of nine goals scored in last four games. Only one goal has been scored in first two periods of last three games. Three of five games in this series went OT. Canucks are 0-18 on with a man advantage over last four games.

[Dennis14072]

Thanks Guys!

[pm530]

Baseball – Write up

MLB
Write-up


Saturday, April 21

Hot Pitchers
-- James is 2-1, 2.25 in three starts this season.
-- Former Cardinal Marquis is 1-1, 3.12 in three '07 starts.
-- Rodriguez has 2.77 RA in his first two starts. Brewers scored 23 runs in winning Capuano's first three starts.
-- Sanchez is 1-0, 3.27 in his last two starts.
-- Hamels is 1-0, 3.79 in three starts this season.
-- Penny is 3-0, 0.87 in his first three starts. Snell is 1-1, 1.80 in three starts this season.

-- Contreras has 2,73 RA in his last two starts. Robertson is 2-1, 1.80 in three starts this season.
-- Beckett is 3-0, 1.50 in his first three '07 starts.
-- Byrd hasn't allowed run in 10.2 innings this season.
-- Kennedy is 0-1, 2.45 in two starts this season.


Cold Pitchers
-- Oliver Perez is 1-1, 3.72 in two starts this season.
-- Reyes is 0-2, 5.40 in two starts this season.
-- Gonzalez is 0-1, 6.08 in his last two starts. Zito is 1-2, 5.21 in his three starts, but threw eight shutout innings last start.
-- Chico is 1-1, 7.24 in three starts this season.
-- Milton is 0-2, 5.91 in two starts this season.
-- Francis is 1-1, 5.60 in three starts this season.
-- Hensley is 0-3, 12.60 in three starts this season.

-- Greinke threw 49 pitches in last start and didn't get out of the first inning; his first two starts were good. Bonser is 0-1, 7.47 in three starts this season.
-- Karstens was 2-2, 4.66 as a starter last year; this is his first '07 start.
-- Loewen has 5.27 RA in his first three starts. Towers is 1-1, 4.73 in two starts this season.
-- Seo is 0-1, 10.47 in three starts this season.
-- Loe is making first '07 start for Rangers; he was
-- Ramirez is 0-1, 8.10 in two starts this season. Colon makes first '07 start; his last start was July 27, 2006.

Totals
-- Over is 5-2 in Braves' last seven games.
-- Under is 11-2-1 in Cardinal games this season.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in Giants' last twelve games.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in Houston's last five road games.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Washington games.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in Reds' games this week.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven games at Coors Field.
-- Last four Dodger home games went over the total.


-- Under is 10-2-1 in White Sox' last thirteen games.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Minnesota games.
-- Under is 10-4-1 in Boston's games this season.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Baltimore games.
-- Over is 5-2 in Cleveland road games this season.
-- Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Oakland games.
-- Under is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Angel games.


Hot Teams
-- Braves are 5-1 on road this season. Mets won three of their last four games.
-- Diamondbacks won five of their last seven road games. Giants are 5-1 in their last six games.
-- Astros won their last five games, scoring 31 runs. Brewers are 6-3 in their last nine games.
-- Padres won six of their last eight road games.
-- Dodgers won eight of their last ten games.

-- White Sox won last three games, scoring 17 runs. Detroit is 5-1 in game following a loss this season.
-- Bronx scored 33 runs in winning three of last four games. Red Sox are 8-2 in their last ten games.
-- Orioles won six of their last seven games.
-- A's won five of their last six games, allowing 17 runs.
-- Twins won three of last four games, scoring 29 runs.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost six of their eight home games. Cardinals lost four of last five games, scoring total of twelve runs.
-- Marlins lost last six games, outscored 44-18.
-- Phillies lost eleven of their first fifteen games. Cincinnati lost four of its last six home games.
-- Colorado lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Pirates lost nine of their last twelve games.

-- Indians lost three of last four games, allowing 30 runs. Devil Rays are 1-5 in their last six home games.
-- Rangers lost five of their last six games.
-- Royals lost eleven of last fifteen games.
-- Angels lost six of last seven games, outscored 40-14. Seattle lost four in a row, allowing 30 runs.

Umpires
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last dozen Iassogna games. (Atl-NYM)
-- Over is 5-1 in last six Hernandez games. (StL-Chi)
-- Visitor is 5-2 in last seven Nelson games. (Az-SF)
-- Home side won five of last six Guccione games. (Hst-Mil)
-- Visitor is 9-3 in last dozen Kellogg games. (Wsh-Fla)
-- Underdog is 5-4 in last nine Montague games. (Phil-Cin)
-- Underdog is 7-5 in last dozen Darling games. (SD-Col)
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six West games. (Pitt-LA)

-- Underdog won last seven Foster gasmes. (CWS-Det)
-- Visitor is 5-2 in last seven BWelke games. (Min-KC)
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Davidson games. (NYY-Bos)
-- Favoite is 5-1 in last six Cuzzi games. (Tor-Balt)
-- Favorite is 6-2 in last eight Runge games. (Clev-TB)
-- Underdog won four of last five Hallion games. (A's-Tex)
-- Underdog is 12-5 in last 17 Cousins games. (Sea-LAA)

[Kaptain]

Thanks fellows----forgot to tell you earlier----kapt