If you assume that all the 1 and 2 seeds will win their first round game, you can cut the odds to 1 in 36 million billion.
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Kaptains "What's the Odds....." Trivia Question for March Madness
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Originally posted by SpearitYeah but what is the formula to derive the answer- thats the real question!
Lets see 62 games at ...
I believe it would be:
1/2 x 2( to the 63rd power)You can't always get what you want, but if you try some time, you might find, you get what you need.
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Spearit........
Originally posted by SpearitYeah but what is the formula to derive the answer- thats the real question!
Lets see 62 games at ...
each team has a chance to win a game, some are equal, some are not.........The question was related to whats the odds for someone to pick all the games in a NCaa BRACKET CORRECTLY.....
Had nothing to do with the teams chances.......as I stated earlier, I should have used the verbage, a novice, or a person ignorant of seed ratings, for example, a 6 yr old kid, a person who doesn't follow basketball at all, and has no idea who is who....
Others may try to make this difficult, and make me appear to be wrong......but the mathamatical formula for this question, provides tha answer above, that I showed.....(this statement not directed at you)
My mistake was not saying, a person who has no basketball knowledge whatsoever..........
It's the atronomical figure of doing it, is what I was trying to portray............
Didn't know we had that many Math Majors here, but I guess we do.............
Let me add this for ya......
Instead of trying to predict the whole tournament from the beginning, you can fill out the bracket one at a time......the odds remain, a long, long, long shot of 1 in 4.2 trillion, to get just the first round right..........once again, a novice is picking the teams, or should I say, once again, a person ignorant as to who is who in BasketBall...................
Here's a cutie for ya............
If you wait until the final four to fill out a bracket, thats only 3 games, letting you calculate the odds by multiplying 1/2 by 1/2 by 1/2 (odds of picking em right)----would give you a 1 in 8 Chance of getting all 3 right...........
Now do this with the Original 64 Teams,, and 32 First round games, and so on..............kapt
Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!
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