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  • #46
    Greek

    Originally posted by GOLDENGREEK
    Utah St. is undefeated at home and a bad ( 7-9 ) road team.
    Utah St is indeed 14-0 at home..........straight up.........8-6 ATS....course that figure doesn't apply here, as they're getting 2....line now.......Nevada beat em 79-62 (Nevadas home court), by 17......Home swing in this case would be about 10....take away 4 for Nevada HC, and @ 6 for UTAH ST HC advantage, as they are solid at home, and you still have a differincial of 7, now lets subtract the spread -2, and the difference is still 5.........

    Nevada may not be looking ahead as you stated, because all games right now are critical for seeding purposes down the road.........

    Sagarin has these rating
    Nevada playing as a 85 rated, vs 73 rated teams
    Utah St.................77..............73............. ....

    RPI Comparison Values
    Nevada rated #15
    Utah St #83

    RPI Ratings
    Nevada #12 playing as a 61, vs 51 value teams
    Utah St # 64................57.......51.................

    They've played equal teams, and based on record, is where the RPI Comparison comes from......

    I, in no means am trying to change your mind, or discredit your pick here....but you called it a pretty heavy play, and thats a gutsy call to me...

    You're a good capper, and well respected, and have many followers, but for this to go in Utah States favor tonight, they'd better be ready, play a solid game, and hope like hell you're right about Nevada looking ahead.......

    you also stated they have won 9 straight, and 19 of 20----quote here "due for a loss"...........Utah St is 14-0 at home, maybe they are "due for a loss".......

    Hope you don't mind me putting my 2 cents in your thread, cause I hate going against a goo capper, but I already have Nevada as a big game for myself.........

    Best to ya my man----keep em coming ----kapt


    Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

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    • #47
      Hope it cashes
      Questions, comments, complaints:
      [email protected]

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      • #48
        GL on the big play GG!
        NFL
        5* 1-0
        2* 6-2-1
        1* 9-4
        total = 16-6-1


        ________________

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        • #49
          GL Greek on the BIG play

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          • #50
            Originally posted by Kaptain
            Utah St is indeed 14-0 at home..........straight up.........8-6 ATS....course that figure doesn't apply here, as they're getting 2....line now.......Nevada beat em 79-62 (Nevadas home court), by 17......Home swing in this case would be about 10....take away 4 for Nevada HC, and @ 6 for UTAH ST HC advantage, as they are solid at home, and you still have a differincial of 7, now lets subtract the spread -2, and the difference is still 5.........

            Nevada may not be looking ahead as you stated, because all games right now are critical for seeding purposes down the road.........

            Sagarin has these rating
            Nevada playing as a 85 rated, vs 73 rated teams
            Utah St.................77..............73............. ....

            RPI Comparison Values
            Nevada rated #15
            Utah St #83

            RPI Ratings
            Nevada #12 playing as a 61, vs 51 value teams
            Utah St # 64................57.......51.................

            They've played equal teams, and based on record, is where the RPI Comparison comes from......

            I, in no means am trying to change your mind, or discredit your pick here....but you called it a pretty heavy play, and thats a gutsy call to me...

            You're a good capper, and well respected, and have many followers, but for this to go in Utah States favor tonight, they'd better be ready, play a solid game, and hope like hell you're right about Nevada looking ahead.......

            you also stated they have won 9 straight, and 19 of 20----quote here "due for a loss"...........Utah St is 14-0 at home, maybe they are "due for a loss".......

            Hope you don't mind me putting my 2 cents in your thread, cause I hate going against a goo capper, but I already have Nevada as a big game for myself.........

            Best to ya my man----keep em coming ----kapt
            I ABSOLUTELY LOVE AND RESPECT YOUR INPUT KAPT AND ITS WELCOME ANYTIME!!!

            ONE MORE STAT AGAINST NEVADA - THEY HAVE PLAYED ONE TEAM IN THE TOP 50 RPI AND LOST - THEIR RANKING AND RATING IS OVERSTATED BECAUSE OF THEIR RECORD

            Comment


            • #51
              to the Kapt, well done respectfully providing different perspectives.

              to the Greek, well done admitting that there are other opinions allowed.

              to you both, well done not starting the pissing contest that so often occurs.

              you are both excellent cappers and I've done well following you both. You are also both classy individuals.

              My kudos, and my thanks, and good luck to us all!

              Comment


              • #52
                Good luck on the goy
                My rating system is as follows:

                1-10 units on plays typically
                20+ on extremely hot picks, goy, etc. (VERY rare)
                ---------------------------------------------------
                LAST SEASON:

                CBB 75-42-4 +142.6 UNITS ($14260) YEAH BABY!!!

                NFL 1-0 +1 UNITS ($100)

                NBA 49-30-4 +93.2 UNITS ($9320)

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                • #53
                  GL to us, G - Double
                  You can't always get what you want, but if you try some time, you might find, you get what you need.

                  Comment


                  • #54
                    Good Luck G

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                    • #55
                      Originally posted by Doctor Z
                      to the Kapt, well done respectfully providing different perspectives.

                      to the Greek, well done admitting that there are other opinions allowed.

                      to you both, well done not starting the pissing contest that so often occurs.

                      you are both excellent cappers and I've done well following you both. You are also both classy individuals.

                      My kudos, and my thanks, and good luck to us all!
                      well said good doctor...and gl to both of you

                      Comment


                      • #56
                        Greek

                        Originally posted by GOLDENGREEK
                        I ABSOLUTELY LOVE AND RESPECT YOUR INPUT KAPT AND ITS WELCOME ANYTIME!!!

                        ONE MORE STAT AGAINST NEVADA - THEY HAVE PLAYED ONE TEAM IN THE TOP 50 RPI AND LOST - THEIR RANKING AND RATING IS OVERSTATED BECAUSE OF THEIR RECORD
                        appreciate your atttiude and input.....I like when we can discuss why we like a team....I play way to many to sit here and write up why....I, probably like you, feel as if we've already done out home work, and here's the results.......one of the main attributes I use, especially at the end of the season, is RPI records vs the same strength of teams, and how they performed........you brought up a good point about NEV losing to their lone game with a team in the top 50 RPI....her's how I derived at my final decision.....

                        RPI ratings for teams that UTAH ST and Nevada played against, with records.
                        RPI 1-50
                        Nev 0-1
                        Utah St 0-2...they lost 2 of em

                        RPI 51-100
                        Nev 10-1
                        Utah St 2-4...........big difference here

                        RPI 101-200
                        Nev 6-0
                        Utah St 6-1.........no losses here for Nev

                        RPI 201 and above
                        Nev 9-0
                        Utah St 8-1....yes they lost to a team with a RPI over 201....

                        I truthfully feel the only way Utah St wins today, is if Nev is indeed "looking ahead" as you stated.....I don't feel they will be, as every win, especially against a quality opponent, can only boost your seedings towards the "Big Dance"....I don't think Nev will throw that away....Then again, they just may get beat, and or, blown out........

                        Enjoyed the discussion, lets let the teams decide now....best to ya, and once again thanks for graciously accepting my un solicited comments in your thread........kapt
                        Last edited by Kaptain; 03-01-2007, 06:12 PM.


                        Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

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                        • #57
                          I'll take it with you. GL GG!!

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                          • #58
                            Good Luck

                            Good Luck Greek

                            We are on Utah St. tonight as well.

                            Go hit the bookie hard!!!!

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                            • #59
                              DOUBLE gG ROCKS !!
                              DON'T YOU EAT THE YELLOW SNOW !! PS-MARVIN LOVES SPLIT SALAD !!

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                              • #60
                                utah st down 4 with 6 1/2 minutes -- gonna be a naibiter.

                                they were down 10 at the halh and started the 2nd half on a 14-2 run to take a 2 point lead -- currently down 4

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