NBA 2/8 Play$$$$

[GOLDENGREEK]

best of luck tonight frank !!!

[frankb03]

Do you believe in "Bad Matchups"?

I do believe in Bad Matchups. But I won't play solely on bad matchups. Especially with teams that only play twice per season.

[frankb03]

In the Lakers last 5 games in Detroit going back to their finals matchup, the Pistons are (5-0), winning by 9, 22, 13, 8 & 20. The Lakers never seem to show up in Detroit for whatever reason and the Pistons are playing very well right now.

The Pistons are 7-0 SU and 6-0-1 ATS v. Lakers at home last 7 including the NBA finals. The average margin of victory is 15 points. The closest margin was 8 points.

[frankb03]

I've always wanted to ask frank his opinion of a trend vs a system. I've thought about it many times and "To Me" they are one in the same. If a system is (30-20) when something happens, isn't that also a "Trend" that happens more often than not? Those two terms have always confused me a little.

Trends refer to trends for a particular team. Systems refer to league wide for all and any team.

I prefer systems over trends. Teams change from year to year. The team's players change yearly. I'll look at team's trends for the current season and past season. Another reason I don't like team trends is 6-0 can become 7-4 in a hurry.

If I have a great system I don't care about the team trends. I've often found my systems do well when I have good trends against my play.

I also like system capping because it eliminates my emotional factor. In the past if a team lost I'd be pissed. I'd play against that team in the next game when it often is a good time to come right back. The opposite happened the other day. I rode with Boston on Tuesday then played against them last night. Years ago I probably would have played Boston again or passed.

I like trends, especially recent ones. I feel like it points to bad matchups and i think they are like habits, not easy to break. Yes, some say, trends are made to be broken BUT it is highly likely that if you stick to them, you will always stay in the game and keep your head above water.

I also like recent performance. I might have a system that's done better than 65% over the years. But if it's gone 1-5 I'll pass. I only discard a system when it's performance has been average to poor over the past two season. Many good systems have poor seasons.

The NBA has changed the past 2 or 3 seasons with more scoring. Some of my systems still do well. I've modified others and discarded some. I've also come up with some great new systems that have done phenomenal the past two season.

I often hear. "Trends are always BROKEN". I don' believe that. Some systems in the NFL will never be broken. The history of those are long and successful. Almost, every capper plays system. Some don't realize it. When he hear comments like "sandwich game between two home division games" that is system.

[Chado1]

Lakers have done well playing for revenge. Since last season as an away dog the are 10-5 ATS BUT 3-4 v. teams about .600

Pistons are 1-4 ATS this season at home after beating their oppenent in the previous matchup. 0-3 if the previous matchup was on the road.

Lakers have not done well on the road with 2 days rest. 0-2 this season. Since 2003, after a road game 1-9 ATS and 1-5 as a dog.

Pistons have performed poorly as a home favorite this season 7-14 ATS and 2-6 v. winning teams and 0-5 vs. rested winning teams.

I would consider a small play on Lakers.

As if you just wipped that out your ass......

that's some pretty impressive info.....

As KAZ asked, where do you find this stuff.....

are you some kind of genious matermind.....

[wayne1218]

Thanks for the reply frank. I actually do understand the difference a little better now. Systems also seem to be a little more detailed. The one thing i like most about trends is something you mentioned with systems, my heart. As Kaz mentioned above, i too never used to look at trends or systems. I looked at spreads and picked teams i liked based on emotion and what i thought i had (knowledge). I didn't do well (to say the least) so i decided i either needed to do something differently or quit gambling. This way does 2 things. It takes my heart and emotion out of my picks and it gives me some sort of basis for my picks. I feel better about them going in and i feel i actually have reasons for playing them. Not all, but most.

Again,Thanks for the reply

[scla99]

Thanks Frank b/c I feel like I learn so much on this site. GL tonight and I love Mil.

[frankb03]

As if you just wipped that out your ass......

that's some pretty impressive info.....

As KAZ asked, where do you find this stuff.....

are you some kind of genious matermind.....

LMAO

I don't find it on the web. I have access to a programmable database.

[10DimeBry]

frank may have the info but he still golfs like shit!!!!

LOL

GL tonight bro

[Kaptain]

gl to ya Podna, and I like the Pistons tonight===kapt

[Cashmoneyasians]

Thanks for the winners yesterday.
Best of Luck Frank!!!

[MB17]

WIth regards to the LA/Detroit history, wayne is SPOT ON. I'm a lakers fan, and going to detroit has been BRUTAL lately.

[RDOG55]

LMAO

I don't find it on the web. I have access to a programmable database.

d-d-d-definitely a database....gl tonight

[griffey_mojo]

GL tonight Frank!

[Dat Boi E]

gl, frank!