Sunday Trends and Indexes 01/21

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Sunday, January 21


Good Luck on day #21 of 2007!


NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Pro Football

NFL
Dunkel


Sunday, January 21

New Orleans at Chicago
Everything about the Saints season has been improbable, but none more so than the fact that New Orleans has become the first team in history to make the conference championship after losing 13 or more games the previous season. Coach of the Year Sean Payton continues to get the most out of his roster, which was highlighted by the tough win on Saturday over an Eagles' team that came in with a six-game winning streak. Now the Saints must go on the road, but that shouldn't be intimidating for a team than went 6-2 away from the Dome this season. Especially with a running attack that looks to be in peak form behind Deuce McCallister (143 yards vs. Philly) and Reggie Bush. Chicago fans probably heaved a sigh of relief that the Bears managed to get by Seattle (27-24) on Sunday. But they could hardly feel confident about a defense that allowed Shawn Alexander to have a big day (108 yards) or a quarterback (Rex Grossman) that was sacked three times and coughed up a costly fumble. New Orleans looks like a good underdog pick (+3) in this one according to Dunkel, which has the Saints favored straight up by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+3). Here are all of this week's games.

Game 303-304: New Orleans at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 133.955; Chicago 129.634
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 4 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 43
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+3); Over

Game 305-306: New England at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: New England 142.378; Indianapolis 135.192
Dunkel Line: New England by 7; 44 1/2
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (+3); Under

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[pm530]

NFL – Long Sheet

NFL
Long Sheet


Sunday, January 21st

NEW ORLEANS (11 - 6) at CHICAGO (14 - 3) - 1/21/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 0-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NEW ENGLAND (14 - 4) at INDIANAPOLIS (14 - 4) - 1/21/2007, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 70-42 ATS (+23.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 50-26 ATS (+21.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-2 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

NFL – Short Sheet

NFL
Short Sheet


Sunday, January 21st

NFC Championship Game
New Orleans at Chicago, 3:00 EST

New Orleans:
7-1 ATS in road games
8-2 ATS as an underdog

Chicago:
8-1 Over as a home favorite
7-1 Over off a home game




AFC Championship Game
New England at Indianapolis, 6:30 EST

New England:
7-0 ATS away playing on artificial turf
8-1 ATS in road games

Indianapolis:
11-3 Under at home vs. conference opponents
17-6 Under off a win as a road underdog

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[pm530]

NFL - Tips and Trends

NFL
Tips and Trends


Sunday, January 21

New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears
NFC Championship (FOX | 3 PM ET)

• New Orleans is a solid team against the run with DT Hollis Thomas back from a four-game suspension, so Chicago QB Rex Grossman will need to take some shots downfield to WR Bernard Berrian like he did against the Seahawks. Saints CB Fred Thomas got burned on Philly WR Donte Stallworth's 75-yard touchdown catch last Saturday, and Grossman connected with Berrian on a 68-yard scoring strike the next day. EDGE: BEARS

• The Saints have numerous offensive weapons, which could pose serious problems for the Chicago defense. While rookie RB Reggie Bush is the least familiar with the cold conditions, he is still the most dangerous player on the field and the one Chicago defensive coordinator Ron Rivera fears the most due to his receiving skills. EDGE: SAINTS

• Chicago's once-dominant defense has surrendered an average of 25.8 points in five games since All-Pro DT Tommie Harris was injured and lost for the season against the Vikings. BIG EDGE: SAINTS

• The betting public is certainly pounding the Saints, something Chicago head coach Lovie Smith may choose to use as motivation for his squad. The Bears will not get any respect until they beat a quality opponent like the Saints, and they will be looking to make Soldier Field an advantage. However, New Orleans head coach Sean Payton played for Chicago during the 1987 strike season and is a native of the area, so he knows all about the team's tradition and the weather there. EDGE: SAINTS

• New Orleans is 7-1 ATS last eight road games.

• New Orleans is 3-0-1 ATS last four regular-season meetings with Chicago and 8-1-1 ATS last 10 overall, including preseason.

• OVER is 9-1 in Chicago's last 10 home games.




New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts
AFC Championship (CBS | 6:30 PM ET)

• Former Patriots kicker Adam Vinatieri broke the NFL postseason record with five field goals against the Ravens last Saturday, providing all of the team's scoring on a day Indy QB Peyton Manning turned in one of his worst performances. Vinatieri has 34 field goals in 19 playoff games and is much more experienced than his rookie replacement - New England's Stephen Gostkowski - who is a perfect 6-for-6 in this year's postseason, including a 50-yarder. EDGE: COLTS

• The Patriots did not fully take advantage of the NFL's worst rush defense in the regular-season meeting between the teams back on November 6th, letting Manning control the pace of the game. Instead, New England QB Tom Brady was pressed to keep up with Manning and ended up throwing a season-high four interceptions. Indy safety Bob Sanders played in that game, notching one of those picks and also registering a team-high eight tackles. Sanders has been the key for the Colts defensively in the playoffs, helping them hold opponents to just 14 points in two games. EDGE: COLTS

• Brady and head coach Bill Belichick are 12-1 SU together in the playoffs, with the lone loss taking place at Denver in last year's divisional round. BIG EDGE: PATRIOTS

• Indy is 9-0 SU at home, going 6-3 ATS.

• New England is 7-2 ATS last nine playoff games.

• Indy has covered and won the last two meetings after New England went 8-0-1 ATS in the previous nine meetings.

• New England is 5-0 SU & ATS last five games overall.

• OVER is 9-3 in New England's last 12 as a road dog.

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[pm530]

Pro Football – Write up

NFL
Write-up


Sunday, January 21

Conference Championship Games

Saints @ Bears-- I think this game defies typical handicapping practices; Brees played at Purdue, so he has played in weather like this. Saints are incredibly diverse on offense and there is a chance they get Horn back, to boot. Saints have the better QB, coaches are equal, but I think the mental toughness of the Saints and Grossman's inability to handle pressure makes Saints a live underdog in this game. What a party in New Orleans if Saints win their first-ever NFC title!!!!!


Patriots @ Colts-- New England ran ball for 148 yards in Week 9 loss vs Colts, 27-20, turning ball over five times, as Brady had 4 passes picked off, but that was regular season game, and this is AFC title game, stage where Patriots shine brightest. I'd have to question how anyone could give Patriots points in this game, as they're 8-1 on road this season, and also tossing in history of two teams in recent clutch situations. It is now or never for this group of Colts - they finally have game in their house. That’s what the Chargers thought last week, too.

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[pm530]

NFL – Recent Trends

NFL
Recent Trends


New Orleans at Chicago

New Orleans:
NO are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
NO are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. NFC.

Chicago:
Over is 9-1 in CHI last 10 home games.
Over is 10-2 in CHI last 12 games on Grass.
Over is 13-3-1 in CHI last 17 games as a favorite.



New England at Indianapolis

New England:
NE are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in January.
Over is 10-3 in NE last 13 games as an underdog.
Over is 9-3 in NE last 12 games as a road underdog.

Indianapolis:
Under is 11-4 in IND last 15 games on Turf.
Under is 10-4 in IND last 14 home games.

Head to Head:
Underdog is 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
NE are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

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[pm530]

NFL – In Depth Trends

NFL
In Depth Trends


Red - Hot trends are trends 80% or higher. Blue - Cold trends are trends 20% or lower.

New Orleans at Chicago

ATS Trends

New Orleans
Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Saints are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on Grass.
Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.
Saints are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Saints are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Saints are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss.
Saints are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. NFC.
Saints are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in January.

Chicago
Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Bears are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in January.
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.


O/U Trends

New Orleans
Over is 4-0 in Saints last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Over is 22-8-2 in Saints last 32 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 19-9 in Saints last 28 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Chicago
Over is 4-0-1 in Bears last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in Bears last 6 games in January.
Over is 9-1 in Bears last 10 games as a home favorite.
Over is 9-1 in Bears last 10 home games.
Over is 8-1 in Bears last 9 games following an ATS loss.
Over is 10-2 in Bears last 12 games on Grass.
Over is 5-1 in Bears last 6 games overall.
Over is 13-3-1 in Bears last 17 games as a favorite.
Over is 13-3-1 in Bears last 17 vs. NFC.
Over is 9-3-1 in Bears last 13 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 5-2-1 in Bears last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.


Head to Head

Saints are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

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New England at Indianapolis

ATS Trends

New England
Patriots are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on Turf.
Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference Championships games.
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Patriots are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in January.
Patriots are 39-12-2 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Patriots are 25-9-1 ATS in their last 35 road games.
Patriots are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 playoff games.
Patriots are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Patriots are 36-16-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Patriots are 48-22-3 ATS in their last 73 games overall.
Patriots are 41-19-3 ATS in their last 63 games following an ATS win.
Patriots are 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 vs. AFC.

Indianapolis
Colts are 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Colts are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Colts are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Colts are 36-15-2 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Colts are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Colts are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS win.
Colts are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.


O/U Trends

New England
Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Patriots last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Patriots last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 playoff games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 playoff games.
Over is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games following an ATS win.
Over is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 vs. AFC.
Over is 10-3 in Patriots last 13 games as an underdog.
Over is 9-3 in Patriots last 12 games as a road underdog.
Over is 6-2 in Patriots last 8 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Over is 6-2 in Patriots last 8 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 playoff road games.
Under is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 road games.
Under is 7-3 in Patriots last 10 games in January.

Indianapolis
Under is 5-0 in Colts last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 5-0 in Colts last 5 games in January.
Under is 4-0 in Colts last 4 playoff games.
Under is 6-1 in Colts last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 5-1 in Colts last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 28-7 in Colts last 35 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 11-4 in Colts last 15 games on Turf.
Over is 5-2 in Colts last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 10-4 in Colts last 14 games as a home favorite.
Under is 10-4 in Colts last 14 home games.


Head to Head

Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Indianapolis.
Patriots are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
Underdog is 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

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[pm530]

College Basketball – Long Sheet

NCAAB
Long Sheet


Sunday, January 21

XAVIER (13 - 5) at ST JOSEPHS (10 - 7) - 1/21/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOSEPHS is 3-2 against the spread versus XAVIER over the last 3 seasons
ST JOSEPHS is 3-2 straight up against XAVIER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



WAKE FOREST (9 - 8) at VIRGINIA (10 - 6) - 1/21/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 35-58 ATS (-28.8 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in January games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 66-91 ATS (-34.1 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 102-133 ATS (-44.3 Units) in all games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 102-133 ATS (-44.3 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 65-90 ATS (-34.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 3-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 2-1 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



BUFFALO (9 - 8) at AKRON (12 - 4) - 1/21/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
BUFFALO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
AKRON is 2-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 2-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



LASALLE (8 - 10) at ST BONAVENTURE (4 - 13) - 1/21/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LASALLE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ST BONAVENTURE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
LASALLE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LASALLE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ST BONAVENTURE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
ST BONAVENTURE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ST BONAVENTURE is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
ST BONAVENTURE is 34-54 ATS (-25.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
ST BONAVENTURE is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
ST BONAVENTURE is 37-58 ATS (-26.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST BONAVENTURE is 1-1 against the spread versus LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
LASALLE is 2-0 straight up against ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



WRIGHT ST (12 - 7) at WI-MILWAUKEE (6 - 14) - 1/21/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 89-62 ATS (+20.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 88-58 ATS (+24.2 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
WRIGHT ST is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WRIGHT ST is 3-1 against the spread versus WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
WI-MILWAUKEE is 3-1 straight up against WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



DUQUESNE (5 - 10) at MASSACHUSETTS (13 - 5) - 1/21/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUQUESNE is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
MASSACHUSETTS is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-1 against the spread versus DUQUESNE over the last 3 seasons
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-0 straight up against DUQUESNE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



SYRACUSE (15 - 4) at ST JOHNS (10 - 8) - 1/21/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
ST JOHNS is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST JOHNS is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ST JOHNS is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 2-1 against the spread versus ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 3-0 straight up against ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



N ILLINOIS (4 - 12) at TOLEDO (8 - 8) - 1/21/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 3-1 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 4-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



NEW ORLEANS (8 - 10) at W KENTUCKY (14 - 6) - 1/21/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 4-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



DRAKE (11 - 8) at ILLINOIS ST (10 - 9) - 1/21/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DRAKE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DRAKE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS ST is 4-0 against the spread versus DRAKE over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS ST is 3-2 straight up against DRAKE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



OHIO U (12 - 5) at MIAMI OHIO (6 - 10) - 1/21/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
OHIO U is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 4-2 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 3-3 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



MARQUETTE (16 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (17 - 2) - 1/21/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARQUETTE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 61-35 ATS (+22.5 Units) in road games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 61-35 ATS (+22.5 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARQUETTE is 2-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 straight up against MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



S FLORIDA (10 - 9) at NOTRE DAME (15 - 3) - 1/21/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



MARYLAND (15 - 4) at VIRGINIA TECH (13 - 5) - 1/21/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MARYLAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MARYLAND is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MARYLAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MARYLAND is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MARYLAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MARYLAND is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 2-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 2-1 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



MISSOURI ST (14 - 5) at EVANSVILLE (10 - 9) - 1/21/2007, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EVANSVILLE is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
EVANSVILLE is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
EVANSVILLE is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI ST is 4-1 against the spread versus EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI ST is 5-0 straight up against EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



SIENA (9 - 8) at MANHATTAN (9 - 8) - 1/21/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MANHATTAN is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
MANHATTAN is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
MANHATTAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in January games this season.
SIENA is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 2-2 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
MANHATTAN is 3-1 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



LOYOLA-MD (10 - 7) at RIDER (10 - 8) - 1/21/2007, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MD is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-MD is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-MD is 42-22 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
RIDER is 2-2 against the spread versus LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons
RIDER is 2-2 straight up against LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

.

[tech fan]

thanks for the work man

[pm530]

Dunkel Index – College Basketball

NCAAB
Dunkel


Sunday, January 21

Ohio at Miami (OH)
Ohio has stepped up its defense in recent weeks. After allowing opponents to average 74.2 points per game through the first 11 contests, the Bobcats have allowed just a 62.5 average in the last six games with a 40.7 FG percentage. Meanwhile the Bobcats offense is averaging 76.8 points per game, which is second in the MAC. Balanced scoring has been the key as all five Bobcat starters average in double figures, led by Jerome Tillman (15.2) and Leon Williams (14.4). The two also rank first and second in rebounding in league games thus far. The result has the Bobcats tied for first in the East Division with a 3-1 mark and coming off a 67-51 win over Buffalo on Thursday. The Red Hawks come in 2-2 in conference play and have dropped four of their last six. They have averaged only 56.6 points over that span. Against an improving Ohio defense, the Red Hawks should continue to struggle on offense and makes the Bobcats a good underdog pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has Ohio favored straight up by 6. Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+2). Here are all of today's games.

Game 709-710: Xavier at St. Joseph's
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 64.832; St. Joseph's 64.101
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Xavier by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (+2 1/2)

Game 711-712: Wake Forest at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 56.906; Virginia 65.556
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+11 1/2)

Game 713-714: Buffalo at Akron
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 53.268; Akron 64.477
Dunkel Line: Akron by 11
Vegas Line: Akron by 15
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+15)

Game 715-716: LaSalle at St. Bonaventure
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 53.947; St. Bonaventure 49.608
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (-1 1/2)

Game 717-718: Wright State at WI-Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 51.535; WI-Milwaukee 56.264
Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Wright State by 1
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (+1)

Game 719-720: Duquesne at Massachusetts
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 47.168; Massachusetts 61.386
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 14
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (+17 1/2)

Game 721-722: Syracuse at St. John's
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 69.054; St. John's 60.084
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 9
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-4 1/2)

Game 723-724: Northern Illinois at Toledo
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 47.592; Toledo 55.762
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 8
Vegas Line: Toledo by 12
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+12)

Game 725-726: New Orleans at Western Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 49.330; Western Kentucky 56.282
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 7
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+11 1/2)

Game 727-728: Drake at Illinois State
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 58.533; Illinois State 57.662
Dunkel Line: Drake by 1
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Drake (+5)

Game 729-730: Ohio at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 61.786; Miami (OH) 55.805
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 6
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+2)

Game 731-732: Marquette at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 69.703; Pittsburgh 69.912
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 7
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (+7)

Game 733-734: South Florida at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 56.526; Notre Dame 72.611
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 16
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 13
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-13)

Game 735-736: Maryland at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 71.556; Virginia Tech 68.144
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 5
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+5)

Game 737-738: Missouri State at Evansville
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 69.453; Evansville 60.467
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 9
Vegas Line: Missouri State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (-5)

Game 739-740: Siena at Manhattan
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 54.853; Manhattan 49.508
Dunkel Line: Siena by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 2
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+2)

Game 741-742: Loyola-MD at Rider
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 51.812; Rider 52.849
Dunkel Line: Rider by 1
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Rider

.

[pm530]

Dunkel Index – Pro Basketball

NBA
Dunkel


Sunday, January 21

San Antonio at Philadelphia
The Spurs have continued their sluggish play and have gone only 5-5 over their last 10 games with three of the losses coming on the road at Cleveland, Minnesota and Chicago. All three of those teams have higher ratings than the Sixers, but Philadelphia is coming off a 98-95 overtime win against the Heat on Friday. The Vegas line favoring San Antonio (-8 1/2) on the road looks a little too high according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+8 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

Game 701-702: Dallas at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 126.293; Miami 121.559
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 4 1/2; 197 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 703-704: San Antonio at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 122.988; Philadelphia 117.355
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 5 1/2; 188 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 8 1/2; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+8 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Minnesota at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 116.730; Phoenix 133.873
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 17; 207 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 707-708: Milwaukee at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 112.973; Portland 115.498
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 2 1/2; 184 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 5 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+5 1/2); Under

.

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet


DALLAS (33 - 8) at MIAMI (18 - 21) - 1/21/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 8-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-4 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons





SAN ANTONIO (28 - 13) at PHILADELPHIA (11 - 29) - 1/21/2007, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons





MINNESOTA (20 - 18) at PHOENIX (31 - 8) - 1/21/2007, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons





MILWAUKEE (17 - 22) at PORTLAND (16 - 25) - 1/21/2007, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 112-152 ATS (-55.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 53-70 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 31-47 ATS (-20.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 35-51 ATS (-21.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, January 21st

Dallas at Miami, 1:05 EST ABC
Dallas: 28-9 ATS off BB Overs
Miami: 1-6 ATS after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

San Antonio at Philadelphia, 6:05 EST NBATV
San Antonio: 7-0 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points
Philadelphia: 19-33 ATS off a home win

Minnesota at Phoenix, 8:05 EST
Minnesota: 3-11 ATS off 3+ non-conference games
Phoenix: 7-1 ATS off a win by 6 points or less

Milwaukee at Portland, 9:05 EST
Milwaukee: 8-0 ATS away off ATS losses in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games
Portland: 1-12 ATS as a home favorite

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Sunday, January 21st

(TC) Xavier at St. Joseph's, 12:00 EST
Xavier: 14-4 Under away after playing as a favorite
St. Joseph's: 6-20 ATS at home after losing 2 of their last 3 games

Wake Forest at Virginia, 1:00 EST
Wake Forest: 0-6 ATS after scoring 60 points or less
Virginia: 15-4 Over at home in January

Buffalo at Akron, 2:00 EST
Buffalo: 8-19 ATS away after scoring 60 points or less
Akron: 13-3 ATS in home games

LaSalle at St. Bonaventure, 2:00 EST
LaSalle: 8-0 ATS after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
St. Bonaventure: 5-14 ATS at home after playing BB games as an underdog

Wright State at Wisconsin Milwaukee, 2:00 EST
Wright State: 0-7 ATS away after making 88%+ of their free throws
Wisc Milwaukee: 19-8 ATS off an Under

Duquesne at Massachusetts, 2:00 EST
Duquesne: 14-2 Over off a home game
Massachusetts: 1-10 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points

Syracuse at St. John's, 2:00 EST
Syracuse: 6-16 ATS playing their second game in seven days
St. John's: 0-8 ATS off a road conference loss

Northern Illinois at Toledo, 2:00 EST
Northern Illinois: 0-6 ATS playing their second game in seven days
Toledo: 15-6 ATS after allowing 60 points or less

New Orleans at Western Kentucky, 3:00 EST
New Orleans: 7-0 Over vs. conference opponents
Western Kentucky: 14-26 ATS vs. conference opponents

(TC) Drake at Illinois State, 1:00 EST
Drake: 8-17 ATS off a conference game
Illinois State: 9-2 Under as a home favorite

(TC) Ohio U at Miami OH, 1:00 EST
Ohio U: 8-2 ATS after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
Miami OH: 13-5 Under at home off a home game

(TC) Marquette at Pittsburgh, 3:00 EST CBS
Marquette: 15-6 ATS off a conference game
Pittsburgh: 17-6 Over at home off a win

(TC) South Florida at Notre Dame, 1:00 EST
South Florida: 18-6 ATS as an underdog of 10+ points
Notre Dame: 1-10 ATS at home after winning 2 of their last 3 games

Maryland at Virginia Tech, 7:30 EST FSN
Maryland: 1-11 ATS away after allowing 80+ points
Virginia Tech: 9-2 Under as a home favorite

(TC) Missouri State at Evansville, 4:30 EST
Missouri State: 8-0 Over vs. conference opponents
Evansville: 7-0 ATS off a home game


Added Games:

Siena at Manhattan, 2:00 EST
Siena: 6-0 Under away off BB Overs
Manhattan: 6-0 ATS in January

Loyola Maryland at Rider, 4:00 EST
Loyola Maryland: 14-4 ATS in road games
Rider: 4-14 ATS after playing as a road underdog

** (TC) Denotes Time Change