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Trends and Indexes for Saturday, December 31
Good Luck on day #365 for 2006!
Good Luck on day #365 for 2006!
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Dunkel Index - Pro Football
NFL
Dunkel
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 31
Game 429-430: Buffalo at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 136.512; Baltimore 139.131
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2 1/2; 36
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 9 1/2; 34
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+9 1/2); Over
Game 431-432: Green Bay at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 122.756; Chicago 132.190
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 9 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3); Over
Game 433-434: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 131.800; Cincinnati 132.725
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 39 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 6; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+6); Under
Game 435-436: Detroit at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 119.543; Dallas 135.109
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 15 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Dallas by 12 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-12 1/2); Over
Game 437-438: Cleveland at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 120.106; Houston 128.803
Dunkel Line: Houston by 8 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Houston by 4; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-4); Over
Game 439-440: Miami at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 128.456; Indianapolis 135.611
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 7; 40
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 9; 42
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+9); Under
Game 441-442: Jacksonville at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 136.606; Kansas City 131.883
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 5; 36 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 2 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+2 1/2); Neutral
Game 443-444: St. Louis at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 126.218; Minnesota 127.338
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 36 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 3; 43
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3); Under
Game 445-446: Carolina at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 124.043; New Orleans 135.737
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 11 1/2; 33 1/2
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+3); Under
Game 447-448: Oakland at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 118.896; NY Jets 134.121
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 15; 31
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 12 1/2; 34
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-12 1/2); Under
Game 449-450: Atlanta at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 123.608; Philadelphia 137.484
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 14; 44 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 8; 43
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-8); Over
Game 451-452: Seattle at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 125.410; Tampa Bay 124.283
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 36 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3); Neutral
Game 453-454: New England at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: New England 135.285; Tennessee 137.194
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 2; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (+3); Over
Game 455-456: San Francisco at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 120.705; Denver 133.765
Dunkel Line: Denver by 13; 42
Vegas Line: Denver by 10 1/2; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-10 1/2); Over
Game 457-458: Arizona at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 124.029; San Diego 140.906
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 17; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego by 13 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-13 1/3); Over -
NFL – Long Sheet
NFL
Long Sheet
Sunday, December 31st
BUFFALO (7 - 8) at BALTIMORE (12 - 3) - 12/31/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY (7 - 8) at CHICAGO (13 - 2) - 12/31/2006, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-1 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH (7 - 8) at CINCINNATI (8 - 7) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT (2 - 13) at DALLAS (9 - 6) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
DALLAS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games against NFC North division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND (4 - 11) at HOUSTON (5 - 10) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI (6 - 9) at INDIANAPOLIS (11 - 4) - 12/31/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a division game this season.
MIAMI is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
JACKSONVILLE (8 - 7) at KANSAS CITY (8 - 7) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS (7 - 8) at MINNESOTA (6 - 9) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA (7 - 8) at NEW ORLEANS (10 - 5) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CAROLINA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games in December games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND (2 - 13) at NY JETS (9 - 6) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
NY JETS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA (7 - 8) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 6) - 12/31/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE (8 - 7) at TAMPA BAY (4 - 11) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 53-83 ATS (-38.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
SEATTLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SEATTLE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND (11 - 4) at TENNESSEE (8 - 7) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
TENNESSEE is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
TENNESSEE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 47-26 ATS (+18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 68-42 ATS (+21.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SAN FRANCISCO (6 - 9) at DENVER (9 - 6) - 12/31/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ARIZONA (5 - 10) at SAN DIEGO (13 - 2) - 12/31/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.Comment
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NFL – Short Sheet
NFL
Short Sheet
Sunday, December 31st
(TC) Buffalo at Baltimore, 4:15 EST
Buffalo: 4-14 ATS away off ATS wins in 3 of their last 4 games
Baltimore: 9-1 ATS at home off 3+ wins
(TC) Green Bay at Chicago, 8:15 EST NBC
Green Bay: 1-9 ATS off a division game
Chicago: 7-0 Over in home games
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, 1:00 EST
Pittsburgh: 6-0 Under away off a loss
Cincinnati: 3-10 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Detroit at Dallas, 1:00 EST
Detroit: 1-6 ATS off a home game
Dallas: 26-12 ATS off a loss by 14+ points
Cleveland at Houston, 1:00 EST
Cleveland: 2-10 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
Houston: 9-2 Over off a division game
(TC) Miami at Indianapolis, 4:15 EST
Miami: 1-8 ATS off 3+ Unders
Indianapolis: 10-2 Under at home vs. conference opponents
Jacksonville at Kansas City, 1:00 EST
Jacksonville: 0-6 ATS off BB Overs
Kansas City: 13-5 Under at home off an Under
St. Louis at Minnesota, 1:00 EST
St. Louis: 3-9 ATS in December
Minnesota: 19-7 ATS as a home underdog
Carolina at New Orleans, 1:00 EST
Carolina: 0-6 ATS off a road game
New Orleans: 9-2 ATS vs. conference opponents
Oakland at NY Jets, 1:05 EST
Oakland: 0-9 ATS in December
NY Jets: 10-2 ATS after playing on Monday night
(TC) Atlanta at Philadelphia, 4:15 EST
Atlanta: 21-8 Over after scoring 9 points or less
Philadelphia: 14-5 ATS at home vs. conference opponents
Seattle at Tampa Bay, 1:00 EST
Seattle: 0-6 ATS away off an ATS win
Tampa Bay: 16-6 Under off a road win by 10+ points
New England at Tennessee, 1:00 EST
New England: 15-6 Under after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Tennessee: 6-0 ATS off a win as an underdog
San Francisco at Denver, 4:15 EST
San Francisco: 5-1 Over with a total of 35.5 to 42 points
Denver: 10-2 ATS off a home win
Arizona at San Diego, 4:15 EST
Arizona: 2-9 ATS off a division game
San Diego: 12-3 Under at home off 3+ wins
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
** End of the Regular Season **Comment
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NFL - Tips and Trends
NFL
Tips and Trends
Sunday, December 31
(Tips & trends available for these games at this time.)
New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans (CBS | 1 PM ET)
• This is a must-win spot for Tennessee, who still has an “outside shot” at making the playoffs but still would need some help to get in. EDGE: TITANS
• The bad news for Tennessee is that New England needs this game for playoff seeding. The Pats can secure the No. 3 seed if they beat Tennessee and the Colts fall to the visiting Dolphins. Their chances at a bye disappeared when the Ravens beat the Steelers. EDGE: PATRIOTS
• The Patriots are 6-1 SU & ATS on the road and 10-5 UNDER the total overall.
• The Titans have been on a roll, riding a 6-game winning streak and going 8-2 SU & 9-1 ATS the last 10 games.
Oakland Raiders at New York Jets (CBS | 1 PM ET)
• Team insiders reporting that a fiery Jets team had great practices all week preparaing for their matchup with Oakland. The Jets can clinch a playoff berth with a win against the Raiders. BIG EDGE: JETS
• Meanwhile, the Raiders have to fly cross county 3,000 miles into the cold Northeast to play a meaningless game. EDGE: JETS
• The Raiders are on an 8-game losing streak and have been rotating quarterbacks Aaron Brooks and Andrew Walter, but nothing has worked. They've scored 0, 13, 13, 14, 14, 10, 0 and 9 points the last 8 games. EDGE: JETS
• Oakland is 10-1 UNDER the total the last 11 games. Oakland is 0-7 SU & 3-4 ATS on the road, averaging 9.4 points per game.
• The Jets ride a 7-3 SU & ATS run into this one and New York is 3-1 SU/ATS as a favorite this season.
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (FOX | 1 PM ET)
• The Saints have already clinched the No. 2 seed in the NFC because Dallas lost Monday, so this game is meaningless from their point of view. Team insiders are reporting that the Saints “might” play their starters a half. EDGE: PANTHERS
• In contrast The Panthers head into the last week of the season in a five-team tie for the final NFC playoff spot. The Panthers are tied with the Falcons, Rams, Giants and Packers for the final NFC wild-card spot. To have a shot, the NY Giants must lose at Washington on Saturday and Green Bay must lose in Chicago on Sunday night. EDGE: PANTHERS
• The Panthers have defeated the Saints the past four times on the road. EDGE: PANTHERS
• Carolina QB Jake Delhomme hasn't played the last three weeks (sprained right thumb) but practiced Thursday and was upgraded to probable.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (CBS | 1 PM ET)
• Coming into this contest, the Bengals had controlled their own playoff destiny for the past few weeks, but their playoff fate largely rested on getting help from Miami last weekend. Now they not only need to beat Pittsburgh but they also need the Jets to lose or a Denver loss and KC win to get in. EDGE: BENGALS
• The Steelers have a history of playing well in Cincinnati, winning seven of the last eight games there both SU & ATS. EDGE: STEELERS
• If you subtract the two losses to the Ravens, the Steelers would be 5-0 their past five games. Pittsburgh out-scored those five foes 146-64, giving them an average victory margin of 17 points. On the season, the Steelers have out-gained their competition by 733 yards. In comparison, the Bengals, have been out-gained by 32 yards on the season. EDGE: STEELERS
Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs (CBS | 1 PM ET)
• What a terrible spot for Jacksonville to be in this weekend. The Jaguars (2-5 SU on the road) need to win at Kansas City and get lots of help to earn a wild-card spot. They must do this at Arrowhead Stadium where Kansas City is an unbelievable 18-1 in the team's last 19 home games. EDGE: CHIEFS
• The Chiefs are also in a “must-win" situational spot and need to beat Jacksonville and get plenty of help from other teams to make the playoffs because their 4-7 conference record has put them behind most of the other contenders in the tiebreakers. EDGE: CHIEFS
• With Kansas City QB Trent Green struggling, the Chiefs have become one-dimensional under head coach Herm Edwards, who is using running back Larry Johnson as his top weapon. While Johnson is one of the league's elite running backs, he should struggle against the Jaguars Top-5 run defense. EDGE: JAGUARS
• Kansas City is 6-1 UNDER the total the last 7 games.
Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens (CBS | 4:15 PM ET)
• Terrible situation spot for the visiting Bills, who just had any playoff hopes go up in smoke in a 30-29 home loss to Tennessee, while the Ravens can clinch the No. 2 AFC seed and a bye with a win at home this weekend. EDGE: RAVENS
• Baltimore’s defense has a chance to become the first in NFL history to have four players reach double-digits in sacks. EDGE: RAVENS
• Team insiders believe that Baltimore should have an easy time rushing the football against this terrible Bills run stopping unit. One game after yielding 188 yards on the ground at Houston, the Bills gave up a whopping 207 yards to the Jaguars, 134 to the Jets, and Tennessee just surrendered 215 rush yards this past Sunday. EDGE: RAVENS
• The Ravens have been on a roll and are playing with a lot of confidence at 8-1 SU & 6-3 ATS their last 9 games. EDGE: RAVENS
• The Ravens comes into this contest with the NFL’s top-ranked defense and an offense that has averaged 23 points and 338 yards since head coach Brian Billick took over the play-calling duties. EDGE: RAVENS
• The Ravens are 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS at home and 18-5 SU, 15-8 ATS their last 23 home games.
Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (CBS | 4:15 PM ET)
• This game has meaning for the Colts coming off a stunning 27-24 loss at Houston that rendered their first-round bye chances a long shot. If they are to get a bye, the Colts must beat Miami and Baltimore must lose at home to Buffalo. EDGE: COLTS
• Considering the Colts have won by more than seven points just twice in their last nine games, oddsmakers are making you lay a heavy price if you want the home favorite. EDGE: DOLPHINS
• Miami team insiders are reporting that quarterback Cleo Lemon will get his first career start in this game, replacing the struggling Joey Harrington. EDGE: COLTS
• The Miami secondary has several injuries with cornerbacks André Goodman (shoulder) and Eddie Jackson (knee) placed on injured reserve, while safety Renaldo Hill is questionable because of a wrist injury. Safety Travares Tillman also missed practice because of a sore hamstring. EDGE: COLTS
• The Colts are 7-0 SU & 5-2 ATS at home this season.
• Miami is 10-4 UNDER the total the last 14 games.
Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles (FOX | 4:15 PM ET)
• Philadelphia has already secured at least a wild-card berth and can win the NFC East with a win in this contest. EDGE: EAGLES
• The Falcons are 7-8 but still have an outside shot at making the NFC playoffs should they win at Philadelphia and get help from other teams. EDGE: FALCONS
• The Falcons have scored 14 points or less in five of their last eight games. EDGE: EAGLES
• Atlanta is 7-1 UNDER the total the last 8 games.
San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos (CBS | 4:15 PM ET)
• Denver can clinch a playoff spot with a win here against San Francisco. BIG EDGE: BRONCOS
• Note that his is an afternoon game, so there is the possibility if the Jaguars defeat the Chiefs in a scheduled earlier game, the Broncos already would gain a playoff spot. In that case, oddsmakers would re-adjust the line. So you might want to play the 49ers pending that outcome.
• Because of the defensive injuries, Denver is 7-2 OVER the total the last 9 games.Comment
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NFL – Write up
NFL
Write-up
Week 17 analysis
Sunday, December 31
Bills (7-8) @ Ravens (12-3) - Baltimore needs win to secure first round bye, huge for an older team; they've won three in row, eight of last nine games, with last five wins all by 10+ points. Ravens are 6-1 at home, 4-2 as home favorite, with last three home wins by 14,27,10 pts. Buffalo is 5-3 in last eight games (7-1 vs. spread), with losses by 1,3,1 pts to Colts, Chargers, red-hot Titans- Bills are 5-1 vs. spread as road dog this season. Five of last six Buffalo games went over the total. In last nine games, Ravens outsacked their opponents, 38-5.
Packers (7-8) @ Bears (13-2) - Chicago's last tuneup before playoff are their rivals, who are on three-game win streak, and will know by gametime will know if they have shot at playoffs (oddly, they need Giants to win Saturday). Bears opened season with 26-0 win at Lambeau, outgaining Pack 361-267, forcing three turnovers and running punt back for TD. Pack defense held last two foes without TD on 24 drives, while Bears allowed 27-31-21 pts in last three games, and were dropped pass away on last play to getting upset in Detroit last week. Last four Chicago games went over the total.
Steelers (7-8) @ Bengals (8-7) - Cincy is 0-6 when it allows 24+ points, 8-1 when it doesn't; they allowed 34,24 points in last two games- obscured by botched PAT snap was fact that first Bengal drive started on Denver 5-yard line, and they threw INT, getting fateful game off to dreadful start. Bengals won first meeting 28-20 at Heinz in Week 3, , forcing five turnovers with offset Pitt's 365-246 edge in total yards. Steelers are 5-2 in last seven games, but both losses are to Ravens; they're 2-5 on road this season, with losses by 9,10,3,17,27 pts. Five of last six Bengal games stayed under total.
Lions (2-13) @ Cowboys (9-6) - Dallas has playoff game next week whether they win division or not, so hard to tell if they'll rest guys, although Parcells tries to win preseason games. Cowboys lost last two home games, outscored 65-24; they're 7-4-1 vs. spread as fave this season. Detroit is 0-7 on road (1-6 vs. spread), losing by average score of 28-18. Lions lost last seven games overall (2-5 vs. spread), but last four were all by 10 or less points. Over last three games, Dallas allowed 163.3 rushing yds/game, a weakness Detroit will have trouble exploiting, but next week's opponent won't.
Browns (4-11) @ Texans (5-10) - Houston got first-ever win vs. Colts last week; they're 0-4 vs. spread after win this season, 0-2 as favorite; three of their five wins are by three or less pts. Dorsey gets start for dismal Cleveland squad that lost five of last six games (only win was 31-28 vs. Chiefs, when they rallied from 28-14 deficit to deal KC fatal blow). Big question for Houston offseason is what to do what RB Dayne, who rushed for 429 yards in last four games. Browns are 2-5 on road (3-3 as road dog), but they've allowed 22+ points last six weeks, and appeared to be eager to see season end.
Dolphins (6-9) @ Colts (11-4) - Dungy said he is trying to win this game; Colts can still get bye if they win and Bills upset Ravens later in day. Sliding Indy lost four of last six games after 9-0 start, as porous rush defense (allowed 213.4 yards/game over last five weeks) allows foes to play keepaway from Manning's offense. Miami lost close Monday night game, third loss in last four games, and scored one TD in last two weeks on 25 drives (13 3/outs); they're 0-5 on road vs. AFC teams this season (0-4-1 vs. spread). Last five Miami games stayed under the total.
Jaguars (8-7) @ Chiefs (8-7) - Both sides have to hope Raiders upset Jets, to give winner here hope for playoffs. Chiefs ended three-game skid last week in Oakland; they've won five of last six home games, but are 2-5 vs spread in last seven games overall., scoring three TDs on last 31 drives. Jaguars lost last two games (no takeaways, -5 TO ratio); they're 2-5 on road, despite being favored in five of the seven games (1-0-1 as road dog). Jags will spend all winter ruing sweep by Texans, and loss at Titans when they outgained Tennessee 396-98, but gave up three defensive TDs.
Rams (7-8) @ Vikings (6-9) - St Louis needs Giant loss Saturday to have playoff shot; hard to figure them as road favorite here, even though Vikings lost seven of last nine games (three of last four at home), and got only three first downs in 9-7 loss at Green Bay last Thursday (they had three extra days to prepare for this), with only score by defense. Rams are +19 in TO's in their seven wins, -7 in losses; last week was first time they won this season with less than a +2 TO ration. Hard to gauge Jackson's first start at QB, night start at Lambeau; he looked best on his few long pass attempts.
Panthers (7-8) @ Saints (10-5) - Carolina is 3-4 on road, with losses by 3,3,4,3 points; dog is 6-1 vs spread in those games. New Orleans has #2 spot in NFC locked up, not sure how they'll handle meaningless (for them) game vs. Panther squad that ended 4-game skid last week, and can make playoffs with win here and help. Carolina handed Saints first loss of year in Week 4, 21-18, outrushing Saints 167-63, but NO was on short week after emotional Superdome opener. Weinke still just 2-17 as NFL starter; Panthers won 10-3 in Atlanta last week, but scored only two TDs on last 33 drives.
Raiders (2-13) @ Jets (9-6) - Gang Green gunning for playoff spot, Raiders for pole in Troy Smith Derby; after winning rain-soaked, ugly Monday nighter in Miami, hard to believe that Jets will lose to Raider team that flew cross country for this, especially after facing rival Chiefs last week. Oakland scored zero TD's on 20 drives in last two games, four in last 42 overall, but they have held five of last six foes under 6.0 yds/pass attempt. In Jets' last four losses, they averaged 3.7/4.2/3.6/1.9 yds/pass attempt, so somehow Jets have to get couple big pass plays. Jets are 3-1 as favorite this season.
Falcons (7-8) @ Eagles (9-6) - Philly needs win to clinch NFC East, but they'll play next week either way, while Falcons will know if they got enough help to need this game for a Wild Card slot, so not sure if Reid will rest starters here. Eagles won, covered last four games, scoring 11 TDs on 38 drives; they were underdog in three of the four games. Falcons cracked 150 mark in passing yards once in last six games and are 2-6 in last eight, but they're 4-3 on road, winning last two away games, at Skins, Bucs. Under is 6-1-1 in Atlanta's last eight games.
Seahawks (8-7) @ Buccaneers (4-11) - Seahawks have home playoff game next week, doubt they play any marginally-injured players here, vs Tampa team that looked like NFL offense for first time in weeks with Rattay under center last game and half. Seattle lost last three games, allowing Chargers to drive for winning score in final minute last week, but they clinched division when 49ers lost. Last week was first time in nine weeks Bucs didn't have negative turnover ratio. Seattle is 3-4 on road, with wins by 3,2,3 points. Four of last five Seattle games went over total.
Patriots (11-4) @ Titans (8-7) - Red-hot Tennessee won last six games, covered last seven, now favored vs Patriot team that has home playoff game next week, and could rest Brady and others here, hence Titans being favored. Patriots won five of last six games, with no turnovers in last two games; they're 6-1 on road this season, losing only at Miami. Rookie Young has energized Titan offense that scored 20+ pts in last seven games, after scoring 20+ only twice in first eight games- they also have five picks in last two games. Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Titan games.
49ers (6-9) @ Broncos (9-6) - Denver clinches playoff spot with win; they got lucky last week, avoiding OT when Bengals missed game-tying PAT in final minute, after snap was botched. Broncos converted 11-24 on third down last two weeks, after being 6-24 in Cutler's first two starts, so he is improving. 49ers are 1-4 in last five games, but covered three of last four on road; they allowed 36.3 pg vs AFC this season, with all three games going over total. Last week was first time in two months NFC won a week (2-0) vs AFC foes. Denver covered one of last six tries as the favorite.
Cardinals (5-10) @ Chargers (13-2) - San Diego needs win here to clinch home field thru AFC playoffs, since Raven game will be going on at same time, and Baltimore has tiebreaker over Bolts. Warner gets start for Arizona team that is 4-2 in last six games (5-1 vs spread); they're 0-3 vs AFC this year, losing by 3,13,17 pts. Chargers won last nine games (2-3 vs spread last five); they're 7-0 at home (5-2 as home favorite) with wins by 33,10,14,7 ,7,28,11 pts. There is concern in San Diego for Rivers, who is 18-53 thru air (34.0%) the last two weeks, but as long as he can hand off, Chargers should be OK.Comment
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Dunkel Index - College Football Bowl Games (12/31/06 to 1/8/07)
NCAA FB
Dunkel
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 31, 2006
Game 459-460: Nevada vs. Miami (FL) (in Boise, ID)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 94.402; Miami (FL) 91.355
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 3; 32
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+3 1/2); Under
MONDAY, JANUARY 1, 2007
Game 461-462: Nebraska vs. Auburn (in Dallas, TX)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 101.211; Auburn 94.006
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 7; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: Auburn by 3; 46
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+3); Under
Game 463-464: Penn State vs. Tennessee (in Tampa, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 99.665; Tennessee 101.298
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 1 1/2; 34 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 4 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+4 1/2); Under
Game 465-466: Wisconsin vs. Arkansas (in Orlando, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 103.261; Arkansas 101.136
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 2; 47
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 1 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+1 1/2); Over
Game 467-468: Georgia Tech vs. West Virginia (in Jacksonville, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 95.100; West Virginia 101.952
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 7; 44
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 7; 49
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under
Game 469-470: Michigan vs. USC (in Pasadena, CA)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 105.782; USC 110.650
Dunkel Line: USC by 5; 52
Vegas Line: Pick; 47
Dunkel Pick: USC; Over
Game 471-472: Boise State vs. Oklahoma (in Glendale, AZ)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 100.502; Oklahoma 106.269
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 6; 52
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 7 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (+7 1/2); Over
TUESDAY, JANUARY 2
Game 473-474: Wake Forest vs. Louisville (in Miami, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 99.041; Louisville 109.210
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 10; 45
Vegas Line: Louisville by 10; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under
WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 3
Game 475-476: Notre Dame vs. LSU (in New Orleans, LA)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 99.783; LSU 107.657
Dunkel Line: LSU by 8; 50
Vegas Line: LSU by 9; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+9); Under
SATURDAY, JANUARY 6
Game 481-482: Western Michigan vs. Cincinnati (in Toronto, Canada)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 78.030; Cincinnati 94.948
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 7; 37
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 8; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+8); Under
SUNDAY, JANUARY 7
Game 487-488: Ohio vs. Southern Mississippi (in Mobile, AL)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 83.779; Southern Mississippi 89.276
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 5 1/2; 37 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 6 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+6 1/2); Under
MONDAY, JANUARY 8
Game 489-490: Florida vs. Ohio State (in Glendale, AZ)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 102.077; Ohio State 117.949
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 16; 51
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 7 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-7 1/2); OverComment
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College Football - Long Sheet (12/31/06 - 01/08/07)
NCAA FB
Long Sheet
NEVADA (8 - 4) vs. MIAMI (6 - 6) - 12/31/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEVADA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
NEVADA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
NEVADA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NEBRASKA (9 - 4) vs. AUBURN (10 - 2) - 1/1/2007, 11:30 AM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
PENN ST (8 - 4) vs. TENNESSEE (9 - 3) - 1/1/2007, 11:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
WISCONSIN (11 - 1) vs. ARKANSAS (10 - 3) - 1/1/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
WISCONSIN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
GEORGIA TECH (9 - 4) vs. W VIRGINIA (10 - 2) - 1/1/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MICHIGAN (11 - 1) vs. USC (10 - 2) - 1/1/2007, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
BOISE ST (12 - 0) vs. OKLAHOMA (11 - 2) - 1/1/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 44-16 ATS (+26.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 39-15 ATS (+22.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 64-37 ATS (+23.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 64-37 ATS (+23.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
WAKE FOREST (11 - 2) vs. LOUISVILLE (11 - 1) - 1/2/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.
LOUISVILLE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
LOUISVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NOTRE DAME (10 - 2) vs. LSU (10 - 2) - 1/3/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
W MICHIGAN (8 - 4) vs. CINCINNATI (7 - 5) - 1/6/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
OHIO U (9 - 4) vs. SOUTHERN MISS (8 - 5) - 1/7/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
FLORIDA (12 - 1) vs. OHIO ST (12 - 0) - 1/8/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.Comment
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College Football - Short Sheet (12/31/06 to 1/8/07)
NCAA FB
Short Sheet
Sunday, December 31st
MPC Computers Bowl , Boise, Idaho
Nevada vs. Miami FL, 7:30 EST
Nevada:
7-1 ATS playing on artificial turf
8-1 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Miami FL:
0-6 ATS playing with rest
0-6 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games
Monday, January 1st
Cotton Bowl , Dallas, Texas
Nebraska vs. Auburn, 11:30am EST
Nebraska:
8-2 ATS after committing 5+ turnovers
29-13 ATS with a total of 42.5 to 49 points
Auburn:
0-6 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games
10-3 Over off BB games forcing 3+ turnovers
Outback Bowl, Tampa, Florida
Penn State vs. Tennessee, 11:00am EST
Penn State:
2-10 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards
30-14 Under as an underdog
Tennessee:
16-5 ATS after forcing 0 turnovers
6-1 ATS off an Under
Capital One Bowl , Orlando, Florida
Wisconsin vs. Arkansas, 1:00 EST
Wisconsin:
7-0 ATS off a non-conference game
18-8 ATS off a straight up win
Arkansas:
1-5 ATS off an ATS loss
8-0 Under off BB Overs
Gator Bowl , Jacksonville, Florida
Georgia Tech vs. West Virginia, 1:00 EST
Georgia Tech:
16-6 Under off a home conference win
12-4 Under as an underdog
West Virginia:
1-5 ATS in January bowl games
6-16 ATS vs. ACC opponents
Rose Bowl , Pasadena, California
Michigan vs. USC, 5:00 EST
Michigan:
6-0 ATS away on grass fields
8-2 Under as a favorite
USC:
2-10 ATS after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
10-2 Under after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
Fiesta Bowl , Glendale, Arizona
Boise State vs. Oklahoma, 8:00 EST
Boise State:
19-6 ATS off 3+ conference wins
23-10 ATS off a road win
Oklahoma:
7-1 Under off a conference game
6-0 Under off BB ATS wins
Tuesday, January 2nd
Orange Bowl , Miami, Florida
Wake Forest vs. Louisville, 8:00 EST
Wake Forest:
13-4 Under vs. non-conference opponents
6-0 Under after allowing 14 points or less
Louisville:
9-1 ATS off BB Overs
10-2 ATS vs. ACC opponents
Wednesday, January 3rd
Sugar Bowl , New Orleans, Louisiana
Notre Dame vs. LSU, 8:00 EST
Notre Dame:
10-26 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games
2-8 ATS in bowl games
LSU:
7-0 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
15-5 ATS away after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games
Saturday, January 6th
International Bowl , Toronto, Canada
Western Michigan vs. Cincinnati, 12:00 EST
Western Michigan:
7-0 ATS off a win as an underdog
6-0 ATS off a conference win as an underdog
Cincinnati:
19-5 Under vs. non-conference opponents
6-0 Under in dome stadiums
Sunday, January 7th
GMAC Bowl, Mobile, Alabama
Ohio U vs. Southern Miss, 8:00 EST
Ohio U:
0-8 ATS away off a straight up loss
2-10 ATS away after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Southern Miss:
9-1 ATS off a conference loss by 10+ points
12-2 Under off a road loss
Monday, January 8th
BCS Championship Game, Glendale, Arizona
Florida vs. Ohio State, 8:00 EST
Florida:
1-6 ATS off a combined score of 60+ points
8-1 Under vs. non-conference opponents
Ohio State:
8-2 ATS off a home conference win
16-6 ATS as a favoriteComment
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College Football - Tips and Trends
NCAA FB
Tips and Trends
Sunday, December 31
MPC Computers Bowl - Miami (Fla.) vs. Nevada
(ESPN | 7:30 PM ET)
• Larry Coker will coach his final game at Miami in this one, giving way to defensive coordinator Randy Shannon. The move was a popular one among players as the team is 6-6 and looking for momentum going into next season. EDGE: MIAMI
• Miami managed just 19.6 points per game this season, eighth in the 12-team ACC. EDGE: UNDER
• The Hurricanes are making their first appearance in the MPC Computers Bowl. They will be playing in a city where the average temperature on New Year's Eve is 35 degrees, with a low of 22. This is about 40 degrees below the norms in South Florida. EDGE: NEVADA
• Miami is 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite.
• The UNDER is 21-5 in the Hurricanes' last 26 night games.Comment
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College Football – Write up (12/31/06 – 1/1/07)
NCAA FB
Write-up
Sunday, December 31
MPC Computers Bowl, Boise
Miami fired Coker after a 6-6 season; this will be his last game. The guy was 53-9 coming into this season, and still got fired, which tells you the state of Hurricane Nation right now, though hiring of DC Shannon has new coach helps some.
Going from South Beach to Boise isn't ideal; with Nevada and Boise both WAC teams, you have to figure locals will be pulling for Wolf Pack. Miami had won seven of last eight bowl games before getting whacked 40-3 by LSU last year, setting stage for this year's flop; this game is more about them than it is Nevada.
Wolf Pack are excited to be playing, have solid passing game, but in normal season, you wouldn't pick Wolf Pack to beat Miami in a bowl game. This hasn't been a normal year for the Hurricanes. We have a selection on this game in the box below.
Monday, January 1
Outback Bowl, Tampa
Penn State's four losses came to teams with combined record of 44-4; Tennessee's three losses are to teams with combined mark of 32-6. Paterno is 2-0 vs. Tennessee in bowls ('91and '93); he is expected to be on sidelines for this game, despite breaking his leg in late season game.
Vols had bounceback year after last year's 5-6 debacle. Penn State isn't very good on offense; they're 0-4 vs. spread as dog this season; they scored 17 or less points in four of last six games (Illinois, Temple were two exceptions). Plus, Morelli was feuding with his high school coach a few weeks back, so he has those distractions to deal with.
Tennessee likes to pass; they won four of their five road games, losing only at Arkansas. JoePa has 19-9-1 spread record in bowls, but hard to imagine them beating Tennessee team excited about bowling after being 5-6 last season. I think Vols are right side in this game.
Cotton Bowl, Dallas
Nebraska returns to January football, so assume Cotton Bowl will be sea of red; XXXXs have well-balanced offense (168 ypg rushing, 225 passing) behind senior QB Taylor. Auburn has to be disappointed after thinking they had shot at national title, but once Arkansas came to town, ran ball for 279 yds against them, the air was out of the balloon for War Eagle.
Nebraska played two weeks after Auburn's last game, so you can argue that Auburn had more time to rest, or that they'll be rusty; Tigers only played four road games (they beat both Mississippi schools, won 24-17 at South Carolina, 22-15 at Alabama). Wisconsin put up 500+ TY on Auburn in last year's bowl. XXXXs lost 28-10 at USC, also lost to Texas (22-20), Okla State (41-29) and Sooners in Big 12 title game (21-7).
Inconsistent QB play hurt Auburn. I'll take the side with more enthusiasm and a senior QB. To me, Nebraska is the right side.
Gator Bowl, Jacksonville
Senior QB Ball is academically ineligible for Yellow Jackets in this game, but I'm not sure what that means, since Ball was an erratic passer, and Gailey runs passing offense. WR Johnson might be best receiver in country, but Ball's inaccuracy cost him touches.
West Virginia smoked Georgia as 6-point dog in their bowl game LY: Mountaineers had injury issues down stretch of this season and tailed off some. Georgia Tech has more to prove here, losing ACC title game, and also their rivalry game to the Dawgs, but without its starting QB, beating well-coached Mountaineers is tough task. West Virginia was 7-0 before 44-34 loss at Louisville ended their BCS dreams; South Florida came to Morgantown and won as 21-pt dogs, 24-19.
Tech scored 7,49 (vs. Duke), 12,6 points in their last four games; being forced to change QB's doesn't help. I think West Virginia is right side in this game.
Capital One Bowl, Orlando
Razorback fans might regret how terrific McFadden has been this season, since it could lead to his early departure to NFL; Hogs ran ball for 279 yards in upset win at Auburn and scored 26+ points in each of last nine games- four of their last five games came vs. bowl teams. Only question for Hogs is at QB, where steady Dick replaced highly-touted freshman Mustain.
Wisconsin didn't play Ohio State this year, so their 11-1 record is little misleading; their schedule strength is in bottom third in country. Teams Badgers beat are so bad (Buffalo, San Diego State. Western Illinois) was hard to get good read on Badgers' relative strength. Wisconsin has rookie coach who has done fine job, but think his team is in trouble here vs. powerful Arkansas run game.
Rose Bowl, Pasadena
Michigan thinks it should be playing Ohio State again; USC is disappointed they're not there, too, but at least Trojans have only themselves to blame after loss to rival UCLA in season finale (well, they could blame schedule maker who had them play Oregon-Cal-Notre Dame-UCLA in four-game gauntlet). Both these teams are very good; this could easily be the national title game.
Wolverines scored 39 points in their only loss; they beat Notre Dame by 26, gave Wisconsin its only loss (by 14), beat Iowa by two TDs, won at Penn State. They have veteran QB and soldi coaching. Trojans won 50-14 at Arkansas team that only lost two other games the rest of season.
USC is 5-2 vs Michigan in Rose Bowl. Carroll is better coach, but Henne is better QB. Both teams are 4-0 vs. spread when the number is less than 10, so both sides win competitive games. Neither side is happy to be here, but once it gets kicked off, this will be an excellent game. I'll lean towards USC to make it six of eight vs. Michigan in Pasadena.
Fiesta Bowl, Phoenix
Boise Broncos are unbeaten, well-balanced, have rookie coach who has yet to lose but they might very well be in over their head vs. Oklahoma team that endured loss of its QB, got hosed in road loss at Oregon, then lost its star RB, but still finished
11-2 this season, with wins at Missouri, Okla State and Texas A&M. Edge in class goes to Oklahoma, as does coaching edge, with Stoops vs. rookie mentor.
But how do you give points to undefeated underdog? Well, that dog was down 20-12 in the fourth quarter vs. San Jose, 14-0 at Oregon State, so they have holes- they get behind double digits here, especially if RB Peterson is back close to 100%, and this could get ugly.
Boise was underdog once this year; they went to Utah and won 36-3 as 5-point dog. I think Oklahoma is right side here, but if you play on Boise, I'd money line them; if Sooners win, I think they'll win by big score, overwhelming Broncos with speed, but I do have respect for unbeaten dog that won 38-7 in last game at Nevada. Force me to make a play, and take Oklahoma.Comment
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NBA
Dunkel
Phoenix at Detroit
The timing looks to be good for the Suns coming to Detroit as the Pistons have dropped back-to-back games and have lost Chauncey Billups for two weeks with a strained calf. Even with Billups, Detroit has looked sloppy recently with losses to lower-rated New York and Indiana while barely beating a struggling Nets team (92-91). Phoenix has had few such struggles and bounced back nicely from its close loss at Dallas with a lopsided win over the Knicks (108-86) on Friday to start its four-game road trip. The Suns look like a good pick to cover the Vegas line (-4) according to Dunkel, which has Phoenix favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-4). Here are all of today's games.
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 31
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 501-502: Atlanta at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 108.583; San Antonio 126.326
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 18; 187 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 503-504: New York at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: New York 114.403; LA Clippers 122.149
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7 1/2; 194 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-6 1/2); Under
Game 505-506: Phoenix at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 127.898; Detroit 120.324
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7 1/2; 195 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-4); Under
Game 507-508: Memphis at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 112.277; Houston 123.956
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 11 1/2; 189 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 8; 178 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-8); Over
Game 509-510: Dallas at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 127.302; Denver 123.042
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 4 1/2; 213 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 5; 206
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+5); Over
Game 511-512: Philadelphia at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 113.592; LA Lakers 124.108
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 10 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-9 1/2); Over
Game 513-514: Boston at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 111.478; Seattle 118.936
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 7 1/2; 208 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 6 1/2; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-6 1/2); OverComment
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NCAAB
Dunkel
Wisconsin at Georgia
Wisconsin goes into a hostile and unfamiliar venue today to take on Georgia, but looks to be catching the Bulldogs at the right time. After racking up solid wins over Wake Forest (87-86) and Gonzaga (96-83), Georgia has hit a rough patch with back-to-back losses to Georgia Tech (78-69) and Clemson (75-60). Mike Mercer, who leads the Bulldogs in scoring with a 16.8 average, has struggled to find his stroke after scoring just 13 points against Clemson and going 0-for-10 from the field against Tech. Wisconsin, meanwhile, has been riding a high after knocking off two ranked teams (Marquette and Pitt). The Badgers come in on the heels of two lopsided wins over lower-rated Pacific (83-47) and Gardner-Webb (98-40) with the potent trio of Alando Tucker, Kammron Taylor and Brian Butch all looking in peak form. The Badgers look like a good pick to cover the Vegas line (-1 1/2) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Wisconsin favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 31
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 515-516: Middle Tennessee St. at Florida International
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee St. 50.705; Florida International 47.898
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee St. by 3
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee St.
Game 517-518: Wisconsin at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 75.175; Georgia 66.249
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 9
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-1 1/2)
Game 519-520: San Jose State at Duke
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 46.635; Duke 78.107
Dunkel Line: Duke by 31 1/2
Vegas Line: Duke by 30
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-30)
Game 521-522: Richmond at William & Mary
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 48.242; William & Mary 53.318
Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 5
Vegas Line: William & Mary by 4
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (-4)
Game 523-524: Georgia State at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 43.856; Clemson 76.943
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 33
Vegas Line: Clemson by 31
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-31)
Game 525-526: Dayton at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 59.268; North Carolina 83.571
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 24 1/2
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 22
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-22)
Game 527-528: Arkansas Little Rock at Troy
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas Little Rock 47.046; Troy 45.859
Dunkel Line: Arkansas Little Rock by 1
Vegas Line: Troy by 4
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas Little Rock (+4)
Game 529-530: Northeastern at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 50.003; Boston College 67.493
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston College by 15
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-15)
Game 531-532: Washington at UCLA
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 70.564; UCLA 80.161
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: UCLA by 10
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+10)
Game 533-534: Wofford at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 45.162; Charlotte 56.986
Dunkel Line: Charlotte by 12
Vegas Line: Charlotte by 9
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-9)
Game 535-536: Siena at Maryland
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 54.123; Maryland 75.873
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 22
Vegas Line: Maryland by 20
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-20)Comment
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NHL
Dunkel
Chicago at Columbus
Both clubs are looking to regain the momentum they had when they made coaching changes (Denis Savard for Chicago; Ken Hitchcock for Columbus). The Blackhawks have alternated wins and losses in their last six games and are coming off a 5-3 home loss to Boston on Friday. Columbus hasn't been much better as the Blue Jackets have dropped two straight and three of their last four, including an ugly 7-4 loss at home to Detroit on Thursday. Chicago has a slight edge in the series right now with two straight wins and three of the last four. The Blackhawks look like a decent underdog pick in this one according to Dunkel, which has Chicago favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 31
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 1-2: Anaheim at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 13.561; Minnesota 12.324
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1 1/2); Over
Game 3-4: Los Angeles at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.362; Detroit 13.950
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-1 1/2); Under
Game 5-6: Chicago at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.762; Columbus 11.690
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+1 1/2); Over
Game 7-8: Edmonton at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.884; Calgary 12.489
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over
Game 9-10: San Jose at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.834; Dallas 13.121
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over
Game 11-12: Philadelphia at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.304; Carolina 13.400
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 3; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-1 1/2); OverComment
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NCAAB
Long Sheet
MIDDLE TENN ST (4 - 8) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (6 - 6) - 12/31/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 81-109 ATS (-38.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 81-109 ATS (-38.9 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in all home games since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 4-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 4-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN (13 - 1) at GEORGIA (8 - 3) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SAN JOSE ST (1 - 10) at DUKE (11 - 1) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
DUKE is 61-39 ATS (+18.1 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
RICHMOND (4 - 7) at WM & MARY (6 - 4) - 12/31/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICHMOND is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
RICHMOND is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
RICHMOND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when the total is 119.5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
RICHMOND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
RICHMOND is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
RICHMOND is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
RICHMOND is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WM & MARY is 1-0 against the spread versus RICHMOND over the last 3 seasons
RICHMOND is 1-0 straight up against WM & MARY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA ST (4 - 6) at CLEMSON (13 - 0) - 12/31/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
DAYTON (10 - 2) at N CAROLINA (11 - 1) - 12/31/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK (7 - 7) at TROY ST (5 - 8) - 12/31/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY ST over the last 3 seasons
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 1-0 straight up against TROY ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NORTHEASTERN (3 - 8) at BOSTON COLLEGE (7 - 4) - 12/31/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHEASTERN is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
NORTHEASTERN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in December games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHEASTERN is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
NORTHEASTERN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
WASHINGTON (10 - 2) at UCLA (12 - 0) - 12/31/2006, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WOFFORD (4 - 8) at CHARLOTTE (5 - 6) - 12/31/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SIENA (6 - 4) at MARYLAND (12 - 2) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
MARYLAND is 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
MARYLAND is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
MARYLAND is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MARYLAND is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
SIENA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.Comment
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