Knock,knock,whos There ? The Bookmaker Trying To Take Your Money On Monday !!!

[CoolhandLuke]

Dont worry,I have a game that can bail you out or get you ahead for the week,before you have to see the man.As I watch these games on Sunday,I saw the Steelers,Super Bowl Champs,come out and play like chumps.What the fuc is going on,is there no pride in this team.They just layed down and said we dont feel like playing today,as did some other teams today.I didnt like the card at all,now I can see way.I must admit that the Chargers,New England,and Balitmore are the only three teams that appear to be playing with some Mr.Mo.Now I know are you Joe Public players are not going to like my play today,but that is why you are Joe Public.Plus you like paying the man every week.For once,try to listen what I tell you on this game today.If I lose,dont be afraid to internet bash me,call me names,but,please give me some real facts about how you think I made a bad play.You fuccen jokers that come on here and give a GOY,its Green Bay.Give us some facts of why you think it is the GOY? You guys that do this,are the first guy to bash someone esle.For the new year,give some facts on why you like the game,not cause your dog pee-ed on you paper and it landed on a team.OK !


Went to the casino sports book to just talk to some people on the football games for tommorrow between the Jets and Miami.Every person out of ten told me the Jets by far is the way to go.One guy even told me,this will be my last game I bet ever if the Jets dont win.Why is that,as I stand there shocked.I just pawned my wifes wedding ring for cash.They have to win,they going to the playoffs man.Need I say any more? Yes,I will give you some facts on my play. One of my rules of must win,usually dont.The fact that the Miami win vs New England keeps sticking in my head.What a game they played,the best by far this year by anyone.They played in Week 6,with the Jets winning 20-17 and Miami committed 3 turnovers vs the Jets zero.This Jets team is not that good guys,they only rush the ball 2.6 yards and are (29th) in the nfl.In the air they are(18th).They are facing a team that are playing some great ball,Defence is really on a roll.The Jets are on a tuff road scheduling spot where they are playing their 3rd game out of FOUR on the road.The Fish are 5-2 in their last 7 games played,with wins over Chicago,KC,and New England.This my friends is really a sweet spot for the Fish to be inn.Dont worry about the run,just pin your ears back and the rush the qb all day.God dam it,I cant get that New England win out of my head.I luvvvvvvvv Miami today.Dont be afraid to bash Luke if I lose,just give me some facts.

MIAMI -2 For one wedding ring.

STAY COOL LUKE

[Kaptain]

gl to ya Luke----kapt

[frankb03]

The Jets are on a tuff road scheduling spot where they are playing their 3rd game out of FOUR on the road.

Week 16 road teams in the same traveling situation as the Jets:

20-15 ATS

All road teams in this spot:
252-231 ATS

The Dolphins have no advantage over the Jets regarding the Jets travel schedule.

One guy even told me,this will be my last game I bet ever if the Jets dont win.Why is that,as I stand there shocked.I just pawned my wifes wedding ring for cash.They have to win,they going to the playoffs man.Need I say any more?

Do you really think one loser has any bearing on the outcome of this game? I'm certain there are LOSERS saying the same thing about Miami.

Went to the casino sports book to just talk to some people on the football games for tommorrow between the Jets and Miami.Every person out of ten told me the Jets by far is the way to go.

Then why has the line moved from Miami -1 to -2.5? Joe Public is on Miami.

One of my rules of must win,usually dont.

We agree here.

The fact that the Miami win vs New England keeps sticking in my head.What a game they played,the best by far this year by anyone

Teams are never as good as they play. Just like getting shutout last week. They are never as bad as they look.

[soupman]

gl Luke

[CoolhandLuke]

No Frank,Joe public is not on Miami,you are waaaay wrong.I have outs of books all over the place,They have 68% on Jets.
If the jets need the game more,why is Miami fav. ? Sportsbook Manager at local book in Vegas has 70% jets bets and parlays.

Road travel in the NFL IS TUFF. Three of four is very tuff to handle.FACT !

GL ON YOUR PLAY OF THE JETS.

[CoolhandLuke]

A road team in the NFL who loses by 20 points or more and the following week is playing at home are.

12-3 80%

[frankb03]

Road travel in the NFL IS TUFF. Three of four is very tuff to handle.FACT !

Your facts are wrong my friend. You are stating opinion NOT facts.

As stated above road teams in this spot have a winning ATS record. THOSE ARE THE FACTS!

Further proof that your facts are incorrect:

Away teams playing their 3rd road game in 4 games are:

217-275 SU 44.1%

All other away teams:

1393-2011 40.9%

If 3 of 4 is tough to handle why do they do better?

[frankb03]

A road team in the NFL who loses by 20 points or more and the following week is playing at home are.

12-3 80%

13-4 this season and 25-12 the last 2 seasons. However, since 1999 78-83 ATS.

[frankb03]

No Frank,Joe public is not on Miami,you are waaaay wrong.I have outs of books all over the place,They have 68% on Jets.
If the jets need the game more,why is Miami fav. ? Sportsbook Manager at local book in Vegas has 70% jets bets and parlays.

First, with my capping style I pay no attention to public betting. The public does NOT lose every game.

If the public is on the Jets why has the line moved from -1 to -2.5?

[CoolhandLuke]

First off Frank,did you ever play in the NFL ? My brother played for the Denver Broncos.Do you really think that begin on the road that long has no effects.BE REAL! Thats a fact !

Real simple,I make money betting on the NFL. Thats a Fact!

Gl on your Jets play.

[CoolhandLuke]

First, with my capping style I pay no attention to public betting. The public does NOT lose every game.

If the public is on the Jets why has the line moved from -1 to -2.5?

SHARP MONEY ?????

[rcmcd]

smart $ moves a line not the avg. public

[frankb03]

First off Frank,did you ever play in the NFL ? My brother played for the Denver Broncos.Do you really think that begin on the road that long has no effects.BE REAL! Thats a fact !

No one said it was easy. Other factors might play a role. Maybe, the home team thinks they'll have a cake walk with a weary visitor? Maybe Vegas inflates the line knowing the road team is playing their third road game in four games?

But facts are facts. These teams have a winning ATS record. There's no disputing the past history.

[frankb03]

smart $ moves a line not the avg. public

No money moves the line. Do you think smart money wins every game? I hear that BS comment week after week. If smart money was so smart we'd all retire betting sports. Just follow the smart money.

[CoolhandLuke]

No money moves the line. Do you think smart money wins every game? I hear that BS comment week after week. If smart money was so smart we'd all retire betting sports. Just follow the smart money.

No,smart money does not win every game,just a good % of the time to make them a winner in the long run.

Frank,lets just put it this way.Sportsbooks dont lose money.Let me repeat,Sportbooks dont lose money at the end of the year.They need Miami today to be a winner.Real simple.