Kaptains "CFB Bowls" Thread

[vonwater11]

nice job kapt...great bowl record...look forward to the rest of your picks...

[meaiken]

Nice job Kapt. Good Luck on the rest

[Chado1]

Nice call on CMU Kapt!!!

Keep em comin!!!

[worm]

The Kapt. is on fire!!!

Keep er goin!

[Kaptain]

Now 6-1 on Sides
1-0 on Teasers
0-1 on Totals............7-2 overall........kapt

[Three Jack]

great work Kappy...BOL on whomever you got tonight...Go 'Noles!

[Pitt37]

Another winner last night Kapt keep up the good work I love when we both are on the same side!!!

[Kaptain]

EMERALD BOWL Wednesday 12-27

UCLA Bruins (7-5) from the PAC 10, take on the Fla St Seminoles (6-6) from the ACC.......Line is now UCLA -3/38 ttl...

Lets start off by looking at teh Sagarin Ratings for the Conferences....

Pac 10 as a whole playing as an 81 vs 81 teams....
ACC......................................74.....72 .............
Advantage PAC 10

UCLA playing as an 83 vs 79 opponents for the season...
Fla St...................74.....72.................... .................
Stronger SOS for UCLA and better record....
Advantage UCLA

Season Ending play as a team....
Fla St Lost 2 of last 3 games played...Lost to Wake Forest 0-30, Beat W Mich 28-20, and Lost to Fla 14-21....

UCLA won their last 3 games of the season, Oregon St 25-7, Az St 24-12, and USC 13-9......Hotter team here is obvious
Advantage UCLA



Fla St avg 25 ptspg----UCLA 22
FLA St yields 19 ptspg---UCLA 18

FLA ST avgs 95 Rypg, 226 Pypg, 322 Typg...
UCLA...........124.......197..........321......... .

Defensively
Fla St yields 84 Rypg, 195 Pypg, 279 Typg
UCLA..........90..........214.........304.......
Pretty Even stats, until you consider the level of Competition they played......
Advantage EVEN---UCLA + based on competition

FLA St QB's
Weatherford...56.7 %, 1829 yds, 11 TDs, 10 Ints
Lee---mobile qb...........885.........7..........5.......

UCLA's QB's
Olson..........63.7 %, 822 yds, Cowan took over after injury to Olson, and completed 54.2 %, for 1542 yds, 9 Tds, and 7 Ints....Olson scheduled to be able to play in tonights game...
Advantage Slidght edge UCLA---not much

RB's......advantage UCLA
Receivers...advantage FLA St

Receivers for Fla St are quicker, and taller, thus they portray a much stronger threat in the Red Zone....

RB's....advantage goes to UCLA because of one man....TB Markey....has carried the ball over 200 times, for 963 yds, and an 4.6 ypc avg.....In addition he has caught 33 passes....The deeper into the game it goes, the stronger Markey will have an impact.....

Defenses........Both tough....but based on SOS, and these stats, Fla St.........
Yielding 18 Ppg, 305 Typg, and just 90 Rypg to tougher competion, coupled in with UCLA generaing 26 turnovers, and 12 INTs, along with players like Davis and Hickman, who have combined for 25 of the 39 sacks this year, and the duo has combined for 35 tackles for losses.....
Advantage UCLA

Now I know the Off co-ordinator for Fla St has been relieved of his duties, and another Off Co-ord has stepped in, but I don't think this transition will help immediately......These kind of things take time....I see em progressively getting better as next season goes along, but not tonight........

Going against some pretty damn good cappers here that have stated Fla St will win outright, but the formula I used so far, and we're on a roll, dictates the followin to me.....

UCLA -3 -112..........6* ...gl to all....let's hope we're right

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Off the record, I also like the following teaser a lot.......

UCLA +4 and OVER 31................3*

Projected score UCLA 24-17.....kapt

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[Chado1]

BOL tonight Kaptain!!!

[LeRoy]

GL tonite Kapt

[vonwater11]

gl kapt...love the call

[molta02]

gl kapt. lets bring this one in!

[LeRoy]

Hey Kapt. Is there any chance you can post tommorows winners of the early games for your followers who have to work and have no access to a computer tonite
Thanks Your ships deck swamper
LeRoy

[Kaptain]

Thursday 12-28 Bowls....

No time for write ups.....

Ok St............-2 1/2.........-110...............5*
Ok St/Ala.......OVER 48......-107................................10*

Rutgers.........-7 1/2..........-108...............5*
Rutg/K ST......OVER 44.......-105................................10*

Tex A&M........+3...............-105..............5*

GL to all----kapt

[moondog22]

nail em Kapt