Trends and Indexes for Monday, December 18
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Monday Trends and Indexes 12/18
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Dunkel Index - College Football (12/19/06 to 1/8/07)
NCAA Football
Dunkel
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 19
Game 301-302: Northern Illinois vs. TCU (in San Diego, CA)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 82.691; TCU 101.765
Dunkel Line: TCU by 19; 46
Vegas Line: TCU by 11 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-11 1/2); Under
THURSDAY, DECEMBER 21
Game 305-306: BYU vs. Oregon (in Las Vegas, NV)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 107.228; Oregon 97.064
Dunkel Line: BYU by 10; 63
Vegas Line: BYU by 4; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-4); Over
FRIDAY, DECEMBER 22
Game 307-308: Troy vs. Rice (in New Orleans, LA)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 72.694; Rice 86.315
Dunkel Line: Rice by 13 1/2; 57 1/2
Vegas Line: Rice by 5; 52
Dunkel Pick: Rice (-5); Over
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 23
Game 311-312: East Carolina vs. South Florida (in Birmingham, AL)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 87.327; South Florida 92.282
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 5; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-3 1/2); Under
Game 313-314: San Jose State vs. New Mexico (in Albuquerque, NM)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 82.511; New Mexico 89.372
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 7; 50
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 3 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-3 1/2); Over
Game 315-316: Utah vs. Tulsa (in Forth Worth, TX)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 90.639; Tulsa 85.066
Dunkel Line: Utah by 5 1/2; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah by 1 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-1 1/2); Under
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 24
Game 341-342; Arizona State at Hawaii
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 97.731; Hawaii 107.133
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 9 1/2; 77 1/2
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 8; 74
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-8); Over
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 26
Game 401-402: Middle Tennessee St. vs. Central Michigan (in Detroit, MI)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee St. 82.545; Central Michigan 84.930
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 2 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 10; 51
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee St. (+10); Over
WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 27
Game 403-404: Florida State vs. UCLA (in San Francisco, CA)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 89.492: UCLA 105.661
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 16; 39
Vegas Line: UCLA by 4 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-4 1/2); Under
THURSDAY, DECEMBER 28
Game 405-406: Oklahoma State vs. Alabama (in Shreveport, LA)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 97.855; Alabama 88.937
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 9; 50
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-2); Under
Game 407-408: Kansas State vs. Rutgers (in Houston, TX)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 90.900; Rutgers 99.359
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 8 1/2; 52 1/2
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 7; 45
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-7); Over
Game 409-410: Texas A&M vs. California (in San Diego, CA)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 102.752; California 100.495
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 2; 48
Vegas Line: California by 5; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+5); Under
FRIDAY, DECEMBER 29
Game 411-412: Kentucky vs. Clemson (in Nashville, TN)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 88.204; Clemson 98.884
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 10 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Clemson by 10; 58
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-10); Under
Game 413-414: Missouri vs. Oregon State (in El Paso, TX)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 95.231; Oregon State 98.773
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 3 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 3; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-3); Under
Game 415-416: Houston vs. South Carolina (in Memphis, TN)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 92.965; South Carolina 98.698
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 5 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 6 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+6 1/2); Over
Game 417-418: Purdue vs. Maryland (in Orlando, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 90.638; Maryland 88.310
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 2 1/2; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Maryland by 1; 52
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+1); Under
Game 419-420: Minnesota vs. Texas Tech (in Tempe, AZ)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 93.918; Texas Tech 97.406
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 3 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 6 1/2; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+6 1/2); Under
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 30
Game 423-424: Navy vs. Boston College (in Charlotte, NC)
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 85.442; Boston College 96.133
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 8 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Boston College by 6; 47
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-6); Under
Game 425-426: Iowa vs. Texas (in San Antonio, TX)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 89.073; Texas 107.466
Dunkel Line: Texas by 18 1/2; 57 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas by 10 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-10 1/2); Over
Game 427-428: Virginia Tech vs. Georgia (in Atlanta, GA)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 105.427; Georgia 94.590
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 11; 31 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 2 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-2 1/2); Under
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 31, 2006
Game 459-460: Nevada vs. Miami (FL) (in Boise, ID)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 94.402; Miami (FL) 91.355
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 3; 32
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+3 1/2); Under
MONDAY, JANUARY 1, 2007
Game 461-462: Nebraska vs. Auburn (in Dallas, TX)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 101.211; Auburn 94.006
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 7; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: Auburn by 3; 46
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+3); Under
Game 463-464: Penn State vs. Tennessee (in Tampa, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 99.665; Tennessee 101.298
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 1 1/2; 34 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 4 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+4 1/2); Under
Game 465-466: Wisconsin vs. Arkansas (in Orlando, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 103.261; Arkansas 101.136
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 2; 47
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 1 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+1 1/2); Over
Game 467-468: Georgia Tech vs. West Virginia (in Jacksonville, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 95.100; West Virginia 101.952
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 7; 44
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 7; 49
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under
Game 469-470: Michigan vs. USC (in Pasadena, CA)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 105.782; USC 110.650
Dunkel Line: USC by 5; 52
Vegas Line: Pick; 47
Dunkel Pick: USC; Over
Game 471-472: Boise State vs. Oklahoma (in Glendale, AZ)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 100.502; Oklahoma 106.269
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 6; 52
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 7 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (+7 1/2); Over
TUESDAY, JANUARY 2
Game 473-474: Wake Forest vs. Louisville (in Miami, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 99.041; Louisville 109.210
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 10; 45
Vegas Line: Louisville by 10; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under
WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 3
Game 475-476: Notre Dame vs. LSU (in New Orleans, LA)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 99.783; LSU 107.657
Dunkel Line: LSU by 8; 50
Vegas Line: LSU by 9; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+9); Under
SATURDAY, JANUARY 6
Game 481-482: Western Michigan vs. Cincinnati (in Toronto, Canada)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 78.030; Cincinnati 94.948
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 7; 37
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 8; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+8); Under
SUNDAY, JANUARY 7
Game 487-488: Ohio vs. Southern Mississippi (in Mobile, AL)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 83.779; Southern Mississippi 89.276
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 5 1/2; 37 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 6 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+6 1/2); Under
MONDAY, JANUARY 8
Game 489-490: Florida vs. Ohio State (in Glendale, AZ)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 102.077; Ohio State 117.949
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 16; 51
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 7 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-7 1/2); Over
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Dunkel Index - Pro Football
NFL
Dunkel
MONDAY, DECEMBER 18
Game 281-282: Cincinnati at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 136.838; Indianapolis 133.776
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3; 49
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3 1/2); Under
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NFL
Long Sheet / Short Sheet
MONDAY, DECEMBER 18
CINCINNATI (8-5) at INDIANAPOLIS (10-3) - 8:30 PM EST ESPN
Long Sheet
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Short Sheet
Cincinnati: 7-0 ATS away off a win
Indianapolis: 9-2 Under at home vs. conference opponents
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NFL
Write-up
MONDAY, DECEMBER 18
Bengals (8-5) @ Colts (10-3)- Colts need better field position; 13 of their last 21 drives started 80+ yards from goal line. Indy lost three of last four games, allowing 375 rushing yards, KR for TD and blocked punt at Jacksonville last week, but they're still 6-0 at home, with 1-point wins over Bills, Titans. Bengals are back in playoff chase, winning four games in row, outscoring last three foes 70-17. After scoring 10+ points in second half of first eight games, Colts have scored seven or less pts in second half in four of last five. Cincy defense much better since Charger loss, allowing two TD's on foes' last 30 drives.
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NFL
TREND SHEET
MONDAY, DECEMBER 18
CINCINNATI vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Cincinnati is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Indianapolis
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
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NFL
Recent Trends
MONDAY, DECEMBER 18
Cincinnati at Indianapolis
Cincinnati:- CIN are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 road games.
- Over is 9-3 in CIN last 12 games as an underdog.
- CIN are 2-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Indianapolis:- IND are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 night games.
- Under is 9-3 in IND last 12 games on Turf.
- IND are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 15.
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NFL
In Depth Trends
MONDAY, DECEMBER 18
Cincinnati at Indianapolis
Red - Hot trends are trends 80% or higher. Blue - Cold trends are trends 20% or lower.
ATS Trends
Cincinnati
Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Bengals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Bengals are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 road games.
Bengals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Bengals are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
Bengals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Bengals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Bengals are 8-3-3 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Bengals are 29-13 ATS in their last 42 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Bengals are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bengals are 22-60-3 ATS in their last 85 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Bengals are 2-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bengals are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 15.
Indianapolis
Colts are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 night games.
Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
Colts are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 15.
Colts are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Colts are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Colts are 15-32 ATS in their last 47 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Colts are 18-42-1 ATS in their last 61 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.
Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Colts are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
O/U Trends
Cincinnati
Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 games overall.
Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 10-1 in Bengals last 11 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Over is 6-1-1 in Bengals last 8 games in Week 15.
Under is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 night games.
Over is 20-6-1 in Bengals last 27 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Over is 9-3 in Bengals last 12 games as an underdog.
Under is 6-2 in Bengals last 8 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Over is 26-9 in Bengals last 35 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 13-5 in Bengals last 18 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Over is 10-4 in Bengals last 14 games as a road underdog.
Under is 5-2 in Bengals last 7 road games.
Over is 11-5 in Bengals last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 37-17-1 in Bengals last 55 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Indianapolis
Under is 4-0 in Colts last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 10-1 in Colts last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 Monday games.
Under is 41-11-2 in Colts last 54 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Colts last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 9-3 in Colts last 12 games on Turf.
Under is 8-3 in Colts last 11 games as a home favorite.
Under is 8-3 in Colts last 11 home games.
Under is 13-5 in Colts last 18 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
Over is 5-2 in Colts last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Over is 40-16-2 in Colts last 58 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 22-9 in Colts last 31 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 9-4 in Colts last 13 games in December.
Under is 9-4 in Colts last 13 games following a ATS loss.
Head to Head
Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
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NFL
BETTING TRENDS
MONDAY, DECEMBER 18
CINCINNATI
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 14-3-1 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Cincinnati is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Indianapolis
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
INDIANAPOLIS
Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 11 games at home
Indianapolis is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Cincinnati
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
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NFL
Tips & trends
Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (ESPN | 8:30 PM ET)
The Colts have dropped three of their last four games following a 9-0 start, but all three losses came on the road. Indy is one of two unbeaten home teams at 6-0. EDGE: COLTS
The Bengals are riding a 4-game winning streak but have not won 5 in a row since their last appearance in the Super Bowl back in 1988. EDGE: COLTS
Cincinnati's defense has surrendered just 17 points in the last 3 games, the best stretch in franchise history. EDGE: BENGALS
Insiders believe the key in this game will be Cincy's ability to run the football and control the clock. The Colts have failed to score more than 17 points in four of their last five games, with QB Peyton Manning tossing just five touchdown passes. Indy has the worst run defense in the NFL, so the Bengals would be wise to control this game on the ground and not try to get into a shootout. That wil be a tough task away from home on the fast track of the RCA Dome. EDGE: COLTS
The Bengals are 17-0 SU when RB Rudi Johnson has 25 or more carries, and he is coming off a season-high 30 against Oakland last week. EDGE: BENGALS IF THEY CAN RUN THE BALL
Indianapolis is 8-0 ATS last 8 night games.
Cincinnati is 2-6-1 ATS last 9 vs. teams with a winning record.
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NCAAF
Long Sheet
N ILLINOIS (7 - 5) vs. TCU (10 - 2) - 12/19/2006, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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NCAAF
Write-up
Poinsettia Bowl, Dec 19, San Diego
TCU players are fired up to be in this somewhat obscure bowl, because the greatest Horned Frog since Bob Lilly plays home games in this stadium.....LaDanian Tomlinson.
TCU got beat by BYU, Utah in consecutive weeks in September and early October, but are 7-0 in last seven games (6-1 against spread), winning last three games by 24+ points each. They're well-balanced on offense and have a senior QB in Ballard. Their defense had 11 takeaways last four games
Northern Illinois lost three MAC games, and also 24-14 at Iowa and 35-12 at Ohio State; they have 5-7 RB Wolfe, but struggled passing ball for much of season; they were just 15-69 (21.7%) on third down in their losses (48.8% in wins). When Huskies threw ball well, they had success, but TCU has strong defense, so that couldbe problem in this game.
Underdog is 3-1-1 in TCU bowl games the last six years, with Frogs 2-3 SU, winning two of last three; NIU beat Troy 34-21 in bowl game two years ago. TCU will be focused, if only because of LT's presence. With Frogs having eight less days off to get rusty here, I would lean towards laying points with TCU.
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NBA
Write-up
Hot Teams
-- Jazz won five of their last seven games.
-- Miami is 9-1-1 vs spread in its last eleven games.
-- Wizards won eight of last ten games, but had tough win in OT at Staples Center last night.
-- Mavericks are 17-3 in their last twenty games.
Cold Teams
-- Warriors, playing fourth game in five nights, are 3-7 in last 10. Nets lost eleven of their last fifteen games.
-- No idea if Knick players wil be suspended Monday; they may be without Jeffries, Robinson and three others; they're 5-11 at home this season.
-- Hornets lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Seattle lost last four games by 1,15,22,4 points. Memphis lost six in row and nine of last ten games.
-- Denver is 3-4 in last seven games; no idea if they'll have guys suspended for tonight's game.
-- Sacramento lost seven of its last nine games.
Series Records
-- Home side won both Warrior-Net games LY, with Golden St losing 118-90 in the Swamp.
-- Knicks beat Jazz twice LY, by 11,8 points, holding Utah to 62 points in the game in Salt Lake City.
-- Home side won last three Miami-Hornet games.
-- Grizzlies won three of four vs Seattle LY, winning by 4,1,25 pts
-- Visiting team won both Washington-Denver games last year.
-- Mavericks won four of last five games vs Sacramento.
Back-to-Back Situations
-- Warriors are 4-2 vs spread if they played the day/night before.
-- Utah is 2-3 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Seattle covered both times they played second consecutive night on the road.
-- Wizards are 2-3 if they played the night before.
Totals
-- Over is 12-3 in Golden State's last fourteen games.
-- Eight of last nine Utah road games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in Hornets' last eleven games.
-- Six of last seven Seattle games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Washington games went over the total.
-- Under is 13-3 in Mavericks' last sixteen games.
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NHL
Write-up
Hot Teams
-- Red Wings won seven of last nine games.
-- Anaheim won five of its last six games. Flames won six of last nine games.
Cold Teams
-- Columbus lost last two games, allowing eleven goals.
Series Records
-- Detroit won eight of last nine games vs Columbus.
-- Home side won both Anaheim-Calgary games this season.
Back-to-Back Situations
-- Calgary is 0-3 when it plays again the next night.
Totals
-- Under is 18-8-6 in Detroit games this season.
-- Four of last five Anaheim games went over the total.
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