Monday Trends and Indexes 12/11

[djmauiboy]

NCAAB

Miami is 5-3, but 4-0 at home, beating four cupcakes; they're 5-0 if they score 71+ points, 0-3 if they don't.

Mississippi State is 5-2; they pounded South Alabama by 38 Saturday. SEC road dogs are 5-5 vs spread; ACC home favorites are 21-12.

Eastern Washington got first road win in five tries Saturday at Portland, drilling Pilots 87-66; EWU is 4-4 overall.

Santa Clara had terrific win at Pacific Saturday; Broncos won four of its last five games. WCC home favorites are 11-8 vs spread. Road dogs from Big Sky are 16-15 vs spread.

[djmauiboy]

NCAAB

MISSISSIPPI ST (5 - 2) at MIAMI (6 - 3) - 12/11/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


E WASHINGTON (5 - 4) at SANTA CLARA (6 - 3) - 12/11/2006, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SANTA CLARA is 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
SANTA CLARA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

PORTLAND (8 - 14) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 14) - 12/11/2006, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 43-61 ATS (-24.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-49 ATS (-20.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




PHOENIX (13 - 6) at ORLANDO (15 - 7) - 12/11/2006, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 66-52 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 30-47 ATS (-21.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




MEMPHIS (5 - 15) at NEW JERSEY (7 - 12) - 12/11/2006, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 95-61 ATS (+27.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 2-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-1 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




TORONTO (7 - 13) at MIAMI (8 - 11) - 12/11/2006, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




BOSTON (6 - 13) at NEW YORK (8 - 14) - 12/11/2006, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




CLEVELAND (12 - 7) at NEW ORLEANS (9 - 10) - 12/11/2006, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 68-50 ATS (+13.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




INDIANA (11 - 11) at CHICAGO (10 - 10) - 12/11/2006, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




DALLAS (14 - 6) at UTAH (15 - 5) - 12/11/2006, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 63-44 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 24-7 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 111-77 ATS (+26.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




SAN ANTONIO (15 - 6) at LA CLIPPERS (10 - 9) - 12/11/2006, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

PITTSBURGH (12-12-0-4, 28 pts.) at WASHINGTON (13-10-0-6, 32 pts.) - 12/11/2006, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)




CAROLINA (15-12-0-4, 34 pts.) at COLORADO (13-14-0-2, 28 pts.) - 12/11/2006, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 232-204 ATS (+232.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
COLORADO is 2-7 ATS (+2.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
COLORADO is 88-89 ATS (-92.8 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
COLORADO is 52-53 ATS (-62.0 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




PHOENIX (11-16-0-1, 23 pts.) at SAN JOSE (21-9-0-0, 42 pts.) - 12/11/2006, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 60-52 ATS (+124.7 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1996.
PHOENIX is 86-75 ATS (+169.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-3 (+5.9 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-3-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.5 Units)

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, December 11th

Portland at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
Portland: 10-22 ATS after having 15 or less assists
Philadelphia: 5-1 Over playing their third game in four days

Phoenix at Orlando, 7:05 EST
Phoenix: 20-9 ATS after playing as a road favorite
Orlando: 15-29 ATS off BB Unders

Memphis at New Jersey, 7:35 EST
Memphis: 31-11 ATS away after playing as a home underdog
New Jersey: 22-8 Under off 4+ home games

Toronto at Miami, 7:35 EST
Toronto: 6-1 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games
Miami: 3-7 ATS off a road game

Boston at New York, 7:35 EST
Boston: 0-7 ATS off a road game
New York: 27-13 Over playing their second game in five days

Cleveland at New Orleans, 8:05 EST NBATV
Cleveland: 13-4 ATS away off BB home games
New Orleans: 10-22 ATS off a road loss

Indiana at Chicago, 8:35 EST
Indiana: 5-1 Under off a loss by 30+ points
Chicago: 8-2 ATS off a home loss by 10+ points

Dallas at Utah, 9:05 EST
Dallas: 24-7 ATS away after scoring 105+ points
Utah: 14-4 Over after allowing 110+ points

San Antonio at LA Clippers, 9:05 EST
San Antonio: 6-17 ATS after making 50%+ of their three-point shots
LA Clippers: 15-5 ATS at home off BB road games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Monday, December 11th

Pittsburgh at Washington, 7:05 EST VER
Pittsburgh: 3-19 SU off BB road games
Washington: 9-1 Over after scoring 5+ goals

Carolina at Colorado, 9:35 EST
Carolina: 0-9 SU vs. Colorado
Colorado: 57-27 SU after losing 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

Phoenix at San Jose, 10:05 EST
Phoenix: 24-14 Over playing with same-season revenge
San Jose: 49-24 SU off a win

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Monday, December 11th

Mississippi State at Miami FL, 7:00 EST
Mississippi State: 3-10 ATS after allowing 55 points or less
Miami FL: 7-1 ATS vs. SEC opponents


Added Game:

Eastern Washington at Santa Clara, 10:00 EST
Eastern Washington: 13-5 ATS off a road game
Santa Clara: 3-12 ATS in December

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Mississippi State at Miami (FL)
After dropping back-to-back games to Winthrop and Clemson, the Bulldogs have won three straight over Charlotte (78-69), Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (96-72) and South Alabama (84-46). Rick Stansbury has been getting strong play out of Jamont Gordon, who came up just a rebound short of his third triple-double of the season against South Alabama. The Hurricanes have won two straight with a win over Georgia Tech, but prior to that had lost three of four, including losses against lower-rated Cleveland State and Buffalo. Inconsistency could catch the 'Canes here and allow the hot Bulldogs to come away with the upset according to Dunkel, which has Mississippi State favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+2). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 11
Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST

Game 719-720: Mississippi State at Miami (FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 67.803; Miami (FL) 67.017
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 1
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+2)

Game 721-722: Eastern Washington at Santa Clara
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 56.760; Santa Clara 63.006
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 6
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 5
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (-5)

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

San Antonio at LA Clippers
The Spurs have lost back-to-back games only once this season and look to avoid that pitfall tonight against the Clippers, a team they beat by 29 (111-82) on Friday. Overall San Antonio owns a 30-4 record against Los Angeles since 1997. The Spurs look like a good pick to cover the Vegas line (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has San Antonio favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 11
Time Posted: 11:30 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Portland at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 111.371; Philadelphia 114.304
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+3 1/2); Under

Game 703-704: Phoenix at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 123.468; Orlando 118.711
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 4 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 1 1/2; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Memphis at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 114.060; New Jersey 118.347
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 4 1/2; 192 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 8; 186
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+8); Over

Game 707-708: Toronto at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 115.277; Miami 118.288
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 3; 196 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 8; 193
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+8); Over

Game 709-710: Boston at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 114.300; New York 119.900
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 5 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-3 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: Cleveland at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 118.636; New Orleans 112.328
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 6 1/2; 175 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 4; 182 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-4); Under

Game 713-714: Indiana at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 114.775; Chicago 120.630
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 6; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 8 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+8 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Dallas at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 123.386; Utah 122.168
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 183 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pick; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas; Under

Game 717-718: San Antonio at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.606; LA Clippers 121.126
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 5 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 2 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-2 1/2); Neutral

[pm530]

NHL
Dunkel

Carolina at Colorado
Carolina has dropped three straight on its western road trip, but did show some offensive spark in its last game with 39 shots and three goals in a 4-3 overtime loss to Vancouver. The Avalanche haven't been much better as they've dropped three of their last four overall and are just 6-7-1 at home. The Hurricanes look like a good pick with the goal line in this one according to Dunkel, which has Colorado favored straight up by just 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 11

Game 1-2: Pittsburgh at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.358; Washington 12.771
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

Game 3-4: Carolina at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 12.160; Colorado 12.715
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+1 1/2); Under

Game 5-6: Phoenix at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.562; San Jose 13.132
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

[Udog]

Six-Pack for Monday

The Vince Young edition

-- Young's 39-yard TD run in OT is the low point for Texan franchise that hasn't had many high points. He looked like Michael Vick with a fullback's body.
-- I mean, not only did Titans bolt Houston for Tennessee, they drafted Young, a Houston native, and now he looks like he will be a big star for years to come.
-- When I was in Houston last April, the week before NFL Draft, I asked every Houston resident I met who Texans should draft; 17 of 19 said Young, two said Reggie Bush.
-- Young is now 6-4 as starter, and after 0-5 start, Titans are 6-7 and would be a playoff team if they were in the NFC.
-- Jerry Jones had his eye on Jeff Fisher as replacement for Parcells, should Tuna decide to retire, but now I doubt the Titans are letting their free agent coach go anywhere.
-- So Houston might someday be known as the city whose teams passed on both Michael Jordan, Vince Young. Ugh.

[Udog]

Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a busy sports weekend

13) Jacksonville scored 27 points in 9:38 span of second and third quarters to hand Colts their third loss in four games.

12) Not only did Jaguars run for unheard-of 375 yards, they ran opening kick of second half back for TD, blocked punt as they moved back into a playoff spot, if season ended now.

11) There were five 7-5 teams tied for two Wild Card spots; three of the five teams lost, leaving Jags, Bengals at 8-5. Next week's Monday night game is good one-- Bengals at Colts.

10) Then there are the Saints, a well-oiled offensive machine if I've ever seen one. Drew Brees is like a great point guard; he distributes ball all over to field, to whomever is open.

9) All of which makes Dallas at Atlanta Saturday night a huge game, and it is only on the NFL Network, which will help bars that show the games, but aggravate a lot of people.

8) Atlanta's receivers aren't good at catching thrown footballs

7) And when Ashley Lelie made couple of difficult catches to finally do his job, he acted like he was Jerry Rice, strutting on the field. Hey, act like you've made a tough catch before. The Falcon WRs are very immature and don't help their QB much.

6) Monday night losers are now 3-11 in their next game, and Monday night winners are 9-4.

5) Jim Nantz has the best job in America: he did basketball at Anaheim Saturday (Texas A&M-UCLA) then did football in San Diego (Chargers-Broncos) Sunday. Thats a good job.

4) There were no AFC-NFC games this week, for the first time since Week 2. AFC teams have been dominating the series.

3) Carolina had ball for 14 drives Sunday, but started 10 times at least 80 yards from Giant end zone, which is why their 463 total yards is little misleading-- they were working on longer field than Giants the whole game.

2) Detroit had six turnovers Sunday, as mystified fans have to be asking themselves how in God's name Matt Millen is still employed by the Lions. 24 of Minnesota's 30 points came on drives that started in Detroit territory.

1) Congrats to Mr Tomlinson on setting the TD record. Now I can see why Eli Manning didn't want to play for the Chargers actually, I don't see it at all. He seems even dumber now; who wouldn't want to live, work and play in San Diego?.

How about a Chargers-Saints Super Bowl?