Sunday Trends and Indexes 11/19

[Udog]

No problem, Dennis! Good luck today!!!

NCAABB

Sunday, November 19th

Illinois Chicago at Bradley, 3:00 EST
Illinois Chicago: 8-1 Over after allowing 80 points or more
Bradley: 7-0 ATS at home off a double-digit win

UL Monroe at LSU, 4:00 EST
UL Monroe: 4-1 ATS in all lined games
LSU: 11-3 Under at home vs. non-conf. opponents

New Mexico State at Arizona, 4:00 EST
New Mexico State: 13-3 ATS off an Under
Arizona: 0-6 ATS with BB games with 19+ assists

New Orleans at Florida State, 5:00 EST
New Orleans: 0-6 ATS Away in November
Florida State: 13-3 ATS playing only their 3rd game in a week

Wisconsin-Milwaukee at Northern Iowa, 5:05 EST
Wisconsin-Milwaukee: 19-7 ATS in road games
Northern Iowa: 6-0 Under at home in November

Massachusetts at Northeastern, 2:00 EST
Massachusetts: 16-5 Over in the 2nd of BB road games
Northeastern: 1-6 ATS after a loss by 15+ points

Old Dominion at Georgetown, 6:00 EST
Old Dominion: 0-8 ATS after allowing 55 points or less
Georgetown: 6-0 Under on a neutral court

Yale at Ohio, 3:00 EST
Yale: 11-3 Under vs. non-conference teams
Ohio: 6-0 ATS after scoring 80+ points

Towson St. at Kansas, 8:00 EST
Towson State: 1-5 ATS as a road underdog of 24.5 to 30 points
Kansas: 8-0 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5

Oregon State at Hawaii, 10:05 EST
Oregon State: 1-8 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog
Hawaii: 6-0 Under as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points

Top Of The World Classic
Fairbanks, AK


Centenary at Rhode Island, 2:00 EST
Centenary: n/a
Rhode Island: 1-6 ATS in November

Troy State at Drake, 4:30 EST
Troy State: 5-1 Under playing their 2nd road game in 3 days
Drake: 11-25 ATS playing with one days rest

SE Missouri St. at Alaska Fairbanks, 4:30 EST
SE Missouri St:
Alaska Fairbanks:

Weber State at Utah State, 10:00 EST
Weber State: 9-2 ATS off BB covers
Utah State: 12-5 Over after scoring 75+ points BB games

America's Youth Classic
Evansville, IN


Cleveland State at Miami Florida, 2:00 EST
Cleveland State: 10-2 Under Away after playing BB games as an underdog
Miami Florida: 7-0 Under Away after a loss by 6 points or less

Buffalo at Evansville, 4:15 EST
Buffalo: 19-5 ATS Away after having won 3 of their last 4 games
Evansville: 6-0 Under at home off a win

Central Arkansas at Fairfield, 5:30 EST
Central Arkansas: n/a
Fairfield: n/a

Mississippi at Connecticut (Hartford), 8:00 EST
Mississippi: 0-6 ATS playing with one days rest
Connecticut: 6-1 ATS in November

Paradise Jam
Virgin Islands University


Iowa at Alabama, 6:00 EST
Iowa: 25-12 ATS in tournament games
Alabama: 11-1 Under Away off BB wins

Xavier at Villanova, 8:30 EST
Xavier: 11-2 Under Away after playing a game as an underdog
Villanova: 17-6 ATS as neutral court underdog or pick

Shelby Metcalf Classic
College Station, TX


Lamar at Louisiana Tech, 4:00 EST
Lamar: 12-5 ATS as an underdog
Louisiana Tech: 5-15 ATS in tournament games

St Louis at Texas A&M, 6:30 EST
St Louis: 16-4 ATS off a SU win/ATS loss
Texas A&M: 7-26 ATS off BB home games

Davidson at Missouri, 2:00 EST
Davidson: 18-8 ATS off an Over
Missouri: 3-16 ATS as a favorite

Furman at Bowling Green, 2:00 EST
Furman: 10-24 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
Bowling Green: 13-4 ATS at home off BB non-conference games

Murray State at Southern Illinois, 3:05 EST
Murray State: 3-11 ATS off a home win
Southern Illinois: 9-1 ATS off a home win

Florida Atlantic at Marist, 4:00 EST
Florida Atlantic: n/a
Marist: 18-7 ATS off a double-digit win

The Citadel at Notre Dame, 4:00 EST
The Citadel: 0-6 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Notre Dame: 12-4 ATS off an Over

Montana State at Idaho, 7:00 EST
Montana State: 15-3 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points
Idaho: 0-6 ATS off BB non-conference games

Tennessee St. at Western Kentucky, 3:00 EST
Tennessee St: n/a
Western Kentucky: 11-3 ATS at home off a road win

Sacramento State at Washington, 4:00 EST
Sacramento State: 6-0 Over off BB games with 10+ steals
Washington: 6-0 Over after a game with 9 or less assists

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[djmauiboy]

Nfl Injuries

NFL injury watch: Polamalu in, Lewis out

Patriots hurting on defense

Reports out of New England today indicate safeties Rodney Harrison (shoulder) and Eugene Wilson (hamstring) as well as cornerback Asante Samuel (knee) will not play when the Patriots visit Green Bay as 5 ½-point favorites.

Chad Scott is expected to start in Samuel’s place, with James Sanders taking Wilson’s position and Artrell Hawkins filling in for Harrison. Backup wide receiver Troy Brown could also see time at cornerback.

Starting tight end Daniel Graham is questionable with a sore ankle, but is expected to start.

Favre to start

Green Bay quarterback Brett Favre was bothered by ankle and groin problems all week, but will reportedly start against the Patriots.

“His groin really bothered him,” Packers coach Mike McCarthy told reporters after Friday’s practice.

Carr ready to go

The Texans expect to have David Carr at quarterback when they host the Bills as 2 ½-point favorites. Carr has been bothered by a sore right shoulder, but practiced Friday and appeared healthy enough to start today.

Starting fullback Jameel Cook (knee) is also expected to start, as are starting defensive ends Mario Williams (foot) and Anthony Weaver (knee).

Bills running back out

Buffalo will be without starting running back Willis McGahee when it hosts Houston. McGahee reportedly has broken ribs, and will be replaced by backup running back Anthony Thomas.

Ray Lewis out for Ravens

The Ravens won’t have Ray Lewis (back) in the lineup when they host Atlanta as 3 ½-point favorites.

Bart Scott is reportedly set to take Lewis’ spot in the lineup.

Polamalu ready to go

The Steelers expect safety Troy Polamalu to start when they visit the Browns today.

Polamalu suffered a concussion in last week’s game with New Orleans, and was originally thought to be unavailable for the Cleveland tilt. It is the sixth concussion he has suffered (three in college, two in high school), but Polamalu isn’t losing any sleep over it.

“It was no big deal,” Polamalu told reporters. “I feel good enough to go.”

The Steelers are 3 ½-point favorites in Cleveland.

Green returns for Chiefs

Trent Green returns to the Chiefs lineup today when they host Oakland as 9-point favorites. Green takes over at quarterback for Damon Huard, who returns to the sidelines after eight consecutive starts.

The Chiefs could be without starting tight end Tony Gonzalez (shoulder), giving Jason Dunn the start at the position. Even if Gonzalez suits up for this one, he is expected to see limited action.

Brooks is back

Aaron Brooks is expected to start at quarterback for the Raiders today. Brooks has not played since Sept. 11 because of a strained pectoral muscle.

Raiders starting running back LaMont Jordan has a sore back, but is expected to play against Kansas City. Starting fullback Zack Crockett is bothered by a knee injury, but is also expected to suit up today.

Berrian questionable

Early media reports this morning indicate the Bears will start Mark Bradley ahead of Bernard Berrian today when they visit the Jets as 6 ½-point favorites.

Berrian is expected to be a game-time decision, and if he does play he is likely to see limited action, according to various media reports.

Alexander returns?

Reports indicate Shaun Alexander will likely see time at running back for the Seahawks today when they travel to San Francisco as 3 ½-point favorites.

Starting quarterback Matt Hasselbeck remains out of the lineup, meaning Seneca Wallace will start again at QB.

Moss out

The Redskins don’t expect receiver Santana Moss to play today due to an ailing hamstring.

Antwaan Randle El is expected to take his place in the starting lineup.

Washington is a 3-point underdog at Tampa Bay. Droughns out for underdog Browns

Running back Reuben Droughns is expected to be inactive when the Cleveland Browns host the Steelers as 4-point underdogs today.

Droughns has been wearing a protective boot on his sprained foot this week, and has not recovered enough to play in today’s contest. The Browns had been listed at +3 ½ for most of this week, but news of his status seems to be pushing the odds up at most online books.

[Udog]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Lakers won five of six at home (by 8,6,7,10,7 points).
-- San Antonio won six of their last seven games. Kings are 4-0 at home, winning by 12,13,15,4 points.

Cold Teams
-- Bulls lost three in row, six of last eight games.

Series Records
-- Road teams won both Chicago-Laker games last season.
-- Spurs beat Sacramento in six games in playoffs last spring; they split four games at Arco Arena last year).

Totals
-- Five of last six Chicago games went over the total.
-- Last three Sacramento games went over the total.

[Udog]

NHL

Hot Teams
-- Lightning won four of their last five games.
-- Blackhawks won three of last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Rangers lost three of last four games, scoring six goals.
-- Anaheim lost three of last four games, allowing sixteen goals. Coyotes lost seven of their eight road games.
-- Vancouver lost six of their last eight games.

Series Records
-- Lightning, Rangers split four games LY (1-1 in each rink).
-- Anaheim is 2-0 vs Phoenix this season, winning 2-1/6-2.
-- Canucks beat Chicago 5-0 Oct.25, their fifth straight win vs the Blackhawks.

Totals
-- Last four Ranger games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Anaheim games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Chicago games stayed under the total.

[Udog]

NCAABB

-- Bradley lost three starters from 22-11 team, but they beat won 78-58 vs DePaul in opener. Illinois-Chicago has four starters back from LY-- they lost 100-89 at Davidson, in game that was tied at half, 39-39.
-- LSU pounded road-weary Nicholls State 96-42 in their opener Friday; Tigers have three starters back from their Final 4 team. UL-Monroe went 2-1 in Iowa St tourney, losing to hosts 68-40
-- New Mexico State lost 71-69 at LMU Friday, after beat Pacific by hoop in their opener; will take while for transfers to mesh in their rotation. Arizona beat Northern Arizona 101-79 after losing its opener at Virginia, 93-90.
-- New Orleans is 1-3 after losing by 14 at Tulane during week; they have new coachand two new starters. Florida State won its first three games by 20,14,7 points (McNeese, Ill. State, SMU).
-- Northern Iowa went 2-1 in Seattle, beating Nicholls State and Pepperdine, losing by 9 at Washington. Wisc-Milwaukee lost 66-59 at Michigan, their third straight loss after losing pair of home games, to UAB,Washington State.
-- UMass lost by 17 to Pitt Saturday, but beat Oakland Friday. Northeastern lost by 15 to Oakland Saturday, after losing to Pitt Friday. UMass is 4-10 vs spread in last 14 November games.
-- Old Dominion is 3-1 so far, losing 74-70 to Clemson last week. Georgetown got solid 86-70 win at Vanderbilt during week; they have one of better big men in country, and covered nine of last eleven games they've played.
-- Yale coach Jones is former Ohio U assistant; his Bulldogs are
7-15 vs spread on road last two years. Bobcats are 27-11 vs the spread at home the last three years- they hammered pretty good Marist team int heir opener.
-- Kansas lost 78-71 to Oral Roberts during week, so could be a long day for Towson State, but Tigers were 8-3 vs spread on the road LY, and beat Samford 69-62 in last game Thursday. Would expect strong effort by Jayhawks here.
-- Oregon State lost at home to SE Louisiana and Nevada, now head out on road, where they've covered only 11 of 29 last two seasons. Hawai'i lost at UNLV during week; they're only 20-27 vs spread at home the last three years, but 10-5 in its November games overall.

-- Weber State has whole new team, new coach; they needed an OT to beat Fairbanks, the host team, but then upset Troy on Sat Utah State beat Centenary 77-71 Friday, then hammered Drake last night- they beat Weber State 69-60 last year, on road (-12.5).
-- Troy St likes to run; they beat URI 84-78 in first round., lost 81-78 to Auburn in its opener. Drake has four starters back from LY; they were down 25 at half to Utah State yesterday.
-- Evansville lost tough game at home to Miami Friday, 74-69, but beat Cleveland State by 14 Sat; Aces are 1-2 despite having all five starters back. Buffalo upset Miami yesterday 60-57 (+8), so they're 2-0 so far this weekend.
-- Cleveland St lost 77-73 to Buffalo, then by 14 at Evansville; they have new coach, but return five of top six scorers. Miami is breaking in new starting Gs; got road win Friday at Evansville, lost to Buffalo Saturday.
-- UConn basically has whole new team; very talented, very raw-they beat Central Arkansas by 29, Fairfield by 25,but struggled vs Quinnipiac in opener. Ole Miss is 4-0 under Kennedy, bu tis way up in class here. .

-- Alabama struggled with Middle Tennessee Friday, but one of their best players missed game because his girlfreind died-- he is expected back for this game. Iowa lost four of top six scorers, but easily beat pretty good Toledo squad Friday.
-- Xavier-Villanova is early season heavyweight battle; X-men have all five starters back from 21-11 team, while Villanova has more balanace after playing four guards much of last season. Villanova was more impressive Friday, for what its worth.
-- Saint Louis won its first three games by 24,22,13 pts; Billikens have four starters back from LY. Texas A&M won by 34 Friday, by 16 Saturday; this will be an interesting game. .

-- Missouri lost 82-73 at Davidson LY (+6.5), but Wildcats have lot of new players, while Mizzou has whole new system, with former UAB coach Anderson bringing his pressing style into Big 12. Mizzou beat Lipscomb by 20 in last game Thursday.
-- Bowling Green is 0-4-1 vs spread in last five home games and lost its opener 64-54 at Arkansas State. Furman lost 67-58 this week at Clemson, just their fourth cover in last 11 November tilts
-- Southern Illinois has ton of guys back from team that won by 4 (57-53) at Murray State LY (+6). Racers struggling under new coach; they only beat Belhaven by a point on Thursday, 73-72.
-- Florida Atlantic has nine new players, new coach and an 0-3 record, losing by 45,15,15 points- they lost at home to Marist LY 84-75. Red Foxes split pair of one-sided road games to start year
-- Citadel lost by 22 at Iowa, by 32 at Michigan State; they are 14-20 vs spread in last 34 road games. Notre Dame lost to Butler last week; they're 19-29 vs spread in last 48 home games.
-- Montana State beat Idaho LY 79-69 (-12) in Bracket Buster tilt in Bozeman. Overis 19-11 in their games last 2+ years. Idaho is
9-14 vs spread at home last two years, but they have covered their last four November games.
-- Western Kentucky had great road win at Georgia this week; Hilltoppers are 19-14 vs spread at home last two yrs. Tennessee State covered eight of last nine when getting eight or more pts.
-- Washington has young team that is bigger than recent UW teams; they're opening with seven home games, to get some experience before hitting road. .Sacaramento St covered seven of last nine when dog of 8+ points.

[djmauiboy]

NBA DUNKEL

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 19

Game 701-702: Chicago at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 117.539; LA Lakers 116.455
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 200
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: San Antonio at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 122.663; Sacramento 122.763
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 189 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3; 187
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+3); Over

[pm530]

Dunkel Index – NHL

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 19

Tampa Bay at NY Rangers
Tampa has been a tough draw on the road so far with a 5-2-1 record away from St. Pete Times Forum. The Lightning are coming off a 3-2 shootout win over the Islanders on Friday for their fourth win in five overall. Meanwhile New York dropped a 3-1 decision to Pittsburgh on Saturday for the Rangers' third loss in four games. The Lightning look like a good underdog play here according to Dunkel, which has Tampa Bay favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

Game 1-2: Tampa Bay at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.635; NY Rangers 11.136
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+1 1/2); Under

Game 3-4: Phoenix at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 9.767; Anaheim 13.022
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 3 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-1 1/2); Over

Game 5-6: Chicago at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.815; Vancouver 11.756
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+1 1/2); Under

[Udog]

Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up Rivalry Saturday:

13) When Ohio State gave Troy Smith his scholarship, it was last one they gave out that year, so not like they had any idea he was going to be this good.

12) Maryland coach Friedgen played ball at Maryland; BC's coach O'Brien went to Navy. Both guys were recruited to the college of their choice by assistant coach named Lee Corso.

11) If polls are going penalize teams for losses late in season, why should Ohio State-Michigan be played in November?

10) Amazing coaching job at Rice, where Owls won five in a row, are bowl eligible after being 1-10 last year. Not only have Owls won five in row, they were underdog in four of them, and only 3-point favorite yesterday.

9) Rough day for Cinderalla Saturday, as Rutgers, Maryland and Wake Forest all lost badly.

8) Boston College had two defensive TDs vs Terps before the BC offense hit the field.

7) What exactly is the design on Michigan's helmets? I know Delaware used to have same design, with a lighter shade of blue, but all these years, and I don't know what it is.

6) You get the idea Mike Shula might not have the best of off seasons. He probably needs to win big next year.

5) LSU was down 20-14 with 0:30 left vs Ole Miss; they score a TD, but the PAT is blocked, forcing OT. Strange how Ole Miss always plays well at Baton Rouge, but not that often in any of their other road games. LSU won the game in OT.

4) When he was Ohio State's coach, John Cooper was 2-10-1 vs Michigan; ESPN's Kirk Herbstreit was Buckeyes' QB for the 13-13 tie in his only season as Ohio State's starting QB.

3) Total yardage in TCU-San Diego State games;TCU 623, San Diego State 88. Rough first year for Coach Long, but how in the name of Marshall Faulk did Aztecs get so bad?

2) If I were Steve Spurrier, I'd say no to Miami and stay in Columbia; he's just about finished cleaning up mess that Lou Holtz built at South Carolina; why does he need to clean up an even bigger mess?

1) Life is simple if USC wins the next two games. This get bit more complex if they lose, especially with Arkansas, Florida both having two tough games left. I think Michigan being in clubhouse with one loss blocks Notre Dame from title game, since Wolverines hammered ND, 47-21.