Sunday Trends and Indexes 11/19

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Trends and Indexes for Sunday, November 19

Have a great Sunday!

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Dunkel Index - Pro Football

Dunkel Index – NFL

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 19

San Diego at Denver
There may not be a more dangerous offensive team than San Diego right now. LaDanian Tomlinson (18 TDs) has been running wild and is on a pace to break Shaun Alexander's single-season record of 28 TDs in a season. He already broke the record for TDs over a five-game span (15) previously held by Jim Brown. And the offense showed last week that no deficit is too big to dig out of when they overcame a 21-point margin against the Bengals by scoring 42 points in the second half. Of course those numbers will be nearly impossible to replicate against a Denver defense that has allowed a league-low 12.3 points per game. But the Bronco offense (17.6 points per game) continues to be anemic at times as was the case last week in Denver's 17-13 win over Oakland in which Jake Plummer threw three INTs. The Broncos proved to be unable to keep up with the Indianapolis offense earlier this year. With San Diego's offense equal or better right now, the Chargers look like a solid pick getting the Vegas line (+3) according to Dunkel, which has San Diego favored straight up by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+3). Here are all of this week's games.


Game 211-212: Oakland at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 123.566; Kansas City 129.791
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 6; 32
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 9 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+9 1/2); Under

Game 213-214: Indianapolis at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 134.878; Dallas 132.389
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 2 1/2; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: Dallas by 1; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+1); Under

Game 215-216: Cincinnati at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 130.628; New Orleans 128.184
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3 1/2); Over

Game 217-218: Pittsburgh at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 130.748; Cleveland 123.366
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 7 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3 1/2); Under

Game 219-220: Tennessee at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 118.956; Philadelphia 131.984
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 13; 45
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 13; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

Game 221-222: Atlanta at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 126.748; Baltimore 132.818
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 6; 40 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-3 1/2); Under

Game 223-224: St. Louis at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 122.392; Carolina 128.390
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 6; 47
Vegas Line: Carolina by 6 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+6 1/2); Over

Game 225-226: Buffalo at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 124.970; Houston 120.050
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 5; 37 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston by 3; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+3); Over

Game 227-228: New England at Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: New England 134.514; Green Bay 122.426
Dunkel Line: New England by 12; 43
Vegas Line: New England by 5 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: New England (-5 1/2); Under

Game 229-230: Washington at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 124.824; Tampa Bay 124.902
Dunkel Line: Even; 35
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 33
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3); Over

Game 231-232: Chicago at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 136.740; NY Jets 125.437
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 11 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Chicago by 6; 38
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-6); Over

Game 233-234: Minnesota at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 123.843; Miami 127.276
Dunkel Line: Miami by 3 1/2; 36 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami by 3; 33 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-3); Over

Game 235-236: Detroit at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 119.650; Arizona 122.559
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 3; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona by 2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-2); Under

Game 237-238: Seattle at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 128.072; San Francisco 118.331
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 10; 44
Vegas Line: Seattle by 3; 43
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-3); Over

Game 239-240: San Diego at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 135.819; Denver 132.430
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 3 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Denver by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+3); Over


MONDAY, NOVEMBER 20

Game 241-242: NY Giants at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 133.391; Jacksonville 132.873
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 37
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 4; 38
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+4); Under

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Star Rated Trends - NFL

5 Star Trends
Denver (-2 ½) is 19-2 SU last 21 division home games (hosting San Diego)
Indy (-1) is 11-1 SU & 9-2-1 ATS last 12 on the road (visiting Dallas)
Cincinnati is 0-5-1 ATS last 6 (visiting New Orleans)

4 Star Trends
Miami is 7-21 ATS last 28 at home (hosting Minnesota)
Oakland is 13-28-1 ATS its last 42 as an underdog (visiting Kansas City)
Cincinnati is 6-12-1 ATS last 19 as an underdog
Cincinnati is also 2-7 ATS last 9 non-conference road games
NY Jets are 14-21-3 ATS their last 38 games as an underdog (hosting Chicago)
Baltimore is 13-7 ATS last 18 at home (hosting Atlanta)
New England is 33-17-1 ATS last 51 as a favorite (visiting Green Bay)
New England is also 4-0 SU & ATS on the road
Green Bay is 5-14-2 ATS last 21 at home
Detroit is 1-7 ATS last 8 on the road (visiting Arizona)
NY Giants are 4-1 SU & ATS last 5 on the road (visiting Jacksonville)
Baltimore is 4-0 OVER the total the last 4 games since opening up the offense
Buffalo is 7-2 UNDER the total this season (visiting Houston)
Tennessee is 7-2 OVER the total this season (visiting Philadelphia)

3 Star Trends
Cleveland is 13-21 ATS last 34 as an underdog (hosting Pittsburgh)
Pittsburgh is 14-9 ATS last 23 on the road
Philadelphia is 25-19 ATS last 44 at home
St. Louis is 9-14 ATS last 23 on the road (visiting Carolina)
Carolina is 12-18 ATS last 30 at home

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NFL Football Trends

Sunday, November 19

Oakland at Kansas City, 1:00 EST
Oakland: 5-13 ATS vs. conference opponents
Kansas City: 10-2 ATS as a favorite

(TC) Indianapolis at Dallas, 4:15 EST
Indianapolis: 9-2 ATS in road games
Dallas: 8-1 Over with a line of +3 to -3

Cincinnati at New Orleans, 1:00 EST
Cincinnati: 1-5 ATS vs. NFC South opponents
New Orleans: 6-0 Under at home off BB road games

Pittsburgh at Cleveland, 1:00 EST
Pittsburgh: 9-2 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Cleveland: 6-17 ATS off a win by 6 points or less

Tennessee at Philadelphia, 1:00 EST
Tennessee: 4-13 ATS off a combined score of 50+ points
Philadelphia: 7-0 ATS off BB home games

Atlanta at Baltimore, 1:00 EST
Atlanta: 11-3 Under away off a home game
Baltimore: 7-0 ATS off a road win by 3 points or less

St. Louis at Carolina, 1:00 EST
St. Louis: 5-1 ATS vs. conference opponents
Carolina: 5-1 Over vs. NFC West opponents

Buffalo at Houston, 1:00 EST
Buffalo: 6-0 Under off a straight up loss
Houston: 5-15 ATS off a straight up win

New England at Green Bay, 1:00 EST
New England: 6-0 ATS away off a loss
Green Bay: 0-6 ATS at home off an Under

Washington at Tampa Bay, 1:00 EST
Washington: 6-1 ATS off a loss by 14+ points
Tampa Bay: 25-9 Under vs. NFC East opponents

Chicago at NY Jets, 1:00 EST
Chicago: 6-0 Over off a straight up win
NY Jets: 14-2 Over off a division game

Minnesota at Miami, 1:00 EST
Minnesota: 3-14 ATS away off a division loss
Miami: 9-2 Under at home off a home game

Detroit at Arizona 4:05 EST
Detroit: 0-4 ATS off a home game
Arizona: 31-15 ATS at home off BB losses

Seattle at San Francisco, 4:05 EST
Seattle: 6-0 Over off a home division win
San Francisco: 2-9 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games

(TC) San Diego at Denver, 8:15 EST NBC
San Diego: 15-5 ATS in road games
Denver: 8-0 Under at home off a division game

Monday, November 20

NY Giants at Jacksonville, 8:30 EST ESPN
NY Giants: 1-5 ATS off BB ATS losses
Jacksonville: 11-2 ATS after scoring 14 points or less

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

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The following courtesy of "Udog" !!

Six NFL trends for Week 11

-- Eagles covered one of last nine at home vs AFC teams.


-- Steelers are 15-5-2 vs spread in divisional road games.


-- Packers are 2-7-1 vs spread when facing the AFC.


-- Baltimore is 21-8 vs spread at home vs non-divison foes.


-- Rams are 2-8 vs spread as non-divisional road dog.


-- Chargers are 4-10-2 vs spread in last 16 trips to Denver.



NFL - Long Sheet

Pro Football Trend Report

OAKLAND (2 - 7) at KANSAS CITY (5 - 4) - 11/19/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 4-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




INDIANAPOLIS (9 - 0) at DALLAS (5 - 4) - 11/19/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




CINCINNATI (4 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (6 - 3) - 11/19/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




PITTSBURGH (3 - 6) at CLEVELAND (3 - 6) - 11/19/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




TENNESSEE (2 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 4) - 11/19/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




ATLANTA (5 - 4) at BALTIMORE (7 - 2) - 11/19/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




ST LOUIS (4 - 5) at CAROLINA (5 - 4) - 11/19/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




BUFFALO (3 - 6) at HOUSTON (3 - 6) - 11/19/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NEW ENGLAND (6 - 3) at GREEN BAY (4 - 5) - 11/19/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




WASHINGTON (3 - 6) at TAMPA BAY (2 - 7) - 11/19/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




CHICAGO (8 - 1) at NY JETS (5 - 4) - 11/19/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




MINNESOTA (4 - 5) at MIAMI (3 - 6) - 11/19/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games off a loss against a division rival since 1992.
MIAMI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games where the total is 35 or less over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




DETROIT (2 - 7) at ARIZONA (1 - 8) - 11/19/2006, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
ARIZONA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




SEATTLE (6 - 3) at SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 5) - 11/19/2006, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




SAN DIEGO (7 - 2) at DENVER (7 - 2) - 11/19/2006, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
DENVER is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NY GIANTS (6 - 3) at JACKSONVILLE (5 - 4) - 11/20/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
JACKSONVILLE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.







2006 Week 11 NFL

Raiders (2-7) @ Chiefs (5-4)-Trent Green was cleared to play by doctors, but he can't be ready to go yet; Chiefs had 3-game win streak snapped last week, but they've won last three home games by 41,3,7 points, scoring 35.3 peg. Over is 5-1-1 in Chiefs' last seven games, but 2-7 in Oakland games. Raiders have only one offensive TD on last 36 drives, with 17 3/outs; they're 0-4 on road, losing by 22,14,10,16 points, scoring 7.3 peg. Since they converted 13-19 on 3rd down vs. Arizona in Week 7, Raiders are 9 for last 42 (21.4%); they're 0-6 if they allow more than 13 pts.

Colts (9-0) @ Cowboys (5-4)- In their five wins, Dallas allowed 10,14,6,14,10 points; in their losses, they allowed 24,38,36,22. Indy is scoring 29.5 ppg on road this season. Colts are 9-0, but led at half in only three games; their four road wins are by 5,3,3,7 points. AFC South teams are 7-4 vs. spread in non-division games. Cowboys are 1-3 vs. spread this season when they won the week before, winning two of three at home. Indy is 30-49 (.612) on third down in its road games, Dallas is 25-44 (.568) in three Romo starts.

Bengals (4-5) @ Saints (6-3)- Not sure having Cincy players close to French Quarter night before game is great idea. Bengals lost last three games, by 2,6,8 points, and are 0-6 vs. spread in last seven weeks; six of their last eight games went over total, as did Saints' last four games. AFC teams are 14-4 SU vs. NFC clubs the last four weeks. Saints have become pass-heavy in three games since their bye, throwing for 1,075 yards, running for 208 (128 PA,78 runs). Underdogs are 9-2 vs. spread in NFC South non-division home games, 8-3-1 in AFC North road games.

Steelers (3-6) @ Browns (3-6)- Steelers are 3-0 with zero or one turnover, 0-6 with 2+ giveaways. Browns forced 2+ in three of last four games. In their last four games, Steelers allowed 41,30,31,31 points; Saints gained 517 yards at Heinz last week, so Pitt struggling on defense. Browns are 3-0 vs. spread since changing OCs (3-0 vs. spread); they've scored only 13.8 ppg at home, with all four games staying under total-three of their last four foes completed less than half their passes. Home side covered three of first four AFC North divisional games, with three of the four games going over.

Titans (2-7) @ Eagles (5-4)- Spread looks big, but Philly wins are by 14,14,22,14,24 points; none of their four losses are by more than seven pts. Eagles came off bye last week with big win over Redskins (three of nine Philly drives started in plus territory); they'd lost three in row before that. AFC teams have upper hand over NFC, but Titans are 1-4 on road, losing by 33,3,2,30 pts, with win at Redskins. NFC East home favorites are 3-5 vs. spread out of division; AFC south road dogs are 6-2. Last four Titan games went over total.

Falcons (5-4) @ Ravens (7-2)-Baltimore 3-0 since Billick started calling plays, scoring 29.3 ppg; they've averaged 6.5/7.9/7.7 yds/pass in last three games, after not gaining more than 6.0 ypp in any of first six games. Falcons lost last two games, scoring 14,13 pts, turning ball over six times; seven of opponents' last 25 drives started in Atlanta territory. Atlanta is on grass for first time since Week 1; Vick has completed just 52.2% of passes on road, and was 10-22 in Week 1 at Carolina. Baltimore is 3-1 at home, winning by 22,3,6 points. Last four Raven games went over total.

Rams (4-5) @ Panthers (5-4)- St Louis offense now in dire straits without injured OT Pace (out for year, biceps); they blew big game at Seattle last week, allowing 90-yd punt return for TD, then taking stupid 15-yd roughing penalty that helped set Seahawks up with winning FG. Carolina won three of last four home games; Monday was first time this season they outscored foe in second half. NFC West road dogs are 1-7 vs. spread in non-division games. Rams are 4-1 vs. spread as underdog this year, with their three NFC losses by 7,2,2 points.

Bills (3-6) @ Texans (3-6)- Bills' passing stats in last two games combined: 17-28, 115 yards. That's two full games. Buffalo lost four of last five games, but 17-16 loss at Colts last week had to be encouraging; they haven't turned ball over in last two games, but are 1-4 on road, losing by 2,33,3,1 point, and winning at Miami (16-6). Bills allowed 6,12,10 pts in three wins, an average of 25.3 ppg in losses. Houston split last six games after 0-3 start; but they've yet to win two games in row this season, allowing 34,28 pts in two post-win games. Texans are favored for first time this season.

Patriots (6-3) @ Packers (4-5)- Signing of Testaverde fueling the rumors Brady is hurt, putting backup Cassel (career sub at USC) in play this week. Patriots lost last two games, but are 4-0 on road this season, winning by 7,25,22,24 points- they've been way better on road than in Foxboro. Pack won three of four since bye, but 24-10 loss at Bills reminds us of AFC dominance over last four weeks. Pack is 1-3 at home, losing to Bears, Saints, Rams (by 26,7,3 pts), while beating Arizona 31-14. Under is 4-1 in last five Patriot games.

Redskins (3-6) @ Buccaneers (2-7)-Campbell gets first NFL start under center in same week Portis goes on IR (hand/out for year). Redskins lost four of last five games, are 1-4 on road, losing by 17,16,14,24 points, while winning at then-winless Houston. Bucs lost first four games, then won two, now have lost last three, scoring three offensive TDs on last 48 drives- they're nine for last 43 on third down. Have always felt that disappointing teams like Bucs don't have a home field edge. Five of last seven Tampa games went over the total.

Vikings (4-5) @ Dolphins (3-6)- Wonder if Culpepper would be tempted to hop Viking charter back to Minnesota, now that Joey Harrington entrenched as Miami's #1 QB; Fish won last two tilts vs. Bears, Chiefs, holding foes to two TDs on 24 drives, while forcing six turnovers, 10 3/outs. Vikings lost last three games, by 24,6,6 points, even though their defense has held those foes to just 58 rushing yds/game; they've scored eight offensive TDs on last 87 drives, tallying only 9 ppg in last three games. NFC North road teams are 4-7 vs. spread in non-division games.

Bears (8-1) @ Jets (5-4)- Chicago has turned ball over 15 times in last four games, major red flag. Bears in rare role of playing consecutive road games in same park; they're 4-0 on road this season, winning by 26,3,1,18 points; in last three road games, they've been outscored 39-13 in first half, but rallied to win all three. Jets won three of last four games; they're 4-1 if they score more than 17 pts, 1-1 if they score exactly 17, and 0-2 when they score less. Bears giving up 14.8 ppg on foreign soil, have trip to Foxboro on deck. Over is 7-0-1 in Bears' last eight games.

Lions (2-7) @ Cardinals (1-8)-This actually is a big game, both teams' best chance to win rest of way (Arizona could win at SF Dec. 24, but probably not); amazing thing is that taxpayers had to pay for these putrid franchises to each get a beautiful new stadium in last five years. Arizona hasn't won since Opening Day, is 0-5 with Leinart at QB and has been outscored 101-33 since leading Bears 23-3 in fourth quarter of that fateful Week 6 Monday nighter. Lions allowed Alex Smith to convert 10-19 on 3rd down last week, after Niners had been 15-58 on third down in previous five games.

Seahawks (6-3) @ 49ers (4-5)-Seattle expected to get both Hasselbeck, Alexander back for this, after they snuffed Rams' playoff hopes with late punt return last week; they're 0-2 on grass, losing at Chicago, KC. Niner defense allowed only one TD on 21 possessions while forcing seven turnovers since disaster in Chicago, when they trailed 41-0 at half. Seahawks allowed 100 points in last three road games, losing twice- six of their last seven games went over total. 49ers are 3-0 if they allow 13 or less points, but allowed average of 37 ppg in their losses.

Chargers (7-2) @ Broncos (7-2) - San Diego trailed 28-7 at Cincy last week, then posted 42 points in second half, scoring TDs on six straight possessions (excluding give-up drive at end of half) the kind of spurt championship teams put on. Both Charger Ls are by FG on road (at Ravens, Chiefs). Charger defense is weaker without Merriman, but offense has picked up slack without him.. Denver is 3-1 at home, scoring 9,13,13 in wins and 31 in the loss. AFC West home teams are 4-1 vs. spread in divisional play, with four of the five games staying under total. San Diego is 4-10-2 vs spread in last sixteen visits to Mile High City.

Giants (6-3) @ Jaguars (5-4)-Coughlin returns to franchise he built from ground up; his Giants have severe injury problems on defense, but had also won five in row before last week's implosion vs. Bears. Jaguars scored 13 or less pts in three of last four games (two TDs on last 32 drives); their defense has allowed total of 26 pts in last three games. Jags are 4-1 at home, posting two shutouts. Giants allowed 26,42,38 pts in their three losses, an average of 12.7 in wins. Three of last four Jaguar games stayed under the total. We'll update this figure before Monday night, but AFC has been dominating NFC of late.

[Udog]

CFL

2006 Canadian Football League


Grey Cup

BCLions started season 2-3, but are 12-2 since; they won 48-13 at Montreal in Week 12, then after a bye, beat them again 36-20 at BCPlace. Six of their last seven wins are by 10+ pts. Alouettes beat Toronto twice in last two games; but lost six of eight vs the western teams. At one point during season, Als were 7-0, then went on six-game skid that included pair of losses to Lions. Has pro football team ever won a title in season where they lost six times in a row? Five of last seven BC games stayed under total.

Montreal Alouettes
British Columbia Lions 7, 54

Second Round of Playoffs

Toronto Argonauts
Montreal Alouettes 3, 45.5 33-24

Saskatchewan Roughriders
British Columbia Lions 7.5, 45.5 45-18

First Round of Playoffs

Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Toronto Argonauts 3, 42.5 31-27

Saskatchewan Roughriders 30-21
Calgary Stampeders 7, 50.5




CFL Trend Report

MONTREAL (11 - 8) vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA (14 - 5) - 11/19/2006, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Udog]

While we wait for the rest of the day's trends to come up, here's the light reading we missed the last three days:

Saturday's List of 13: Allegheny opens season with a win

13) Allegheny's Gators opened their season by coming back from 13 down in second half to nip Grove City 78-75 in OT. Allegheny goes for win #2 Saturday vs W&J at 6pm.

12) Not only is this a great country, but Canada is too; the Blue Jays gave Frank Thomas $18M for two years. Good luck with that. Frank's legs aren't going to like the carpet.

11) Box seats at Fenway Park next year will cost $105. Apiece. For one game, even if they're playing Tampa Bay.

10) The crowd of 14,836 at the Knicks' game Wednesday was their smallest home crowd in fourteen years.

9) No baseball on ESPN next year? WTBS has taken over the part of the package ESPN used to have. Instead, ESPN gets to ram car racing down our throats. How did I miss this?

8) There is a horse trainer named Haseem Rauf who needs a career change; his last 335 mounts have all failed to win.

7) Bronx Bombers say they take in $5M a year in licensing-related income from Japan because have Hideki Matsui.

6) Kentucky Wildcats have never gone nine seasons in row without being in a Final Four. This could be that 9th season.

5) Bruins are only NHL team that hasn't won game this year by more than a goal.

4) Nice of Seahawks to give Seneca Wallace a contract for 2007, since the guy is helping to save their season this year.

3) Over last five years, Ravens are 28-22 when Ray Lewis plays, 11-12 when he doesn't; they allow 4.8 more pts/game when Lewis sits a game out.

2) Through the first eight weeks of NFL, 168 less offensive holding penalties had been called. Now, if we can get them to stop calling penalties on punts and kickoffs……

1) How weird is it that Bo Schembechler dies the day before Michigan-Ohio State game? I don't think it'll affect the players much, but it'll darken the Michigan coaches' day a lot, Ithink.

Friday's List of 13: Random weekend thoughts........

13) Seibu Lions averaged 3,914 more fans when Matsuzaka was pitching, so he is very popular figure in Japan, which is a part of why the Red Sox broke out the big bucks this week.

12) Lets say the guy signs with Red Sox, so lot of people over there will become Red Sox fans. Lets say, conservatively, that 500,000 Japanese people buy Red Sox hat, jacket, shirts. We'll guess at an average of $30 per item, to make the math simple. That adds $15,000,000 to the Red Sox coffers, or 30% of huge amount they paid to negotiate with him.

11) That math isn't totally accurate, but you get the point; the Asian market is the next huge stash of cash that the weasels who own big league teams will try to exploit. I firrmly believe that in 20 years, major leagues will have an Asian Division, a little bit like when the NBA absorbed four ABA teams.

10) USC opened its new basketball arena with overtime loss to South Carolina. Trojans might struggle this year, but help is most definitely on the way. However............

9) People in LA are going nuts over OJ Mayo coming to USC, but to say he is another Lebron James is unfair to Mayo, who is very, very good, but not at the Lebron level (who is?). That said, USC is an NCAA tournament team as soon as he outs a cardinal and gold uniform on.

8) North Texas fired its football coach, three weeks after the guy had a heart attack, and even though North Texas won its league in four of last six years (just not this year or last).

7) One of North Texas' biggest boosters who gave the school $1M, reacted by requesting Coach Dickey's name be put on the building that had previously had his name on it, in honor of the huge contribution to the school. What a weird world.

6) Virginia is 3-7 in football this season, but has two shutouts and an overtime win. Thats not easy to do.

5) A full World Series share for Cardinal personnel ends up to be $362,713, so for Cardinal players making the major league minimum, they pretty much doubled their salary, plus a little.

4) By the way, the top ticket for World Series game was cool $250. For that much money, you'd think you'd get to see big league players who could field a bunt properly.

3) LSU is 27-point favorite over Ole Miss, but last three times Rebels visited Baton Rouge, they won by 11, lost by 1, lost by 3, so they've actually outscored LSU over last three visits.

2) My goal for 2007 is to become a voter for Heisman Trophy; 900 people vote for this thing, and some of them are nitwits. I watch way more college football than most people, so I think I deserve a vote. Nod if you agree........

1) Hawai'i QB Brennan has thrown 43 TDs, 7 INTs, but gets very little mention for the Heisman Trophy. I'd vote for him or Troy Smith, probably Smith if Buckeyes beat Michigan.

Thursday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but..................

13) Mets gave Orlando Hernandez $6M a year for two years, even though he will be 41 next year, and has made more than 22 starts once in last six years, and that was a contract year.

12) Odd fact about El Duque: In his nine major league years, his five lowest salaries were the five years he played for the Bronx team. His four highest-paying years came elsewhere.

11) Quick prediction: Air Force, Winthrop will both win their first round game in NCAA tournament in March.

10) Winthrop was 0-1 from line vs North Carolina, Tar Heels hit 11-20, but only beat the Eagles by 7.

9) Greg Schiano's first two years at Rutgers, he lost to West Virginia twice, by combined score of 120-7.

8) If you're voting for Pro Bowl, vote for Buffalo's Moorman as the AFC punter; only 19 of his 50 punts were returned, and he has only one touchback all season.

7) Butler-Tennessee, North Carolina-Gonzaga in semifinals of preseason NIT next week in New York.

6) Kansas State held Rutgers to 19.1% shooting (9-47) in last night's 55-41 road win. Don't think I've ever seen boxscore of D-I game, where one team shot less than 20% from floor.

5) Since 1980, through nine games, only five teams have more points than San Diego's 297; the '00 Rams scored 354 through nine games, 49 points more than any other team.

4) The MAC has a football game on TV every night this wk, except Monday. My question is this: does having the Miami-Bowling Green game on TV in a mudbath during a rainstorm, with next to no one in stands, help either program?

3) Toronto is on verge of signing Frank Thomas to contract, opening up the possibility of the first ever "When will Frank's legs give out running the bases on artificial turf" pool.

2) According to the dude on the World Poker Tour on TV, a pair of 2's beats A-K unsuited 52% of the time.

1) Winthrop scared North Carolina, Northwestern State damn near beat Oklahoma State, Miami, OH gave Kentucky a solid 30:00, and Oral Roberts 78, Kansas 71. College hoop is the best, truly a national sport........

[Udog]

NBA

Pro Basketball Trend Report

CHICAGO (3 - 6) at LA LAKERS (6 - 3) - 11/19/2006, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 42-22 ATS (+17.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




SAN ANTONIO (7 - 2) at SACRAMENTO (5 - 3) - 11/19/2006, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 227-183 ATS (+25.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 85-56 ATS (+23.4 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 7-5 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Udog]

NHL

Pro Hockey Trend Report

TAMPA BAY (10-8-0-1, 21 pts.) at NY RANGERS (10-9-0-1, 21 pts.) - 11/19/2006, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 16-43 ATS (+67.0 Units) in road games in November games since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 15-7 ATS (+3.5 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 96-113 ATS (+96.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 144-165 ATS (+144.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 169-203 ATS (+169.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 57-73 ATS (+57.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 14-25 ATS (-26.2 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 14-27 ATS (+44.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 69-105 ATS (-75.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 2-2-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)




PHOENIX (6-13-0-0, 12 pts.) at ANAHEIM (13-2-0-5, 31 pts.) - 11/19/2006, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 60-50 ATS (+121.4 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1996.
PHOENIX is 84-71 ATS (+161.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 9-1 (+8.4 Units) against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 9-1-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.6 Units)




CHICAGO (7-9-0-2, 16 pts.) at VANCOUVER (9-10-0-1, 19 pts.) - 11/19/2006, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 138-186 ATS (-74.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 71-98 ATS (-44.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 93-109 ATS (+93.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 180-197 ATS (+180.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 16-27 ATS (-24.3 Units) in home games on Sunday games since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 75-84 ATS (-50.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 5-0-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - College Basketball

Dunkel Index – NCAA Basketball

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 19

Davidson at Missouri
The post-Quin Snyder era has begun at Missouri with Mike Anderson leading the Tigers to a 4-0 record in the early going. But before the folks in Columbia get too excited consider that the wins have come against lower-rated NC A&T, Army, Stetson and Lipscomb. Missouri should get a stronger test today against Davidson. The Wildcats are 3-1 with the only loss coming by a respectable 10 points at Michigan. The Vegas line favoring Missouri (-5) looks to be too high according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Davidson (+5). Here are all of today's games.

Game 705-706: Illinois-Chicago at Bradley
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 55.269; Bradley 67.900
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Bradley by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-6 1/2)

Game 707-708: UL Monroe at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 45.887; LSU 79.221
Dunkel Line: LSU by 33 1/2
Vegas Line: LSU by 29
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-29)

Game 709-710: New Mexico State at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 59.171; Arizona 73.510
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona by 16
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+16)

Game 711-712: New Orleans at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 46.998; Florida State 69.110
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 22
Vegas Line: Florida State by 19
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-19)

Game 713-714: WI-Milwaukee at Northern Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 59.974; Northern Iowa 66.147
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 6
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 13
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (+13)

Game 715-716: Massachusetts vs. Northeastern (in Pittsburgh, PA)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 59.515; Northeastern 52.022
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 717-718: Old Dominion at Georgetown
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 63.244; Georgetown 73.745
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 13
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+13)

Game 719-720: Yale at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 47.100; Ohio 64.345
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 17
Vegas Line: Ohio by 14
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-14)

Game 721-722: Towson at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 48.522; Kansas 76.045
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 27 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas by 26 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-26 1/2)

Game 723-724: Oregon State at Hawaii
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 55.684; Hawaii 61.604
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 6
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 8
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+8)

Game 725-726: Centenary vs. Rhode Island (in Fairbanks, AK)
Dunkel Ratings: Centenary 45.011; Rhode Island 54.282
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 727-728: Troy vs. Drake (in Fairbanks, AK)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 52.700; Drake 55.713
Dunkel Line: Drake by 3
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 729-730: SE Missour St. at Alaska Fairbanks
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri St. 36.053; Alaska Fairbanks 48.965
Dunkel Line: Alaska Fairbanks by 13
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 731-732: Weber State vs. Utah State (in Fairbanks, AK)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 50.283; Utah State 60.090
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 733-734: Cleveland State vs. Miami (FL) (in Evansville, IN)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 47.775; Miami (FL) 62.921
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 15
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 735-736: Buffalo at Evansville
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 54.761; Evansville 55.524
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 1
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 737-738: Central Arkansas vs. Fairfield (in Hartford, CT)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Arkansas 42.923; Fairfield 48.354
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 739-740: Mississippi vs. Connecticut (in Hartford, CT)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 58.394; Connecticut 75.432
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 17
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 741-742: Iowa vs. Alabama (in Virgin Islands)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 68.003; Alabama 67.317
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 1
Vegas Line: Alabama by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+6 1/2)

Game 743-744: Xavier vs. Villanova (in Virgin Islands)
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 65.230; Villanova 70.904
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Villanova

Game 745-746: Lamar vs. Louisiana Tech (in College Station, TX)
Dunkel Ratings: Lamar 48.564; Louisiana Tech 56.552
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 747-748: St. Louis at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 60.787; Texas A&M 75.287
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 749-750: Davidson at Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 59.625; Missouri 60.614
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 1
Vegas Line: Missouri by 5
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (+5)

Game 751-752: Furman at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 51.322; Bowling Green 48.095
Dunkel Line: Furman by 3
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 1
Dunkel Pick: Furman (+1)

Game 753-754: Murray State at Southern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 57.061; Southern Illinois 68.000
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 11
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (+15 1/2)

Game 755-756: Florida Atlantic at Marist
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 43.543; Marist 59.519
Dunkel Line: Marist by 16
Vegas Line: Marist by 17
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+17)

Game 757-758: The Citadel at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 38.397; Notre Dame 69.737
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 31 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 24 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-24 1/2)

Game 759-760: Montana State at Idaho
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 41.138; Idaho 49.135
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 8
Vegas Line: Idaho by 6
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (-6)

Game 761-762: Tennessee State at Western Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 49.900; Western Kentucky 66.794
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 17
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 14
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-14)

Game 763-764: Sacramento State at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 45.048; Washington 72.170
Dunkel Line: Washington by 27
Vegas Line: Washington by 21 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-21 1/2)

[Udog]

NCAABB

College Basketball Trend Report

IL-CHICAGO (1 - 1) at BRADLEY (2 - 0) - 11/19/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRADLEY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
BRADLEY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IL-CHICAGO is 61-32 ATS (+25.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




LA-MONROE (2 - 1) at LSU (1 - 0) - 11/19/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
LSU is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




NEW MEXICO ST (1 - 1) at ARIZONA (1 - 1) - 11/19/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




NEW ORLEANS (1 - 3) at FLORIDA ST (3 - 0) - 11/19/2006, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in November games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




WI-MILWAUKEE (1 - 3) at N IOWA (2 - 1) - 11/19/2006, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




MASSACHUSETTS (2 - 1) vs. NORTHEASTERN (0 - 3) - 11/19/2006, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHEASTERN is 1-0 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons




OLD DOMINION (3 - 1) vs. GEORGETOWN (2 - 0) - 11/19/2006, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLD DOMINION is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
OLD DOMINION is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGETOWN is 44-22 ATS (+19.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




YALE (1 - 0) at OHIO U (1 - 0) - 11/19/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 134-101 ATS (+22.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
OHIO U is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OHIO U is 134-101 ATS (+22.9 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
OHIO U is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
OHIO U is 64-38 ATS (+22.2 Units) in all home games since 1997.
OHIO U is 64-38 ATS (+22.2 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
YALE is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
YALE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




TOWSON ST (2 - 0) at KANSAS (1 - 1) - 11/19/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




OREGON ST (2 - 2) at HAWAII (1 - 1) - 11/19/2006, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




CENTENARY (2 - 2) vs. RHODE ISLAND (2 - 2) - 11/19/2006, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




TROY ST (2 - 2) vs. DRAKE (1 - 1) - 11/19/2006, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




WEBER ST (3 - 0) vs. UTAH ST (2 - 1) - 11/19/2006, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 2-0 straight up against WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




CLEVELAND ST (1 - 3) vs. MIAMI (3 - 1) - 11/19/2006, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




BUFFALO (3 - 1) at EVANSVILLE (1 - 2) - 11/19/2006, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




MISSISSIPPI (4 - 0) at CONNECTICUT (3 - 0) - 11/19/2006, 6:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




IOWA (2 - 0) vs. ALABAMA (2 - 0) - 11/19/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 115-148 ATS (-47.8 Units) in all games since 1997.
IOWA is 115-148 ATS (-47.8 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
IOWA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
ALABAMA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




XAVIER (2 - 0) vs. VILLANOVA (2 - 0) - 11/19/2006, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




LAMAR (1 - 2) vs. LOUISIANA TECH (0 - 2) - 11/19/2006, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




SAINT LOUIS (3 - 0) at TEXAS A&M (3 - 0) - 11/19/2006, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




DAVIDSON (3 - 1) at MISSOURI (4 - 0) - 11/19/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MISSOURI is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DAVIDSON is 2-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
DAVIDSON is 2-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




FURMAN (2 - 1) at BOWLING GREEN (1 - 1) - 11/19/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




MURRAY ST (1 - 3) at S ILLINOIS (1 - 0) - 11/19/2006, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MURRAY ST is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
S ILLINOIS is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
S ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus MURRAY ST over the last 3 seasons
S ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against MURRAY ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 3) at MARIST (1 - 1) - 11/19/2006, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 1-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons




THE CITADEL (1 - 3) at NOTRE DAME (2 - 1) - 11/19/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
THE CITADEL is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




MONTANA ST (0 - 3) at IDAHO (1 - 1) - 11/19/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO is 1-0 against the spread versus MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA ST is 1-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




TENNESSEE ST (0 - 0) at W KENTUCKY (2 - 0) - 11/19/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




SACRAMENTO ST (2 - 2) at WASHINGTON (3 - 0) - 11/19/2006, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO ST is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Udog]

NBA

Sunday, November 19th

Chicago at LA Lakers, 8:05 ESTESPN
Chicago: 29-14 ATS Away off an ATS loss
LA Lakers: 5-1 Under as a favorite

San Antonio at Sacramento, 9:05 EST
San Antonio: 5-1 Under at Sacramento
Sacramento: 27-10 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL

Sunday, November 19th

Tampa Bay at NY Rangers, 7:05 EST
Tampa Bay: 7-1 Under off an Under
NY Rangers: 0-9 SU off an Away division loss

Phoenix at Anaheim, 8:05 EST
Phoenix: 1-9 SU vs. Anaheim
Anaheim: 15-3 Over vs. division opponents

Chicago at Vancouver, 10:05 EST
Chicago: 3-21 SU Away playing their 3rd game in 5 days
Vancouver: 5-0 Over after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Pro Basketball

Dunkel Index – NBA

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 19

Chicago at LA Lakers
The Bulls would rather forget their Texas swing after losing three straight to Dallas, Houston and San Antonio. With still four more road games left on this trip, they'll try to get back into the win column tonight against the Lakers. L.A. has won two of its last three home games, but both wins came against lower-rated Memphis and Toronto. The loss was to another Central opponent (Detroit), which was playing without Richard Hamilton. This looks like a decent opportunity for the Bulls to pick up a rare road win according to Dunkel, which has Chicago favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

Game 701-702: Chicago at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 117.539; LA Lakers 116.455
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 200
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: San Antonio at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 122.663; Sacramento 122.763
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 189 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3; 187
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+3); Over

[Dennis14072]

thanks guys!!