Friday Trends and Indexes 11/17

[Udog]

NFL

2006 Week 11 NFL

Raiders (2-7) @ Chiefs (5-4)-Trent Green was cleared to play by doctors, but he can't be ready to go yet; Chiefs had 3-game win streak snapped last week, but they've won last three home games by 41,3,7 points, scoring 35.3 peg. Over is 5-1-1 in Chiefs' last seven games, but 2-7 in Oakland games. Raiders have only one offensive TD on last 36 drives, with 17 3/outs; they're 0-4 on road, losing by 22,14,10,16 points, scoring 7.3 peg. Since they converted 13-19 on 3rd down vs. Arizona in Week 7, Raiders are 9 for last 42 (21.4%); they're 0-6 if they allow more than 13 pts.

Colts (9-0) @ Cowboys (5-4)- In their five wins, Dallas allowed 10,14,6,14,10 points; in their losses, they allowed 24,38,36,22. Indy is scoring 29.5 ppg on road this season. Colts are 9-0, but led at half in only three games; their four road wins are by 5,3,3,7 points. AFC South teams are 7-4 vs. spread in non-division games. Cowboys are 1-3 vs. spread this season when they won the week before, winning two of three at home. Indy is 30-49 (.612) on third down in its road games, Dallas is 25-44 (.568) in three Romo starts.

Bengals (4-5) @ Saints (6-3)- Not sure having Cincy players close to French Quarter night before game is great idea. Bengals lost last three games, by 2,6,8 points, and are 0-6 vs. spread in last seven weeks; six of their last eight games went over total, as did Saints' last four games. AFC teams are 14-4 SU vs. NFC clubs the last four weeks. Saints have become pass-heavy in three games since their bye, throwing for 1,075 yards, running for 208 (128 PA,78 runs). Underdogs are 9-2 vs. spread in NFC South non-division home games, 8-3-1 in AFC North road games.

Steelers (3-6) @ Browns (3-6)- Steelers are 3-0 with zero or one turnover, 0-6 with 2+ giveaways. Browns forced 2+ in three of last four games. In their last four games, Steelers allowed 41,30,31,31 points; Saints gained 517 yards at Heinz last week, so Pitt struggling on defense. Browns are 3-0 vs. spread since changing OCs (3-0 vs. spread); they've scored only 13.8 ppg at home, with all four games staying under total-three of their last four foes completed less than half their passes. Home side covered three of first four AFC North divisional games, with three of the four games going over.

Titans (2-7) @ Eagles (5-4)- Spread looks big, but Philly wins are by 14,14,22,14,24 points; none of their four losses are by more than seven pts. Eagles came off bye last week with big win over Redskins (three of nine Philly drives started in plus territory); they'd lost three in row before that. AFC teams have upper hand over NFC, but Titans are 1-4 on road, losing by 33,3,2,30 pts, with win at Redskins. NFC East home favorites are 3-5 vs. spread out of division; AFC south road dogs are 6-2. Last four Titan games went over total.

Falcons (5-4) @ Ravens (7-2)-Baltimore 3-0 since Billick started calling plays, scoring 29.3 ppg; they've averaged 6.5/7.9/7.7 yds/pass in last three games, after not gaining more than 6.0 ypp in any of first six games. Falcons lost last two games, scoring 14,13 pts, turning ball over six times; seven of opponents' last 25 drives started in Atlanta territory. Atlanta is on grass for first time since Week 1; Vick has completed just 52.2% of passes on road, and was 10-22 in Week 1 at Carolina. Baltimore is 3-1 at home, winning by 22,3,6 points. Last four Raven games went over total.

Rams (4-5) @ Panthers (5-4)- St Louis offense now in dire straits without injured OT Pace (out for year, biceps); they blew big game at Seattle last week, allowing 90-yd punt return for TD, then taking stupid 15-yd roughing penalty that helped set Seahawks up with winning FG. Carolina won three of last four home games; Monday was first time this season they outscored foe in second half. NFC West road dogs are 1-7 vs. spread in non-division games. Rams are 4-1 vs. spread as underdog this year, with their three NFC losses by 7,2,2 points.

Bills (3-6) @ Texans (3-6)- Bills' passing stats in last two games combined: 17-28, 115 yards. That's two full games. Buffalo lost four of last five games, but 17-16 loss at Colts last week had to be encouraging; they haven't turned ball over in last two games, but are 1-4 on road, losing by 2,33,3,1 point, and winning at Miami (16-6). Bills allowed 6,12,10 pts in three wins, an average of 25.3 ppg in losses. Houston split last six games after 0-3 start; but they've yet to win two games in row this season, allowing 34,28 pts in two post-win games. Texans are favored for first time this season.

Patriots (6-3) @ Packers (4-5)- Signing of Testaverde fueling the rumors Brady is hurt, putting backup Cassel (career sub at USC) in play this week. Patriots lost last two games, but are 4-0 on road this season, winning by 7,25,22,24 points- they've been way better on road than in Foxboro. Pack won three of four since bye, but 24-10 loss at Bills reminds us of AFC dominance over last four weeks. Pack is 1-3 at home, losing to Bears, Saints, Rams (by 26,7,3 pts), while beating Arizona 31-14. Under is 4-1 in last five Patriot games.

Redskins (3-6) @ Buccaneers (2-7)-Campbell gets first NFL start under center in same week Portis goes on IR (hand/out for year). Redskins lost four of last five games, are 1-4 on road, losing by 17,16,14,24 points, while winning at then-winless Houston. Bucs lost first four games, then won two, now have lost last three, scoring three offensive TDs on last 48 drives- they're nine for last 43 on third down. Have always felt that disappointing teams like Bucs don't have a home field edge. Five of last seven Tampa games went over the total.

Vikings (4-5) @ Dolphins (3-6)- Wonder if Culpepper would be tempted to hop Viking charter back to Minnesota, now that Joey Harrington entrenched as Miami's #1 QB; Fish won last two tilts vs. Bears, Chiefs, holding foes to two TDs on 24 drives, while forcing six turnovers, 10 3/outs. Vikings lost last three games, by 24,6,6 points, even though their defense has held those foes to just 58 rushing yds/game; they've scored eight offensive TDs on last 87 drives, tallying only 9 ppg in last three games. NFC North road teams are 4-7 vs. spread in non-division games.

Bears (8-1) @ Jets (5-4)- Chicago has turned ball over 15 times in last four games, major red flag. Bears in rare role of playing consecutive road games in same park; they're 4-0 on road this season, winning by 26,3,1,18 points; in last three road games, they've been outscored 39-13 in first half, but rallied to win all three. Jets won three of last four games; they're 4-1 if they score more than 17 pts, 1-1 if they score exactly 17, and 0-2 when they score less. Bears giving up 14.8 ppg on foreign soil, have trip to Foxboro on deck. Over is 7-0-1 in Bears' last eight games.

Lions (2-7) @ Cardinals (1-8)-This actually is a big game, both teams' best chance to win rest of way (Arizona could win at SF Dec. 24, but probably not); amazing thing is that taxpayers had to pay for these putrid franchises to each get a beautiful new stadium in last five years. Arizona hasn't won since Opening Day, is 0-5 with Leinart at QB and has been outscored 101-33 since leading Bears 23-3 in fourth quarter of that fateful Week 6 Monday nighter. Lions allowed Alex Smith to convert 10-19 on 3rd down last week, after Niners had been 15-58 on third down in previous five games.

Seahawks (6-3) @ 49ers (4-5)-Seattle expected to get both Hasselbeck, Alexander back for this, after they snuffed Rams' playoff hopes with late punt return last week; they're 0-2 on grass, losing at Chicago, KC. Niner defense allowed only one TD on 21 possessions while forcing seven turnovers since disaster in Chicago, when they trailed 41-0 at half. Seahawks allowed 100 points in last three road games, losing twice- six of their last seven games went over total. 49ers are 3-0 if they allow 13 or less points, but allowed average of 37 ppg in their losses.

Chargers (7-2) @ Broncos (7-2) - San Diego trailed 28-7 at Cincy last week, then posted 42 points in second half, scoring TDs on six straight possessions (excluding give-up drive at end of half) the kind of spurt championship teams put on. Both Charger Ls are by FG on road (at Ravens, Chiefs). Charger defense is weaker without Merriman, but offense has picked up slack without him.. Denver is 3-1 at home, scoring 9,13,13 in wins and 31 in the loss. AFC West home teams are 4-1 vs. spread in divisional play, with four of the five games staying under total. San Diego is 4-10-2 vs spread in last sixteen visits to Mile High City.

Giants (6-3) @ Jaguars (5-4)-Coughlin returns to franchise he built from ground up; his Giants have severe injury problems on defense, but had also won five in row before last week's implosion vs. Bears. Jaguars scored 13 or less pts in three of last four games (two TDs on last 32 drives); their defense has allowed total of 26 pts in last three games. Jags are 4-1 at home, posting two shutouts. Giants allowed 26,42,38 pts in their three losses, an average of 12.7 in wins. Three of last four Jaguar games stayed under the total. We'll update this figure before Monday night, but AFC has been dominating NFC of late.

[Udog]

NCAAFB

Saturday's Games

Wisconsin won last seven games (6-1 vs. spread); this is their last game of season, so they can celebrate vs. Buffalo team that lost eight of last nine games, and still has TV game vs. Central Michigan in six days. Bulls are 0-6 on road (4-2 as road dog) with losses by 8,18,31,35,41 points. Five of last seven Badger games went over the total.

Jeff Bowden has resigned as Florida State's OC (effective after season) so struggling FSU offense (shut out at home last week for first time since '73) even further in disarray. Seminoles are 5-5, losing three of last four games, and covered only two of six as home favorite. Western Michigan is 3-2 as underdog this year, 7-3 SU, but lost last week 31-7 at MAC frontrunner C. Michigan.

Louisville lost first game last week, looks to bounce back vs. South Florida team that upset Cards 45-14 in Tampa LY (+21, TY 493-355L). Bulls had 251 rushing yards in that game and ran kickoff back for TD. USF won four of last five games this year; they're 2-1 vs. spread as dog. USF's losses this year are by 6,2,17 points. UofL covered one of last four games, but is 3-1 as home favorite, winning by 31,24,6,10 points.

UConn had comeback win vs. Pitt last week, rallying from 31-17 down in fourth quarter; they forced three turnovers and beat Syracuse LY 26-7, despite passing for only 45 yards. Orange lost last five games; they scored 30-34-40 pts in their wins, 17 or less in all seven losses. Only one of last six UConn foes scored less than 24 points. Four of last five Orange games stayed under the total.

Trip to Cincinnati is major trap game for magical Rutgers squad three wins away from what could be Cinderella run at a national title; they crushed Bearcats 44-9 last year (-14) outrushing UC 337-M23, outgaining them 574-146. Knights are 4-0 on road, winning by 5,2,34,10 pts; they're 2-2 as favorite this year, but completed less than half its passes in last two games (19-45). Bearcats won last four home games.

Wake Forest is 9-1, but an underdog for sixth time in last seven lined games; they've won four games in row, shut Florida State out at FSU last week (their first win in Florida since '59), and are 3-1 at home. Virginia Tech won its last four games, allowing 5.8 peg, forcing 10 turnovers and holding all four foes under 240 TY. Under is 7-1-1 in Wake games this season, 6-2 in last eight Tech tilts.

Visitor covered four of last five Duke-Ga Tech games, with Duke losing last two visits to this site, 17-2/24-7; they're 0-10 this season, 0-19 vs. I-A schools the last two years, but are 3-1 as road dogs this season, losing by 1,36,16,21 points. Banged-up Tech sr QB Ball is expected to play despite being hurt. Last year, Duke led Tech 10-7 at half, lost 35-10. Tech is 2-3-1 as favorite in '06.

Visitor is 14-4 vs. the spread (dogs are 10-6) in last 18 Illinois-Northwestern games, with teams splitting 7-point decisions in Illinois's last two trips to Evanston. Illinois is 1-18 in last 19 games vs. I-A foes, not sure how they qualify as road favorite. Wildcats lost seven of last eight games, but they won at Iowa. Three of last four Illinois road games stayed under the total.

Missouri won last three games vs. Iowa State by 38,3,3 points; they knocked Cyclones out of Big 12 title game with home win LY, 27-24. State lost last six games, all by 14 pts (0-6 vs. spread); they haven't covered since Sept 23- their Big 12 home losses are by 14,16,31 points. Mizzou lost three of last four games; their three Big 12 wins are by 15,17,20 pts. Three of last four Iowa State games went over total.

Iowa covered 12 of last 13 games vs. Minnesota (average total in last five is 66), winning last two visits to Metrodome, 45-21/29-27, but Hawkeyes are struggling, losing last four Big 11 games and covering only one of seven as favorite this season. Gophers won last two games, scoring 94 pts with six takeaways, can finish 6-6 with win here; favorite is 8-2 vs. spread in Minnesota games this season.

Home side covered seven of last eight Indiana-Purdue games, with Hoosiers losing last two visits to Ross-Ade, 34-10/63-24; Boilers covered six of last nine series games, taking LY's 41-14 at IU. Purdue won last two games, but is already bowl eligible, and has trip to Hawai'i on deck; they're just 1-2 as favorite in '06. Indiana is 5-6, playing for .500 season, but their last four losses are by 35,41,37,31 points.

Road team covered six of last seven NC State-UNC games, with Heels 10-3 vs. spread in last 13, including 31-24 upset in Raleigh LY (+11). State lost last five games, all by eight or less points, so can't justify them as road favorite, even vs. UNC squad that is
0-9 vs. D-I teams this year. Heels lost 7-0 to Ga Tech last week, after giving up 45 points week before; they've actually covered their last three games.

Navy covered 10 of last 16 November home games; they beat Temple LY, 38-17 (-27) running ball for 375 yards. Middies just won pair of road games, scoring 87 pts, gaining 758 yds on ground, so expect them to pound Temple squad that allowed 249,216,211 rushing yards in its last three games. Owls have covered five of last seven games, so they're still trying. Navy is 2-3 as favorite in '06.

Vanderbilt beat Tennessee 28-24 (+11) LY for first time in last 23 tries, despite being outrushed 251-49, knocking Vols out of bowl game; now they catch Vols off two straight losses, where UT gave up 490 rushing yards and 59 points. Vandy is 0-3 at home in SEC this year, losing to Arkansas (21-19), South Carolina
(31-13), Florida (25-19). Last five Vanderbilt games went over.

Memphis won last three games vs. Houston by average score of 40-16, but thats about to change, since Tigers lost last eight games (1-7 vs. spread) with three of last four losses by 14+ points. Cougars allowed 35 ppg during losing streak. Houston has senior QB and four-game win streak (by 17,20,17,10 pts) during which they scored 37.3 ppg and ran ball for average of 249.8 ypg.

Home team won last four Texas Tech-Oklahoma State games, with Cowboys losing last two visits to Lubbock (49-24/31-15); favorite covered six of last eight series games, Tech ten of last 12. In their last seven games, State allowed 31.4 ppg; they lost three of last four road games. Tech is +7 in turnovers its three games. Seven of last eight OSU games and last four Tech tilts went over total.

Central Florida beat Tulane LY 34-24 (-5.5), using +5 turnover ratio to gain the win; they also outrushed Green Wave 286-80. Both sides are struggling here, UCF losing seven of last nine games, covering none of last five; they've won two games this season, and lost the next week both times (0-42/7-52). Tulane allowed 73 pts in losing last three games; they're 0-7 if they score less than 32 points.

Notre Dame tunes up for USC by playing Army (2-16-1 vs. the spread after a bye). Irish are 4-11-1 vs. spread as home favorite, 1-5 this year, with home wins by 24,14,21,3, 19 points. Cadets lost last four games (by 14,17,14,36 pts) and failed to cover last six-they're 2-2 as road dog in '06. Six of last seven Army games, six of last nine ND games went over the total. This result won't help Irish in BCS race.

Boise still trying to move up BCS ladder, so only recourse here might be to drill Utah St when they're down. State covered seven of last eight vs. Utah State, winning last two meetings (45-21/63-38). Aggies are 1-8, losing last four in row, last two by combined score of 105-10. Broncos could be looking ahead to Nevada game next week, but Aggies look like a team waiting anxiously for season to be over with.

Red-hot Rice won last four games, all as underdog, scoring 38 ppg; at 5-5, they have legit shot at a bowl, as switch to passing offense has gone great. Owls lost 41-28 LY at East Carolina (+4); this is just their third game in home stadium this year- previous two were both decided by single point. ECU also won its last four games; they're 9-1 vs. spread this season, covering last four games that were wins by 17,3,13,13 points.

Visitor covered eight of last ten Oklahoma-Baylor games, with Sooners winning in last two visits to Waco, 49-9/35-0; that said, Bears did take OU to OT in Norman LY, losing 37-30 (+14), but Bears crippled by season-ending injury to QB Bell- they lost last three games, are 0-5 vs. spread in last five, and allowed 46.8 ppg in last six. Sooners won last five games (4-1 vs. spread) by 25,21, 16,1,10 points.

SMU covered eight of last 11 games vs. Tulsa, with home side winning last four; Tulsa lost last two visits to this site, 24-21/
41-35 ot, but Hurricane lost last two games after a six-game win streak ended. Mustangs are 5-5, need this win or win vs. Rice next week to get first .500 season under Bennett. Dog covered three of last four series games. Seven of last eight Tulsa games went over total, as did five of last seven SMU tilts.

Michigan, Ohio State both unbeaten, both lying in wait for this game. Home side is 15-8-1 vs the spread in last 24 series games, with Tressel 4-1 vs. Lloyd Carr. Wolverines lost last two visits to Horseshoe, 14-9/37-21 and lost to Buckeyes at home last yr, when OSU outrushed them by 118-32, outgained them 418-255. Michigan been running ball well last three weeks, gaining 202, 352,208 yds. Close game here could mean a rematch in Arizona for national title.

Ole Miss plays LSU tough, covering seven of last nine series games, and last three visits to Baton Rouge (35-24/13-14/24-27), but Rebels are 1-5 in SEC, with losses by 17,5,3, 35,6 points. LSU is bully team, with home wins by 42,42,42,31,49,32,14 points (1-3 vs. spread last four at home). This is sandwich game for Tigers (Alabama/Arkansas) which helps Ole Miss, but they can't pass, so hard to cover thru backdoor.

Stanford got first win last week, beating crippled Washington, but Cardinal still 0-4 at home, losing by 28,26,13,42 points; in last four weeks, Cardinal ran ball for total of 124 yards (576-124). Beavers had won four in row before dismal 26-7 loss at UCLA last week, when Beavers lost four fumbles, missed two FGs and went in tank once they fell behind. Oregon St. is 3-0 vs. spread as favorite this season.

Visitor is 8-3 vs. spread in always hard-hitting Alabama-Auburn series, with Tigers winning last four series games by average score of 23-15, taking last two visits to this site, 17-7/21-13. Bama was outrushed 139-33 in last year's game; they've lost last three SEC games, scoring 14.3 ppg, but are 3-1 vs. spread as dog this year. Auburn got whacked by Auburn last week; they're 9-2 SU, but 1-7 vs. spread in last eight.

Arizona live team again with Tuitama back under center; UofA posted upset wins last two weeks, scoring 25.5 ppg; they're 4-11 vs. spread in last 15 games vs. Ducks, in series where road team covered five of last seven. Oregon is 4-0 at home vs. I-A teams, winning by 38,1,10,20 points- they fought hard in loss at USC last week. Six of last seven Arizona games and three of last four Oregon games stayed under total.

BYU on serious roll, winning, covering last seven games, with three of last five wins by 30+ points. Visiting team won last five New Mexico-BYU games, with Lobos taking last two visits to Provo, 20-16/21-14, both as road dogs, in low scoring series where average total has been around 39. Cougars are 5-0 as home favorite this season, winning by 25,38, 30,45,48 points. Lobos are 5-5, covering last four games; their worst loss is 17.

San Diego State split last four games after 0-5 start, but one of losses was vs. I-AA team; they lost 23-20 at home to TCU LY, getting outrushed 299-125. Aztecs are 0-4 on road this year (1-2-1 as road dog) losing by 14,21,30,3 points. TCU won last four games, is 7-2, but have only one I-A win, (26-3 vs. Wyoming) by more than 15 points. Five of last seven TCU games stayed under the total.

UNLV in total freefall, losing last nine games, covering one of last eight; they've been outscored 85-13 in first half of their last four games. Road team covered seven of last 9 in high-scoring series, where Wyoming's last two visits to Strip ended in 49-48 OT loss and 53-45 OT win- dogs covered 7 of last ten in series. Cowboys need win for 6-6 season and possible bowl invite (they bring lot of fans).

Marshall lost 31-3 at UTEP LY (+13), but Miners lost three of last four road games, and gave up 26.5 ppg in last six games, despite +10 turnover ratio during that time. Herd won three of last four games but lost 33-20 last week at East Carolina; they scored 42,41 pts in winning last two home games. UTEP is 4-1 when they allow less than 30 points. Last five Marshall games all went over the total.

Fresno State ended 7-game skid last week with a non-covering
23-18 win vs. New Mexico State; they're 1-11 vs. spread in last dozen games, and trailed at half in last five. Idaho lost last three games, allowing 51.7 peg; they're 3-3 as road dog this season. Last year, Bulldogs routed Idaho 40-10, outscoring Vandals 24-0 in second half, scoring TDs on blocked punt and a punt return.

Every Washington QB is hurt, except for prize freshman Locker, who is red-shirting so he still has four years left to play. Problem is, Bonnell has to play here with bruised leg because Durocher got concussion last week, and Washington already lost last six games, while Wazzu is looking for third straight series win for first time in 98 years. Dog is 4-1 vs. spread in last five Apple Cups, with last two played here both decided by FG. Huskies covered five of last six in series.

Other than Ohio State, I think Arkansas is best team in country, but trap game here for Hogs, in Tennessee/LSU sandwich, vs. improving Miss State squad that beat Alabama last time out, and lost by FG each in previous two games. Underdog is 11-3 vs. spread in series, with Hogs winning last two visits here, 26-19/24-21, as host covered last four in series. Arkansas is 3-0 on road, winning by 2,17,6 points.

Paterno expected to be in press box for Senior Day in Happy Valley; home side is 10-3 vs. spread in last 13 Michigan State-Penn State games, with Spartans losing last two visits here (61-7 /37-13); average series total is 65. Spartans are 4-11-1 vs. spread in last 16 November road games; they're 0-8 vs. spread in last eight games overall, failing to cover their last four tries as the underdog.

Kansas State off upset win over Texas, are 7-4, going bowling, while this is shot at bowl game for 5-5 Kansas squad that goes to Missouri next week. K-State covered 11 of last 12 games vs. Kansas, but with Snyder gone, this is start of new era in rivalry; Wildcats lost last visit to Lawrence, 31-28 and beat KU 12-3 at home LY, despite getting outgained 109-35 on ground.

Miami lost last three games, by 1,7,7 points; their starting QB has broken thumb, one of their best linemen was murdered last week and at 5-5, there's a coaching change coming soon, but they did win last two games vs. Virginia (31-21/25-17) team that lost 33-0 at 5-5 Florida State two weeks ago. Virginia has three wins and two shutouts; their other win was in OT. Am not very enthusiastic about either side here.

Maryland is 7-2, winning last five games, all by six or less pts; they covered last three tries as underdog, but lost 31-16 at home to Boston College LY (TY 451-363). BC won five of last six games; they have Turkey Day game at Miami in just five days. Terps are 2-2 on road, with last three decided by total of seven points. Five of last six BC games stayed under total.

Air Force lost three of last four games, covered one of last six; 11 of their last 15 games vs. Utah were decided by seven or less pts, with last two here decided by total of three (38-37A/45-43U, in OT). Falcons covered seven of last nine series games, with average total in last 20 meetings a hefty 64. Utes allowed 33.5 peg in losing last two road games, but they've won two in row at home since, scoring 40 ppg- their last four games went over.

UAB lost last four games, by 1,7,13,19 points, and covered just two of last nine; they're 1-2 vs. spread as dog, with only two of their seven losses by more than 13 pts. Blazers ost last five games vs. Southern Miss by average score of 20-15, losing last two series home games, 3-0/26-21. Eagles scored 36.5 ppg in winning last two games, running ball for total of 480 yards, as they prepare to go back to a bowl.

Nevada has big WAC game with Boise on deck, first visits Louisiana Tech squad that beat Wolf Pack last two times teams met in Ruston (50-47/38-21). Last year's 37-27 Nevada win was their first in last five series games, but Tech lost six of last eight games and is 2-8 vs. spread this year, while Nevada won four in row and seven of last eight games, covering all eight; they're 2-3 on road, winning by 28,38 points.

Cal had won eight in row before stumbling at Arizona last week; now, team lot of folks think is better than USC, and last team to beat Trojans in Coliseum, invades LA in series where road team covered eight of last ten series games. Bears lost tough games in last two visits here (30-28/23-17). Cal is 7-3-1 vs. spread in last 11 tries as Pac-10 road dog. Trojans outscored two foes 77-10 since loss at Oregon State.

UCLA ended its four-game skid last week, beating Beavers 25-7, while Arizona State won for third time in last four games, and are bowl eligible with 47-14 rout of banged-up Wazzu. Underdog is 4-1-1 in last six series games, with three of last four series totals 80+. Bruins outgained ASU 660-515 in wild 45-35 win LY; they're 0-4 on road this season, losing by 10,103,14 points. Seven of last nine UCLA games stayed under total.

Former Rainbow coach Tomey has San Jose 6-3, bowl eligible, but Hawai'i won last seven games, covered last five, scoring a ridiculous 57.7 ppg during win streak. After giving up 69 points in first two games, both vs. Pac-10 teams, San Jose hasn't given up more than 23 in a game; they're 4-1 vs. spread as dog this season. Hawai'i QB Brennan is only 11 TDs shy of single season record, and he has three games left.

Kentucky on cloud nine at 6-4 and bowl eligible; they scored 32 ppg in winning last three games and are 4-0 vs. spread as fave this year, though most pts they've laid this year is 6.5. Monroe snapped seven-game skid last week, beating FIU squad that fired its coach after the loss; ULM is 5-1 vs. spread on road this year, covering as big dog at Kansas (19-21), Arkansas (10-44), but not at Alabama (7-41).

FIU coach Strock "resigned" after ULM loss, winless Panthers, who've lost last three games by combined score of 108-3, after dropping five of first games by five or less points, are playing out string and hosting UL-Lafayette squad on three-game skid- their last two wins are by 3,6 points, but both did come on road. Cajuns won last three series games by 33,9,21 points.

Troy now 4-0 in Sun Belt, headed towards showdown with Middle Tennessee for league crown; only one of their four Sun Belt wins is by more than seven points, so hard to lay lumber vs Arkansas State squad that's been outscored 94-10 in last three games. This is ASU's first Sun Belt visit to Troy; then won home games vs. Trojans, 13-9/9-3; again, history of low-scoring games discourages laying points.

Middle Tennesse won, covered last six games, scoring 34+ pts in five of six games, but are way up in class here, vs. S Carolina squad smarting after three tough losses to Tennessee (24-31), Arkansas (20-26), Florida (16-17); at 5-5, Gamecocks need win to be bowl eligible. MTSU coach Stockstill was SC's recruiting coordinator last year; his team has league title game next week, when they host Troy in showdown.

North Texas playing under lame-duck coach- they went out and beat UL-Lafayette last week, after firing was announced. UNT lost last two years to FAU (26-23/20-13) and were outrushed 227-161 in LY's game. Owls lost last two weeks, scoring 15.5 ppg. North Texas is 0-2 as favorite this year, and scored 16 or less in six of last eight games. Six of last nine UNT games stayed under total.

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - College Basketball

Dunkel Index – NCAA Basketball

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 17

Harvard at Michigan
Michigan is off to a nice 4-0 start behind the scoring of senior center Courtney Sims (17.8 ppg) and senior guard Dion Harris. Tonight the Wolverines will face a Harvard team that lost at home to Boston U (78-74) its last time out. Michigan should be able to cover the Vegas line of 22 according to Dunkel, which has the Wolverines favored by 29. Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-22). Here are all of today's games.

Game 721-722: Harvard at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 41.100; Michigan 70.378
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 29
Vegas Line: Michigan by 22
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-22)

Game 723-724: Northeastern at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 56.632; Pittsburgh 70.690
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 14
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 23 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+23 1/2)

Game 725-726: Florida Atlantic at Old Dominion
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 43.543; Old Dominion 66.164
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 21 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (-21 1/2)

Game 727-728: Indiana State at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 54.892; Indiana 70.842
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 16
Vegas Line: Indiana by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-13 1/2)

Game 729-730: Fresno State at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 57.760; San Francisco 62.533
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 5
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-1 1/2)

Game 731-732: UC Santa Barbara at UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: UC Santa Barbara 56.132; UNLV 65.246
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 9
Vegas Line: UNLV by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-8 1/2)

Game 733-734: UC Irvine at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: UC Irvine 52.310; Oregon 69.328
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 17
Vegas Line: Oregon by 18
Dunkel Pick: UC Irvine (+18)

Game 735-736: Northwestern at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 56.360; Stanford 64.877
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Stanford by 9
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+9)

Game 737-738: New Mexico State at Loyola Marymount
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 59.543; Loyola Marymount 61.460
Dunkel Line: Loyola Marymount by 2
Vegas Line: Loyola Marymount by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+2 1/2)

Game 739-740: Middle Tennessee St. vs. Alabama (in Virgin Islands)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee St. 52.840; Alabama 67.720
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 15
Vegas Line: Alabama by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-14 1/2)

Game 741-742: Toledo vs. Iowa (in Virgin Islands)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 57.630; Iowa 67.732
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 10
Vegas Line: Iowa by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-2 1/2)

Game 743-744: Virginia Commonwealth vs. Xavier (in Virgin Islands)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Commonwealth 56.380; Xavier 65.880
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Xavier by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-8 1/2)

Game 745-746: College of Charleston vs. Villanova (in Virgin Islands)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 53.440; Villanova 67.400
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 14
Vegas Line: Villanova by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-9 1/2)

Game 747-748: Louisiana Tech vs. St. Louis (in College Station, TX)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 57.900; St. Louis 59.000
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 7
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+7)

Game 749-750: Lamar vs. Texas A&M (in College Station, TX)
Dunkel Ratings: Lamar 49.990; Texas A&M 70.700
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 21
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 23 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Lamar (+23 1/2)

Game 751-752: Texas at St. John's
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 71.539; St. John's 62.601
Dunkel Line: Texas by 9
Vegas Line: Texas by 7
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-7)

Game 753-754: Maryland vs. Michigan State (in New York, NY)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 71.245; Michigan State 69.078
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 2
Vegas Line: Maryland by 5
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+5)

Game 755-756: Mississippi vs. Fairfield (in Hartford, CT)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 59.457; Fairfield 47.920
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-8 1/2)

Game 757-758: Central Arkansas vs. Connecticut (in Hartford, CT)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 71.640; Central Arkansas 42.750
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 29
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 26
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-26)

Game 759-760: Miami (FL) at Evansville
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 64.900; Evansville 52.800
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 12
Vegas Line: Evansville by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-3 1/2)

Game 761-762: Cleveland State vs. Buffalo (in Evansville, IN)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 50.020; Buffalo 54.110
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 4
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-1)

Game 763-764: Centenary vs. Utah State (in Fairbanks, AK)
Dunkel Ratings: Centenary 40.977; Utah State 58.520
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah State by 14
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-14)

Game 765-766: SE Missouri State vs. Drake (in Fairbanks, AK)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 39.870; Drake 54.600
Dunkel Line: Drake by 15
Vegas Line: Drake by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drake (-12 1/2)

Game 767-768: Eastern Kentucky at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 50.690; Ohio State 75.588
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 25
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 23 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-23 1/2)

Game 769-770: Appalachian State at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 52.100; Clemson 68.220
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 16
Vegas Line: Clemson by 15
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-15)

Game 771-772: Georgia Southern at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 57.755; Illinois 77.700
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 20
Vegas Line: Illinois by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-14 1/2)

Game 773-774: Elon at Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 47.110; Wake Forest 62.630
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral

Game 775-776: Morehead State at South Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 39.600; South Alabama 55.319
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 16
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (-14 1/2)

Game 777-778: Eastern Illinois at DePaul
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 43.596; DePaul 61.200
Dunkel Line: DePaul by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: DePaul by 17
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (-17)

Game 779-780: Western Carolina at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 49.680; Purdue 62.340
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Purdue by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (+15 1/2)

Game 781-782: Sacramento State at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 42.397; Denver 50.004
Dunkel Line: Denver by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Denver by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5 1/2)

Game 783-784: Montana State at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 39.600; Portland 49.666
Dunkel Line: Portland by 10
Vegas Line: Portland by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-9 1/2)

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - College Football

Dunkel Index – NCAA Football

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 17

Central Michigan at Northern Illinois
Not many experts would have predicted at this point in the season that Central Michigan would be in first place in the MAC but that's where the Chippewas are with a 6-0 mark in the conference. Led by QB Dan LeFevour (18 TD passes), Central Michigan has put together a stretch of five straight wins, including by 22 points at Toledo (42-20) and 24 points last week against Western Michigan (31-7). Many had expected Northern Illinois to be where Central Michigan is, but it hasn't worked out that way for the Huskies. RB Garrett Wolfe continues to put up big numbers (1,533 yards, 14 TDs), but as a team Northern Illinois has lost three of its last four, including a disappointing four-point loss to lower-rated Toledo (17-13) at home in its last game. A Chippewa team growing in confidence looks capable of covering the Vegas line of 4 according to Dunkel, which has Central Michigan favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-4).

Game 109-110: Eastern Michigan at Kent
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 66.507; Kent 80.453
Dunkel Line: Kent by 14; 42
Vegas Line: Kent by 11 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Kent (-11 1/2); Over

Game 111-112: Central Michigan at Northern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 84.014; Northern Illinois 77.693
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 6 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 4; 48
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-4); Over

[Udog]

NCAABB

Friday, November 17th

Harvard at Michigan, 7:00 EST
Harvard: 1-6 ATS off BB non-conference games
Michigan: 2-16 ATS after failing to cover 2 of last 3 ATS

(TC) Northeastern at Pittsburgh, 5:00 EST
Northeastern: 2-8 ATS as a road underdog
Pittsburgh: 14-2 Over at home off a SU win

Florida Atlantic at Old Dominion, 7:00 EST
Florida Atl: n/a
Old Dominion: 8-2 ATS off BB ATS losses

(TC) Indiana State at Indiana, 8:00 EST
Indiana State: 6-0 ATS off a home win by 3 points or less
Indiana: 4-13 ATS off an ATS loss

(TC) Fresno State at San Francisco, 11:00 EST
Fresno State: 8-1 Under as a road underdog of 6 points or less
San Francisco: 10-27 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less

(TC) Cal Santa Barbara at UNLV, 10:30 EST
UCSB: 2-10 ATS after playing BB games as a favorite
UNLV: 11-0 ATS on Friday nights

(TC) Cal Irvine at Oregon, 11:00 EST
Cal Irvine: 10-3 Under after a combined score of 125 points or less
Oregon: 33-9 ATS off BB home wins

Northwestern at Stanford, 10:00 EST
Northwestern: 0-8 ATS Away off BB games where both teams scored 65 points or less
Stanford: 15-4 ATS off 3+ home games

(TC) New Mexico State at Loyola Marymount, 10:30 EST CSTV
New Mexico State: 7-0 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
Loyola Marymount: 11-3 Under at home where the total is 140 to 149.5


Paradise Jam
Opening Round
Virgin Islands

Middle Tennessee State vs. Alabama, 1:00 EST
Mid Tenn State: 7-0 Under Away playing only their 2nd game in a week
Alabama: 17-4 Under Away off a SU win

Toledo vs. Iowa, 3:30 EST
Toledo: 1-10 Away after playing a game as a 'dog
Iowa: 31-67 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite

Virgina Commonwealth vs. Xavier, 6:00 EST
VA Commonwealth: 5-1 Under in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5
Xavier: 6-0 ATS on a neutral court

College of Charleston vs. Villanova, 8:30 EST
Charleston: 21-6 ATS Away off a non-conference game
Villanova: 11-3 Over off a road win


Shelby Metcalf Classic
Opening Round
College Station, Texas

(TC) Louisiana Tech vs. St. Louis, 5:30 EST
Louisiana Tech: 4-14 ATS in tournament games
St. Louis: 63-28 ATS off a home win

(TC) Lamar at Texas A&M, 8:00 EST
Lamar: 8-4 ATS off a non-conference game
Texas A&M: 16-10 Under in home games


Coaches vs. Cancer Classic
Championship Round
New York, New York

Texas vs. St. John's, 7:00 EST ESPN2
Texas: 19-8 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less
St. John's: 1-10 ATS on Friday's

(TC) Maryland vs. Michigan State, 9:15 EST ESPN2
Maryland: 6-0 ATS off a road win by 20+ points
Michigan State: 5-1 Under after a win by 6 points or less


Hispanic College Fund Classic
Opening Round
Harford, Connecticut

Mississippi vs. Fairfield, 5:30 EST
Mississippi: 2-11 ATS Away after a combined score of 125 points or less BB games
Fairfield: 7-0 Over off 3+ non-conference games

Central Arkansas at Connecticut, 8:00 EST
Central Arkansas:
Connecticut:


America's Youth Classic
Opening Round
Evansville, Indiana

Miami FL at Evansville, 7:30 EST
Miami FL: 2-10 ATS after a blowout win by 20+ points
Evansville: 6-0 Over on Friday nights

Cleveland State vs. Buffalo, 9:45 EST
Cleveland State: 6-0 ATS off a SU win
Buffalo: 11-2 Over as a favorite


Top of the World Classic
Opening Round
Fairbanks, Alaska

Centenary vs. Utah State, 10:00 EST
Centenary: 0-3 ATS this season
Utah State: 6-1 Under when the total is 140 to 149.5

SE Missouri State vs. Drake, 11:59 EST
SE Missouri State: 10-2 Under off a non-conference game
Drake: 5-1 Over in November


Added Games:

Eastern Kentucky at Ohio State, 7:00 EST
Eastern Kentucky: 8-1 Under Away off BB wins
Ohio State: 6-0 ATS after playing BB games as a favorite

Appalachian State at Clemson, 7:30 EST
Appalachian State: 12-1 ATS after a combined score of 175+ points
Clemson: 13-3 Under after playing a game as a home favorite

Georgia Southern at Illinois, 8:00 EST
Georgia Southern: 1-5 ATS as a DD underdog
Illinois: 28-9 ATS at home off a home game

Elon at Wake Forest, 8:00 EST
Elon: 8-2 Under in November
Wake Forest: 0-8 ATS at home vs. non-conference opponents

Morehead State at South Alabama, 8:00 EST
Morehead State: 0-9 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
South Alabama: 9-2 ATS off a road game

Eastern Illinois at Depaul, 8:30 EST
Eastern Illinois: 8-0 Under in the 2nd of BB road games
Depaul: 1-8 ATS as a DD favorite

Western Carolina at Purdue, 8:30 EST
Western Carolina: 7-0 Under in the 2nd of BB road games
Purdue: 22-5 Under when the total is 130 to 139.5

Sacramento State at Denver, 9:00 EST
Sacramento State: 19-9 Over after playing a game as an underdog
Denver: 6-0 ATS at home after playing a game as a road underdog

Montana State at Portland, 10:00 EST
Montana State:
Portland:

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Hockey

Dunkel Index – NHL

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 17

NY Islanders at Tampa Bay
It's been a good start to the road trip for the Islanders as they've taken the first two games, including a 3-0 blanking of Dallas on Wednesday as goalie Rick DiPietro stopped all 35 shots he faced. Tonight New York faces Tampa Bay, which dropped its sixth home game in 10 tries against Montreal (3-1) with both Vinny Lecavalier and Martin St. Louis having their consecutive game point streaks snapped at 11. The Islanders look like a good underdog play in this one according to Dunkel, which has New York favored straight up by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

Game 1-2: Colorado at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.855; Columbus 10.692
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+1 1/2); Over

Game 3-4: Carolina at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 13.120; Washington 11.941
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Under

Game 5-6: Dallas at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 12.744; Atlanta 12.010
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+1 1/2); Under

Game 7-8: Ottawa at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.462; New Jersey 12.303
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+1 1/2); Under

Game 9-10: NY Islanders at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.220; Tampa Bay 11.802
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+1 1/2); Under

Game 11-12: Pittsburgh at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.601; Buffalo 13.063
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 7
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 13-14: Detroit at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 13.552; Calgary 12.706
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+1 1/2); Under

Game 15-16: Chicago at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.477; Anaheim 13.251
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 3; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-1 1/2); Under

Game 17-18: St. Louis at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 9.611; Vancouver 11.434
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-1 1/2); Under

[Udog]

Woops! I duplicated pm's NHL Dunkel in this space.

[Udog]

NBA

Projected Scores

Last night: 1-1 (50.0%)
Week to date: 11-11 (50.0%)
Year to date: 64-54 (54.2%)

11/17/2006

New Jersey 102 Indiana 97
Boston 102 Portland 86
Miami 104 New York 93
Cleveland 99 Minnesota 89
Detroit 104 Washington 96
San Antonio 99 Chicago 93
Dallas 97 Memphis 89
L.A. Lakers 113 Toronto 102
Phoenix 112 Philadelphia 97
Utah 104 Seattle 103

[Udog]

NCAABB

Projected Scores

Last night: 19-5 (79.2%)
Week to date: 148-33 (81.8%)
Year to date: 326-76 (81.1%)

11/17/2006

Alabama 78 Middle Tennessee 56
Massachusetts 83 Oakland 66
Pittsburgh 75 Northeastern 54
St. Peter's 82 Kennesaw State 63
Mississippi 82 Fairfield 59
Saint Louis 76 Louisiana Tech 53
American 66 Richmond 63
Ohio State 88 Eastern Kentucky 63
Kentucky 76 Mississippi Valley State 53
Delaware 83 Albany 74
Lehigh 58 Cornell 53
Michigan 74 Harvard 58
Old Dominion 74 Florida Atlantic 61
Marshall 74 Robert Morris 72
South Florida 71 South Carolina State 64
Columbia 72 New Jersey Tech 56
Radford 71 Western Illinois 66
Texas 68 St. John's 64
George Washington 99 Longwood 71
Penn State 74 Stony Brook 62
Appalachian State 71 Clemson 69
Miami (Fla.) 74 Evansville 67
Minnesota 82 LIU-Brooklyn 63
Oklahoma State 79 Texas Southern 53
Texas Tech 82 North Dakota State 56
Illinois 79 Georgia Southern 62
Indiana 69 Indiana State 57
North Carolina State 70 Delaware State 62
Wake Forest 79 Elon 64
LSU 83 Nicholls State 52
Loyola-Chicago 76 John Carroll 56
Texas A&M 87 Lamar 61
Connecticut 93 Central Arkansas 68
South Alabama 70 Morehead State 52
Wisconsin-Green Bay 72 Northern Michigan 58
DePaul 79 Eastern Illinois 66
Purdue 77 Western Carolina 69
Miami (Ohio) 79 Florida A&M 65
Buffalo 72 Cleveland State 68
Florida International 75 Alcorn State 62
St. Joseph's 69 Lafayette 60
Denver 77 Sacramento State 66
Auburn 73 Winston Salem 52
Maryland 67 Michigan State 58
Northern Colorado 73 Colorado-Colorado Springs 52
San Francisco 81 Fresno State 77
Montana State 73 Portland 68
Stanford 63 Northwestern 59
Utah State 78 Centenary 62
New Mexico State 83 Loyola-Marymount 74
UNLV 81 Santa Barbara 58
Long Beach State 85 Cal-State Bakersfield 63
Oregon 93 California Irvine 66
Washington State 72 Texas-San Antonio 58
Rhode Island 75 Troy 64

[doktardave]

Thanks for all the work guys!



Dr Dave

[Udog]

NCAAFB

Dunkel

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 18
Time Posted: 1:00 p.m. EST

Game 113-114: Buffalo at Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 63.601; Wisconsin 103.248
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 39 1/2; 51 1/2
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 38; 47
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-38); Over

Game 115-116: Western Michigan at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 76.424; Florida State 95.648
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 19; 44 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida State by 16; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-16); Over

Game 117-118: South Florida at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 84.172; Louisville 106.973
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 23; 47 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 17; 54
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-17); Under

Game 119-120: Connecticut at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 83.893; Syracuse 82.006
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 2; 37 1/2
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 1 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+1 1/2); Under

Game 121-122: Rutgers at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 92.154; Cincinnati 94.317
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 37
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 6 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+6 1/2); Under

Game 123-124: Virginia Tech at Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 98.854; Wake Forest 104.512
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 4 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Pick; 38
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest; Under

Game 125-126: Duke at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 69.837; Georgia Tech 97.696
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 28; 41
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 24 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-24 1/2); Under

Game 127-128: Illinois at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 84.331; Northwestern 87.076
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 3; 49 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois by 3; 47
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+3); Over

Game 129-130: Missouri at Iowa State
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 97.483; Iowa State 73.437
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 24; 49
Vegas Line: Missouri by 13; 52
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-13); Under

Game 131-132: Iowa at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 88.201; Minnesota 99.262
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 11; 51 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-2 1/2); Under

Game 133-134: Indiana at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 78.310; Purdue 91.513
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 13; 58 1/2
Vegas Line: Purdue by 12 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-12 1/2); Over

Game 135-136: NC State at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 82.663; North Carolina 85.451
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 3; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: NC State by 3 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+3 1/2); Over

Game 137-138: Temple at Navy
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 55.840; Navy 85.698
Dunkel Line: Navy by 30; 53
Vegas Line: Navy by 32; 56
Dunkel Pick: Temple (+32); Under

Game 139-140: Tennessee at Vanderbilt
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 99.441; Vanderbilt 85.042
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 14 1/2; 50 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 7 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-7 1/2); Over

Game 141-142: Houston at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 93.281; Memphis 70.626
Dunkel Line: Houston by 22 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Houston by 16 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-16 1/2); Under

Game 143-144: Oklahoma State at Texas Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 99.984; Texas Tech 97.816
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 2; 63
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 6 1/2; 70
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+6 1/2); Under

Game 145-146: Central Florida at Tulane
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 72.549; Tulane 75.811
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 3 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Tulane by 2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (-2); Under

Game 147-148: Army at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: Army 64.621; Notre Dame 100.943
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 36 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 28 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-28 1/2); Under

Game 149-150: Utah State at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 58.380; Boise State 103.386
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 45; 55
Vegas Line: Boise State by 37 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-37 1/2); Under

Game 151-152: East Carolina at Rice
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 83.166; Rice 84.799
Dunkel Line: Rice by 1 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 2 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+2 1/2); Over

Game 153-154: Oklahoma at Baylor
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 99.125; Baylor 85.543
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 13 1/2; 58 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 20 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+20 1/2); Over

Game 155-156: Tulsa at SMU
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 84.997; SMU 80.626
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 4 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 6 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+6 1/2); Under

Game 157-158: Michigan at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 104.936; Ohio State 118.671
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 13 1/2; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 7; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-7); Over

Game 159-160: Mississippi at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 83.430; LSU 108.546
Dunkel Line: LSU by 25; 46
Vegas Line: LSU by 27 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (+27 1/2); Over

Game 161-152: Oregon State at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 88.844; Stanford 81.767
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 7; 48 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 14 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+14 1/2); Over

Game 163-164: Auburn at Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 87.786; Alabama 88.678
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 1; 39 1/2
Vegas Line: Auburn by 3; 40
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (+3); Under

Game 165-166: Arizona at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 98.954; Oregon 104.546
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 5 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Oregon by 14; 45
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+14); Over

Game 167-168: New Mexico at BYU
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 76.321; BYU 109.295
Dunkel Line: BYU by 33; 52 1/2
Vegas Line: BYU by 26 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-26 1/2); Over

Game 169-170: San Diego State at TCU
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 76.479; TCU 96.695
Dunkel Line: TCU by 20; 32 1/2
Vegas Line: TCU by 17; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-17); Under

Game 171-172: Wyoming at UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 80.314; UNLV 71.656
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 8 1/2; 40 1/2
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 9 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+9 1/2); Under

Game 173-174: UTEP at Marshall
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 81.258; Marshall 79.420
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 2; 58
Vegas Line: Marshall by 3; 55
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+3); Over

Game 175-176: Idaho at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 66.528; Fresno State 74.742
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 8; 54
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 11 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+11 1/2); Over

Game 177-178: Washington at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 77.827; Washington State 84.521
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 6 1/2; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington State by 8 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+8 1/2); Over

Game 179-180: Arkansas at Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 100.644; Mississippi State 88.613
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 12; 46
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 14 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+14 1/2); Over

Game 181-182: Michigan State at Penn State
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 81.880; Penn State 105.327
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 23 1/2; 52 1/2
Vegas Line: Penn State by 17 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-17 1/2); Over

Game 183-184: Kansas State at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 88.104; Kansas 87.269
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 1; 55
Vegas Line: Kansas by 2 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (+2 1/2); Over

Game 185-186: Miami (FL) at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 92.897; Virginia 83.980
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 9; 33 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-3); Under

Game 187-188: Maryland at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 95.352; Boston College 93.925
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 1 1/2; 37 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston College by 8; 42
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+8); Under

Game 189-190: Utah at Air Force
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 87.053; Air Force 87.931
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 1; 50 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah by 1; 51
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+1); Under

Game 191-192: UAB at Southern Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 71.587; Southern Mississippi 89.991
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 18 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 14 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-14 1/2); Under

Game 193-194: Nevada at Louisiana Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 95.099; Louisiana Tech 73.519
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 21 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Nevada by 17; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-17 1/2); Over

Game 195-196: California at USC
Dunkel Ratings: California 99.456; USC 113.744
Dunkel Line: USC by 14; 54 1/2
Vegas Line: USC by 5 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: USC (-5 1/2); Over

Game 197-198: UCLA at Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 100.224; Arizona State 98.829
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 1 1/2; 44 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 5 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+5 1/2); Under

Game 199-200: San Jose State at Hawaii
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 71.936; Hawaii 103.490
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 31 1/2; 74
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 25; 73 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-25); Over

Game 201-202: UL Monroe at Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 66.145; Kentucky 90.048
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 24; 54 1/2
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 19 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-19 1/2); Under

Game 203-204: UL Lafayette at Florida International
Dunkel Ratings: UL Lafayette 64.360; Florida International 55.162
Dunkel Line: UL Lafayette by 9; 37
Vegas Line: UL Lafayette by 3 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: UL Lafayette (-3 1/2); Under

Game 205-206: Arkansas State at Troy
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 65.445; Troy 75.136
Dunkel Line: Troy by 9 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Troy by 8; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-8); Under

Game 207-208: Middle Tennessee St. at South Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee St. 81.488; South Carolina 93.059
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 11 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 15 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (+11 1/2); Under

Game 209-210: Florida Atlantic at North Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 57.244; North Texas 66.760
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 9 1/2; 36
Vegas Line: North Texas by 5; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-5); Under