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Sunday Trends and Indexes 11/12

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  • Sunday Trends and Indexes 11/12

    Trends and Indexes for Sunday, November 12

    Good Luck today!

  • #2
    Dunkel Index - Pro Football

    Dunkel Index – NFL

    SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 12

    Houston at Jacksonville
    Inserting QB David Garrard into the starting lineup is once again paying off for Jacksonville. After the Jaguars lost to Houston (27-7), coach Jack Del Rio decided to rest Byron Leftwich's bum ankle and start Garrard, who went 4-1 last season when he replaced an injured Leftwich. The result this time has been a road win over Philadelphia (13-3) and last week's pounding of Tennesssee (37-7) in which Garrard threw three TD passes. This weekend the Jags will try to exact some revenge on Houston, which has lost all four of its road games this season. Covering the Vegas line of 10 looks doable in this one according to Dunkel, which has Jacksonville favored by 18 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-10). Here are all of this week's games.

    Game 409-410: Kansas City at Miami
    Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 127.155; Miami 125.535
    Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 42 1/2
    Vegas Line: Miami by 1; 40
    Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+1); Over

    Game 411-412: Houston at Jacksonville
    Dunkel Ratings: Houston 117.257; Jacksonville 135.923
    Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 18 1/2; 36 1/2
    Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 10; 37 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-10); Under

    Game 413-414: San Diego at Cincinnati
    Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 134.569; Cincinnati 131.236
    Dunkel Line: San Diego by 3 1/2; 50 1/2
    Vegas Line: San Diego by 1; 47 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-1); Over

    Game 415-416: Cleveland at Atlanta
    Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 121.378; Atlanta 132.800
    Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 11 1/2; 45
    Vegas Line: Atlanta by 8; 41 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-8); Over

    Game 417-418: Baltimore at Tennessee
    Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 129.462; Tennessee 118.518
    Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 11; 33 1/2
    Vegas Line: Baltimore by 7; 38
    Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-7); Under

    Game 419-420: Buffalo at Indianapolis
    Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 124.834; Indianapolis 139.760
    Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 15; 49
    Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 12; 44 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-12); Over

    Game 421-422: New Orleans at Pittsburgh
    Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 130.011; Pittsburgh 132.320
    Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 45
    Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 5; 46
    Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+5); Under

    Game 423-424: Washington at Philadelphia
    Dunkel Ratings: Washington 124.580; Philadelphia 131.127
    Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 6 1/2; 43 1/2
    Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 7; 42
    Dunkel Pick: Washington (+7); Over

    Game 425-426: Chicago at NY Giants
    Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 135.947; NY Giants 135.013
    Dunkel Line: Chicago by 1; 34 1/2
    Vegas Line: NY Giants by 1; 37 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+1); Under

    Game 427-428: Green Bay at Minnesota
    Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 121.771; Minnesota 127.729
    Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 6; 37
    Vegas Line: Minnesota by 5; 40
    Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-5); Under

    Game 429-430: NY Jets at New England
    Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 123.314; New England 136.850
    Dunkel Line: New England by 13 1/2; 40 1/2
    Vegas Line: New England by 10 1/2; 38
    Dunkel Pick: New England (-10 1/2); Over

    Game 431-432: San Francisco at Detroit
    Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 114.382; Detroit 124.422
    Dunkel Line: Detroit by 10; 45
    Vegas Line: Detroit by 6; 46
    Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-6); Under

    Game 433-434: Denver at Oakland
    Dunkel Ratings: Denver 132.567; Oakland 122.555
    Dunkel Line: Denver by 10; 32 1/2
    Vegas Line: Denver by 9; 33
    Dunkel Pick: Denver (-9); Under

    Game 435-436: St. Louis at Seattle
    Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 121.764; Seattle 131.085
    Dunkel Line: Seattle by 9 1/2; 46 1/2
    Vegas Line: Seattle by 3; 43 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-3); Over

    Game 437-438: Dallas at Arizona
    Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 130.100; Arizona 122.759
    Dunkel Line: Dallas by 7 1/2; 46 1/2
    Vegas Line: Dallas by 6 1/2; 43
    Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-6 1/2); Over

    MONDAY, NOVEMBER 13

    Game 439-440: Tampa Bay at Carolina
    Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 123.601; Carolina 127.861
    Dunkel Line: Carolina by 4; 34 1/2
    Vegas Line: Carolina by 9 1/2; 37
    Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+9 1/2); Under

    Comment


    • #3
      Star-rated trends - NFL

      5* Trends
      San Francisco (+6) is 9-1 SU last 10 vs. Detroit
      San Diego is 14-4-1 ATS last 20 on the road (visiting Cincinnati)
      Minnesota is 9-2 ATS last 11 vs. Green Bay
      New England is 8-2 ATS last 10 vs. NY Jets
      Seattle is 11-3 ATS last 14 at home (hosting St. Louis)

      4* Trends
      Minnesota is 9-3 ATS last 12 at home (hosting Green Bay)
      Miami is 6-21 ATS last 27 at home (hosting Kansas City)
      NY Giants are 10-5 ATS last 15 at home (hosting Chicago)
      Denver is 15-8 ATS last 23 vs. Oakland
      Oakland is 12-28-1 ATS last 41 as a dog

      3* Trends
      Kansas City (-1) is 8-14 SU & 8-13-1 ATS last 21 on the road
      Cleveland is 8-12 ATS last 20 on the road (visiting Atlanta)
      San Francisco is 13-20 ATS last 33 as an underdog
      St. Louis is 8-14 ATS last 22 on the road

      Comment


      • #4
        NFL Trends

        Sunday, November 12th

        Kansas City at Miami, 1:00 EST
        Kansas City: 10-2 ATS as a favorite
        Miami: 0-6 ATS vs. conference opponents

        Houston at Jacksonville, 1:00 EST
        Houston: 8-2 Over off BB road games
        Jacksonville: 21-6 ATS at home off a division win

        San Diego at Cincinnati, 1:00 EST
        San Diego: 16-6 ATS as a road favorite
        Cincinnati: 2-9 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games

        Cleveland at Atlanta, 1:00 EST
        Cleveland: 12-3 Under off a road loss
        Atlanta: 9-1 ATS off a road loss

        Baltimore at Tennessee, 1:00 EST
        Baltimore: 0-6 ATS away off an ATS win
        Tennessee: 13-4 ATS off 3+ Overs

        Buffalo at Indianapolis, 1:00 EST
        Buffalo: 13-3 Over off a straight up win
        Indianapolis: 9-2 ATS off 5+ wins

        (TC) New Orleans at Pittsburgh, 4:15 EST
        New Orleans: 5-1 ATS off a division win
        Pittsburgh: 11-0 Over in home games

        Washington at Philadelphia, 1:00 EST
        Washington: 12-3 Under away vs. conference opponents
        Philadelphia: 6-1 ATS off a home loss

        (TC) Chicago at NY Giants, 8:15 EST NBC
        Chicago: 8-0 Under off a home loss
        NY Giants: 10-2 ATS off BB home wins

        Green Bay at Minnesota, 1:00 EST
        Green Bay: 1-8 ATS after scoring 14 points or less
        Minnesota: 8-1 ATS as a home favorite

        NY Jets at New England, 1:00 EST
        NY Jets: 6-1 Over vs. conference opponents
        New England: 6-0 ATS off a loss as a favorite

        San Francisco at Detroit, 1:00 EST
        San Francisco: 2-10 ATS off a home game
        Detroit: 31-15 Over off a win as an underdog

        Denver at Oakland, 4:05 EST
        Denver: 14-5 ATS off a straight up win
        Oakland: 1-9 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less

        St. Louis at Seattle, 4:15 EST
        St. Louis: 1-4 ATS in their L5 following a double-digit loss at home
        Seattle: 6-1 ATS in their L7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0

        Dallas at Arizona, 4:15 EST
        Dallas: 6-0 ATS off a road loss
        Arizona: 1-9 ATS off an Under

        Monday, November 13th

        Tampa Bay at Carolina, 8:30 EST ESPN
        Tampa Bay: 9-2 Under in road games
        Carolina: 16-6 ATS off BB games scoring 14 points or less

        ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

        Comment


        • #5
          KANSAS CITY (5 - 3) at MIAMI (2 - 6) - 11/12/2006, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          KANSAS CITY is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
          MIAMI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
          MIAMI is 27-10 ATS (+16.0 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
          MIAMI is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
          MIAMI is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
          MIAMI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
          MIAMI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
          MIAMI is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
          MIAMI is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
          KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          HOUSTON (2 - 6) at JACKSONVILLE (5 - 3) - 11/12/2006, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          JACKSONVILLE is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival since 1992.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          HOUSTON is 4-1 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
          HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          SAN DIEGO (6 - 2) at CINCINNATI (4 - 4) - 11/12/2006, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          SAN DIEGO is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          SAN DIEGO is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          SAN DIEGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
          SAN DIEGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          SAN DIEGO is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
          SAN DIEGO is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
          CINCINNATI is 34-54 ATS (-25.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          CLEVELAND (2 - 6) at ATLANTA (5 - 3) - 11/12/2006, 1:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          BALTIMORE (6 - 2) at TENNESSEE (2 - 6) - 11/12/2006, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TENNESSEE is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
          TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          BUFFALO (3 - 5) at INDIANAPOLIS (8 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          INDIANAPOLIS is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          NEW ORLEANS (6 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (2 - 6) - 11/12/2006, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          PITTSBURGH is 62-39 ATS (+19.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
          PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
          NEW ORLEANS is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          WASHINGTON (3 - 5) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 4) - 11/12/2006, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          WASHINGTON is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
          WASHINGTON is 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
          PHILADELPHIA is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
          PHILADELPHIA is 107-76 ATS (+23.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
          WASHINGTON is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          CHICAGO (7 - 1) at NY GIANTS (6 - 2) - 11/12/2006, 8:15 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NY GIANTS are 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
          CHICAGO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
          NY GIANTS are 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
          NY GIANTS are 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in November games since 1992.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          CHICAGO is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
          CHICAGO is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          GREEN BAY (3 - 5) at MINNESOTA (4 - 4) - 11/12/2006, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          MINNESOTA is 4-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
          MINNESOTA is 3-2 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          NY JETS (4 - 4) at NEW ENGLAND (6 - 2) - 11/12/2006, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NEW ENGLAND is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
          NEW ENGLAND is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          NEW ENGLAND is 4-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
          NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 5) at DETROIT (2 - 6) - 11/12/2006, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DETROIT is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          DENVER (6 - 2) at OAKLAND (2 - 6) - 11/12/2006, 4:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DENVER is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
          OAKLAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
          OAKLAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
          OAKLAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
          DENVER is 4-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          ST LOUIS (4 - 4) at SEATTLE (5 - 3) - 11/12/2006, 4:15 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ST LOUIS is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
          ST LOUIS is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
          SEATTLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
          SEATTLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          SEATTLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          ST LOUIS is 4-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
          SEATTLE is 3-3 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          DALLAS (4 - 4) at ARIZONA (1 - 7) - 11/12/2006, 4:15 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DALLAS is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
          ARIZONA is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
          ARIZONA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
          DALLAS is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          TAMPA BAY (2 - 6) at CAROLINA (4 - 4) - 11/13/2006, 8:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TAMPA BAY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
          CAROLINA is 46-23 ATS (+20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
          CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
          CAROLINA is 4-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          Comment


          • #6
            NFL

            Six-Pack for Saturday
            Six NFL trends for this week……….……….
            -- Rams covered six of last seven as dog in division games. . -- Miami covered only six of their last 27 home games.
            -- New England is 12-5-1 vs. spread in last 18 division home games.
            -- Bengals are 2-7-1 vs. spread in last 10 non-division tilts.
            -- Denver covered eight of its last eleven road games.
            -- Packers are 1-6-1 vs. spread in last eight division games.

            Comment


            • #7
              NFL

              Some NFL tidbits:

              New England has not lost back-to-back games since December 2002. That's a span of 57 games. The record is 60 by San Francisco (1995-99). The Titans and Jets beat the Patriots in Weeks 15 and 16 in 2002. The Patriots will play host to the Jets this weekend.

              The Eagles under Andy Reid have never lost a game that followed a bye week (7-0). Philadelphia was off in Week 9 and will play host to Washington this week.

              If the Colts defeat the Bills this weekend, they will become the first team in NFL history to have back-to-back 9-0 starts.

              Washington became the first team in NFL history to score exactly 22 points in three consecutive games (Dallas, Tennessee, Indianapolis).

              The Browns were the only team in Week 9 to lead at halftime and lose.

              Comment


              • #8
                2006 Week 10 NFL

                Chiefs (5-3) @ Dolphins (2-6)- KC won, covered three in a row since 45-7 loss at Heinz, running ball for 170.3 ypg during win streak; they scored four offensive TDs in each of last three games, with five of the 12 TDs on drives of 80+ yards. Miami came off bye and stunned Bears in Chicago, running ball for 161 yards and forcing six turnovers; will they make another second half run, like they did in '05? LY, Chiefs ran ball for 185 yards, outgained Fish 462-286 in Week 7 win on this field (30-20 , +1.5). Over is 5-0-1 in last six Chief games, 3-0 in last three for Miami.

                Texans (2-6) @ Jaguars (5-3)- Third straight road game for Houston team that drilled Jags 27-7 at home three weeks ago (+9), outgaining Jax 349-220, holding Leftwich to 4.1 yds/pass; Garrard is new Jax QB, even though Leftwich is well enough to play. Jags won his last two starts, mainly because defense allowed one TD on 22 drives- they have field position edges of +16/+19 in two games. Houston's defense is playing better, holding last three foes to 285 or less yards. Texans are 0-4 on road, losing by 19,28 ,6,4 pts. Four of last five Houston games stayed under the total.

                Chargers (6-2) @ Bengals (4-4)-Rats starting to jump off ship in Cincy, with Johnson bitching about his touches, Henry not trying for catch on Hail Mary on final play last week. You need character during hard times, and Bengals little short on character guys' they've also run ball for less than 100 yds in five of last six games, converted only 16 of last 61 on third down. 25 of their last 55 drives started 80+ yards from end zone; defense isn't creating short field drives. Chargers won four of last five games, scoring 36.6 ppg in last four- four of their last five games went over total.

                Browns (2-6) @ Falcons (5-3)- AFC is 12-4 vs. the NFC last three weeks, but slowish Browns lost 34-17 in their only other game on carpet this year, and are 1-3 on road, losing by 17,8,7 points- they beat Raiders for only road win. In last four games, Frye averaged 3.5/3.4/4.8/4.3 yds/pass, not good. Falcons are 2-3 vs. spread as favorite in '06, 3-1 SU at home, winning by 11,22,3 points; Atlanta is 4-0 when they score more than 14 points, 1-3 when they don't. Browns allowed 26.8 ppg on road, giving up 10 TDs on 48 drives. Falcons gave up 3+ offensive TDs in each of last four games.

                Ravens (6-2) @ Titans (2-6)-McNair returns to Tennessee with Raven squad that scored 30.5 ppg in winning both games since Billick took over play-calling, but most of credit for those wins go to defense that forced eight TOs (six INTs, +7). Billick's renewed emphasis on running ball should work vs. Titan defense giving up 174.6 rushing yds/game in last seven games. Tennessee completing just 46.8% of passes in Young's five starts; they're 13 for last 53 on third down (24.5%). Last year, Ravens lost here 25-10 in Week 2, starting 11 of 14 drives 80+ yards from goal line
                (-22 in field position), going 3/out on 10 of 14 drives.

                Bills (3-5) @ Colts (8-0)-Indy off wins at Denver, Foxboro, so letdown possible here vs. Bills' squad that was beat Packers last week, despite being outgained 427-184- it was Bills' first win in last four games. Buffalo allowed 6,12,10 pts in their three wins, an average of 21 peg in their losses, three of which are by eight or less pts. Bills are 4-4 vs. spread this year (2-1 as road dog); they're +9 in turnovers when they cover, -12 when they don't. Colts are 2-1-1 as home favorite, winning by 19,7,1,14 pts. Four of last five Buffalo games stayed under the total.

                Saints (6-2) @ Steelers (2-6)-Pitt lost six of last seven games, allowing 34 ppg during three-game skid; they're 0-5 when they allow more than 17 points, a figure Saints topped in every game so far. NO is 3-1 on road, losing only 21-18 at Carolina (+7); they're 4-0 vs. spread as dog this season, but have run ball 49 times for just 84 yards in last two games. Steeler offense has gained 449+ yards in three of last four games, but they've thrown seven picks in last two games (-9 TO ratio). Last four New Orleans games and three of last four Pitt games went over total.

                Redskins (3-5) @ Eagles (4-4)- Philly are 0-3 since they beat Cowboys, losing last three games before their bye; they're 3-0 if they score more than 24 pts, 1-2 if they score exactly 24, 0-2 if they score less- they're 2-2 at home, beating Packers (31-9) Dallas (38-24). All four Philly wins are by 14+ points. Redskins have zero takeaways in last four games (-3 TO ratio); they're 1-3 on road, losing at Dallas (27-10), Giants (19-3) and Colts (36-22) (0-3 as road dog). In their last three games, Philly's been outscored 31-3 in first half; that said, five of last seven Eagle games still went over total.

                Packers (3-5) @ Vikings (4-4)-Minnesota lost last two games, scoring total of 10 points; in their last seven games, Vikings scored six offensive TDs on 75 drives; they are 3-0 when scoring more than 16 pts, 1-1 if they score exactly 16, 0-3 if they score less. Vikes turned ball over seven times in last two games, after having total of eight giveaways in first six games. Packers allowed 23+ pts in every game but their home win vs. Arizona (31-14). Pack is 1-1 on carpet this year, gaining 827 TY in 31-24 win at Detroit, 24-10 loss at Buffalo last week.

                49ers (3-5) @ Lions (2-6)-Niners upset Minnesota at home last week, but they're 0-3 on road (1-2 as road dog) losing at Arizona (34-27), Chiefs (41-0) and Chicago (41-10); in game following their first two wins, 49ers lost to Eagles (38-24), Chargers (48-19)- they gained only 133 total yards in win last week (outrushed 135-42). Lion offense is better under Martz, scoring 20+ pts in five of last six games, but they're 0-1 as favorite this year (24-31 vs. Packers, -7); in upset win vs. Falcons last week, Lions still allowed 165 yards on ground- they've allowed 386 yards on 68 carries (5.7 per carry) their last two games.

                Jets (4-4) @ Patriots (6-2)-Only one of Jets' four losses (41-0 at Jax) is by more than seven points; they lost 24-17 (+6) at home to Patriots in Week 2, as Pats went out to 17-0 halftime lead, then withstood furious Gang Green rally down stretch. Jets were outrushed 147-51 in first meeting, but converted 11 of 18 on third down to make game tight. Loss of Harrison hurts Patriot defense that hadn't allowed more than 17 points before loss to Colts last week. New England is 0-3-1 as home favorite this season, with wins by 2,10 points and losses to Denver, Indy. Seven of eight Jet games went over total.

                Broncos (6-2) @ Raiders (1-7)-Oakland's defense is better (gave up three TDs on last 44 drives) but offense is so awful (283 total yards in last two games, no TDs on last 22 drives) that team still struggles, though they did win last two home games. Broncos shut Raiders down 13-3 at home in Week 6 Sunday nighter, outrushing Raiders 144-85 (Oakland had 13 penalties for 95 yds in game). Broncos just faced colts, Steelers, so in normal case, you'd expect letdown here, but Shanahan hates Al Davis (was stiffed out of $250K when Raiders fired him as HC) so Broncos never take this rival lightly.

                Rams (4-4) @ Seahawks (5-3)-Still no Alexander/Hasselbeck for Seattle, which beat Rams 30-28 in Week 6 nailbiter (Hawks trailed 21-7 at half, kicked FG on last play to win), game Rams yet to recover from (lost last three, allowing 33 ppg). Rams win when they get takeaways (14 in four wins (+12)), lose when they don't (two in four losses (-5)); over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Seattle has five TDs on last 35 drives; they're 3-1 at home, losing to Vikings (31-13) but winning other three by 11,12,16 points. Last stand for Rams to contend in very weak division- they're 2-2 on road this season.

                Cowboys (4-4) @ Cardinals (1-7)-Third week in row on road for Dallas, which is 3-0 vs. spread after loss this season; they allowed 14 or less points in their four wins, an average of 30 ppg in losses. Romo is good QB; Cowboys converted on 31 of last 57 third down plays (54.4%) so they're moving chains, but key drops and blocked FGs killed them in DC last week. Cards haven't won since Week 1, allowed 26.4 ppg in last five games; they're 1-3 at home, with losses by combined total of six points. In last two games, Leinart has completed only 40.3% of passes. Team held players' only meeting this week, to air differences and to try to get on same page.

                Bears (7-1) @ Giants (6-2)- Bears suffered first loss last week; for second time in last three games, they turned ball over six times. Chicago defense had 18 sacks in first five games, has only three in last three. In three road games, Bears have only two TDs on 34 drives (they have 19 on 58 at home). Red-hot Giants 5-0 since their bye, winning home games by 16,14,4 points, but injuries at DE have Big Blue very thin on line. Five of Bears' seven wins are by 26+ points. NY was -1 in turnovers in both losses; they're 4-0 in games where turnovers were even. Four of last five Giant games stayed under total.

                Buccaneers (2-6) @ Panthers (4-4)-Carolina continues to struggle on third down (11-46 in last two games, both losses); they've been outscored in second half of every game TY (107-42 for year, 35-0 in last two games). Panthers covered one of five as favorite this year, failing to cover in first meeting at Tampa (26-24, -3) despite leading 17-0 in first half. Bucs outgained Carolina 350-209 in that game, as Simms played gamely, despite being ill (spleen removed after game). Bucs lost last two games, by 14,17 points, converting just six for last 30 on third down; they've had zero takeaways in four of last five games.

                Comment


                • #9
                  2006 Canadian Football League


                  Second Round of Playoffs


                  Toronto @ Montreal-- Argos lost two of three vs Montreal this year, losing 31-7 on road in Week 8, then beating them 31-6 two weeks later, before losing season finale 24-20 at home two wks ago. Toronto won four of last five road games- they had to play last week (edged Winnipeg 31-27) while Alouettes had day off. Montreal actually lost four of their last five home games, losing 8 of last 11 games after 7-0 start.

                  Saskatchewan @ British Columbia-- Lions won 11 of their last 13 games, but they lost three of four vs Saskatchewan this yr, with Riders winning last three meetings (45-28BC in opener, 32-24S in Week 2, then Riders also won 28-25/23-20). Riders pulled upset at McMahon last week; they're on road fourth week in row, but they covered four games in row (3-1SU). Lions are 4-2 vs spread in their last six home games.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    CFL Trend Report


                    TORONTO (11 - 8) at MONTREAL (10 - 8) - 11/12/2006, 1:00 PM

                    Top Trends for this game.

                    MONTREAL is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games since 1996.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    MONTREAL is 7-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
                    MONTREAL is 7-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
                    7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


                    SASKATCHEWAN (10 - 9) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (13 - 5) - 11/12/2006, 4:00 PM

                    Top Trends for this game.

                    SASKATCHEWAN is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
                    SASKATCHEWAN is 75-45 ATS (+25.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
                    SASKATCHEWAN is 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
                    SASKATCHEWAN is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games since 1996.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    SASKATCHEWAN is 8-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
                    SASKATCHEWAN is 6-4 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
                    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      NFL

                      Six-Pack for Sunday
                      Six more NFL trends for this week……….……….

                      -- Vikings covered eight of last nine as a home favorite.

                      -- Raiders are 8-19-1 vs spread in last 28 home games.

                      -- Redskins are 6-10 vs spread as dog in division games.

                      -- Browns are 3-8-1 vs spread on road vs NFC teams.

                      -- Bills covered one of last seven non-division road games.

                      -- Arizona covered 12 of last 17 after a bye.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        NCAAFB

                        Sunday's List of 13:

                        Wrapping up college football Saturday

                        13) I never thought I'd live to see the day where ABC took a Wake Forest-Florida State game off the air, because Deacons were winning by too many points. FSU maybe, but Wake?

                        12) Deacon fans better enjoy this magical run, because with every game you win, Wake's chances of keeping its coach beyond this season get less and less.

                        11) Halftime score: Georgia 30, Auburn 7. Go figure.

                        10) Wisconsin's offensive line averages 6-6.5, taller than any offensive line in the NFL.

                        9) Clemson's orange/purple ensemble has to go; they look a lot like the blackjack dealers' outfits at Excalibur in Vegas.

                        8) Rice won its last four games, all as underdog, scoring 38 ppg; they won one game all last year, a huge improvement.

                        7) Kentucky got its sixth win and will go bowling; they host a Sun Belt team next week, so they'll likely finish 7-5, saving the job of Coach Brooks.

                        6) Texas Tech led both Texas, Oklahoma at half this season, but got outscored 31-0 in second half of the two games.

                        5) At 8:07 of third quarter, Oregon kicked a FG, ending a 77-0 scoing run by Trojans, that started in their loss at Corvallis.

                        4) Ducks' first TD came when the replay official overruled an apparent Oregon TD; Coach Bellotti then challenged replay official and the reversal was reversed, restoring Oregon's TD. Had never seen that happen before.

                        3) Pitt has now lost three games in row, with Louisville,West Virginia on deck; an epic collapse from 6-1 to 6-6 is likely, and with a senior QB. Panthers'defense got very tired at UConn.

                        2) Maryland's five ACC wins are by a total of thirteen points.

                        1) Next Saturday is the best college football day of the year, including New Year's Day. Michigan-Ohio State, Cal-USC are the highlight games on a great rivalry day.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Good morning, guys, and good luck today!!!

                          Well, it's gonna be a while before roundball and hockey start coming out. While we wait, here's some of the fun reading we didn't get to include over the last two days:



                          Saturday's List of 13:
                          Nobody asked me, but.............

                          13) So JD Drew voided his contract, which would have paid him $33M over next three years. Why would he do this, or more accurately, why does scumweasel agent Boras do this?

                          12) Drew is 31, hit .280 this year, but has never played in 110+ games in back/back seasons- since he played in 146 this year, he's due for an injury or three. Who would give this guy more than $11M? OK, other than Isiah Thomas?

                          11) Drew is giving back $33M despite a career postseason batting average of .180, with 14 strikeouts in 61 ABs. Another Boras client who's great in the clutch.

                          10) Drew has knocked in 80+ runs in a season twice in his career. Dodgers are loaded with good young outfield prospects. Drew might have made their day; now they have more cash to throw at Barry Zito.

                          9) Zito, by the way, is also represented by Boras; is there a coincidence that Boras just freed up $11M of the Dodgers' money?

                          8) Does this guy Boras sleep? Or does he have operatives who do that for him? How can he possible represent so many high profile clients?

                          7) A's made playoffs this year with a payroll around $60M. Now, the Red Sox are rumored to be giving a Japanese team $35-40M just to negotiate with this ace pitcher. Then they have to sign him, and scumweasel Boras is this guy's agent too. Sounds like a great system baseball has going.

                          6) Just so we're clear, the Red Sox aren't paying the Japanese pitcher $35M, they're paying the Seibu Lions $35M, just for the right to negotiate with Boras on a contract for additional money. If they don't have a deal within 30 days, then the whole thing is off, and the pitcher goes back to Seibu for the '07 season.

                          5) You think handicapping football is easy? Fresno State (-11), Colorado (-8) and San Diego State (-7.5) are all favored this week, despite having just one win each this season.

                          4) Mike Davis era at UAB got off to bad start, as Blazers got drilled by Washington State, 71-60. Hard to go from the fast style of Mike Anderson to Davis' more traditional approach.

                          3) Southern Utah 76, Utah 73. Bad news for Coach Giacoletti, who hasn't done much since inheriting Majerus' program in Salt Lake City. Losing to the Thunderbirds isn't good.

                          2) With 2:23 left, UConn led Quinnipiac 48-46, before Huskies scored last five points of game, but Calhoun has lot of work to do before Big East opener vs West Va on December 30.

                          1) Northwestern State, which beat Iowa in NCAAs in March, opened this season by thumping Utah State, 88-71. Good for Coach McConathy, a genuinely good guy we had chance to talk with a little bit this summer in Florida.

                          Friday's List of 13:
                          Random thoughts as weekend is here

                          13) If the NBA wanted to change its basketball, why didn't they enlist the five top scorers from last year, and the five top assist men, and get their input? Wouldn't this have made sense? Instead, they have ball the players don't seem to like.

                          12) When was last time an NFL team was 8-0, and was an underdog in Games 7 and 8?

                          11) Spurs' Fabricio Oberto was 11-11 from floor Wednesday; the record for most hoops in game without missing is 18, set by Wilt Chamberlain in 1967; he also has the second and third-most hoops without missing. Wilt shot 68% from floor that season.

                          10) In switching from Rick Adelman to Eric Musselman as head coach, Sacramento goes from a free-wheeling offensive team to more of a defensive club; not necessarily better or worse, just a different style. Less fun to watch, though.

                          9) I think the NBA would be better with a 64-game regular season; easier on players, coaches and more time for skill development, which would raise the quality of play. This will never happen, but it would be a good idea.

                          8) Mike Bibby is 266th NBA player to score 10,000 points, but he's never been on an All-Star team. Go figure.

                          7) Is it a little weird that the Louisville QB coach screams at his brother, the starting QB, like he's Robert Duvall in movie The Great Santini. It just doesn't look good.

                          6) Rutgers has a kicker named Ito; wonder if he's a relative of our favorite judge, Lance Ito (of OJ trial fame). Wouldn't it be odd if Ito wound up kicking for the Bills, OJ's old team?

                          5) Rutgers-Louisville proved to be terrific showcase for the Big East- wouldn't surprise me if all eight teams in league got some benefit from that game, as far as national respect and a recruiting bump.

                          4) For first time in 16 years, Florida State won't be playing in a January bowl game.

                          3) Not only will Miami Hurricanes be playing with very heavy hearts Saturday after the death of a teammate, they're starting a new QB, as Kyle Wright broke his passing thumb last week. Very difficult situation for everyone involved.

                          2) The evil Larry Brown got himself fired from the Knicks, then not only wanted the $41 million left on his contract, but an additional $12M in damages. Not so fast, as it was ruled this week that the quirky little man would receive "only" $18.5M of the $41M.

                          1) So Brown had a bad day and still brought home a check for $18.5M. Not bad pay for doing nothing. Anyone who hires him from here on in, though, is an idiot.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Dunkel Index - College Basketball

                            Dunkel Index – NCAA Basketball

                            SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 12

                            Western Michigan vs. Pittsburgh
                            Pittsburgh's seven-footer Aaron Gray passed up the NBA this season because of his belief that the Panthers are a national-championship caliber team. The Panthers will have to find a way to replace leading scorer Carl Krauser, but coach Jamie Dixon has a lot of talent to chose from including senior forward Levon Kendall and junior guard Ronald Ramon. Today the Panthers open up against Western Michigan, which went 14-17 a year ago. Dunkel has Pitt favored by 20, covering the Vegas line of 16. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-16). Here are all of today's games.

                            Game 515-516: Western Michigan vs. Pittsburgh
                            Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 50.900; Pittsburgh 71.100
                            Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 20
                            Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 16
                            Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-16)

                            Game 517-518: North Texas at NC Charlotte
                            Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 47.800; NC Charlotte 64.420
                            Dunkel Line: NC Charlotte by 16 1/2
                            Vegas Line: NC Charlotte by 12
                            Dunkel Pick: NC Charlotte (-12)

                            Game 519-520: Eastern Michigan at Michigan
                            Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 49.964; Michigan 69.424
                            Dunkel Line: Michigan by 19 1/2
                            Vegas Line: Michigan by 17 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-17 1/2)

                            Game 521-522: Illinois State vs. SMU
                            Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 54.300; SMU 54.800
                            Dunkel Line: SMU by 1
                            Vegas Line: SMU by 3
                            Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (+3)

                            Game 523-524: UAB vs. WI-Milwaukee
                            Dunkel Ratings: UAB 62.560; WI-Milwaukee 61.313
                            Dunkel Line: UAB by 1
                            Vegas Line: UAB by 2 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (+2 1/2)

                            Game 525-526: Arizona at Virginia
                            Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 69.300; Virginia 65.600
                            Dunkel Line: Arizona by 3 1/2
                            Vegas Line: Arizona by 2
                            Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-2)

                            Game 527-528: South Dakota State vs. VMI (in Columbus, OH)
                            Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 37.789; VMI 37.754
                            Dunkel Line: Even
                            Vegas Line: No Line
                            Dunkel Pick: N/A

                            Game 529-530: Alabama A&M vs. Princeton (in Columbus, OH)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Alabama A&M 40.901; Princeton 46.466
                            Dunkel Line: Princeton by 5 1/2
                            Vegas Line: Princeton by 13
                            Dunkel Pick: Alabama A&M (+13)

                            Game 531-532: IUPUI vs. Loyola-Chicago (in Columbus, OH)
                            Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 56.809; Loyola-Chicago 56.834
                            Dunkel Line: Even
                            Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 6
                            Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+6)

                            Game 533-534: Kent State at Ohio State
                            Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 66.201; Ohio State 74.186
                            Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 8
                            Vegas Line: Ohio State by 13
                            Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+13)

                            Game 535-536: UC-Riverside vs. UL Monroe (in Ames, IA)
                            Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 45.534; UL Monroe 44.834
                            Dunkel Line: UC-Riverside by 1
                            Vegas Line: UC-Riverside by 2 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick: UL Monroe (+2 1/2)

                            Game 537-538: Eastern Illinois at Iowa State
                            Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 41.766; Iowa State 65.306
                            Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 23 1/2
                            Vegas Line: Iowa State by 19 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (-19 1/2)

                            Game 539-540: Arkansas State vs. Monmouth (in Norfolk, VA)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 46.818; Monmouth 54.118
                            Dunkel Line: Monmouth by 7
                            Vegas Line: Monmouth by 5
                            Dunkel Pick: Monmouth (-5)

                            Game 541-542: Clemson at Old Dominion
                            Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 68.382; Old Dominion 66.362
                            Dunkel Line: Clemson by 2
                            Vegas Line: Clemson by 1
                            Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-1)

                            Game 543-544: SE Louisiana vs. Portland (in Corvallis, OR)
                            Dunkel Ratings: SE Louisiana 54.804; Portland 49.984
                            Dunkel Line: SE Louisiana by 5
                            Vegas Line: SE Louisiana by 4 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick: SE Louisiana (-4 1/2)

                            Game 545-546: Cal Poly at Oregon State
                            Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 48.436; Oregon State 60.256
                            Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 12
                            Vegas Line: Oregon State by 8
                            Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-8)

                            Game 547-548: St. Francis (NY) vs. Pennsylvania (in Syracuse, NY)
                            Dunkel Ratings: St. Francis (NY) 45.525; Pennsylvania 58.665
                            Dunkel Line: Pennsylvania by 13
                            Vegas Line: Pennsylvania by 10
                            Dunkel Pick: Pennsylvania (-10)

                            Game 549-550: UTEP at Syracuse
                            Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 60.605; Syracuse 72.745
                            Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 12
                            Vegas Line: Syracuse by 16
                            Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+16)

                            Game 551-552: CS Northridge vs. Lehigh (in Eugene, OR)
                            Dunkel Ratings: CS Northridge 53.495; Lehigh 50.824
                            Dunkel Line: CS Northridge by 2 1/2
                            Vegas Line: CS Northridge by 4
                            Dunkel Pick: Lehigh (+4)

                            Game 553-554: Portland State at Oregon
                            Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 49.646; Oregon 62.935
                            Dunkel Line: Oregon by 13 1/2
                            Vegas Line: Oregon by 20
                            Dunkel Pick: Portland State (+20)

                            Game 555-556: UC Davis vs. Georgia Southern (in Durham, NC)
                            Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 45.700; Georgia Southern 55.200
                            Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 9 1/2
                            Vegas Line: No Line
                            Dunkel Pick: N/A

                            Game 557-558: Columbia at Duke
                            Dunkel Ratings: Columbia 43.600; Duke 73.400
                            Dunkel Line: Duke by 30
                            Vegas Line: Duke by 29
                            Dunkel Pick: Duke (-29)

                            Game 559-560: Winston-Salem vs. South Alabama (in Fresno, CA)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Winston-Salem 35.148; South Alabama 55.560
                            Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 20 1/2
                            Vegas Line: No Line
                            Dunkel Pick: N/A

                            Game 561-562: UC-Irvine at Fresno State
                            Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 54.732; Fresno State 60.892
                            Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 6
                            Vegas Line: Fresno State by 13 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+13 1/2)

                            Game 563-564: Nicholls State vs. Northern Iowa (in Seattle, WA)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Nicholls State 39.070; Northern Iowa 62.100
                            Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 23
                            Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 18
                            Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-18)

                            Game 565-566: Pepperdine at Washington
                            Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 51.500; Washington 71.100
                            Dunkel Line: Washington by 19 1/2
                            Vegas Line: Washington by 18 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick: Washington (-18 1/2)

                            Game 567-568: CS Sacramento at New Mexico
                            Dunkel Ratings: CS Sacramento 46.800; New Mexico 61.100
                            Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 14 1/2
                            Vegas Line: New Mexico by 13 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-13 1/2)

                            Game 569-570: The Citadel at Michigan State
                            Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 38.300; Michigan State 66.519
                            Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 28
                            Vegas Line: Michigan State by 25
                            Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-25)

                            Game 571-572: Murray State at St. Mary's (CA)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 58.750; St. Mary's (CA) 59.855
                            Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 1
                            Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 7 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick: Murray State (+7 1/2)
                            Last edited by pm530; 11-12-2006, 11:22 AM.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              NCAABB

                              College Basketball Trend Report

                              W MICHIGAN (0 - 0) vs. PITTSBURGH (0 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 12:00 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              W MICHIGAN is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                              W MICHIGAN is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              N TEXAS (1 - 0) at CHARLOTTE (1 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 2:00 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              N TEXAS is 31-56 ATS (-30.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
                              N TEXAS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              E MICHIGAN (1 - 1) at MICHIGAN (2 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 4:00 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              E MICHIGAN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
                              MICHIGAN is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in November games since 1997.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              ILLINOIS ST (0 - 0) vs. SMU (0 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 5:00 PM
                              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              UAB (1 - 1) at WI-MILWAUKEE (1 - 1) - 11/12/2006, 6:30 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              WI-MILWAUKEE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              ARIZONA (0 - 0) at VIRGINIA (0 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 7:00 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              VIRGINIA is 96-129 ATS (-45.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
                              VIRGINIA is 96-129 ATS (-45.9 Units) in all lined games since 1997.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
                              VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
                              2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                              S DAKOTA ST (0 - 2) vs. VMI (0 - 2) - 11/12/2006, 12:00 PM
                              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              ALABAMA A&M (1 - 1) vs. PRINCETON (1 - 1) - 11/12/2006, 2:15 PM
                              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              IUPUI (1 - 1) vs. LOYOLA-IL (1 - 1) - 11/12/2006, 5:30 PM
                              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              KENT ST (2 - 0) at OHIO ST (2 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 8:00 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              OHIO ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
                              OHIO ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                              OHIO ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
                              KENT ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                              KENT ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                              KENT ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              UC-RIVERSIDE (1 - 1) vs. LA-MONROE (1 - 1) - 11/12/2006, 1:00 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              UC-RIVERSIDE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              E ILLINOIS (0 - 2) at IOWA ST (2 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 3:30 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              E ILLINOIS is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
                              E ILLINOIS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              ARKANSAS ST (0 - 2) vs. MONMOUTH (0 - 2) - 11/12/2006, 2:00 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              MONMOUTH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
                              MONMOUTH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              CLEMSON (2 - 0) at OLD DOMINION (2 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 4:30 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              OLD DOMINION is 48-75 ATS (-34.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              SE LOUISIANA (2 - 0) vs. PORTLAND (0 - 2) - 11/12/2006, 2:30 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              PORTLAND is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in November games since 1997.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              CAL POLY-SLO (1 - 1) at OREGON ST (1 - 1) - 11/12/2006, 5:00 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              CAL POLY-SLO is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                              CAL POLY-SLO is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                              CAL POLY-SLO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                              CAL POLY-SLO is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
                              CAL POLY-SLO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
                              OREGON ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997.
                              OREGON ST is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              ST FRANCIS-NY (0 - 2) vs. PENNSYLVANIA (0 - 2) - 11/12/2006, 3:30 PM
                              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              UTEP (2 - 0) at SYRACUSE (2 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 6:00 PM
                              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              UTEP is 1-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
                              SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
                              1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                              CS-NORTHRIDGE (1 - 1) vs. LEHIGH (0 - 2) - 11/12/2006, 4:00 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              CS-NORTHRIDGE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                              CS-NORTHRIDGE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                              CS-NORTHRIDGE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                              CS-NORTHRIDGE is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              PORTLAND ST (1 - 1) at OREGON (2 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 6:30 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              PORTLAND ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against Pac 10 conference opponents since 1997.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              PORTLAND ST is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
                              PORTLAND ST is 1-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
                              1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                              CAL DAVIS (0 - 0) vs. GA SOUTHERN (0 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 6:00 PM
                              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              COLUMBIA (0 - 0) at DUKE (0 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 8:15 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              COLUMBIA is 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) as an underdog since 1997.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              UC-IRVINE (1 - 1) at FRESNO ST (2 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 8:15 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              UC-IRVINE is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              NICHOLLS ST (0 - 1) vs. N IOWA (0 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 7:00 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              N IOWA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games in November games since 1997.
                              N IOWA is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              PEPPERDINE (0 - 0) at WASHINGTON (0 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 10:00 PM
                              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              SACRAMENTO ST (1 - 0) at NEW MEXICO (1 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 3:00 PM
                              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              THE CITADEL (1 - 0) at MICHIGAN ST (2 - 0) - 11/12/2006, 5:00 PM
                              Top Trends for this game.
                              THE CITADEL is 45-69 ATS (-30.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
                              THE CITADEL is 45-69 ATS (-30.9 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
                              THE CITADEL is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
                              THE CITADEL is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                              MURRAY ST (0 - 2) at ST MARYS-CA (1 - 1) - 11/12/2006, 10:35 PM
                              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                              Head-to-Head Series History
                              ST MARYS-CA is 1-0 against the spread versus MURRAY ST over the last 3 seasons
                              ST MARYS-CA is 1-0 straight up against MURRAY ST over the last 3 seasons
                              1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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