Spears Sightings NFL

[Spearit]

I get so little time on the Puta these days and lawd- did I lose my ass on the fluke last play of the Fla/LSU Game which destroyed my Under but if I find some gems of info- I am posting. Its not mine- it can be found- I am merely relaying what I see.
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NFL Public Road Teams

Tracking NFL teams with 70%+ public backing at 16-17 ATS this season. No big deal so far, but when you get to 75% they are 9-12 ATS.

Still not impressed? How about this? When you break it down to home and road teams,

NFL road teams with 75%+ public backing are 3-10 ATS this season. When you push that to 80% they are 1-4 ATS and you would have won every single week just betting against these blind.

Possibly a re-adjustment from the books to last year when NFL road favorites covered at 63.2% for the season?

[Spearit]

There are a few teams this week that should fit those parameters.
San Diego Chargers -5.5
Jacksonville Jaguars -9.5
Philadelphia Eagles -5.0
New England Patriots -5.5
Denver Broncos -4.5

The Arizona Cardinals may all so make the list the public likes what they saw from the Cards on Monday night. I see Jacksonville and San Diego @ 75% or better. That would mean lines more like -10.5 & -6.5.

(Spear---Views come from a paid site called sports insights)

[BigWeiner]

Thanks Spearit. So if 75%+ is backing those teams, betting against them would be a good idea, corrrect?

[Spearit]

Correct!

[Spearit]

--These are based on closing numbers so I'd wait to see where they are over the weekend- besides the odds should be further in your favor if amything.

[MRhotPICKS]

thanks for the tip spear... will definately test it out this weekend

[LeRoy]

thanks for the info Spearit

[vinnyvegas]

Spearit...I track and use this info and did so last year...it was very profitable. I especially love anything well over 80% and going against what it shows as public FAV...I know it's not the 'answer' but it can help in the decision making process especially if the pub is all on one side.

[rocko]

GREAT STUFF AS ALWAYS tHANKS FOR SHARING I HOPE U CAN KEEP US UPDATED ON THIS STUFF THIS WEEKEND GLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL
GET-R-DON
GO CARDSSSSSSSSS

[zeib10]

Good stuff.

[Spearit]

Seen on another site- not a paid site

Pro Football Trends

7-1-0 (8.8) The Broncos are 7-1 ATS (+8.8 ppg) since week 16, 2004 on the road after being a favorite.

6-0-0 (9.7) The Broncos are 6-0 ATS (+9.7 ppg) since week 4, 2005 on the road after a home game as a favorite.

9-1-2 (7.3) The Broncos are 9-1-2 ATS (+7.3 ppg) since week 13, 2003 after a home game as a favorite by more than 5.

11-1-1 (7.9) The Broncos are 11-1-1 ATS (+7.9 ppg) since week 6, 2004 after a home game as a favorite.
===========================================

5-1-0 (4.8) The Giants are 5-1 ATS (+4.8 ppg) since week 15, 2004 after an away game as a dog.

6-1-0 (4.9) The Giants are 6-1 ATS (+4.9 ppg) since week 15, 2004 after being a dog.

[Spearit]

SAN DIEGO (4 - 1) at KANSAS CITY (2 - 3) - 10/22/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




JACKSONVILLE (3 - 2) at HOUSTON (1 - 4) - 10/22/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NEW ENGLAND (4 - 1) at BUFFALO (2 - 4) - 10/22/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




PITTSBURGH (2 - 3) at ATLANTA (3 - 2) - 10/22/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) in October games since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Spearit]

GREEN BAY (1 - 4) at MIAMI (1 - 5) - 10/22/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




PHILADELPHIA (4 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 4) - 10/22/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 107-75 ATS (+24.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




DETROIT (1 - 5) at NY JETS (3 - 3) - 10/22/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




CAROLINA (4 - 2) at CINCINNATI (3 - 2) - 10/22/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




DENVER (4 - 1) at CLEVELAND (1 - 4) - 10/22/2006, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




WASHINGTON (2 - 4) at INDIANAPOLIS (5 - 0) - 10/22/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




MINNESOTA (3 - 2) at SEATTLE (4 - 1) - 10/22/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
SEATTLE is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
SEATTLE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-38 ATS (-25.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




ARIZONA (1 - 4) at OAKLAND (0 - 5) - 10/22/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 18-41 ATS (-27.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




NY GIANTS (3 - 2) at DALLAS (3 - 2) - 10/23/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons

[moondog22]

Green Bay has never beat Miami

[Spearit]

Green Bay has never beat Miami

Could be the one time this week!